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Global Threat of Glacial Lake Floods

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
21 views3 pages

Global Threat of Glacial Lake Floods

Uploaded by

Madhu Sudan
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Glacial Lake Outburst Flood

Prelims: Flood, Himalayas, NDMA, Early Warning System.

Mains: Glacial Lake Outburst Flood.

Why in News?

Recently, a new study has been published on Glacial Lake Outburst Flood (GLOF), which threatens
millions of people globally.

It is the first global attempt to map potential hotspots for such floods. The study assessed
the conditions of glacial lakes and the number of people living downstream from them, which has
also increased significantly.

What are the Key Highlights of the Report?

Vulnerability:
Up to 15 million people face the risk of catastrophic flooding from glacial lakes which
could burst their natural dams at any moment.
Those facing the greatest threat live in mountainous countries in Asia and South America.
The majority of the globally exposed population - 9.3 million (62%) are
located in the region of high mountain Asia (HMA).
In Asia, around one million people live within just 10 km of a glacial lake.
People living in India, Pakistan, Peru and China account for over half of those at risk
(globally).
Most Dangerous Basins:
The most dangerous of Glacial basins are found in Pakistan (Khyber Pakhtunkhwa basin),
Peru (Santa basin) and Bolivia (Beni basin) containing 1.2 million, 0.9 million and 0.1 million
people respectively who could be exposed to GLOF impacts.
Glaciers across the Andes (S America) have undergone rapid deglaciation over the
last 20 years in response to climate changes.
Threat to India:
In the Himalayas, 25 glacial lakes and water bodies have witnessed an increase in water
spread area since 2009.
There has been a 40% increase in water spread in India, China and Nepal, posing a huge
threat to seven Indian states and Union Territories.
Of these, six are Himalayan states / UTs: Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, Himachal
Pradesh, Sikkim, Assam and Arunachal Pradesh.
The rapid onset and high discharge of GLOFs means there is often insufficient time to
effectively warn downstream populations and for effective action to be taken, particularly
for populations located within 10-15 km of the source lake.
Impact:
The floods that follow come thick and fast, in many cases being powerful enough to destroy
vital infrastructure.
GLOF has the potential to catastrophically threaten people’s lives, livelihoods and regional
infrastructure.
Suggestions:
Improvements are urgently needed in designing Early Warning Systems alongside
evacuation drills and other forms of community outreach to enable more rapid
warnings and emergency action in these highly exposed areas.

What is a GLOF?

About:
A glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF) is a type of catastrophic flood that occurs when
the dam containing a glacial lake fails, releasing a large volume of water.
This type of flood is typically caused by rapid melting of glaciers or the buildup of
water in the lake due to heavy precipitation or the inflow of meltwater.
In February 2021, Chamoli district in Uttarakhand witnessed flash floods
which are suspected to have been caused by GLOFs.
Causes:
These floods can be triggered by a number of factors, including changes in the volume
of the glacier, changes in the water level of the lake, and earthquakes.
According to NDMA (National Disaster Management Authority), glacial retreat due
to climate change occurring in most parts of the Hindu Kush Himalayas has given rise
to the formation of numerous new glacial lakes, which are the major cause of GLOFs.

What are the NDMA’s Guidelines to Tackle Glacial Burst?

Identifying Potentially Dangerous Lakes:


Potentially dangerous lakes can be identified based on field observations, records of
past events, geomorphologic and geotechnical characteristics of the lake/dam and
surroundings, and other physical conditions.
Use of Technology:
Promoting use of Synthetic-Aperture Radar imagery (a form of radar that is used to
create two-dimensional images) to automatically detect changes in water bodies, including
new lake formations, during the monsoon months.
Channeling Potential Floods:
Reducing the volume of water with methods such as controlled breaching,
pumping or siphoning out water, and making a tunnel through the moraine barrier or under
an ice dam.
Uniform Codes for Construction Activity:
Developing a broad framework for infrastructure development, construction and excavation
in vulnerable zones.
There is a need to accept procedures for land use planning in the GLOF prone
areas.
Enhancing Early Warning Systems (EWS):
The number of implemented and operational GLOF EWS is very small, even at the
global scale.
In the Himalayan region, there are at least three reported instances (two in Nepal and one
in China) of implementation of sensor- and monitoring-based technical systems for GLOF
early warning.
Training Local Manpower:
Apart from pressing specialised forces such as National Disaster Response Force
(NDRF), ITBP and the Army, NDMA has emphasised the need for trained local
manpower.
It has been observed that over 80% of search and rescue is carried out by the local
community before the intervention of the state machinery and specialised search and
rescue teams.
Comprehensive Alarm Systems:
Besides classical alarm infrastructure consisting of acoustic alarms by sirens, modern
communication technology using cell and smartphones can complement or even
replace traditional alarming infrastructure.
Source: DTE

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Common questions

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To ensure equitable distribution of resources for GLOF risk mitigation, measures should include international and governmental collaborations for the provision of financial aid focused on high-risk, low-resource regions. Establishing a global fund dedicated to GLOF risk management can address disparities, ensuring that underprivileged areas receive necessary support. Policies should prioritize infrastructure development and capacity building in vulnerable communities, incorporating local input to ensure culturally appropriate and effective solutions. Additionally, facilitating knowledge transfer through international partnerships and technology-sharing agreements can enable equitable access to advanced detection and monitoring technologies. Furthermore, regional coalitions can be formed to standardize policy frameworks, reinforcing cooperative efforts in resource allocation and joint action plans .

Recent studies and reports emphasize the critical need for governmental and international collaboration due to the cross-border nature of glacial melt and river flows impacting multiple nations. The exposure of over 15 million people to GLOF risks, largely in Asia and South America, calls for coordinated international risk assessment and management strategies. Governments in regions like India, Pakistan, and Peru, where these populations face the greatest threats, must jointly develop early warning systems and disaster response initiatives. International aid is also vital in providing technological and financial resources to establish uniform codes for land use planning and construction, aimed at reducing GLOF impacts in vulnerable areas. The reports suggest that without such collaborations, isolated efforts may not adequately address the transnational nature of these risks, threatening global human and ecological security .

Regions most exposed to GLOFs, especially in Asia and South America, face severe social and infrastructural implications. In Asia, primarily within the Hindu Kush Himalayas, the rapid onset and high discharge of floods threaten the lives of millions, leading to possible mass displacement and loss of livelihoods. Infrastructure such as roads, bridges, and homes can be destroyed, necessitating significant economic resources for rebuilding efforts and affecting local economies. The threat is particularly critical in densely populated areas like Pakistan's Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, where infrastructure is less resilient and resources for disaster preparedness are often insufficient. In South America, especially in basins like Peru’s Santa and Bolivia’s Beni, the impacts are similarly destructive, affecting local communities' livelihood that depends on their geographical and socio-economic conditions. The potential for such large-scale disasters underscores the need for better infrastructure planning and community preparedness .

GLOFs occur when the natural dam containing a glacial lake fails due to factors such as rapid glacier melting, an increase in lake water from heavy precipitation, or inflow of meltwater. These conditions can be exacerbated by changes in glacier volume, water level fluctuations, and seismic activities like earthquakes. These factors are interconnected by the broader context of climate change, which causes significant glacial retreat, particularly in Hindu Kush Himalayas, leading to the formation of numerous new glacial lakes. The relationship between these factors increases the risk of catastrophic floods that can suddenly affect downstream populations, posing threats to lives, livelihoods, and infrastructure .

Socioeconomic factors such as income level, education, infrastructure quality, and access to resources significantly influence community susceptibility and resilience to GLOF threats. Lower-income communities typically have fewer resources to invest in resilient infrastructure or effective early warning systems, making them more vulnerable. Limited educational opportunities reduce awareness and understanding of GLOF risks, hampering preparedness and response efforts. Conversely, wealthier communities with better access to technology and infrastructure can deploy adaptive measures more effectively and recover quicker post-disaster. Variations in governmental support and investment in disaster preparedness initiatives further influence resilience, as seen in regions where community-based disaster risk management is prioritized. These factors combined determine a community's ability to mitigate impacts, respond effectively, and recover from GLOF events .

Technological advancements such as Synthetic-Aperture Radar (SAR) and satellite remote sensing can be leveraged to improve the accuracy of detecting potentially dangerous glacial lakes. SAR imagery can automatically monitor changes in lake size and detect new lake formations with precision across various weather conditions and monitoring periods. This enhances current methodologies by providing consistent, real-time updates on lake conditions, which ground-based observations cannot always achieve due to accessibility issues. Additionally, advances in drone technology and geographical information systems (GIS) help in mapping and analyzing geographic landscapes, allowing for better prediction models of GLOF occurrences. These technologies collectively enable comprehensive monitoring strategies that bolster early warning capabilities and risk assessment processes .

Integrating local communities into GLOF risk management can be enhanced through participatory approaches in planning and execution of emergency response measures. Communities can be trained in disaster preparedness and response through regular drills, development of local alert systems, and by involving them in data collection efforts. Training initiatives must empower community members to deploy early warning systems effectively and conduct preliminary risk assessments. Educational campaigns can raise awareness about GLOF risks and necessary actions to reduce exposure. Collaboration with local authorities ensures that community feedback is incorporated into policy and planning processes. Leveraging local knowledge and resources can significantly improve response times, ensuring more effective evacuation and reducing potential damages from GLOF events .

High Mountain Asia, encompassing territories in countries like India, China, and Bhutan, has unique geographical characteristics that make it particularly susceptible to GLOFs. These include the extensive presence of glaciers and glacial lakes formed due to rapid glacial retreat driven by climate change. The region's steep mountainous terrain accelerates water flow, increasing the potential energy in glacial lakes that can lead to catastrophic outbursts. Comparatively, South American Andean regions also face similar risks, yet the population density and infrastructure sensitivity in High Mountain Asia increase the potential impact. Additionally, the concentration of densely populated communities within proximity of these lakes amplifies the threat levels. This geographical setup, combined with socio-economic factors, augments the region's vulnerability relative to less densely populated and lower-elevation areas in other continents .

Climate change plays a pivotal role in the formation and exacerbation of GLOF hazards, particularly in the Hindu Kush Himalayas. Rising global temperatures result in accelerated glacial melt, contributing to the formation and expansion of glacial lakes. This rapid increase in water volume raises the likelihood of breaches in natural moraine and ice dams. Furthermore, climate-induced weather changes, such as increased precipitation, intensify water accumulation within these lakes. The Hindu Kush Himalayan region, recognized for significant glacial retreat, reveals a pattern of expanding water bodies, with approximately 25 glacial lakes alone showing increased water spread in India, China, and Nepal since 2009. Consequently, this contributes significantly to the growing GLOF risk, creating immediate need for enhanced monitoring and adaptive management strategies .

To improve early warning and risk management strategies for GLOFs, methodologies that could be adopted include the use of Synthetic-Aperture Radar imagery, which efficiently detects changes in water bodies, especially during monsoon months. Identifying potentially dangerous lakes can be enhanced by field observations, reviewing past events, and assessing geomorphologic, geotechnical, and other physical characteristics of lakes/dams. Channeling potential floods through controlled breaching, pumping, siphoning, or tunneling could mitigate impacts. Furthermore, enhancing Early Warning Systems (EWS) using sensor-based monitoring for real-time data collection, training local manpower for search and rescue operations, and implementing modern communication technologies for comprehensive alarm systems are crucial. These methodologies, combined with a uniform framework for construction in vulnerable zones, can significantly enhance GLOF risk management .

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