Five-Year Financial Projections Analysis
Five-Year Financial Projections Analysis
Vision:
Owner will contribute to the calculation of the COGS and the gross Profit %
Provides sales projection taking into accounts all sensitive market factors including competition and risks mentioned in the analysis.
Sensitivity Analysis
Should allow a provision for incertain variables like:
Interest rates changes
Inflation Rates
Head Counts
Budgeted operating expenses
Currency Exchange rates
Year 016 Year 017 Year 018 Year 019 Year 020
Sales Projection 600,000 825,000 1,080,000 1,400,000 1,760,000
Units 4 5 6 7 7
COGS Projection 360,000 495,000 648,000 840,000 1,056,000
Vision:
Owner will contribute to the calculation of the COGS and the gross Profit %
Provides sales projection taking into accounts all sensitive market factors including competition and risks men
Sensitivity Analysis
Should allow a provision for incertain variables like:
Interest rates changes
Inflation Rates
Head Counts
Budgeted operating expenses
Currency Exchange rates
TOTAL
5,665,000
29
3,399,000
0
2,266,000
40%
375,000
70,980
87,028
161,880
372,012
101,644
0
0
60,000
20,000
15,000
20,000
30,000
30,000
25,000
25,000
1,393,544
25,000
119,041
7,000
721,415
0
70%
86%
ding competition and risks mentioned in the analysis.
Year 016 Year 017 Year 018 Year 019 Year 020 TOTAL
Sales Projection 900,000 1,320,000 1,800,000 2,400,000 3,300,000 9,720,000
Units 6 8 10 12 15 51
COGS Projection 540,000 858,000 1,260,000 1,800,000 2,475,000 6,933,000
0
Gross Profit 360,000 462,000 540,000 600,000 825,000 2,787,000
Percentage of sales 40% 35% 30% 25% 25% 29%
Project Expenses
Vision:
Owner will contribute to the calculation of the COGS and the gross Profit %
Provides sales projection taking into accounts all sensitive market factors including competition and risks mentioned in the analysis.
Sensitivity Analysis
Should allow a provision for incertain variables like:
Interest rates changes
Inflation Rates
Head Counts
Budgeted operating expenses
Currency Exchange rates
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This sheet summaries income, expenses and net profit. There are no inputs on this sheet
Gross Sales
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6
Salsa $0 $700,000 $735,000 $771,750 $810,338 $850,854 $893,397
B $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
C $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
D $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Expenses
Variable $0 $580,900 $600,709 $621,416 $643,065 $665,703 $689,377
Fixed $0 $91,711 $120,434 $96,863 $80,438 $71,341 $66,745
Other $65,000 $30,000 $30,300 $30,603 $30,909 $31,218 $31,530
Before Tax Profit ($65,000) ($2,611) ($16,443) $22,868 $55,925 $82,593 $105,745
After Tax Profit ($65,000) ($2,611) ($16,443) $16,007 $39,147 $57,815 $74,022
Tax Information
Property Tax as % of Prop and Plant 0.50%
Income Tax Rate 30.00%
Payroll Information
% of Payroll Tax to Salaries 5.00%
% of Retirement Tax to Salaries 15.00%
% of Employee INS Tax to Salaries 10.00%
Benefits as % of Salaries 30.00%
Wage Inflation 1.00%
Other
Expense Inflation Rate 1.00%
Maintenance as % of Plant & Equip 3%
Insurance as % of Plant & Equip 2%
Discount rate for NPV calculation 12%
INPUT PRODUCTS, INITIAL VOLUME, MARGIN PER UNIT AND
ANTICIPATED SALES GROWTH RATE
Product Name Salsa
Units cases
Initial Volume 20,000
Sales growth 5%
Price/unit $ 35.00
Product Name C
Units lbs
Initial Volume 0
Sales growth 0%
Price/unit $ -
There are also inputs on the "Personnel Expense", "Depreciation", & "Expense Projection" sheets
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Product Name B
Units lbs
Initial Volume 0
Sales growth 1%
Price/unit $ 100.00
Product Name D
Units lbs
Initial Volume 0
Sales growth 0%
Price/unit $ -
B
Total Volume 0 0 0 0 0 0
Price/Unit $100.000 $100.000 $100.000 $100.000 $100.000 $100.000
Gross Sales $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
C
Total Volume 0 0 0 0 0 0
Price/Unit $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Gross Sales $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
D
Total Volume 0 0 0 0 0 0
Price/Unit $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Gross Sales $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
Production Expense
Salsa $ 350,000 $ 367,500 $ 385,875 $ 405,169 $ 425,427 $ 446,699
B $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
C $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
D $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
TOTAL VARIABLE EXP. $ 350,000 $ 367,500 $ 385,875 $ 405,169 $ 425,427 $ 446,699
Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
26,802 28,142 29,549 31,027
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
26,802 28,142 29,549 31,027
0 0 0 0
$100.000 $100.000 $100.000 $100.000
$0 $0 $0 $0
0 0 0 0
$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
$0 $0 $0 $0
0 0 0 0
$0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
$0 $0 $0 $0
This sheet calculates loan amortization and interest. There are no inputs on this sheet.
Total Interest Expense $20,269 $19,048 $17,736 $16,325 $14,809 $13,179 $11,426
Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
$87,233 $60,231 $31,204
7.50% 7.50% 7.50%
$6,542 $4,517 $2,340
$60,231 $31,204 $0
This Sheet summaries expenses. The only input is for "supplies and miscellaneous" expenses.
Fixed
Maintenance $ 13,215 $ 13,347 $ 13,481 $ 13,615 $ 13,752 $ 13,889
Other
Supplies $ 25,000 $ 10,000 $ 10,100 $ 10,201 $ 10,303 $ 10,406 $ 10,510
0.00%
0.00%
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This sheet calculates depreciation. You enter descriptions and values for buildings, equipment and other property.
Depreciation
Buildings 39 year Straight Line
Special Purpose Buildings 10 year Straight Line
Equipment and Heavy Rolling Stock7 Yr MACRS with half year convention
Light Trucks and Vehicles 5 Yr MACRS with half year convention
Year 1 2 3 4 5
Buildings $3,077 $3,077 $3,077 $3,077 $3,077
Special Purpose Buildings $1,500 $2,100 $2,100 $2,100 $2,100
Equipment and Heavy Rolling Stock $31,438 $53,878 $38,478 $27,478 $19,646
Light Truck and Vehicles $11,100 $17,760 $10,656 $6,394 $6,394
Buildings
Cost $150,000
Life 39
Salvage $30,000
Period 39
Depreciation per year for 39 years $3,077
6 7 8 9 10
$3,077 $3,077 $3,077 $3,077 $3,077
$2,100 $2,100 $2,100 $2,100 $2,100
$19,624 $19,646 $9,812
$3,197
This sheet summaries the feasibility of the project. It provides net present value, benefit cost ratio and internal rate of
The only input is the discount rate.
Year 0 1 2 3 4
Gross Margin $700,000 $735,000 $771,750 $810,338
Discount Factor 1 0.892857 0.797194 0.71178 0.635518
PV of Income $0 $625,000 $585,938 $549,316 $514,984
5 6 7 8 9 10
$850,854 $893,397 $938,067 $984,970 $1,034,219 $1,085,930
0.567427 0.506631 0.452349 0.403883 0.36061002 0.321973237
$482,798 $452,623 $424,334 $397,813 $372,950 $349,640
Other Costs