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Order Statistics in Probability Theory

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
6 views13 pages

Order Statistics in Probability Theory

Uploaded by

Mahmoud Adel
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Order Statistics (Math 313)

Prof. Magdy E. El-Adll

Department of Mathematics

Faculty of Science

Helwan University

2021
Contents

1 An Introduction 2

2 Basic Distribution Theory 3

2.1 Chapter Objectives . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4

2.2 The Distribution of an Order Statistic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

1
Chapter 1

An Introduction

2
Chapter 2

Basic Distribution Theory

3
Order Statistics (Math 313) Prof. Magdy E. El-Adll

2.1 Chapter Objectives

After completing this chapter, you should be able to:

1. Identify types of random variables.

2. Distinguish between independent and dependent random variables.

3. Clarify the concept of random sample.

4. Identify the basic terms of order statistics.

5. Derive the distribution of an order statistic.

6. Demonstrate the importance of the median and the range.

7. Establish the distributions of some functions of order statistics.

4
Order Statistics (Math 313) Prof. Magdy E. El-Adll

2.2 The Distribution of an Order Statistic

Suppose that X1, X2, ..., Xn, are independent and identically distribut-

ed random variables (iid) with common probability density function

(pdf) f (x) and cumulative distribution function (cdf) F (x). Arrange

(X1, X2, ..., Xn) in an increasing order of magnitude and let

X1:n < X2:n < ... < Xn:n, be the ordered values. The rth elemen-

t of this sequence,Xr:n, is called the rth order statistic. The first and

last order statistics, X1:n and Xn:n, are the minimum and maximum of

(X1, X2, ..., Xn), respectively. The minimum and maximum order statis-

tics are called the extremes.

Order statistics are very important in practice and especially the min-

imum, X1:n, and the maximum, Xn:n, because they are the critical values

used in engineering, physics, medicine, etc.

5
Order Statistics (Math 313) Prof. Magdy E. El-Adll

Let X1, X2, ..., Xn, be a random sample of size n from a continuous

population with pdf f (x) and cdf F (x). Then, the joint pdf and the joint

cdf of X1, X2, ..., Xn, respectively, are

n
Y
f (x1, x2, ..., xn) = f (xi) (2.2.1)
i=1

and
n
Y
F (x1, x2, ..., xn) = F (xi). (2.2.2)
i=1

Clearly, X1:n = min{X1, X2, ..., Xn} and Xn:n = max{X1, X2, ..., Xn}.

The cdf of the maximum order statistic, Xn:n, denoted by Fn:n can be

derived as

6
Order Statistics (Math 313) Prof. Magdy E. El-Adll

Fn:n(x) = P (Xn:n 6 x)

= P (max{X1, X2, ..., Xn} 6 x)

= P (X1 6 x, X2 6 x, ..., Xn 6 x)
n
Y
= P (Xi 6 x) (by the independence of {X1, X2, ..., Xn})
i=1
Yn
= F (x) (by the identical of {X1, X2, ..., Xn})
i=1

= [F (x)]n , −∞ < x < ∞. (2.2.3)

Therefore, the cdf of the maximum, Xn:n, can be obtained by raising

the original cdf, F , to the nth power. The pdf of the sample maximum,

Xn:n, is obtained by differentiating (2.2.3) with respect to x, namely,

fn:n(x) = n [F (x)]n−1 f (x), −∞ < x < ∞. (2.2.4)

The cdf of the minimum order statistic, X1:n, denoted by F1:n, can be

7
Order Statistics (Math 313) Prof. Magdy E. El-Adll

derived in a similar way as follows:

F1:n(x) = P (X1:n 6 x)

= P (min{X1, X2, ..., Xn} 6 x)

= 1 − P (min{X1, X2, ..., Xn} > x)

= 1 − P (X1 > x, X2 > x, ..., Xn > x)


n
Y
=1− P (Xi > x) (by the independence of {X1, X2, ..., Xn})
i=1
Yn
=1− (1 − F (x)) (by the identical of {X1, X2, ..., Xn})
i=1

= 1 − [1 − F (x)]n , −∞ < x < ∞. (2.2.5)

The pdf of the sample maximum, X1:n, is obtained by differentiating

(2.2.5) with respect to x, as

f1:n(x) = n [1 − F (x)]n−1 f (x), −∞ < x < ∞. (2.2.6)

8
Order Statistics (Math 313) Prof. Magdy E. El-Adll

The cdf of the rth order statistic, Xr:n, can be obtained as follows:

Fr:n(x) = P (Xr:n 6 x)

= P ( at least r of {X1, X2, ..., Xn} are less than or equal to x)


n
X
= P ( exactly i random variables among {X1, X2, ..., Xn}
i=r

are less than or equal to x)


n  
X n
= [F (x)]i[1 − F (x)]n−i, −∞ < x < ∞. (2.2.7)
i=r
i

Exercise 1. Prove the identity:

n   Z z
X n i n!
z (1 − z)n−i = tr (1 − t)n−r dt. (2.2.8)
i=r
i (r − 1)!(n − r)! 0

The incomplete beta function denoted by Iz (a, b) is defined as


Z z
1
Iz (a, b) = ta−1(1 − t)b−1dt, (2.2.9)
B(a, b) 0

9
Order Statistics (Math 313) Prof. Magdy E. El-Adll

where, B(a, b) is the beta function given by


Z 1
Γ(a)Γ(b)
B(a, b) = ta−1(1 − t)b−1dt = , a > 0, b > 0,
0 Γ(a + b)

and Γ(a) is gamma function defined by


Z ∞
Γ(a) = ta−1e−tdt.
0

If a is an integer, Γ(a) = (a − 1)!. Moreover, it can be shown that



Γ(a + 1) = aΓ(a) and Γ(1/2) = π.

By (2.2.7), (2.2.8), and (2.2.9), the cdf of the rth order statistic, Xr:n,

can be written as

Fr:n(x) = IF (x)(r, n − r + 1), −∞ < x < ∞. (2.2.10)

We shall now assume that Xi is a continuous random variable with pdf

f (x) = F 0(x). Therefore, the pdf of the rth order statistic, Xr:n, can be

10
Order Statistics (Math 313) Prof. Magdy E. El-Adll

obtained by (2.2.9), and (2.2.10) as


Z F (x)
1 d
fr:n(x) = tr−1(1 − t)n−r dt
B(r, n − r + 1) dx 0
1
= [F (x)]r−1[1 − F (x)]n−r f (x), − ∞ < x < ∞.
B(r, n − r + 1)

(2.2.11)

Recall that (from elementary calculus)


Z F (x)
d
H(t)dt = H(F (x))F 0(x).
dx 0

Example 2.2.1. Let U1, U2, ..., Un be a random sample of size n from

the uniform distribution on the interval (0, 1). That is F (u) = u,

0 < u < 1. Find the pdf, the mean and the variance of Ur:n.

Th pdf of Ur:n can be obtained from (2.2.11)

1
fr:n(u) = ur−1(1 − u)n−r
B(r, n − r + 1)
n!
= ur−1(1 − u)n−r , 0 < u < 1.
(r − 1)!(n − r)!
11
Order Statistics (Math 313) Prof. Magdy E. El-Adll

That is Ur:n follows beta distribution with parameters r and n − r + 1.

The m−moment of Ur:n can be obtained directly as


Z 1
m
E [U ] = umfr:n(u)du
0
Z 1
n!
= um+r−1(1 − u)n−r du
(r − 1)!(n − r)! 0
n!(m + r − 1)!
= (Prove). (2.2.12)
(r − 1)!(m + n)!

Therefore, the mean and the variance of Ur:n, respectively are given by

r r(n − r + 1)
E[Ur:n] = and V ar(Ur:n) = . (2.2.13)
n+1 (n + 1)2(n + 2)

For r = 1, we have

1 n
E[U1:n] = and V ar(U1:n) = .
n+1 (n + 1)2(n + 2)

For r = n, we have

n n
E[Un:n] = and V ar(Un:n) = .
n+1 (n + 1)2(n + 2)

12

Common questions

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To derive the pdf of the minimum order statistic X1:n, use the relation F1:n(x) = P(X1:n ≤ x) = 1 - P(X1:n > x). Since the events X1 > x, X2 > x, ..., Xn > x are independent, their joint probability is ∏[P(Xi > x)], which simplifies to [1 - F(x)]^n using the common cdf F(x). Differentiating F1:n(x) = 1 - [1 - F(x)]^n with respect to x gives the pdf f1:n(x) = n[1 - F(x)]^(n-1)f(x).

To derive the pdf of the maximum order statistic Xn:n, we start from its cdf Fn:n(x) = [F(x)]^n, where F(x) is the common cdf. The pdf is then the derivative of this cdf with respect to x, resulting in fn:n(x) = n[F(x)]^(n-1)f(x). This result is obtained by applying the chain and product rules of differentiation together with the fundamental theorem of calculus .

The minimum, X1:n, and the maximum, Xn:n, order statistics are significant in practical applications because they represent extreme values which are critical for various fields such as engineering, physics, and medicine. These extreme values are often used to test stresses, failure limits, or other boundary conditions in these applications .

Independence and identical distribution of random variables are crucial in simplifying the derivation of probability functions for order statistics. Independence allows the joint probability function to be factored into the product of individual probability functions, simplifying calculations. Identical distribution means these functions have a common pdf and cdf, enabling uniformity in calculations such as raising the cdf to a power to find maximum order statistics, or their complements for minimum order statistics .

The gamma function, Γ, is used in computing moments of order statistics due to its appearance in the definition of the beta distribution's normalization constant. For a uniform distribution, the m-moment of the rth order statistic can be expressed as E[Um] = (n!/(r-1)!(m+n)!)(m+r-1)!, where the gamma function helps evaluate expressions involving factorials, such as (m+r-1)! = Γ(m+r), facilitating precise integration and moment extraction .

Order statistics are used to define statistical measures such as the median and range effectively. The median can be determined as a specific middle order statistic in a sorted sample, while the range can be established from the difference between the maximum and minimum order statistics. This usage highlights their importance as it provides a robust, non-parametric summary of the data's central tendency and variability .

When the random variables are uniformly distributed on the interval (0, 1), the pdf of the rth order statistic Xr:n can be represented as a beta distribution with parameters r and n-r+1. The pdf is expressed as fr:n(u) = (n!/(r-1)!(n-r)!) u^(r-1)(1-u)^(n-r), which matches the form of the beta distribution pdf. This linkage to the beta distribution facilitates deriving properties like mean and variance, using known results for the beta distribution .

The cdf of the maximum order statistic, Xn:n, can be derived by using the fact that P(max{X1, X2, ..., Xn} ≤ x) is equivalent to P(X1 ≤ x, X2 ≤ x, ..., Xn ≤ x) due to the independence of the random variables. This probability is calculated as the product of the individual probabilities P(Xi ≤ x) for i = 1, 2, ..., n, leading to [F(x)]^n, where F(x) is the common cdf of the random variables .

The variance of the rth order statistic Ur:n from a uniform distribution on (0,1) is given by Var(Ur:n) = r(n-r+1)/(n+1)^2(n+2). This is derived by first finding the mean E[Ur:n] = r/(n+1) using the known properties of the beta distribution followed by applying the variance formula of the beta distribution with parameters (r, n-r+1) to arrive at the formula for variance .

The incomplete beta function is significant in order statistics as it provides a way to express the cumulative distribution function (cdf) of the rth order statistic Xr:n in relation to the common cdf of the sample. Specifically, the cdf of Xr:n can be written as Fr:n(x) = I_F(x)(r, n-r+1), where I is the incomplete beta function. This facilitates calculations and theoretical analysis of order statistics by utilizing properties of the beta function .

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