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Predictive Modeling

The document outlines an MBA examination paper for the Third Semester, focusing on predictive modeling techniques. It includes questions on neural networks, market basket analysis, cluster analysis, regression models, and decision trees. Students are required to attempt four questions from Section A and discuss a decision tree scenario related to business expansion and product line decisions.

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manishahirwarmba2022
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93 views2 pages

Predictive Modeling

The document outlines an MBA examination paper for the Third Semester, focusing on predictive modeling techniques. It includes questions on neural networks, market basket analysis, cluster analysis, regression models, and decision trees. Students are required to attempt four questions from Section A and discuss a decision tree scenario related to business expansion and product line decisions.

Uploaded by

manishahirwarmba2022
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Roll No...so*** **ts**.

s
SF-436
1000 /10/15/20

January
-

February 2022

Master of Business
Administration (MBA) Examination
Third Semester
(Full Time) (New) MODELINGG
FT-304 B:PREDICTIVE
Max Marks 80
Time 3 Hours]
Section B
Each question carries 15 marks.
Note: Attempt any four questions from Section A.
carries 20 marks.
is compulsory and
Section A

how neural network can be used to predict using


Neural network is robust modeling
tool. Explain
time series data.
Explain th
market basket analysis may help in pattern discovery.
2 How cluster analysis and
suitable examples.
regress:on
model. Interpretate the following
Explain simple lines and polynomial regression
analysis result:
Estimate T Pr(E
7.74 7.756 0.083
Intercept -3.96 0.002-
-0.8371
y

F-statistics 15.72 P value (0.0034)


Multiple R2 .583
that might occur and
decision tree, you can explain the decision identify possible events
4 By using
the potential outcomes." Explain.

Write a short note on any two ofthe following


(a) Credit Risk Model
(b)SurrogateModel

(c) Association Analysis.


SF-436
2
Section B
found that the business
is at maturity
furniture. It was

a company manufacturing come to the following


Mahidpurwala is management
6 some change. After rigorous
research,
stage demanding
decision tree: 40% chance to
increase market Profit
Rs. Rs. 25,00,000
share
Expansion
of
Business
Units Loss
60% chance
of threat Rs. 8,00,000

chance of Profit
50% Rs. 18.00,000
success

New

- Product
Line
50% chance
of failure
40% chance to
Loss
Rs.

Profit
6,00,000

market
increase Rs, 10,00,000
share
Do
Nothing
Loss
60% chance Rs. 4,00,000
of threat

Discuss the following decision tree.

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