FDI vs FII: Key Differences Explained
FDI vs FII: Key Differences Explained
Here are the questions neatly presented along with detailed answers:
Examples Building a factory, acquiring a business. Buying shares on the stock market.
Regulated by FDI policies and often Easier entry and exit, governed by
Regulations
requires government approval. SEBI (in India).
2. Compare and Contrast the Purchasing Power Parity & the Fisher Effect theories.
Economic Risk refers to the risk that a country’s economic conditions will adversely affect
the value of investments.
• Government Policies: Taxation, regulations, and trade barriers can impact foreign
investments.
• Market Stability: Economic instability can lead to capital flight and reduced investor
confidence.
• Managed Float System: India uses a managed floating exchange rate, where the
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) intervenes to curb volatility.
• Forex Reserves: India maintains strong forex reserves (over $600 billion), which
stabilizes the rupee.
• Rupee Performance: The INR has been relatively stable, despite global inflationary
pressures and geopolitical tensions.
• FDI/FII Flows: India continues to attract FDI due to economic reforms, while FII
remains sensitive to global interest rates and risk perception.
Question 5:
"Name the country where the following is a Direct Quote and find its Indirect Quote."
Given:
• Direct Quote: The exchange rate expressed in terms of the domestic currency per
unit of foreign currency.
e.g., INR 99.85 = GBP 1 is a direct quote in India, because it expresses how many Indian
Rupees one British Pound costs.
• Indirect Quote: The exchange rate expressed in terms of the foreign currency per
unit of domestic currency.
Final Answers:
Question 6
Calculate the 2 months forward, 3 months forward, and 4 months forward rates.
Question 7
Explain the concept of foreign currency derivatives being instruments of risk management.
Question 8
Explain the concepts of Direct & Indirect Quotes, Vehicle Currency & Cross currency rates.
Given Data:
• Spot bid: 60.50, Forward points bid: 0.10 → 60.50 + 0.10 = 60.60
• Spot ask: 60.60, Forward points ask: 0.20 → 60.60 + 0.20 = 60.80
2 Months Forward Rate: 60.60/60.80
Step 2: Calculate 3 Months Forward Rate
• Spot bid: 60.50, Forward points bid: 0.20 → 60.50 + 0.20 = 60.70
• Spot ask: 60.60, Forward points ask: 0.10 → 60.60 + 0.10 = 60.70
3 Months Forward Rate: 60.70/60.70
• Spot bid: 60.50, Forward points bid: 0.25 → 60.50 + 0.25 = 60.75
• Spot ask: 60.60, Forward points ask: 0.30 → 60.60 + 0.30 = 60.90
4 Months Forward Rate: 60.75/60.90
• Direct Quote: The price of one unit of foreign currency in terms of the domestic
currency. For an Indian resident, a direct quote for USD would be INR/USD, e.g.,
60.50 INR per 1 USD (as given in the spot rate).
• Indirect Quote: The price of one unit of domestic currency in terms of the foreign
currency. Using the same example, an indirect quote would be USD/INR, e.g., 1 INR =
1/60.50 USD ≈ 0.0165 USD.
2. Vehicle Currency:
A vehicle currency is a widely accepted currency used as an intermediary for exchange
between two other currencies. The US Dollar (USD) is the most common vehicle currency.
For example, if you want to exchange INR for JPY, you might first convert INR to USD, then
USD to JPY, because USD is widely traded and accepted.
Foreign currency derivatives are financial contracts whose value is derived from the
exchange rate of two currencies. They are widely used as tools for managing risks associated
with fluctuations in exchange rates, particularly for businesses, investors, and financial
institutions engaged in international trade or investment. Below is an explanation of how
they serve as risk management instruments:
• Futures: Similar to forwards but standardized and traded on exchanges. They provide
liquidity and flexibility but may not perfectly match the hedger’s needs due to
standardization.
• Options: Give the holder the right (but not the obligation) to buy or sell a currency at
a specific rate. This protects against unfavorable movements while allowing gains
from favorable ones. For example, a call option on USD allows the buyer to purchase
USD at a fixed rate, protecting against INR depreciation.
Content:
In the late 1990s, Argentina implemented a currency peg, linking the Argentine peso to the
US dollar at a fixed exchange rate of 1:1. This policy, known as the Convertibility Plan,
aimed to control hyperinflation and restore confidence in the Argentine economy. However,
the fixed exchange rate proved unsustainable, leading to a severe crisis in 2001.
The crisis was triggered by a combination of factors. Firstly, Argentina’s economy was
burdened with high levels of debt, both domestically and internationally. Secondly, the
country experienced a prolonged recession, exacerbated by the collapse of neighboring
economies in the wake of the Asian financial crisis. Thirdly, the fixed exchange rate limited
Argentina’s ability to adjust its monetary policy to address economic challenges.
As the economy faltered, investors began to doubt Argentina’s ability to maintain the
currency peg. Speculators started selling pesos, putting downward pressure on the currency.
In a desperate attempt to defend the peg, the Argentine government implemented capital
controls and drained its foreign exchange reserves. However, these measures only worsened
the situation, leading to widespread panic and social unrest.
In December 2001, Argentina defaulted on its sovereign debt, marking the largest default in
history at the time. The government eventually abandoned the currency peg, allowing the
peso to float freely. Consequently, the peso depreciated sharply, causing inflation to soar and
wiping out the savings of millions of Argentines.
Question:
Examine the main factors contributing to the Argentine Peso Crisis of 2001 and comment on
the same.
Solution to Question 9
Part 1: Examine the Main Factors Contributing to the Argentine Peso Crisis of 2001
The Argentine Peso Crisis of 2001 was a result of multiple interconnected factors that made
the fixed exchange rate regime unsustainable. These factors are:
PYQ 2
Instruction: Attempt any four questions out of five. Each question carries 5 marks.
(Note: Since you’ve requested to attempt all, I’ll solve all five questions.)
Question 1
Question 2
Question 3
Name five Indian companies who have issued ADRs since the beginning of FY 2017-18.
Question 4
Briefly explain the concept in relation to the theory of Interest-rate Parity with adequate
example(s).
Question 5
Solutions
1. Access to Global Capital Markets: IFM enables MNCs to raise funds in international
markets where capital may be cheaper or more accessible. For example, an MNC can
issue bonds in Europe at lower interest rates than in its home country.
2. Risk Diversification: Operating in multiple countries reduces exposure to country-
specific risks (e.g., economic downturns, political instability). An MNC with
operations in both the US and Asia can offset losses in one region with gains in
another.
3. Currency Risk Management: IFM helps MNCs manage foreign exchange risk through
hedging tools like forwards and options. For instance, a US-based MNC expecting
payments in EUR can use a forward contract to lock in the exchange rate, protecting
against EUR depreciation.
4. Optimizing Cash Flows: IFM allows MNCs to manage cash flows efficiently across
subsidiaries. For example, an MNC can use transfer pricing or lead/lag payments to
shift funds to subsidiaries in need, minimizing tax liabilities and maximizing liquidity.
Final Answer: IFM benefits an MNC by providing access to global capital, diversifying risks,
managing currency exposure, optimizing cash flows, and exploiting market opportunities,
ensuring financial stability and growth.
These terms refer to how exchange rates are quoted in the foreign exchange market:
• American Quote (Direct Quote): This is the amount of domestic currency required to
buy one unit of foreign currency. For a US resident, an American quote for the euro
(EUR) would be expressed as USD/EUR.
Example: If the exchange rate is 1.20 USD/EUR, it means 1 EUR costs 1.20 USD.
• European Quote (Indirect Quote): This is the amount of foreign currency required to
buy one unit of domestic currency. For a US resident, a European quote for the euro
would be expressed as EUR/USD.
Example: If the exchange rate is 0.8333 EUR/USD, it means 1 USD buys 0.8333 EUR
(this is the reciprocal of the American quote: 1 ÷ 1.20 = 0.8333).
Final Answer: An American quote is the domestic currency per unit of foreign currency (e.g.,
1.20 USD/EUR), while a European quote is the foreign currency per unit of domestic
currency (e.g., 0.8333 EUR/USD).
Solution to Question 3: Five Indian Companies That Issued ADRs Since FY 2017-18
American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) allow US investors to buy shares of foreign companies.
Indian companies have been issuing ADRs for years, but the question asks for those that
issued ADRs starting from FY 2017-18 (April 2017 onward). Based on my knowledge:
1. Wipro Limited: Wipro has had an ADR program since 2000, but it continued to be
active in the US market during and after FY 2017-18.
2. Infosys Limited: Infosys, with an existing ADR program since 1999, remained active in
issuing ADRs post-2017.
3. ICICI Bank: ICICI Bank’s ADR program, ongoing since 2000, was active during this
period.
4. HDFC Bank: HDFC Bank has had an ADR program since 2001 and continued to
maintain it after 2017.
5. Tata Motors: Tata Motors, with an ADR program since 2004, was also active in the US
market during this timeframe.
Note: The question asks for companies that “issued ADRs since the beginning of FY 2017-
18,” which could imply new issuances. However, no major Indian companies launched new
ADR programs after April 2017, as the trend shifted toward other instruments like global
bonds. The companies listed above had existing ADR programs that remained active, which
aligns with the question’s intent in an academic context.
Final Answer: Five Indian companies with active ADRs since FY 2017-18 are Wipro, Infosys,
ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, and Tata Motors.
Interest-Rate Parity (IRP): IRP is a theory in international finance that links interest rates,
spot exchange rates, and forward exchange rates. It states that the difference in interest
rates between two countries should equal the difference between the spot and forward
exchange rates, ensuring no arbitrage opportunities.
Final Answer: Interest-rate parity links interest rates and exchange rates, ensuring no
arbitrage. For example, with a spot rate of 75 USD/INR, a US interest rate of 2%, and an
Indian rate of 6%, the 1-year forward rate is 72.17 INR/USD, reflecting the interest rate
differential.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) plays a critical role in regulating and stabilizing India’s foreign
exchange market. Its major roles are:
1. Exchange Rate Management: The RBI intervenes in the forex market to manage the
INR’s value, ensuring stability. For example, if the INR depreciates sharply, the RBI
may sell USD from its reserves to support the INR.
2. Regulation of Forex Transactions: The RBI sets guidelines under the Foreign
Exchange Management Act (FEMA) to control forex transactions, such as limits on
remittances and foreign investments, ensuring compliance and preventing misuse.
3. Maintaining Forex Reserves: The RBI maintains foreign exchange reserves to meet
external obligations and stabilize the INR during crises. For instance, it builds reserves
during periods of INR appreciation to use during depreciation.
4. Facilitating External Trade and Payments: The RBI ensures smooth forex operations
for trade by licensing authorized dealers (banks) to handle forex transactions,
supporting importers and exporters.
5. Controlling Speculation: The RBI monitors speculative activities in the forex market
and may impose restrictions, such as margin requirements on currency derivatives,
to prevent excessive volatility.
Final Answer: The RBI manages exchange rates, regulates forex transactions, maintains
reserves, facilitates trade, and controls speculation to ensure stability in India’s foreign
exchange market.
Instruction: Attempt any two questions out of three. Each question carries 8 marks.
(Note: As requested, I’ll solve all three questions.)
Question 6
Question 7
(a) Given the following quotations from London, calculate direct quotes:
USD/GBP = 1.3000/1.3050, EUR/GBP = 1.1720/1.1770.
(b) Find the possible cross rates from the following quotes:
GBP/USD = 0.7663, GBP/EUR = 0.8496.
Question 8
Suppose the US and Canada produce only one commodity, i.e., wheat. If the price of wheat
per unit is $3.25 in the US and C$4.10 in Canada:
(a) Calculate the $:C$ spot rate, according to the law of one price.
(b) If wheat price is expected to rise to $3.35 in the US and C$4.30 in Canada, then 1-year
$:C$ forward rate should be?
Question 9
A Swiss exporter expects to receive $1,000,000 after 3 months. The exporter has collected
the following information:
Solutions
• In Germany, sell EUR for 73.10 INR (Deutsche Bank bid: 1 ÷ 0.01368).
Final Answer:
(a) Currency arbitrage is profiting from exchange rate differences across markets.
(b) Buy EUR in India for 72.20 INR, sell in Germany for 73.10 INR, earning 0.90 INR profit per
EUR.
These are already direct quotes for GBP (amount of foreign currency per GBP):
Note: The question asks for direct quotes, and since these quotes are already in the form of
foreign currency per GBP (direct for a UK resident), no further calculation is needed.
Final Answer:
(a) Direct quotes: USD/GBP = 1.3000/1.3050, EUR/GBP = 1.1720/1.1770.
(b) Cross rates: USD/EUR = 1.1088, EUR/USD = 0.9020.
• Law of one price: The price of a commodity should be the same globally when
adjusted for exchange rates.
• USD/CAD spot rate = Price in USD ÷ Price in CAD = 3.25 ÷ 4.10 = 0.7927.
Final Answer:
(a) Spot rate: USD/CAD = 0.7927.
(b) 1-year forward rate: USD/CAD = 0.7791.
• Risk Mitigation: Protects against sudden market shocks, ensuring financial stability.
(c) Net Position After Hedging (Money Market vs. Forward Market):
• Given Data:
Final Answer:
(a) Hedging offsets financial risks by taking counterbalancing positions.
(b) Non-financial firms hedge forex exposure for stability, predictability, and risk mitigation.
(c) Forward market: 1,520,000 SrF; Money market: 1,523,772 SrF.
INTERNAL EXAM
1(a)
1(b)
2(a)
2(b)
Explain the concepts of Direct and Indirect Exchange Rates with examples. Suppose a
company operates internationally and made a profit of 20 million euros. Convert this profit,
10 million yen, and 20 bitcoins. Given exchange rates:
2(c)
2(d)
Identify names of the respective countries where the following is a direct quote and find the
Indirect quote for that country:
2(e)
Note: This appears incomplete as it only lists exchange rates (INR 99.85 = GBP 1, GBP 1 =
USD 1.6549, INR 60.16 = USD 1) without a question. Since it’s labeled as a separate part, I’ll
assume it’s a continuation of 2(d) and focus on 2(a) to 2(d) unless further clarification is
provided.
Solutions
The global business environment significantly influences international finance by shaping the
conditions under which financial transactions occur across borders. It encompasses
economic, political, legal, cultural, and technological factors that affect exchange rates,
investment decisions, and risk management for multinational corporations and
governments.
Economically, global growth rates, inflation, and interest rate differentials drive capital flows
and exchange rate fluctuations. For instance, if the US Federal Reserve raises interest rates,
the USD often strengthens, attracting foreign investment and impacting international
borrowing costs. Political stability is equally critical; countries with stable governments, like
Germany, are seen as safe havens, reducing currency risk, while political turmoil, as seen in
Venezuela, can lead to currency devaluation and capital flight. Legal frameworks, including
trade agreements and tax policies, also influence financial strategies. For example, favorable
trade agreements like the USMCA can boost cross-border investments by reducing tariffs.
Cultural factors affect consumer behavior and market entry strategies, impacting financial
planning. A company entering Japan must adapt to local business practices, influencing its
financial operations. Technological advancements, such as fintech innovations, have
revolutionized international finance by enabling faster cross-border payments and real-time
currency hedging, reducing transaction costs and risks.
The global business environment also affects risk management in international finance.
Currency volatility, driven by global events like Brexit, requires firms to use hedging tools like
forwards or options to mitigate losses. Additionally, understanding the global environment
helps firms exploit opportunities, such as arbitrage or accessing cheaper capital in foreign
markets.
In summary, the global business environment shapes the strategies and risks in international
finance by influencing economic conditions, political stability, legal frameworks, cultural
norms, and technological advancements, ensuring firms can navigate challenges and
capitalize on global opportunities effectively.
Word Count: 275
Q2(b): Concepts of Direct and Indirect Exchange Rates, and Profit Conversion (Within 300
Words)
Profit Conversion:
Given:
o 1 EUR = 0.93 USD (given as 1 USD = 0.93 EUR, but interpreting as direct quote
for consistency).
Final Answer:
Direct rate: domestic per foreign unit (e.g., 0.93 USD/EUR); Indirect: foreign per domestic
(e.g., 1.0753 EUR/USD). Total profit: 22,572,900 USD.
Word Count: 264
Q2(c): Concept and Importance of Sovereign Rating of Countries (Within 300 Words)
In summary, sovereign ratings assess a country’s credit risk, influencing investor confidence,
borrowing costs, market access, FDI, and currency stability, while guiding policymakers
toward sustainable economic practices.
Word Count: 268
Q2(d): Identify Countries and Calculate Indirect Quotes (Within 300 Words)
• INR 99.85 = GBP 1: This is a direct quote for India (INR per GBP). The country is India.
• GBP 1 = USD 1.6549: This is a direct quote for the UK (GBP per USD). The country is
the UK.
• INR 60.16 = USD 1: This is a direct quote for India (INR per USD). The country is India.
Summary:
A direct quote expresses the domestic currency per unit of foreign currency for a resident of
that country, while an indirect quote expresses the foreign currency per unit of domestic
currency. For India, INR 99.85/GBP and INR 60.16/USD are direct quotes, with indirect
quotes as 0.010015 GBP/INR and 0.01662 USD/INR, respectively. For the UK, GBP 1/USD
1.6549 is a direct quote, with the indirect quote as 0.6043 GBP/USD. These conversions help
in understanding exchange rates from the perspective of the domestic currency, aiding in
international financial transactions and comparisons.
• Indirect quote: 1 USD = 1 ÷ 1.08 = 0.9259 EUR (1 US dollar buys 0.9259 euros).
Final Answer:
A direct exchange rate is the domestic currency per unit of foreign currency (e.g., 1 USD =
83.50 INR for India). An indirect exchange rate is the foreign currency per unit of domestic
currency (e.g., 1 INR = 0.01198 USD).
TEACHER’S NOTE
Determinants of Exchange Rates – Simplified Explanation
Exchange rates are influenced by several key factors, each affecting the demand and supply
of a currency. Here’s a clearer breakdown of the determinants mentioned in the image:
Key Takeaways:
1. Stronger Dollar (fewer dollars per pound) → Cheaper British goods for Americans
→ Higher demand for pounds.
2. Weaker Dollar (more dollars per pound) → Cheaper U.S. goods for the British
→ Higher supply of pounds.
3. Exchange rates adjust based on trade flows, investment, and speculation.
To find the GBP/AUD exchange rate (how many Australian dollars (AUD) one British pound
(GBP) can buy), we'll use the given GBP/USD and AUD/USD rates. Here's the step-by-step
process:
Given Data:
Currency Pair Bid Ask
Given:
4. Rounding Rule: Last two digits in multiples of 25 paise (i.e., 0.25, 0.50, 0.75).
Since you are importing (buying USD), the bank will quote its selling rate (Ask).
45.860045.8600
45.8600+0.5450=46.4050
0.125%×46.4050=0.0580
46.4050+0.0580=46.4630
o 46.4630 → The last two digits (0.63) must be rounded to the nearest 0.25.
100,000×46.4750=Rs. 4,647,500
Final Answer:
1. EUR/USD:
2. USD/AUD:
• Rule:
o If forward margins increase (higher bid/ask than spot), the foreign currency
(USD) is at a premium.
• Observation:
o Forward margins are positive and rising (e.g., 1-month: 28/29 → 6-month:
137/140).
Reason:
The USD is more expensive in the future, indicating higher demand or lower supply of USD
in forward markets.
Forward rates are derived by adding the forward margins to the spot rate (since USD is at a
premium).
Formula:
Forward Bid=Spot Bid+Forward Bid Margin (in INR)Forward Bid=Spot Bid+Forward Bid Mar
gin (in INR)Forward Ask=Spot Ask+Forward Ask Margin (in INR)Forward Ask=Spot Ask+For
ward Ask Margin (in INR)
Calculations:
1. 1-Month Forward:
o Bid: 64.91+0.28=65.19
o Ask: 64.92+0.29=65.21
o Rate: 65.19/65.21
2. 2-Months Forward:
o Bid: 64.91+0.53=65.44
o Ask: 64.92+0.55=65.47
o Rate: 65.44/65.47
3. 3-Months Forward:
o Bid: 64.91+0.75=65.66
o Ask: 64.92+0.77=65.69
o Rate: 65.66/65.69
4. 6-Months Forward:
o Bid: 64.91+1.37=66.28
o Ask: 64.92+1.40=66.32
o Rate: 66.28/66.32
Key Takeaways:
1. USD is at a Premium:
o Forward rates are higher than spot rates, indicating INR depreciation
expectations.
o Longer tenures have larger spreads (e.g., 6-month: 4 paise vs. 1-month: 2
paise), reflecting higher uncertainty.
o An Indian importer paying USD in 6 months will pay Rs. 66.32 per USD (vs.
spot Rs. 64.92), increasing costs.
o Exporters receiving USD in the future gain from higher INR/USD rates
QUESTION 2:
1. Numerator:
1.40×0.06×90=7.561.40×0.06×90=7.56
2. Denominator:
360360
Interpretation:
o This means the forward rate adjusts the spot rate by 0.0021 (since 1 point =
0.0001).
• If the interest rate differential favors the Euro (EUR) (higher interest rates in the
Eurozone), the Euro trades at a forward premium.
1.40+0.0021=1.40211.40+0.0021=1.4021
(Note: If the USD had higher interest rates, the Euro would trade at a discount, and points
would be subtracted.)
Key Takeaways:
2. Practical Use:
3. Hedging Implication:
JPY/INR=USD/INRUSD/JPYJPY/INR=USD/JPYUSD/INR
This works because the USD cancels out in the numerator and denominator.
JPY/INR=45.17112.35=0.40204JPY/INR=112.3545.17=0.40204
Interpretation:
This confirms that 1 USD = 45.17 INR, aligning with the given data
Q. Calculate the Inverse Quote, Mid Rate, Spread and Spread percentage from the following
data –
A. EUR/USD = 1.5610/1.5700
(Where 1.5610 is the Bid price and 1.5700 is the Ask price)
2. Mid Rate:
3. Spread:
4. Spread Percentage:
[Link] at 2 Levels
-major banks
[Link] Level
-business customers
[Link] Market:
-immediate transaction
[Link] Market:
1. Spot Market
[Link] banks
[Link]
[Link] Market
[Link]
[Link]
[Link]
[Link]
[Link] TRADING
[Link] Trading
[Link]:
[Link] liquidity
[Link] QUOTATIONS
[Link]
[Link] price
b.30-day
c.90-day
d.180-day
[Link] of Quotation
example: $.5838/dm
[Link] terms
example: Peso1.713/$
Direct quote
EXAMPLE:dm0.25/FF
[Link] Costs
1. Bid-Ask Spread
[Link] Arbitrage
[Link] cross rates differ from one financial center to another, and profit opportunities exist.
[Link] Risk
[Link] = middlemen
premium
2.)Bankers widen bid-ask spread
[Link]
2. Purpose of a Forward:
Hedging
1. Two Methods:
Direct/American Quotation
The most common way of stating a foreign exchange quotation is in terms of the number of
units of home Currency needed to buy one unit of foreign Currency. This is known as the
Direct Quote.
Direct Quotations are also known as American quotes. The prices of Currency Futures
Contracts traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange are quoted using the Direct method.
Direct exchange rate quotations are most frequently used by banks in dealing with their non-
bank customers.
India quotes its exchange rates in terms of the amount of rupees that can be exchanged for
one unit of foreign Currency. For example, if the Indian rupee is the home Currency and the
foreign Currency is the dollar, then the exchange rate between the rupee and the dollar
might be stated as:
$ 1/` 83.1100
This means that for one Dollar, one can buy 83.1100 Rupees.
If the home Currency is dollar, a Direct quotation of the exchange rate between dollar and
the Euro is:
1.0/$1.32421,
Indirect/European Quotation
Indirect quotations refer to the Price of foreign Currency in terms of one unit of home
Currency.
In this method, also known as the European Terms, the rate is quoted in terms of the
number of units of the foreign Currency for one unit of the domestic Currency.
For example, an Indirect quotation, for the exchange rate between the dollar and the rupee
will be ` 1/$.0201572/, indicating that one rupee can purchase .0202572 dollars.
Both Direct and Indirect quotes are in use. In the US, it is common to use the Direct Quote
for domestic business. For international business, banks generally use European Terms.
Transactions where the exchange of currencies takes place two days after the date of the
contact are known as the Spot transactions. The rate of exchange effective for the spot
transaction is known as the spot rate and the market for such transactions is known as the
spot market.
This requires the immediate delivery or exchange of currencies on the spot i.e. within 48
hours. For instance, if the contract is made on Monday, the delivery should take place on
Wednesday. If Wednesday is a holiday, the delivery will take place on the next day, i.e.,
Thursday.
Rupee payment is also made on the same day the foreign currency is received. It is
estimated that about 90 per cent of spot transactions are carried out exclusively for banks.
The rest are meant for covering the orders of the clients of banks, which are essentially
enterprises. This market functions continuously, round the clock. As a matter of fact, certain
length of time is necessary for completing the orders of payment and accounting operations
due to time differences between different time zones across the globe.
According to a Bank of International Settlements (BIS) estimate, the daily volume of spot
exchange transactions is about 50 per cent of the total transactions of exchange markets.
London market is the first market of the world not only in terms of the volume but also in
terms of diversity of currencies traded. The New York market trades, by and large, US Dollar
(75 per cent of the total), Euro, Yen, British Pound, Swiss Franc, Canadian Dollar, Australian
and New Zealand Dollar only.
Currency forward market involves transactions in which the exchange of currencies takes
places at a specified future date, subsequent to the spot date known as a forward
transaction. The forward transaction can be for delivery at a pre-agreed future point in time
at a specified price.
So we can say it is an agreement between two parties, requiring the delivery at some
specified future date of a specified amount of foreign currency by one of the parties,
against payment in domestic currency to the other party, at the price agreed upon in the
contract. The rate of exchange applicable to the forward contract is called the forward
exchange rate and the market for forward transactions is known as the forward market.
Forward market transactions are meant to be settled on a future date as specified in the
contract. Though forward rates are quoted just like spot rates, but actual delivery of
currencies takes place much later, on a date in future.
Forward exchange facilities, obviously, are of immense help to exporters and importers as
they can cover the risks arising out of exchange rate fluctuations by entering into an
appropriate forward exchange contract.
Forward Margin/Swap points: With reference to its relationship with spot rate, the forward
rate may be at par, discount or premium.
Forward rate may be the same as the spot rate for the currency. Then it is said to be ‘at par‘
with the spot rate. But this rarely happens. More often the forward rate for a currency may
be costlier or cheaper than its spot rate. The difference between the forward rate and the
spot rate is known as the forward margin or swap points.
If the forward margin is at premium, the foreign currency will be costlier under forward rate
than under the spot rate. The forward rate for a currency, say the dollar, is said to be at
premium with respect to the spot rate when one dollar buys more units of another
currency, say rupee, in the forward than in the spot rate on a per annum basis.
If the forward margin is at discount, the foreign currency will be cheaper for forward delivery
than for spot delivery. The forward rate for a currency, say the dollar, is said to be at
discount with respect to the spot rate when one dollar buys fewer rupees in the forward
than in the spot [Link] discount is also usually expressed as a percentage deviation
from the spot rate on a per annum basis.
Under direct quotation, premium is added to spot rate to arrive at the forward rate. This is
done for both purchase and sale transactions. Discount is deducted from the spot rate to
arrive at the forward rate.
The forward exchange rate is determined mostly be the demand for and supply of forward
exchange. Naturally when the demand for forward exchange exceeds its supply, the forward
rate will be quoted at a premium and conversely, when the supply of forward exchange
exceeds the demand for it, the rate will be quoted at discount. When the supply is
equivalent to the demand for forward exchange, the forward rate will tend to be at par.
Futures, Options and Swaps are called derivatives because they derive their value from the
underlying exchange rates.
Unlike forward contracts which are custom made, a future contract has a standardized
contract size and maturity date/s. Futures can traded only on an organized exchange and
they are traded competitively. Margins are not required in respect of a forward contract but
margins are required from all participants in the futures market and an initial margin must
be deposited into a collateral account to establish a future position.
Options: An option is a contract or financial instrument that gives holder the right, not the
obligation, to sell or buy a given quantity of an asset as a specified price at a specified future
date. An option to buy the underlying asset is known as a call option and an option to sell
the underlying asset is known as a put option. Buying or selling the underlying asset via the
option is known as exercising the option. The stated price paid (or received) is known as the
exercise or strike price. The buyer of an option is known as the holder of the option or long
position and the seller of an option is known as the writer of the option, or the short
position. The price for the option is known as premium.
Types of options: With reference to their exercise characteristics, there are two types of
options, American and European.
An European option can is exercised only at the maturity or expiration date of the contract,
whereas an American option can be exercised at any time during the contract.
Currency Options are derivative instruments that give a choice to a foreign exchange market
operator to buy or sell a foreign currency on or up to a date (maturity date) at a specified
rate (strike price).
Swaps, as the term suggests, are simply the instruments that permit exchange of two
streams of cashflows in two different currencies. The term swap in currency market terms
can be understood as simultaneous sale of spot currency for the forward purchase of the
same currencyor the purchase of spot for the forward sale of the same currency. The spot is
swapped against forward.
Arbitrage
Arbitrage is the simultaneous buying and selling of foreign currencies with intention of
making profits from the difference between the exchange rate prevailing at the same time in
different markets
Dealersare basically involved in buying currencies when they are low and selling them when
they are high.
Dealers operations are wholesaleand majority of their transactions are interbank in nature
although, once in a while, they may deal with corporates and central banks. They have low
transaction costs as well as thin spreads which reflect their long experience in exchange risk
management as well as the intense competition among banks.
Dealers at the retaillevel cater to needs of customers willing to buy or sell foreign exchange
for education, travel and tourism purposes. The spread is wide in these transactions and this
constitutes a very small portion of total trade.
Exchange brokers/ Brokers: Are not authorized to take a position on the market. Their job is
to find a buyer and a seller for the same amount for the given currencies. Their
remuneration is in the form of brokerage. They are constantly in liaison with banks and in
search of counterparties.
A large portion of foreign exchange transactions is conducted through brokers. While they
tend to specialize in certain currencies, they virtually handle all major currencies. Brokers
exist because they lower the dealers' costs, reduce their risks and provide anonymity. In
interbank trade, brokers charge a small commission of around 0.01 per cent of the
transaction amount. In illiquid currency dealings, they charge higher commissions. Payment
of commission is split between trading parties. Banks are able to avoid undesirable positions
with the help of brokers.
In India, banks may deal directly or through recognized exchange brokers. Accredited
exchange brokers are permitted to contract exchange business on behalf of authorized
dealers in foreign exchange only upon the understanding that they will conform to the rates,
rules and conditions laid down by the Foreign Exchanges Dealers ‘Association of India’
(FEDAI). All contracts must bear the clause subject to the Rules and Regulations of the
FEDAI.
Arbitrageursmake gains by discovering price discrepancies that allow them to buy cheap and
sell dear. Their operations are risk-free, in a free and open market, the scope for currency
arbitrage tends to be low and it is, by and large, accessible only to dealer banks. Unlike
arbitrageurs, speculators expose themselves to risk. Speculationgives rise to financial
transactions that develop when an individual's expectations differ from the expectations of
the market. Speculators transact in foreign exchange primarily because of an anticipated but
uncertain gain as a result of an exchange rate change. An open position denominated in
foreign currency constitutes speculation. Banks or corporates, when they accept either a net
asset or a net liability in foreign currency, are indulging in speculation.
Speculators are classified as bulls and bears. A bull expects a currency to become more
expensive in the future. He buys the currency either Spot or Forward today in the belief that
he can sell it at a higher price in the future. Bulls take a long position in the particular
currency.A bear expects a particular currency to become cheaper in the future. He sells either
Spot or Forward today in the hope of buying it back at a cheaper rate in the future. Bears
take a short position on a particular currency.
Central Banks participate to control their money supply, interest rate and inflation in order
to stabilize the home money market. Central banks intervene in the market to reduce
fluctuations of the domestic currency and to ensure an exchange rate compatible with the
requirements of the national economy. Their objective is not to make profit out of these
interventions but to influence the value of national currency in the interest of country's
economic well being. For example, if rupee shows signs of depreciating, central bank may
release (sell) a certain amount of foreign currency. This increased supply of foreign currency
will halt the depreciation of rupee. The reverse operation may be done to stop rupee from
appreciation.
Commercial banks are intermediaries between seekers and suppliers of currency. The role of
banks is to enable their clients to change one currency into another. Also, they operate on
these markets to make a profit through speculation and the process of arbitrage. Big
commercial banks serve as market-makers. They simultaneously quote, bid and ask prices,
indicating their willingness to buy and sell foreign currencies at quoted rates.
The purchases and sales by large commercial banks seldom match, leading to large variation
in their holdings of foreign currencies exposing them to exchange risk. When they assume
the risk deliberately, they act as speculators. However, banks prefer to keep their exposure
low and not get into unduly large speculations. Banks communicate between themselves
through a network of telephones, faxes and the means of communications supplied by
Reuters, Telerate, Bloomberg etc. Commercial banks also participate on behalf of corporates
who trade with other corporates based out of different countries.
SETTLEMENT OFTRANSACTIONS
The SWIFT System enables the member banks to transact among themselves quickly (i)
international payments (ii) Statements (iii) other messages connected with international
banking. Transmission of messages takes place within seconds, and therefore this method is
economical as well as time saving. Selected banks in India have become members of SWIFT
like Bank of India, Allahabad Bank, Andhra Bank, Bank of Baroda, Bank of Maharashtra,
CanaraBank, Central Bank of India, Dena Bank, Indian Bank, HDFC Bank Limited, Export
Import Bank of India, ICICI Bank Limited, Reserve Bank of India, State Bank of India,
Syndicate Bank, UCO Band, Yes Bank Limited etc.. The regional processing centre is situated
at Mumbai.
CHIPS: CHIPS stands for Clearing House Interbank Payment [Link] is an electronic
payment system owned by 12 private commercial banks constituting the New York Clearing
House Association. A CHIP began its operations in 1971 and has grown to be the world‘s
largest payment system. Foreign exchange and Euro dollar transactions are settled through
CHIPS. It provides the mechanism for settlement every day of payment and receipts of
numerous dollar transactions among member banks at New York, without the need for
physical exchange of cheques/funds for each such transaction.
Balance of Payments: Balance of Payments represents the demand for and supply of
foreign exchange which ultimately determine the value of the currency. Exports, both visible
and invisible, represent the supply side for foreign exchange. Imports, visible and invisible,
create demand for foreign exchange. Put differently, export from the country creates
demand for the currency of the country in the foreign exchange market. Conversely,
imports into the country will increase the supply of the currency of the country in the
foreign exchange market.
Inflation: Inflation in the country would increase the domestic prices of the commodities.
With increase in prices exports may dwindle because the price may not be competitive. With
the decrease in exports the demand for the currency would also decline;this in turn would
result in the decline of external value of the currency. It may be noted that unit is the
relative rate of inflation in the two countries that cause changes in exchange rates.
If, for instance, both India and the USA experience 10% inflation, the exchange rate between
rupee and dollar will remain the same. If inflation in India is 15% and in the USA it is 10%,
the increase in prices would be higher in India than it is in the USA. Therefore, the rupee will
depreciate in value relative to US dollar.
Interest rate: The interest rate has a great influence on the short –term movement of
capital. When the interest rate of a country rises, it attracts short term funds from other
countries. This would increase the demand for the currency of the home country and hence
its value. Rising of interest rate may be adopted by a country due to tight money conditions
or as a deliberate attempt to attract foreign investment. The effect of an increase in interest
rate is to strengthen the currency of the country through larger inflow of investment and
reduction in the outflow of investments by the residents of the country.
Provision of Hedging Facilities: The other important function of the foreign exchange
market is to provide hedging facilities. Hedging refers to covering of foreign trade risks, and
it provides a mechanism to exporters and importers to guard themselves against losses
arising from fluctuations in exchange rates.
On March 17, 2025, the People's Bank of China suddenly announced that the digital RMB
(Renminbi, Chinese Yuan) cross-border settlement system will be fully connected to the ten
ASEAN countries and six Middle Eastern countries, which means that 38% of the world's
trade volume will bypass the SWIFT system dominated by the US dollar and directly enter
the "digital RMB moment". This financial game, which The Economist called the "Bretton
Woods System 2.0 Outpost Battle", is rewriting the underlying code of the global economy
with blockchain technology.
While the SWIFT system is still struggling with the 3-5 day delay in cross-border payments,
the digital currency bridge developed by China has compressed the clearing speed to 7
seconds. In the first test between Hong Kong and Abu Dhabi, a company paid a Middle
Eastern supplier through digital RMB. The funds no longer went through six intermediary
banks, but were received in real time through a distributed ledger, and the handling fee
dropped by 98%. This "lightning payment" capability makes the traditional clearing system
dominated by the US dollar instantly look clumsy.
What makes the West even more frightened is the technical moat of China's digital currency.
The blockchain technology used by the digital RMB not only makes transactions traceable,
but also automatically enforces anti-money laundering rules. In the China-Indonesia "Two
Countries, Two Parks" project, Industrial Bank used digital RMB to complete the first cross-
border payment, which took only 8 seconds from order confirmation to funds arrival, 100
times more efficient than traditional methods. This technical advantage has enabled 23
central banks around the world to actively join the digital currency bridge test, among which
Middle Eastern energy traders have reduced settlement costs by 75%.
The deep impact of this technological revolution lies in the reconstruction of financial
sovereignty. When the United States tried to sanction Iran with SWIFT, China had already
built a closed loop of RMB payments in Southeast Asia. Data shows that the cross-border
RMB settlement volume of ASEAN countries exceeded 5.8 trillion yuan in 2024, an increase
of 120% over 2021. Six countries including Malaysia and Singapore have included RMB in
their foreign exchange reserves, and Thailand has completed the first oil settlement with
digital RMB. This wave of "de-dollarization" made the Bank for International Settlements
exclaim: "China is defining the rules of the game in the era of digital currency."
But what really shocked the world was China's strategic layout. Digital RMB is not only a
payment tool, but also a technical carrier of the "Belt and Road" strategy. In projects such as
the China-Laos Railway and the Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway, the digital RMB is
deeply integrated with Beidou navigation and quantum communication to build a "Digital
Silk Road". When European car companies use digital RMB to settle freight through the
Arctic route, China is using blockchain technology to increase trade efficiency by 400%. This
virtual-real strategy makes the US dollar hegemony feel a systemic threat for the first time.
Today, 87% of countries in the world have completed the adaptation of the digital RMB
system, and the scale of cross-border payments has exceeded 1.2 trillion US dollars. While
the United States is still debating whether digital currency threatens the status of the US
dollar, China has quietly built a digital payment network covering 200 countries. This silent
financial revolution is not only about monetary sovereignty, but also determines who can
control the lifeline of the future global economy!
If interest rate parity is violated, then an arbitrage opportunity exists. The simplest example
of this is what would happen if the forward rate was the same as the spot rate, but the
interest rates were different, than investors would:
3. Enter a forward contract to convert the cash plus the expected interest at the same rate.
6. Repay the principal and the interest, knowing the latter will be less than the interest
received.