Understanding Probability Concepts
Understanding Probability Concepts
An operation
which produce
rome well-defined outcome a
on
: >
-
can i
chance which is
Random Experiment :
The outcome
of
each trial depends on ,
sample Space
posible
-set of outcomein
randomexperiment in a
The all
Each element
of sample space is called
a a
sample point .
Event
Every subset sample space is called event
:->
of a an .
die
Ex . In a
single throw
of
a
prime no
E =
42 ,
3
, 53
event F odd
The
getting
no
of
F =
41 ,
3
,
53
Event
Impossible :>
-
o CS
die
getting throw
Ex in
T of
.
no . a a
getting
Ex .
a no.
simpleEventenolaminatingleelement thesample on
spe
of
-
sample point
. Ex .
if E
, REz =
0
If
E
,
nE#q ,
then E
, & E
,
are called compatible events
he these
getting ano
E+
die 41 5)
throwing
In S 2 3 4 5
Ex 1)
: a =
, , , , ,
getting
E even no.
than
E-getting
=
a no more
,
odd 43 4 , 33
getting
an no 5
E = ,
,
: E
,
Ezfo
nEz 0
compatible
· E =
, "F SE are
, ,
enchurine
·: F &E
mutually
.
a re
, ,
Exhaustine exerilit
Exclusive &
Mitually It E Er Ez
,
,
.
--- ·
En be subsets of a
sample space
Independent Meanin
Pentative
Events - In
P(E NEz)
random experiment
,
= P(E) XP(Ez)
lits be the sample and
Complementary space
a
,
let E be an event .
Then ECS
is called complement of E
E-> occurses
in throw die
getting
En E- of
.
even no. a a
E'- odd
getting
Probability : -
PCE) =
no on
offavourable
set
(oxP(E)X)
2) A
can once .
Sand the
probability of getting a head
head <1)
getting
E
E a
n(E) 1
=
=
S =
(H T) ,
n(S) = 2
P(E) = =
t
Find the probabilita
To coriantomed
once .
head
(3)
getting
no
head I tail
getting
I I
()
S =
[HH ,
HT, TH
,
TT3 n(s) =
E
(3) Ey =
[TT3 u(Es) =
1
()EHMS
nE
P(Ez) =
t
(9) Ea
=
SHT Th3
(2) E =
SUT ,
TH
, HHS nEL) = S ,
P(Ez) = P(Ea) =
z =
t
SeLH)
unbiased coins tossed What is
3) Three are once . the 3)
probability of getting
1) [HH43
auwhena
E
,
=
n(E , ) =
P(E) = Y
a n(E2) 3
2) E G4HT THUS
=
=
HTH
, ,
P(E2) =
/
is What is the probability of
4) A die tossed once .
3) SUTT TTHY
Ez = TUT,
gettingmembermen
,
P(Ez) =
3/8
a 4) En =
P(Ea) =
7/8
less than 8
A number
Wil 5) E5 =
GHHT THH HTH ,
HHH3
5)Inasingle howof die what tea
,
i ,
P(E5) =
5=
6) Two dice are thrown simultaneously Find the probability getting
()
.
of
Y 41 63
m
1) S =
,
2
,
3
,
4
,
5
,
2) 36 =
/2
3) 46 = 23
4)6 = "3
5) o
that the
drawn at random. What is the probability o =
1
is :
number on the card drawn
i
5) S=
Lyn ] -
<(2 6) (3 5) (4 4)(5 3)(6 2)3 N/E) 5
=
E = ,
, , , ,
probability of getting
drawn at random . Find the
p(E) =
· address
Cards
Total
(i)
9)
huffled deck
From well
the
a rd
red and
a
words acarda
drawn is
red King
characta a
Baga red
Aking (ii) either
Total 12 cards
10) A and 12 white balls
face
.
One
ball is drawn at
=Li
random Find the
probability
.
that
the ball drawn is ...
red
x52
I
And 1452. 2
=
Y
233)(a) is ,
Ibay 2 white
I P(E)) =36
4)
I If 30 is the probability that an event will happen ,
what
&E0
12) Three dice are thrown together .
ZeCCG n za
,
13) Two cards are drawn at random from a
pack of
?
32 cards .
What is the probability that both cards are aces
g waye
52 carde selected 52 cards
n(s) = no
from
=
.
~
(E) = (2 = no .
=
PLE
-I
A die is .
rolled Let I be the event "die showed" and
F be the event "die shows even no "
. Are E & F
mutually
exclusive ?
S =
41 ,
2 3
, ,
4
,
563
E =
44]
F =
42 ,
4 63,
EnF =
443 70
ECF a re not
minually
lossed. Describe
exchisine .
) Three coins a re
churiand a
erwhitaMutually
enhaue
PEO 3
S - sample space
event
Et
Any =
)
(P(E ) ,
=
0 .
65
exclusive
4) If
E &E
, ,
are
mitually 2)
= doubti s
(1) PCE nE) = 0 OR PlE , and Ez) =
o !
,
·tal,a
P(E O2Ez)
= P(E , ) + P(Ez)
,
(111) P(E , =
-
- -
where E
, F2 ,
. . . .
En a re
pairwise disjoint
Addition theorem two events :
for
For two events E & E2
P(E ,
02Ez) = P(E , VEz)
any
,
= PEPEET
- For
any
thre events E
,
E2 ,
Es =
P(E) + P(En) + P(Es) PlE , nEr)
P(E VELVEs)
- -
=
,
Sn(s) =
36
P(EzMEs) -
PlEgnE ) + ,
P(E nEznEs) doublet )=
,
getting (F
E - n
,
mitually
,
·
6) ,
E
, , ,
event
Complement of
an
Ple and Er) ,
= P(EE) =
P(FE)
(P(E) P(E) =
1 -
compatible events
PER
two E, E
For
any
1 P(E , -
Ez) =
P(E)) -
P(E , REz)
=
1) If E , and Es are two events associated with a random
experiment
such that PLEz) 0 85 and PLE , and E2) 0 15
PLEOrE2)
0 35
,
= . = .
= .
find PCE , ) .
f
3) In a
single throw of two dice , find the probability that E +
,
divisible
by 3 =
43 ,
6
,
9
, ..... 598]
neither a doublet nor a total to 10 will appear.
d
4) A natural number is chosen at random from among
thefirst500Whattheprobability
that the numbe a b
u(E ),
=
166
Ainawmuffing 16/52
E
Ent
1Ez
n(Ez)
(15
= 100
30 45. . . . . 4953
...
495 =
o
15 + (n -
1)15
boombment
=
, ,
,
n =
33
n(E , nEz) = 33
PE
PLE , VE)
rusted =
I Two falle are drawn at random with replacement
5n(S
↑
space n(E) 1
bose to black balls & a se
containing
=
a
from a
Est
King /E2) 4
probability
=
E nEz 1
sed
=
,
(1) both a re
P(EVEr)
is black second is red
( first
() them is black and other is sed
of
one
drawing
cards 12
#
n(s)
I n(s) =
of ways of
= no .
P(F) =
·
E
,
-
getting both a re red
n(E , ) =
2
E-
getting
both
kings
n(E2) =
n (E , 1E2) =
2
7)n(s) = 150c
n(E , ) =
10 C2
- n(E2)
n(E 1E2)
=
152
52c 5022
=
,
· #
=
eg21) A throws die
Greports
l
=
P(FIA)
Axiomatic Approach to
Probability -
Let S =3 W
,, Wa Wa
, ,
. - .
probabilitypra real
The valuedfunctionwhosedomain
is a
power set of
-
sand
is
rang
Set all subset
1 0xP(Wi)X) all WiES
of
for
.
.
2 P(s)
P(w ),
=
+
1
, ,
called the
protability of elementary event
·
S =
EHHHH , HHHT
,
HA TH , HHTT
,
LTHH ,M
S
#canoe
1.
25
A(S) =
60Cs
ne l
nF
.
2
> 1 + 1 + +=
GRe
HHHH
< Heads
-
.SE2
3 , 2 s
5 Re
1 + 1-1
.
5 = 1 .
: 1 +
34 & /T
1-15-1 5 - 1Rs
isEgelngazegettingsT
.
=
2122T : 1 +
3.
: -15-15-5
=
P(E) =
316
- 15-1 5-15-1 5 = GRe
<
-
T :
.
/2
.
=
<Re) 116
P(getting
=
4
. not getting prize
us
1- p(getting prize) 1 Re) 4/16
P(getting
.
5 =
(i)
=1-oc
(i)
I 1Re) 5/16
P(getting
-
=
Rl) 4/16
m
P(getting
=
-
-
3 .
5
1/16
P(getting-JRs)
=
=C 3-
a
20x3750XT
=
(5) :
6. Sample space
per
letter in proper
envelope
=H
PLE)
,
.
7
P(A) = 0 54
.
PCB) =
0 69
.
P(A1B) = 0 35
.
#
0 35
0 34 + 0 69
.
-
= .
.
=
1 23
.
-
0 35.
0 88
=
/
.
(ii) PCA'nB') =
PCAB
=
0 .
12/ a
(iv) PLBnAl)
= PCB-PCAB
=
0 34,
.
n(s) = 5
P(E)
=
4/51.
i
(ii)
3
n(s) =
2 x 5 x 5x5 =
250
:. 250-1 = 249
24
36
=
12 +
n(E) =
=9
P(E)
9/1/25 -
Probability
100211 - Test
170218 -
Test
21/) -
Revision + Nest
23/)
-
28/1 -
1 Mock Paper (Section 1+B + E)
30/1 -
1 Mock (C + D)
5/2-2Mock
6/2 -
2 Mock
=]
↑
S
34) =o
⑦
P(getting
P(getting-
④ I (at most 24) =
7/8
⑤ P (no head) 18
=
18
⑧ P(3T)
=
%
① p
(exactly (T) =
⑧ P (no tail) =
Y8
⑨ P (at most 2T) =
1/8