Trends in Swedish Long-Distance Travel
Trends in Swedish Long-Distance Travel
DOI:10.1068/a35315
Abstract. Mobility is a key concept within recent social theorising on globalisation, transnationalisa-
tion of social relations, and new divisions of society. Mobility growth is also central to issues of global
warming and the need for sustainable development. The aim of this paper is to elucidate empirically
some properties of recent developments in international mobility. A theoretically informed under-
standing of changing patterns of long-distance travel is briefly outlined. This understanding is
confronted with empirical findings concerning the actual development of international travel from
Sweden during the 1990s. The findings confirm expected trends of further increasing intensity,
extensity, and velocity in long-distance mobility. A tendency towards globalisation is observed, though
an intraregional transnationalisation is the dominant process at work. It is concluded that an
increasing short-term flexibilisation in people's use of time and space is a more important driving
force behind the transnationalisation of mobility, than is the geographical extension of more enduring
social relations. Influencing factors behind the social division of mobility are addressed by identifying
the hypermobile segment of the population. Implications for the wider issues of globalisation and
environmental sustainability are discussed.
1 Introduction
1.1 Background
The spatial transformations of modernising societies during the past century involved
radically increased levels of personal mobility. The networks and activity patterns of
individuals and organisations were stretched out in geographical terms. This develop-
ment was observed as a continuous trend towards increasing speeds and longer travel
distances for all kinds of purposes at the local and regional levels. In the past few
decades, the persistence of this trend was partly driven by the emergence, on a mass
scale, of travel beyond national borders. The number of international journeys con-
ducted each yearöas reflected in the statistics of international tourismöhas tripled
since the beginning of the 1970s, and is now almost 700 million (WTO, 2000). A small
but steadily growing share of these trips is truly global in the sense that it involves
interregional or transcontinental movements. According to the predictions and busi-
ness-as-usual scenarios of future travel demand, the trend towards increasing speeds
and travel distances is generally expected to continue (for example, Schafer and Victor
1997; 2000).(1)
(1) It should be noted that growth in international air travel was disrupted in the autumn of 2001. A
weakening trend had been noticed earlier, but the terror attacks on the World Trade Center in New
York in September caused a large drop in air travel in many parts of the world. For example,
Swedish domestic and international air travel dropped by about 15% immediately after the attack.
In the first half of 2002 the number of passengers on international flights to and from Sweden was
10% lower than in the corresponding period in the previous year (Swedish Civil Aviation Admin-
istration, 2002). This downturn should be related to the more than 60% increase in international
air traffic to and from Sweden between 1994 and 2000.
1752 L FrÌndberg, B Vilhelmson
2 Theoretical reflections
2.1 Globalisation and transnationalisation of social relations
In our view, changing mobility patterns should be understood as integral aspects of trans-
formations in individuals' and organisations' use of time and space (Vilhelmson, 1999).
1754 L FrÌndberg, B Vilhelmson
(2) There is no generally agreed definition of the term `transnationalisation'. Often, the notion
question of whether `transnationalism from above' in the form of cross-border initiatives of govern-
ments and corporations, should be excluded and the term instead reserved for `transnationalism
from below' in the form of transnational activities of immigrants and grass-roots entrepreneurs
(Portes, 2001).
Long-distance travel from Sweden 1755
transnational flows (of people, artefacts, and symbols) and the interactive possibilities
currently offered by new communication and transportation technologies, are generally
assumed to imply that transnationalism and transnational social spaces are becoming
increasingly prevalent and significant phenomena (Hannerz, 1996; Pries, 2001).
The general understanding of an ongoing transnationalisation and globalisation of
social relations thus suggests that professional and private social networks are increas-
ingly being stretched out geographically across national borders. For some individuals
and groups this transformation has come to imply living in largely transnational
communities. On the empirical level concerning personal mobility, one should therefore
expect a substantial growth in international business travel and in international visits
of friends and relativesö perhaps also at the expense of local and intraregional travel of
this kind. The basic empirical questions to be further explored concern how fast,
to what extent, where, how often, and by whom.
2.2 Increased accessibility and time ^ space compression
The transformations discussed are fundamentally connected to, and dependent upon,
changing conditions for long-distance travel. Technological, infrastructural, and orga-
nisational developments of air transport in the postwar period have gradually
increased the accessibility, in terms of time and cost, of faraway places (Graham,
1995; Janelle, 1969). Whereas disposable incomes in Western Europe and the United
States have increased substantially in this period, airfares, measured in real terms, have
decreased (Kru«ger Nielsen, 2001). The latest development in this direction is the
emergence in Europe of low-cost carriers offering radically reduced airfares on an
increasing number of connections.
A general trend towards lower monetary costs per kilometre travelled affects the
accessibility of faraway places relatively more than it affects the accessibility of places
nearby. In practice, the economy of air transportation also has an immanent preference
for longer distances. A large share of operating costs are connected to takeoff and
landings; therefore, the longer the flight, the lower the cost per flight-km (Hanlon,
1996, Kru«ger Nielsen, 2001). This means that airfares are lower for intercontinental
flights (counted per revenue passenger-km) compared with international flights in
general (Kru«ger Nielsen, 2001). Moreover, as transportation costs decrease, other costs
related to travel, such as housing or food, increase in relative importance. The implica-
tion of this kind of time ^ space compression is thus not only that faraway places are
now more easily reached or communicated with compared with earlier periods, but,
more important, that physical distance as such becomes less significant for deciding
where to go, where to live, and whom to cooperate with (Harvey, 1990).
Drawing on theories of time ^ space compression one should expect not only a
general increase in long-distance mobility, international and global, but also a more
rapid growth in the longest trips compared with shorter ones. Accordingly, the actual
frequency of international travel should steadily grow more rapidly than the frequency
of domestic travel, and the highest rates of growth should be found among the longest
international trips. If trends such as these dominate the long-term development of a
population's travel patterns, one may speak of transnationalisation and globalisation of
mobility. As a direct consequence of such expected developments, international mobility
should also constitute a rapidly increasing share of total passenger-km travelled among the
population. It is also expected that international mobility, measured in passenger-km,
is rapidly shifting towards an increasing share of air transport.
Besides the geographical extension of social relations, routines, and obligations of
everyday life, discussed above, there is the large segment of more spatially unbounded
leisure tourism and free-time travel, which is also central for understanding the spatial
1756 L FrÌndberg, B Vilhelmson
(for example, ferries, rail, or air) and lack information about the individual traveller and
his or her trip. Surveys of international travellers, on the other hand, often focus on
certain target groups, such as tourists or business travellers. Most studies are limited to
a certain cross-section in time.
Hence, for the purpose of the present study, a unique set of data describing the
extent and extensity of international mobility among the Swedish population for a
period of six years has been used. The data consist of two successive national travel
surveys (called the RiksRVU94-98 and RES99-00) with a representative sample popula-
tion of about 10 000 Swedes each year. The surveys, together covering the period
1994 ^ 2000, were carried out by Statistics Sweden (SCB) on commission from the
Swedish Institute for Transport and Communication Analysis (SIKA). All results pre-
sented in this paper are based on independent computations by the authorsöincluding
complements, adaptations, and corrections of data.
The population under investigation comprises individuals aged 6 to 84 years,
registered in Sweden, and their journeys. Data collection was carried out by means
of telephone interviews (respondents first received an introductory letter), with a
representative sample of between 8000 and 12 400 individuals each year. The response
rates were 78% in 1994 and 1995, 76% in 1996, 1997, and 1998, then 71% in 1999 and
72% in 2000. The questions asked concern the actual journeys taken, as well as socio-
demographic and transport-related information about the respondent and his or her
household. The respondents were asked to give a full account of all trips conducted
during one day, selected in advance, and of all journeys of at least 100 km one way,
conducted during a two-month period preceding the interview. Data of this latter kind,
defined here as long-distance travel, constitute the empirical basis for the present study.
In the surveys, journeys beyond the Swedish national borders were included and
registered on the same conditions as trips within Sweden. However, because of the
definitions used, international trips shorter than 100 km one way are not included in
results concerning international mobility presented below. Such short-distance interna-
tional trips represent about one fifth of all international trips undertaken by Swedes
(corresponding to between 2 and 3 million trips per year) (Fra«ndberg and Vilhelmson,
2002).
Because international travel is a relatively infrequent event in the life of the average
Swede, a two-month reference period is inadequate for a meaningful estimation of
the variation in international travel frequency within the population. However, since the
start of the second survey in 1999, a question concerning the number of long-distance
international trips conducted during the preceding one-year period was introduced.
Data generated by this question have been used for the analysis of differences in
international mobility between individuals and groups within the Swedish population.
Because these data are confined to 1999 and 2000, no results concerning changes in the
distribution of international mobility within the population will be presented.
4 Results
4.1 Changes in the time ^ spatial extension of long-distance mobility among Swedes
4.1.1 Spatial aspects
In line with the general conceptions of transnationalisation and globalisation and
increasing time ^ space compression, international travel increased substantially among
Swedes during the period 1994 ^ 2000. From a total of 7 million in 1994, the number of
international journeys reached 9.5 million in 2000. Although domestic long-distance
travel also increased, growth in international travel was more rapid in relative terms
(see table 1). Accordingly, the share of international mobility of the entire long-distance
travel frequency increased from 11% in 1994 to 14% in 2000.
Long-distance travel from Sweden 1759
Table 1. Spatial aspects of long-distance mobility among the Swedish population, 1994 ^ 2000.
Number of Relative change Travel Relative change
trips 2000 1994 ± 2000 (%) distance 2000 1994 ± 2000 (%)
(millions) (109 km)
Domestic long-distance 59 7 26 6
trips
International long- 9.5 36 33 64
distance trips
to Northern and 6.5 20
Central Europe
to Southern Europe 2 48
to rest of the world 1 148
expected changes in the timing and duration of international travel related to processes
such as the flexibilisation of time use, the increased scarcity of leisure time, and the
desynchronisation of time ^ space trajectories have not occurred so far.
One possible explanation for these discrepancies is that the transformations of time
use that are much discussed and theoretically elaborated upon are relevant only for
certain, quite small, groups within the population. Changes might therefore have only
marginal impact on aggregate measures of travel behaviour. In a quite different con-
text, it has been shown that the notion of working-time flexibilisation is largely a
mythöthe actual proportion of the population affected by such changes has been
marginal (Breedveld, 1998; Gershuny, 2000).
4.1.3 Speed and the importance of air transport
Directly related to the rapid growth of very long journeys is an increasing use of air
transport for international travel. The number of international trips by air increased
from about 3 million in 1994 to 4.5 million in 2000. This development implies that
long-distance mobility in general, and international mobility in particular, had further
shifted towards air transport during the study period (see table 2). Although only 10%
of all long-distance trips (domestic and international) are made by air, air travel
represents 50% of the total distance travelled in 2000. For international journeys
(exceeding 100 km), air transport is the single most important transport mode. Almost
half of these trips were made by air in 2000, representing over 80% of the distance
travelled. According to these estimates, Swedes on average travelled approximately
3000 km by air in 2000.
Table 2. Changing role of air transport in long-distance travel, Swedish population, 1994 and
2000.
1994 2000
It can thus be concluded that long-distance mobility among the Swedish population
was further transnationalised and globalised in the latter half of the 1990s, and that this
development also involved a continued shift towards high-speed travel in the form of air
transport. However, the changing pattern of international mobility did not involve any
observable changes in terms of the average duration or seasonal timing of international
trips.
4.2 Activities motivating international mobility
As was discussed above, a large-scale transnationalisation of social spaces would imply
a growing number of international trips related to work, to visits to friends and
relatives, and perhaps even to more conventional everyday activities such as shopping
and entertainment. Furthermore, with decreasing costs of movement and an increasing
supply of new and distant places to visit, the more traditional forms of international
leisure travelösuch as package tours and other kinds of holiday travel öcan also be
expected to grow.
International mobility among the Swedish population is largely leisure related.
Three quarters of all international journeys in 2000 were constituted by `visits to friends
Long-distance travel from Sweden 1761
Table 3. International trips (exceeding 100 km) distributed on main purpose of travel, Swedish
population, 1994/95 and 1999/2000.
and relatives', `holidays', and trips related to `other leisure' activities (see table 3).
`Holiday' is the single most important purpose of travel for international trips exceeding
100 km. The combined category `holiday' and `other leisure' travel is not only the most
important travel purpose in terms of numbers, but it is also the segment that increased
most rapidly during the study period. International travel for visiting family and friends
and for business purposes also increased, though more slowly.
Questions concerning the various driving forces behind a geographical extension of
personal mobility render the relation between travel distance and purpose of travel
particularly interesting. In table 4 the distribution of main purposes of travelöbusiness,
visiting friends and family, holiday, shopping, other leisure, etcöis given for domestic
long-distance trips and international trips (the latter divided into two subgroups
representing approximately the same volumes of trips: long-distance and very long-
distance). In order to take into account the fact that business and leisure travel are often
integrated, the purpose of business travel is further split into two subgroups: one relates
to events, and another to the ordinary interaction with colleagues, customers, etc in
other countries. Business travel of the first kind is assumed to include more leisure-
related activities than the second. Four apparent tendencies are observed here. First, the
importance of holiday travel increases with increasing travel distance. Whereas only
12% of domestic long-distance journeys are holidays, holidays account for almost
two thirds of international trips exceeding 1000 km. Second, in the case of business
travel, the importance of travel to conferences, trade fairs, exhibitions, and other events
increases with increasing travel distance. Although this tendency is not as compelling as
in the case of holiday travel, it may be interpreted in parallel terms. It probably reflects a
stronger element of holiday and leisure in these forms of business travel compared with
trips motivated by working meetings, customer visits, etc The third tendency worth
noticing is the importance of visits to friends and relatives in domestic long-distance
travel compared with international travel. In absolute terms, the first is twenty times
more frequent than the second. This result shows that national borders may still play a
strong role as `containers' of social processes and spaces. The difference between long
and very long international trips in this respect is not large, however. In the Swedish
case the incidence and intensity of social networks transcending international borders
thus seem to be relatively independent of geographical distance. A fourth observation is
that a substantial segment of domestic long-distance travel is motivated by a multitude of
different activities, here gathered under the categories `other leisure' and `other'. Such
activities are also relatively important among the shorter international trips but play only
a minor role for the longer ones. Still, international trips related to what are conven-
tionally seen as everyday activities (commuting, shopping, entertainment, recreation, etc)
together constitute as much as 15% (more than 1 million) of all international journeys.
Maybe this is an indication of an emerging transnationalisation of everyday spaces.
From a theoretical point of view, it can be concluded that the large majority of the
longest international journeys are motivated by activities that are relatively spatially
unbounded and often directly connected to the use of free time. This tendency rein-
forces the impression of an increasing flexibilisation in the use of time and space. The
geographical extension of social spaces does not yet, then, seem to be the major driving
force behind transnationalisation and globalisation of mobility by Swedes. However,
international travel for personal visits and business purposes is also on the increase,
and it is clear that long-distance mobility is used for a large diversity of activities
traditionally associated with everyday life in local communities.
4.3 Differences in international mobility within the population
It is generally assumed that increasing international long-distance travel is driven both
by a highly mobile elite of global nomads and by many people making a few (more)
trips (for example, the phenomenon of mass tourism)öboth developments associated
with late-modern society. In this section we investigate the social distribution and
present mobility divides among the population.
The current level of international mobility among Swedes corresponds to an
average of a little more than one journey abroad per person per year. This is the
magnitude of the issue. However, the differences in travel intensity within the popula-
tion are large. In the course of one year, it is only every second Swede who participates
in international travel in the first place. Half of the population thus stays within the
borders of the country, while one quarter undertakes a single international trip and
the remaining quarter travels abroad more frequently. The last group accounts for as
much as three quarters of all international journeys among the population. These
findings give a rough idea of the degree to which international mobility is socially
divided in the comparatively highly mobile Swedish population.
To take this analysis further, the population is divided into five groups character-
ised by different levels of annual international travel frequency (see table 5). Of these
groups, it is the one here labelled `hypermobile' öconsisting of people making more
than five international journeys in the course of one yearöthat roughly corresponds to
the concept of `global nomads' discussed in section 2.4. As shown in table 5, this group
Long-distance travel from Sweden 1763
Table 5. Five groups with different levels of international mobility. Swedish population 1999/2000.
Nonmobilea 0 47 0 0 0
Slightly mobile 1 28 27 30 10
Fairly mobile 2 12 25 25 20
Highly mobile 3±5 9 25 26 30
Hypermobile 6+ 3 23 19 55
a `Internationally nonmobile' may be a somewhat misleading term in that it refers to people
who did not make any international journey (exceeding 100 km) during the year preceding the
interview. Obviously, many of these may have travelled internationally in previous years.
comprises a mere 3% of the population but accounts for as much as one quarter of all
international journeys.(4)
International trips undertaken by the hypermobile differ in several respects from
those made by the other groups. First, they are on average somewhat shorter, both in
terms of duration and in terms of geographical extension. Because the hypermobile are
such frequent travellers, however, their average annual international travel distance is
still five to six times the population average. (The high travel frequency also implies
that, in spite of the shorter duration of each trip, the average internationally hyper-
mobile individual spends in total more than one month per year outside the country).
The second important difference is found with respect to travel purpose. The hyper-
mobile group makes almost 60% of all international business trips. The number of
international business trips per person and year is fifty times as high among the
hypermobile as it is among the `slightly mobile'. The corresponding ratio for inter-
national holidays is two to one. The concentration of international mobility within
the population is thus closely related to the distribution of international business
travel.
Further bivariate analyses reveal other differences between groups with varying
levels of international mobility. The differences are related to factors such as age, sex,
income, and type of living region. People in professionally active age groups, males,
high-income earners, and those living in the larger cities of Sweden (Stockholm,
Go«teborg, and Malmo«) dominate (that is, are overrepresented) the most internationally
mobile groups. The income factor is of course of major importance; 90% of the high-
income earners made at least one long-distance international trip during the preceding
year, whereas this is the case for only 40% of those belonging to the low-income group.
However, as previously shown, business trips account for much of the difference in
travel intensity. If business travel is left out, the difference in travel intensity between,
for example, men and women, largely disappears.
Our group-level analysis thus indicates that levels of international mobility conform
to the differentiation of groups in several other respects. An important question then is
whether these factors taken together also play out at the individual level. Will, for
example, the difference in travel practices between men and women still be apparent
when the other factors are kept constant? And what factors influence the international
mobility of an individual when all are taken into account simultaneously?
In order to explore these questions a multiple regression analysis was carried out.
Background factors assumed to influence the frequency of international travel regarding
demography (sex, age, household size), geography (living region and type of housing),
economy (personal income, household income), transportation resources (driver's
licence, household car access), and health (disability) of the respondents were then
treated as independent variables. The number of international journeys annually was
used as a dependent variable.
Of course, correlations between the independent variables severely constrain the
final choice of factors in our models. High correlations exist, for example, between
income of the respondent and age, driver's licence, and household income. The same
applies to household income and the number of cars and drivers' licences within the
household. In the statistical model used we give priority to the income variables
(see table 6, model 1: personal income; model 2: household income). Also, to reduce
the influence of extreme values (outliers), we restrict the values of the dependent
variable to a maximum of 24 trips per year. Results of this exercise are presented in
table 6.
On the whole, the results confirm that several factors significantly influence the
level of international mobility (measured as the frequency of long-distance travel to
foreign countries) at the individual level. Apart from the expected importance of
income, the regional factor also matters. People living in the larger cities tend to travel
more than people living in the rural, sparsely populated areas of northern Sweden.
Furthermore, the age factor remains important: middle-aged and elderly people travel
more, whereas, for example, people with disabilities travel less frequently. An impor-
tant finding is that women travel less than men, even when factors such as income, age,
region, etc are controlled for.
Table 6. Factors affecting the amount of international, long-distance travel. Results of regression
analysis, Swedish population, 6 ^ 84 years, 1999 ^ 2000 (N 11 409).
Model 1
Travel frequency: number of international trips in preceding year, (maximum 24)
Intercept ÿ0.170 0.451 0.7060
Personal income 0:555 10ÿ5 0:019 10ÿ5 0.0001
Sex ÿ0.131 0.051 0.0099
Region ÿ0.189 0.018 0.0001
Household size 0.064 0.018 0.0003
Handicap 0.628 0.221 0.0046
10.9
Model 2
Travel frequency: number of international trips in preceding year, (maximum 24)
Intercept 1.607 0.140 0.0001
Household income 0:222 10ÿ5 0:012 10ÿ5 0.0001
Sex ÿ0.383 0.058 0.0001
Age 0.005 0.001 0.0008
Region ÿ0.216 0.021 0.0001
6.42
Long-distance travel from Sweden 1765
This type of analysis is only partial, at best, which is indicated by the levels of
explained total variance. The decisionmaking process of long-distance travel is influenced
by personal factors, such as the needs, motives, and wishes of individuals. Such influences
are for obvious reasons hard to capture by the variables at hand. Also, the dynamic
character of these connections are somewhat violated when tackled by a cross-sectional
analysis. Nevertheless, our analysis indicates some important factors affecting the fre-
quency of international mobility of individuals. Women, rural populations, and the
disabled travel less than able-bodied urban populations, and men. These patterns could
be taken to indicate that social connectivity, durable relationships, and attachments
(to places and/or to other people) are significant factors that might limit people in these
categories from higher rates of long-distance travel.
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