FINANCE MODELLING
31 May 2025 00:38
1. Company Valuation - Course Notes
Why Value a Company?
• Investors purchase shares based on expected future cash flows.
• The value of a company is derived from its future cash flow generation, which depends on:
○ Growth (Revenue, size)
○ Profitability (Cash conversion efficiency)
Calculating Free Cash Flow (FCF)
• NOPAT (Net Operating Profit After Tax): Measures operating profitability.
• Adjustments to NOPAT:
○ Add back Depreciation & Amortization
○ Adjust for changes in Working Capital
○ Subtract Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
○ Include Other operating assets/liabilities
Discounting FCF: DCF Method
• Unlevered Free Cash Flow (UFCF) is discounted to present using WACC.
• WACC = Weighted Average Cost of Capital: Combines cost of debt and cost of equity.
○ Cost of Debt: Interest rate on bonds or debt
○ Cost of Equity: Calculated using CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model)
Two-Stage DCF Approach
• Stage 1: Forecast UFCF for 5–10 years
• Stage 2: Estimate terminal value using perpetuity formula:
•
Enterprise Value to Equity Value
Enterprise Value=Present Value of UFCF+Non-operating AssetsEnterprise Value=Present Value of UFCF+Non-operating Assets Equity Value=Enterprise Value−Net Debt−Debt-
like ItemsEquity Value=Enterprise Value−Net Debt−Debt-like Items
2. Introduction to Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A)
Why Do M&A?
• Common motivations include:
○ Synergies
○ Acquiring IP (R&D, patents)
○ Distribution/channel expansion
○ Defensive moves (eliminate competition)
○ Personnel acquisition and product-line extension
M&A Deal Lifecycle
1. Teaser: A brief summary of the target company.
2. Confidentiality Agreement: Ensures strategic info isn’t leaked.
3. Information Memorandum: Detailed company profile.
4. Process Letter: Outlines transaction rules.
5. Due Diligence: Deep review of financial, legal, and tax aspects.
6. Binding Offers: Legally binding bids from buyers.
7. Short List: Selected buyers for final negotiation.
8. Negotiation: Discuss deal structure, earn-outs, adjustments.
9. Tender Offer: For public firms, open offer to shareholders.
Valuation in M&A
• Three main valuation methods:
1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
2. Trading Multiples
3. Transaction Multiples
• Valuation helps:
○ Determine fair price
○ Arrange financing
○ Target suitable buyers
Payment Methods
• Cash: Quick, no dilution, but may need external funding.
• Stock: No cash needed but dilutes ownership.
• Earn-Out: Conditional payments based on future performance.
Types of Buyers
Factor Financial Buyer Corporate Buyer
Focus ROI, cash flow Synergies, long-term growth
Investment Horizon 3–5 years Long-term
Leverage High Medium
Valuation Criteria Multiples, IRR Growth, synergies
FINANCE MODELLING Page 1
Valuation Criteria Multiples, IRR Growth, synergies
FINANCE MODELLING Page 2