Statistics Assignment Overview
Statistics Assignment Overview
The Poisson distribution applies to the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval. For at least 2 calls, calculate 1 minus the sum of probabilities for 0 and 1 call. P(X ≥ 2) = 1 - P(X < 2), where P(X = 0) = e^(-4) * 4^0 / 0! = 0.0183 and P(X = 1) = e^(-4) * 4^1 / 1! = 0.0733. Therefore, P(X ≥ 2) = 1 - (0.0183 + 0.0733) = 1 - 0.0916 = 0.9084, approximately 0.908.
The modal class of the distribution is the class with the highest frequency. Here, the class 20-30 has the highest frequency of 12. The formula for mode when the data is grouped is: Mode = L + [(f1 - f0) / (2f1 - f0 - f2)] * h, where L = lower boundary of modal class (20), f1 = frequency of modal class (12), f0 = frequency of class preceding modal class (7), f2 = frequency of class following modal class (10), and h = class width (10). Thus, Mode = 20 + [(12 - 7) / (24 - 7 - 10)] * 10 = 20 + (5/9) * 10 ≈ 25.56.
Calculate the probability using total probability theorem. Urn I: P(White, Red|I) = (1/6)*(3/5) + (3/6)*(1/5) = 1/30 + 1/10 = 1/6. Urn II: P(White, Red|II) = (2/4)*(1/3) + (1/4)*(1/3) = 1/6 + 1/12 = 1/4. Urn III: P(White, Red|III) = (4/12)*(3/11) + (3/12)*(4/11) = 1/11 + 1/11 = 2/11. The urn selection is random, so P(I) = P(II) = P(III) = 1/3. Thus, P(White, Red) = P(White, Red|I)*P(I) + P(White, Red|II)*P(II) + P(White, Red|III)*P(III) = (1/6)*(1/3) + (1/4)*(1/3) + (2/11)*(1/3) ≈ 0.0611 + 0.0833 + 0.0606 = 0.205. Individual urn probabilities: P(I|White, Red) = (1/6)/(0.205) ≈ 0.162, P(II|White, Red) = (1/4)/(0.205) ≈ 0.203, P(III|White, Red) = (2/11)/(0.205) ≈ 0.298.
For a probability problem involving binomial distribution, use the formula P(X = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k). Here, n = 7, k = 3, p = 0.6. Calculate (7 choose 3) * 0.6^3 * 0.4^4 = 35 * 0.216 * 0.0256 ≈ 0.1789. Therefore, the probability that exactly 3 students are vegetarians is approximately 0.1789.
To determine the median, calculate the cumulative frequency and identify the class interval containing the median. The cumulative frequencies are 5, 13, 25, 41, and 51. The median class is the one containing the (51/2 = 25.5)th data point, which is within the 30-40 interval. The formula for the median is: Median = L + ((N/2 - CF) / f) * h, where L is the lower boundary of the median class (30), N is the total frequency (51), CF is the cumulative frequency before the median class (13), f is the frequency of the median class (12), and h is the class width (10). Calculating: Median = 30 + ((25.5 - 13) / 12) * 10 = 30 + 10.42 ≈ 40.42.
To find the mean of the given frequency distribution, the midpoints of each class interval are calculated and multiplied by their frequencies. The sum of these products is then divided by the total frequency. The midpoints are 15, 25, 35, 45, and 55. Calculating the products: 15*5 = 75, 25*8 = 200, 35*12 = 420, 45*16 = 720, 55*10 = 550. Sum of products = 75 + 200 + 420 + 720 + 550 = 1965. Total frequency = 5 + 8 + 12 + 16 + 10 = 51. Therefore, the mean is 1965 / 51 ≈ 38.53.
Use Bayes’ theorem to find the probability of a correct diagnosis given the patient's death. Let D be the event of a correct diagnosis, ¬D be incorrect diagnosis, and Death be the event of death. Calculate P(Death|D) = 0.4 and P(Death|¬D) = 0.7. Also, P(D) = 0.6 and P(¬D) = 0.4. By Bayes' theorem, P(D|Death) = [P(Death|D) * P(D)] / P(Death), where P(Death) = P(Death|D) * P(D) + P(Death|¬D) * P(¬D). So, P(Death) = 0.4 * 0.6 + 0.7 * 0.4 = 0.52. Therefore, P(D|Death) = (0.4 * 0.6) / 0.52 ≈ 0.46, or 46%.
Perform a one-sample t-test to evaluate the hospital's claim. Null hypothesis H0: µ = 15, alternative H1: µ ≠ 15. Calculate the test statistic: t = (x̄ - µ) / (s/sqrt(n)), where x̄ = 14.2, µ = 15, s = 3.5, n = 50. t = (14.2 - 15) / (3.5/sqrt(50)) = -0.8 / 0.4949 ≈ -1.62. At 1% significance level, two-tailed critical values are ±2.68. Since |t| = 1.62 < 2.68, we fail to reject the null hypothesis, suggesting the sample data does not significantly differ from claimed mean.
To test the hypothesis, use a two-sample t-test. Calculate the test statistic: t = (mean1 - mean2) / sqrt((s1^2/n1) + (s2^2/n2)), where mean1 = 78, mean2 = 82, s1 = 10, s2 = 12, n1 = 60, n2 = 50. t = (78 - 82) / sqrt((10^2/60) + (12^2/50)) = -4 / sqrt(2.83 + 2.88) = -4 / sqrt(5.71) ≈ -1.67. Since |t| = 1.67 < 1.96 (critical value for 0.05 significance level), the null hypothesis fails to be rejected, indicating no significant performance difference.
To apply the F-test, compare the variances from two samples with the critical value. Calculated F = (Variance1/Variance2) where Variance is derived from the Sum of Squares of Deviations from the mean. First, compute the variance for each sample: For n1, Variance1 = 84.4/7 = 12.06; for n2, Variance2 = 102.6/9 = 11.4. Compute the F statistic = Variance1/Variance2 = 12.06/11.4 ≈ 1.06. Since 1.06 < 3.29, the difference is not significant, meaning null hypothesis is not rejected at 5% level.