EE 325 Probability Homework Module 2
EE 325 Probability Homework Module 2
After two rounds, model as a two-step Bernoulli process. Let Y1 and Y2 be heads in rounds 1 and 2, respectively. The pmf is derived by convolution: Pr(X = x) = ∑ Pr(Y1 = y1) * Pr(Y2 = x - y1 | Y1 = y1). Use binomial coefficients for each round: Pr(Y1 = y1) = C(n, y1) * p^y1 * (1-p)^(n-y1), followed by the second round conditional probabilities and summing for all possible initial outcomes .
The probability ρn is derived from the binomial distribution with parameters n = 6n, p = 1/6. To evaluate monotonicity, examine ρn+1 - ρn, and compute using derivatives or differences of binomial coefficients. If the sequence of probabilities is not consistently increasing or decreasing, it is not monotonic, often the case outside of trivial parameter values .
To find the most probable value (mode) of X for pX(x) = Cxα, maximize the pmf over the integers. Start by considering the ratio pX(x+1)/pX(x) = ((x+1)α / xα), and find the x where this ratio is ≤ 1, indicating a peak at x. The specific solution depends on α, but generally, the most probable value will be for x such that the sequence starts decreasing, given the discrete nature .
The probability models presented in the Papoulis and Hajek texts are designed to offer insights into real-life situations by simplifying complex problems to a solvable level. These models serve as abstractions of reality where assumptions are made to reduce complexity, such as considering independence or uniform distributions, which can make analysis feasible even for large systems .
F(x) = aF(x) + (1 − a)F(x) simplifies to F(x), which is a valid distribution because it retains the properties of a cumulative distribution function (CDF), namely being non-decreasing, right continuous, with limits F(-∞) = 0 and F(∞) = 1. This identity transformation does not alter the function's properties as a CDF .
When FX(x) is continuous at x = x0, it implies that the probability mass function does not include an atom at x0, leading to Pr(X = x0) = 0. This results because continuous cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) are linked with random variables that have a probability of zero at any single point, unlike discrete distributions .
Let X be geometrically distributed with parameter p, the probability of heads. The probability of having no heads in k tosses and the first head occurring on the (k+n)th toss is (1-p)^k * p. This indicates the process is memoryless, preserving geometric distribution properties, thus ensuring each new sequence has probability p independent of k .
The normalization constant C can be found by ensuring that the sum of all probabilities equals 1, i.e., ∑(C * 2^x / x!) for x = 1 to ∞ equals 1. This series resembles a Poisson distribution with parameter λ = 2, leading to the conclusion that C = e^-2 to normalize it properly, as for the Poisson distribution, the sum of probabilities is e^λ .
The mean of Xm after m steps can be computed using the transition matrix of the Markov chain model representing the urns' states. Each swap constitutes a transition, affecting the distribution of black balls. Use the expected value through the steady-state distribution, derived from the eigenvectors of the transition matrix .
Z1, Z2, and Z3 are random variables because they are functions of the random variables X and Y, meeting the criteria of measurability within the probability space (Ω, F, P). A function of random variables is itself a random variable provided it is Borel measurable. For Z1 = X + Y, Z2 = X × Y, and Z3 = max{X, Y}, all these operations preserve measurability as they are defined pointwise on the real line .