Eknm 201 - Statistics I Departments: Business Administration International Trade and Finance
Eknm 201 - Statistics I Departments: Business Administration International Trade and Finance
Departments:
Business Administration
International Trade and Finance
Statistics for Business and Economics:
Global Edition
(2012)
Pearson Education
2
Course content
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-3
Statistics for
Business and Economics
7th Edition
Chapter 1
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-4
Introduction
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-6
Dealing with Uncertainty
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-9
Reasons for Drawing a Sample
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-11
Random Sampling
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-12
A parameter is a specific characteristic of a
population
Population Sample
a b cd b c
ef gh i jk l m n gi n
o p q rs t u v w o r u
x y z y
Inferential statistics
Using data to make predictions, forecasts, and
estimates to assist decision making
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-16
Descriptive Statistics
Collect data
e.g., Survey
Present data
e.g., Tables and graphs
Summarize data
e.g., Sample mean =
X i
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-17
Inferential Statistics
Estimation
e.g., Estimate the population
mean weight using the sample
mean weight
Hypothesis testing
e.g., Test the claim that the
Variable
specific characteristics of an individual or
object…
Categorical / numerical
(type and amount of information contained in
the data)
Measurement levels
(qualitative and quantitative)
Types of Data
Data
Categorical Numerical
Examples:
Marital Status Discrete Continuous
Are you registered to vote?
Eye Color
(Defined as categories or groups) Examples: Examples:
Number of Children Weight
Defects per hour Voltage
(Counted items) (Measured characteristics)
(counting process) (measurement process)
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-20
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Types of Data
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Nominal Ordinal
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-22
Qualitative
Data
Nominal
Ordinal
Obtained from ordered categories.
Obtained from categorical questions Examples:
Examples: Product quality ratings
1: male 2: female 1: poor 2: average 3:good
1: yes 2: no
Interval
Ratio
Indicates rank and distance from an Indicates both rank and distance from a
arbitrary zero measured in unit natural zero, with ratios of two
intervals. measures having meaning.
Examples: Examples:
Temperature A person who weighs 200 pounds is
twice the weight of a person who
Year / calendar
weighs 100 pounds.
A person who is 40 years old is twice
the age of someone who is 20 years
old.
1.3 Graphical
Presentation of Data
Graph
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-25
Graphical
Presentation of Data
(continued)
Techniques reviewed in this chapter:
Categorical Numerical
Variables Variables
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-26
Tables and Graphs for
Categorical Variables
Categorical
Data
Frequency
Distribution Bar Pie Pareto
Table Chart Chart Diagram
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-27
The Frequency
Distribution Table
- Classes or groups..
- All possible responses on a
variable being studied…
The Frequency
Distribution Table
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-29
Bar and Pie Charts
Bar charts and Pie charts are often used for
qualitative (categorical) data
Number of
Maternity 552 3000
2245
Surgery 4,630 2000
1052
1000 552
340
0
Cardiac
Surgery
Emergency
Intensive
Maternity
Care
Care
Height of bar shows
the frequency of
each category
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-31
Example: Health conscious level by gender
Males Females
Moderately health 26 29
conscious
Slightly health 12 8
conscious
Not very health 7 2
conscious
Component or Stacked Bar Chart
Males Females
Very health 16 13
conscious
Moderately health 26 29
conscious
Slightly health 12 8
conscious
Not very health 7 2 60
conscious
50
40 29
female
30
male
13
20
8
26
10
16 2
12
7
0
very health moderately slightly health not very
conscious health conscious health
conscious conscious
Cluster Bar Chart
35
30 29
26
very health conscious
25
20 moderately health
16 conscious
15 slightly health
12 13
conscious
10 8 not very healt
7 conscious
5
2
0
male female
Pie Chart Example
Hospital Number % of
Unit of Patients Total
Hospital Patients by Unit
Cardiac Care 1,052 11.93
Emergency 2,245 25.46 Cardiac Care
12%
Intensive Care 340 3.86
Maternity 552 6.26
Surgery 4,630 52.50
Emergency
Surgery 25%
53%
90%
50%
80%
70%
40%
60%
30% 50%
40%
20%
30%
20%
10%
10%
0% 0%
Poor Alignment Paint Flaw Bad Weld Missing Part Cracked case Electrical Short
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-39
Pareto Diagram Example
(continued)
Source of
Manufacturing Error Number of defects % of Total Defects
Poor Alignment 223 55.75
Paint Flaw 78 19.50
Bad Weld 34 8.50
Missing Part 25 6.25
Cracked case 21 5.25
Electrical Short 19 4.75
Total 400 100%
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-40
Pareto Diagram Example
(continued)
Step 3: Show results graphically
Pareto Diagram: Cause of Manufacturing Defect
60% 100%
90%
% of defects in each category
50%
80%
30% 50%
40%
20%
30%
20%
10%
10%
0% 0%
Poor Alignment Paint Flaw Bad Weld Missing Part Cracked case Electrical Short
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-41
Example: A company has determined that there are
seven possible defects for one of its product line.
Construct a Pareto diagram for the following defect
frequencies:
Defect
Code Frequency
A 10
B 70
C 15
D 90
E 8
F 4
G 3
Example: Construct a Pareto diagram to help the
company determine the most significant factors
contributing to processing errors.
Defect Code Frequency
Procedural and diagnostic
1 codes 40
2 Provider information 9
3 Patient information 6
4 Pricing schedule 17
5 Contractual applications 37
6 Prodiver adjustment 7
7 others 4
Graphical
Presentation of Data
(continued)
Techniques reviewed in this chapter:
Categorical Numerical
Variables Variables
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-44
Graphs for Time-Series Data
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-46
Examples of time series data;
350
300
Thousands of subscribers
250
200
150
100
50
0
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-48
Example
Construct a time-series plot for the following
numbers of customers shopping at a new mall during
a given week. (from your book, pp.40)
Day Number of customers
Monday 525
Tuesday 540
Wednesday 469
Thursday 500
Friday 586
Saturday 640
1.5 Graphs to Describe
Numerical Variables
Numerical Data
Histogram Ogive
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Frequency Distributions
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Example: Frequency distribution for employee
completion times
Completion times (in seconds) Frequency
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-53
The classes or intervals of a frequency
distribution for numerical data are not easily
identifiable…
Frequency
with gaps from empty classes 2
1.5
4
8
12
16
20
24
28
32
36
40
44
48
52
56
60
More
Temperature
10
may compress variation too much 8
Frequency
and yield a blocky distribution 6
4
can obscure important patterns of 2
variation. 0
0 30 60 More
Temperature
(X axis labels are upper class endpoints)
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-56
Class Intervals
and Class Boundaries
STEP 2:
Determine the interval width.
STEP 3:
Intervals never overlap
Each observation must belong to one and only
one interval.
Example:
age 20 to age 30 age 20 but less than age 30 20-29
age 30 to age 40 age 30 but less than age 40 30-39
wrong
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-58
Questions for Grouping Data
into Intervals
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Frequency Distribution Example
Example:
A manufacturer of insulation randomly
selects 20 winter days and records the
daily high temperature
24, 35, 17, 21, 24, 37, 26, 46, 58, 30,
32, 13, 12, 38, 41, 43, 44, 27, 53, 27
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-60
Frequency Distribution Example
(continued)
Find range: 58 - 12 = 46
Select number of classes: 5 (usually between 5 and
15)
Compute interval width: 10 (46/5 then round up)
Relative Percentage
Interval Frequency
Frequency (%)
10 but less than 20 3 .15 15
20 but less than 30 6 .30 30
30 but less than 40 5 .25 25
40 but less than 50 4 .20 20
50 but less than 60 2 .10 10
Total 20 1.00 100
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The Cumulative
Frequency Distribution
Data in ordered array:
12, 13, 17, 21, 24, 24, 26, 27, 27, 30, 32, 35, 37, 38, 41, 43, 44, 46, 53, 58
Cumulative Cumulative
Class Frequency Percentage
Frequency Percentage
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-63
Example (from your book, pp. 47):
17 62 15 65
28 51 24 65 Please construct a
frequency distribution
39 41 35 15 by considering the
following data
39 32 36 37
40 21 44 37
59 13 44 56
12 54 64 59
Example (from your book, pp. 47):
Interval Frequency
His togram : Daily High Te m pe rature
10 but less than 20 3
20 but less than 30 6 7 6
30 but less than 40 5
6 5
40 but less than 50 4
50 but less than 60 2 5 4
Frequency
4 3
3 2
2
1 0 0
(No gaps between bars) 0
0 0 10 10 2020 30 30 40 40 50 50 60 60 70
Temperature in Degrees
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-67
Ogive
Relative Cumulative
Interval frequency frequency relative
frequency (%)
10 but less than 20 5 0.178 17.8
METHOD:
Separate the sorted data series
into leading digits (the stem) and
the trailing digits (the leaves)
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-72
Example
Data in ordered array:
21, 24, 24, 26, 27, 27, 30, 32, 38, 41
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-73
Example
(continued)
Data in ordered array:
21, 24, 24, 26, 27, 27, 30, 32, 38, 41
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-74
Using other stem units
Using the 100’s digit as the stem:
Round off the 10’s digit to form the leaves
Stem Leaf
613 would become 6 1
776 would become 7 8
...
1224 becomes 12 2
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-75
Using other stem units
(continued)
Data:
Stem Leaves
613, 632, 658, 717, 6 136
722, 750, 776, 827, 7 2258
841, 859, 863, 891, 8 346699
894, 906, 928, 933,
9 13368
955, 982, 1034,
1047,1056, 1140, 10 356
1169, 1224 11 47
12 2
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-76
Example (from your book, pp. 46):
88 51 63 85 79
65 79 70 73 77
3.5 2.8 4.5 6.2 4.8 2.3 2.6 3.9 4.4 5.5
5.2 6.7 3.0 2.4 5.0 3.6 2.9 1.0 2.8 3.6
Categorical Numerical
(Qualitative) (Quantitative)
Variables Variables
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Scatter Diagrams
(dağılma diyagramı)
horizontal axis
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-80
The scatter diagram provides a picture of
the data, include the following:
29 146
150
33 160
38 167 100
42 170 50
50 188
0
55 195
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
60 200
Volume per Day
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-82
Cross Tables
(çapraz tablolar)
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-83
Cross Table Example
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1.7
Data Presentation Errors
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Data Presentation Errors
(continued)
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 1-86
Example: Grocery Receipts (from your
book, pp. 56)
Forecast Number of
($ per share) analyst a) Draw the histogram.
9.95 < 10.45 2 b) Find the relative frequencies.
10.45 < 10.95 8 c) Find the cumulative
frequencies.
10.95 < 11.45 6
d) Find the relative cumulative
11.45 < 11.95 3
frequencies.
11.95 < 12.45 1
Example (from your book, pp. 62):