Impact of Bankruptcy Laws on Indian Credit
Impact of Bankruptcy Laws on Indian Credit
Abstract
1
In a memo to the World Trade Organization on June 6, 2005, delegations from
Japan, U.S., and E.U. argued that “Policies that impede competition, such as entry
restrictions and restrictions on foreign banks, have been shown to raise the cost of
financial services and hurt economic performance.” Refer : WTO Document #05-
2335 .
2
Council for Trade in Services - Committee on Trade in Financial Services - Special
Session, Document code S/FIN/W/43.(1984)
further refinement in the formation and implementation of the
policies of the Government3
I propose to empirically examine the debt financing by banks across
time along with multiple enactment of bankruptcy Laws in India.
Introduction
Credit dynamics of firms and it’s dependencies on prudential
Insolvency norms have been a topic study (Schularick and Taylor,
2012; Jordà, Schularick, and Taylor, 2013; Mian, Sufi, and
Verner, 2017; Greenwood, Hanson, Shleifer, and Sørensen, 2022;
Ivashina, Kalemli-Özcan, Laeven, and Müller, 2024). However, most of
the research deals with (i) advanced economies and/or (ii) assumes
infinite demand elasticity by the firms. We propose to access the
heterogeneous impact of firm financing supply and demand industry
wise exclusively for India.
Our emphasis will be on firms’ response to policy shocks due to
transition in creditor rights differs from existing literature that
considers the impact of creditor rights on risky investments (Acharya
et al., 2011); on firms’ capital structure decisions (Cho et al., 2014;
Gilson, 1997); and on bankruptcy reforms and recovery from a debt
crisis (Bergoeing, Kehoe, Kehoe, and Soto 2002). Specifically, we
propose to study the impact on bank financing due to Insolvency and
Bankruptcy and Bankruptcy code (2016) in conjugation with
SARFAESI Act (2002) across Industries in India. We propose to
incorporate Two-way fixed effect (TWFE) difference-in-differences
setups with a continuous treatment so that we can capture both the
shock on bank lending sequentially and in conjugation post 2016.
3
IBC: Idea, Impressions and Implementation. (2022). Retrieved January 16,
2025, from
[Link]
the regulatory bodies to determine the differential impact of their
policy decisions with respect to credit allocation to heterogeneous
firms based on age, past profitability, tangibility, group affiliation and
share listing.
It was felt by the corporate houses that such a law would give banks
and FIs excessive powers which they would abuse. It was also argued
that the law was unfair since the law gave the borrowers practically
no right to appeal. Their basic point was that if they (borrowers) had
sufficient resources to deposit 75% of the total amount, they would
not default on the interest payments to begin with.6
4
According to the World Bank Doing Business Report (2006), the time to recover
collateral in India came down from 10 years to 6 months in some cases due to the enactment
of a reform that made enforcing security significantly easier.
5
As suggested in the details of the Bare Act, (The SARFAESI ACT 2002, Commercial Law
Publishers, 2007)
6
On April 8th, 2004 the Supreme Court, in its landmark judgment on the Mardia Chemicals and Union of India case, upheld the
constitutional validity of the law.
All these arguments indicate that the SARFAESI Act did have an
impact on the credit allocation in India but it was not without
opposition from the firms. This opposite impact of the SARFAESI Act
is that we also propose to capture in our model.
Supply Side
On the supply side, due to stronger creditor rights in the post-
legislation period, we expect an improvement in bank credit
supply to distressed firms. Araujo et al. (2012) and Rodano et al.
(2016) document that bankruptcy reforms aimed at
strengthening creditor rights help reduce the cost of debt and
improve access to credit and investment. Djankov et al.
(2007) document that strengthened creditor rights are
associated with a higher ratio of private credit to GDP,
corroborating the notion that improved creditor rights
facilitate credit market development. Further, Ponticelli and
Alencar (2016) and Neira (2019) highlight that improved
bankruptcy procedures result in higher lending. Hence, as the
suppliers of credit are more protected post-IBC, they are more
willing to supply credit to distressed firms. Overall, the IBC
helps in expanding credit availability without restricting credit
demand, unlike the legislation of SARFAESI that protected the
secured creditors resulting in a decrease in credit demand.
Although there is a significant body of literature emphasizing the
importance of creditor rights in credit market development (La Porta
et al., 1997; La Porta et al., 1998; Djankov et al., 2007; Haselmann et
al., 2010), ensuring the effective functioning of capital markets
remains a challenge, especially in developing economies with weaker
legal frameworks and lower institutional quality (Aghion et al., 2005).
In these economies, where contract enforcement is costly and time-
consuming (Gopalan et al., 2016; Vig, 2013), and where information
asymmetry often leads to cream skimming (Gromley, 2008; Sinha,
2012), There is an extensive literature that identifies creditor rights as
a significant determinant of credit market development (La Porta et
al., 1997, La Porta et al., 1998; Djankov et al., 2007; Haselmann et al.,
2010). As a matter of fact, ensuring the effective functioning of capital
markets has been a matter of concern for policy makers, especially in
developing economies with weaker legal framework and lower
institutional quality (Aghion et al., 2005), and where contract
enforcement is costly and time consuming (Gopalan et al., 2016; Vig,
2013,Sinha,).
Our paper contributes to the literature that links enforcement costs to
firms' debt maturity choice. This is central to the study of Gopalan et
al. (2016) who, by exploiting the introduction of DRTs in India, find
that reducing enforcement costs leads firms to decrease their reliance
on short-term debt as a source of financing in favour of more
developmentally-focused long-term debt. In this regard, the results
are supportive of Diamond (2004)’s “lender passivity” argument
according to which a decrease in contract enforcement costs should
have, ceteris paribus, a dual effect. On the one hand, it increases
lenders' willingness to grant long-term credit, as sound legal regimes
may encourage lenders' enforcement of contracts by making it either
less costly or highly effective. On the other hand, it induces firms to
opt for long-term debt in their financing mix, as short-term debt
involves costs for firms since it limits a firm's ability to renegotiate
better credit terms following credit quality improvement (Roberts and
Sufi, 2009). Therefore, the policy's departure from the earlier
approach of “debtor in possession” to “creditor in possession” acts to
decrease contract enforcement costs in a scenario where the
sustainability of firms' access to credit now depends less on short- and
more on long-term debt.
Literature based on Creditors rights
Another strand of literature exploits cross-country variation in
creditor rights in order to investigate the relationship between
legal institutions and corporate debt structure. It is based on
the premise that the rights attached to securities become
critical when managers of companies act in their own interest.
These rights give investors the power to extract from managers
the returns on their investment. Shareholders receive dividends
because they can vote out the directors who do not pay them,
and creditors are paid because they have the power to
repossess collateral. The paper by La Porta, Rafael, Florencio
Lopez-de-Silanes, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert W. Vishny (1998)
examines how laws protecting investors differ across 49
countries. The author used an index aggregating different
creditor rights. The index is formed by adding 1 point each to
the following:
(1) The country imposes restrictions, such as creditors’
consent or minimum dividends to file for reorganization of the
firm;
(2) Secured creditors are able to gain possession of their
security once the reorganization petition has been approved
(no automatic stay);
(3) Secured creditors are ranked first in the distribution of the
proceeds that result from the disposition of the assets of a
bankrupt firm; and
(4) The debtor does not retain the administration of its
property pending the resolution of the reorganization.
Thus index ranges from 0 to 4. The result showed that the
average score of the above four parameters together for
countries following English Origin Law is 3.11 as compared to
that of the French origin (1.58), German origin (2.33) and
Scandinavian origin (2.00).
Further, the differences are significant for each of the above
mentioned four parameters between countries of English and
French origins. The mean-difference and the significance level
(SL) of the mean difference for each parameter are as follows:
(1) Reorganization: 1.74 (1% SL), (2) Automatic Stay: -
2.88(10% SL), (3) Secured creditors first: -2.34(5% SL) and (4)
Management stay: -3.54 (10% SL).
Paper by Sujata Visaria (2006), investigates the loan level data
set of a large Indian bank to estimate the impact of Debt
Recovery Tribunal7 (DRT). Based on loan level data Visaria
analyzed the impact of DRT on the time taken to recover the
loans. This was one of the pioneering papers which studied the
micro economic impact of legal reforms in India. The sample
consists of 15034 observations (borrowings from 1831 firms),
which correspond to loans sanctioned before the DRT Act date.
The dependent variable measures the probability that payment
on an invoice occurs within 180 days of the invoice date. Her
result showed that the establishment of DRT reduces
delinquency in loan repayment by 11 percent (1% significance
level) post DRT for loans above the amount of Rs 1 million.
IV Gaps in Literature
Rebecca (2006) paper used data from SOI corporate tax files
which records firms age only after 1993. Previous data on firm
location is not available for analysis. This would limit the
cross-state variation in the impact of Riegle-Neal State Act on
bank competition. Although this paper analyses the impact of a
Legal Act on credit allocation, it may not correctly reflect the
impact of the Act as the US banking market was competitive 8
before the Riegle-Neal Act was passed. Also the analysis in this
paper does not shed light on how banks competed with each-
other after the passage of Riegle-Neal Act.
7
Debt Recovery Tribunals (DRT) came into being in 1994 after the Debt Recovery Tribunals Act was passed on June
24th, 1993. DRTs were established to accelerate bank’s recovery of Non Performing Loans larger that Rs. 10,00,000/-.
8
Douglas Amendment Act (1956) allowed bank holding companies to own banks located in other states, if
the state permits them to do so.
market is not captured? Since most of the papers use
concentration ratio (e.g. Petersen and Rajan, 1995) to measure
competition between existing banks, the impact of entry of a
new bank in a region within the country remains unanswered.
This becomes important where there is branching restrictions
for foreign banks New Bank branches like we have in India.
Although it has been mentioned in the literature that
improvement in creditor’s rights would induce foreign banks
New Bank branches to extend credit allocation, but there has
been no empirical evidence to support the argument.
To make the
Analyzing the trend of the capital structure of the firms from
1999-2006, I find that there is a fall in the proportion of
secured debt to total debt in the time period 2002-03 which
coincides with the SARFAESI Act (21 st June,2002). Also the
graph indicates that the change in the proportion of secured
debt to total asset is higher for the younger firms (firms less
than 5yrs , represented as Age 5 in the Exhibits below) than the
older firms(>10 yrs). Also, there is a decrement in the (total
debt/total assets) during the same time period, except for the
older firms (Age>10 yrs). All this indicates a policy decision
may have differential impact on the firms, which may defeat the
very objective of the regulatory body. This microeconomic, firm
level impact of a judicial process has not been analyzed in the
existing literature.
V.1 Objectives of the study
The objective of the thesis proposal would be to capture the firm –
level impact of SARFAESI on credit allocation. We propose to examine
the following objectives based on the synthesis from literature:
Objective 1:
Is there an improvement in credit access for the firms post
SARFAESI?
Rationale: Since SARFAESI gives the banks a right to sell the
collateral in case of a default, banks would be interested in extending
their lending activities. This is expected to be more prominent in the
districts were the foreign banks operate as theoretically the
asymmetry of information would be higher here compared to the
districts where only domestic banks operate. Hence we expect that
the ratio (debt/assets) to increase post SARFAESI.
The null hypothesis (H0) will be:
The ratio (external debts/assets) of the firms pre SARFAESI period is
less than or equal to the ratio (external debt/assets) of the firms in the
post SARFAESI period.
Objective 2:
How does the improvement in the creditor’s rights influence the
borrowing behavior of the firms?
Objective 3:
Does the introduction of SARFAESI in conjunction with the entry of
foreign banks in the domestic financial sector have significant effect
on the credit access to firms?
The financial data related to the firms in the district is obtained from
the CMIE database. The district wise location of banks and their day
of establishments are obtained from Department of Economics and
Planning (DEAP), RBI. The reference period of the study would be
from 1999 to 2006 which includes the SARFAESI law enforcement
year (2002) in our assessment.
The existing firms in those districts will be used for our study. Firms’
locations are determined primarily using their registered office
address as mentioned in CMIE. The time period of the sample is 1999-
2006 which is segregated as pre SARFAESI (1999-2001) and post
SARFAESI (2003-2006) Non-financial firms and firms with missing
data were filtered from the sample. Also, firms with (debt/asset) ratio
more than the 99 percentile were omitted to avoid extreme cases. The
final sample consists of 2611 firms. We would further segregate or
classify the data for group affiliation, age of establishment, market
listings and industry type (based on NIC classification). Pre and post
event (2002) would be analyzed to see if (secured debt /assets) has
improved or not.
Objective 1:
Rationale:
Hypothesis:
Null Hypothesis: The ratio (external debt / total debt) would remain
the same for the firms in the districts where new banks entered the
market, pre and post SARFAESI.
How does the entry of new bank branches affect the firms, post
SARFAESI is modeled as
(MODEL I)
Where, Yit is debt ratios for each firm i in year t, NBt is a dummy
variable which is one if a new bank branches is present in the
district in the year t. “X” is the firm level past performance variable
like average ROA (ROAM9) calculated three years before a New bank
branches has entered the district. The firm fixed effect is μi. δt is
Year fixed effect (to capture any country-level time trend in
borrowing pattern of the firms may be due to any reforms or policy
change).
Objective 2
Rationale:
Hypothesis:
The ratio (external debt/total debt) would remain same for the firms in
the districts where new bank branches s entered the market, pre and
post IBC.
(MODEL II)
Where, SFI is the dummy for IBC Act (=1 for 2016 onwards 0
otherwise). Age of a firm (when a new bank branches entered for the
first time in the district in which the firm is located) is computed and
then classified into three age categories of <5 years, between 5 to 10
years and greater than 10 years. D1 and D2 are defined as D1=1 if
the age of a firm is <5 years and 0 otherwise and D2=1 if the age of
a firm is between 5 to 10 years else 0. X represents the control
variable.
How does the entry of banks affect the firms, post IBC is modeled as:
10
Literature also suggests collateral usage reduces Information Asymmetry as it can be:
a) Used as signaling Instrument, similar to equity capital (Bester (1985), Besanko and Thakor (1987).
b) Resolve Moral Hazard problems like asset substitution , and inadequate effort supply (Berger and Udell
(1990), Boot, Thakor, and Udell (1990).
treatment effects for the setup to account for multiple time periods
and staggered treatment, accommodate covariate-dependent trends,
alternative comparison groups, and anticipatory behavior. in a
district. A set of firm-level dummies α1 would absorb any firm- level
differences in the firm’s usage of loans. The parameter (β1) in column
(1) is estimated as “within” firm change.
This would take care of the factor that any specific characteristics
that may change over time will not influence our findings. Also, time
fixed effect (δt) controls any change in lending patterns in India that
may be due to factors other than the entry of new bank branches
(E.g. Change in fiscal or Government policy) or country level reforms.
Column (1) β1 is estimated using the changes in the debt pattern of
the firms in these districts where a new bank branches has entered
after the passage of the SARFAESI Act, relative to the districts,
which never received a new bank branches during the period of
analysis (2002-2006).
That is, the primary control groups are all the firms placed in the
districts where no new bank branches s were present from 2002 –
[Link] complete dataset will be from 2002 to 2016.
However, column (1) specification does not suggest how the entry of
new bank branches, post- SARFAESI(IBC), differentially affected the
firms. Specifically, how past profitability (represented as ROAM: the
mean of last three years Return on Assets), Tangibility (measured as
ratio of fixed assets / total asset), Group Affiliation (firm affiliated to
Indian/Foreign groups) and Share listing (company listed in
BSE/NSE) impact firm’s access to credit.
A positive parameter (β2) would suggest that SARFAESI Act (IBC Act)
has failed to reduce the credit rationing due to information
asymmetry as suggested by Bester (1985); Besanko & Thakor
(1987) .
VI Research Methodology
11
retrieved from: [Link]
2000-2019(
Plastics 119
Electronics 66
Machine Toolsachines 61
Services 134
Construction 121
Chemicals 124
Others 202
Textiles 327
Electricity generation 47
Paper 52
Automobile ancillaries 109
Drugs & pharmaceuticals 186
Computer software 243
Trading 451
Total 2611
20
02 1 32 1 17
20
03 5 453 5 233
20
04 5 342 5 133
20
05 6 382 6 265
20
06 5 287 5 221
Empirical Evidence
Since the objective is to determine, post IBCSARFAESI how does
the entry of foreign New Bankbank branches s affect the firms .
Wewe propose to use a model such as:
Where, D is the dummy variable for SARFAESI IBC Act (=1 for
>202002 onwards 0 otherwise). Age of a firm (when a foreign
New bankbank branch entered for the first time in the district in
which the firm is located) is computed and then classified into
three age categories of <5 years, between 5 to 10 years and
greater than 10 years. We use two dummies D 1 and D2 defined
as D1=1 if the age of a firm is <5 years and 0 otherwise and
D2=1 if the age of a firm is between 5 to 10 years and 0
otherwise. The objective is to determine the impact of
SARFAESI on credit access for the firms under different age
groups after allowing for the impact of control variables (X).
This objective can also be examined using relevant cross-
section data and estimating model II.
[1.] Scope
12
Defined in section [Link] under ‘Sample Selection’ in Sampling Framework
[2.] Utility
Exhibit 3:
Variable definition (firms)
Source: CMIE (prowess) and Ace Equity -Author’s compilation.
Exhibit 4:
Districts with Foreign banks (1990-06)