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Statistics Exercises for Economists

The document outlines a tutorial exercise for an Economics statistics course, consisting of various problems related to joint and conditional densities, variances, covariances, moment generating functions, and distributions. It includes tasks such as finding joint discrete densities, variances of random variables, and deriving properties of specific distributions like the log-normal and chi-squared. The exercises require applying statistical concepts to solve problems involving random variables and their distributions.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
28 views2 pages

Statistics Exercises for Economists

The document outlines a tutorial exercise for an Economics statistics course, consisting of various problems related to joint and conditional densities, variances, covariances, moment generating functions, and distributions. It includes tasks such as finding joint discrete densities, variances of random variables, and deriving properties of specific distributions like the log-normal and chi-squared. The exercises require applying statistical concepts to solve problems involving random variables and their distributions.

Uploaded by

lattut50
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

May 2024

Econ 2042: Statistics for Economists

Tutorial Exercise IV:


1). An urn contains 4 balls numbered 1; 2; 3; and 4. Two balls are selected without re-
placement. Let X1 be the number on the …rst ball and X2 the maximum of the two
numbers drawn.

a). Find the joint discrete density of X1 and X2 .

b). Find the conditional density for X1 given X2 = 3.

c). Find cov (X1 ; X2 ).

2). For the joint density function:


8
< x +x ; 0 < x1 < 1 and 0 < x2 < 1
1 2
f (x1 ; x2 ) =
: 0 ;

a). Find the variances of the two random variables.

b). Find the covariance between the two random variables.

c). Are the two random variables independent?

3). For the joint density function:


8
< (6 x x2 ) =8 ; 0 < x1 < 2 and 2 < x2 < 4
1
f (x1 ; x2 ) =
: 0 ;

Find E (X1 ), E (X2 =X1 = x1 ) and E (X1 X2 ).

4). Let X be a random variable that takes the value 1 with probability p and 0 with
probability (1 p). Find E (X) and var (X). Now let Xi for i = 1; 2; 3; : : : ; n be n
variables each of which has the same distribution as X and let Y be the sum of these
variables. Assume the Xi ’s are independent. Find the mean and the variance of Y .
What is the distribution Y ?

1
5). Let X be as in question 4. Find the moment generating function for X and hence
E X k . Use this approach to derive the mean and variance of X.

6). Let X have the Gamma distribution with parameters and . Let Y = cX. Find the
distribution Y .

7). Let W be a random variable denoting the wealth of an individual. Assume the individ-
ual seeks to maximize E [U (W )] and that the utility function is U (W ) = exp (kW )
2
where k < 0. If W has the N ( ; ) distribution …nd an expression for E [U (W )].
Deduce E (W 3 ) when 2
= 1. Suppose that = f (x) and 2
= g (x) where X rep-
resents the individuals choice variable. How would you describe optimal behaviour on
the part of this individual?

8). A …rm’s production function is given by Y = f (K; L) U where K and L are non-
random and U is a random variable taking values in the range (0; 1). De…ne the
e¢ ciency level of the …rm as Z = Y =f (K; L). Let U = exp ( X 2 ) where X has the
0:5
N (0; 1) distribution. Show that the mean e¢ ciency level of the …rm is 3 .

2 2
9). Let X1 and X2 be independent N ( 1 ; ) and N ( 2 ; ). Let Y = exp (X1 + X2 ).
2
Calculate var (Y ) when 1 = +1, 2 = 1 and = 1.

2
10). Let X be a random variable, and let Y = ln X. If Y N( ; ) then X is said to
have the log-normal distribution. Find the density function for X. Find also E X k .

11). Show that if X has a log-normal distribution, so also has X for any real number .

2
12). If X has a log-normal distribution with parameters and …nd the median of X.
(De…nition: m is the median of X if Pr (X m) = 0:5).

13). Suppose that X is uniformly distributed on [0; 1]. Let Y = 2 ln X. Sow that Y has
the chi-squared distribution with 2 degrees of freedom.

14). Let X be a random variable with the density function


8
< (2= )1=2 (x2 = 3 ) exp f x2 = (2 2 )g ; x>0
f (x) =
: 0 ;

Show that x2 = 2
has the chi-squared distribution with 3 degrees of freedom.

Common questions

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If X is log-normally distributed with parameters mu and sigma^2, then X = e^(Y) where Y is N(mu, sigma^2). If Y is shifted by ln(k) for any real number k, then the product kX = k * e^(Y) = e^(ln(k) + Y) maintains the log-normal form since Y retains normality under affine transformations. Thus, kX is also log-normally distributed.

To show that Y = -2 ln X has a chi-squared distribution with 2 degrees of freedom, start with the property that if U ~ Uniform(0,1), then - ln U follows an exponential distribution with mean 1. Thus, Y being -2 times ln U gives Y an exponential distribution with mean 0.5, which is equivalent to a chi-squared distribution with 2 df, since a chi-squared variable with 2 df is just twice an exponential(1) random variable.

The covariance between two independent random variables is zero because their joint density function can be expressed as the product of their individual densities, affirming independence. To verify independence, check if the joint density f(x1, x2) equals the product f1(x1)f2(x2) for all x1, x2 in their domains. For example, if f(x1, x2) = (x1 + x2) on (0, 1), both random variables are independent since there is no interaction. Therefore, their covariance is zero.

The negative exponential utility function implies risk aversion, with the individual preferring less uncertainty in wealth W. If W is N(mu, sigma^2) distributed, the expected utility E[U(W)] is influenced by the mean and variance of W. The individual maximizes E[U(W)] by choosing options that reduce variance while maintaining or increasing expected returns, adjusting their choice variable X to optimize mu = f(X) and sigma^2 = g(X). The optimal behavior involves trading off variance and expected return to maximize utility.

The variance of Y = exp(X1 + X2) can be calculated using the properties of log-normal distributions. Since X1 + X2 is normally distributed with mean (1 - 1) = 0 and variance 1 + 1 = 2, Y follows a log-normal distribution. The variance of Y, given the parameters, can be computed using Var(Y) = (exp(sigma^2) - 1) * exp(2mu + sigma^2), resulting in Var(Y) = (exp(2) - 1) * exp(0) = exp(2) - 1.

If Y = ln X is N(mu, sigma^2), then X is log-normally distributed and the density function is f_X(x) = (1/(x sigma sqrt(2pi))) * exp(-((ln x - mu)^2)/(2 sigma^2)) for x > 0. To find E[X^k], leverage the property that when X is log-normal, E[X^k] = exp(k mu + (k^2 sigma^2)/2). This uses the moment-generating characteristic of the log-normal distribution.

The moment generating function (MGF) M_X(t) of a random variable X is defined as E[e^(tX)]. For X as in question 4 (Bernoulli), M_X(t) = (1-p) + p * e^t. To derive the mean, differentiate M_X(t) with respect to t and evaluate at t=0, yielding E[X] = M_X'(0) = p. For variance, derive the second central moment M_X''(0) - (M_X'(0))^2 = p(1-p). Using MGF for distribution derivation highlights characteristic function analysis.

To find the joint discrete density of X1 and X2, we consider all possible outcomes when drawing two balls without replacement from an urn of four balls numbered 1 to 4. The joint discrete density function is determined by calculating the probability of each outcome where X1 is the first ball drawn and X2 is the maximum of the two numbers drawn. For example, if the first ball is 1 and the second is 2, then (X1, X2) = (1, 2) with probability 1/12, and so on for all possible draws, considering permutations of ball numbers.

To determine the efficiency level Z = Y/f(K, L), you compute E[Z] assuming X follows N(0,1). Since U = exp(-X^2), the mean efficiency is calculated by taking E[U] = E[exp(-X^2)]. Integration over X provides Z = 3^(-0.5) as derived from probability transformations and expectations.

For n independent random variables, each having a Bernoulli distribution with parameter p, the sum Y of the variables is binomially distributed with parameters n and p. The mean of Y is given by E(Y) = np, and the variance is given by Var(Y) = np(1 − p). This is derived because each Xi has expectation p and variance p(1 − p), and independence allows the sum of variances.

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