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STAT 202 Assignment 2 Overview

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13 views2 pages

STAT 202 Assignment 2 Overview

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Kaphenzu World
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© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Department of Mathematics and Statistical Sciences

STAT 202: Statistical Theory I


Assignment 2: 29th October 2024

Due date: 18th November 2024. Total Marks: 60


Answer all questions.

Question 1
X is a random variable that follows the Poisson distribution of the p.m.f

λx e−λ
f (x) = , x = 0, 1, 2, ...,
x!
where λ > 0.
Without using the moment-generating function method, show that;

(a) the mean of X is given λ; [10 Marks]

(b) the variance of X is given by λ. Hint: determine the second factorial moment
E[X(X − 1)]. [10 Marks]

Question 2
Suppose that the percentage of Batswana drivers who are multitaskers (e.g, talk
on cell phones, eat a snack, or text message at the same time they are driving) is
approximately 80%. In a random sample of n=20 drivers, let X equal the number
of multitaskers.

(a) How is X distributed? [2 marks]

(b) Give the values of the;

(i) mean of X; [3 marks]


(ii) variance of X; [3 marks]
(iii) standard deviation of X. [2 marks]

(c) Find

(i) P (X = 15), [2 marks]


(ii) P (X > 15), [6 marks]
(iii) P (X ≤ 15). [2 marks]

1
Question 3
A random variable X has a normal distribution with a p.d.f defined by

1 1 2
f (x) = √ e− 2σ2 (x−µ) , −∞ < x < ∞,
σ 2π
where µ and σ are parameters satisfying −∞ < µ < ∞ and −∞ < σ < ∞.

(a) Show that the moment generating function (m.g.f) of a normal distribution
variable is given by
σ 2 t2
M (t) = eut+ 2 ,
[6 Marks]

(b) and thus show that;

(i) E(X) = µ; [2 marks]


(ii) V ar(X) = σ 2 . [2 marks]

Question 4
If Z ∼ N (0, 1), find

(a) P (0.53 < Z ≤ 2.06); [4 marks]

(b) P (|Z| < 1.96); [4 marks]

(c) and c for P (Z > c) = 0.05. [2 marks]

Common questions

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To find the critical value c such that P(Z>c)=0.05 for a standard normal distribution, locate the z-score that corresponds to 1-0.05=0.95 cumulative probability from the left. This is typically 1.645, as the remaining 5% or P(Z>c)=0.05 lies in the right tail .

The p.d.f of a normal distribution is defined as f(x) = (1/σ√(2π))e^(-(1/2σ^2)(x−µ)^2), where µ is the mean, affecting the center of the distribution, and σ is the standard deviation, affecting the spread. The distribution is symmetric about the mean .

To determine the variance of a Poisson distributed random variable X, you find the second factorial moment E[X(X−1)]. For a Poisson distribution with parameter λ, the second factorial moment is E[X(X−1)] = λ^2. The variance is then computed using the relation Var(X) = E[X^2] - (E[X])^2. Since E[X^2] = λ^2 + λ for a Poisson distribution, and E[X] = λ, we find that Var(X) = λ^2 + λ - λ^2 = λ .

To compute P(|Z|<1.96), calculate P(-1.96<Z<1.96) for a standard normal variable. This is equivalent to finding the area under the standard normal curve between -1.96 and 1.96, which is 0.95. This probability corresponds to the central 95% of the normal distribution .

For a binomial distribution with parameters n=20 and p=0.8, the mean E(X) is np = 16, the variance Var(X) is np(1-p) = 3.2, and the standard deviation is sqrt(Var(X)) = sqrt(3.2) ≈ 1.79 .

For independent random variables, the variance of their sum is the sum of their variances due to Var(X+Y) = Var(X) + Var(Y) when X and Y are independent. This principle is crucial in deducing the overall variance in complex distributions where summation of random variables naturally occurs .

The random variable X, representing the number of multitasking Batswana drivers in a sample of 20, is binomially distributed with n=20 and p=0.8 .

Second moments, such as variance and second factorial moment, are central to understanding the spread and dispersion of distributions. They provide insights into variability and are essential for estimating the reliability and stability of statistical models. Accurate calculation of higher moments also influences decision-making in various probabilistic contexts .

The m.g.f of a normal distribution is M(t) = e^(µt + σ^2t^2/2). The mean, E(X), is derived by taking the first derivative with respect to t and evaluating at t=0, resulting in µ. The variance, Var(X), is found by taking the second derivative of the m.g.f at t=0 and subtracting [E(X)]^2, which simplifies to σ^2 .

The normal distribution's symmetry around its mean µ, characterized by its bell-shaped curve, facilitates the calculation of probabilities for ranges around µ. This property allows the use of standard normal distributions and z-scores to compute probabilities and confidence intervals, utilizing the balance of probabilities in either direction from the mean .

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