Scribd
Upload
25 views18 pages

Understanding Conditional Probability

The document explains the concept of probability, which quantifies the likelihood of outcomes in random experiments using values between 0 and 1. It introduces conditional probability, denoted as P(B|A), which represents the probability of event B occurring given that the outcome is within event A. Additionally, it highlights the significance of incorporating additional information into probability models.

Uploaded by

gholampour.me
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
25 views18 pages

Understanding Conditional Probability

The document explains the concept of probability, which quantifies the likelihood of outcomes in random experiments using values between 0 and 1. It introduces conditional probability, denoted as P(B|A), which represents the probability of event B occurring given that the outcome is within event A. Additionally, it highlights the significance of incorporating additional information into probability models.

Uploaded by

gholampour.me
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

1

2
Tree diagrams

3
4
5
6
Probability is used to quantify the likelihood, or chance, that an
outcome of a random experiment will occur.

The likelihood of an outcome is quantified by assigning a number


from the interval [0, 1] to the outcome (or a percentage from 0 to
100%)

 A probability of 0 indicates an outcome will not occur.

 A probability of 1 indicates that an outcome will occur with


certainty.

 Degree of belief

 Relative frequency

7
8
If the event E1 is contained in the event E2:

9
10
 A useful way to incorporate additional information into a
probability model is to assume that the outcome that will be
generated is a member of a given event, say A.
 The event A defines the conditions that the outcome is known
to satisfy.

Conditional probability:
The probability of an even B under the knowledge that the
outcome will be in event A
P(BA)
Conditional probability of B given A.

11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18

You might also like