Digitalization's Impact on Vietnam Innovation
Digitalization's Impact on Vietnam Innovation
INS310001: Project II
Abstract
Empirical analysis utilizes the World Bank Enterprise Surveys (WBES) dataset across years
2005, 2009, 2015, and 2023, with the firms primarily operating in manufacturing and service
outcomes. The study finds that, in the context where digitalization in firms is only
implemented in the early stages, digitalization has a significant negative impact on product
innovation while the relationship between digitalization and process innovation is positive.
consistent across firm size, ownership types, and exporting versus non-exporting enterprises.
Moreover, the study also find that skilled labor has an indirect effect on innovation activities
Introduction
In recent years, the rapid advancement of science and technology drives the
emergence of the digital economy in the context of extremely rapid changes in the global
economy. In that context, an important condition for businesses that want to maintain
competitiveness and drive innovation is to grasp the process of digital transformation, which
helps improve business models and company operations. From production to marketing and
technology into all facets of corporate operations (Gong & Ribiere, 2023; Zhao et al., 2015).
The integration of technologies such as artificial intelligence, big data, cloud computing, and
blockchain helps businesses improve their company capabilities and streamline operations
and forces them to reassess their strategic priorities and innovation capabilities in the context
of the global industry (Li et al., 2023; Wu et al., 2024). This process reshapes the global
economy and transforms how companies create and promote goods and services. Digital
transformation has the potential to significantly boost efficiency, drive innovation, and
enhance economic prospects. Notably, some businesses show initial progress in innovation
transformation. This explains why businesses quickly adopt digital transformation to drive
innovation through digital technology and new business models (Li et al., 2023). Empirical
evidence shows that digitalization strategies help people understand the changes that digital
transformation in today's society (Chanias & Hess, 2016). To adapt to the trend of digital
models that have not yet optimize costs and processes, which remain cumbersome (Kotarba,
2018).
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 4
economies, is still hindered by factors such as people, cultural customs, employee resistance
to change, lack of appropriate knowledge and best practices, insufficient resources, limited
infrastructure, outdated technology, and low-skilled labor (Shvertner, 2017). The digital
creating new industries and reviving traditional industries. For many countries, this
transformation is the key to improving the quality of economic growth (Li et al., 2023). For
instance, one of the rapidly developing economies in Southeast Asia, Vietnam, illustrates the
dual potential and challenges of digital transformation. Vietnam aims to be among the top 50
countries in the world and ranks third in ASEAN in the digital economy by 2030. To create a
foundation for seizing opportunities from the Fourth Industrial Revolution, the Vietnamese
government makes efforts to achieve this goal by focusing on building a legal framework for
the digital economy. In all areas of the socio-economic sector, strong policies and processes
support digital transformation, promote innovation, and protect intellectual property rights.
An open and honest investment environment strongly attracts both domestic and international
capital for growth and technological innovation . In the context of digital transformation in
Vietnam receiving more attention than ever, the Government continues to actively implement
Additionally, the National Innovation Center (NIC) highlights the economic potential of
digitalization in Vietnam, predicting that "the annual economic impact of digital technology
in Vietnam could reach approximately 74 billion USD by 2030"1. This forecast highlights the
businesses to drive sustainable growth. The government implements programs such as the
1
[Link]
[Link]
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 5
National Digital Transformation Program by 2025, with a vision towards 2030, signed by
Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc in Decision No. 749/QD-TTg on June 3, 2020, and
commitments under the EU-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement (EVFTA), which lay a solid
institutional foundation for the digital transformation and innovation process (D. C. Nguyen
& Dao, 2023). Surveys indicate that more than 57% of small and medium-sized enterprises in
constraints, outdated technology, and limited human resources (Luong et al., 2024; Nguyen et
al., 2021)
Although the government recognizes the crucial role of digitalization and innovation
for the economy and businesses through government incentives and policy decisions on
digital transformation and innovation, and there are many international studies exploring the
relationship between digital transformation and innovation, currently, in Vietnam, there is still
no official research examining the relationship and specific impact of digital transformation
on innovation, especially at the enterprise level. That gap drives our research. In this study,
we use data from the World Bank's enterprise surveys on Vietnamese companies, including a
dataset of 4,224 Vietnamese enterprises, to explore this relationship in four phases, including
2005, 2009, 2015, and 2023. Using this dataset, we develop a linear regression model to
empirically test the relationship between digital transformation and innovation in Vietnamese
businesses.
The rest of this article is divided into five sections. The second part provides an
overview of the literature and theoretical perspectives, the factors influencing company
innovation, the impacts of digital transformation on business innovation, and the digitization
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 6
performance and innovation activities in Vietnamese enterprises. This section also describes
the legal framework currently being applied in Vietnam to stimulate digital transformation
and innovation activities of businesses. The third section describes and explains the methods
used to complete this research. The fourth section presents and explains the research results.
And finally, the fifth part is the discussion of the results and the limitations of this study.
Literature review
organization may provide items that satisfy the dynamic requirements of the market and
the market, particularly in the present, perpetually intense competitive landscape. Therefore,
establishing robust innovation is a critical undertaking for businesses and policymakers. Firm
innovation is affected by several internal and external elements of the organization (Doan,
2023). Government grants, R&D funding, and ownership structure are factors that influence
business innovation. For a long time, there have been debates about the positive impact and
"trap" of government subsidies. Government subsidies not only help promote innovation
investment at the company level and drive the company's technological innovation activities
but also compensate for market failures in the process of innovation (Lin & Luan, 2020; Liu
et al., 2020). However, on one hand, scholars who hold a negative view of government
subsidies believe that selective government subsidies have a crowding-out effect on company
innovation (Wu et al., 2022). On the other hand, the conclusions of many other scholars show
that the company's R&D investment has a positive impact on innovation (Alam et al., 2020;
Xu et al., 2021). The ownership structure influences the company's creativity; the preferences
shareholders' stability gives them the drive and authority to oversee corporate managers'
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 7
investment, apply technology accumulation, and aggressively accept innovation risks (Li et
al., 2023). In the extensively studied academic literature, factors influencing a company's
innovation capability are identified. These factors, which play a crucial role in driving
Internal factors
Internal factors encompass the firm’s intrinsic capabilities and resources, which
provide the foundation for innovation activities. The main internal factors significantly affect
the level of innovation, including company size, the education level of managers, company
age, and job growth (Cokgezen & Hussen, 2019; Olurinola et al., 2021). For instance, in
businesses. The results reveal that companies owned and managed by people with extensive
prior experience exhibit superior growth (Engidaw, 2021). Failing enterprises relate to
managers lacking drive and dedication about their work, whereas successful companies link to
managers who are passionate about their job (Worku, 2014). Many factors, including
management factors, influence the performance of businesses, particularly small and medium-
sized enterprises (Fetene, 2017). Managers avoid reducing the performance of individuals and
the company by clearly dividing tasks to prevent creating a stressful environment due to
Additionally, the key determining factors for the company's innovation potential are
organizational structure and culture, and innovation strategy. These factors shape the
company's ability to explore new ideas, develop innovative products, and apply advanced
technologies. Many studies mention the essential role of innovation strategy, technological
capability, and investment in R&D in driving innovation at the enterprise level, along with
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 8
factors such as business scale, managers' educational background, and company age (Bogetoft
et al., 2024; Tajpour et al., 2024). Simultaneously implementing both product and production
process innovations helps increase production efficiency and reduce costs compared to
businesses that do not participate in innovation. Factors such as financial resources and high-
quality skilled labor play an intermediary role in helping businesses effectively digitalize,
thereby enhancing their innovation capabilities. In other words, businesses find it easier to
access and implement innovative solutions if they have good financial management
crucial factor in determining the creation and maintenance of a competitive advantage based
on innovation for a business. They include the ability to apply modern technology and
investment. Its important role in driving technological progress and product development is
emphasized in many research papers (Alam et al., 2020; Xu et al., 2021). Moreover, the
affects a company's investment decisions and technology adoption, shaping the trajectory of
Eternal factors
External factors create the context in which companies operate, either enabling or
hindering innovation. Customer demand and market requirements are among the most
important external factors. Access to capital, market competition, consumer behavior, and the
broader economic and institutional environment are indeed those external factors. According
to Felin & Zenger (2014), market competition drives companies to innovate to keep a
competitive edge, while consumer preferences guide innovation efforts, which is precisely
what market competition brings. In addition, the development of the local digital industry
plays a crucial supporting role, providing infrastructure and a technological ecosystem that
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 9
fosters the company's innovation. Government policies and subsidies play a dual role in
influencing innovation. According to Lin & Luan (2020), by stimulating investment in R&D
ecosystem through government subsidies, market failures in the innovation process can be
addressed. The innovation capacity of a company can also be significantly influenced by the
legal framework, intellectual property rights, and innovation policies. The growth of
R&D activities, address issues, and support the commercialization of new technologies.
Besides, some scholars argue that selective government subsidies can have a "crowding out"
effect, where excessive intervention reduces innovation efforts led by companies (Wu et al.,
2022). For example, access to financial resources remains a major barrier for small and
resources hinder innovation activities (Olurinola et al., 2021). The innovation capacity of
influenced by the institutional environment, including the legal framework and enforcement
continuously differentiate their products, enhance efficiency, and adopt new technologies
one of the key drivers of innovation that can be considered important for them (OECD, 2020).
changing the operational methods that have existed for a long time within the business (Kraus
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 10
et al., 2019). Advanced digital technologies such as social networks, mobile platforms, big
data, the Internet of Things (IoT), and blockchain enable companies to redefine business
models, modify core processes, and restructure organizational frameworks (Matt et al., 2015).
Technologies like artificial intelligence (AI), Industry 4.0 machinery, 3D printing, and social
al., 2021). For instance, in the economy of a developing country like Pakistan, business
small and medium-sized enterprises, specifically big data, the Internet of Things design
network, interoperability, and the Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) network, are the four
influencing factors that are examined in the study (Nguyen et al., 2023). Enterprises store data
more efficiently by using big data in recent decades. Digital transformation not only reduces
costs and increases productivity but also adds value to products. Additionally, people say that
digital transformation helps businesses operate efficiently and adapt to changes in the
business environment, which is why they are actively investing heavily in it (Zealand &
Sirisukha, 2020). In an era where technology is booming and developing rapidly, such as
over their competitors if simply introducing new products is not enough; the difference lies in
costs, enhance workforce productivity, streamline supply chains, and improve customer
loyalty and satisfaction (Kaufmann, 2015; Loebbecke & Picot, 2015; Rachinger et al., 2018).
supporting the platform economy, and identifying growth opportunities (Vaska et al., 2021).
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 11
This ongoing revolution reshapes relationships within and between ecosystems, introducing
both new managerial opportunities and challenges (Bresciani et al., 2018; Gustafsson et al.,
2012). Previous studies emphasize the pivotal role of digital transformation in driving product
digital transformation enables companies to create newfangled goods and services (Vaska et
al., 2021). Technologies such as big data, machine learning, and 3D printing redefine
operational approaches, fostering novel value propositions (Bresciani et al., 2021). Disruptive
innovators like Uber and Spotify exemplify how technology adoption leads to groundbreaking
products and services. Empirical evidence confirms a positive correlation between digital
transformation levels and product innovation performance, though the extent of this impact
may vary by industry, firm size, and adaptability (Masoud & Basahel, 2023; Olurinola et al.,
2021; Radicic & Petković, 2023; Zhao et al., 2024). The successful implementation of digital
transformation plays a very important role in promoting economic benefits (Zhang et al.,
2021). From those points, it can be seen that there is a positive relationship between digital
transformation and the innovation performance of businesses (Li et al., 2023). However,
people say that among the reliable factors for innovation, R&D costs are the most important.
They also show that innovation is not significantly impacted by digital technology (Usai et al.,
2021).
In addition, they also show that digital technology has very little impact on innovation
influencing not only product development but also operational efficiency, customer
experience, and IT innovation (Bresciani et al., 2021). For instance, the transformation of
digitalization is more noticeable in enterprises with strong innovation capabilities but may be
limited in smaller firms due to resource constraints (Gaglio et al., 2022; Radicic & Petković,
2023). The regional digital infrastructure and innovation ecosystem significantly moderate the
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 12
relationship between digital transformation and innovation. Firms located in regions with
advanced digital industry innovation levels may face diminishing marginal innovation returns
(Li et al., 2023). Conversely, a high regional digital innovation environment can create
spillover effects, enhancing the innovation efforts of surrounding firms. Furthermore, the
interplay between servitization and digitalization highlights the synergy in driving innovation
digital technologies acting as a mediator (Shen et al., 2021). Organizational capabilities such
as learning, coordination, and integration further optimize the outcomes of these strategies,
Legal framework
with the highest growth rates in Asia and the world in recent years. The process of renewal
has helped Vietnam transform from one of the poorest countries in the world into a middle-
income nation with an increasingly high status on the international stage, as assessed by the
World Bank (Nguyen, 2024). However, the country's economic competitiveness is still
inferior to developed nations, largely due to a lack of science and technology in production,
commerce, and low worker productivity. Therefore, strong digital transformation is essential
for leading the region in the Fourth Industrial Revolution and is a fundamental solution for
achieving breakthrough advancements in the new era, narrowing the gap with developed
countries, overcoming the middle-income trap, and moving towards sustainable development.
The digital transformation of business models, the improvement and digital transformation of
management models for production processes and technology processes, the connection of
digital transformation enterprises, and the innovation of new products and services are the
countries (Chen et al., 2021; Wang et al., 2023). To adapt to the changes in the digital era,
businesses need to enhance employee training, facilitate access to and nurture new
technological knowledge, improve innovative thinking, and cultivate digital skills in the
context of rapidly changing technology. By means of this, it provides the advantages that
aspects including economic, environmental, and social dimensions of sustainable firm growth.
The ministries, sectors, and localities promote reforms and issue policies to support
digital transformation in both public and private enterprises; these are implemented in
Digital transformation of the entire economy is what the Vietnamese government is building
and implementing to ensure the country achieves effective and sustainable growth and
development. Current regulations and decrees related to trade are issued by the ministries
within the legal framework. The operation and adjustment of various aspects of the digital
economy and digital transformation are issued at multiple administrative levels through legal
documents. The main goal of the Party and the State of Vietnam is currently to promote
digital transformation and develop the digital economy. Rapid and sustainable growth mostly
depends on science and technology, creativity, and digital transformation; the legal system
has to support innovation, digital transformation, and the creation of new goods, services, and
economic models, which are the goals emphasised by the party and state Vietnam in the
documents of the 13th Party Congress. Identifying key tasks and priority solutions to improve
the legal system, facilitating the country's digital transformation process, is critical. In fact,
the enormous potential of the economic development strategy driven by science, technology,
and innovation, especially the development of the digital economy, is considered an inevitable
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 14
trend that drives economic growth for Vietnam, which the government recognised before
2020. This fact can be demonstrated through numerous decisions, directives, and laws of the
government aimed at preparing the foundation for the development of the domestic digital
economy. The table below will list the major current policies aimed at promoting the digital
(R&D) and digital technology. Public-private partnerships provide a roadmap and support,
helping small and medium-sized enterprises become more competitive in the new economic
government policy. Previous research on government support also indicates that it can yield
several beneficial outcomes at the company level, such as capacity building, performance,
globalization, innovation, and business orientation (Faria et al., 2023). For example, while the
tends to stifle the potential participation of small and medium-sized enterprises and favors
state-owned enterprises more (Radicic & Petković, 2023). In fact, the policies of the
Vietnamese government show a preference for foreign enterprises and state-owned enterprises
transformation during the booming period of the Fourth Industrial Revolution and establishes
a comprehensive legal framework with numerous resolutions, decrees, and national programs
there, it contributes to laying a solid foundation for the development of the digital economy.
Vietnam sets specific and ambitious goals to rank among the top 50 countries in e-
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 15
government and digital economy, increases the digital economy's share to 20% of GDP, raises
legal foundations, one can see Vietnam's efforts in promoting the digital transformation
process in all aspects to narrow the gap with developed countries and aims for sustainable
and exports, as well as overall value added, are due to small and medium-sized enterprises,
which account for more than 90% of the total number of companies outside the agricultural
sector in developing countries (Love & Roper, 2015). For instance, small and medium-sized
enterprises account for 98% of all businesses, 40% of the gross domestic product, and 50% of
employment in Vietnam2 . From that, it can be seen that policymakers as well as company
owners and boards of directors are attracted to the development and improvement of the
performance of small and medium-sized enterprises. During the 2021 – 2030 period, one of
the components of the strategic breakthrough is the rapid growth of digitalization, innovation,
science, and technology. Regarding the development of the digital economy, the digital
economy accounts for 20% of GDP, the proportion of the digital economy in each industry
and sector reaches at least 10%, annual labor productivity increases by at least 7%, and
bringing Vietnam into the top 50 countries in information technology (IDI), into the top 50
countries in the Global Competitiveness Index (GCI), and into the top 35 countries in the
Global Innovation Index (GII) are the goals by 2025 to enhance the competitiveness of the
2
[Link]
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 16
remarkable progress. As of September 2024, more than 537 million data synchronization
instances and over 1.3 billion queries are conducted3. In addition, over 14 million citizens are
integrated into the electronic health record system, 8 million accounts are registered for
accessing the online public service portal, and over 20 million electronic citizen ID cards with
chips are issued. Vietnam climbs to the 71st position out of 193 countries and territories in
September 2024, rising 15 places compared to 2022, according to data from the United
In addition, Vietnam's Global Innovation Index also rises two places to 44/133, while
the Global Security Index increases by 8 places to 17/19474. Also in 2024, 1.5 million jobs
are created for workers by 51,000 technology companies in the country, generating an
estimated total revenue of 118 billion US dollars for the industry in the first nine months of
the year4. Revenue from software and digital services is reported to increase by 9.9%,
reaching 6.64 billion dollars, while technology product exports are expected to grow by
18.3%, reaching 100.8 billion dollars4. Moreover, in 2023, Vietnam's e-commerce sector is
one of the fastest-growing in the world, with total revenue increasing by 23% to 20.5 billion
dollars4. Not only in the business sector but also in the digital transformation of social and
welfare services, significant progress is made, especially in education and training, healthcare,
social insurance, and administration. Not only that, as of October, more than 82.4% of
households are using fibre optic internet, an increase of 3.3% compared to the same period
last year, surpassing the target of 80% set for 20253. The percentage of people using
smartphones also accounts for more than 87% of the population3. In addition, the launch of
3
[Link]
4
[Link]
[Link]
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 17
the largest and most modern data centre by the telecommunications service provider, Viettel
Group, also marks an important milestone that Vietnam achieves in 20243. The advanced
technology equipped at this secure data centre plays an important role in contributing to the
technologies of the digital age, are also being heavily invested in by Vietnamese technology
The scale of the global digital transformation market reaches 695.5 billion USD in
2023, and by 2030, this figure is expected to rise to 3,144.9 billion USD with a compound
annual growth rate of 24.1% from 2024, according to data provided by Research and Markets5
. From the data provided on the global digital transformation market, comparing it with
Vietnam, we can see that the level of digital transformation and digital economic growth in
Vietnam is quite strong. The rapid development of Vietnam's digital economy in recent times
is due to the increasingly tech-savvy population, which contributes to the smooth process of
digital transformation. According to data provided by Vietnam’s General Statistics Office, the
digital economy market in Vietnam is expected to reach 45 billion dollars by 2025, and by
2030, this figure will reach between 90 billion and 200 billion dollars6 . The close integration
of digital transformation and the application of modern science and technology is the driving
force for Vietnam's future development7 . Digital transformation is not simply a technical
process that electronicizes the bill-invoicing process, but it is about realizing the potential
5
[Link]
6
[Link]
7
[Link]
[Link]
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 18
social media, modern data analysis tools, and automated connection systems (Luong et al.,
2024).
In the aforementioned examples, one can see the impressive achievements of Vietnam
in reaching its e-government goals. Achievements in digital transformation across the pillars
of digital government, digital economy, and digital society have helped to build a strong basis
Theoretical basis
(doing)
Data
This study utilizes data from the World Bank Enterprise Surveys (WBES) conducted
in Vietnam. The WBES is a recurring data collection program designed to analyze the
business environment and firm performance. The surveys focus on formal enterprises with
five or more employees, operating in the manufacturing and service sectors, excluding wholly
state-owned enterprises, firms in agriculture, real estate, public utilities, and most financial
intermediaries.
For Vietnam, we use firm-level microdata from the survey waves conducted in 2005,
2009, 2015, and 2023. The selection of these years allows for the analysis of aspects such as
digital technology adoption and innovation activities of firms over nearly two decades,
The WBES consistently applies a stratified random sampling methodology across all
survey rounds. This approach ensures representativeness for the entire population as well as
for each stratum, and provides unbiased estimates with lower standard errors compared to
simple random sampling of the same size (Ding et al., 1996). The main stratification criteria
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 19
include industry, firm size (detailed size classification is presented in Table 8), and
geographical region. The regional criteria were slightly adjusted across the years to reflect the
regional economic structure: in 2009, the sample was stratified into 5 regions based on 14 key
provinces/cities; in 2015, it was 4 regions; and in 2023, 5 regions were used, with some
adjustments in the grouping of provinces and cities compared to previous years (details on
The sampling frame is primarily based on data from the General Statistics Office
(GSO) of Vietnam at the time closest to each survey wave and the list of enterprises that
participated in the previous survey round (e.g., the 2023 panel frame was drawn from the list
of firms participating in 2015). The questionnaire used follows the standard WBES structure,
including a core module applicable to all types of enterprises and sector-specific modules for
manufacturing or services or retail firms, along with some customized questions. Notably, the
2023 wave included an additional "Business Ready" module. The fieldwork for the surveys
was conducted by market research firms selected by the World Bank (e.g., Mekong
Variables
Dependent variables
The two dependent variables are binary indicators. Variable Product innovation is
equal to 1 if a firm responded “Yes” to the question “During the reference year, has this
the question “During the reference year, has this establishment introduced any new or
improved process? Besides, the variable R&D is alternative variable and it is a binary
indicator and takes the value 1 if the firm responded “Yes” to the question: “During the
reference year, did this establishment spend on research and development activities, either in-
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 20
house or contracted with other companies, excluding market research surveys?”; and 0
otherwise.
Independent variable
“Yes” to the question: “During the reference year, does your establishment regularly use
websites or social media pages in its interactions with clients and suppliers?”, and 0
otherwise.
We account for firm and market characteristics by incorporating the following control
variables. Given that a firm's innovation performance is related to the number of years of
operation of the firm, we include the variable Firm age (Huergo & Jaumandreu, 2004;
Messeni Petruzzelli et al., 2018; Withers et al., 2011). As stated by Crowley & Jordan (2016),
consider Competitor as a dummy variable equal to 1 if the firm face competitors by the firm's
main product in its primary market and 0 otherwise. Experience is measued as number of
years the top manager has worked in this sector. Okrah & Irene (2023) find that top managers
with more years of experience tend to enhance a firm's innovativeness. Variable Training is a
dummy variable euqal to 1 if a firm have formal training programs for its permanent, full-time
employees. This variable is a proxy for employee training programs at firm, which enhance
innovative performance by promoting learning practices (Paul et al., 2024; Sung & Choi,
2014).
Methodology
The data utilized in this research consists of panel data, and the dependent variables are
probit model is commonly employed. However, this model has an important assumption that
independent variables must be exogenous, meaning they cannot be correlated with the model's
error term (Greene, 2017; Rivers & Vuong, 1988). In practice, this assumption is often not
satisfied due to endogeneity problems that frequently occur, resulting in biased and
control of factors is impossible (Sarrias, 2021). With the endogeneity problems that the probit
model cannot solve, there are many other models and approaches that can replace the probit
model in addressing endogeneity problems, such as the two recursive equation model, the
instrumental variables approach, …(de Grange et al., 2024; Sarrias, 2021). In the context of
this study, the instrumental variables approach is used to analyze instead of the probit model.
According to Buzas & Stefanski (1996), the instrumental variable probit model is
alternative to the probit model when there are endogeneity issues, meaning when independent
variables are influenced by unobserved factors which lead to biased results. The instrumental
variable probit model is an extension of the standard probit model, combining it with
correlated with the error term, making the instrumental variable probit model considered a
probit modeling, hence it is used in this study. This method includes two stages: the first stage
involves predicting the endogenous variable using the instrumental variable, and the second
stage involves estimating the probit model using these predicted value (Li et al., 2022).
The first stage is expressed in equation (1) and the second stage is expressed in
euqation (2). Where Digitalization in first stage is selected as a endogenous variable and
Skilled labor is an instrumental variable, which is measued by the total number of skilled
production workers. In second stage, Y is the dependent variable and it is dummy variable
Digitalization in second stage is independent variable, after being predicted in first stage and
coefficients and 𝜃, 𝑧 is fixed effect with 𝑒 is error term. Additionally, i denotes the firm and t
Statistics of summary
product innovations and 16.1% implemented process innovations, indicating a higher rate for
the former. This suggests Vietnamese firms prioritize product improvements to meet market
demands and enhance competitiveness, possibly due to limited resources for process
innovation. R&D investment was a modest 17.8%. For digitalization, 42.1% of firms used
Additionally, 33.1% of firms provided formal employee training. Top managers averaged
17.37 years in their sector, average firm age was 12.68 years, and 18.5% of firms exported.
Correlation
coefficients among the variables. The correlations are overall low to moderate. Especially, the
negative correlation coefficient between the Competitor and Digitalization suggests that an
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 23
increase in the number of competitors is associated with a decline in the firms’ level of digital
transformation. Therefore, the result suggests that multicollinearity is unlikely to occur, Gay
et al. (2011) note as a low correlation when a The correlation coefficient is below 0.35 (in
absolute terms). A moderate correlation occurs if a correlation coefficient is between 0.36 and
0.65 (in absolute terms). Finally, correlation coefficients whose magnitude is above 0.66 (in
absolute terms) indicate variables that can be considered highly correlated. We find no
evidence of multicollinearity (i.e., a correlation coefficient above 0.66) in any firm size
category.
Empirical findings
Table 2 reveals that in the first stage, Skilled labor positively impacts Digitalization at
a 1% statistical significance level. This indicates that skilled labor, with a solid knowledge
foundation to understand and acquire new knowledge, can subsequently utilize digital tools
more proficiently, maximizing their features to enhance productivity and work quality. In the
second stage, after being predicted with Skilled labor, Digitalization negatively
are merely “doing digital” rather than truly “being digital.” At this initial stage, digitalization
typically focuses on digitizing and altering existing processes, and enhancing communication
reach rather than concentrating on new product development. Moreover, developing new
products requires a more profound digital transformation than the superficial application of
innovation. Additionally, firms in Vietnam tend to prioritize actions that yield rapid
efficiencies rather than investing significant time in researching and applying digital
One reason explaining this picture stems from the current competitive landscape and
the strategies chosen by firms. With China, a powerhouse in manufacturing and innovation, as
a direct neighbor, the innovation strategies of Vietnamese firms are directly impacted. They
may show less enthusiasm for product innovation research, as China is exceedingly strong in
tend to leverage digital transformation for process innovation to reduce costs and improve
operational efficiency, rather than for product improvements that might entail longer
development cycles and greater risks. This is also clearly demonstrated in Table 2,
argument.
Regarding other control variables like Firm age, there is no evidence to prove
that Firm age impacts Product innovation, as the result in Table 2 is not statistically
significance level. This finding reflects that long-established firms in Vietnam tend to be
shown in Table 3, the results are similar when the IV logit model is used as an alternative to
the IV probit model. Furthermore, the results were also tested using a linear probability
To further investigate the impact of Digitalization, a model measuring its effect on the
that Digitalization positively impacts R&D at a 1% statistical significance level. This suggests
that even when firms are only in the initial stages of digitalization, “doing digital” plays a
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 25
crucial role in foundational R&D. Early-stage digitalization can significantly enhance access
to knowledge and information, which are vital inputs for R&D. More specifically,
digitalization at this stage provides companies with access to global research, industry trends,
patent databases, and competitor analyses, thereby reducing initial barriers to exploring and
this study considers heterogeneous effects. Table 6 shows that for domestic firms, the results
level, consistent with the previous findings. However, Digitalization does not impact Process
innovation in these foreign firms, suggesting that their operational and organizational
processes are already well-established, and early-stage digital transformation does not
significantly alter their operational machinery. The results in Table 7 indicate that there is
firms, a result similar to that for state-owned enterprises. However, Digitalization still has a
that Digitalization affects Process innovation in state-owned enterprises. This suggests that
enterprises, Digitalization does not affect the firm's innovation capabilities. Table 8 shows
that Digitalization has no statistically significant impact on Product innovation in either non-
exporting or exporting firms, indicating that the effect of early-stage digital transformation
on Product innovation remains rather faint across firms. However, Digitalization positively
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 26
impacts Process innovation in non-exporting firms at a 10% statistical significance level, with
the opposite result for exporting firms. This may indicate that the quality of the operational
machinery and activities of exporting firms is already high, as they must meet numerous
export. Therefore, early-stage digitalization does not bring about significant changes in
exporting firms.
Conclusion
Vietnamese firms over the period between 2005 and 2023 by employing an instrumental
variable probit model. The research findings indicate that, in the context where digitalization
within firms is merely at a superficial, early stage, digitalization exerts divergent effects on
innovation. Specifically, digitalization at this phase negatively impacts product innovation but
demonstrates the potential to foster process innovation. Furthermore, other factors such as the
years of experience of top managers, employee training programs, the firm's operational
duration (firm age), and industry competition all have certain impacts on a firm's innovation
capabilities. Notably, the results suggest that innovation is considerably challenging for long-
established firms, and as industry competition intensifies, firms tend to innovate processes to
save costs and improve operations rather than making long-term investments in product
innovation. The research results remain consistent across various robustness checks.
Additionally, with R&D as an alternative variable, despite digitalization being only in its
initial stages, it also shows a definite positive impact on foundational R&D. Moreover, after
considering heterogeneous effects, the impact of digitalization varies across different aspects
depending on the firm type. Particularly for state-owned enterprises and exporting firms,
Strategy implication
(doing)
Policy recommendation
From these findings, several important policy implications can be proposed. For
policymakers in Vietnam, there is a need for more targeted support aimed at product
innovation in the digital era. It is crucial to recognize that firms merely remaining in the early
stages of digital transformation, "doing digital" instead of "being digital," is insufficient and
development of new products, offering tax reductions for businesses that invest more deeply
in digitalization or advanced digital tools with the aim of fostering innovation. Additionally,
developing advanced digital skills, moving beyond basic digital literacy, towards the
managers, on the other hand, should adopt a strategic and balanced approach to digital
transformation and innovation, not neglecting long-term product innovation while pursuing
immediate efficiency gains. They should not only chase short-term or simple benefits such as
process innovation and optimization but should also nurture a culture of experimentation,
ultimately aiming for the deeper purpose of creating new, highly innovative, and applicable
products.
Limitations
The limitations of this study could be used as recommendations for future research.
First, this is a panel research that exclusively included a single country. Future research could
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 28
developing economies, as well as in countries that are similar to Vietnam, which is considered
to have strong innovation potential. Regarding the generalization of our findings, these results
should be applied cautiously, and should only be applied to other developing economies in the
region similar to Vietnam, such as Southeast Asian countries. This is because the results
maintain specificity to the Vietnamese context throughout the survey periods. Second, the
survey data was collected in 2005, 2009, 2015, and 2023. Although the inclusion of 2023 data
significantly increases the timeliness, the data points from 2005 and 2009 still reflect a very
early stage of the digitalization process in Vietnam, before core technologies of modern
digital transformation (such as Cloud, Big Data, AI, IoT) became widespread. Therefore,
results from the earlier years may not fully correspond with the current context. Moreover, the
intervals between survey years are uneven with large gaps, with a four year interval between
2005 and 2009, a six year interval between 2009 and 2015, and an eight year interval between
2015 and 2023. These long periods, especially the 2015-2023 period when digital
transformation made significant breakthroughs, may have caused the research to miss
Digitalization on innovation occurring between survey milestones. Third, the research data
was collected based on self-reporting by enterprises through surveys, therefore there remains
potential for various types of bias such as: social desirability bias, subjective perception bias
regarding "innovation" and "digitalization", and recall bias. Consequently, the reliability of
the data depends on the understanding and honesty of the respondents. These limitations
References
Alam, A., Uddin, M., Yazdifar, H., Shafique, S., & Lartey, T. (2020). R&D investment, firm
performance and moderating role of system and safeguard: Evidence from emerging
Bogetoft, P., Kromann, L., Smilgins, A., & Sørensen, A. (2024). Innovation strategies and
Bresciani, S., Ferraris, A., & Del Giudice, M. (2018). The management of organizational
smart city projects. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 136, 331–338.
Bresciani, S., Huarng, K.-H., Malhotra, A., & Ferraris, A. (2021). Digital transformation as a
springboard for product, process and business model innovation. Journal of Business
measurement error model. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 55(1), 47–62.
Chanias, S., & Hess, T. (2016). Understanding digital transformation strategy formation:
Chen, C.-L., Lin, Y.-C., Chen, W.-H., Chao, C.-F., & Pandia, H. (2021). Role of government
1028.
Cokgezen, M., & Hussen, M. (2019). Analysis of factors affecting firm innovation: An
Crowley, F., & Jordan, D. (2016). Does more competition increase business-level innovation?
de Grange, L., González, F., Marechal, M., & Troncoso, R. (2024). A consistent moment
equations for binary probit models with endogenous variables using instrumental
Ding, C.-S., Haieh, C.-T., Wu, Q., & Pedram, M. (1996). Stratified random sampling for
Design, 576–582.
Doan, K. (2023). Factors affecting firm innovation: An evidence from Vietnam, 197-210.
Engidaw, A. (2021). Exploring internal business factors and their impact on firm
Faria, J., Ogura, L., Prado, M., & Boudreaux, C. (2023). Government investments and
Felin, T., & Zenger, T. R. (2014). Closed or open innovation? Problem solving and the
governance choice. Open Innovation: New Insights and Evidence, 43(5), 914–925.
Fetene, A. (2017). Factors affecting business performance of small and medium size
enterprise (SMEs) in Addis Ababa: (In case of Nifas Silk-Lafeto Sub-City). [Link]’s
University.
Gaglio, C., Kraemer-Mbula, E., & Lorenz, E. (2022). The effects of digital transformation on
micro and small enterprises. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 182,
121785.
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 31
Gay, L. R., Geoffrey, E. M., & Airasian, P. (2011). Educational research: Competencies for
Gong, C., & Ribiere, V. (2023). Understanding the role of organizational agility in the context
[Link]
Gustafsson, A., Kristensson, P., & Witell, L. (2012). Customer co-creation in service
327.
Huergo, E., & Jaumandreu, J. (2004). How does probability of innovation change with firm
Kaufmann, T. (2015). Geschäftsmodelle in Industrie 4.0 und dem Internet der Dinge (1st ed.).
10(1), 123–142.
Kraus, S., Roig-Tierno, N., & Bouncken, R. (2019). Digital innovation and venturing: An
13(3), 519-528.
Li, C., Poskitt ,Donald S., Windmeijer ,Frank, & and Zhao, X. (2022). Binary outcomes,
Li, S., Gao, L., Han, C., Gupta, B., Alhalabi, W., & Almakdi, S. (2023). Exploring the effect
Lin, B., & Luan, R. (2020). Do government subsidies promote efficiency in technological
120108.
Liu, J., Zhao, M., & Wang, Y. (2020). Impacts of government subsidies and environmental
63, 101417.
Loebbecke, C., & Picot, A. (2015). Reflections on societal and business model transformation
arising from digitization and big data analytics: A research agenda. The Journal of
Love, J., & Roper, S. (2015). SME innovation, exporting and growth: A review of existing
Luong, N. M., Nguyen, T., Dinh, V. T., Truong, D. T., Nguyen, T. H., & Nguyen, T. H.
Masoud, R., & Basahel, S. (2023). The effects of digital transformation on firm performance:
Matt, C., Hess, T., & Benlian, A. (2015). Digital Transformation Strategies. Business &
Messeni Petruzzelli, A., Ardito, L., & Savino, T. (2018). Maturity of knowledge inputs and
innovation value: The moderating effect of firm age and size. Journal of Business
Mubarak, M., Zulfiqar, S., Bhutto, A., Fazal, A., Shaikh, Mubarik, M., Samo, K., & Mastoi,
Pakistani SMEs. Engineering, Technology and Applied Science Research, 9(6), 5056–
5061.
Nguyen, D. C., & Dao, T. A. (2023). Digital transformation in Vietnam. Journal of Southeast
Nguyen, T. D., Nguyen, M. T., & Le, N. M. (2021). Digital transformation meets national
Nguyen, T., Pham, S., Phan, T., Nguyen, T., Hoang, N., & Dong, D. (2023). Impact of digital
Okrah, J., & Irene, B. (2023). The effect of top managers’ years of experience on innovation.
Olurinola, I., Osabohien, R., Adeleye, B. N., Ogunrinola, I., Isaac, J., & De Alwis, T. (2021).
OECD (2020). OECD Digital Economy Outlook 2020. OECD Publishing, Paris. Retrieved at
[Link]
Paul, B., Patnaik, U., & Narayanan, K. (2024). Is ‘Learning’ the tipping point for innovation
Rachinger, M., Rauter, R., Ropposch, C., Vorraber, W., & Schirgi, E. (2018). Digitalization
Management, 30(3).
Rivers, D., & Vuong, Q. H. (1988). Limited information estimators and exogeneity tests for
Sarrias, M. (2021). A two recursive equation model to correct for endogeneity in latent class
Shen, L., Sun, C., & Ali, M. (2021). Role of servitization, digitalization, and innovation
Shvertner, K. (2017). Digital transformation of business. Trakia Journal of Science, 15, 388–
393.
Sung, S. Y., & Choi, J. (2014). Do organizations spend wisely on employees? Effects of
Tajpour, M., Dekamini, F., SafarMohammadluo, S., Norouzimovahed, M., & madadpour, F.
Usai, A., Fiano, F., Messeni Petruzzelli, A., Paoloni, P., Farina Briamonte, M., & Orlando, B.
Vaska, S., Massaro, M., Bagarotto, E., & Dal Mas, F. (2021). The Digital Transformation of
11, 539563.
Wang, S., Li, X., Li, Z., & Ye, Y. (2023). The effects of government support on enterprises’
44(5), 2520-2539.
Withers, M. C., Drnevich ,Paul Louis, & and Marino, L. (2011). Doing more with less: The
disordinal implications of firm age for leveraging capabilities for innovation activity.
5(11), 2091–2104.
Wu, C.-H., Chou, C.-W., Chien, C.-F., & Lin, Y.-S. (2024). Digital transformation in
Wu, Z., Fan, X., Zhu, B., Xia, J., Zhang, L., & Wang, P. (2022). Do government subsidies
121418.
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 36
Xu, J., Wang, X., & Liu, F. (2021). Government subsidies, R&D investment and innovation
Zealand, N., & Sirisukha, S. (2020). The Impact of Digital Transformation Strategy in
Zhang, T., Shi, Z.-Z., Shi, Y.-R., & Chen, N.-J. (2021). Enterprise digital transformation and
Zhao, F., Wallis, J., & Singh, M. (2015). E-government development and the digital
Zhao, X., Chen, Q., Yuan, X., Yu, Y., & Zhang, H. (2024). Study on the impact of digital
Table 1
Current policies on digital transformation and the innovation process in the Vietnamese government
• Law on intellectual • The program until 2010 provides public telecommunications services • Strategy until 2010 and
property (2005). and is approved by the Prime Minister on April 7, 2006, under Decision orientation until 2020 for
• Law on information No. 74/2006/QĐ-TTg. the development of
technology (2006). • Decree of Government No. 35/2007/ND-CP of March 08, 2007 Vietnam's postal and
• Law on high technology regulates banking e-transactions.. telecommunications.
(2008). • On August 28, 2008, Decree No. 97/2008/ND-CP specifies the • Overall plan until 2010,
• Law on technology management, provision, and use of Internet services and electronic vision until 2020 for the
transfer (2008). information on the Internet. Vietnamese electronics
• Law on radio frequency • The Science and Technology Development Strategy for the period 2011- industry.
(2009). 2022 is approved by the government on April 11, 2012, in Decision No. • Planning until 2020 for the
• Law on network 418/QD-TTg. development of national
information security • On May 16, 2013, Decree No. 52/2013/ND-CP regulates e-commerce. information technology
(2015). • Decision No. 392/QĐ-TTg of the Prime Minister: Approves the Target security.
• Law on support for Program for the Development of the Information Technology Industry • Program until 2020, vision
small and medium-sized until 2020, with a vision until 2025. until 2025, goals for
enterprises (2017). information technology
development.
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 38
• Law on cybersecurity • The 2020 infrastructure development program is approved in 2016 • The 2020 program for
(2018). under Decision 149/QD-Tg. developing broadband
• Law No. 24/2023/QH15 • Enhancing the capacity to access the Fourth Industrial Revolution is telecommunications
of the National clearly stated in Directive 16/CT-TTg of the government. infrastructure.
Assembly: • Decision No. 1563/QĐ-TTg of the Prime Minister: Approves the overall • Project until 2025 on
telecommunications plan for e-commerce development for the period 2016 – 2020. supporting the national
law. • The establishment of the National Committee on E-Government is innovative startup
• Law No. 20/2023/QH15 signed by the Prime Minister in Decision No. 1072/QD-Tg. ecosystem.
dated June 22, 2023 on • Resolution No. 17/NQ-CP, signed by Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan • Strategy until 2010,
electronic transactions. Phuc on March 7, 2019, outlines several key tasks and solutions for the oriented towards 2020 for
• Law No. 60/2024/QH15 period 2019-2020, with a vision towards 2025 for the development of e- the development strategy
of the National government. of information and
Assembly: data law. • On February 1, 2019, Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc signs Decree communication
• The corporate income No. 13/2019/ND-CP on scientific and technological enterprises. technology.
tax law offers tax • Some guidelines and policies are issued by the Politburo in Resolution • National Digital
incentives for No. 52-NQ/TW on proactively participating in the fourth industrial Transformation Program
businesses investing in revolution on September 27, 2019. by 2025, with a vision
R&D and digital • Decree No. 85/2021/ND-CP of the Government regulates e-commerce. towards 2030
transformation to
• Decision No. 749/QD-TTg on June 3, 2020 is approved and signed by
encourage companies to
Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc aimed at placing Vietnam among the
THE IMPACT OF DIGITALIZATION ON INNOVATION 39
invest in new top 50 leading countries in the world and the top 3 in the ASEAN region
technologies. in terms of e-government and digital economy.
Table 2
Baseline results
(0.171) (0.127)
(0.000)
Table 3
(0.399) (0.221)
(0.000)
Table 4
Result with linear probability model
(0.043) (0.046)
(0.001) (0.001)
(0.035) (0.038)
(0.037) (0.040)
(0.002) (0.002)
(0.032) (0.034)
Table 5
Variables R&D
Digitalization 0.561***
(0.076)
Experience -0.011***
(0.003)
Competitor -0.246***
(0.068)
Training 0.371***
(0.054)
Firmage 0.008***
(0.002)
Constant -0.632***
(0.078)
Observations 4,214
Table 6
Domestic Foreign
Table 7
Private Government
Table 8
Table 9
Firm size based on World Bank's classification approach
Firm size Number of employees (denoted by N)
Small firm 5 ≤ N ≤ 19
Medium firm 20 ≤ N ≤ 90
Large firm N ≥ 100
Note. Employees is the number of employees defined as official, full-time employees
Table 10
Correlation matrix
Table 11
Descriptive statistics
Dependent variable
Product innovation 0.384 0.486 0 1
Process innovation 0.161 0.367 0 1
R&D 0.178 0.383 0 1
Independent variable
Digitalization 0.421 0.494 0 1
Control variable
Experience 17.37 11.08 0 70
Firm age 12.68 10.74 1 115
Training 0.331 0.471 0 1
Competitor 0.303 0.460 0 1
Subsetting variable
Government ownership 0.0705 0.256 0 1
Firm size 2.181 0.759 1 3
Exporting 0.185 0.389 0 1
Instrumental variable
Skilled labor 93.68 354.1 0 6,978