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Mid-Term Exam Model Answers: MATH 313

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
14 views5 pages

Mid-Term Exam Model Answers: MATH 313

Uploaded by

Mahmoud Adel
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Model Answer of the Mid-Term Exam of Order

Statistics (MATH 313)

Prof. Magdy E. El-Adll


Department of Mathematics
Faculty of Science
Helwan University
Model Answer of the Mid-Term Exam of MATH 313 Prof. Magdy E. El-Adll

Question I (6 Points)

Let X1:n < X2:n < ... < Xn:n be the order statistics of a random sample of size n from a continuous
population with pdf f (x) and cdf is F (x). Show that:

1. The cdf of the sample maximum, Xn:n , is given by Fn:n (x) = [F (x)]n , −∞ < x < ∞.

2. The cdf of the sample minimum, X1:n , is F1:n (x) = 1 − [1 − F (x)]n , −∞ < x < ∞.

Answer of Question I

1. The cdf of the maximum order statistic, Xn:n , denoted by Fn:n can be derived as
Fn:n (x) = P (Xn:n 6 x)
= P (max{X1 , X2 , ..., Xn } 6 x)
= P (X1 6 x, X2 6 x, ..., Xn 6 x)
Yn
= P (Xi 6 x) by the independence of {X1 , X2 , ..., Xn }
i=1
n
Y
= F (x) by the identical of {X1 , X2 , ..., Xn }
i=1

= [F (x)]n , −∞ < x < ∞. (1)

2. The cdf of the minimum order statistic, X1:n , denoted by F1:n , can be derived in a similar
way as follows:

F1:n (x) = P (X1:n 6 x)


= P (min{X1 , X2 , ..., Xn } 6 x)
= 1 − P (min{X1 , X2 , ..., Xn } > x)
= 1 − P (X1 > x, X2 > x, ..., Xn > x)
Yn
=1− P (Xi > x) by the independence of {X1 , X2 , ..., Xn }
i=1
n
Y
= 1 − (1 − F (x)) by the identical of {X1 , X2 , ..., Xn }
i=1

= 1 − [1 − F (x)]n , −∞ < x < ∞. (2)

1
Model Answer of the Mid-Term Exam of MATH 313 Prof. Magdy E. El-Adll

Question II (4.5 Points)

Let U1:n < U2:n < ... < Un:n be the order statistics of a random sample of size n from the standard
uniform distribution U (0, 1), with cdf F (u) = u, 0 < u 6 1. Answer for the following questions:
(r)
1. The rth −moment of the ith order statistics, µi:n = E[Ui:n
r
], is:

r n!(i + r − 1)! r n! r n! r i!
(a) E[Ui:n ]= (b) E[Ui:n ]= (c) E[Ui:n ]= (d) E[Ui:n ]=
(n + r)!(i − 1)! (n − r)! (n + i)! r!

2. Find the mean and the variance of the sample median, Ũn , when n = 7. That is, compute
E[Ũ7 ] and Var(Ũ7 ).

3. Find the probability that U1:5 exceeds 0.25. (i.e. P (U1:5 > 0.25).

Answer of Question II

1. The rth −moment of the ith order statistics is,

(r) r n!(i + r − 1)!


µi:n = E[Ui:n ]= (3)
(n + r)!(i − 1)!

2. The median is Ũ7 = U4:7 . To get the mean of the median i.e. E[U4:7 ], set r = 1, i = 4,
1
and n = 7 in relation (3), to obtain E[U4:7 ] = . To obtain the variance of Ũ7 = U4:7 , put
2
2
5
r = 2, i = 4, and n = 7 in relation (3) to get E[U4:7 ] = , so that
18
!2
5 1 1
2
V ar (U4:7 ) = E[U4:7 ] − (E[U4:7 ])2 = − = .
18 2 36

3. By relation (2) with F (u) = u, we have

P (U1:5 > 0.25) = 1 − F1:5 (0.25) = (1 − 0.25)5 = 0.2373.

2
Model Answer of the Mid-Term Exam of MATH 313 Prof. Magdy E. El-Adll

Question III (4.5 Points)

Let X1:3 < X2:3 < X3:3 be the order statistics of a random sample of size n = 3 from Pareto
distribution with pdf and cdf , respectively, are
( (
3 x−4 , x > 1; 0, x < 1;
f (x) = and F (x) = −3
0, otherwise. 1 − x , x ≥ 1.

Answer the following:

1. Find, f1:3 (x), the pdf of the sample minimum, X1:3 . What is the distribution of X1:3 ?

2. Find the cdf of the sample median, F2:3 (x) = P (X2:3 ≤ x).

3. Compute the probability that the sample median, X2:3 , of a sample of size n = 3 is at least
the population median m.
Hint: The population median, m, satisfies F (m) = 1 − F (m) = 0.5.

Answer of Question III

1. In general, the pdf of the sample minimum, X1:n , is f1:n (x) = n[1 − F (x)]n−1 f (x). For Pareto
distribution (with ν = 3) and n = 3 we get
2
f1:3 = 3[1 − F (x)]2 f (x) = 3 1 − 1 − x−3 3x−4 = 9x−10 ,

x > 1,

which is the pdf of Pareto distribution with ν = 9.

2. The cdf of the sample median is,


3  
X 3
F2:3 (x) = P (X2:3 ≤ x) = [F (x)]i [1 − F (x)]3−i
i=2
i
3  
X 3 i 3−i
= 1 − x−3 x−3
i=2
i
2 −3 3−2 3 −3 3−3
= 3 1 − x−3 x + 1 − x−3 x
2 3
= 3x−3 1 − x−3 + 1 − x−3
 

= 1 + 2x−9 − 3x−6 , x ≥ 1. (4)

3
Model Answer of the Mid-Term Exam of MATH 313 Prof. Magdy E. El-Adll

3. The required probability is


3  
X 3
P (X2:3 ≥ m) = 1 − F2:3 (m) = 1 − (F (m))i (1 − F (m))3−i
i=2
i
 3 X3    3
1 3 1 1 1
=1− =1− (4) = 1 − = .
2 i=2
i 2 2 2

1

3
Another solution of part 3 can be obtained by noting that F (m) = 2
implies m = 2.
Therefore, by relation (4), we get

√ √ √ 1
P (X2:3 ≤ m) = F2:3 ( 2) = 1 + 2( 2)−9 − 3( 2)−6 = ,
3 3 3

2
1
That is, P (X2:3 ≥ m) = 1 − 2
= 12 .

End of the model answer.

Common questions

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The CDF of the sample minimum, X1:n, is F1:n(x) = P(min{X1, X2, ..., Xn} ≤ x). This is equivalent to 1 minus the probability that all sample values exceed x, expressed as 1 - P(X1 > x, X2 > x, ..., Xn > x). Assuming independence, this becomes 1 - (1 - F(x))^n, illustrating that the probability of the minimum being less than or equal to x complements the joint probability of all individual observations being greater than x .

The formula P(X2:3 ≥ m) = 1 - F2:3(m) is used to find the probability that the sample median is greater than or equal to the population median, leveraging the symmetry and properties of the order statistics. It simplifies the solution because, for the Pareto distribution, knowing F(m) = 0.5 allows easy computation of F2:3(m) due to the cumulative distribution's symmetry around m. It ensures the probability of the median equals its complement in CDF, leading to a simplified and direct calculation .

To calculate the variance of the sample median, we first find E[U4:7], the mean of the median, by setting r = 1, i = 4, and n = 7, resulting in E[U4:7] = 1/2. Next, we determine E[U^2_4:7] for the variance calculation by setting r = 2, which gives E[U^2_4:7] = 5/18. The variance of U4:7 is computed as Var(U4:7) = E[U^2_4:7] - (E[U4:7])^2 = 5/18 - (1/2)^2 = 1/36 .

The cumulative distribution function of the sample median X2:3 from a sample of size 3 from a Pareto distribution is calculated as F2:3(x) = ∑ (3 choose i) [F(x)]^i [1-F(x)]^(3-i) for i = 2, 3. This simplifies using binomial expansion properties and the Pareto's CDF form to give F2:3(x) = 1 + 2x^-9 - 3x^-6 for x ≥ 1 .

The independence of order statistics allows us to compute cumulative distribution functions (CDF) as products of individual CDFs or survival functions. For instance, the CDF of the sample maximum or minimum can be derived using the probabilities of all individual statistics being less than or greater than a certain value, respectively. This independence ensures that the joint probability factors into independent single probabilities, simplifying the computation .

For a sample of size 3 from a Pareto distribution with ν = 3, the probability density function (pdf) of the sample minimum, X1:3, is given by f1:3(x) = 3[1-F(x)]^2f(x), simplifying to 9x^-10 for x > 1. This shows that X1:3 follows a Pareto distribution with parameter ν = 9 .

The CDF of the maximum order statistic, denoted by Fn:n(x), can be derived using the independence and identically distributed properties of the sample. It is expressed as Fn:n(x) = P(max{X1, X2, ..., Xn} ≤ x) = P(X1 ≤ x, X2 ≤ x, ..., Xn ≤ x), which simplifies to the product of individual probabilities due to independence, yielding Fn:n(x) = [F(x)]^n where F(x) is the CDF of the population .

To find the probability that the first order statistic U1:5 from a sample of size 5 exceeds 0.25, we use the complement rule: P(U1:5 > 0.25) = 1 - P(U1:5 ≤ 0.25). Given that F(u) = u for a standard uniform distribution, P(U1:5 ≤ 0.25) = F1:5(0.25) = 0.25^5 = 0.0009765625. Therefore, P(U1:5 > 0.25) = 1 - 0.0009765625 = 0.9990234375 .

The r-th moment of the i-th order statistic from a standard uniform distribution U(0,1) is given as E[U^r_i:n] = n!(i + r - 1)! / [(n + r)!(i - 1)!]. This moment expectation is calculated by considering the combinatorial placements of order statistics within the uniform distribution range .

The probability P(X2:3 ≥ m) that the sample median X2:3 from a sample of size 3 from a Pareto distribution is at least the population median m is determined as 1 - F2:3(m). Given that the population median satisfies F(m) = 0.5, the probability simplifies to P(X2:3 ≥ m) = 1 - (1/2)^3 * ∑ (3 choose i) = 1/2 by symmetry in the median position. Another method involves substituting the population median m, calculated as the cube root of 2, into the CDF equation for X2:3 to show P(X2:3 ≥ m) equals 1/2 .

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