Environmental Risk Assessment Overview
Environmental Risk Assessment Overview
ERA serves as a support tool for policy evaluation, land use planning, and resource management decision-making by providing systematic analysis of potential environmental risks associated with various decisions. It illuminates likely outcomes and their desirability, mandates acknowledgment of these risks before and after decisions, and thus encourages a shared responsibility for managing risk . Additionally, it uses a comparison of environmental indicators over time to define the range of risks but does not dictate a specific outcome or acceptable risk threshold .
Acknowledging risks both before and after decisions ensures that stakeholders are aware of potential environmental impacts and can adapt or modify their strategies accordingly. This proactive recognition fosters a culture of shared responsibility and accountability, leading to more thoughtful and potentially less risky environmental management decisions .
ERA's main strengths include its ability to bring environmental consequences to the forefront, shift focus from merely justifying actions to illuminating likely outcomes, and encourage distribution of accountability for risk management. ERA is also flexible, capable of detailed analyses and rapid response scenarios, unlike other tools that might be less adaptable or more rigid in application .
Historical data is used in ERA to establish a base case or a historic range of conditions by monitoring undisturbed areas and analyzing natural disturbance regimes and historic records. This base case is crucial in comparing current and predicted future conditions, which helps in identifying the risks resulting from the cumulative impact of past developments .
Isolating risks in ERA is challenging due to the inherent natural variability within ecosystems, differing stress tolerances, and various recovery rates. These attributes mean that environmental systems react differently to disturbances, complicating the identification of specific risks associated with decisions. This variability necessitates a nuanced and flexible approach in ERA to accurately assess environmental impacts .
ERA enhances stakeholder communication by making explicit the factors that pose risks to the environment and requiring the acknowledgment of these risks before and after decision-making processes. It provides a mechanism for managers to communicate forecasted risks to stakeholders and the public, ensuring informed consideration of environmental values .
The ERA risk index quantifies and summarizes the risk associated with environmental conditions and indicators as they change over time. It is typically reported through a series of risk classes, providing a clear representation of potential environmental impacts and helping to inform decision-makers of the possible consequences of different management actions .
ERA can clarify the risks associated with a decision but is limited in setting an acceptable threshold of risk. The determination of acceptable risk is part of risk management rather than the assessment process itself. This requires decision-makers to choose a desired level of risk, which can be challenging given that perceptions and tolerance of risk vary among individuals and institutions, and isolating specific risks can be difficult due to ecosystem variability and differing stress tolerances .
ERA is highly adaptable to situations with minimal available data and resources as well as those that involve detailed inventories and complex models. It provides a systematic approach that can scale to the data's availability and complexity, offering valuable insights for decision-makers in both data-rich and data-poor environments .
The conceptual framework of ERA facilitates environmental management by comparing current and predicted future conditions against historic ranges of variation. This allows decision-makers to assess the cumulative impacts of development on environmental indicators, summarize findings with a risk index, and communicate these through a series of risk classes. Consequently, it helps define management practices and communicate necessary thresholds to safeguard environmental values .