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Operational Risk Management Insights

This chapter discusses the importance of Operational Risk Management (ORM) in banks, emphasizing the need for an independent ORM function to identify, measure, and control operational risks. It outlines the regulatory framework for operational capital requirements and introduces methodologies for calculating these requirements, including the Basic Indicator Approach and the Standardized Approach. The chapter also highlights the necessity for banks to establish effective monitoring processes and a strong risk culture to manage operational risks effectively.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
10 views71 pages

Operational Risk Management Insights

This chapter discusses the importance of Operational Risk Management (ORM) in banks, emphasizing the need for an independent ORM function to identify, measure, and control operational risks. It outlines the regulatory framework for operational capital requirements and introduces methodologies for calculating these requirements, including the Basic Indicator Approach and the Standardized Approach. The chapter also highlights the necessity for banks to establish effective monitoring processes and a strong risk culture to manage operational risks effectively.
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

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Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework and Operational


Impact

Chapter · January 2018


DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-69410-8_2

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2
Operational Risk Management: Regulatory
Framework and Operational Impact
Paola Leone and Pasqualina Porretta

Abstract Banks must establish an independent Operational Risk


Management function aimed at defining policies, procedures and meth-
odologies for identifying, measuring, monitoring and controlling opera-
tional risks. In this perspective, this chapter analyses (a) the regulatory
framework on the operational capital requirement; (b) the regulatory
view on Operational Risk Management; and (c) the new Supervisory
Review and Evaluation Process (SREP) in relation to operational risk.
The chapter also attempts to propose an integrated approach able to
defining, managing, monitoring and reporting operational losses together
with capital planning, ICAAP (Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment

Although this chapter has been prepared by both authors jointly, § 2.2, 2.4, 2.8, 2.10, was
written by Paola Leone, whereas §§ 2.1, 2.3, 2.5, 2.6, 2.7, 2.9 by Pasqualina Porretta.

P. Leone · P. Porretta (*)


Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy
e-mail: [Link]@[Link]
P. Leone
e-mail: [Link]@[Link]
© The Author(s) 2018 25
P. Leone et al. (eds.), Measuring and Managing Operational Risk,
Palgrave Macmillan Studies in Banking and Financial Institutions,
[Link]
26   P. Leone and P. Porretta

Process), RAF (Risk Appetite Framework) and risk culture of financial


intermediaries also in accordance with the new SREP perspective.

Keywords Operational regulatory framework · Operational risk


management · Operational Risk Supervision · New SREP

2.1 Operational Risk Management in the


Banking System: First Considerations
As mentioned in the previous chapter, operational risk differs from
other banking risks because normally it is not incurred directly in view
of a profit, but it is inherent the actual implementation of the institu-
tion’s activity, thus affecting its management modalities. However,
an operational risk inadequately managed can translate into a dis-
torted image of the institution’s risk profile and expose it to heavy
losses. Given the particular nature of operational risk, Operational
Risk Management—that is the identification, assessment, monitoring
and control/mitigation of the mentioned risk—assumes particular rel-
evance for financial intermediaries with greater operational complex-
ity. However, this function is still in embryonic phase, waiting for an
adequate organizational and strategic collocation. For several years now,
Authorities have been emphasizing its relevance by issuing an enormous
amount of guidelines and sound practices.
Over the years, banks have used various tools to identify and assess
operational risks, among which:

• Self-assessment, that is the bank’s analysis of its operations and activi-


ties against a range of potential vulnerabilities to operational risk.
This method is endogenous and often makes use of control lists and/
or work groups to identify the points of strength and weakness of the
institution’s context of operational risk. Scorecards, for instance, con-
stitute a tool for translating qualitative assessments into quantitative
parameters on the basis of which a score is given to the different types
of exposure to operational risk. Some scorecards refer to peculiar risks
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
27

typical of a specific operational area, while others refer to risks that


fall transversally within various fields. These scorecards may consider
not only risk factors, but also related mitigation techniques. They can
be used to allocate economic capital to the various business lines on
the basis of the results obtained by managing and controlling the var-
ious aspects of operational risks;
• Risk Mapping, that is the classification of operational units, organiza-
tional functions and process flows on the basis of the different type
of risk. The exercise can identify possible critical areas and thus foster
the definition of priorities for subsequent management interventions;
• Risk indicators, that is statistic and/or numeric quantities, often of
financial nature, capable of providing useful elements for knowing a
bank’s operational risk position. They are generally subject to a peri-
odical review (for instance, every month or every three months) with
the aim to call the bank’s attention towards the possible onset of criti-
cal areas. Examples of risk indicators are the amount of failed transac-
tions, the personnel’s rotation rates, the frequency and/or seriousness
of errors and omissions; and
• Measurement of operational risk exposure through various approaches.
For instance, historical data losses incurred by the bank can pro-
vide useful information for assessing exposure and defining control/
mitigation policies. For said data to be validly used, it is necessary
to develop a methodological framework able to identify systemati-
cally the frequency, seriousness and other relevant aspects of the sin-
gle events that generate loss. Moreover, some banks integrate internal
losses with external ones as well as with scenario analyses and risk
assessment factors.

In order to manage operational risk adequately, an effective monitoring


process needs to be carried out. Regular monitoring fosters a quick iden-
tification and correction of possible lacks related to policies, processes
and procedures in Operational Risk Management. In turn, this can
considerably reduce the potential frequency and/or seriousness of loss
events.
Besides monitoring loss events, banks should define indicators capa-
ble of identifying in advance risk increases of future losses. Therefore,
28   P. Leone and P. Porretta

said indicators (often defined ‘key risk indicators ’ or ‘early warning


indicators ’) need to be forward-looking and may consider as potential
sources of operational risk factors the quick business expansion, the
introduction of new products, the personnel’s turn over, operational
blockings, periods in which systems are still and so on. Since these indi-
cators are directly connected to specific threshold values, the monitoring
process can contribute effectively to identify substantial risks in a trans-
parent way, enabling banks to react adequately.
The frequency of the monitoring should depend on the dimension
of the risk, as well as on the frequency and nature of operational losses.
Monitoring should constitute an integrating part of the bank’s activity.
The results of this activity should be inserted in a report transmitted to
the management and to the Board, together with conformity analyses
provided by the functions of internal audit and/or risk management.
Banks should have policies, processes and procedures for control-
ling and/or mitigating relevant operational risks. In other words, banks
should be able to decide:

• in case of controllable risks, whether to use control procedures and


other appropriate techniques, that is to undertake the actual risks;
• in case of risks that are not controllable, whether to undertake them,
reduce the range of the activity or totally interrupt it.

Besides establishing control processes and procedures, banks should


develop a framework capable of assuring compliance with a set of inter-
nal policies related to the risk management system, integrated with a
sound culture of control, promoting correct behaviours in Operational
Risk Management. The Board and the senior management are in charge
of fostering said culture, which must become an integrating part of the
bank’s normal activities.
According to the current regulatory framework, in fact, the Board of
Directors are called to:
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
29

• approve and implement a system at company level developed


expressly to manage operational risk as a distinct typology of risk, for
the bank’s security and resilience;
• establish a managerial structure capable of implementing the bank’s
Operational Risk Management;
• review the system periodically to make sure that the bank is man-
aging the operational risks arising from changes in the market and
other external factors, or from the introduction of new products,
activities and systems; and
• activate a rigorous and organized process of internal audit.

The senior management should translate the principles of the


Operational Risk Management system developed by the Board into:

• specific policies, procedures and processes implementable and verifi-


able within the scope of action of the bank’s various business units;
• making sure that:
i. the bank’s activities are carried out by qualified personnel;
ii. the bank’s Operational Risk Management policies have been
communicated with clarity to the personnel at all levels in the
units in which there are relevant operational risks; and
iii. the personnel in charge of managing operational risks commu-
nicate effectively with the personnel in charge of credit risks,
market risks and any other type of risks, as well as with offices
in charge of purchasing external services, such as insurance and
outsourcing services.
The issue concerning the assessment of operational risk events has
already been covered in the previous chapter. The following paragraphs
will provide a brief overview of the regulatory methodologies for meas-
uring the operational capital requirement.
30   P. Leone and P. Porretta

2.2 Regulatory Approaches for Measuring


Capital Requirements. An Introduction
Basel II introduced for the first time an explicit capital requirement
even for operational risks, whose rules and regulations are therefore
equated with those of market and credit risks. The prudential treat-
ment of operational risk lies in the estimate of three methodologies for
calculating the capital requirement that is the Basic Indicator Approach,
BIA; the Traditional Standardized Approach, TSA; and the Advanced
Measurement Approach, AMA. These three regulatory approaches for cal-
culating the operational risk capital are characterized by an increasing
level of sophistication and risk sensitivity.

2.2.1 Basic Indicator Approach

The Basic Indicator Approach—currently regulated by Articles 315


and 316 of Regulation (EU) No. 575/2013 of 26 June 2013 (Capital
Requirements Regulation or CRR, implementing Basel III)—is char-
acterized by its simple calculation and accessibility due to the absence
of specific requirements for the banks wanting to use it. However, it
reveals scarce correlation with the risk incurred by the single institu-
tions, because the calculation parameters are not defined on the basis
of the institution’s historical data, but at system level. Under the Basic
Indicator Approach, the own funds requirement for operational risk is
equal to 15% of the average over three years of the relevant indicator
as set out in Article 316. Institutions shall calculate the average over
three years of the relevant indicator on the basis of the last three twelve-
monthly observations at the end of the financial year. When audited
figures are not available, institutions may use business estimates. This
indicator (intermediation margin (IM) is approximable to an amount
of the correlation between the total volume of the banking activity,
expressed by the exposure indicator, and the operational risk. The cor-
rect ‘calibration’ of the coefficient used to approximate the relationship
between the volume of operativeness and the related level of exposure
to the operational risk arising from it, results to be a key aspect in this
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
31

approach. The three-yearly average is calculated on the basis of the last


three positive observations on annual basis carried out at the end of the
fiscal year. Therefore, the formula is:
3
i=1 IMi α
KBIA
3

where:

KBIA  the capital requirement under the Basic Indicator Approach.


=
IMi = the intermediation margin related to a given year that is one
of the last three years in which the gross income achieved was
positive. For institutions applying accounting standards estab-
lished by Directive 86/635/EEC, based on the accounting cat-
egories for the profit and loss account of institutions under
Article 27 of CRR, this indicator is the sum of these elements
with their positive or negative signs: (1) interest receivable and
similar income, (2) interest payable and similar charges, (3)
income from shares and other variable/fixed-yield securities, (4)
commissions/fees receivable, (5) commissions/fees payable, (6)
net profit or net loss on financial operations, (7) other operating
income
α = a fixed percentage, set by the Basel Committee (currently
15%).

An aspect worthy of particular attention concerns the choice of the


intermediation margin as proxy of the exposure to operational risk. In
this regard, there are several perplexities concerning the use of said indi-
cator to express the dimension of banking operativeness and concerning
the relationship (fixed percentage established by the Basel Committee)
assumed by the regulatory framework between the amount of said indi-
cator and the exposure to operational risk. Operational risks connected
to catastrophe events or other external factors do not present any type
of relationship with the broadness of the mentioned margin. On the
contrary, it has been observed that a larger volume of the intermedia-
tion margin allows to mitigate the impact caused by operational losses,
32   P. Leone and P. Porretta

especially those characterized by greater severity. Therefore, on the basis


of empirical evidence, there seems to be an inverse relationship between
the intermediation margin and the capital requirement with respect to
operational risk. Hence, the key characteristics of the Basic Indicator
Approach are two: on the one hand, the easy calculation and the effort-
less data collection, and on the other hand, the inadequacy in consid-
ering the different operational riskiness of the various activities carried
out by a bank. The simplistic connotation of this approach helps under-
stand the absence of specific recommendations concerning its adoption,
in any case, subject to compliance with the general principles of opera-
tional risk governance and management. It is also important to high-
light that this model tends to adapt better to smaller realities, due to the
modest level of operational diversification and the moderate complexity
of measurement systems that generally characterize smaller banks.

2.2.2 Standardized Approach—SA

The Standardized Approach—regulated by Articles 317 and 318 of the


CRR—requires the division of the bank’s activities into eight business
lines and differs the capital requirement on the basis of the risks related
to each business line. The Standardized Approach defines capital require-
ment as the three-yearly average of the sum of the annual requirements
for all business lines, which in turn are calculated by multiplying a fac-
tor (denoted beta) by an indicator (intermediation margin in a given fiscal
year for a given business line) assigned to the specific business line. In any
given year, institutions may offset negative own funds requirements result-
ing from a negative part of the relevant indicator in any business line with
positive own funds requirements in other business lines without limit.
However, where the aggregate own funds requirement across all business
lines within a given year is negative, institutions shall use the value zero
as the input to the numerator for that year. As underline in the Article
318 (CRR), business line mapping must be well documented; institutions
shall develop and document specific policies and criteria for mapping the
relevant indicator for current business lines and activities into the stand-
ardized framework. They shall review and adjust those policies and criteria
as appropriate for new or changing business activities and risks.
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
33

The ratio of the Standardized Approach implies that banks whose


business lines are particularly risky in terms of operational risk must
hold a higher capital considering said exposure. The formula for calcu-
lating the capital requirement against the operational risk through the
Standardized Approach is expressed as follows:
 
8
k=1 (IM k βk )i ; o
KSA
3
where:

KSA  the capital requirement under the Standardized Approach;


=
IMk = the intermediation margin in a given fiscal year for a given
business line; and
βk = a fixed percentage (set by the Committee) which refers the
level of required capital to the level of intermediation margin for
each of the eight business lines.

Analogously to what already observed previously with reference to the


α coefficient, the β coefficients express a measure of the relationship
between the volume of operativeness connected to the different business
lines and the correlated risk of losses. The β factor is a proxy of the rela-
tionship existing within the entire sector between operational risk losses,
historically identified in a specific business line, and the aggregated
value of the intermediation margin for the same line.
With reference to each specific business line, the β factor is defined as
indicated in Table 2.1.
In order to use the Standardized Approach, institutions must ful-
fil several criteria provided for by European regulations as mentioned
under Article 320 of the CRR. Said criteria—however, less strict than
those indicated in the previous version of the regulatory framework
(Basel II)—are as follows:

– The bank must be provided with a well-documented Operational


Risk Management and assessment system, with clearly appointed
responsibilities. Said system, subject to periodical independent
34   P. Leone and P. Porretta

Table 2.1 Business line. Source Basel Committee on Banking Supervision


Corporate finance 18% IM
Trading & sales 18% IM
Retail banking 12% IM
Commercial banking 15% IM
Payment & settlement 18% IM
Agency services 15% IM
Asset management 12% IM
Retail brokerage 12% IM

reviews carried out by internal or external auditors, is aimed at iden-


tifying exposures and relevant data on operational risk, including sig-
nificant losses.
– The operational risk assessment system must be closely integrated
into the bank’s overall risk management process of the institution. Its
output shall be an integral part of the process of monitoring and con-
trolling the institution’s operational risk profile.
– The bank must implement a communication system with the senior
management so as to provide reports to those in charge of the various
functions concerning the institution’s exposure to operational risk.
– The bank must develop procedures that allow to carry out appropri-
ate actions on the basis of the information provided in said reports.

This methodology is more complex and refined compared to the previ-


ous one since, keeping into account the composition of the bank’s port-
folio activities, it allows to identify several differences in the risk profile.
However, the adoption of β coefficients set by Supervisory Authorities
(derived from the data system) limits the capability of this approach to
represent the bank’s real risk profile. The SA approach does not allow to
obtain precise information on the causes of operational riskiness, with
inevitable prejudice towards the development of adequate Operational
Risk Management strategies and techniques.
Moreover, the hypothesis of a perfect correlation among the various
loss events is criticizable, under the assumption that the operational
losses of the various business lines are identified contextually, thus
requiring for the bank to hold a sufficient capital in order to face the
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
35

combined events. Lastly, it is important to highlight that the poten-


tial capital saving associated with the adoption of the Standardized
Approach instead of the BIA—because more adherent to the risk profile
of each single bank—strongly depends on the business lines in which
the single banks generate a greater volume of intermediation margin. In
fact, with reference to the prevailing nature of the activities carried out,
it is possible for a bank to generate most of its intermediation margin
in the business lines with the highest levels of the β coefficient (18%).
In said circumstances, it may be necessary to hold a higher capital for
regulatory purposes, compared to when the Basic Indicator Approach is
applied, despite the risk profile being the same.

2.2.3 Alternative Standardized Approach—ASA

The national Supervisory Authorities have discretionary powers to allow


a bank to use the Alternative Standardized Approach (ASA), as long as
the institution is able to prove that by using the Standard Approach
some risks would result overestimated and that the ASA can offer a bet-
ter basis, for instance, to avoid duplications in calculating risks.
In particular, Article 319 (CRR)—based on the same rules set out
in the Basel Accord—provides for institutions to apply, for the busi-
ness lines ‘retail banking’ and ‘commercial banking’, the relevant indi-
cator is a normalized income indicator equal to the nominal amount
of loans and advances multiplied by 0.035. To be permitted to use the
Alternative Standardized Approach, an institution shall meet all the fol-
lowing conditions:

a. its retail or commercial banking activities shall account for at least


90% of its income;
b. a significant proportion of its retail or commercial banking activities
shall comprise loans associated with a high PD; and
c. the Alternative Standardized Approach provides an appropriate basis
for calculating its own funds requirement for operational risk.
36   P. Leone and P. Porretta

The underlying motivation for applying an indicator of normalized


income is ascribable to the difficulties that banks could incur in disag-
gregating loans and advance payments related to activities falling within
the retail business line from loans and advance payments related to
activities falling within the commercial business line.
In order to calculate the capital requirement, beta coefficients
remain unvaried for the two mentioned operational lines (respectively,
12% and 15%), and it is possible to aggregate the two lines using a
beta equal to 15%. Even this method follows the treatment reserved
to negative values of the annual capital requirement described in the
Standardized Approach. Therefore, the total capital requirement under
the ASA is the simple sum of the coefficients of each of the eight busi-
ness lines:
 
2 4 8
i=1 (IM i βi ) + i=3 (LAβi m) + i=5 (IM i βi )
KASA
3
where:

KASA  the capital requirement under the Alternative Standardized


=
Approach (ASA);
IMi = the level of the exposure indicator for the given business line
(intermediation margin: the average annual income resulting
from the three previous fiscal years for each of the six business
lines);
βi = a fixed percentage, set by the Committee, for the given busi-
ness line;
m = a fixed factor set by the Committee (currently equal to
0.035); and
LA = the average over the last three fiscal years of the total loans
and advance payments (not pondered for the risk and net of
allocations) of the retail business line and the commercial busi-
ness lines (that is, business lines 3 and 4).
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
37

2.3 Advanced Measurement Approaches


(AMA)
The last approach proposed by the Basel Committee for measuring and
managing operational risk (AMA) is not identifiable, like the BIA and
SA, as an analytical formulation, but it gives the possibility to use a
wide range of models, characterized by a growing level of risk sophis-
tication and sensitivity. The Basel Committee’s decision to propose a
set of models—instead of a single one—for measuring risk is aimed at
providing banks with a broad flexibility in processing the methodology
used for calculating capital requirement, so as to make it consistent with
the bank’s business model and related operational risk profiles.
The Supervisory Authority authorizes banks that fulfil specific quan-
titative and qualitative requirements—besides company governance
mechanisms and organizational requirements with reference to internal
controls and Operational Risk Management system—to calculate capi-
tal requirement for operational risks with analytical measurement mod-
els capable of expressing the absorption of economic capital associated
with this typology of risk. This permits to represent the riskiness of a
bank’s activity more appropriately. Therefore, the AMA offer the advan-
tage of a more accurate measurement of the exposure to operational
risk, because developed ad hoc for the single bank.
In principle, the AMA entail a reduction of the operational capital
requirement for three main reasons:

• They allow to keep into account the correlation effects among the
risk level of the various business lines. The Committee recognizes
said possibility, as long as correlation estimates are based on a rigor-
ous and sound methodology, capable of reflecting the uncertainty of
which they are typically characterized.
• They allow to obtain capital discounts against the use of insurance
policies. In other words, banks that adopt the AMA can recognize
insurance products as mitigation factor to operational risk exposure
in the calculation of the related capital requirement.
38   P. Leone and P. Porretta

• They allow the exclusion of expected losses from the capital value
to allocate with respect to operational risk, as long as banks are able
to prove to the Supervisory Authority to have kept into account the
expected losses in the allocations to risk funds and in product pric-
ing. The Basel Committee does not limit the bank’s choice con-
cerning the approach to use in calculating the capital requirement,
although it subjects the use to the fulfilment of qualitative and quan-
titative criteria. In particular, three possible methodologies are pro-
posed under the AMA: the Internal Measurement Approach (IMA),
the Scorecard Approach and the Loss Distribution Approach (LDA)
(Fig. 2.1).

2.3.1 Internal Measurement Approach

In the Internal Measurement Approach, the capital requirement is cal-


culated assuming a stable relationship (linear, but even more complex)
between unexpected losses and expected losses. Operational expected
losses are defined similarly to credit risk that is combining estimates of
probability of loss event (PE) with the impact that it can produce (LGE),
on the basis of historical data, with an exposure indicator (EI), making

Internal Measurement Loss Distribution Scorecard


Approach Approach Approach

Phases: Phases: Scoring process:


• 8 Business lines • Frequency • Scorecard
• Exposure indicator distribution; • Qualitative
(EI); • Severity assessments
• Probability of event distribution; translated into
(PE); • Aggregated loss quantitative
• Loss given event distribution; estimates
(LGE); • VaR (99.9 %);
• EL = EI·PE·LGE; • Sum of the VaR of
• K = γ·EL each business line

Fig. 2.1 AMA methodologies. Source Authors’ elaboration


2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
39

a distinction for each business line and each event type. Basically, assum-
ing a linear relationship, with coefficient γ , between absorption (K ) and
expected losses (EL), for event i of business line j, the formula is:
Ki,j = γi,j ∗ ELi,j = γi,j ∗ EIi,j ∗ PEi,j ∗ LGEi,j ;
usually, for the total absorption, the simple sum of the various absorp-
tions is calculated on the basis of the building block approach.
n 
 m n 
 m
 
KIMA = EIi,j · PEi,j · LGEI,J · γi,j = ELi,j · γi,j
i=1 j=1 i=1 j=1

where:

KIMA = the capital requirement under the IMA;


γi,j  a fixed percentage, proposed by banks and accepted by
=
Supervisory Authorities, on the basis of expected losses for
each combination of business line and event type;
EIi,j = the level of exposure indicator for the given business line
and event type;
PEi,j = the probability of a loss event for the given business line and
event type; and
LGEi,j = the average loss should a loss event occur for the given busi-
ness line and event type.

2.3.2 Loss Distribution Approach

Potentially, the Loss Distribution Approach (LDA) can reflect better


than the previous approach the actual risk incurred by the single banks.
It differs from the previous one in the fact that the estimate of the unex-
pected losses is carried out directly and not in a mediated manner that is
through the assumption of hypotheses concerning the possible relation-
ship between expected losses and unexpected losses (which translated
into the multiplying factor γ). For each business line and for each loss
event, the bank must:
40   P. Leone and P. Porretta

• estimate two probability distributions: (1) The frequency distribu-


tion of the loss event (PE) given a temporal horizon of one year; (2)
The severity distribution of the loss upon the occurrence of the event
(LGE);
• develop, on the basis of the two distributions mentioned, the cumu-
lated distribution of losses;
• calculate the Value at Risk of said distribution; and
• sum the VaR calculated for each combination of business line/loss
event so as to obtain the capital requirement with respect to oper-
ational risk or use techniques that keep into account the imperfect
correlation among losses related to the various categories of events.

The bank is free to assume that the probability loss distributions of fre-
quency and severity have different forms (e.g. Poisson and log-normal),
or it can obtain the form of said distributions empirically. In particular,
Poisson’s probability distribution is particularly fit to represent the dis-
tribution of the amount of losses registered in a year, since the under-
lying hypotheses consist in a low probability that the event may occur
and the independence of the variable amount of events from one year
to another. The LDA will be analysed more in detail in Chaps. 3 and 4.

2.3.3 Scorecard Approach

The calculation of the capital requirement with respect to operational


risk through the Scorecard Approach obliges the bank to:

• define capital requirement at the level of the whole institution,


using estimate methods analogous to those used in the previous
approaches;
• attribute the capital to the single business units according to the
related risk profile, established on the basis of the result of the
scorecards;
• identify a number of indicators capable of expressing particular types
of risk within the single business lines;
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
41

• develop scorecards that reflect the risk of the single business lines and
the effectiveness of the internal control system (capacity to reduce the
frequency and severity of future operational losses);
• require for the personnel of each unit to fill in scorecards periodically
(at least once a year);
• use the internal loss data to validate the results of the scorecards;
• submit the scorecards to the review of the internal control system; and
• adjust the capital requirement and review the allocation of the same
along the various business lines on the basis of the results of the
scorecards.

Therefore, the bank translates the qualitative assessments, resulting


from a scoring process, into forecasting quantitative estimates, based
on risk indicators tested and approved by the Supervisory Authority. In
order to fall within the category of the AMA, said methodologies must
be founded on solid quantitative bases and rigorous analyses of inter-
nal and external data. The determining element that emerges from said
regulatory forecast is the acknowledgement, not only theoretical, of the
fundamental role carried out by internal controls in Operational Risk
Management. Said acknowledgement constitutes an effective incentive
to improve an institution’s internal control system.
The Supervisory Authority does not limit the choice concerning
the methodological approach to use in calculating capital requirement
according to an Internal Measurement Approach, although it subjects
the use to the fulfilment of quantitative and qualitative criteria. The
Authority does not impose any particular model of probability distribu-
tion of losses arising from operational risk. Actually, each bank want-
ing to adopt an advanced approach is free to choose among the many
operational risk measurement methodologies (which will be presented
in Chap. 3).
Initially, the adoption of the AMA can concern only several busi-
ness lines, and it is nonetheless subject to a period of observation by
the Supervisory Authority so that it can assess the credibility and cor-
respondence of the risk management system to the activities carried
out by the specific institution. In general, the capital requirement on
42   P. Leone and P. Porretta

operational risks is given by the sum of the expected and unexpected


losses, estimated through the calculation approach; it can be reduced
through the use of insurance policies and other mechanisms of risk
transfer within the limit of twenty per cent of the gross requirement.
More in detail, the bank’s use of an internal measurement system
requires to estimate unexpected losses in a reasonable measure, on the
basis of an integrated manner, of relevant internal and external loss data,
of scenario analyses, as well as of the bank’s specific factors related to the
operational context and internal control system.

2.4 Data Collection


Regulation No. 575/2013 (CRR) allows banks to make use of the most
sophisticated methods, that is the Advanced Measurement Approaches,
based on four data categories of operational risk. Specifically, the four
primary data sources are internal loss data (historical operational loss),
external loss data (coming from external and consortia databases and
used to deal with sparse nature of ILD, particularly for large or ‘tail’
losses), scenario data (used to fill the gap due to sparse ILD data and
provide alternative forward-looking and a subjective view of the oper-
ational risk) and business environment and internal control factors
(BEICF, typically consisting of risk and control assessments, KRIs and
KCIs), where only the first data source is in SMA and the others are
not. As mentioned, it is an integrated data collection (Fig. 2.2).
According to the regulatory ratio, said data collection process must
be able to integrate more specifically:

• Internal Loss Data: said data represent the key component of devel-
oping a reliable and accurate system for measuring operational risks.
The collection of internal loss data,1 unavoidable condition for the
development and functioning of the system, allows financial inter-
mediaries to use the data on several fronts: as validation tool of the
latter’s inputs and outputs; as basis for empirical risk estimates; and
as element connecting loss events with decisions made with refer-
ence to risk management and control. The internal loss data mapping
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
43

Fig. 2.2 An integrated data collection: four data categories. Source Authors’
elaboration

is referred to not only the losses gross of recoveries, but also the
recoveries amounts, the date on which the event occurred, if avail-
able, as well as identification and accounting. In order to calculate
the capital requirement, the bank identifies fit minimum thresholds
of loss, keeping into account the characteristics of operational risk
classes. The thresholds identified must not entail the exclusion of
significant loss data and must not condition the reliability and accu-
racy of operational risk distributions and measures. The bank must
include in the mapping all the operational loss data identified above
the thresholds. In exceptional cases, it can also be possible to exclude
data that would determine a distorted and inconsistent representa-
tion of the bank’s operational risk profile. The system for measuring
operational risks must be based on a minimum five-year period of
observation of the internal data. This period is reduced to three years
when the advanced approaches are launched for the first time. The
bank defines opportune classification criteria of the internal data to
be attributed to the business lines and the loss events identified.
• External Loss Data: said data mainly come from consortia sources
(information provided by a set of banks and other financial interme-
diaries), market sources (archives acquired by suppliers of the sector)
or processed internally on the basis of information collected. The cor-
rect mapping and classification of all risk events occurred and related
44   P. Leone and P. Porretta

are the prerequisite for carrying out analyses correctly and the con-
sequent planning/realization of interventions useful for improving
the Operational Risk Management process. The key critical aspects
of the loss data collection, ascribable to its limited covering and weak
predictive nature, justify the fact of supporting this component with
external data and experts’ estimates. Integration is even more neces-
sary for major events, called also black swan events (low-frequency,
high-impact, LFHI), increasing the limit connected both to the high
level of context dependency and to the scarcity of data available. The
gaps in a bank’s historical experience can be filled, at least in part,
by drawing information from consortia databases: these, besides con-
stituting a useful methodological model of reference for organizing
internal data collection, fill the asymmetries in a large amount of
observations. Upon prior implementation of scaling formulas based
on a linear factor that allows to adapt the data of the external sam-
ple to the probability distribution of the single bank, the LFHI loss
events can fall within the latter, allowing to investigate the tail distri-
bution. For statistical analyses to be accurate and extreme events to
be relevant, the temporal horizon of the external data collection must
be broad; the range of intermediaries must be sufficiently wide; and
the data must be homogeneous by defining the loss to be reported,
by developing a decisional tree for risk events and by mapping the
business lines. Most banks are members of a data collection consor-
tium2: each member reports internal loss events using a standard for-
mat and has access to other banks’ loss events; the standard format
includes loss size, Basel event type and business line, and date of loss;
the motivation for using ELD is its size; and difficulty comes from
potential disparities between banks’ risk profiles and differences in
loss frequencies and severities.
• Scenario analysis: it is necessary to integrate the scenario analy-
sis in the operational measurement system, especially when the
bank is exposed to high-severity losses, although not very frequent.
Scenario data must be reliable and consistent with the bank’s risk
profile. Therefore, generating data must be exempt as much as pos-
sible from elements of subjectivity and distortions. In order to reach
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
45

said aim, the bank can adopt the following techniques: (i) it can set
criteria for choosing the risk classes to which to apply the scenarios
so as to identify informative sources; (ii) it can involve a plurality
of experts, internal or external the bank, who will participate in the
process for defining scenarios; and (iii) it can compare internal loss
data and external loss data with the results of the scenario analyses so
as to verify their capacity to identify the actual operational risk pro-
file. External data can be used for scenario assessment. Some selected
external losses can be added to internal losses; a joint data set is fit-
ted with a severity. An approach is to fit internal and external losses
with distributions and take a weighted average of these distributions:
Parameter Averaging; Quantile Averaging with Constant Weights;
and Quantile Averaging with Non-Constant Weights.
• Business Environment and Internal Control Factors (BEICF): as men-
tioned, these factors are important for establishing the bank’s risk
profile. In fact, the aim of the BEICF is to incorporate in the esti-
mate of capital requirement a forward-looking elements capable of
reflecting as quick as possible the improvement or worsening of the
bank’s risk profile following changes that can occur in business lines,
human resources, technological and organizational resources and the
internal control system. In other words, apart from the possibility to
use loss data (actual or based on scenario analyses), an overall opera-
tional risk assessment methodology must allow to identify the busi-
ness environment and internal control factors, since these can modify
the institution’s operational risk profile. By using these factors, risk
assessment should result more forward-looking and represent the sta-
tus of the actual factors directly. They should also foster the align-
ment of the institution’s assessment of needs with the aims of risk
management, and lastly, they should promptly identify improvement
or worsening in operational risk profiles. In the light of the above,
each factor is identified on the basis of the predictive capacity of
exposure to operational risks. In particular, the BEICF are expressed
in the form of Key Risk Indicators (KRIs), Key Performance
Indicators (KPIs) or Key Control Indicators (KCIs) as highlighted in
Table 2.2.
46   P. Leone and P. Porretta

Table 2.2 Business environment and internal control factors. Source Authors’
elaboration
BEICF
KRI This is a metric of a risk factor. It provides information on the institu-
tion’s level of exposure to a given operational risk at a particular point
in time. KRIs are useful tools for business line managers, for the senior
management and the Board of Directors as they help monitor the
level of risk taking within an activity or institution, with regard to risk
appetite
KPI This indicator measures performance or the achievement of targets. Key
Control Indicators, usually referred to as KCIs, are metrics that provide
information on the extent to which a given control system is meeting
its intended objectives. Failed tests on key controls are natural exam-
ples of effective KCIs

The BEICF can be used by institutions as a means of control for track-


ing changes in exposure to operational risk; they may play a more
dominant role in the risk measurement system. When selected appro-
priately, these indicators should flag any likely change or the impact
of an occurring risk. For financial institutions that use AMA, Internal
Measurement Approaches, KPIs, KRIs and KCIs are advisable met-
rics (Vinella and Jin 2005) to capture BEICF. While the definition of
BEICF differs among jurisdictions and in many cases is specific to indi-
vidual organizations, these factors must be risk sensitive; provide man-
agement with information on the institution’s risk profile; represent
meaningful drivers of exposure which can be quantified; and be used
across the entire institution.3 Incorporating BEICF into Operational
Risk Modelling is a reflection of the modelling assumption that opera-
tional risk can be viewed as a function for controlling the environment.

2.5 AMA Methodologies: LDA


An appropriate system for measuring operational risks should be based
on a preventive mapping of causal factors from which to ascribe histori-
cal losses reported by the bank and other banks, in the light of which it
is possible to create an adequate database. Said database results essential
for reaching an efficient operational risk measurement.
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
47

As we underline before, under the AMA, one of the most used meth-
ods to calculate operational loss distribution is the LDA approach (Loss
Distribution Approach )4 which breaks down the aggregated losses into
frequency and severity components. After estimating the frequency and
severity distribution of loss events and, therefore, the aggregated distri-
bution of losses, the determination of the VaR should lead to estimate
the maximum potential loss that a business unit and, subsequently, the
entire bank (summing the VaR of the single business unit) may undergo
in a specific holding period and at a certain level of confidence. The
LDA presents the advantage of a more accurate and consistent meas-
urement of the institution’s exposure to operational risk, because devel-
oped ad hoc for the single bank; this does not mean, though, that it
produces a lower capital requirement compared to the other methodol-
ogies for calculating capital requirement. Results may be lower or higher
than any result obtained with the Basic Indicator Approach or with the
Standardized Approach.
Under the LDA, for each business line and for each loss event, the
bank must:

• estimate two probability distributions: (1) The frequency distribu-


tion of the loss event (PE) given a holding period (frequency distribu-
tion); (2) The severity distribution of the loss upon the occurrence of
the event (severity distribution). The hypothesis normally adopted is
that loss data are independent and identically distributed, and that
the useful information contained in the historical series is caught
completely by two fundamental dimensions associated with the loss
event: frequency and severity;
• develop, on the basis of the two distributions mentioned, the cumu-
lated distribution of losses. To determine the aggregated loss distri-
bution function through analytical methods is an extremely complex
operation. The simplest solution for determining loss distribution
consists in recurring to simulation techniques. The development of
the severity and frequency distribution of loss events for each busi-
ness line cannot be carried out exclusively through statistical tech-
niques and traditional distributions;
48   P. Leone and P. Porretta

• calculate the Value at Risk of said distribution on an annual holding


period as to the interval of confidence chosen by the bank (consist-
ently with the choices defined in its Risk Appetite Framework5); and
• sum the VaR calculated for each combination of business line/loss
event so as to obtain the capital requirement with respect to the oper-
ational risk or use techniques that keep into account the imperfect
correlation among losses related to the various categories of events
(Fig. 2.3).

This different phases will be discussed synthetically in the below para-


graphs but will be deepened in the Chaps. 4 and 5.

2.5.1 Frequency Distribution

Frequency distribution is the distribution of the amount of operational


losses occurred in the holding period. To develop the frequency distri-
bution of a loss event means to measure the number of times in which
the event type occurred in different periods within a business line and
to describe the probability according to which that event will occur
1, 2, …, n times in the same period of time (e.g. one year).
For this distribution, only internal loss data are used because they are
more fit to estimate the frequency of a given loss event and represent the
bank’s characteristics.
The bank is free to assume that the probability frequency and sever-
ity loss distributions have different forms (e.g. Poisson and log-normal),
or it can obtain the form of said distributions empirically. Frequency
is defined as the probability distribution of the number of operational
losses during a year. To develop the frequency distribution of a loss
event means to measure the number of times in which the event type
occurred in different periods within a business line and describe the
probability according to which that event will occur 1, 2, …, n times in
the same period of time (e.g. one year).
Often the Poisson distribution6 is used in frequency distribution, as it
well represents the number of events that can occur in a given period of
time. The estimate is carried out through the moments method, and the
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
49

Analysis of the Historical Data Scenario Analysis

Collection of risk
scenarios
Development of a Loss Data
Collection

Establishment of
Definition of the granularity theoretical
of the model frequency and
severity distributions

Frequency distribution
Parametrization of
the model

Severity distribution
Determination of
risk measures

Generation of aggregated
loss distributions

Aggregation of
results
Calculation of risk measures
and stabilization of results

Integration of the results of historical data and scenario analyses

Capital requirement- Operational VaRR

Fig. 2.3 Process for calculating the capital requirement with respect to opera-
tional risk. Source Authors’ elaboration
50   P. Leone and P. Porretta

fitting of the data with reference to the chosen distribution is verified


through the Q-Q Plot and other quantitative methods. In general, the
Poisson distribution well approximates the frequency of many events.
However, it tends to overestimate the probability that events may occur
few times (e.g. in a day) compared to the probability that they may
occur many times, since the events considered within operational risk
are rarely independent. Therefore, it is easy that if one event occurs,
another one will occur as well.
Besides showing a trend compatible with the dynamics of the opera-
tional losses observed, another advantage of the Poisson function is that
it estimates a single parameter, coinciding with both the average and the
variance. Other distributions used are the binomial and the negative
binomial, in particular when the data observed produce significant dif-
ferences between the average and variance estimates.
At this point, it is important to observe that the crucial moment for
a bank when implementing an LDA is when it has to make a good esti-
mate of the severity distribution. The reason for which said moment
is crucial lies in the impact that the mentioned loss events could have.
Said events are present in the right tail of the severity distribution,
and despite often being low-frequency events, they can have a relevant
impact on the absorption of regulatory capital. It is for this reason that
given the limited experience of tail events in financial institutions’ inter-
nal data, the supervisory framework has required with reference to oper-
ational risk the incorporation of extra data, that is external data or data
coming from scenario analyses.

2.5.2 Severity Distribution

Severity distribution represents the density of the probability of losses


arising from a single operational event. To develop the severity distribu-
tion, it is necessary to measure the impact of the amount of losses deriv-
ing from the event type considered in a business line and establish the
probability according to which the loss deriving from said event type
will assume specific monetary values. The calculation of the first four
moments of the sample (arithmetic average, variance, skewness index
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
51

and kurtosis index) allows to establish whether the data sample is dis-
tributed normally; whether the distribution presents a positive or nega-
tive asymmetry; and whether it is hypernormal or hyponormal (many
distributions of operational losses are asymmetric and leptokurtic and
have heavy tails). Dividing the amount of losses into value intervals, it
is possible to observe the frequencies with which data fall within each
interval and verify whether the distribution has heavy tails. The type of
mathematical function usually used in order to represent the distribu-
tion of the phenomenon observed (i.e. to substitute the empirical curve
with a theoretical curve that answers a mathematical function) consists
of a continuous distribution; this is unlike the distributions candidate
to approximate frequency loss distributions which can be discrete, if a
small amount of events occur in a period of time, and continuous only
if a sufficiently high number of events occur in each period of time.
After identifying the proper distribution for representing the data, a
series of formal tests are carried out so as to verify the conformity of the
sample of observations with the theoretical distributions selected (good-
ness-of-fit test). The conformity tests have the aim to assess the overall fit-
ting (of the distribution average, variability and form) of the observations
of a sample to a theoretical model, that is to verify that the data observed
come from the distribution selected with the parameters estimated.
An important property of the density function is that it cannot
assume negative values; it will have a single tail: the right tail. Generally,
severity is divided into two parts: the body and the right tail. This dis-
tinction is made principally because the typologies of distributions
used for the body (such as the log-normal) do not allow to identify the
extreme loss events (those of the right tail).

2.5.3 Body Severity Distribution

The body severity distribution generally refers to internal losses, that is


losses which refer to the data observed within the bank, connected to
the institution’s operational model. The body distribution of each sin-
gle loss event follows a specific distribution that can be modelled, for
instance, with a log-normal distribution.7
52   P. Leone and P. Porretta

Generally speaking, ‘adjustments’ are carried out in the body of the


severity distribution making it a cut log-normal distribution, since the
bank’s risk management, in defining ‘internal loss data ’, sets threshold
data for each risk class, while operational losses under the threshold are
not taken into consideration in the data set. This means that the distri-
bution is cut in correspondence with the threshold. It can be assumed,
in general, that the losses not observed under the threshold follow the
same loss distribution observed above the threshold. Consequently, all
this implies the estimate of conditioned frequencies and severities based
on loss events above the threshold.
As it can be well understood, to set a threshold below which loss data
are excluded from the data set, implies the risk not to keep into account
loss data that can turn out to be important. Hence, as suggested even by
the regulatory framework, cut models are used as well as shifted mod-
els which do not envisage any assumption concerning a loss distribu-
tion not observed below the threshold. In fact, frequency and severity
parameters are estimated assuming that the losses observed follow a par-
ticular distribution after a shift. In other words, the aim of the shifted
model is not to understand the behaviour of losses below the threshold.
However, if it were necessary to investigate the case, said losses would
not follow the same loss distribution above the threshold.8

[Link] Estimate of the Log-Normal Distribution Parameters

In order to estimate parameters of the body severity distribution (µ̂, σ̂ 2),


the most fit methodology is that of the maximum likelihood estimation—
MLE, which allows to establish estimators that are considered better
than those established with other methodologies.
The MLE method starts from what is defined likelihood function,
which indicates the probability density (in the case of continuous vari-
ables) to observe a fixed sample (the operational losses present in the
data set), upon the varying of parameter .9
n

L(�; x1 , x2 , . . . , xn ) = fx (x1 , x2 , . . . , xn ) = f (x; �)
i=1
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
53

where:

L is the likelihood function;


fx is the density probability function of X; and
 is the vector of the parameters.

In the likelihood function, the sample data are known, while the
parameter  is not. It is important to highlight that among various val-
ues of , the greatest one is to be preferred, that is the most likely one,
thus tending to the value of  that maximizes the likelihood function.
This leads to the maximum likelihood which is obtained choosing a
 such as to maximize the likelihood function L.
¯ = maxL(�; x1 , x2 , . . . , xn )

The value of , as mentioned, is not known; hence, in order to estab-
lish it, it is necessary to proceed either analytically or through specific
software. In the specific case of the cut log-normal distribution, it is
not possible to reach a clarification of the maximum likelihood estima-
tors for analytical reasons. Therefore, it is necessary to recur to specific
methodologies.

[Link] Goodness-of-Fit Test of the Distribution

Once defined how to distribute the body severity and once estimated
the parameters with the MLE method, it is necessary to make sure that
the distribution chosen—in this case, the log-normal—fits the loss data
at disposal at the best. To assess the goodness of fit, it is possible to start
by using a graphic method, the Quantile-Quantile Plot (Q-Q Plot). The
latter allows to assess, through graphic representation, whether the loss
data set at disposal fits well with the theoretical distribution chosen.
If there is correspondence between the two distributions—the theo-
retical distribution and the actual distribution of loss data—it means
that the theoretical distribution chosen does not underestimate or over-
estimate the actual loss data distribution.
54   P. Leone and P. Porretta

However, this graphic method is not sufficient to verify alone


the goodness of fit of the actual data to the theoretical distribution.
Therefore, it is generally supported by more precise quantitative meth-
ods. These methods refer to statistical tests that verify whether or not
the loss data at disposal are distributed according to the theoretical dis-
tribution chosen.
The statistics mostly used for these tests, and in the specific case of
the cut distributions, are Kolmogorov–Smirnov and Anderson–Darling.
The best fit is represented by the distribution that presents the lowest
values of statistical tests (the values of the Anderson–Darling test are
preferred). Generally speaking, the expectancy is that the traditional dis-
tributions, despite passing the goodness-of-fit tests, do not approximate
the tail severity distribution adequately. The operational risks, espe-
cially if a specific analysis for event type is not carried out, give place
to a large number of losses of small amount and a very low number of
‘extreme’ losses. The graphic and formal tests could lead to refuse all the
traditional distributions since the ‘body’ and the ‘tail’ of the data do not
always come from the same distribution. If none of the candidate distri-
butions seems to approximate well the severity data of the loss sample,
in particular starting from the higher quantiles, it will be necessary to
recur to Extreme Value Theory models.

2.5.4 Tail Severity Distribution

Losses beyond the body, thus the right tail distribution, are generally
losses related to data not observed within the bank, often character-
ized by low frequency and, therefore, identified externally or through
scenario analyses. To outline the boundary between the body distribu-
tion data and those of the right tail, the bank’s risk management must
set another threshold starting from which the right tail distribution will
have origin, and starting from which the external data of operational
loss or scenario analysis will be used. The choice of this parameter is not
easy: it is necessary to choose a large enough threshold in order to con-
sider extreme losses that truly are such; at the same time, though, if its
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
55

value is exceedingly high, there would be a less number of observations


to estimate the parameters of the distribution of said losses.
The choice of this parameter is very important also because, as we
will see further on, the analyses carried out to evaluate the goodness of
fit of the right tail depend on said choice.
These tail data are followed by a distribution different from that of
the body, with the intent to give more weight to extreme losses, as they
affect the regulatory capital more.
To model the tail severity distribution, it is necessary to start from
the theory of extreme values which allows, through specific method-
ologies, to define the distribution that better describes the behaviour
of extreme values. The EVT models (as we explain better in the sub-
sequent chapter) allow to forecast, at a given level of confidence, the
possible losses generated by catastrophe events, which occur rarely but
whose impact is very high. Therefore, said models allow to identify the
economic capital to allocate to a particular business line so as to defend
it from a possible operational catastrophe. Moreover, the EVT allows to
estimate in an optimal way the tail loss distribution through a general-
ized distribution, allowing to overcome the limits deriving from the dif-
ficulty to assume the form of the underlying distribution generated by
the unavailability of wide historical series of data. Among the methods
used, there are:

– Block Maxima: this method considers the maximum values that the
operational loss variable assumes in subsequent periods of time, for
instance, months or years. These observations constitute extreme
events, also called Block Maxima.
– POT (Peaks over Threshold ): this method estimates the tail of the
probability distribution of operational losses using only the data that
exceed a high-value threshold, regardless of when they occurred. The
POT10 is based on the fact that excesses of losses beyond a certain
threshold of high value are distributed according to a Generalized
Distribution of Pareto (GDP). The latter is a distribution used often,
exactly as in our case, to model tails of other distributions since it
allows to give more weight to extreme values falling within the tails.
56   P. Leone and P. Porretta

As already mentioned for the body severity distribution, even in this


case, it is possible to verify the trend of the data at disposal with the
theoretical distribution chosen, through graphic methods such as the
Q-Q Plot, always with the support of quantitative methods such as
those already mentioned. In this case, though, it is also possible to test
the adaptability of the data, verifying how good the estimates of the dis-
tribution parameters are upon the varying of the threshold u. In fact,
as mentioned, the choice of the parameter u is very important even to
evaluate the goodness of fit chosen for the right tail.

2.5.5 Severity and Frequency Convolution

After modelling the frequency distribution and the severity distribution,


plus after estimating the parameters of said distributions and testing
the adjustment of the loss data at disposal to the theoretical distribu-
tions chosen, it is possible to proceed with the convolution of the two
distributions. Generally speaking, it is extremely complex to determine
said distribution through analytical methods. The simplest and most
widespread solution consists in using the Monte Carlo simulation.
The convolution is carried out with the Monte Carlo method, which
refers to a family of simulation methodologies, created for very different
purposes from our scope of implementation. The Monte Carlo simu-
lation is a random simulation based on an algorithm, from which the
annual aggregated loss related to a class of operational risk is obtained as
follows:
N
S= si + s′
i=1

where:

S is the annual aggregated loss per class of operational risk;


N  is the number of losses simulated by the frequency distribution;
si is the amount of a single loss simulated above the threshold H; and
s′ is the empirical average of the annual aggregated losses below the
threshold.
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
57

In order to develop the aggregated distribution, it is necessary to start


from the assumption that all events are mutually independent; that the
cost of every ‘accident’ is distributed identically; and that the frequency
distribution and the severity distribution are independents. These are
limiting hypotheses that nullify the validity of the model despite sim-
plifying the computation moment of the measurement of the capital at
risk for operational losses.
Once established the annual aggregated losses for each class of risk,
it is necessary to proceed aggregating them among each other assuming
a perfect linear correlation or other correlation structures.11 In case of
a perfect linear correlation, it is necessary to proceed simply summing
the annual aggregated losses for each risk class, obtaining a multi-varied
distribution, which is a distribution deriving from a vector of random
variables. Therefore, it is a distribution with higher dimensions.
In order to pass to the aggregation of distributions related to each risk
class, copulas are used which, as formulated by Sklar’s Theorem,12 are
simply multi-varied distributions that allow to reach the joint distribu-
tion on which the VaR can be established (see Chap. 3).

2.6 Calculation of the Operational VaR


The VaR is calculated once obtained the annual aggregated distribu-
tion of the operational losses for each event type. The operational VaR
derives from the combination of severity models and frequency models:
it is the result of a loss interference process and requires different tests
that certify its reliability.
As known, the VaR metrics have a consolidated literature and opera-
tional practices concerning market risk, but they are fit to be moved,
not without difficulty, to great part of quantifiable risks, therefore also
to operational risks. However, there are differences between Operational
VaR and Market VaR:

– The operational loss probability distribution cannot be modelled


with the normal distribution as with the market risk distribution;
58   P. Leone and P. Porretta

– The VaR market models do not consider the frequency of events


because the assumption is that the prices of the activities follow a
continuous stochastic process (stock market are continuous on a
day). Operational losses, instead, follow discrete stochastic processes,
that is they are countable in a certain period (an operational event
occurs n times per day). As mentioned, the stochastic process on
which the operational risk is based is the Poisson process.

Although the internal methods for measuring operational risk are very
expensive to implement, many banks, especially the large ones, pre-
fer internal models to the other two methods proposed by the regula-
tory framework because, generally speaking, they allow to allocate a
lower capital estimate. In fact, internal approaches are developed ad
hoc, on the basis of specific characteristics of the business model and
of the bank’s related operational losses. Therefore, they allow to estab-
lish a more contained capital requirement compared to the other
two regulatory approaches. Hence, there is a clear trade-off between
the complexity of the measurement models and the regulatory capi-
tal requirement (Fig. 2.4). Moreover, the Basic Indicator Approach
and the Standardized Approach quantify the operational risk without
identifying the events or the cause of losses and are a disincentive to
report losses (because they do not require a data collection). Moreover,
they capture both the expected loss and the unexpected loss, when the

Increase the complexity of the calculation

BIA TSA AMA

Increase in demand on capital

Fig. 2.4 Trade-off between calculation complexity (and greater implementation


costs) and saving in terms of AMA’s capital allocation. Source Author’s elabora-
tion on Valová, I. (2011). ‘Basel II approaches for the calculation of the regula-
tory capital for operational risk’
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
59

regulatory capital should only reflect the unexpected loss. In this per-
spective, BIA and TSA induce risk-taking behaviours, failing to achieve
the Basel Committee’s objectives of stability and soundness within the
financial institutions. Moral hazard and other unintended consequences
are more risk-taking, without the possibility of capital reduction for bet-
ter risk management, in the face of increased funding costs due to the
rise in capital. It is predictable that financial institutions will raise their
risk-taking to a level sufficient enough to pay for the increased cost of
the new fixed capital. A financial institution mechanically increases risk
appetite (Jarrow 2008).13
Nonetheless, BEICF (a key source of the Operational Risk Data) are
not included in the SMA and BIA and cannot easily be incorporated
with the SMA framework, even if there were the desire to do so, due
to the level of granularity implied by the SMA. All this makes capital
calculations less risk sensitive. Furthermore, the lack of scenario-based
data incorporated in the SMA model makes it less forward-looking and
anticipatory as an internal model-based capital calculation framework.
This effect goes against the Basel Committee’s objective of a safe
and more resilient financial system. The greatest advantage of these
approaches is that they do not require great efforts in collecting data
and, therefore, in the actual operational risk assessment. The Advanced
Measurement Approaches quantify operational risk by identifying loss
events (data collection). They attempt to explain the mechanisms that
govern the forming of operational losses and imply a process for man-
aging operational losses as prescribed by the operational regulatory
framework.

2.7 Operational Requirements to Be Eligible


for AMA Methodologies
Competent Authorities authorize banks to use the Advanced
Measurement Approaches—based on the single institution’s opera-
tional risk measurement systems—upon the fulfilment of qualitative
and quantitative requirements, as provided for by Articles 321 and
60   P. Leone and P. Porretta

322 of the Regulation and when the institution meets the organiza-
tional requirements laid down in Directive 2013/36/EU (CRD IV).
According to the mentioned requirements, for the methodologies
in object to be validated, the following aspects are taken into consid-
eration: the effectiveness of the operational loss management process,
control procedures, reports, the organizational structure and not the
sophistication of the statistical-mathematical measurement engine of
operational losses, as it may be erroneously thought. Seemingly, this is
the direction undertaken also by the new operational supervisory meas-
ures that have introduced the new Standard Approach, as we will high-
light in Chap. 5. The idea underlying the regulatory framework seems
to be that the use of internal models is allowed, regardless of the sophis-
tication of the model, if there is an organized and integrated process for
measuring, managing and controlling operational losses.
With reference to organizational requirements (Fig. 2.5), the bank
must comply with what provided for by the Authorities as regards inter-
nal controls and the Operational Risk Management system, as analysed
hereafter in detail.
With reference to the internal control system (Fig. 2.6), Supervisory
Authorities have established that banks wanting to obtain the validation

Organizational
requirements

Operational risk
Internal control management
system system

Fig. 2.5 Organizational requirements to be eligible for AMA methodologies.


Source Authors’ elaboration
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
61

Internal control
system

Operational risk Internal validation


control function process

Internal review
function

Fig. 2.6 Internal control system. Source Author’s elaboration

of AMA methodologies must have an operational risk control function,


an internal validation process and an internal review function.
In particular, the Authorities require for AMA banks to set up:

a. an operational risk control function in charge of planning, developing


and maintaining: Operational Risk Management and measurement
systems, the data collection and preservation system, the reporting
system and the operational risk profile assessment; it must also be
able to determine the capital requirement on operational risks. This
function can involve the bank’s various structures and make use of
resources specialized in Operational Risk Management and measure-
ment methodologies. It must periodically inform the institution’s
bodies on the activities carried out and related results.
b. an internal validation process, that is a set of procedures and activities
aimed at assessing the quality of the Operational Risk Management
and measurement systems, as well as their compliance over time with
regulatory measures, with the company’s needs and with the evolu-
tion of the market of reference. This process verifies the reliability
of the calculation of the capital requirement and ascertains that the
measurement system is adequate. The results of the validation process
62   P. Leone and P. Porretta

must be adequately documented and subject to internal audit,


to other structures or functions involved in the Operational Risk
Management.
c. an internal review function, that is a function that carries out peri-
odical verifications on the Operational Risk Management and meas-
urement systems to assess their effectiveness and compliance with the
qualifying criteria. In particular, it verifies the internal validation pro-
cess and the actual use for managerial purposes of the operational risk
measurement system. Moreover, it must keep the institution’s bodies
informed on the activities carried out and related outcomes produc-
ing a yearly report aimed at illustrating the activities carried out and
highlighting the critical aspects and the corrective interventions to be
implemented.

At the same time, the Authorities require for AMA banks to create an
Operational Risk Management system meant as a structured set of pro-
cesses, functions and resources for identifying, assessing and controlling
operational risks for the prevention and mitigation of actual risks.
According to what established by the Regulator, the Operational Risk
Management system, it will be characterized by:

• the data collection and preservation system,


• the reporting system and
• the managerial uses of the operational loss measures (Fig. 2.7).

With reference to the data collection and preservation system, the bank
must organize it in such a way that it is fit to assure the effectiveness of
the management and measurement systems. Moreover, it must enable to
fulfil the requirements of completeness, reliability and data updating by
developing adequate informative systems capable of assuring informa-
tion integrity, privacy and availability, as well as periodical verifications
on the data collection and preservation system.
Likewise, the organization of a reporting system is aimed at assur-
ing prompt information on operational risks to the institution’s bodies
and those responsible for the organizational functions involved. The
most relevant information is that which concerns loss data and related
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
63

Operational Risk Mangement Process

Managerial uses of the measurement


system Operational Risk Governance
(use test)

Reporting system
Data collection system

Operational lossess/capital requirement


measurement system

Fig. 2.7 Operational risk management process. Source Author’s elaboration

recoveries, the evolution of factors of the operational context and the


internal control system such as to modify the operational risk profile,
the other areas of vulnerability and related actions for the prevention
and mitigation of operational risks.
One of the essential elements of Operational Risk Management is
the managerial use of the measurement system (use test). The operational
risk measurement system must result strictly integrated into the deci-
sional processes and in the bank’s risk management process. It must
not be confined to a mere experimental laboratory of operational
loss measurement. Moreover, it must not be used only to determine
capital requirement, but must aim at strengthening the Operational
Risk Management system, so as to improve business processes and
the internal control system in its whole. In fact, the bank can use the
AMA methods for calculating the capital requirement only as long
as the operational risk measurement system is used for managerial
purposes.
64   P. Leone and P. Porretta

Once the internal approach has been validated, the Supervisory


Authority subjects it to an initial monitoring period so as to establish
whether the methodological approach is credible and appropriate. The
internal measurement system must estimate, in a reasonable measure,
unexpected losses on the basis of a combined use of the four compo-
nents previously described and must serve as decisional support for the
allocation of the economic capital to all business lines. From the regula-
tory viewpoint, although an internal methodology has not been explic-
itly prescribed, a set of both qualitative and quantitative conditions have
been identified. First these were provided for, by Basel II, and currently,
redefined in the CRR.
The qualitative requirements (Article 321 of CRR) described by the
European laws, although providing less details, are more or less similar
to those provided for by the BCBS and are as follows:

• an institution’s internal operational risk measurement system shall be


closely integrated into its day-to-day risk management processes;
• an institution shall have an independent risk management function
for operational risk;
• an institution shall have in place regular reporting of operational risk
exposures and loss experience and shall have in place procedures for
taking appropriate corrective action;
• an institution’s risk management system shall be well documented.
An institution shall have in place routines for ensuring compliance
and policies for the treatment of non-compliance;
• an institution shall subject its Operational Risk Management pro-
cesses and measurement systems to regular reviews performed by
internal or external auditors;
• an institution’s internal validation processes shall operate in a sound
and effective manner; and
• data flows and processes associated with an institution’s risk measure-
ment system shall be transparent and accessible.

The quantitative requirements (Article 322 of CRR) perfectly refer to


those provided for by the BCBS, but they are organized on the basis of
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
65

operational risk process measurement, internal data, external data, sce-


nario analysis and BEICF (see Table 2.3).
The main elements of differentiation between the European directive
and the Basel II Accord consist in the scope of implementation that is
extended not only to bank institutions but also to investment enter-
prises, as well as in the request to calculate the capital requirement at
the level of each single credit institution of the group besides the con-
solidated basis.

2.8 In Addition to AMA Methodologies:


Operational Risk Management
The Basel Committee has highlighted that internationally active banks
and banks with significant exposures to operational risks should use a
methodology more appropriate to their risk profile and with a higher
sophistication level than the Basic Indicator Approach.14 However, the
Advanced Measurement Approaches are characterized by a greater com-
plexity not only at technical level but also at organizational and proce-
dural level. In fact, they are based on the analysis of the single processes
of each business unit so as to identify, classify and assess all the risks to
which the institution is exposed. Indeed, they allow the bank to have
an exact understanding of the real operational risk factors related to the
institution’s business.
Therefore, internal models do not involve only the bank’s model-
ling activity, but they are also an issue related to databases, governance,
internal control system, reporting and especially internal risk culture.
And, in extreme synthesis, they are an issue related to process, proce-
dures, organization, control systems and reporting; in other words, they
are not only a measurement tool. Moreover, it is the efficient integration
of all these elements that make the bank efficient and capable of pro-
ducing value (also) in measuring and managing operational risks.
In this perspective, the operational risk measurement is only one of
the moments of a complex process organized at various levels. It is a
process that involves internal and external communication, a system
66   P. Leone and P. Porretta

Table 2.3 The quantitative requirements provided for by the CRR. Source
Authors’ elaboration on Article 322 (CRR)
Operational risk process measurement
• The bank must calculate the capital requirement by summing expected
losses and unexpected losses, unless the expected losses are not adequately
­estimated in the internal operational practices
• The operational risk measurement system shall include the use of internal
data, external data, scenario analysis and factors reflecting the business envi-
ronment and internal control systems
• The advanced measurement approach must be capable to identify p ­ otential
high impact loss events and reach robustness standards consistent with a
confidence level of 99.9% over a period of one year. An institution’s risk
­measurement system shall capture the major drivers of risk affecting the
shape of the tail of the estimated distribution of losses
• The bank is permitted to consider correlations concerning operational losses
among single operational risk estimates, as long as the systems for m ­ easuring
correlations are sound, implemented with integrity and take into account
the uncertainty surrounding any such correlation estimates, particularly in
­periods of stress. An institution shall validate its correlation assumptions
using appropriate quantitative and qualitative techniques
Internal data
• The internal operational risk measurements must be based on a minimum
historical observation period of five years. This period can be reduced to
three years when the bank adopts an advanced measurement approach for
the first time
• The bank must be able to classify its internal loss data on the basis of business
lines and event types and to provide these data to competent authorities
upon request
• The internal operational loss data must be exhaustive, that is they must
include all relevant activities and exposures. The exclusion of activities or
exposures is permitted, as long as the bank is able to prove that the said
exclusion does not produce a relevant impact on the overall risk estimates.
Moreover, with reference to the internal data collection, the institution must
define adequate minimum loss thresholds
• The data collected by the bank must concern gross loss amounts, an institu-
tion shall collect information about the date of the loss event, any recoveries
of gross loss amounts, as well as descriptive information about the drivers or
causes of the loss event
• An institution shall have in place documented procedures for assessing the
ongoing relevance of historical loss data, including those situations in which
judgement overrides, scaling or other adjustments may be used, to what
extent they may be used and who is authorised to make such decisions

(continued)
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
67

Table 2.3 (continued)


External data
• The operational risk measurement system must make use of pertinent exter-
nal data, especially if the bank is exposed to losses which are not frequent
but characterised by a potentially high severity. An institution shall have a
systematic process for determining the situations for which external data
shall be used and the methodologies used to incorporate the data in its meas-
urement system
• The conditions and practices for using external data must be well docu-
mented and undergo periodical review
Scenario analysis
• In order to assess exposure to events of particular seriousness, the bank must
also use scenario analyses carried out by experts. These assessments must be
validated and reviewed periodically on the basis of a comparison with the
actual losses incurred
BEICF
• An institution’s firm-wide risk assessment methodology shall capture key
business environment and internal control factors that can change the institu-
tions operational risk profile
• An institution shall justify the choice of each factor as a meaningful driver of
risk, based on experience and involving the expert judgment of the affected
business areas
• An institution shall be able to justify to competent authorities the sensitiv-
ity of risk estimates to changes in the factors and the relative weighting of
the various factors. In addition to capturing changes in risk due to improve-
ments in risk controls, an institution’s risk measurement framework shall also
capture potential increases in risk due to greater complexity of activities or
increased business volume

of incentives for those responsible of business and process, the ethical


and value dimension of personnel management, the logical and physical
structures of the institution’s information systems and the procedures
and processes for identifying, monitoring, reporting and managing
operational risk.
Already in February 2003, the Basel Committee in the document
Sound Practices for the Management and Supervision of Operational
Risk highlighted several basic principles for managing operational risk,
thus guiding national Supervisory Authorities when implementing the
Second Pillar. In particular, after establishing roles and responsibilities
to be given to the bank’s governance bodies, the Sound Practices assign
68   P. Leone and P. Porretta

precise responsibilities to the Supervisory Authorities with reference to


the operational risk. In fact, Authorities are called to:

– require for all banks, regardless of their dimension, to develop


an Operational Risk Management system compliant with the
Committee’s indications and adequate to the institution’s dimension,
complexity and risk profile. This system must allow to identify, assess,
monitor and control/mitigate operational risks effectively in an over-
all risk management approach;
– constantly assess policies, procedures and practices adopted by the
bank in Operational Risk Management. These assessments concern
the effectiveness of the risk management process and the internal
control system; the monitoring and reporting methodologies, includ-
ing operational loss data and other risk indicators; the procedures for
identifying a quick and effective remedy to criticalities and vulner-
abilities; the quality of the operational and emergency continuity
plans; the effectiveness of risk mitigation tools; and the overall capital
adequacy with reference to the operational risk profile;
– assure that the institutions belonging to a group adopt an integrated
and appropriate risk management system;
– require a constant reporting from the controlled subjects;
– encourage efforts aimed at developing risk management processes
through the monitoring and assessment of the progress achieved and
of future projects;
– assist the controlled subjects in activity planning processes with the
aim to avoid that efforts are made towards developments resulted
ineffective in other experiences;
– verify the adequacy of the minimum requirements and compliance
with the conditions provided for as regards the adoption of opera-
tional risk Advanced Measurement Approaches (AMA). This verifi-
cation is preventive, aimed at the issuing of the authorization to use
advanced methods, and it is continuative so as to make sure that
requirements are fulfilled over time; and
– assess the adequacy of the capital requirement resulting from
the implementation of the Basic Indicator Approach and the
Standardized Approach to represent the bank’s operational risk
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
69

exposure, on the basis of comparisons with institutions that have


comparable sizes and operativeness.

After a couple of years, BCBS (2011b) identified a new framework


for Operational Risk Management process (Principles for the Sound
Management of Operational Risk (PSMOR)).15 Said principles find their
starting point and their direction of development in a solid operational
risk culture promoted by the bank’s strategic bodies and diffused trans-
versally to all of the institution’s organizational roles. Specifically, these
eleven principles concern the institution’s organizational culture, the
framework adopted for managing operational risk, the governance and
environment of the Operational Risk Management (Table 2.4).
By turning the above-mentioned principles into ‘a system’, banks
can develop an appropriate ‘environment’ for Operational Risk
Management which involves the institution’s strategic top manage-
ment, the Board and the senior management, whose awareness and
commitment must set the correct path towards an effective ORM and
an appropriate related culture. Several principles refer to the ORM in
its various phases/activities: identification, evaluation, monitoring and
mitigation/control. The implementation of the Sound Practices requires
for banks to not only adopt business solutions—in terms of ad hoc
structures, IT supports and business mechanisms—but also, as said,
the promotion and development of an internal operational risk culture.
It is up to the Board of Directors to promote a solid culture of opera-
tional risk governance within the bank. The Board of Directors and the
senior management must establish a business culture based on a robust
risk management that incentivizes employees’ responsible behaviour.
Moreover, they must assure an adequate training in ORM within the
entire company pyramid.
In this perspective, Operational Risk Management must fall within
a broader picture, characterized by the single institution’s specific stra-
tegic and organizational choices. Risk management includes, generally
speaking, the identification and assessment of risks, the verification that
an adequate capital planning has been carried out, the implementa-
tion of corrective actions for mitigating risks and a process for provid-
ing information to the management and ownership. A sound internal
70   P. Leone and P. Porretta

Table 2.4 Principles for the sound management of operational risk. Source
Author’s elaboration on BCBS (2011b)
Organisational culture
Principle 1: The Board s must promote a solid risk culture within the bank.
Together with the senior management, it must establish an organisational
culture based on a robust risk management that incentivizes employees’
responsible behaviour. It is up to the Board and the senior management to
assure the implementation of an adequate training in operational risk man-
agement for the whole company pyramid
Operational risk management framework
Principle 2: Banks must develop, implement and maintain an integrated
framework in risk management processes. The Operational Risk Management
framework used in each bank depends on various factors, such as the bank’s
nature, organisational complexity, size and risk profile
Governance—Board of Directors
Principle 3: The Board must establish, approve and review the framework
periodically. It must supervise the senior management so as to make sure that
procedures, processes and systems are implemented effectively at all deci-
sional levels
Principle 4: The Board shall approve and review a statement concerning toler-
ance and operational risk appetite that describes the nature, types and levels
of risk that the bank is willing to undertake
Governance—Senior management
Principle 5: The senior management must identify a clear, efficient and robust
governance structure characterized by well defined responsibility lines that
must be approved by the Board. Moreover, the senior management must
implement and review policies, processes and systems for the management of
the operational risk inherent all of the bank’s production resources, activities,
processes and systems
Risk management environment—Identification and assessment
Principle 6: The senior management must assure a correct identification and
assessment of the operational risk inherent all of the bank’s production
resources, activities, processes and systems, so as to establish the full under-
standing of incentives and shades characterizing this particular risk category
Principle 7: The senior management must assure the existence of a procedure
for approving all new products, activities, processes and systems that provide
a complete assessment of operational risk
Risk management environment—Monitoring and reporting
Principle 8: The senior management must implement a process capable of mon-
itoring the bank’s operational risk profile and material exposure to losses. An
effective reporting mechanism must be established at the level of Board of
Directors, senior management and business lines so as to guarantee a positive
and constructive operational risk management

(continued)
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
71

Table 2.4 (continued)


Risk management environment—Control and mitigation
Principle 9: Banks must promote a control environment that makes use of
procedures, systems, internal controls and strategies of operational risk
mitigation/transfer
Risk management environment—Business resilience and continuity
Principle 10: Banks must be provided with business resiliency plans and e-con-
tinuity plans so that they can operate on a continuative basis limiting risk of
losses deriving from possible serious interruptions in their activity
Risk management environment—Role of information made public
Principle 11: Banks must produce documents providing information allowing
stakeholders to assess the approach used in the risk management

governance is the basis for an effective Operational Risk Management.


In this regard, the Committee has highlighted that the safest and most
diffused practices within the sector are based on three lines of defence16:
(1) The institution’s management of business lines; (2) The institution’s
independent Operational Risk Management function; and (3) The
institution’s independent review of the Operational Risk Management
framework adopted.
The Committee’s Principles for the Sound Management of
Operational Risk defines regulatory expectations for the management
of operational risk. All internationally active banks should implement
policies, procedures and practices to carry out an Operational Risk
Management calibrated with their size, complexity, activities and risk
exposure and seek continuous improvement in these areas as the indus-
try practice evolves. In order to enhance ORM, the principles pro-
vide comprehensive guidelines regarding the qualitative standards that
should be followed by large internationally active banks.
According to the authors’ opinion, as mentioned, there is the need to
structure an Operational Risk Management Process not only with refer-
ence to intermediaries that use internal models, but also to those that,
although using alternative regulatory methods, produce/undergo rel-
evant operational losses due to their business model. For those inter-
mediaries, the lack of an advanced measurement method can be certainly
counterbalanced by a process devoted to operational risks, proportioned
to the complexity and size of the business model, capable of defining
72   P. Leone and P. Porretta

roles and responsibilities of the business units involved in the process


of operational loss management. They can also develop a control and
reporting system devoted expressly to operational risks and structures,
and a data collection process of internal and external losses, idiosyn-
cratic and systematic, useful for a future development of internal meas-
urement models. In this view, it is a process that follows an integrated
logic, starting from a solid management culture of Operational Risk
Management, a correct definition of operational risk governance.
However, even these guidelines (Table 2.3), similarly to the principles
described in the previous Table 2.4, provide important and valid indica-
tions for the configuration of a process of Operational Risk Management
carried out by institutions for which operational losses represent an
important portion of the overall capital absorption (internal and regula-
tory one) due to the business model.

2.9 Supervision Operational Risk. From Sound


Practices to the New SREP
The sound practices briefly mentioned above did not find great imple-
mentation in the bank industry, but they probably set the basis for the
supervisory and surveillance activities that the Authorities will carry out
within the new SREP (Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process con-
figured by the guidelines EBA (2014)17 in accordance with the Single
Supervisory Mechanism (SSM).
As known, the new SREP (implemented as of 1 January 2017) is
based on various phases:

• Classification of the institution and periodical review of said classifi-


cation; monitoring of key indicators;
• Business Model Analysis (BMA);
• Evaluation of the institution’s governance and internal controls;
• Evaluation of risks that affect capital;
• Evaluation of risks that affect liquidity;
• Evaluation of the adequacy of the institution’s funds;
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
73

• Evaluation of the adequacy of the institution’s liquidity resources;


• Overall evaluation of the SREP; and
• Surveillance measures (and prompt intervention measures, if
necessary).

By combining quantitative information and qualitative information,


the Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process leads to evaluate each
bank’s overall exposure to risk, keeping into account mitigation factors
(e.g. real guarantees) and the organizational risk control. In particular,
the following elements are analysed more in depth: profitability and sus-
tainability of the business model; the company’s governance system and
risk control; capital adequacy as to credit risks, market risks, operational
risks and interest rates; and the institution’s liquidity profile.
Each element is given a score equal to 1 or 2 (favourable area) or 3
or 4 (unfavourable area). Then, the Supervisor has the task to perfect
the assessment, within fixed margins of discretionary power, keeping
into account further information and personal experience. Moreover, as
regards the capital adequacy and liquidity profiles, the bank’s self-eval-
uation exercises are kept into consideration, in both normal and stress-
ful scenarios. The average of the assessments given to the four elements
constitutes the final SREP score. The latter is the basis for identifying
the necessary regulatory measures: for instance, the mandatory review of
risk management processes; internal controls or governance structures;
limitations to profit distribution or capital restitution; and imposition
of additional capital or liquidity requirements (Fig. 2.8).
Without prejudicing the Board’s and senior management responsi-
bilities in management and organization of activities or without indicat-
ing preferences for specific business models, the competent Authorities
should carry out regular Business Model Analyses (BMA) in order to
evaluate the operational and strategic risks, as well as establish: the eco-
nomic sustainability (viability) of the institution’s business model on the
basis of the capability to generate acceptable profits during the follow-
ing 12 months and the sustainability of the institution’s strategy on the
basis of its capability to generate acceptable profits on a minimum tem-
poral horizon of 3 years, with reference to its strategic plans and finan-
cial forecasts.
74   P. Leone and P. Porretta

Business Model • Viability and sustainability


Assessment of Business Model

Governance and Risk • Adequacy of Governance


Management Assessement and Risk Management;

• Categories:e.g. Credit,
Assessment of risks to
Market, Operational RIsk
Capital
and IRRBB;
Categories: e.g. Short-term
Assessment of risks to
Liquidity Risk, Funding
Liquidity and Funding
Sustainability

Overall SREP Assessment-HolisticApproach

SREP DECISION
Quantitative Other
Quantitative Capital
Liquidity Supervisory
measures
measures measures

Fig. 2.8 The structure of the new SREP. Source Author’s elaboration on
European Central Bank (2016). ‘SSM SREP Methodology Booklet’

Within the evaluation of risks that affect the capital, Supervisory


Authorities should evaluate the operational risk throughout all of the
institution’s business lines and operations, taking into account findings
from the assessment of internal governance arrangements and institu-
tion-wide controls. In conducting this assessment, they should deter-
mine how operational risk may materialize (economic loss, near miss,
loss of future earnings, gain) and should also consider potential impacts
in terms of other related risks (e.g. credit-operational risk, market-
operational risk ‘boundary cases’). Competent Authorities should assess
the materiality of operational risk arising from outsourced services and
activities, and whether these could affect the institution’s ability to pro-
cess transactions and/or provide services, or cause legal liabilities for
damage to third parties (e.g. customers and other stakeholders).18
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
75

The Authorities should also consider that:

• The reputational risk is included under operational risk because


there are strong links between the two (e.g. most operational risk
events have a strong impact in terms of reputation). However, the
outcome of the reputational risk assessment should not be reflected
in the scoring of operational risk. Whereas, if relevant, it should be
considered as part of the Business Model Analysis and/or liquidity
risk assessment, since its main effects can be reductions in earnings
and loss of confidence in or disaffection with the institution by inves-
tors, depositors or interbank-market participants.
• The model risk includes two distinct forms of risk, that is the risk
connected to the underestimation of requirements as regards personal
funds by the approved regulatory models (e.g. on the basis of the
internal rating (IRB) for the credit risk) and the risk of losses related
to the development, implementation or unfit use of other models by
the institution due to decisional process (e.g. the pricing of derived
products, the evaluation of financial tools and the monitoring of risk
limits).

In evaluating the operational risk, the competent Authorities can use a


classification of event types for the Advanced Measurement Approaches
as mentioned under Article 324 of the Regulation (EU) No. 575/2013
(as indicated in the Commission’s delegated regulation issued pursuant
to Article 312, paragraph 4, of Regulation (EU) No. 575/2013). This
allows to obtain a clearer view of the range of operational risks and
reach a level of consistency in the analysis of these risks, regardless of the
method adopted, so as to establish requirements as regards the institu-
tion’s funds for operational risk.
It is important to highlight that, for about ten years, the measure-
ment space of Operational Risk evolved under the regulatory frame-
work on risk and capital. A summary of the Basel Accords over this
period of time (Basel II–Basel III) can be provided as follows: (a) to
ensure that capital allocation is more risk sensitive; (b) to enhance dis-
closure requirements which would allow market participants to assess
the capital adequacy of an institution; (c) to ensure that credit risk,
76   P. Leone and P. Porretta

operational risk and market risk are quantified on the basis of data and
formal techniques; and (d) to attempt a closer alignment of economic
and regulatory capital so as to reduce the scope for regulatory arbitrage.
Nowadays, the Supervisory approach has broadened the evaluation
approach to procedures, tools, control system and data collection on
which Operational Risk Management is based.
In fact, the Supervisory Authority, within the new SREP, analyses the
operational risk along two guiding principles:

• Operational Risk Assessment;


• Operational Risk Management Assessment;

with the aim to assess not only the moment in which the capital
requirement is determined, but also the procedural, organizational
and managerial aspects that characterize the whole Operational Risk
Management process. In the light of this, it seems that, as mentioned,
even the Supervisor’s view is inspired by a logic of integration of the dif-
ferent moments of measurement, management, control of operational
losses but also integration of these different moments within the bank’s
business model, in the capital planning process, in the ICAAP process
(Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment Process), the RAF (Risk Appetite
Framework ) and the bank’s recovery plan. Only if the institution will
be able to adopt this integrated view also for operational risk, will it be
able to avoid the duplication of activities, functions, reports, informa-
tion flows and, therefore, an increase of operational costs in a historical
moment in which, as known, operational margins have been decreasing
drastically.
Operational Risk Assessment comprises two steps, described more
in detail in this section: (a) preliminary assessment; (b) assessment of
the nature and significance of the institution’s operational risk exposures
(Fig. 2.9).
2

Preliminary Assessment

Operational Risk
Assessment
Assessment of the nature and
significance of operational
risk exposures

Fig. 2.9 Operational risk assessment in the new SREP. Source Author’s elaboration
Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
77
78   P. Leone and P. Porretta

2.9.1 Preliminary Assessment

In the preliminary assessment (Fig. 2.9), competent Authorities


should first identify the sources of operational risk to which the insti-
tution is exposed. To do so, they should also leverage the knowledge
gained from the assessment of other SREP elements, from the com-
parison of the institution’s position to peers (including relevant external
data, where available) and from any other supervisory activities.
In this perspective, competent Authorities should consider:
a. the main strategy for operational risk and operational risk tolerance;
b. the business and external environments (including geographical
location) in which the institution operates;
c. the institution’s own funds requirement for operational risk (distin-
guished by the Basic Indicator Approach (BIA), the Standardized
Approach (TSA) and the Advanced Measurement Approaches
(AMA)) compared to its total funds requirement and—where rel-
evant—the internal capital for operational risk compared to the
total internal capital, including the historical trends and forecasts, if
available;
d. the level of and change in gross income, assets and operational risk
losses over the past few years;
e. recent significant corporate events (such as mergers, acquisitions,
disposals and restructuring), which might determine a change in
the institution’s operational risk profile in the short or medium term
to long term (e.g. because systems, processes and procedures would
not be fully aligned with the risk management policies of the parent
company in the short term);
f. changes to significant elements of the IT systems and/or of pro-
cesses that might determine a change in the operational risk pro-
file (e.g. because a new or changed IT system has not been properly
tested, or because insufficient training on the new systems/processes
and procedures might lead to errors);
g. failures to comply with applicable legislation or with internal regu-
lations as reported by external auditors and the internal audit func-
tion or brought to light by public information (bearing in mind
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
79

both the current situation and changes in regulatory compliance


behaviour over time);
h. the ambitiousness of business plans and aggressive incentives and
compensation schemes (e.g. in terms of sales targets and head-
count reduction), which might increase the risk of non-compliance,
human error and employee malpractice;
i. the complexity of processes and procedures, products (sold to
customers or dealt in) and IT systems (including the use of new
technologies), to the extent that they might lead to errors, delays,
misspecification, security breaches, etc.; and
j. the institution’s practices for monitoring the quality of outsourced
services and its level of awareness of operational risk related to
outsourced activities and of service providers’ overall risk expo-
sure pursuant to the requirements of the CEBS Guidelines on
outsourcing.19

At the same time, the competent Authorities assess the nature and
significance of operational risk exposure (i.e. the second aspect, see
Fig. 2.9). Firstly, they should determine the nature of operational risk
exposures and distinguish those that are more likely to lead to ‘high-
frequency/low-impact’ events from those causing ‘low-frequency/high-
severity’ losses (which are more dangerous from a prudential point of
view) analysing exposures to the main drivers of operational risk to form
a forward-looking view on potential risk and losses. This analysis may
require consideration of business lines, products, processes and geogra-
phies relevant to the institution, as well as an assessment of operational
risk exposures to primary risk drivers (e.g. processes, people, systems
and external factors), with the use of the institution’s self-risk assessment
and peer analysis. In particular, competent Authorities should assess
operational risk across operational risk subcategories (defined by event
types and further breakdowns of these event types) and the risk drivers
associated with each.
In the assessment, competent Authorities should pay particular atten-
tion to some subcategories of operational risk because of their pervasive
nature and their relevance to the majority of institutions and also because
of their potential prudential impact. Such subcategories include:
80   P. Leone and P. Porretta

a. Conduct risk: Since this risk covers a wide range of issues and
may arise from many business processes and products, competent
Authorities should leverage the outcome of the BMA and scrutinize
incentive policies to gain a high-level insight into sources of conduct
risk. Possible indicators of conduct risk are sanctions applied by rele-
vant Authorities to the institution for misconduct practices; sanctions
applied to peers for misconduct practices; and complaints against the
institution in terms of numbers and amounts at stake.
b. Systems—ICT risk: Competent Authorities may evaluate oper-
ational risk using various methodologies based on well-estab-
lished industry standards [e.g. ISO 27000, Control Objectives for
Information and Related Technology (COBIT) and Information
Technology Infrastructure Library (ITIL)]. Competent Authorities
should also assess the complexity of the IT architecture and whether
it might affect the items listed above. In assessing these elements, a
competent Authority should gather, where available, relevant internal
incident reports and internal audit reports, as well as other indicators
defined and used by the institution to measure and monitor the ICT
risk.
c. Model risk: Competent Authorities should assess the institution’s
exposure to model risk arising from the use of internal models in
the main business areas and operations, following the definition and
requirements specified in the Commission Delegated Regulation
issued in accordance with Article 312(4) of Regulation (EU) No
575/2013 as far as they are applicable. In conducting this assessment,
competent Authorities may look at the following areas, where institu-
tions commonly make extensive use of models:

(a) trading in financial instruments; (b) risk measurement and manage-


ment; and (c) capital allocation (including lending policies and product
pricing) (Fig. 2.10).
Secondly, competent Authorities should consider the Significance
of Operational Risk exposure. In assessing the significance of opera-
tional risk exposures, competent Authorities should consider both the
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
81

•mis-selling of products, in both retail and wholesale markets;


•pushed cross-selling of products to retail customers, such as
packaged bank accounts or add-on products customers do not
need;
•conflicts of interest in conducting business;
•manipulation of benchmark interest rates, foreign exchange rates
Conduct Risk or any other financial instruments or indices to enhance the
institution’s profits;
•barriers to switching financial products during their lifetime
and/or to switching financial service providers;
•poorly designed distribution channels that may enable conflicts
of interest with false incentives;
•automatic renewals of products or exit penalties; and/or
•unfair processing of customer complaints.

• the quality and effectiveness of business continuity testing and planning


(e.g. ability of the institution’s IT system to keep the business fully
operational);
• the security of internal and external access to systems and data (e.g.
whether the IT system provides information and access only to the right
people);

System ICT risk • the accuracy and integrity of the data used for reporting, risk
management, accounting, position keeping, etc. (e.g. whether the IT
system ensures that the information and its reporting are accurate,
timely and complete); and
• the agility of change execution (e.g. whether changes in IT systems are
carried out within acceptable budgets and at the required speed of
implementation).

• to what extent and for which purposes (e.g. asset evaluation, product

Model risk pricing, trading strategies, risk management) the institution uses models
to make decisions and the business significance of such decisions; and
• the institution’s level of awareness of and how it manages model risk.

Fig. 2.10 Items considered by competent Authorities. Source EBA (2014)

frequency and the severity of the events to which the institution is


exposed. A primary source of information that competent Authorities
should consider is the institution’s operational losses and event data-
base, which, where available and reliable (i.e. accurate and complete),
provides the institution’s historical operational risk profile. For institu-
tions adopting AMA, the competent Authority should also consider the
output of the internal approach and also qualitative analysis. Moreover,
it should leverage the institution’s risk assessment, peer analysis data and
public and/or consortium databases, if available and relevant (compe-
tent Authorities may consider other factors, specific to the relevant busi-
ness units, etc., affected by the potential deficiencies, which can provide
a measure of the risk exposure).
82   P. Leone and P. Porretta

2.9.2 The Assessment of Operational Risk

As highlighted hereafter, in the new SREP, after the preliminary assess-


ment, there is the Assessment of Operational Risk Management. It
seems to be expired and integrated into a supervisory and evaluation
approach as emphasized below. In fact, competent Authorities should
assess the framework and arrangements that the institution has to spe-
cifically manage and control the operational risk as an individual risk
category. This assessment should take into account:

• the Operational Risk Management strategy and tolerance. For this


assessment, competent Authorities should take into account whether:
– the management body clearly expresses the Operational Risk
Management strategy and tolerance level, as well as the review
process;
– the senior management properly implements and monitors the
Operational Risk Management strategy approved by the manage-
ment body, ensuring that the institution´s operational risk mitiga-
tion measures are consistent with the strategy established.
• the organizational framework. Competent Authorities should assess
the soundness and effectiveness of the organizational framework with
respect to the management of operational risk and should determine
whether:
– there are clear lines of responsibility for the identification, analysis,
assessment, mitigation, monitoring and reporting of operational
risk;
– the operational risk control and monitoring systems are subject to
independent review, and there is a clear separation between risk
takers and risk managers, between these and the risk control and
oversight risk functions;
– the risk management, measurement and control functions cover
operational risk across the entire institution (including branches)
in an integrated manner, irrespective of the measurement approach
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
83

adopted to determine the institution’s minimum funds, and also


cover outsourced business functions and other activities; and
– the Operational Risk Management framework is structured with
sufficient and qualitatively appropriate human and technical
resources.
• policies and procedures. Competent Authorities should assess whether
the institution has appropriate policies and procedures for the man-
agement of operational risk, including residual risk after mitigation
techniques have been applied. In particular, they assess whether:
– the management body approves the policies for managing opera-
tional risk and reviews them regularly, in line with the Operational
Risk Management strategies;
– the senior management is responsible for developing and imple-
menting the policies and procedures for managing operational
risk;
– the Operational Risk Management policies and procedures are
clearly formalized and communicated throughout the institution
and cover the whole organization or at least those processes and
businesses most exposed to operational risk;
– such policies and procedures cover all the elements of Operational
Risk Management, measurement and control including, where rel-
evant, loss data collection, quantification methodologies, mitiga-
tion techniques (e.g. insurance policies), causal analysis techniques
in respect of operational risk events, limits and tolerances and the
handling of exceptions to those limits and tolerances;
– the institution has implemented a new approval process for prod-
ucts, processes and systems that requires the assessment and miti-
gation of potential operational risks;
– such policies are adequate for the nature and complexity of the
institution’s activities and enable a clear understanding of the oper-
ational risk inherent in the different products and activities under
the scope of the institution;
– such policies are clearly formalized, communicated and applied
consistently across the institution, and for banking groups,
84   P. Leone and P. Porretta

whether these policies are applied consistently across the group


and allow the proper management of the risk; and
– the institution promotes an Operational Risk Management culture
throughout the organization, by means of training and by setting
targets for operational loss reduction.
• operational risk identification, measurement, monitoring and reporting.
Competent Authorities should assess whether the institution has an
appropriate framework for Operational Risk Management in line
with the institution’s size and complexity and whether the framework
is compliant with the regulatory framework.
• business resilience and continuity plans. Competent Authorities should
assess whether the institution has comprehensive and tested business
resilience and continuity plans, commensurate with the nature, size
and complexity of its operations in place to ensure that it is able to
operate on an ongoing basis and limit losses in case of business disrup-
tion. Competent Authorities should assess the quality and effective-
ness of the institution’s continuity management planning process and
if it includes Business Impact Analysis; appropriate recovery strategies
incorporating internal and external dependencies and clearly defined
recovery priorities; the drafting of comprehensive and flexible plans to
deal with plausible scenarios; effective testing of the plans; and com-
munications and crisis-management documentation and training.
• the internal control framework as it applies to the management of opera-
tional risk. Competent Authorities should assess whether the institu-
tion has a strong control framework and sound safeguards to mitigate
its operational risk, in line with its Operational Risk Management
tolerance and strategy. Competent Authorities should also assess the
functionality of the internal audit function (if it covers the main ele-
ments of Operational Risk Management measurement and control, it
is effective in determining adherence to internal policies, etc.).

After the above-mentioned assessment, competent Authorities should


form a view on the institution’s operational risk framework. This view
should be reflected in a summary of findings, accompanied by a score
based on the considerations specified in Table 2.5.
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
85

Table 2.5 Supervisory considerations for assigning an operational risk score.


Source Authors’ elaboration on EBA (2014)
Risk Supervisory Consideration of inerehent risk Consideration for adequate
Score view management & controls
1 There is no • The nature of the institution’s operational risk
discernible risk exposure is limited to few high frequency/low-
of significant severity impact categories • There is no discernible risk of
prudential • The significance of the institution’s exposure significant prudential impact on the
impact on the to operational risk is not material, as shown by institution considering the level of
institution scenario analysis and compared to the losses of inherent risk and the management and
considering the peers controls
level of • The level of losses experienced by the • The nature of the institution’s
inherent risk institution in recent years has not been operational risk exposure is limited to
and the material, or has decreased from a higher level few high frequency/low-severity
management impact categories
and controls • The significance of the institution’s
exposure to operational risk is not
2 There is a low • The nature of the institution’s operational risk
material, as shown by scenario analysis
risk of exposure is mainly high-frequency/low
and compared to the losses of peers
significant severity impact categories
• The level of losses experienced by
prudential • The significance of the institution’s exposure
the institution in recent years has not
impact on the to operational risk is low, as shown by scenario
been material, or has decreased from a
institution analysis and compared to the losses of peers
higher level
considering the •The level of losses experienced by the
• There is consistency between the
level of institution in recent years has been low, or is
institution’s operational risk policy and
inherent risk expected to increase from a lower historic level
strategy and its overall strategy and
and the or decrease from a higher historic level
risk appetite
management
• The organizational framework for
and controls
operational risk is robust with clear
3 There is a • The nature of the institution’s operational risk responsibilities and a clear separation
medium risk of exposure extends to some low frequency/high- of tasks between risk takers and
significant severity impact categories management and control functions
prudential • The significance of the institution’s exposure • Operational risk measurement,
impact on the to operational risk is medium, as shown by monitoring and reporting systems are
institution scenario analysis and compared to the losses of appropriate
considering the peers • The control framework for
level of • The level of losses experienced by the operational risk is sound
inherent risk institution over the last few years has been
and the medium, or is expected to increase from a
management lower historic level or decrease from a higher
and controls historic level
4 There is a high •The nature of the institution’s operational risk
risk of exposure extends to all main categories.
significant • The significance of the institution’s exposure
prudential to operational risk is high and increasing, as
impact on the shown by scenario analysis and compared to
institution the losses of peers
considering the • The level of losses experienced by the
level of institution over the last few years has been
inherent risk high or risk has significantly increased
and the
management
and controls
86   P. Leone and P. Porretta

2.10 Some Conclusions


Operational risk measurement process is a complex system but not the
most important of an Operational Risk Management infrastructure; it’s
only a crucial moment of this process. Authorities have been emphasiz-
ing, in this last year, the relevance of this ORM by issuing an enormous
amount of guidelines and sound practices.
The need to structure an Operational Risk Management Process not
only with reference to intermediaries that use internal models, but also
to those that, although using alternative regulatory methods, produce/
undergo relevant operational losses due to their business model. For
those intermediaries, the lack of an advanced measurement method can
be certainly counterbalanced by a process devoted to operational risks,
proportioned to the complexity and size of the business model, capa-
ble of defining roles and responsibilities of the business units involved
in the process of operational loss management. They can also develop a
control and reporting system devoted expressly to operational risks and
structures, and a data collection process of internal and external losses,
idiosyncratic and systematic, useful for a future development of internal
measurement models. In this view, it is a process that follows an inte-
grated logic, starting from a solid management culture of Operational
Risk Management, a correct definition of operational risk governance.
The great number of BCBS’ guidelines and principles on Operational
Risk Management Process allow bank to look across the enterprise in an
integrated manner rather than fragmented activities to deal with a wide
variety of operational risk categories.

Notes
1. The most diffused methodologies for collecting loss data in the bank
system are:
•  Event driven: the ‘managerial’ loss datum is identified directly
where the prejudicial event originated. Therefore, the datum is
‘reported’ directly by the decentralized organizational structures in
which the loss was generated; it allows the prompt identification
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
87

of the ‘presumed’ loss events; it fosters the ‘completeness’ of the


description of the event; it assumes an attention of the local struc-
tures to the themes related to operational risks; it rises the company
culture; and fosters a ‘managerial’ development of operational risks
through an easier identification of related prevention and/or miti-
gation interventions. The central structures mainly play a coordina-
tion and validation role in the collection process;
•  Accounting driven: the datum is ‘extracted’ directly from the
accounts; it guarantees the identification of ‘sure’ events and not
assumed; it requires the existence of an analytical accounting sys-
tem ‘structured’ in a consistent way with the classification present
in the database of the operational losses and an enhancement of
descriptive information of the event. It considers only the opera-
tional losses entered, not keeping into account events occurred but
not yet entered.
2. A relevant Italian initiative consists in the observatory of the Italian
Database of Operational Losses (Database Italiano delle Perdite
Operative), known as Osservatorio Dipo, a non-recognized asso-
ciation involved in supporting the development of Operational Risk
Management. The Osservatorio Dipo was launched within ABI in
2003, as an activity aimed at creating a methodology for collecting and
exchanging information on operational losses incurred by the adher-
ents. Currently, it counts about 35 members between banks and bank
groups, for a total of almost 200 reporting institutions. Initiatives simi-
lar to DIPO have been launched by European associations, in which
moreover several adherents to DIPO participate: among these, the
Operational Risk data and Xchange Association (ORX, established in
2002) and the Global Operational Loss Database (GOLD, promoted in
2000 by the British Bankers’ Association ). Consortia databases are being
created even in the insurance field: one for all, the Operational Risk
Insurance Consortium (ORIC), established in 2005 upon the initiative
of the Association of British Insurers.
3. Gareth W. Peters, Pavel V. Shevchenko, Bertrand Hassani, and
Chapelle A. (2016). Standardized Measurement Approach for
Operational risk: Pros and Cons, 3 June. [Link]
com/deliver [Link]?ID= 87612702008307101912602411808
70310980320320050760350710680991220221040271090
9807412303803406303005604803911309508510300508
41200190160430420410960130040190641001140930930370
88   P. Leone and P. Porretta

9111600310000606501012501408511708911712407508000112
7019117125081098098101000116&EXT=pdf.
4. Cavallo, A. (2012). Treatment of the Data Collection Threshold in
Operational Risk: A Case Study with the Lognormal Distribution,
ResearchGate, p. 6.
5. It is a framework of reference which must indicate risk capacity, risk
tolerance, risk appetite and early warning limits related to quantifiable
risks as well as the management process of each risk.
6. It is possible to use other distributions as well, such as the binomial or
negative binomial. A causal variable X has a Poisson distribution with
parameter  and is indicated with X∼Then(), if
n
P(X = n) = e− n! , ∀n ∈ N.

7. It is possible to use other distributions for the body of the sever-


ity, for example the Weibull distribution. A log-normal distribution
refers to a casual variable X whose logarithm follows a normal distri-
bution. The value expected and the variance of a similar distribution
are approximate to the natural logarithm of the expected value and
of the variance of the normal distribution from which the log-normal
originates.
8. A. Cavallo. (2012). Treatment of the Data Collection Threshold in
Operational Risk: A Case Study with the Lognormal Distribution,
ResearchGate, p. 5.
9. S. Borra A. Di Ciaccio (2008). STATISTICA metodologie per le scienze
economiche e sociali, McGraw-Hill, p. 309.
10. The Peaks Over Threshold method allows to consider values that the
causal variable X assumes beyond the threshold u. These extreme values,
called also excesses, are described through the conditioned probabilities.
11. The correlation matrix is calculated with the Tau of Kendall method or
the Rho of Spearman method.
12. Sklar’s Theorem: each joint distribution can be written as a copula
function that has marginal distributions as topics; any copula function
that has distributions as topics is a joint distribution.
13. Jarrow Robert A. (2006). Operational risk. [Link]/
profile/Robert_Jarrow/publication/222530698_Operational_Risk/
links/[Link].
2 Operational Risk Management: Regulatory Framework …    
89

14. BCBS. (2006). International Convergence of Capital Measurement and


Capital Standards: a Revised Framework. Comprehensive Version, Basel
Committee on Banking Supervision, p. 144. [Link]
[Link].
15. BCBS. (2011). Principles for the Sound Management of Operational Risk.
Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, pp. 13–14. [Link]/
publ/[Link].
16. Ibid.
17. EBA. (2014). Guidelines on Common Procedures and Methodologies
for the Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process (SREP).
w w w. e b a . e u ro p a . e u / d o c u m e n t s / 1 0 1 8 0 / 1 0 5 1 3 9 2 / E B A - G L -
2 0 1 4 - 1 3 + G L + o n + Pi l l a r + 2 + ( S R E P ) % 2 0 - I T. p d f / 0 3 c d f 6 3 5 -
2f85-41f0-b078-1da40d63ef64.
18. Ibid., p. 93.
19. Ibid., p. 95.

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The governance structure and internal controls significantly impact the adoption of AMA methodologies by ensuring that the operational risk management processes are robust and effective. Such methodologies require internal validation processes, continuous data collection and analysis, efficient risk reporting systems, and a comprehensive internal control framework. Banks must demonstrate that they have an organized process with the necessary regulatory compliance elements in place, regardless of the technical sophistication of their risk models, to achieve authorization for AMA implementation .

External data plays a critical role in operational risk management by supplementing internal data, especially for rare but severe events not fully captured internally. The Basel Committee guidelines emphasize this by mandating that banks use external data to model losses of high severity but low frequency, ensuring that risk models reflect potential real-world threats. This use of external data must be systematic, documented, and regularly reviewed to verify its integration into the risk measurement processes .

Monte Carlo simulation is employed to perform convolutions of frequency and severity distributions by creating numerous random samples to estimate their joint distribution. This approach allows for capturing the combined effect of varying loss frequencies and severities, providing a comprehensive operational loss distribution. The complexity of executing this analytically makes Monte Carlo simulations a popular and effective method for operational risk management in quantifying potential losses across varied scenarios .

Setting a threshold in the body severity distribution means that losses below this value are excluded from analysis, relying on the assumption they follow the same distribution as those above. While this reduces data complexity, it risks omitting potentially significant low-end losses that may cumulatively impact the risk profile. Regulatory frameworks address this by using cut or shifted models to accommodate data exclusions, ensuring that loss assessment is comprehensive and reflective of true risk exposure .

Selecting an appropriate severity distribution is crucial for estimating regulatory capital because low-frequency, high-impact loss events are critical for determining capital requirements. The tail of the severity distribution, which depicts these extreme events, needs careful modeling, as these events significantly affect capital absorption. Due to limited internal data on such tail events, external data or scenario analyses are incorporated into the estimation process to ensure robustness in capital assessments, as mandated by supervisory frameworks .

The Poisson distribution may overestimate the probability of events occurring infrequently and such events are often not independent in operational risk contexts. This makes it inadequately sensitive to dynamic dependence patterns. Alternatives like the binomial or negative binomial distributions are suggested, especially when data shows significant difference in average and variance, making them more suitable for contexts where variation and dependence are pronounced .

The generalized Pareto distribution (GDP) is advantageous for modeling extreme operational losses because it effectively describes the tail behavior of distributions, which is crucial for capturing rare but high-impact events. By focusing on excesses over high thresholds, GDP provides a more accurate representation of the distribution's tail, which is essential for determining the necessary economic capital to protect business lines from catastrophic operational events .

Involving business units in the risk management process under AMA is significant as it ensures that the risk assessment reflects realistic conditions and operational intricacies of each unit. This involvement helps in the precise identification, classification, and assessment of risks, leading to more effective risk mitigation strategies. It fosters a risk-aware culture and enhances the overall resilience of banks by ensuring that operational risk management is not restricted to the compliance or risk departments but integrated into the daily operations of the bank .

The Advanced Measurement Approach (AMA) is more complex than other approaches like the Basic Indicator Approach because it requires a sophisticated analysis of individual business units and processes. It involves comprehensive data requirements, including internal and external data, scenario analysis, and BEICF. The AMA necessitates detailed operational risk factor identification, extensive database systems, internal governance, and a thorough internal control system to effectively model and manage risks, distinguishing it from simpler methodologies .

Scenario analysis in operational risk management faces challenges like subjective bias and ensuring scenarios' relevance and robustness. These are addressed by involving expert judgment to validate and align scenario outcomes with actual loss experiences regularly. Such analysis must be systematically integrated with internal and external data sources and undergo periodic reviews to ensure its effectiveness in projecting potential future risks accurately .

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