Probability
[Link]
fent
ProbabilitysckiffiittIII
all possible outcomes of an event
Sample Space
samplespace
ex if your roll a dice
1345,6
relative probability of desireditem [Link]
balls Find the
expected
ex given to red balls 4 blue
a blue ball if you take ball
number of times you'llget a
another ball 50 times
then replace it with
P blue
of blue balls So 20times
estimate no
Probability of sample space
Note B C D
A
ex
1 45 cute 2 [Link] 21 get
Complement probability event A
complement of event A not A
mt
ex P blue balls P no blueballs
Emmet P seeds don'tgrow
seedsgrow
p
P that different ces P stere the
no greenballs
Eu or P
p
complement of A
A
PLAY
PLATT
I
I
PCS
diagram set A set
Possibility
ex outcomes are given
by adding set
A outcmt 5 5 6
set B outcome
seta 2,455,680B
l
set B 1 5,616
two events
used to represent
Two table
way
ex Pass Fail
Girls
P
P Piled If
PC b
event A Car event B P AUB
PCB P AMB
P AUB PCA
[Link] Eaen
events that cannot
Mutually exclusive events
time PCAMBI of
happen at the
same
PCAITPIBI
PCAUBJ [Link]
mutually exclusive
events
event A events P AMB
multiply
Probability of P A PCB
A and eventB
Tree diagram mutiplescenarios
5 balls red 4 balls blue you
take 2 balls
from the box
2ⁿᵈ ball
1ˢᵗ ball blue
Kred
e
lred red
exi a box contains cards 112,3 I pick
a
cards from the box
2ⁿᵈ card
1ˢᵗ card
I
3
ex wake up early then I take the bus
or wake up late then I take the bus
Time Bus
Yes
early
no
yes
iateK_ of items will never change
with replacement no
replacement no_ofitems decrease by
without
each step
Nate for spinner dice coin ms Probability doesn't
treat it as events that incander replacement
for people changes with each
probability
stage on the tree diagram
as events that doesnt include replacement
than 4 scenarios
for events that has more
less
complement in
the
check if you can get
number of scenarios
ex find Probability of getting different
colors
blue
blue e
green
red
green
blue
green
It is obvious that find the probability of
the same color instead
getting
calculate PC
at 1 P same
Then
[Link]
Addition
oTtgt
or
For tree diagrams
Mutiniatiaththesamoff
within different cases
Addition
nth trials
agent
with replacement
fbii añ
Princess
Eg
P fail 1 P success
usingtrialanderrorf
without replacement change not constat
P Eggs Is
write an equation for each trail
nth trail questions you're given the
probability that you'll succeed in the trail
number n and you're asked to get the value
of n
Case 1 Probabilities of success and fail
doesn't change
P fail 1 P success
Cn 11 times then succeed in the
you'll fail in
nth trail so
p fail d
P success P
use trail and error method for this equation
to find the value of n
case 2 Probabilities of success and fail
changes
Probability of success and fail decrease every
can't use the same equation
stage so we
used in case instead we write an
equation for each stage
ex
p success P fail
not success from 1sttraill
2
from 2ⁿᵈ
1
success trail
n 3
success from 3ʳᵈ tri
1 4 successfrom 4ᵗʰtraill
stop when you get the same probability as
of success in nth trail that
the probability
will be given in the question by that
you'll find the value of n