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Normal Distribution Probability Exercises

The document contains a practice set for calculating probabilities using the normal distribution with three different scenarios involving random variables with specified means and standard deviations. Each section provides multiple problems requiring the use of the standard Z-table to find probabilities for specific ranges or values. An answer key is included with detailed calculations for each problem.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
15 views9 pages

Normal Distribution Probability Exercises

The document contains a practice set for calculating probabilities using the normal distribution with three different scenarios involving random variables with specified means and standard deviations. Each section provides multiple problems requiring the use of the standard Z-table to find probabilities for specific ranges or values. An answer key is included with detailed calculations for each problem.

Uploaded by

clarkhendrix0
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

EXERCISE: NORMAL DISTRIBUTION PRACTICE SET

Directions: Given that the random variable is normally distributed, find the probability for
each problem using the standard Z-table.

I. Let the random variable have a mean of 80 and a standard deviation of 6.

1. What is the probability that the value is less than 90?

2. What is the probability that the value is greater than 75?

3. What is the probability that the value is between 78 and 88?

4. What is the probability that the value is less than 65?

5. What is the probability that the value is between 74 and 82?


II. The lifespan of a certain battery brand is normally distributed with a mean of 500
hours and a standard deviation of 60 hours.

1. What is the probability that a battery lasts more than 530 hours?

2. What is the probability that a battery lasts less than 470 hours?

3. What is the probability that a battery lasts between 480 and 520 hours?

4. What percentage of batteries last more than 600 hours?

5. What percentage of batteries last between 450 and 570 hours?

III. A student’s test scores in math follow a normal distribution with a mean of 75
and a standard deviation of 8.

1. What is the probability that a student scores above 85?


2. What is the probability that a student scores below 70?

3. What is the probability that a student scores between 65 and 80?

4. What is the probability that a student scores less than 60?

5. What is the probability that a student scores between 70 and 90?


Answer KEY:

I. Mean = 80, Standard Deviation = 6

1. P(X < 90)

Z = (90 – 80) / 6 = 1.67

P = 0.5 + 0.4525 = 0.9525

2. P(X > 75)

Z = (75 – 80) / 6 = -0.83

P = 0.5 + 0.2967 = 0.7967 (since “greater than” and Z is negative)


3. P(78 < X < 88)

Z₁ = (78 – 80) / 6 = -0.33, area = 0.5 – 0.1293 = 0.3707

Z₂ = (88 – 80) / 6 = 1.33, area = 0.5 + 0.4082 = 0.9082

P = 0.9082 – 0.3707 = 0.5375

4. P(X < 65)

Z = (65 – 80) / 6 = -2.50

P = 0.5 – 0.4938 = 0.0062

5. P(74 < X < 82)

Z₁ = (74 – 80) / 6 = -1.00, area = 0.5 – 0.3413 = 0.1587

Z₂ = (82 – 80) / 6 = 0.33, area = 0.5 + 0.1293 = 0.6293

P = 0.6293 – 0.1587 = 0.4706

II. Mean = 500, Standard Deviation = 60

1. P(X > 530)

Z = (530 – 500) / 60 = 0.5

P = 1 – (0.5 + 0.1915) = 0.3085


2. P(X < 470)

Z = (470 – 500) / 60 = -0.5

P = 0.5 – 0.1915 = 0.3085

3. P(480 < X < 520)

Z₁ = (480 – 500) / 60 = -0.33, area = 0.5 – 0.1293 = 0.3707

Z₂ = (520 – 500) / 60 = 0.33, area = 0.5 + 0.1293 = 0.6293

P = 0.6293 – 0.3707 = 0.2586

4. P(X > 600)

Z = (600 – 500) / 60 = 1.67

P = 1 – (0.5 + 0.4525) = 0.0475

Answer in percent: 4.75%

5. P(450 < X < 570)

Z₁ = (450 – 500) / 60 = -0.83, area = 0.5 – 0.2967 = 0.2033

Z₂ = (570 – 500) / 60 = 1.17, area = 0.5 + 0.3790 = 0.8790

P = 0.8790 – 0.2033 = 0.6757

Answer in percent: 67.57%


III. Mean = 75, Standard Deviation = 8

1. P(X > 85)

Z = (85 – 75) / 8 = 1.25

P = 1 – (0.5 + 0.3944) = 0.1056

2. P(X < 70)

Z = (70 – 75) / 8 = -0.625

Closest value: 0.5 – 0.2659 = 0.2341

3. P(65 < X < 80)

Z₁ = (65 – 75) / 8 = -1.25, area = 0.5 – 0.3944 = 0.1056

Z₂ = (80 – 75) / 8 = 0.625, area = 0.5 + 0.2659 = 0.7659

P = 0.7659 – 0.1056 = 0.6603

4. P(X < 60)

Z = (60 – 75) / 8 = -1.875

Closest value: 0.5 – 0.4699 = 0.0301

5. P(70 < X < 90)


Z₁ = (70 – 75) / 8 = -0.625, area = 0.5 – 0.2659 = 0.2341

Z₂ = (90 – 75) / 8 = 1.875, area = 0.5 + 0.4699 = 0.9699

P = 0.9699 – 0.2341 = 0.7358

Common questions

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When approximating a non-symmetric distribution using a normal distribution, the central limit theorem justifies this for sufficiently large sample sizes. Calculate the Z-scores for the boundaries with the provided mean and standard deviation, then use the Z-table to determine probabilities as done with symmetric distributions. For instance, if a battery's life is non-symmetrical but approximated with a mean of 500 and SD of 60, for the range of 480 to 520 hours, find Z₁ = (480 - 500) / 60 = -0.33 and Z₂ = (520 - 500) / 60 = 0.33. The probability is determined from cumulative areas from Z-table: P = 0.6293 - 0.3707 = 0.2586 .

To determine the percentage of a normally distributed variable that exceeds a certain threshold, calculate the Z-score of the threshold value using the formula Z = (X - μ) / σ, where X is the threshold, μ is the mean, and σ is the standard deviation. Then, use a Z-table to find the cumulative probability up to that Z-score. Subtract this probability from 1 to find the probability that the variable exceeds the threshold. For instance, to find the percentage of batteries lasting more than 600 hours (mean = 500, SD = 60), calculate Z = (600 - 500) / 60 = 1.67. The probability of Z less than 1.67 is 0.9525. Thus, the probability of more than 600 hours is 1 - 0.9525 = 0.0475, or 4.75% .

Begin by determining the Z-score for the event using Z = (X - μ) / σ, where X is the specific event value, μ is the mean lifespan, and σ is the standard deviation. Utilize the Z-table to obtain the cumulative probability for this Z-score. For instance, for batteries with a lifespan mean of 500 hours and SD of 60 hours, to calculate the probability of a lifespan above 530 hours, find Z = (530 - 500) / 60 = 0.5. Look up the cumulative probability for Z = 0.5 in the Z-table, which is 0.6915. Thus, the probability for more than 530 hours is 1 - 0.6915 = 0.3085 .

To find the probability that a normally distributed test score is within a specific range, calculate the Z-scores for both boundaries of the range using Z = (X - μ) / σ, where μ is the mean and σ is the standard deviation. Use the Z-table to find the cumulative probabilities associated with these Z-scores, then subtract the smaller probability from the larger one. For example, if test scores are distributed with a mean of 75 and SD of 8, the probability that a score is between 65 and 80 involves Z-scores of -1.25 and 0.625. Using the Z-table, find the probabilities: P = 0.7659 (upper bound) - 0.1056 (lower bound) = 0.6603 .

The central limit theorem states that the distribution of sample means approaches a normal distribution as the sample size becomes large, regardless of the original distribution's shape. This allows us to use normal distribution properties for analysis even with non-normally distributed data. For small samples, the theorem might not hold well, and normal approximation's accuracy decreases, necessitating larger sample sizes for valid approximation. This theorem underpins many statistical procedures and hypothesis testing techniques .

The process includes calculating the Z-score for the specific test score using the formula Z = (X - μ) / σ, where X is the score, μ is the mean, and σ is the standard deviation. Use the Z-table to find the corresponding cumulative probability of scoring below that Z-score. For example, for student scores with a mean of 75 and SD of 8, to find the probability of scoring below 70, calculate the Z-score: Z = (70 - 75) / 8 = -0.625. The corresponding cumulative probability from the Z-table is P = 0.2341 .

The Z-score transforms data from normal distributions to standard normal forms, allowing use of the standard normal distribution for probability calculations. Calculating a Z-score using Z = (X - μ) / σ helps locate the position of a particular value relative to the mean in terms of standard deviations. By using the Z-table, it converts any normal distribution to a standard scale, aiding in determining probabilities for varied scenarios, such as finding the likelihood of outcomes lying above, below, or between specified values, exemplified by assessments of battery life or test scores .

Standard deviation quantifies the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of values. In a normal distribution, about 68% of data falls within one standard deviation (σ) of the mean (μ), approximately 95% within two, and nearly 99.7% within three. A smaller standard deviation relative to the mean indicates tightly clustered values, while a larger one suggests a broader spread. For example, if test scores have a mean of 75 and SD of 8, most scores (68%) range from 67 to 83 .

To calculate the probability that a normally distributed random variable falls below a specific value, you first calculate the Z-score using the formula Z = (X - μ) / σ, where X is the value, μ is the mean, and σ is the standard deviation. Then, you use a Z-table to find the probability associated with the calculated Z-score. For example, for a random variable with a mean of 80 and a standard deviation of 6, the probability that the value is less than 90 is found by calculating the Z-score (Z = (90 - 80) / 6 = 1.67), then finding P(Z < 1.67) using the Z-table, which gives a probability of 0.9525 .

Extreme values for a normally distributed dataset can be found by identifying the Z-scores corresponding to the desired tail percentages in the Z-table, often near the 5% or 1% tails. Convert these Z-scores to actual data values using the formula X = Z*σ + μ. For example, to find scores less than which top 5% test scores lie, look up the Z-score approximately equal to 1.645 (for 95% cumulative). Then, convert this Z-score for scores with a mean of 75 and SD of 8: X = 1.645*8 + 75 = 88.16 .

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