Leverage Strong Trends to get in Trades with high R:R that are profitable from get-go
Asset Watchlist Creation & Maintenance
Macro Theme Identification & Monitoring Technical Trend Identification & monitoring
•Independent research to identify macro themes and corresponding phases •Identify Strong Technical Trends in different Asset Classes
•Impact Analysis of each of the themes on existing trends for all the instruments •Monitor the progress of each such trend over time
•Dep dive at Instrument level fundamentals to spot if any threat to the trend is developing in silo •Add inputs from Theme Analysis to the Trend Reports
Trend Strength Report
Trade Setup
Sentiment Drivers Trade Plan
• Identify the approximate phase/leg that the global market is in the • Continuation Candidates – Shallow Intraday Retracement
current cycle of the wave • Continuation Candidates – Deep Intraday Retracement Driven by Events
• Anticipate the periodicity and the amplitude of the current cycle of • D-level Retracement Candidates – Expected Retracement on Daily Chart(factor in
the wave overshooting)
• Analyze news for each specific instrument in the watchlist to
understand the variations that their sentiments will have on the Strong Trend+
Global Cycle Move Prediction+
manifestation of this cycle for them
Local Cycle Move Prediction+ Key Artifacts for Analysis
P.A prediction from Events
• Range & Breakout Analysis • Demand & Supply Zone Analysis
• Trend Channel Analysis • Inside Bar Break Analysis
Upcoming Events • EMA Retrace Analysis • Pin bar Retrace Analysis
• Fibonacci Retracement (60%)
Trade Execution
Alert Setup & Monitoring
• Alert Setup in Tradingview for each of the trades identified in the Trade Plan
• Alert Updates based on feedback from Market Pulse & Event Monitoring
Market Pulse Event Monitoring • Continuous Sanity Checks for each of the candidate trades based on Market Pulse
News Flow Cycle
Price News Flow Cycle
Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3
Trap: Price has corrected significantly
while the news flow and sentiment are
It is impossible to catch Once the news flow
extremely bullish, making the drop in
the bottom based on pivots, there is still
price look innocuous and irrelevant.
fundamentals/news/sen some fuel left in
Long entry here seems a no-brainer
timents. the tank for the
and the initial drawdowns are
The reasons are: price swing to
accepted without any pain as it seems
only a matter of time before price continue.
1>How bad is bad
turns.
enough to be But this will not last
considered for entry very long from a
Very Soon the news flow peaks and
negative news start coming in price perspective
2>If the entry is too even though the
accompanied by further drop in price
early , we may need to positive news flow
increasing the pain of drawdown.
bear significant will continue for a
drawdowns while
Next, the increased intensity of inflow
of negative news will create self-doubt
3>Peaks and troughs are
and the pain of drawdown will
only identifiable in
aggravate leading to either
retrospection
capitulation or holding on to the
position just to close it on first upside
movement