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Understanding Probability Concepts

The document discusses the concepts of random experiments, sample spaces, events, and probability. It explains different types of events such as mutually exclusive, independent, and complementary events, along with the calculation of probabilities for various scenarios. Additionally, it provides examples and formulas related to probability in the context of dice and card games.

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kidsankitiwari
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
3 views11 pages

Understanding Probability Concepts

The document discusses the concepts of random experiments, sample spaces, events, and probability. It explains different types of events such as mutually exclusive, independent, and complementary events, along with the calculation of probabilities for various scenarios. Additionally, it provides examples and formulas related to probability in the context of dice and card games.

Uploaded by

kidsankitiwari
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Experiment

An operation
which produce
rome well-defined outcome a
on

: >
-
can i

chance which is
Random Experiment :
The outcome
of
each trial depends on ,

beyond our control ,


and as such can not be predicted with
certainity .

sample Space
posible
-set of outcomein
randomexperiment in a
The all

Each element
of sample space is called
a a
sample point .

Event
Every subset sample space is called event
:->
of a an .

die
Ex . In a
single throw
of
a

prime no

E =
42 ,
3
, 53
event F odd
The
getting
no
of
F =
41 ,
3
,
53
Event
Impossible :>
-

o CS
die
getting throw
Ex in
T of
.
no . a a

Sure Event-> SIS


lie
Less them I in
a vo r
f
a

getting
Ex .
a no.

simpleEventenolaminatingleelement thesample on
spe
of
-

sample point
. Ex .

Mitually Exchuine Events: - Two events E ,& E2 a re


said to be
mutually exchimne

if E
, REz =
0

If
E
,
nE#q ,
then E
, & E
,
are called compatible events
he these
getting ano
E+
die 41 5)
throwing
In S 2 3 4 5
Ex 1)
: a =
, , , , ,

getting
E even no.
than
E-getting
=
a no more
,

odd 43 4 , 33
getting
an no 5

E = ,
,

: E
,
Ezfo
nEz 0
compatible
· E =

, "F SE are
, ,

enchurine
·: F &E
mutually
.

a re
, ,
Exhaustine exerilit
Exclusive &
Mitually It E Er Ez
,
,
.
--- ·

En be subsets of a
sample space

Independent Meanin
Pentative
Events - In
P(E NEz)
random experiment
,
= P(E) XP(Ez)
lits be the sample and
Complementary space
a
,

let E be an event .
Then ECS

Now E'or EorECS


-

is called complement of E

E-> occurses

E'- > does not .


occur

in throw die
getting
En E- of
.
even no. a a

E'- odd
getting
Probability : -

PCE) =

no on
offavourable
set

(oxP(E)X)

2) A
can once .
Sand the
probability of getting a head
head <1)
getting
E
E a
n(E) 1
=
=

S =
(H T) ,
n(S) = 2

P(E) = =
t
Find the probabilita

To coriantomed
once .

head
(3)
getting
no

head I tail
getting
I I
()

S =
[HH ,
HT, TH
,
TT3 n(s) =
E
(3) Ey =
[TT3 u(Es) =
1

()EHMS
nE
P(Ez) =
t
(9) Ea
=
SHT Th3
(2) E =
SUT ,
TH
, HHS nEL) = S ,

P(Ez) = P(Ea) =
z =
t
SeLH)
unbiased coins tossed What is
3) Three are once . the 3)
probability of getting
1) [HH43

auwhena
E
,
=
n(E , ) =

P(E) = Y

a n(E2) 3
2) E G4HT THUS
=
=
HTH
, ,

P(E2) =
/
is What is the probability of
4) A die tossed once .

3) SUTT TTHY
Ez = TUT,

gettingmembermen
,

P(Ez) =
3/8

a 4) En =

P(Ea) =
7/8
less than 8
A number
Wil 5) E5 =
GHHT THH HTH ,
HHH3
5)Inasingle howof die what tea
,
i ,

P(E5) =
5=
6) Two dice are thrown simultaneously Find the probability getting
()
.

of
Y 41 63

m
1) S =
,
2
,
3
,
4
,
5
,

2) 36 =
/2
3) 46 = 23

4)6 = "3
5) o

numbered from 1 to 20 . One card is then


7. 20 cards are
6) 66
7

that the
drawn at random. What is the probability o =
1
is :
number on the card drawn

i
5) S=
Lyn ] -
<(2 6) (3 5) (4 4)(5 3)(6 2)3 N/E) 5
=

E = ,
, , , ,

probability of getting
drawn at random . Find the
p(E) =

· address
Cards

Total
(i)
9)
huffled deck
From well
the
a rd
red and
a

words acarda
drawn is

red King
characta a

Baga red
Aking (ii) either
Total 12 cards
10) A and 12 white balls
face
.
One
ball is drawn at

=Li
random Find the
probability
.

that
the ball drawn is ...
red
x52
I
And 1452. 2
=

Y
233)(a) is ,

Ibay 2 white
I P(E)) =36
4)
I If 30 is the probability that an event will happen ,
what

is the probability that it will not happen


.

Find the probability of

&E0
12) Three dice are thrown together .

getting a total of atlast 6


=
E- > Sum of at most ( < b) 3)

ZeCCG n za

,
13) Two cards are drawn at random from a
pack of
?
32 cards .
What is the probability that both cards are aces

g waye
52 carde selected 52 cards
n(s) = no
from
=
.

~
(E) = (2 = no .

of ways of seting cocr


from

=
PLE

-I
A die is .
rolled Let I be the event "die showed" and
F be the event "die shows even no "
. Are E & F
mutually
exclusive ?

S =
41 ,
2 3
, ,
4
,
563
E =
44]
F =
42 ,
4 63,

EnF =
443 70
ECF a re not
minually
lossed. Describe
exchisine .

) Three coins a re

churiand a
erwhitaMutually
enhaue

which exclusive but not exhusistine


5) Three events a re
mutually
Probability
·PEEEE
Results on
:

PEO 3
S - sample space
event
Et
Any =

)
(P(E ) ,
=
0 .
65

exclusive
4) If
E &E
, ,
are
mitually 2)

= doubti s
(1) PCE nE) = 0 OR PlE , and Ez) =
o !
,

P(E , UEz) P(E , ) + P(Ez)


(11)
=

·tal,a
P(E O2Ez)
= P(E , ) + P(Ez)
,

VEn) P(E) + P(Ez) +


- ...
+ P(En) n(Ez) 5
UELUEz
=

(111) P(E , =
-
- -

where E
, F2 ,
. . . .
En a re
pairwise disjoint
Addition theorem two events :
for
For two events E & E2
P(E ,
02Ez) = P(E , VEz)
any
,

= PEPEET
- For
any
thre events E
,
E2 ,
Es =
P(E) + P(En) + P(Es) PlE , nEr)
P(E VELVEs)
- -
=

,
Sn(s) =
36

P(EzMEs) -

PlEgnE ) + ,
P(E nEznEs) doublet )=
,

getting (F
E - n
,

mitually
,

E ,& F two exchisive extastine


Ip
a re
total of
4) n/E2)E
,
Est 10
events then
/P(E) + P(E2) = 1
4( 55 5) , 16 )=

·
6) ,

E
, , ,

event
Complement of
an
Ple and Er) ,
= P(EE) =
P(FE)
(P(E) P(E) =
1 -

compatible events
PER
two E, E
For
any
1 P(E , -

Ez) =
P(E)) -

P(E , REz)

=
1) If E , and Es are two events associated with a random
experiment
such that PLEz) 0 85 and PLE , and E2) 0 15
PLEOrE2)
0 35
,
= . = .

= .

find PCE , ) .
f

2) Two dice are tossed together . Find the


probability of getting
a doublet or a total 66 .
n(s) = 500

3) In a
single throw of two dice , find the probability that E +
,
divisible
by 3 =
43 ,
6
,
9
, ..... 598]
neither a doublet nor a total to 10 will appear.

d
4) A natural number is chosen at random from among

thefirst500Whattheprobability
that the numbe a b
u(E ),
=
166

Ainawmuffing 16/52

E
Ent

1Ez
n(Ez)
(15
= 100

30 45. . . . . 4953
...

495 =
o

15 + (n -

1)15

boombment
=
, ,
,
n =
33

n(E , nEz) = 33

PE
PLE , VE)
rusted =
I Two falle are drawn at random with replacement
5n(S

space n(E) 1
bose to black balls & a se
containing
=
a

from a

Est
King /E2) 4

probability
=

balls Find the


- . .

E nEz 1
sed
=

,
(1) both a re

P(EVEr)
is black second is red
( first
() them is black and other is sed
of
one

drawing
cards 12
#
n(s)
I n(s) =

of ways of
= no .

P(F) =

·
E
,
-
getting both a re red

n(E , ) =
2
E-
getting
both
kings
n(E2) =

n (E , 1E2) =
2

7)n(s) = 150c
n(E , ) =

10 C2

- n(E2)

n(E 1E2)
=

152

52c 5022
=
,

· #

=
eg21) A throws die
Greports

l
=
P(FIA)

Axiomatic Approach to
Probability -

Let S =3 W
,, Wa Wa
, ,
. - .

Wh] be the sample space associated to a random experiment.

probabilitypra real
The valuedfunctionwhosedomain
is a
power set of
-
sand
is
rang
Set all subset
1 0xP(Wi)X) all WiES
of
for
.

.
2 P(s)
P(w ),
=

+
1

P(wz) + P(wz) +... + P(wn) =


/
En ,
s
is
3 For event ACS PCA) EPCWS the number PCMC
any
=
.

, ,

called the
protability of elementary event

·
S =

EHHHH , HHHT
,
HA TH , HHTT
,

LTHH ,M

S
#canoe
1.
25
A(S) =
60Cs

ne l

nF
.
2

> 1 + 1 + +=
GRe
HHHH
< Heads
-

.SE2
3 , 2 s
5 Re
1 + 1-1
.
5 = 1 .

: 1 +
34 & /T
1-15-1 5 - 1Rs

isEgelngazegettingsT
.
=

2122T : 1 +
3.
: -15-15-5
=

P(E) =
316
- 15-1 5-15-1 5 = GRe
<
-

T :
.

/2
.
=

<Re) 116
P(getting
=
4
. not getting prize
us
1- p(getting prize) 1 Re) 4/16
P(getting
.
5 =

(i)
=1-oc
(i)
I 1Re) 5/16
P(getting
-
=

Rl) 4/16

m
P(getting
=
-
-
3 .
5

1/16
P(getting-JRs)
=

=C 3-

a
20x3750XT
=

(5) :
6. Sample space

per
letter in proper
envelope

=H
PLE)

,
.
7
P(A) = 0 54
.

PCB) =
0 69
.

P(A1B) = 0 35
.

P(B)-PLAUB) (Ili) PLANBI) PLA)-P(AnB)


(i) P(AUB)
=
=
P(A) +

#
0 35
0 34 + 0 69
.
-
= .
.

=
1 23
.
-
0 35.

0 88
=

/
.

(ii) PCA'nB') =
PCAB
=
0 .

12/ a
(iv) PLBnAl)
= PCB-PCAB
=
0 34,
.

a male gender or above 35


yeaoa e
. picking person
8 a

n(s) = 5

P(E)
=
4/51.

9. 4 digit no . 5000 , divisible by 5

i
(ii)

3
n(s) =
2 x 5 x 5x5 =
250

(but 5000 is not 5000)


1x4X3x2
= 24

:. 250-1 = 249
24
36
=
12 +
n(E) =

=9
P(E)
9/1/25 -

Probability
100211 - Test

14/1/25 - Revision + Test

16/ - Revision + Test

170218 -

Test

21/) -
Revision + Nest

23/)
-

28/1 -
1 Mock Paper (Section 1+B + E)

30/1 -
1 Mock (C + D)

5/2-2Mock

6/2 -
2 Mock

Fri or Sat-3 hous paper

=]

S

34) =o

P(getting
P(getting-
④ I (at most 24) =
7/8

⑤ P (no head) 18
=

18
⑧ P(3T)
=

%
① p
(exactly (T) =

⑧ P (no tail) =
Y8
⑨ P (at most 2T) =

1/8

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