CHAPTER - 2
DOW THEORY
KOMAL BRAR
WHAT IS DOW THEORY ?
DOW THEORY IS A FOUNDATIONAL CONCEPT IN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AND IS
NAMED AFTER ITS CREATOR, CHARLES H. DOW WAS A FINANCIAL JOURNALIST AND
THE CO-FOUNDER OF DOW JONES & COMPANY, WHICH IS KNOWN FOR PUBLISHING
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. HE FORMULATED HIS THEORY THROUGH A SERIES OF
ARTICLES IN THE LATE 19TH AND EARLY 20TH CENTURIES, WHICH LAID THE
GROUNDWORK FOR MODERN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS METHODS.
DOW THEORY FOCUSES ON ANALYZING STOCK MARKET PRICE MOVEMENTS TO
PREDICT FUTURE TRENDS AND MAKE INVESTMENT [Link] THEORY IS
BASED ON SIX MAIN PRINCIPLE.
MARKET DISCOUNTS EVERYTHING
THIS PRINCIPLE STATES THAT ALL AVAILABLE INFORMATION, WHETHER PUBLIC OR
PRIVATE, IS REFLECTED IN THE CURRENT MARKET PRICE OF A STOCK OR INDEX.
THEREFORE, STUDYING PRICE MOVEMENTS CAN PROVIDE INSIGHTS INTO MARKET
SENTIMENTS EXPECTATION
THE MAEKET HAS THREE TRENDS
DOW THEORY SUGGESTS THAT MARKETS MOVE IN THREE PRIMARY TRENDS
PRIMARY TREND : The long term trend that lasts for more than a year and
represent the overall direction of market
SECONDARY TREND : These are shorter term movements that go against the
primary trend. They typically last for few weeks to a few months
MINOR TREND : These are very short term movements that lasts a few days to
few weeks and often noise within the primary and secondary trends
TRENDS ARE CONFIRMED BY VOLUME