Control Cycles—General Model
1. Setting a goal.
2. Measuring progress.
3. Comparing actual with planned performance.
4. Taking action.
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Figure 13.2 The Project Control Cycle
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Figure 13.3 Project S-Curves
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Figure 13.4 Project Sierra’s S-Curve
Showing Negative Variance
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Milestone Analysis
Milestones are events or stages of the project that represent a
significant accomplishment.
Milestones:
1. Signal completion of important steps
2. Motivate team and suppliers
3. Offer reevaluation points
4. Help coordinate schedules
5. Identify key review gates
6. Signal other team members when their participation begins
7. Delineate work packages
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Figure 13.5 Gantt Chart with Milestones
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Figure 13.6 Assessing Project Blue’s Status
Using Tracking Gantt Chart
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Figure 13.7 Tracking Gantt with Project
Activity Deviation
Project status is updated by linking task completion to the
schedule baseline.
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Earned Value Management
Earned Value Management (EVM) recognizes that it is
necessary to jointly consider the impact of time, cost, and
project performance on any analysis of current project
status.
Earned Value (EV) directly links all three primary project
success metrics (cost, schedule, and performance).
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Earned Value Terms
• Planned value (PV)
• Earned value (EV)
• Actual cost of work performed (AC)
• Schedule variance (SV) and schedule performance index
(SPI)
• Cost variance (CV) and cost performance index (CPI)
• Budgeted cost at completion (BAC)
• Estimate at completion (EAC)
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Steps in Earned Value Management
1. Clearly define each activity including its resource
needs and budget.
2. Create usage schedules for activities and resources.
3. Develop a time-phased budget (PV).
4. Total the actual costs of doing each task (AC).
5. Calculate both the budget variance (CV) and schedule
variance (SV).
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Figure 13.11 Project Baseline, Using
Earned Value
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Figure 13.12 Earned Value Milestones
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Earned Value Example
Schedule Variances
Planned Value (PV) = 103
Earned Value (EV) = 44
44 EV
Schedule Performance Index 43
103 PV
1
Estimated Time to Completion 7 163 months
.43
Cost Variances
Cumulative Actual Cost of Work Performed (AC) = 78
44 EV
Cost Performance Index 56
78 AC
1
Estimated Cost to Completion $210,714 $118,000
.56
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Figure 13.16 Earned Value Report for
Project Atlas on May 19
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Flow of Earned Value System
Northrop Grumman’s flow of earned value management:
• Proposal stage
• Contract award
• Baseline stage
• Maintenance phase
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Using Earned Value to Manage a Portfolio
of Projects
Table 13.9 Project Portfolio Earned Value (in thousands $)
Time Cost Est. at
Project PV EV Var ($) Var AC Var ($) Var+ Plan Completion
Alpha 91 73 -18 18 83 -10 10 254 289
Beta 130 135 5 0 125 10 0 302 280
Gamma 65 60 -5 5 75 -15 15 127 159
Delta 25 23 -2 2 27 -4 4 48 56
Epsilon 84 82 -2 2 81 1 0 180 178
Blank 395 373 Blank Blank 391 Blank Blank Blank 962
Total Schedule Variance 27 Total Cost Variance 29
27 29
Relative Schedule Variance 6.84% Relative Cost Variance 7.34%
395 395
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Completion Values in EVM
Accurate and up-to-date information is critical in the use
of EVM.
0
• Rule
100
50
• Rule
50
• Percentage Complete Rule
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Human Factors in Project Evaluation and
Control
• Project coordination and relations among stakeholders
• Adequacy of project structure and control
• Project uniqueness, importance, and public exposure
• Success criteria salience and consensus
• Lack of budgetary pressure
• Avoidance of initial overoptimism and conceptual
difficulties
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Critical Success Factors in the Project
Implementation Profile
1. Project mission
2. Top management support
3. Project plans and schedules
4. Client consultation
5. Personnel
6. Technical tasks
7. Client acceptance
8. Monitoring and feedback
9. Communication channels
10. Troubleshooting
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Summary (1 of 2)
1. Understand the nature of the control cycle and the four
key steps in a general project control model.
2. Recognize the strengths and weaknesses of common
project evaluation and control methods.
3. Understand how Earned Value Management can assist
project tracking and evaluation.
4. Use Earned Value Management for project portfolio
analysis.
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Summary (2 of 2)
5. Understand critical issues in the effective use of Earned
Value Management.
6. Understand behavioral concepts and other human
issues in evaluation and control.
7. From Appendix 13.1: Understand the advantages of
Earned Schedule methods for determining project
schedule variance, schedule performance index, and
estimates to completion.
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