OPEC: Established in 1960
OPEC: Established in 1960
OPEC
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries (OPEC, /ˈoʊpɛk/ OH-pek) is a cartel enabling the Organization of the Petroleum
co-operation of leading oil-producing and oil-dependent Exporting Countries
countries in order to collectively influence the global oil market
and maximize profit. It was founded on 14 September 1960, in
Baghdad by the first five members which are Iran, Iraq, Kuwait,
Saudi Arabia, and Venezuela. The organization, which currently
comprises 12 member countries, accounted for an estimated 30 Flag Emblem
percent of global oil production.[3] A 2022 report further
details that OPEC member countries were responsible for
approximately 38 percent of it.[4] Additionally, it is estimated
that 79.5 percent of the world's proven oil reserves are located
within OPEC nations, with the Middle East alone accounting
for 67.2 percent of OPEC's total reserves.[5][6]
In a series of steps in the 1960s and 1970s, OPEC restructured OPEC and OPEC+ members
the global system of oil production in favor of oil-producing Headquarters Vienna, Austria
states and away from an oligopoly of dominant Anglo-
Official languages English
American oil firms (the "Seven Sisters").[7] In the 1970s,
restrictions in oil production led to a dramatic rise in oil prices Type Organization[1][2]
with long-lasting and far-reaching consequences for the global Membership 12 OPEC members
economy. Since the 1980s, OPEC has had a limited impact on 10 OPEC+ members
6 observer states
world oil-supply and oil-price stability, as there is frequent
cheating by members on their commitments to one another, Leaders
and as member commitments reflect what they would do even • Secretary General Haitham al-Ghais
in the absence of OPEC.[8] However, since 2020, OPEC
Establishment Baghdad, Iraq
countries along with non-OPEC participants had helped in
• Statute September 1960
stabilising oil markets after the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in
• In effect January 1961
a collapse in oil demand. This has allowed oil markets to
remain stable relative to other energy markets that experienced Website
[Link] ([Link]
unprecedented volatility.[9]
The formation of OPEC marked a turning point toward national sovereignty over natural resources. OPEC
decisions have come to play a prominent role in the global oil-market and in international relations.
Economists have characterized OPEC as a textbook example of a cartel[10] (a group whose members
cooperate to reduce market competition) but one whose consultations may be protected by the doctrine of
state immunity under international law.[11]
Current OPEC members are Algeria, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, the
Republic of the Congo, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Venezuela. Meanwhile, Angola, Ecuador,
Indonesia, and Qatar are former OPEC members.[12] A larger group called OPEC+, consisting of OPEC
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members plus other oil-producing countries, formed in late 2016 to exert more control on the global crude-oil
market.[13] Canada, Egypt, Norway, and Oman are observer states.
The organisational logic that underpins OPEC is that it is in the collective interest of its members to limit the
world oil supply in order to reap higher prices.[8] However, the main problem within OPEC is that it is
individually rational for members to cheat on commitments and produce as much oil as possible.[8]
Political scientist Jeff Colgan has argued that OPEC has since the 1980s largely failed to achieve its goals
(limits on world oil supply, stabilized prices, and raising of long-term average revenues).[8] He finds that
members have cheated on 96% of their commitments.[8] The analysis spans over the period 1982–2009.[14]
To the extent that when member states comply with their commitments, it is because the commitments
reflect what they would do even if OPEC did not exist. One large reason for the frequent cheating is that
OPEC does not punish members for non-compliance with commitments.[8]
In June 2020, all countries participating in the OPEC+ framework collectively agreed to the introduction of a
Compensation Mechanism aimed at ensuring full conformity with and adherence to the agreed-upon oil
production cuts. This initiative aligns with one of OPEC's stated objectives: to maintain a stable oil market,
which, notably, has been relatively more stable than other energy commodities.[15][16]
International cartel
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At various times, OPEC members have displayed apparent anti-competitive cartel behavior through the
organisation's agreements about oil production and price levels.[19] Economists often cite OPEC as a textbook
example of a cartel that cooperates to reduce market competition, as in this definition from OECD's Glossary
of Industrial Organisation Economics and Competition Law:[20]
International commodity agreements covering products such as coffee, sugar, tin and more recently
oil (OPEC: Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries) are examples of international cartels
which have publicly entailed agreements between different national governments.
While OPEC is at times cited as a textbook example of a cartel, various authoritative and academic sources
provide a broader perspective on the organization's role. For instance, the US Energy Information
Administration's[21] glossary explains OPEC as:[1]
An intergovernmental organization whose stated objective is to 'coordinate and unify the petroleum
policies of member countries'.
An organization set up in 1960 to coordinate petroleum policies among its member countries,
initially with the aim of securing a regular supply to consuming countries at a price that gave a fair
return on capital investment.
OPEC members strongly prefer to describe their organisation as a modest force for market stabilisation,
rather than a powerful anti-competitive cartel. In its defense, the organisation was founded as a
counterweight against the previous "Seven Sisters" cartel of multinational oil companies, and non-OPEC
energy suppliers have maintained enough market share for a substantial degree of worldwide
competition.[23] Moreover, because of an economic "prisoner's dilemma" that encourages each member
nation individually to discount its price and exceed its production quota,[24] widespread cheating within
OPEC often erodes its ability to influence global oil prices through collective action.[25][26] Political scientist
Jeff Colgan has challenged that OPEC is a cartel, pointing to endemic cheating in the organization: "A cartel
needs to set tough goals and meet them; OPEC sets easy goals and fails to meet even those."[8]
OPEC has not been involved in any disputes related to the competition rules of the World Trade
Organization, even though the objectives, actions, and principles of the two organisations diverge
considerably.[27] A key US District Court decision held that OPEC consultations are protected as
"governmental" acts of state by the Foreign Sovereign Immunities Act, and are therefore beyond the legal
reach of US competition law governing "commercial" acts.[28] Despite popular sentiment against OPEC,
legislative proposals to limit the organisation's sovereign immunity, such as the NOPEC Act, have so far been
unsuccessful.[29]
Conflicts
OPEC often has difficulty agreeing on policy decisions because its member countries differ widely in their oil
export capacities, production costs, reserves, geological features, population, economic development,
budgetary situations, and political circumstances.[30][31] Indeed, over the course of market cycles, oil reserves
can themselves become a source of serious conflict, instability and imbalances, in what economists call the
"natural resource curse".[32][33] A further complication is that religion-linked conflicts in the Middle East are
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recurring features of the geopolitical landscape for this oil-rich region.[34][35] Internationally important
conflicts in OPEC's history have included the Six-Day War (1967), Yom Kippur War (1973), a hostage siege
directed by Palestinian militants (1975), the Iranian Revolution (1979), Iran–Iraq War (1980–1988), Iraqi
occupation of Kuwait (1990–1991), September 11 attacks (2001), American occupation of Iraq (2003–2011),
Conflict in the Niger Delta (2004–present), Arab Spring (2010–2012), Libyan Crisis (2011–present), and
international Embargo against Iran (2012–2016). Although events such as these can temporarily disrupt oil
supplies and elevate prices, the frequent disputes and instabilities tend to limit OPEC's long-term cohesion
and effectiveness.[36]
Post-WWII situation
In 1949, Venezuela initiated the move towards the establishment of what would become OPEC, by inviting
Iran, Iraq, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia to exchange views and explore avenues for more regular and closer
communication among petroleum-exporting nations as the world recovered from World War II.[37] At the
time, some of the world's largest oil fields were just entering production in the Middle East. The United States
had established the Interstate Oil Compact Commission to join the Texas Railroad Commission in limiting
overproduction. The US was simultaneously the world's largest producer and consumer of oil; the world
market was dominated by a group of multinational companies known as the "Seven Sisters", five of which
were headquartered in the US following the breakup of John D. Rockefeller's original Standard Oil monopoly.
Oil-exporting countries were eventually motivated to form OPEC as a counterweight to this concentration of
political and economic power.[38]
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During the early years of OPEC, the oil-producing countries had a 50/50 OPEC headquarters in Vienna
profit agreement with the oil companies.[46] OPEC bargained with the (2009 building)
dominant oil companies (the Seven Sisters), but OPEC faced coordination
problems among its members.[46] If one OPEC member demanded too
much from the oil companies, then the oil companies could slow down production in that country and ramp
up production elsewhere.[46] The 50/50 agreements were still in place until 1970 when Libya negotiated a
58/42 agreement with the oil company Occidental, which prompted other OPEC members to request better
agreements with oil companies.[46]> In 1971, an accord was signed between major oil companies and
members of OPEC doing business in the Mediterranean Sea region, called the Tripoli Agreement. The
agreement, signed on 2 April 1971, raised oil prices and increased producing countries' profit shares.[47]
During 1961–1975, the five founding nations were joined by Qatar (1961), Indonesia (1962–2008, rejoined
2014–2016), Libya (1962), United Arab Emirates (originally just the Emirate of Abu Dhabi, 1967), Algeria
(1969), Nigeria (1971), Ecuador (1973–1992, 2007–2020), and Gabon (1975–1994, rejoined 2016).[48] By the
early 1970s, OPEC's membership accounted for more than half of worldwide oil production.[49] Indicating
that OPEC is not averse to further expansion, Mohammed Barkindo, OPEC's acting secretary general in
2006, urged his African neighbors Angola and Sudan to join,[50] and Angola did in 2007, followed by
Equatorial Guinea in 2017.[51] Since the 1980s, representatives from Canada, Egypt, Mexico, Norway, Oman,
Russia, and other oil-exporting nations have attended many OPEC meetings as observers, as an informal
mechanism for coordinating policies.[52]
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1973, the result was a sharp rise in oil prices and OPEC revenues, from US$3/bbl to US$12/bbl, and an
emergency period of energy rationing, intensified by panic reactions, a declining trend in US oil production,
currency devaluations,[55] and a lengthy UK coal-miners dispute. For a time, the UK imposed an emergency
three-day workweek.[57] Seven European nations banned non-essential Sunday driving.[58] US gas stations
limited the amount of petrol that could be dispensed, closed on Sundays, and restricted the days when petrol
could be purchased, based on number plate numbers.[59][60] Even after the embargo ended in March 1974,
following intense diplomatic activity, prices continued to rise. The world experienced a global economic
recession, with unemployment and inflation surging simultaneously, steep declines in stock and bond prices,
major shifts in trade balances and petrodollar flows, and a dramatic end to the post-WWII economic
boom.[61][62]
The 1973–1974 oil embargo had lasting effects on the United States and
other industrialized nations, which established the International Energy
Agency in response, as well as national emergency stockpiles designed to
withstand months of future supply disruptions. Oil conservation efforts
included lower speed limits on highways, smaller and more energy-
efficient cars and appliances, year-round daylight saving time, reduced
usage of heating and air-conditioning, better building insulation,
increased support of mass transit, and greater emphasis on coal, natural
gas, ethanol, nuclear and other alternative energy sources. These long-
term efforts became effective enough that US oil consumption rose only 11
percent during 1980–2014, while real GDP rose 150 percent. But in the
1970s, OPEC nations demonstrated convincingly that their oil could be
used as both a political and economic weapon against other nations, at
least in the short term.[55][63][64][65][66]
The embargo also meant that a section of the Non-Aligned Movement saw
power as a source of hope for their developing countries. The Algerian A woman uses wood in a fireplace
president Houari Boumédiène expressed this hope in a speech at the UN's for heat. A newspaper headline in
sixth Special Session, in April 1974: the foreground shows a story
regarding a lack of heating oil in the
community.
The OPEC action is really the first illustration and at the same
time the most concrete and most spectacular illustration of the
importance of raw material prices for our countries, the vital
need for the producing countries to operate the levers of price
control, and lastly, the great possibilities of a union of raw
material producing countries. This action should be viewed by
the developing countries as an example and a source of hope.[67]
1975–1980: Special Fund, now the OPEC Fund for International Development
OPEC's international aid activities date from well before the 1973–1974 oil price surge. For example, the
Kuwait Fund for Arab Economic Development has operated since 1961.[68]
In the years after 1973, as an example of so-called "checkbook diplomacy", certain Arab nations have been
among the world's largest providers of foreign aid,[69][70] and OPEC added to its goals the selling of oil for the
socio-economic growth of poorer nations. The OPEC Special Fund was conceived in Algiers, Algeria, in March
1975, and was formally established the following January. "A Solemn Declaration 'reaffirmed the natural
solidarity which unites OPEC countries with other developing countries in their struggle to overcome
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underdevelopment,' and called for measures to strengthen cooperation between these countries... [The OPEC
Special Fund's] resources are additional to those already made available by OPEC states through a number of
bilateral and multilateral channels."[71] The Fund became an official international development agency in
May 1980 and was renamed the OPEC Fund for International Development,[72] with Permanent Observer
status at the United Nations.[73] In 2020, the institution ceased using the abbreviation OFID.
Carlos arranged bus and plane travel for his team and 42 of the original 63 hostages, with stops in Algiers and
Tripoli, planning to fly eventually to Baghdad, where Yamani and Amuzegar were to be killed. All 30 non-
Arab hostages were released in Algiers, excluding Amuzegar. Additional hostages were released at another
stop in Tripoli before returning to Algiers. With only 10 hostages remaining, Carlos held a phone
conversation with Algerian president Houari Boumédiène, who informed Carlos that the oil ministers' deaths
would result in an attack on the plane. Boumédienne must also have offered Carlos asylum at this time and
possibly financial compensation for failing to complete his assignment. Carlos expressed his regret at not
being able to murder Yamani and Amuzegar, then he and his comrades left the plane. All the hostages and
terrorists walked away from the situation, two days after it began.[74]
Sometime after the attack, Carlos's accomplices revealed that the operation was commanded by Wadie
Haddad, a founder of the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine. They also claimed that the idea and
funding came from an Arab president, widely thought to be Muammar Gaddafi of Libya, itself an OPEC
member. Fellow militants Bassam Abu Sharif and Klein claimed that Carlos received and kept a ransom
between 20 million and US$50 million from "an Arab president". Carlos claimed that Saudi Arabia paid
ransom on behalf of Iran, but that the money was "diverted en route and lost by the Revolution".[74][75] He
was finally captured in 1994 and is serving life sentences for at least 16 other murders.[76]
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resources, the result was a six-year decline in the price of oil, which culminated by plunging more than half in
1986 alone.[86] As one oil analyst summarized succinctly: "When the price of something as essential as oil
spikes, humanity does two things: finds more of it and finds ways to use less of it."[49]
To combat falling revenue from oil sales, in 1982 Saudi Arabia pressed OPEC for audited national production
quotas in an attempt to limit output and boost prices. When other OPEC nations failed to comply, Saudi
Arabia first slashed its own production from 10 million barrels daily in 1979–1981 to just one-third of that
level in 1985. When even this proved ineffective, Saudi Arabia reversed course and flooded the market with
cheap oil, causing prices to fall below US$10/bbl and higher-cost producers to become
unprofitable.[85][87]: 127–128, 136–137
These strategic measures by Saudi Arabia to regulate oil prices had profound economic repercussions. As the
swing producer in that period, the Kingdom faced significant economic strain. Its revenues dramatically
decreased from $119 billion in 1981 to $26 billion by 1985, leading to substantial budget deficits and a
doubling of its debt, reaching 100% of the Gross Domestic Product.[88]: 136–137
Faced with increasing economic hardship (which ultimately contributed to the collapse of the Soviet bloc in
1989),[89][90] the "free-riding" oil exporters that had previously failed to comply with OPEC agreements
finally began to limit production to shore up prices, based on painstakingly negotiated national quotas that
sought to balance oil-related and economic criteria since 1986.[85][91] (Within their sovereign-controlled
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territories, the national governments of OPEC members are able to impose production limits on both
government-owned and private oil companies.)[92] Generally when OPEC production targets are reduced, oil
prices increase.[93]
Leading up to his August 1990 Invasion of Kuwait, Iraqi President Saddam Hussein was pushing OPEC to
end overproduction and to send oil prices higher, in order to help OPEC members financially and to
accelerate rebuilding from the 1980–1988 Iran–Iraq War.[96] But these two Iraqi wars against fellow OPEC
founders marked a low point in the cohesion of the organization, and oil prices subsided quickly after the
short-term supply disruptions. The September 2001 Al Qaeda attacks on the US and the March 2003 US
invasion of Iraq had even milder short-term impacts on oil prices, as Saudi Arabia and other exporters again
cooperated to keep the world adequately supplied.[97]
In the 1990s, OPEC lost its two newest members, who had joined in the mid-1970s. Ecuador withdrew in
December 1992, because it was unwilling to pay the annual US$2 million membership fee and felt that it
needed to produce more oil than it was allowed under the OPEC quota,[98] although it rejoined in October
2007. Similar concerns prompted Gabon to suspend membership in January 1995;[99] it rejoined in July
2016.[48] Iraq has remained a member of OPEC since the organization's founding, but Iraqi production was
not a part of OPEC quota agreements from 1998 to 2016, due to the country's daunting political
difficulties.[100][101]
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Lower demand triggered by the 1997–1998 Asian financial crisis saw the price of oil fall back to 1986 levels.
After oil slumped to around US$10/bbl, joint diplomacy achieved a gradual slowing of oil production by
OPEC, Mexico and Norway.[102] After prices slumped again in Nov. 2001, OPEC, Norway, Mexico, Russia,
Oman and Angola agreed to cut production on 1 January 2002 for 6 months. OPEC contributed 1.5 million
barrels a day (mbpd) to the approximately 2 mbpd of cuts announced.[87]
In June 2003, the International Energy Agency (IEA) and OPEC held their first joint workshop on energy
issues. They have continued to meet regularly since then, "to collectively better understand trends, analysis
and viewpoints and advance market transparency and predictability."[103]
2003–2011: Volatility
Widespread insurgency and sabotage occurred during the 2003–
2008 height of the American occupation of Iraq, coinciding with
rapidly increasing oil demand from China and commodity-hungry
investors, recurring violence against the Nigerian oil industry, and
dwindling spare capacity as a cushion against potential shortages.
This combination of forces prompted a sharp rise in oil prices to
levels far higher than those previously targeted by
OPEC members' net oil export revenues,
OPEC.[104][105][106] Price volatility reached an extreme in 2008, as 2000–2020
WTI crude oil surged to a record US$147/bbl in July and then
plunged back to US$32/bbl in December, during the worst global
recession since World War II.[107] OPEC's annual oil export revenue also set a new record in 2008, estimated
around US$1 trillion, and reached similar annual rates in 2011–2014 (along with extensive petrodollar
recycling activity) before plunging again.[78] By the time of the 2011 Libyan Civil War and Arab Spring, OPEC
started issuing explicit statements to counter "excessive speculation" in oil futures markets, blaming financial
speculators for increasing volatility beyond market fundamentals.[108]
In May 2008, Indonesia announced that it would leave OPEC when its membership expired at the end of that
year, having become a net importer of oil and being unable to meet its production quota.[109] A statement
released by OPEC on 10 September 2008 confirmed Indonesia's withdrawal, noting that OPEC "regretfully
accepted the wish of Indonesia to suspend its full membership in the organization, and recorded its hope that
the country would be in a position to rejoin the organization in the not-too-distant future."[110]
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international community. Emphasizing the need for a balanced and fair global energy transition, he
highlighted the importance of diversifying energy sources and noted significant investments in natural gas,
petrochemicals, and renewables. These efforts support economic development in emerging countries and
align with global climate objectives.[115][116] Additionally, he addressed shifting energy security concerns,
stating, "Energy security in the 70s, 80s, and 90s was more dependent on oil. Now, you get what happened
last year... It was gas. The future problem on energy security will not be oil. It will be renewables. And the
materials, and the mines."[116]
On 10 September 2008, with oil prices still near US$100/bbl, a production dispute occurred when the Saudis
reportedly walked out of a negotiating session where rival members voted to reduce OPEC output. Although
Saudi delegates officially endorsed the new quotas, they stated anonymously that they would not observe
them. The New York Times quoted one such delegate as saying: "Saudi Arabia will meet the market's
demand. We will see what the market requires and we will not leave a customer without oil. The policy has
not changed."[31] Over the next few months, oil prices plummeted into the $30s, and did not return to $100
until the Libyan Civil War in 2011.[117]
Is it reasonable for a highly efficient producer to reduce output, while the producer of poor
efficiency continues to produce? That is crooked logic. If I reduce, what happens to my market
share? The price will go up and the Russians, the Brazilians, US shale oil producers will take my
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As 2016 continued, the oil glut was partially trimmed with significant production offline in the United States,
Canada, Libya, Nigeria and China, and the basket price gradually rose back into the $40s. OPEC regained a
modest percentage of market share, saw the cancellation of many competing drilling projects, maintained the
status quo at its June conference, and endorsed "prices at levels that are suitable for both producers and
consumers", although many producers were still experiencing serious economic difficulties.[123][124][125]
In December 2017, Russia and OPEC agreed to extend the production cut of 1.8 mbpd until the end of
2018.[131][132]
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Qatar announced it would withdraw from OPEC effective 1 January 2019.[133] According to the New York
Times, this was a strategic response to the Qatar diplomatic crisis which Qatar was involved with Saudi
Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Egypt.[134]
On 29 June 2019, Russia again agreed with Saudi Arabia to extend by six to nine months the original
production cuts of 2018.[135]
In October 2019, Ecuador announced it would withdraw from OPEC on 1 January 2020 due to financial
problems facing the country.[136]
In December 2019, OPEC and Russia agreed one of the deepest output cuts so far to prevent oversupply in a
deal that will last for the first three months of 2020.[137]
Several pundits saw this as a Saudi-Russian price war, or game of chicken which cause the "other side to blink
first".[140][141][142] Saudi Arabia had in March 2020 $500 billion of foreign exchange reserves, while at that
time Russia's reserves were $580 billion. The debt-to-GDP ratio of the Saudis was 25%, while the Russian
ratio was 15%.[140] Another remarked that the Saudis can produce oil at as low a price as $3 per barrel,
whereas Russia needs $30 per barrel to cover production costs.[143] "To Russia, this price war is more than
just about regaining market share for oil," one analyst claims. "It’s about assaulting the Western economy,
especially America’s."[142] In order to ward of from the oil exporters price war which can make shale oil
production uneconomical, US may protect its crude oil market share by passing the NOPEC bill.[144]
Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia, represented by Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, maintains a
conciliatory stance towards the U.S. shale industry. He clarified that harming this sector was never their
intention, stating, "I made it clear that it was not on our radar or our intention to create any type of damage
to their industry... they will rise again from the ashes and thrive and prosper." He also noted that Saudi
Arabia is looking forward to a time when U.S. producers thrive once again in a market with higher oil
demand."[145]
In April 2020, OPEC and a group of other oil producers, including Russia, agreed to extend production cuts
until the end of July. The cartel and its allies agreed to cut oil production in May and June by 9.7 million
barrels a day, equal to around 10% of global output, in an effort to prop up prices, which had previously fallen
to record lows.[146]
oil the group would recognize the country of producing to be raised to 3.8 million barrels a day compared to
its previous 3.2 million barrels. A compromise deal allowed UAE to increase its maximum oil output to 3.65
million barrels a day.[149]
Under the terms of the agreement, Russia would increase its production from 11 million barrels to 11.5
million by May 2022 as well. All members would increase output by 400,000 barrels per day each month
starting in August to gradually offset the previous cuts made due to the COVID pandemic.[150] This
compromise, achieved where Saudi Arabia met the United Arab Emirates halfway, underscored OPEC+ unity.
UAE Energy Minister Suhail Al-Mazrouei thanked Saudi Arabia and Russia for facilitating dialogue leading to
an agreement. He stated, "The UAE is committed to this group and will always work with it." On the Saudi
side, Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman emphasized consensus building and stated that the
agreement strengthens OPEC+'s ties and ensures its continuity.[151]
Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 has altered the global oil trade. EU leaders tried to ban the
majority of Russian crude imports, but even prior to the official action imports to Northwest Europe were
down. More Russian oil is now sold outside of Europe, more specifically to India and China.[164]
In October 2022, key OPEC+ ministers agreed to oil production cuts of 2 million barrels per day, the first
production cut since 2020.[165] This led to renewed interest in the passage of NOPEC.[166]
against Moscow, rejecting the Saudi claim that the move was "purely economic".[174][175] According to a
report in The Intercept, sources and experts said that Saudi Arabia had sought even deeper cuts than Russia,
saying Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman wants to sway the 2022 United States elections in favor
of the GOP and the 2024 United States presidential election in favor of Donald Trump.[176] In contrast, Saudi
officials maintain that their decision to reduce oil production was driven by concerns over the global
economy, not political motivations. They state that the cuts were a response to the global economic situation
and low inventories, which could trigger a rally in oil prices.[177] Saudi Arabia affirms its actions by
emphasizing its strategic partnership with the U.S., focusing on peace, security, and prosperity.[178]
In 2023, the IEA predicted that demand for fossil fuels such as oil, natural gas and coal would reach an all-
time high by 2030.[179] OPEC rejected the IEA's forecast, saying "what makes such predictions so dangerous,
is that they are often accompanied by calls to stop investing in new oil and gas projects."[180][181]
Membership
Approval of a new member country requires agreement by three-quarters of OPEC's existing members,
including all five of the founders.[17] In October 2015, Sudan formally submitted an application to join,[186]
but it is not yet a member.
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Oil
Proven
production
Duration of Population Area reserves
Country Region (bbl/day,
membership[48][51] (2022)[187][188] (km2)[189][190] 2023)
(bbl,
[A][192] 2022)[A][193][190]
Republic
of the
Central Africa Since 2018[194] 5,970,000 342,000 261,986 1,810,000,000
Congo
1975–1995,
Gabon Central Africa 2,388,990 267,667 204,273 2,000,000,000
Since 2016
Kuwait
Middle East Since 1960[B] 4,268,870 17,820 2,709,958 101,500,000,000
United
Arab Middle East Since 1967[C] 9,441,130 83,600 3,393,506 113,000,000,000
Emirates
Venezuela
South America Since 1960[B] 28,301,700 916,445 750,506 303,220,000,000
OPEC+
A number of non-OPEC member countries also participate in the organisation's initiatives such as voluntary
supply cuts in order to further bind policy objectives between OPEC and non-OPEC members.[13] This loose
grouping of countries, known as OPEC+, includes Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Brunei, Brazil, Kazakhstan, Malaysia,
Mexico, Oman, Russia, South Sudan and Sudan.[195][196]
The collaboration among OPEC+ member countries has led to the establishment of the Declaration of
Cooperation (DoC) in 2017, which has been subsequently extended multiple times due to its remarkable
success. The DoC serves as a framework for cooperation and coordination between OPEC and non-OPEC
countries. Additionally, OPEC+ members engage in further cooperative efforts through the Charter of
Cooperation (CoC), which provides a platform for long-term collaboration. The CoC facilitates dialogue and
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the exchange of views on global oil and energy market conditions, with the overarching goal of ensuring a
secure energy supply and fostering lasting stability that benefits producers, consumers, investors, and the
global economy.[197]
Observers
Since the 1980s, representatives from Canada, Egypt, Mexico, Norway, Oman, Russia, and other oil-
exporting nations have attended many OPEC meetings as observers. This arrangement serves as an informal
mechanism for coordinating policies.[198]
New members
Uganda and Somaliland with exploration of crude oil may join OPEC in the future, with likely new production
dates of 2024-2025, expansion of OPEC with OPEC+ and new country's in exploration, where criteria of
OPEC Charter is production of crude oil.
Lapsed members
South 1973–1992,
Ecuador 18,001.000 283,560 475,274 8,273,000,000
America 2007–2020[200]
Southeast 1962–2008,
Indonesia 275,501,000 1,904,569 608,299 2,250,000,000
Asia Jan–Nov 2016
For countries that export petroleum at relatively low volume, their limited negotiating power as OPEC
members would not necessarily justify the burdens imposed by OPEC production quotas and membership
costs. Ecuador withdrew from OPEC in December 1992, because it was unwilling to pay the annual US$2
million membership fee and felt that it needed to produce more oil than it was allowed under its OPEC quota
at the time.[98] Ecuador then rejoined in October 2007 before leaving again in January 2020.[202] Ecuador's
Ministry of Energy and Non-Renewable Natural Resources released an official statement on 2 January 2020
which confirmed that Ecuador had left OPEC.[200] Similar concerns prompted Gabon to suspend
membership in January 1995;[99] it rejoined in July 2016.
In May 2008, Indonesia announced that it would leave OPEC when its membership expired at the end of that
year, having become a net importer of oil and being unable to meet its production quota.[109] It rejoined the
organization in January 2016,[48] but announced another "temporary suspension" of its membership at year-
end when OPEC requested a 5% production cut.[126]
Qatar left OPEC on 1 January 2019, after joining the organization in 1961, to focus on natural gas production,
of which it is the world's largest exporter in the form of liquified natural gas (LNG).[201][203]
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In an OPEC meeting in November 2023, Nigeria and Angola, the biggest oil producers in Sub-Saharan Africa,
expressed their discontent over OPEC's quotas which, according to them, blocked their efforts to ramp up oil
production and boost their foreign reserves. In December 2023, Angola announced it was leaving the OPEC
because it disagreed with the organization's production quotas scheme.[204]
Market information
As one area in which OPEC members have been able to cooperate productively over the decades, the
organisation has significantly improved the quality and quantity of information available about the
international oil market. This is especially helpful for a natural-resource industry whose smooth functioning
requires months and years of careful planning.
Since 2007, OPEC has published the "World Oil Outlook" (WOO)
annually, in which it presents a comprehensive analysis of the global oil
industry including medium- and long-term projections for supply and
demand.[206] OPEC also produces an "Annual Statistical Bulletin" Logo for JODI, in which OPEC is a
(ASB),[100] and publishes more-frequent updates in its "Monthly Oil founding member
Market Report" (MOMR)[207] and "OPEC Bulletin".[208]
The OPEC Reference Basket of Crudes has been an important benchmark for oil prices since 2000. It is
calculated as a weighted average of prices for petroleum blends from the OPEC member countries: Saharan
Blend (Algeria), Girassol (Angola), Djeno (Republic of the Congo) Rabi Light (Gabon), Iran Heavy (Islamic
Republic of Iran), Basra Light (Iraq), Kuwait Export (Kuwait), Es Sider (Libya), Bonny Light (Nigeria), Arab
Light (Saudi Arabia), Murban (UAE), and Merey (Venezuela).[211]
North Sea Brent Crude Oil is the leading benchmark for Atlantic basin crude oils and is used to price
approximately two-thirds of the world's traded crude oil. Other well-known benchmarks are West Texas
Intermediate (WTI), Dubai Crude, Oman Crude, and Urals oil.[212]
Spare capacity
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See also
Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries
Energy portal
Big Oil
Energy diplomacy
List of country groupings
List of intergovernmental organizations
Oligopoly
World oil market chronology from 2003
Gasoline
Peak oil
Peak gas
Arun gas field
Notes
A. One petroleum barrel (bbl) is approximately 42 U.S. gallons, or 159 liters, or 0.159 m3, varying slightly
with temperature. To put the production numbers in context, a supertanker typically holds
2,000,000 barrels (320,000 m3),[191] and the world's current production rate would take approximately 56
years to exhaust the world's current proven reserves.
B. The five founding members attended the first OPEC conference in September 1960.
C. The UAE was founded in December 1971. Its OPEC membership originated with the Emirate of Abu
Dhabi.
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Further reading
Ansari, Dawud. (2017) "OPEC, Saudi Arabia, and the shale revolution: Insights from equilibrium
modelling and oil politics." Energy Policy 111 (2017): 166–178. online ([Link]
2613/1/MPRA_paper_82613.pdf)
Claes, Dag Harald, and Giuliano Garavini eds. (2019) Handbook of OPEC and the Global Energy Order:
Past, Present and Future Challenges (Routledge 2019) excerpt ([Link]
EC-Global-Energy-Order/dp/0367195658/)
Colgan, Jeff D. (2014) "The emperor has no clothes: The limits of OPEC in the global oil market."
International Organization 68.3 (2014): 599–632. online ([Link]
ds/2013/08/[Link])
Dudley, Bob. (2019) "BP energy outlook." Report–BP Energy Economics–London: UK 9 (2019) online (htt
ps://[Link]/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/[Link]).
Economou, Andreas, and Bassam Fattouh. (2021) "OPEC at 60: the world with and without OPEC."
OPEC Energy Review 45.1 (2021): 3-28. online ([Link]
5), a historical perspective from 1990 to 2018.
Evans, John (1986). OPEC, Its Member States and the World Energy Market. ISBN 978-0-8103-2148-9.
Fesharaki, Fereidun (1983). OPEC, the Gulf, and the World Petroleum Market: A Study in Government
Policy and Downstream Operations. ISBN 978-0-367-28193-9.
Garavini, Giuliano. (2019). The Rise and Fall of OPEC in the Twentieth Century ([Link]
cademic/product/the-rise-and-fall-of-opec-in-the-twentieth-century-9780198832836?cc=us&lang=en&).
Oxford University Press.
Gately, Dermot. (1984) "A ten-year retrospective: OPEC and the world oil market." Journal of Economic
Literature 22.3 (1984): 1100–1114. summary of scholarly literature online ([Link]
~twod/oil-ns/articles/research-oil/dermot_gatley_opec_10-yr_pricing_oil_sep84.pdf)
Licklider, Roy (1988). "The Power of Oil: The Arab Oil Weapon and the Netherlands, the United Kingdom,
Canada, Japan, and the United States" ([Link]
[Link]/92db/[Link]) (PDF). International Studies
Quarterly. 32 (2): 205–226. doi:10.2307/2600627 ([Link] JSTOR 2600627
([Link] S2CID 155591645 ([Link]
91645). Archived from the original ([Link]
[Link]) (PDF) on 18 February 2020.
Monbiot, George (26 June 2019). "Shell is not a green saviour. It's a planetary death machine" ([Link]
[Link]/commentisfree/2019/jun/26/shell-not-green-saviour-death-machine-greenwash-oil-ga
s). The Guardian. Retrieved 12 March 2023.
Painter, David S (2014). "Oil and geopolitics: The oil crises of the 1970s and the cold war" ([Link]
[Link]/ssoar/bitstream/handle/document/40394/ssoar-hsr-2014-4-painter-Oil_and_geopolitics_the_oil.pd
f?sequence=1). Historical Social Research/Historische Sozialforschung. 186–208.
Pickl, Matthias J. (2019) "The renewable energy strategies of oil majors–From oil to energy?." Energy
Strategy Reviews 26 (2019): 100370. online ([Link]
X19300574)
Ratti, Ronald A., and Joaquin L. Vespignani. (2015) "OPEC and non-OPEC oil production and the global
economy." Energy Economics 50 (2015): 364–378. online ([Link]
pii/S0140988314003053)
Skeet, Ian (1988). OPEC: Twenty-five Years of Prices and Politics. Cambridge UP. ISBN 978-0-521-
40572-0 online ([Link]
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Van de Graaf, Thijs. (2020) "Is OPEC dead? Oil exporters, the Paris agreement and the transition to a
post-carbon world." in Beyond market assumptions: Oil price as a global institution (Springer, Cham,
2020) pp. 63–77. online ([Link]
Wight, David M. Oil Money: Middle East Petrodollars and the Transformation of US Empire, 1967-1988
(Cornell University Press, 20210 Website: [Link] online reviews ([Link]
Woolfson, Charles, and Matthias Beck. (2019) "Corporate social responsibility in the international oil
industry." in Corporate social responsibility failures in the oil industry. (Routledge, 2019) pp. 1–14. online
([Link]
nsibility_in_the_International_Oil_Industry/links/5d922415a6fdcc2554a95f81/Corporate-Social-Responsib
[Link])
Yergin, Daniel (1991). The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money, and Power. ISBN 978-1-4391-1012-6
online ([Link]
Yergin, Daniel (2011). The quest : energy, security and the remaking of the modern world (2011) online (ht
tps://[Link]/details/questenergysecur0000yerg)
External links
Official website ([Link]
The OPEC Fund for International Development official website ([Link]
[Link] 35/35