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U.S. Inflation Trends in the 20th Century

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
10 views13 pages

U.S. Inflation Trends in the 20th Century

Uploaded by

pcnp46x7br
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Name: __________________________ Date: _____________

1. Macroeconomics does not try to answer the question of:


A) why some countries experience rapid growth.
B) what is the rate of return on education.
C) why some countries have high rates of inflation.
D) what causes recessions and depressions.

2. A typical trend during a recession is that:


A) the unemployment rate falls.
B) the popularity of the incumbent president rises.
C) incomes fall.
D) the inflation rate rises.

3. Macroeconomics is the study of the:


A) activities of individual units of the economy.
B) decisionmaking by households and firms.
C) economy as a whole.
D) interaction of firms and households in the marketplace.

4. The study of the economy as a whole is called:


A) household economics.
B) business economics.
C) microeconomics.
D) macroeconomics.

5. The ability of macroeconomists to predict the future course of economic events:


A) is no better than a meteorologist's ability to predict the next month's weather.
B) is much better than a meteorologist's ability to predict the next month's weather.
C) has gotten worse over time.
D) is less precise than it was in the 1920s.

6. Which of the combinations listed is not a U.S. president and an important economic
issue of his administration?
A) President Carter, inflation
B) President Reagan, budget deficits
C) President G. H. W. Bush, budget deficits
D) President Clinton, inflation

Page 1
7. All of the following are types of macroeconomics data except the:
A) price of a computer.
B) growth rate of real GDP.
C) inflation rate.
D) unemployment rate.

8. All of the following except _______ are important macroeconomic variables.


A) real GDP
B) the unemployment rate
C) the marginal rate of substitution
D) the inflation rate

9. The total income of everyone in the economy adjusted for the level of base year prices is
called:
A) a recession.
B) an inflation.
C) real GDP.
D) a business fluctuation.

10. A measure of how fast the general level of prices is rising is called the:
A) growth rate of real GDP.
B) inflation rate.
C) unemployment rate.
D) market-clearing rate.

11. The inflation rate is a measure of how fast:


A) the total income of the economy is growing.
B) unemployment in the economy is increasing.
C) the general level of prices in the economy is rising.
D) the number of jobs in the economy is expanding.

12. Real GDP ______ over time, and the growth rate of real GDP ______.
A) grows; fluctuates
B) is steady; is steady
C) grows; is steady
D) is steady; fluctuates

Page 2
13. Two striking features of a graph of U.S. real GDP per capita over the twentieth century
are the:
A) overall upward trend interrupted by a large downturn due to the economic
depression in the 1930s.
B) nearly constant level with a large downturn in the 1930s.
C) downward trend in the first half of the century followed by the upward trend in the
second half.
D) constant level in the first half of the century followed by the upward trend in the
second half.

14. In the U.S. economy today, real GDP per person, compared with its level in 1900, is
about:
A) 50 percent higher.
B) twice as high.
C) three times as high.
D) eight times as high.

15. Recessions are periods when real GDP:


A) increases slowly.
B) increases rapidly.
C) decreases mildly.
D) decreases severely.

16. Compared with real GDP during a recession, real GDP during a depression:
A) increases more rapidly.
B) increases at approximately the same rate.
C) decreases at approximately the same rate.
D) decreases more severely.

17. A severe recession is called a(n):


A) depression.
B) deflation.
C) exogenous event.
D) market-clearing assumption.

18. The annual inflation rate in the United States averaged:


A) nearly zero between 1900 and 1950.
B) nearly zero between 1950 and 2000.
C) about 10 percent between 1900 and 1950.
D) about 10 percent between 1950 and 2000.

Page 3
19. Deflation occurs when:
A) real GDP decreases.
B) the unemployment rate decreases.
C) prices fall.
D) prices increase but at a slower rate.

20. A period of falling prices is called:


A) deflation.
B) inflation.
C) a depression.
D) a recession.

21. A graph of the rate of inflation in the United States over the twentieth century shows:
A) an overall upward trend interrupted by a large downturn in the 1930s.
B) some periods of deflation mixed with mostly positive rates of inflation before 1955
but only positive rates of inflation after 1955.
C) a relatively steady, positive level throughout the century except for deflation in the
1930s.
D) a constant rate of inflation in the first half of the century followed by an upward
trend in the second half.

22. A graph of the U.S. unemployment rate over the twentieth century shows:
A) an overall upward trend in the unemployment rate interrupted by a large upturn in
the 1930s.
B) an overall downward trend in the unemployment rate interrupted by a large upturn
in the 1930s.
C) rates of unemployment always greater than zero with substantial variations from
year to year.
D) alternating periods of positive and negative rates of unemployment.

23. During the period between 1900 and 2000, the unemployment rate in the United States
was highest in the:
A) 1920s.
B) 1930s.
C) 1970s.
D) 1980s.

Page 4
24. The unemployment rate:
A) was zero during the 1990s in the United States.
B) was zero on average between 1900 and 1950 in the United States.
C) has never been zero in the United States.
D) is usually zero when the economy is not in a recession or depression.

25. Exogenous variables are:


A) determined outside the model.
B) determined within the model.
C) the outputs of the model.
D) explained by the model.

26. Endogenous variables are:


A) fixed at the moment they enter the model.
B) determined within the model.
C) the inputs of the model.
D) from outside the model.

27. In an economic model:


A) exogenous variables and endogenous variables are both determined outside the
model.
B) endogenous variables and exogenous variables are both determined within the
model.
C) endogenous variables affect exogenous variables.
D) exogenous variables affect endogenous variables.

28. Variables that a model tries to explain are called:


A) endogenous.
B) exogenous.
C) market clearing.
D) fixed.

29. Variables that a model takes as given are called:


A) endogenous.
B) exogenous.
C) market clearing.
D) macroeconomic.

Page 5
30. Macroeconomic models are used to explain how ______ variables influence ______
variables.
A) endogenous; exogenous
B) exogenous; endogenous
C) microeconomic; macroeconomic
D) macroeconomic; microeconomic

31. Important characteristics of macroeconomic models include all of the following except:
A) simplifying assumptions.
B) functional relationships based on randomized control trials.
C) endogenous and exogenous variables.
D) implicit or explicit consistency with microeconomic foundations.

32. In a simple model of the supply and demand for pizza, the endogenous variables are:
A) the price of pizza and the price of cheese.
B) aggregate income and the quantity of pizza sold.
C) aggregate income and the price of cheese.
D) the price of pizza and the quantity of pizza sold.

33. In a simple model of the supply and demand for pizza, when buyers' income increases,
the price of pizza ______ and the quantity purchased ______.
A) increases; decreases
B) increases; increases
C) decreases; increases
D) decreases; decreases

34. In a simple model of the supply and demand for pizza, when the price of cheese
increases, the price of pizza ______ and the quantity purchased ______.
A) increases; increases
B) decreases; increases
C) decreases; decreases
D) increases; decreases

35. Which statement below best illustrates the “art,” rather than the “science,” of
macroeconomics?
A) Macroeconomic data provide the motivation for new macroeconomic theory.
B) Macroeconomic relationships can be expressed using symbols and equations.
C) Macroeconomists must determine which simplifying assumptions clarify our
thinking and which ones mislead us.
D) Graphs and charts can be used to illustrate the history of macroeconomic variables.

Page 6
36. In the relationship expressed in functional form Y = G(K, L), Y stands for real GDP, K
stands for the amount of capital in the economy, and L stands for the amount of labor in
the economy. In this case G( ):
A) is the growth rate of real GDP when the amount of capital and labor in the
economy is fixed.
B) indicates that the variables inside the parentheses are endogenous variables in the
model.
C) is the symbol that stands for government input into the production process.
D) is the function telling how the variables in the parentheses determine real GDP.

37. Which of the following statements about economic models is true?


A) There is only one correct economic model.
B) All economic models are based on the same assumptions.
C) The purpose of economic models is to show how endogenous variables affect
exogenous variables.
D) Economists use different models to address different economic phenomena.

38. Macroeconomic models:


A) assume that all wages and prices are sticky.
B) assume that all wages and prices are flexible.
C) make different assumptions to explain different aspects of the macroeconomy.
D) focus primarily on the optimizing behavior of households and firms.

39. The assumption of continuous market clearing means that:


A) sellers can sell all that they want at the going price.
B) buyers can buy all that they want at the going price.
C) in any given month, buyers can buy all that they want and sellers can sell all that
they want at the going price.
D) at any given instant, buyers can buy all that they want and sellers can sell all that
they want at the going price.

40. All of the following statements about sticky prices are true except:
A) in the short run, some wages and prices are sticky.
B) the sticky-price model describes the equilibrium toward which the economy slowly
gravitates.
C) for studying year-to-year fluctuations, most macroeconomists believe that price
stickiness is a better assumption than is price flexibility.
D) magazine publishers tend to change their newsstand prices only every three or four
years.

Page 7
41. The assumption of flexible prices is a more plausible assumption when applied to price
changes that occur:
A) from minute to minute.
B) from year to year.
C) in the long run.
D) in the short run.

42. An assumption of _______ is more plausible for studying the short-run behavior of the
economy, while an assumption of ______ is more plausible for studying the long-run,
equilibrium behavior of the economy.
A) deflation; inflation
B) inflation; deflation
C) flexible prices; sticky prices
D) sticky prices; flexible prices

43. When studying the short-run behavior of the economy, an assumption of ______ is more
plausible, whereas when studying the long-run equilibrium behavior of an economy, an
assumption of ______ is more plausible.
A) inflation; unemployment
B) unemployment; inflation
C) flexible prices; sticky prices
D) sticky prices; flexible prices

44. Which of the following is the best example of a sticky price?


A) the price of a barrel of oil
B) the price of the U.S. dollar in terms of euros
C) the price of a share of stock
D) the price of a soda in a vending machine

45. Which of the following is the best example of a flexible price?


A) the price of a cup of coffee in a coffee shop
B) the price of gasoline at a service station
C) the price of a ticket at a movie theater
D) the price of a book in a bookstore

46. Macroeconomists are like scientists in that they both:


A) design data and conduct controlled experiments to test their theories.
B) rely on data analyzed from experiments they set up in a laboratory.
C) are unlimited in their use of controlled experiments.
D) collect data, develop hypotheses, and analyze the results.

Page 8
47. Using a market-clearing model to analyze the labor market is ______ because wages
usually change ______.
A) realistic; frequently
B) realistic; infrequently
C) unrealistic; frequently
D) unrealistic; infrequently

48. Assume that the equation for demand for bread at a small bakery is Qd = 60 – 10Pb +
3Y, where Qd is the quantity of bread demanded in loaves and Y is the average income in
the town in thousands of dollars.
a. If the average income in the town is 10, state the equation for Qd in terms of Pb.
b. Draw a graph of the demand curve with Qd on the horizontal axis and Pb on the vertical axis.
Label the curve DD.

49. Assume that the equation for demand for bread at a small bakery is Qd = 60 – 10Pb +
3Y, where Qd is the quantity of bread demanded in loaves, Pb is the price of bread in
dollars per loaf, and Y is the average income in the town in thousands of dollars.
Assume also that the equation for supply of bread is Qs = 30 + 20Pb – 30Pf, where Qs is
the quantity supplied and Pf is the price of flour in dollars per pound. Assume finally
that markets clear, so that Qd = Qs.
a. If Y is 10 and Pf is $1, solve mathematically for equilibrium Q and Pb.
b. If the average income in the town increases to 15, solve for the new equilibrium Q and Pb.

50. The production function for an economy can be expressed as Y = F(K,L), where Y is real
GDP, K is the quantity of capital in the economy, and L is the quantity of labor in the
economy.
a. If F( ) = 100 + 3K + 9L, what is real GDP if the quantity of capital is 200 and the quantity of
labor is 500?
b. What is/are the endogenous variable(s) in this model?
c. What is/are the exogenous variable(s) in this model?

51. The quantity of coffee demanded, Qd, depends on the price of coffee, Pc, and the price
of tea, PT. The quantity of coffee supplied, Qs, depends on the price of coffee, Pc, and
the price of electricity, PE , according to the following equation:
Qd = 17 – 2Pc + 10PT
Qs = 2 + 3Pc – 5PE
a. If the price of tea is $1.00 and the price of electricity is $0.50, what are the equilibrium price
and quantity of coffee?
b. What is/are the endogenous variable(s) in this model?
c. What is/are the exogenous variable(s) in this model?

Page 9
52. What is the difference between recession and depression in an economy? Provide an
example of depression from the real world that has hit the global economy.

Use the following to answer question 53:

53. Refer to the following graph and identify the years for which Country A and Country B
experienced recession.

54. Why do we call macroeconomics an imperfect science? Explain.

55. Are the terms “market clearing” and “equilibrium” one and the same? Explain.

56. Do you agree with the statement “macroeconomics rests on the foundation of
microeconomics”? Explain.

57. Give two examples of macroeconomic variables and microeconomic variables.

Page 10
58. Refer the following table, which shows the quantity of tubes of toothpaste that are
demanded at different prices. Identify the price (as shown in the first column below in
the table) that represents the market clearing.

Price Quantity demanded Quantity supplied


(US$/tube) (thousands of tubes) (thousands of tubes)
20 5 20
16 8 16
13 12 12
8 15 8
5 17 5
4 18 3

59. What is the difference between sticky prices and flexible prices? Explain.

60. What is an exogenous variable? Illustrate with graphs the effect of a change in the
exogenous variable on a demand and supply relationship. Mark the x-axis and y-axis
clearly.

61. Column A below lists the names of four U.S. presidents, and Column B lists four
economic events that occurred during the tenures of those U.S. presidents. Match each
president to the economic event that occurred during his tenure.
Column A Column B
1. Jimmy Carter a. budget surplus
2. Ronald Regan b. inflation
3. Bill Clinton c. steep rise in mortgage defaults
4. Barack Obama d. budget deficit

Page 11
Answer Key

1. B
2. C
3. C
4. D
5. A
6. D
7. A
8. C
9. C
10. B
11. C
12. A
13. A
14. D
15. C
16. D
17. A
18. A
19. C
20. A
21. B
22. C
23. B
24. C
25. A
26. B
27. D
28. A
29. B
30. B
31. B
32. D
33. B
34. D
35. C
36. D
37. D
38. C
39. D
40. B
41. C
42. D
43. D
44. D

Page 12
45. B
46. D
47. D
48.
49.
50.
51.
52.
53.
54.
55.
56.
57.
58.
59.
60.
61.

Page 13

Common questions

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Macroeconomics is called an "imperfect science" because, despite its structured models and analyses, it is limited by the complexity and unpredictability of aggregate economic variables over time. Predictions are often as uncertain as weather forecasts due to the influences of exogenous variables that cannot be controlled or fully predicted, as well as the models' reliance on assumptions that may not hold true universally or in the face of new economic shocks .

Predicting macroeconomic trends is akin to weather forecasting because both involve complex systems with multiple interacting variables, many of which are not fully understood or are influenced by unpredictable external factors. As such, despite the development of sophisticated models, the predictive accuracy remains limited, often yielding broad scenarios rather than precise outcomes. This reflects a fundamental challenge in macroeconomics where incomplete data and changing conditions often hinder precise short-term predictions .

The study of macroeconomics relies on microeconomic foundations by using individual behaviors and market interactions as the basis for understanding broader economic phenomena. This implies that macroeconomic analysis often abstracts aggregate outcomes from the cumulative actions of households and firms, integrating decisions on consumption, production, and pricing to inform larger economic models and policies. It also means robust macroeconomic insights typically demand rigorous microeconomic consistencies and assumptions .

Market clearing and equilibrium both refer to a state where supply meets demand, but they are not identical. Market clearing implies that goods are sold at the market price without surplus or shortage, occurring instantaneously at a given price point. Equilibrium, however, refers to a broader situation where the market is balanced over time, and may not require instantaneous adjustment of prices. In the short run, prices may be sticky and not perfectly flexible, resulting in temporary disequilibria .

Sticky prices, typically found in the short-term, suggest that adjustments to equilibrium are sluggish, affecting short-term economic models' ability to react to changes in supply and demand promptly. Conversely, flexible prices are more suitable for long-term analysis, where it's assumed that markets adjust efficiently to find new equilibriums without delay. This distinction is crucial for understanding the temporal scope of economic phenomena, such as inflation's impact on purchasing power or the effect of monetary policy on immediate vs. eventual market responses .

The inflation rate specifically measures the percentage increase in the overall price level of goods and services within an economy, distinguishing it from other indicators like GDP growth or unemployment, which measure economic output and labor market dynamics, respectively. It indicates how much prices have risen over a period, thereby affecting purchasing power, unlike GDP which focuses on total production and unemployment which centers on labor force employment .

In a simple economic model of pizza supply and demand, endogenous variables are those whose values are determined within the model framework, such as the price of pizza and the quantity sold. Exogenous variables, however, are determined outside the model, like aggregate income or the price of cheese, influencing the endogenous variables without being influenced themselves by the internal model dynamics .

Price stickiness in some goods occurs due to factors like menu costs, consumer preferences for stable prices, or contractual constraints, which prevent businesses from frequently changing prices even when market conditions change. In contrast, flexible pricing is more common in markets where adjustment costs are low, and businesses can rapidly adapt prices based on demand and supply changes, such as in commodities markets .

Macroeconomic models benefit from incorporating endogenous and exogenous variables as it allows a comprehensive analysis of how internal economic factors (endogenous) like production or consumption interact with external influences (exogenous) such as government policy or global economic conditions. Both are necessary to provide a realistic framework that can predict outcomes under varied scenarios and guide policy-making by illustrating possible impacts of external shocks or interventions .

A recession is characterized by a mild decline in real GDP over a short period, while a depression involves a more severe and prolonged reduction in economic activity. The Great Depression of the 1930s is a notable historical example, marked by a severe global economic decline lasting a decade with massive unemployment and deflation .

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