Project Management
Project Management
Management
Editor
Authors
CHAPTER 2
[Link]. Zühal KARTAL
CHAPTER 3
[Link]. Gülşah HANÇERLİOĞULLARI KÖKSALMIŞ
CHAPTER 4
Emrah KÖKSALMIŞ
CHAPTER 5
[Link]. Ilgın ACAR
Gökrem TEKİR
CHAPTER 7
[Link]. Aydın SİPAHİOĞLU
T.C. ANADOLU UNIVERSITY PUBLICATION NO: 3956
OPEN EDUCATION FACULTY PUBLICATION NO: 2741
Instructional Designer
Research Assistant Aykut Yakar
Proof Reading
[Link]. Ali Merç
Assessment Editor
Lecturer Betül Hacıköylü
Graphic Designers
Ayşegül Dibek
Gülşah Karabulut
PROJECT MANAGEMENT
E-ISBN
978-975-06-3661-5
iii
Project Resource
CHAPTER 3 CHAPTER 4
Scheduling Management
iv
The Project
Project Risk
BÖLÜM 5 Manager and the CHAPTER 6
Management
Project Team
v
Project
CHAPTER 7 Evaluation and CHAPTER 8 Project Closure
Control
Introduction ................................................... 151 Introduction ................................................... 175
Importance of Project Evaluating ................ 151 Project Closure ............................................... 175
Fundamental Terminology of Earned Project Closing Activities ...................... 175
Value Analysis ................................................ 155 How Can Teams Learn from Projects?.... 176
Subsidiary Indicators for Project Project Closure Plan and Checklist ............... 177
Evaluation....................................................... 164 Developing the Closure Plan ................ 179
Project Closure Plan .............................. 179
Benefits .................................................. 181
The Project Closure Report ........................... 183
Using the Project Closure Report ........ 184
Benefits .................................................. 184
The Postmortem Review .............................. 185
Conducting the Postmortem Review... 185
Using the Postmortem Review ............ 186
Variations ............................................... 187
Benefits .................................................. 187
vi
Preface
Dear Students,
Project management plays an important role The project management book was published
in many companies within the variety of fields as a result of the devoted efforts of the
such as construction, information technology, authors. I would like to thank the authors
engineering, architecture, new product and of chapters for their valuable contributions,
service development and etc. Thus, at any level patience and efforts in the preparation of this
of the organization, it is almost impossible to book. I also would like to express my gratitude
imagine someone who cannot benefit from a to all the staff of Anadolu University for their
degree of expertise in the project management contribution in making the book complete
process. Project management has been the and ready to read.
management of technology, people, culture,
stakeholders and various other elements We hope the content of this book will
necessary to successfully complete a project. be interesting, valuable and useful for all
The role of projects in these organizations students and for those interested in Project
is getting more and more attention. Hence, Management.
Projects are the main tool for achieving and
implementing the strategic objectives of
the organization. Project management has Editor
developed to be a professional discipline [Link]. Ilgın ACAR
having its own knowledge and skills.
Although there are project management
books that focus on different areas such as
engineering, architecture, etc., this book
is compiled from information that has
been made especially suitable for business
management students.
This book’s contents start with the brief
introduction of project and project
management. In the second and third chapters
the definition of project, the project plan and
scheduling project are taken into consideration
in detail. The fourth chapter deals with the
resource management, since the resources are
the crucial elements for a project. The fifth
chapter explores the project manager and its
roles. The projec555t team is also explained in
the fifth chapter. The sixth chapter deals with
the risk management. How to evaluate and
control the project is examined in the seventh
chapter. Finally, the last chapter introduces
the closure of the project.
vii
Introduction to
Chapter 1 Project Management
After completing this chapter, you will be able to;
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Learning Outcomes
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Project Management
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Introduction to Project Management
Figure 1.1 SpaceShipOne (Smithsonian National Air and Space Museum, n.d)
In below, Olympic Torch Relay Project is described in detail. The other examples of real-life projects
are summarized in Table 1.1.
Further Reading
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Project Management
In this section, attributes of a project firstly are provided and then it is explained differences between
program and project. Lastly, definition of product life cycle and its phases are described.
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Attributes of a Project
A project is usually a one-time activity with a well-defined set of expectations and objectives. The
fundamental attributes of a project are given as follows:
1. A project states certain specific objectives that can be defined in terms of schedule and cost. For
example, the objective of a project might be to plan a wedding in six months and within a budget
of $8,000. It is expected that the wedding will meet the performance predefined by the bride and
groom.
2. As stated in the definition of project, projects are temporary activities. They have a definite
beginning and ending point, and they can last minutes, hours, days, weeks, months, or years. For
example, a raw food workshop might be organized between January 25 and February 3. However,
a bridge project for Bosphorus can take four years.
3. A project may be unique or may have some unique elements. Especially, megaprojects like Panama
Canal are unique since they have never been done before. Other projects like building a shopping
mall or an apartment building include established set of routines. On the other hand, these projects
are also unique because of the customization.
4. A project uses various resources to conduct
project activities. Such resources can involve
people, equipment, material, machines and
facilities. For example, a bridge project may Budget Limit
Due date
include resources such as machines, concrete,
labor and so on.
Each attribute of a project is directly linked and
each one affects the other two. For example, extending Required
of the type and characteristics of expected outcomes Performance
may need more time or more resources.
As illustrated in Figure 1.2, outcomes of a project
are generally evaluated by three factors: cost, schedule,
and performance. The cost of a project is the budget
which represents financial limits that are needed for
the project implementation. It might include labor Project Objective
costs, material procurement costs, and operating Figure 1.2 The Relationship between Project Objective
costs. For example, if the project is the organization and Three Main Factors of a Project
of a conference, the cost might cover rental of facility
and equipment, food, salaries of personnel, and so on. The project schedule is the timetable that shows in
detail when each activity should begin and end. For example, if you are planning a wedding, invitations are
sent out six weeks before the wedding. Finally, the last one is required performance. It is expected that the
outcomes of the project meet the requirements of the customers. For example, in a new race car project,
the drivers expect high quality engine performance, safety, ergonomic driver’s seat and so on. Otherwise,
it will cause unsatisfied drivers.
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Project Management
Time
Figure 1.3 Phases of Project Life Cycle
1. Initiation Phase: This first phase of project life cycle involves identification and specification of the
project. Project objectives and requirements are determined. The project team members are formed
and their tasks are assigned.
2. Planning Phase: In this phase, the level of effort rises. More formal set of plans are established
to determine when the project will be scheduled, what the budget will be and what quality level
should be maintained. Then, individual tasks and requirements of the project are defined.
3. Performing Phase: A major part of the project occurs in this stage. The performing phase includes
the stages of design, production and implementation. It can be referred as progression through
which a system moves from being an idea to an end item. This phase results in the accomplishment
of project objective in a quality manner within budget and on time.
4. Closure Phase: This phase can be referred as the “termination” phase. It includes certain close-out
activities to be carried out such as completing all payments, releasing project equipment/materials,
and transferring all related documents. In addition to these activities, this phase involves customer
training and obtaining feedback from customers about whether their expectations are satisfied.
Learning Outcomes
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Introduction to Project Management
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Project Management
• Rapid Development of Third World and must also guarantee that appropriate trade-
Closed Economies: With the fall of Soviet offs are made between the time, cost and
Union and Communist Asian countries’ performance requirements of the project.
opening to world, people in these countries 2. Project Team: Team members are people
exploded the demand of customer whom the project manager directs. Based
goods and infrastructure development. on project requirements, the magnitude of
Western companies had a very big chance the team size may change and the team may
for introducing their products to new separate after the project is finished.
markets. Within all these processes, project 3. Project Methodology: The project manager
management helped a lot for finding and project team carry out the project work
new distribution channels and global in phases according to a “project management
operations. These big changes in the world methodology.” When a project continues
created a huge market for construction and from one phase to the next, the project
telecommunications, especially in eastern management methodology helps the project
Europe and Asian countries who were manager to (1) identify the required project
trying to reconstruct their industry. tasks, (2) identify the required resources and
costs, (3) establish priorities, (4) plan and
The Fundamentals of Project update schedules, (5) monitor and control
Management end-item quality and performance, and (6)
measure project performance. (Kerzner, 2003)
Three main attributes of project management
distinguish it from traditional forms of
management: project manager, project team, and
project methodology (Nicholas, & Steyn, 2008). According to the Project Management Institute
1. Project Manager: The most important (PMI®), the term project stakeholder refers to
characteristic of project management is the “an individual, group, or organization, who
role of the project manager who is responsible may affect, be affected by, or perceive itself to
for planning, directing, and combining be affected by a decision, activity, or outcome
the efforts of all project stakeholders to of a project”. The primary stakeholders are
achieve the project goal. Project managers customers, end users, and builders.
Learning Outcomes
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Introduction to Project Management
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Project Management
Learning Outcomes
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Introduction to Project Management
A project is a one-time special effort to accomplish a specific goal. There are four fundamental attributes
of a project: a well-defined objective, specific time frame, uniqueness and resources. Each attribute of a
project affects the other three. The outcomes of a project are generally evaluated by three factors: cost,
schedule and performance. The cost of a project is the budget that describes financial limits. The project
schedule is the timetable that shows certain activity times. The last outcome is to meet the requirements
of the customers.
The terms program and project are alternatively used due to their similarities. The main differences are
Summary
associated with life span and objective. A program has more comprehensive time period and involves
several projects that have common goals and resources.
The product life cycle refers that projects have a specific time frame and that level of effort changes during
the life of the project. Project life cycle includes four distinct phases: initiation, planning, performing
and closure.
Project management involves planning and organization of a company’s resources to accomplish a specific
goal. It is a system approach to management. A project is a system of components such as activities,
resources, stakeholders, schedules, budgets, and plans. The aim of project management is to integrate
the components to complete the project goal. There are three main attributes of project management
that distinguish it from traditional forms of management: project manager, project team, and project
methodology.
Project management has a rapid growth and interest in recent years. Some of the reasons why importance
of project management is increasing can be given as follows: Compression of the product life cycle, global
competition, knowledge explosion, corporate downsizing, increased customer focus, rapid development
of Third World, and Closed Economies.
According to Project Management Institute, project management consists of five sets of process groups.
These groups are given as follows: Initiating process group, planning process group, executing process
group, monitoring and controlling process group, and closing process group. In initiating process
group, initial scope and estimated budget of the project are clearly described and financial resources are
determined. Project manager is also assigned and project charters are prepared in this process group.
Planning process group involves detailing the project scope, time frames, resources, and risks. The project
scope is also divided and subdivided into major pieces. Project management plan is defined. Creating Work
Breakdown Structure, a list of all activities and their sequence, a detailed project schedule, estimation of
cost and determination of budget are also provided. Executing process group includes the process that
is the implementation of the activities defined in the project management plan to meet the required
performance. A large portion of the budget is expanded in this process group. Monitoring and controlling
process group consists of controlling and reviewing the performance of the projects. To accomplish
effectively, this process group is required to measure the actual process and compare it to planning progress
on time, and take corrective action immediately, if necessary. Closing process group includes finalizing all
activities across all of the management process groups to formally complete the project.
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1 ………… involves detailing the project 7 Which of the following is false about the
scope, time frames, resources, and risks. project life cycle?
a. Initiating process group a. A major part of the project occurs in the
b. Planning process group performing phase.
c. Executing process group b. Project life cycle consists of five distinct phases:
d. Monitoring and controlling process group identification of a need, initiation, planning,
Test Yourself
e. Closing process group performing, and closure.
c. Performing phase includes the stages of design,
production and implementation.
2 Which of the following is not an example of d. The first phase of project life cycle involves
a project? identification and specification of a project.
a. Building a shopping mall e. Closure phase can be referred as the
b. Hosting a conference “termination” phase.
c. Manufacturing of a washing machine
d. Developing a programming language 8 Which of the following is not one of the
e. Planning a wedding reasons why the importance of project management
is increasing?
3 Which of the following is one of the a. Compression of the Product Life Cycle
evaluation factors of a project outcomes?
b. Global Competition
a. Project budget b. Project team c. Knowledge Explosion
c. Project manager d. Project sponsor d. Corporate Downsizing
e. Project plan e. Slow Development of Third World Economies
4 In which of the following phases of a product 9 Which of the following is not included in an
life cycle, level of effort reaches peak during the efficient planning process?
project?
a. Project management plan
a. Initiation b. Planning b. Work breakdown structure
c. Performing d. Identification of a need c. A detailed project schedules
e. Closure d. Project charter
e. Estimation of cost
5 Which of the following processes is included
in executing process group? 10 In which of the following the project
a. Monitoring and controlling project work management processes are given in correct order?
b. Performing integrated change control a. Initiating - Planning – Executing - Monitoring
c. Verifying scope and Controlling - Closing
d. Controlling costs b. Initiating - Monitoring and Controlling -
e. Acquiring project team Planning - Executing - Closing
c. Initiating - Planning - Monitoring and
6 ………. covers a long time period and Controlling - Executing - Closing
includes several parallel or sequential projects that d. Planning - Initiating - Executing - Monitoring
share common goals and resources. and Controlling - Closing
a. Program b. Project e. Planning - Executing - Initiating - Monitoring
c. Project life cycle d. Project methodology and Controlling - Closing
e. Project management process
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Introduction to Project Management
1. b If your answer is wrong, please review the 6. a If your answer is wrong, please review the
“Project Management Process” section. “What Is a Project?” section.
Answer Key for “Test Yourself”
2. c If your answer is wrong, please review the 7. b If your answer is wrong, please review the
“What Is a Project?” section. “What Is a Project?” section.
3. a If your answer is wrong, please review the 8. e If your answer is wrong, please review the
“What Is a Project?” section. “Project Management” section.
4. c If your answer is wrong, please review the 9. d If your answer is wrong, please review the
“What Is a Project?” section. “Project Management Process” section.
5. e If your answer is wrong, please review the 10. a If your answer is wrong, please review the
“Project Management Process” section. “Project Management Process” section.
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Project processes are not project phases. While the processes for managing
the projects are probably the same across industries, project life cycle varies
self review 3 industry wise. For example, project life cycles might consist of feasibility
study, concept design, build, test for complex, and large projects. All of the
project processes would normally be repeated for this project.
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Introduction to Project Management
References
Meredith J. R., & Mantel S. J. (2000). Project Kerzner H. (2003). Project Management: A Systems
Management Approach: A Managerial Approach Approach to Planning, Scheduling, and Controlling
(4th ed.). NY, USA: John Wiley and Sons.. (8th ed.). NJ,USA: John Wiley and Sons.
Nicholas J. M., & Steyn H. (2012). Project Management Project Management Institute. (2008). A Guide to
for Engineering, Business and Technology (4th ed.). the Project Management Body of Knowledge. PA,
NY, USA: Routledge. USA: Project Management Institute.
Gray C. F., & Larson E. W. (2011). Project Management
(5th ed.). New Delhi.
Online References
Smithsonian National Air and Space Museum (n.d.). SpaceShipOne [photograph]. Retrieved from https://
[Link]/collection-objects/spaceshipone
16
Defining Project and
Chapter 2 Developing a Project Plan
After completing this chapter, you will be able to;
1 2
Learning Outcomes
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Project Management
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Defining Project and Developing a Project Plan
Third, a project should be non-routine and time, cost and quality/performance grid (Kerzner,
includes considerable uniqueness. This feature is 2003). In order to satisfy customer needs, the
often characterized by the first time of performing trade-offs between these triple constraints have to
a job/process such as first MARS landing with be balanced. Obviously, these constraints bring a
NASA orbiter and development of the first laptop. lot responsibility and effort to the project than we
In order to accomplish something for the first mostly encounter in many jobs.
time, it is clear that cutting-edge technology as well
as good problem solving techniques are required to Ordinary Work vs. Project
overcome unsolved problems. However, to finish a
What is not a Project? A project is not related
project, some processes and repetitive actions might
with every day’s routine and repetitive/ordinary
be repeated. Therefore, uniqueness is not an either/or
work. While the routine work, often called Business
issue but a matter of degree (Larson, & Gray, 2008).
As Usual (BAU), occurs/repeats in cycles, a project
Lastly, a project has specific time, cost and is performed just once, and when the desired result
performance requirements. These constraints is reached, the project ends.
are called the triple constraints. The success of
In Table 2.1 some examples of ordinary work
a project is defined as getting the job done on
and projects are given.
Learning Outcomes
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Project Management
In Figure 2.1, the elements of the Scope Defining the Project Scope
Management are shown. There are three phases of Scope definition is the process of developing
Scope Management. The first one is the initiation/ a detailed description of the project and product.
defining phase, where the objectives and goals While preparing the project scope, the main
of the project are defined, tasks and resources decision would be what is and is not included in
are allocated, and budget & time constraints are the project. Another definition of project scope is
established, and lastly the limitations of the project the work that needs to be accomplished to deliver
are identified. a product, service, or result with the specified
The second phase of Scope Management is features and functions (PMI®, 2008).
to generate Scope Plan which includes the work Clearly, project scope is the keystone engaging
breakdown structure and writing a scope statement. all elements of a project plan. To guarantee that
Scope statement clearly indicates what activities are scope definition is complete, the following checklist
involved in the project as well as the limitations of can be used:
the project.
a. Project objective
A written scope statement is necessary for both b. Deliverables
projects and subprojects. For example, an engineering c. Milestones
firm contracted to design a petroleum processing d. Technical Requirements
plant must have a scope statement for defining the e. Limits and Exclusions
boundaries of its work on the design subproject. The f. Reviews with customer (Larson, & Gray,
scope statement forms the basis for an agreement 2008).
between the project team and the project customer Project objective: In order to satisfy customer
by identifying both the project objectives and the requirements, the total objective of the project
major project deliverables (PMI®, 2008). needs to be defined at the first step. The project
Scope Change Controlling is regarding to objective gives answers to the “what, when and
the operations whether the project scope is how much” questions.
required to be changed when some modifications Deliverables: Deliverables define the expected
are appropriate. The aim of the performance results over the course of the project. For example,
measurement in this stage is to evaluate the degree deliverables in the early design phase of a project
of any variations/fluctuations which happen during might be a list of [Link] second phase
the project. deliverables could be software coding and a
technical manual. The next phase could be to test
important
prototypes. The final phase could be the final tested
and approved software.
An important part of scope change Milestone: A significant point or event in the
controlling is to determine what is causing project. A milestone is a point with zero duration
the variance and to decide if the variance that indicates a cumulative sequence of events
requires corrective action (PMI®, 2008). while performing the project. It also symbolizes
an important achievement in a project. Because
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Defining Project and Developing a Project Plan
beginning and finish date of a milestone is highly related to a task’s beginning and finish date, task
association is the major characteristic of a milestone. For example, coding complete and finished by May
1 of the same year. Some examples of milestones can be seen in Figure 2.2.
Technical requirements: A product or service will have solver will be installed to the server, but training
technical requirements to guarantee full performance. money is not included.
For example, a technical requirement for a laptop Reviews with customer: To complete the scope
might be the ability to accept 120-volt alternating checklist, a review with the client should be done.
current or 240-volt direct current without any adapters The principle issue here is the understanding and
or user switches. Another example would be the 112 compromising on the anticipations. Are deliverables
emergency service, which has the ability of identifying defining completely what the client desires? Does the
caller’s phone number and the location of the phone. client get what he/she wants? Does the project include
Limits and exclusions: In all projects, the project budget, time and performance requirements? Are the
scope and its borders/limits should be defined project limits and exclusions defined properly? If a clear
properly. Otherwise, to solve the problems, communication in all of these are performed, one could
resources and time on the wrong issues can be avoid claims and misunderstandings at the end of the
overly consumed. GPS for a drone system will be project (Larson, & Gray, 2008).
outsourced; to build the new apartment you have a If the project scope expands in terms of
budget of $1,000,000; in a TÜBİTAK project you requirements, specifications and priorities, then
can have only two graduate students, etc. On the this project may expose scope creep. If the scope
other hand, a project scope should also define what statement can be constituted conscientiously at the
is not included in the project. For example, cancer first stage, scope creep will not be a problem. A
data should be analyzed by the hospital’s data widely written scope statement might cause scope
scientists; a swimming pool should be built but creep. Scope creep generally brings cost overruns
maintenance service is not included; commercial and possible delays.
internet
[Link]
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Further Reading
Case: The Failed Launch Of www. • Lack of relevant project experience. HHS
[Link] employees and managers had a lot of
The US Government’s failed launch of the experience with private insurance markets
[Link] website highlights issues with and maintaining large government projects,
integrating technology into a large bureaucratic but did not have the required experience in
organization. The affordable care act (increasing technology product launches. Key technical
healthcare access to all Americans), signed by positions were unfilled and project managers
President Obama on 23 March 2010, required that had little knowledge on the amount of work
the United States Department of Health and Human required and typical product development
Services (HHS) launched [Link] on 1 processes leaving very little time to test and
October 2013. This website is going to be the official troubleshoot the website.
health care exchange that would allow residents to • Lack of leadership. There was no formal
compare prices of health care plans, identify if they division of responsibilities in place between
qualify for federal subsidies, and enroll in a chosen the many government offices involved which
plan. The Affordable Care Act gave states the right caused a delay in key decision making or a
to create their own healthcare exchange or opt-in to lack of communication when key decisions
the federal exchange ([Link]). were made. For example, the contractor
[Link] was officially launched on 1 responsible for the log on system estimated a
October 2013 covering residents of 36 states that low demand because the initial website plan
did not create and manage their own healthcare included the option to shop for products
exchange. Problems with the website were without creating an account or logging
apparent immediately. High website demand in. However, due to technical delays, that
(250,000 users [5 times more than expected]) functionality was removed from the initial
caused the website to go down within 2 hours website launch (so all users would need to
of launch. While website capacity was initially log in) without increasing capacity.
cited as the main issue, additional problems • Schedule pressure. Since the launch date was
arose mainly due to the website design not mandated in the Affordable Care Act, HHS
being complete. Users cited issues such as drop employees were pressured to launch on time
down menus not being complete and insurance regardless of completion or the amount
companies cited issues with user data not being (and results) of testing and troubleshooting
correct or complete when it reached them. performed.
In addition, the websites login feature This debacle is an example of poor project
(which is the first step to accessing the website) coordination and communication among
could handle even less traffic than the main key stakeholders, coupled with the risks of
website which created a huge bottleneck. Due overpromising a new system, trying to coordinate
to poor project planning, this same log in massive systems to a fixed deadline, and failing
method was also used by website technicians, to understand the complexities they were trying
making it extremely difficult for them to log in to address. While memory of specific elements
and troubleshoot problems. A total of 6 users of this disaster may fade over time, its lessons
completed and submitted their applications and deserve to be brought up every time a project of
selected a health insurance plan on the first day. this sort is contemplated
Root Causes
The myriad of problems experienced during the Source: HBS Digital Initiative, 2016; Pinto, 2016
websites rollout were due to several factors, primarily:
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Defining Project and Developing a Project Plan
Project
Deliverable 2.1 Deliverable 2.2 Deliverable 2.3 Deliverable 4.1 Deliverable 4.m
Figure 2.3 Sample Work Breakdown Structure with Some Branches Decomposed Down Through Work Packages
(PMI®, 2008).
important
When a deliverable cannot break down into any further subdeliverable, then you have a work package.
Seven important points about defining a project work package are as follows (Pinto, 2016):
• The work package typically forms the lowest level in the WBS. Although some projects may employ
the term subtask, the majority leave work package–level activities as the most basic WBS step.
• A work package has a deliverable result. Each work package should have its own outcome. One
work package does not summarize or modify another. Together, work packages identify all the
work that must be contributed to complete the project.
• A work package has one owner assigned—a project team member who will be most responsible for
that package’s completion. Although other team members can provide support as needed, only one
person should be directly answerable for the work package.
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• A work package may be considered by its ethical behaviour and also adhere to the
owner as a project in itself. If we adopt the accepted behaviours and procedures of the
notion that all work packages, because they organization.
are of finite length and budget and have • The optimal size of a work package may be
a specific deliverable, can be considered expressed in terms of labour hours, calendar
miniature projects, each package owner can time, cost, report period, and risks. All
view his activities as a micro project.
work packages should be capable of
• A work package may include several being tracked, meaning that they must be
milestones. A milestone is defined as a structured to allow the project manager to
significant event in the project. Depending monitor their progress. Progress is usually a
on the size and complexity of a project measurable concept, delineated by metrics
work package, it may contain a number of such as time and cost.
significant checkpoints or milestones that Let’s think about the projects as the rolling up
determine its progress toward completion.
of all other smaller work packages. This hierarchical
• A work package should fit organizational structure will help to assess the organizations in
procedures and culture. Tasks undertaken terms of cost, time and technical performance over
to support project outcomes should be in the course of the project life cycle. A time and cost
accord with the overall cultural norms of estimate for each element of the WBS is required in
the project organization. Performing a work a project. With the help of this kind of estimation,
package should never lead a team member a project can be easily planned according to the
to violate company policy (either codified schedule and budget constraints. This also helps to
or implicit); that is, assigned activities measure the performance of the project in terms of
must pass both relevant legal standards for the organization units and work accomplishment.
Level 1 DRONE
SYSTEM
Level 2
Operations Training Drones Test&
Management Evaluationests
In Figure 2.4, a simplified WBS of a drone system project is shown. Figure 2.4. shows a simplified
WBS development of a drone system project. A deliverable service or product is established at the first
level. The first level is related to top management. Note here how the levels of the structure can represent
information for different levels of management. For example, level 1 information represents the total
project objective (developing a drone system) and is useful to top management; levels 2, 3, and 4 are
suitable for middle management, and level 5 is for first managers.
Level 2 shows a partial list of deliverables necessary to establish the drone system. One deliverable
is the operations management, which is made up of three sub-deliverables: registration management,
traffic management, and safety management. The other deliverables are training, data, drones, and lastly
test & evaluation. Drones require level 4 and level 5 subdeliverables. Level 4 subdeliverables include
data communication, navigation system, trajectory planner, and obstacle planner. For example, navigation
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Defining Project and Developing a Project Plan
planner is composed of three other subdeliverables: according to the technical specifications (Larson,
global positioning system, display, and other sensor & Gray, 2008).
deliverables. These are the subdeliverables that To review, each package in the WBS:
represent the lowest manageable elements of the
1. defines work (what),
project.
2. identifies time to complete a work package
Each subdeliverable requires work packages that (how long),
will be completed by an assigned organizational 3. identifies a time-phased budget to complete
unit. The lowest level of the WBS is called a a work package (cost),
work package. In Figure 2.4., some examples of 4. identifies resources needed to complete a
work packages (WP) are shown. Work packages work package (how much),
are short-duration tasks that have a definite start 5. dentifies a single person responsible for
and stop point, consume resources, and represent units of work (who), and
cost. Each work package is a control point. A work 6. identifies monitoring points for measuring
package manager is responsible for seeing that the progress (how well).
package is completed on time, within budget, and
Learning Outcomes
2 To define the project scope management and create a work breakdown structure
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Project Management
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Defining Project and Developing a Project Plan
• Parallel activities: These are activities that can take place at the same time, if the manager wishes.
However, the manager may choose to have parallel activities not occurred simultaneously. In Figure
2.5.d., X and Y are parallel activities that can take place at the same time; activities Z and AA are
also parallel activities. However, activities Z and AA cannot begin until activities X and Y are both
completed.
• Path: A sequence of connected, dependent activities.
• Critical path: When this term is used, it means the path(s) with the longest duration through the
network; if an activity on the path is delayed, the project is delayed for the same amount of time.
• Event: This term is used to represent a point in time when an activity is started or completed. It
does not consume any time.
Considering the aforementioned elements of AON, a simple project network can be drawn right now.
We remark here that the arrows can cross over each other, be angled, or be any length of slope. Another
important point here is that one should find all project activities, their dependencies and time estimates in
the project network. To illustrate a simplified network, project activities and their dependencies of a new
service application releasing of Berkeley Cargo Firm are given in Table 2.2.
Table 2.2 Network Information of a New Service Application of Berkeley Cargo Firm
A New Service Application of Berkeley Cargo Firm
Activity Description Immediate Predecessor
A To present the idea to the top management None
B Preparing the details of the service A
C Traffic jam study reports A
D Cargo driver reports A
E Confirmation from Branch Offices B, D
F Commission confirmation B, C, D
G Waiting for being prepared in Branch Offices F
H First Implementation Trial E, G
In Figure 2.6, we can see the first step in building the AON project network regarding the activities and
their dependencies in Table 2.2. The first node to be drawn is activity A since it has no preceding activity.
B
Preparing the details of
the service
A C
To present the idea to the Traffic jam
top management study reports
D
Cargo driver reports
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Project Management
Next, we need to draw B, C and D separately with three arrows (preparing the details of the service,
traffic jam study reports, and cargo driver reports) since these activities are preceded by activity A. Here,
the figure tells us to start activities B, C and D; activity A has to be accomplished, and activities B, C, and
D can be performed simultaneously, if required. The whole network can be seen in Figure 2.7, with all
activities and their precedences.
B E H
Preparing the details Confirmation from First Implementation
of the service Branch Offices Trial
A C G
F
To present the idea to the Traffic jam Wait for being
Commission
top management study reports prepared İn Branch
confirmation
Offices
D BERKELEY
Cargo driver reports CARGO FIRM
At this stage, the project network represents a graphic map of the project activities with sequences and
dependencies. This information is quite valuable to the people who are responsible to manage the project.
Although this kind of network is so beneficial as there are lots of important information in it, including
time estimates of the activities will further increase the significance of the network. With time estimates,
project can be planned according to a schedule and the project manager can decide the estimation of
project duration as well as which activities can be delayed and which cannot be delayed. It also helps
the project managers to figure out the resources required in terms of money, labor force, and material.
Basically, it can be said that a project network with activity time estimates makes the required connection
among planning, evaluating and controlling phases of that project.
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Defining Project and Developing a Project Plan
Figure 2.8 depicts the network with the activity time estimate expected with respect to the node. For
example, activity B has an activity time of 25 days, and activity H has 50 days.
B E H
25 15 150
A C
10 20 F G
10 150
D
ES ID EF 15
BERKELEY
SL CARGO FIRM
LS DuR LF
In projects, start time is generally zero principle is to finish activity A. When activity A is
(computations can be done according to the done at 10; B, C, and D can begin. Therefore, the
calendar later). early start of all of these activities are 10 (ES for B,
In Table 2.3, the first activity (A) begins at time C, and D are 10). Their EF times are different from
zero (ES=0). ES of the activities can be seen in the each other when we apply the ES+Duration=EF
upper left corner of the related nodes in Figure 2.9. formula. The EF times are 25, 20, and 15 for
activities B, C, and D, respectively. In the next step,
For activity A, the early finish (EF) is calculated by
when we look at Figure 2.9., we see that activity
summing ES and its duration (ES+Duration=EF),
E is a merge activity and a question arises: What
which is 10 (0+10=10).
will be the ES for activity E? Will it be 35 or 30?
In the figure, there are three successor nodes The answer is the largest activity time, that is 35,
for activity A: activities B, C, and D. In order to because to be able to start activity E, B and C (all of
start to perform these successor activities, the basic its predecessor activities) must be completed.
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10 B 35 35 E 50 195 H 245
25 15 50
0 A 10 10 C 30
10 20 35 F 45 45 G 195
10 150
10 D 25
ES ID EF 15
BERKELEY
SL CARGO FIRM
LS DuR LF
The same rule applies to determine the ES for Backward Pass-Latest Time
activity F. The predecessors of activity F are activities In the backward pass, one begins with the
B, C and D. The same process is used for determining last project activity/ies and goes along the other
the ES for activity F. The identifier activity here is sequential activity/ies through the network through
again B as it has the longest early finish (35, 30, and the first activity/ies. Moving from right to left, the
25 for activities B, C and D, respectively) predecessor activity times are subtracted from the
activity times along the path to find the LS and
LF. Before the backward pass can be calculated,
It is supposed here that in the forward the late finish for the last project activities must
pass, every activity will begin the instant be determined. Suppose that the project duration
moment in time when the last of its (TE) is the same as the EF (245 days). For activity
predecessors is ended. H, the LF then is 245 days. The backward pass
is similar to forward pass; you need to remember
three things:
To be able to compute early times in the forward To be able to compute latest in the backward
pass, there are three characteristics that need to be pass, there are three characteristics that need to be
remembered: remembered;
1. Throughout each path in the network, the 1. Throughout each path in the network,
activity times are added to the predecessors’ starting with the last activity, the activity
activity times (ES+Duration=EF). times are subtracted (LF-Duration=LS).
2. The early finish (EF) can be passed into the 2. The late finish (LS) is passed into the next
next activity in which it turns its early start preceding activity in which it turns to the
(ES), except for; next preceding activity’s late finish (LF),
3. If the next succeeding activity is a merge except for;
activity, the ES of that activity depends on 3. If the next preceding activity is a burst
the activity’s immediate predecessors, the activity; the LF of that activity depends
choice would be the largest EF times of on the activity’s immediate successors, the
them. choice would be the smallest of LS.
For activity F, the EF is (45) carried to the ES In Figure 2.10, we start by activity H and its
(45) of activity G. The EF of activity E and G LF of 245 days, the LS for activity H is 195 days
are 50 and 195, respectively. Therefore, the ES of (LF-Dur=LS or 245-50=195). The LF for activities
activity H is 195; and since its duration is 50, its E and F is now the LS for activity H. For activities
EF is 245, which tells us the expected earliest time E and G, the LS becomes 180. (195-15) and 45
the project can be finished (TE). days (195-150), respectively. Later, the LF for
activity F comes from the LS for activity G, and
the LS of activity G is 45. With this order, we
now understand that activities B and C are burst
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Defining Project and Developing a Project Plan
activities that are linked with activity E and activity F. The LS of activities E and F becomes the LF for
activity B and C. When we look at the LS for activity E, which is 180 days while the LS for activity F is
35 days. Therefore, we need to pick the smallest time – 35 days. The LF of activity D comes from activity
F (see figure), which is again 35 days. In order to find the LF of activity A, which is a burst activity, and is
linked to activities B, C and D, we need to compute the LS of these activities by using the LF-Duration=LS
formula. The smallest LS comes from activity B, which is 10. So, LF of activity A is 10 and its LS is 0. Now,
we have completed the backward pass.
B E H
10 25 35 180 15 195 195 50 245
A C
0 10 10 15 20 35 F G
35 10 45 45 150 195
D
ES ID EF 20 15 35
BERKELEY
SL CARGO FIRM
LS DuR LF
important must start at the latest and when it can start at the
earliest. Briefly, total slack gives the amount of time an
activity can be delayed without delaying the project
Whenever we encounter an activity that has
completion. The activities that have total slack are
multiple paths leading back to it (i.e., it has multiple
the noncritical activities on the project network. If an
immediate successors), it is the longest backward
activity has zero slack, it can be said that it is a critical
path that determines the activity’s LF. In other
activity. Therefore, if any critical activity is delayed,
words, it is the backward path (immediate successor)
the project completion will be delayed.
with the smallest LS that determines the activity’s LF
(Nicholas, & Steyn, 2008).
important
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Project Management
10 B 25 35 E 50 195 H 245
0 145 0
10 25 35 180 15 195 195 50 245
0 A 10 10 C
0 5
0 10 10 15 20 35 35 F 45 45 G
0 0
35 10 45 45 150 195
10 D 25
10
ES ID EF 20 15 35
BERKELEY
SL CARGO FIRM
LS DuR LF
Figure 2.11 Activity-on-Node Network with Slack (2. Şekil çizilecek aynı birinci şekil formatında)
important
Total slack time is the maximum allowable
delay that can occur for noncritical Note that the activities on the critical path have zero
activities. Once this slack is used up, total slack and zero free slack.
noncritical activities become critical and
further delays of these activities will delay
the project completion (Nicholas and Activity On Arrow (AOA) Diagrams
Steyn, 2008).
Activity on Arrow (AOA) or arrow diagramming
technique is the most common method for
diagramming networks. The main difference
between AOA and AON is to show the activities
and events in the network. In Figure 2.12., for one
internet activity and its event of an AOA representation can
[Link] be seen.
pdf
2 weeks
1 2
Activity X:
Free Slack (Float) Delivery of
the products
Although total slack can be identified the
amount of allowable time a noncritical activity Figure 2.12 AOA Representation for an Activity and its
can be delayed without delaying the project Start/Finish Events
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Defining Project and Developing a Project Plan
Similar to AON networks, there should be one • The industrial engineer will pay the bill
start and one finish event in an AOA network. after having purchased the laptop.
All arrows should be carried from left to the • The commercial solver will be installed
right and there should be no loops. Again, similar on the laptop after the syntax of the
to AON method, the order of the activities should problem has been developed based on the
be defined by their immediate predecessors. commercial solver will be used.
• The commercial solver will be installed
In the network, any activity should not begin
on the laptop after the laptop has been
until all of its immediate predecessors have been
purchased.
accomplished, when the activity has more than one
Remark here that developing the syntax of the
immediate predecessor. A “dummy” activity used in
problem and purchasing the laptop are not related
this kind of situations is shown in Figure 2.13.
and there is no dependency between them. The AOA
network of the activities is shown in Figure 2.14.
Dummy Activities
In AOA diagrams, a dummy activity depicts
Purchase a laptop Do a payment for
the precedence relationships. It behaves as a link, laptop
but it is not a “real” activity, so it does not have
time duration. In the following example, the
requirement for dummy activities in an AOA Install the
Develop syntax of commercial solver
network can be observed. the problem based on laptop
An industrial engineer wants to solve a on the commercial
solver
mathematical model on a commercial solver and also
to have a fast laptop to run the program on. The order
Figure 2.13 AON Diagram
relationship of the activities (dependencies) is shown
in Figure 2-14. Three dependencies can be obtained:
Start End
B D F
Note here that we see three dependencies in Figure 2.14. despite representing the second and third
dependencies (“install commercial solver” and its immediate predecessors “purchase a laptop” and “develop
the syntax of the problem based on the commercial solver
to be used”) necessitates a dummy activity between the
nodes C and D. Dummy activities are performed when
Although there is no dependency between “develop the one tries to define a logical dependency
syntax of the problem based on the commercial solver to although the activities are not on the same
be used” and “do a payment for the laptop”, this dummy path; one activity cannot begin after the
activity helps the dependencies to be clear. other one is accomplished.
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Project Management
The AON and AOA representations of the same problem (Table 2.4.) are given in Figure 2.15.a. and b.
K L
Start M End
N O P
2
L=5
K=2
M=7 5
1
N=6
P=1
O=8
3 4
Learning Outcomes
35
2
Defining Project and Developing a Project Plan
A project is defined as a non-repetitive, one-time work constrained by budget, time and performance
requirements designed to meet customer needs. The projects need to have an aim and the objective
of the project must be unique and determined before the project starts, and it should have specific
requirements in order to meet the desired results. Triple constraints as time, budget and performance
constraints are needed to be met by the aim of the project as well.
The project has a defined start and end point, which differs the project from routine jobs. Besides,
a project should not be repeatable and consists of uniqueness to some level. This is much related to
Summary
performing a job for the first time. Lastly, to perform a project, original problem solving methods are
required to figure out unanswered problems.
In the project scope definition, dependencies and work breakdown structure are the main elements to a
project. With the help of the scope definition, the result (end item, process, deliverables) of the project
can be examined. In the project scope, what is to be included and excluded in terms of requirements,
items, conditions, results and deliverables are provided. The result of scope definition is a scope
statement. The scope statement involves three stages; first, the initiation/defining; second, scope plan;
and lastly, scope change control.
Subdividing the total project into smaller features gives us a definition of the “work breakdown structure”.
The aim of the work breakdown structure is to divide the overall project into work packages. If a project
is composed of work packages, getting ready the project schedules, cost estimations, and responsibility
allocations might be much [Link] project has a defined start and end point, which differs the project
from routine jobs. Besides, a project should not be repeatable and consists of uniqueness to some level.
This is much related to performing a job for the first time. Lastly, to perform a project, original problem
solving methods are required to figure out unanswered problems.
In order to develop an Activity-on-Node (AON) project network, predecessor and sequence relations of
activities as well as duration times are required. After these relationships are determined, it is possible to
associate the activities to develop the project network. Activity-on-Node defines activities by “nodes”,
and in order to connect activities with predecessor-successor relationship, uses directed arrows.
The critical path is built by the help of forward and backward pass computations. The critical path is
defined as the longest path of the network. Critical activities in the critical path have zero slack although
other activities have some float or slack time with respect to them.
One of the other techniques to draw a project network is Activity-on-Arrow diagramming method.
AOA defines activities by arrows and uses boxes to represent the start and end time of activities. In
order to create AOA network, some unique characteristics are used such as dummy activities. Dummy
activities do not have any work or time values allocated to them.
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Project Management
1 Which of the following is not included in the 5 ….. divides project into small work packages.
definition of the project scope?
a. Scope
a. Summary of work requested b. Input
b. Description of major elements (deliverables) of c. Critical path
the completed project
d. Noncritical activity
c. Items not covered in scope
Test Yourself
e. Work breakdown structure
d. Items covered in the scope
e. Critical Path
6 Which of the following is false related to
work breakdown structure?
2 Which of the following pairs of works presen
a. It defines work
examples to ordinary work and project?
b. It identifies a single person responsible for units
a. Taking math class notes /Writing a novel of work
b. Manufacturing a refrigerator /Serial production c. It identifies monitoring points for measuring
of a car progress
c. Practicing yoga/ Manufacturing of a cell-phone d. It identifies time to complete a work package
d. Practicing lyrical dancing / Serial production of e. It identifies a link between the organizational
a TV model unit and work
e. Manufacturing a washing machine /Practicing
kite-surfing
7 Which of the following gives the critical path
according to the data given below?
3 Which of the following is one of scope
management phases? Activity Immediate Predecessor Activity Times
a. Defining 1 – 2 weeks
b. Executing 2 – 2 weeks
c. Scope Control Changing 3 1,4 4 weeks
d. Delivering 4 2 3 weeks
e. Closing 5 2 1 week
6 3,5 5 weeks
4 ……… isthe shortest total length of a project a. 1,2,6
is determined by the longest path through the b. 1,3,4,6
network.
c. 2,4,3,6
a. Critical path d. 2,,4,5,6
b. Planning e. 2,5,6
c. Project life cycle
d. Scope management
8 Which of the following gives the value of
e. Work breakdown structure critical path in Question 7?
a. 8
b. 9
c. 11
d. 12
e. 14
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2
Defining Project and Developing a Project Plan
c. milestone
d. event Activity Y
e. path
In the figure above, Activity Z is called a ……
a. burst Activity
b. parallel Activity
c. merge Activity
d. precedence Activity
e. path
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Project Management
39
2
Defining Project and Developing a Project Plan
The main difference between ordinary work and project is the type of the
self review 1 outcome. Repetitive works do not aim only one outcome/result; their results
are repeatable. However, the outcome of a project is unique, which is produced
within time, budget, and performance constraints.
The objectives of project scope are the total objectives of the project to meet
customer requirements for the expected outcome. In the project scope, project
deliverables and works that need to be achieved to reach the deliverables are
identified. To develop a proper project plan, project scope also describes the
inclusions (what is included) and exclusions (what is not included; boundaries)
of the project to deliver an outcome, service, or product. In other words,
project scope helps the project management team to determine how well the
self review 2 project is going on according to the plan.
The work breakdown structure (WBS) provides the project team visually
understandable work packages, which are the decomposition of the project
scope into manageable work elements. The Project Management Body of
Knowledge (PMBOK®) defines the work breakdown structure as a “deliverable
oriented hierarchical decomposition of the work to be executed by the project
team”.
The WBS also organizes and defines the total scope of the project and
represents the work specified in the current approved project scope statement
(PMI®, 2008).
The critical path, which gives the completion time (duration) of the project,
is defined as the chain of scheduled activities. In order to meet the customer’s
requirements within the deadline of the project, the critical path determines
the longest sequence of activities in the project plan that must be completed
on time. It means if there is a delay in any activity on the critical path, then
the project will be delayed as well. The method uses a step-by-step approach
self review 3 to identify critical and non-critical activities on the project network.
After identifying the critical path, the project manager can zero in on the
activities that need greater consideration and no flexibility in timing because
those tasks along the critical path directly affects the project to be completed
within the deadline. The non-critical activities some floats, which means they
can be delayed without affecting the project duration; however, the critical
activities have zero float, so they need to be completed on time.
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Project Management
References
Gray C. F., & Larson E. W. (2008). Project Management Pinto, J., (2016). Project management: Achieving
(3rd ed.). New Delhi. Competitive Advantage (4th ed.. USA: Pearson
Kerzner H. (2003). Project Management: A Systems Project Management Institute. (2008). A Guide to
Approach to Planning, Scheduling, and Controlling the Project Management Body of Knowledge: PA,
(8th ed.). NJ, USA: John Wiley and Sons. USA: Project Management Institute.
Nicholas J. M., &Steyn H. (2008). Project Management
for Engineering, Business and Technology (3rd ed.).
USA: Routledge.
Online References
HBS Digital Initiative. (2016, November 18). The WHO., (2008). Constitution of the World Health
Failed Launch of [Link] [web Organization [PDF file]. Retrieved from https://
log comment]. Retrieved from [Link] [Link]/governance/eb/who_constitution_
[Link]/platform-rctom/submission/the-failed- [Link]
launch-of-www-healthcare-gov/
41
Chapter 3 Project Scheduling
After completing this chapter, you will be able to;
Learning Outcomes
1 2
Define the stages of network analysis for a
project and describe the two different ways of
drawing a project network diagram. Explain the major steps of PERT.
42
3
Project Management
43
3
Project Scheduling
44
3
Project Management
Activety A Activety B
i j j>i 5 10
A B
5 10 15 B depends on A
A 10 C 15 C depends on A and B
5
B
5
15 B depends on A
B
A C
5 10 15 C depends on A
5 A C 15 B depends on A and B
B 10 15 D depends on A and B
5 D
45
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Project Scheduling
Some principles to adopt, when creating an AOA network diagram, are as follows (Elbeltagi, 2009):
• Each activity must have a distinctive number such as i and j, where j (number at the arrow’s head)
is greater than i (number at the arrow’s tail ).
• A gap between numbers (i.e. 5, 10, 15, etc.) is suggested. This will enable missed operations to be
accommodated.
• Keep away from back arrows
• Use dummy activities when more than one arrow exits the same node and enters at another node.
The dummy activity is a zero-duration activity that uses up no resources, plotted as dashed lines,
and is used to modify the diagram of the network. When one activity relies on two previous
activities and another activity depends only on one of the two previous activities, a dummy activity
must be used. See Figure 3.2 for using dummy activities (Elbeltagi, 2009).
A C A C
5 15 20 5 20 25
D C depends on A and B
B Dummy
D depends on B only
10 25 B D
10 15 30
A
5 15
A
5 15 B
Dummy
B 10
Activity number
10 20
A B
Activity name
10 20 B depends on A
A B
10 30 40 C depends on A and B
A C D D depends on C
20
B
30
C B depends on A
10 20
A B C depends on B
40 D depends on B
D
Figure 3.3 Basic Patterns of AON Diagrams (Elbeltagi, 2009)
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3
Project Management
PERT and CPM original versions used AOA project networks, so for some years this was the
conventional type. AON project network diagrams, indeed, have some significant benefits over AOA
project network diagrams to express the same data more precisely (Hillier and Lieberman, 1995).
1 Define the stages of network analysis for a project and describe the two different ways of
drawing a project network diagram.
47
3
Project Scheduling
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Project Management
49
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Project Scheduling
The mean, varianc,e and standard deviation of each activity can be calculated from these estimates. For
instance; the mean and standard deviation for activity A are calculated as follows:
a + 4m + b (b − a)
tA = SA =
6 6
3+ 4 * 4 + 5 (5 − 3)
tA = = 4 sA = = 0.33
6 6
Similar to CPM calculations, PERT calculations, which take into account the mean duration of each
activity, are performed and provided in Figure 3.4.
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Project Management
Sx2 = (0.33)2 + (0.67)2 + (0.67)2 + (0.67)2 = Figure 3.5 Area Under the Normal Curve (Badiru, 2011)
1.44 days and .
The probability can be obtained from the
important standard normal table presented in Appendix A.
Here, be careful that the table shows the left-hand-
side probabilities since there are some tables in the
PERT is pessimistic about the variance in
literature that show the right-hand-side probability
the project duration. Therefore, if there are
of the standard normal distribution.
multiple critical paths in the project network,
the critical path with the largest variance must
important
be chosen to determine the project duration
and the variance of the project duration.
Be careful that the standard normal table
shows the left-hand-side probabilities since
there are some tables in the literature that
Probability of Meeting a show the right-hand-side probability of the
Scheduled Date standard normal distribution.
According to the Central Limit Theorem, the
probability of meeting a scheduled date, Td, can be Example 3.2
calculated by finding the area under the standard
normal curve on the left-hand-side of Td, assuming Table 3.3 provides the predecessors and the
that the project duration Tx is normally distributed three estimates of the duration of each activity.
as illustrated in Figure 3.5. The expected activity durations and variances of
each activity are calculated and given in the last
Then the probability of finishing a project by a two columns. PERT network diagram is provided
scheduled date Td can be calculated as follows: in Figure 3.6 Network scheduling is carried out
⎛ T −T ⎞ using computational methods for forward passes
P(T ≤ Td ) = P ⎜ z ≤ d x ⎟
⎝ s ⎠ and backward passes, and the earliest and latest
where starting and finishing times of each activity are
calculated.
“Td” is the specified deadline;
“Tx” is the expected project duration based on
network analysis; and
“s” is the standard deviation of the project
duration.
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3
Project Scheduling
2.17 2.17
A F 6.17
0 7
2.17 4
4 2.17 11
6.17
6.17 D
5
2.83
0 9 11
0 0 6 11 11
B 9 G
Start End
3 6 9 9 2 11
11
0 11
0
0 9
3.83 3.83
C E
0 3.83 3.83 5.17 9
3.83
Figure 3.6 PERT Network Diagram (Badiru, 2011)
As it is given in Figure 3.6, activities C, E, and G are on the critical path, and the project completion
time is calculated as 11 days. With this given information, what is the probability of completing the
project before a deadline of 10 days (i.e. Td=10 days)?
As we know the activities on the critical path, the estimated (modal) duration of the project and
standard deviation can be calculated as follows:
Te = 11 days
Sx2 = SC2 + SE2 + SG2
Sx2 = 0.25 + 0.25 + 0.1111 = 0.6111
Sx = 0.6111 = 0.7817
Using these values, the probability of completing this project before a deadline of 10 days can be
computed as follows:
⎛ T −T ⎞
P(T ≤ Td ) = P ⎜ z ≤ d x ⎟
⎝ s ⎠
⎛ 10 −11 ⎞
P(T ≤ 10) = P ⎜ z ≤ ⎟
⎝ 0.7817 ⎠
P(T ≤ 10) = P(z ≤ −1.2793)
P(T ≤ 10) = 1− P(z ≤ 1.2793)
P(T ≤ 10) = 1− 0.8997 = 0.1003
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Project Management
Note that 0.8997 is taken from the standard normal table in Appendix A. Accordingly, there is just over
10% probability of completing the project within 10 days.
Example 3.3
For the same project in the Example 3.2, what is the probability of finishing the project within 13 days?
Probability of finishing the project within 13 days can be calculated as follows:
⎛ T −T ⎞
P(T ≤ Td ) = P ⎜ z ≤ d x ⎟
⎝ s ⎠
⎛ 13−11 ⎞
P(T ≤ 13) = P ⎜ z ≤ ⎟
⎝ 0.7817 ⎠
P(T ≤ 13) = P(z ≤ 2.5585) = 0.9948
This means that the probability of completing the project within 13 days exceeds 99 percent. Keep in
mind that the probability of completing the project in exactly 13 days will be 0. If we want to find the
probability of completing the project in a certain lower limit (TL) and a certain upper limit (TU), the
calculation will simply continue as follows:
Let TL = 9 and TU = 11.5. Then;
Estimation of a, m and b
Most important inputs of the PERT are the three estimates: optimistic, pessimistic and the modal
duration of each activity in the project network diagram( shown as a, b, and m, respectively). It is possible
to use several approaches to determine the duration estimates necessary for PERT. The following are some
of the strategies (Badiru, 2011):
• Predictions provided by an experienced person
• Estimates derived from historical data
• Estimates obtained from statistical methods such as regression
• Estimates provided by the results of simulation scenarios
• Approximations obtained from heuristic assumptions
• Customer requirements
53
3
Project Scheduling
• Task relationships are represented visually for easier assessment, and individuals can logically
deduce their role in the overall task requirements at various steps.
• The PERT time is based on a there estimates, and therefore, it is the most objective prediction
under the uncertainties and results in a higher degree of forecast accuracy.
• PERT provides improved communication results. The network diagram provides a mutual interest
for different stakeholders such as project managers, customers, contractors, etc., and they all
understand the role and contributions of each other.
• The network will illustrate situations that require higher priority attention whereas intention can be
applied to key activities without overlooking the lower priority tasks. This provides management a
chance to shift focus to any critical activity in order to finish the entire project on time.
There are some constraints or issues that arise in PERT (Chand, 2014):
• The estimation of duration and resources is uncertain. Keep in mind that these values are just
assumptions and outcomes can only be as good as the assumptions
• Final cost may exceed traditional planning and control techniques. Due to the current nature of
networking and network analysis, it requires a high level of planning skills and more details that
would raise the cost of time and resources for labors,
• It is not appropriate to use PERT for fairly simple and repetitive projects such as fixed-sequence
works.
54
3
Project Management
Learning Outcomes
55
3
Project Scheduling
Further Reading
56
3
Project Management
The project’s basic network analysis typically takes place in three stages: network planning stage, network
planning stage, and network control stage.
• Network planning is often referred to as activity planning as well. The activities in the project and
preceding relations between activities are described at this level. Network diagrams are used to describe
the operations visually. Activity-on-arrow (AOA) and activity-on-node (AON) are the two popular
network drawing systems.
Summary
• Network scheduling is performed using mathematical techniques to compute the earliest and latest
start and finish times for each activity. The amount of slack or float associated with each activity is also
determined at this stage.
• Network control involves monitoring the progress of a project on a network timetable basis and taking
corrective action where required. An evaluation of general performance versus anticipated outcomes
will determine deficiencies in project progress (Badiru, 2011).
As indicated above, there are two methods to typically draw a network diagram:
• Activity on Arrow (AOA) representation
• Activity on Node (AON) representation
In AOA, the arrows describe activities while the nodes indicate the start and end of an activity. The
arrow distance connecting the nodes is irrelevant and the arrows can be direct, curved, or bent. On the
other hand, in AON, the nodes represent activities and the arrows show logical relationships between the
activities. If the arrow starts at the end of an activity (activity A) and ends at the start of another activity
(activity B), it can be said that A is a predecessor to B.
The major steps in PERT can be explained simply as follows (Badiru, 2011):
• For each activity; three estimated durations such as optimistic “a,” modal “m,” and pessimistic “b”
durations must be determined.
• Using these three estimates, compute the expected value te for each activity.
• Calculate the variance “s2” for each activity.
• By summing up the expected durations of the critical activities, compute the expected project duration, Tx.
• Like the project expected duration, compute the variance of the project as the sum of variance of
activities on the critical path.
• If needed, the probability of concluding the project within a stated time limits can be calculated.
57
3
Project Scheduling
1 Which of the following is not a stage of the 5 What does “m” stand for in the formula
fundamental network assessment? ⎛ a + 4m + b ⎞
of activity expected duration ⎜t e = ⎟ in
⎝ 6 ⎠
a. Network planning
PERT?
b. Network scheduling
c. Network control a. Pessimistic time
d. Network estimation b. Optimistic time
Test Yourself
58
3
Project Management
Table 3.5 Duration Estimations and Predecessor Relationships for the Project
Duration Estimations
Activity Predecessors Optimistic Pessimistic Most Likely
(a) (b) (m)
A - Train workers - 5 13 9
B - Purchase raw materials - 2 10 6
Test Yourself
C - Produce product 1 A, B 3 13 8
D - Produce product 2 A, B 1 13 7
E - Test product 2 D 8 12 10
F - Assemble products 1 and 2 C, E 9 15 12
Source: Winston, W. L., & Goldberg, J. B. (2004). Operations research: applications and algorithms (Vol. 3).
8 What are the expected duration (Tc ) and variance ( Sc2 ) of the activity C in Table 3.5?
a. Tc = 8 Sc2 = 7.28
b. Tc = 8 Sc2 = 2.78
c. Tc = 7 Sc2 = 7.28
d. Tc = 7 Sc2 = 2.78
e. Tc = 6 Sc2 = 7.28
9 What are the expected project duration (Tx ) and variance ( Sx2 ) of the project in Table 3.5?
a. Tx = 38 Sx2 = 7.22
b. Tx = 37 Sx2 = 7.22
c. Tx = 38 Sx2 = 7.02
d. Tx = 37 Sx2 = 7.02
e. Tx = 36 Sx2 = 7.22
10 For the same project in Table 3.5, what is the probability of finishing the project within 35 days?
a. 0.1314
b. 0.1762
c. 0.5000
d. 0.8238
e. 0.8686
59
3
Project Scheduling
If your answer is incorrect, review the If your answer is incorrect, review the
1. d 6. b
section on “Project scheduling concepts” section on “Program evaluation and review
section. technique (PERT)” section.
Answer Key for “Test Yourself”
If your answer is incorrect, review the If your answer is incorrect, review the
2. b 7. c
section on “Project scheduling concepts” section on “Program evaluation and review
section. technique (PERT)” section.
If your answer is incorrect, review the If your answer is incorrect, review the
3. c 8. b
section on “Project scheduling concepts” section on “Program evaluation and review
section. technique (PERT)” section.
If your answer is incorrect, review the If your answer is incorrect, review the
4. c 9. a
section on “Project scheduling concepts” section on “Program evaluation and review
section. technique (PERT)” section.
If your answer is incorrect, review the If your answer is incorrect, review the
5. e section on “Program evaluation and review
10. d
section on “Program evaluation and review
technique (PERT)” section. technique (PERT)” section.
The project’s basic network analysis typically takes place in three stages:
network planning stage, network planning stage, and network control stage.
• Network planning is often referred to as activity planning as well. The
activities in the project and preceding relations between activities are
described at this level. Network diagrams are used to describe the
operations visually. Activity-on-arrow (AOA) and activity-on-node
(AON) are the two popular network drawing systems.
self review 1 • Network scheduling is performed using mathematical techniques to
compute the earliest and latest start and finish times for each activity. The
amount of slack or float associated with each activity is also determined at
this stage.
• Network control involves monitoring the progress of a project on a
network timetable basis and taking corrective action where required.
An evaluation of general performance versus anticipated outcomes will
determine deficiencies in project progress (Badiru, 2011).
60
3
Project Management
61
3
Project Scheduling
References
Badiru, A. B. (2011). Project Management: Systems, Marshall, A. W., & W. H. Meckling. (1959).
Principles, and Applications: CRC Press. Predictability of the Costs, Time and Success of
Development (RAND Corp., Report P-1821).
United States. Dept. of Defense., United States.
CA, USA.
National Aeronautics and Space Administration.
(1962). DOD and NASA Guide: PERT COST Moder, J. J., & Phillips, C. R. (1964). Project
Systems Design. Washington, USA: U. S. Management with CPM and PERT. NY, USA:
Government Printing Office. . Reinhold Pub. Corp.
Flagle, C.D. (1954). Probability Based Tolerances Peck, M. J., & Scherer, F. M. (1962). The Weapons
in Forecasting and Planning (Unpublished Acquisition Process; An Economic Analysis.
doctoral dissertation). Johns Hopkins University,
Turban, E. (1968). The Line of Balance-A
Maryland, USA.
Management by Exception Tool. The Journal of
Hillier, F. S., and Lieberman, G. J. (1995). Introduction Industrial Engineering, 19(9), 440-448.
to Operations Research (6th ed.): McGraw-Hill
Winston, W. L., & Goldberg, J. B. (2004). Operations
Science, Engineering & Mathematics.
Research: Applications and Algorithms (4th ed.).
Lewis, J. P. (2005). Project Planning, Scheduling & CA, USA: Brooks/Cole.
Control (4th ed.): McGraw-Hill Pub. Co..
Online References
Chand, S. (2014, February 17). PERT and CPM: Elbeltagi, E. (2009). Stochastic Scheduling [PDF
Techniques of Project Management (Advantages and document]. Retrieved from Lecture Notes Online
Disadvantages) [web log comment]. Retrieved Website: [Link]
from [Link] CM%20CH5%[Link]
project-management/pert-and-cpm-techniques-
Gunneriusson, E. (2017). D0001B:Applied
of-project-management-advantages-and-
Operation Research, Lp3, V17 [PowerPoint slides].
disadvantages/25769.
Retrieved from[Link]
Stechies (2019, April 9). Difference between PERT and document/lulea-tekniska-universitet/tillaempad-
CPM with Comparison Chart. . Retrieved from operationsanalys/lecture-notes/cpm-pert-lecture-
[Link] notes-12/1231598/view
pert-cpm/
62
63
Chapter 4 Resource Management
After completing this chapter, you will be able to;
Learning Outcomes
1 2
management concepts and explain
the benefits of the successful resource Apply the resource management steps and
management applications techniques to the projects
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Project Management
INTRODUCTION
Resource management is the pre-planning,
Money
scheduling and resource allocation method
for maximizing the effectiveness. Resource
management needs a thorough knowledge of your
goals and ability, and it needs transparency. By
setting up a healthy resource management process,
you can maximize effectiveness and monitor the Resource
Machine
Manpower Management
use of those resources easily.
As part of project management, resource
management aims to do more with less.
Consequently, resource management is focused on
effectiveness and optimization. You can efficiently
plan the ideal manner to use these resources Material
when you understand what you need to create a
successful project . Therefore, in literature, different
techniques are studied for resource management.
Figure 4.1 Four “M”s of Resource Management
The rest of this chapter consists of four sections.
In the first section, resource management concepts
important
are explained and definitions of resource and
resource management are provided. The benefits of
the successful resource management applications Money, material, machine and manpower are
and suggestions for the project success are also the Four M’s, which is a common framework
discussed in this section. In the second section, for defining the resources available for a
we explain the steps and the basic techniques of project.
the resource management. This is followed by an
overview of human resources management. In
the last section, benefits of resource management Definition of Resource and Resource
software and criteria for selecting resource Management
forecasting software are briefly explained. In literature, resources are often described
in units such as two welders or three computers.
RESOURCE MANAGEMENT However, it is also possible to specify them in
CONCEPTS terms of the time they require, such as 16 welder-
hours or 24 computer-hours. In literature, another
In resource management, the first thing is to
classification of resources can be made depending
consider which resources are important enough
on their consumability. While some resources are
to control and manage for our company. While
considered as consumable (e.g. material), other
this looks quite easy at first glance, it can be very
resources, such as workers, can be defined as non-
time consuming when all necessary resources are
consumable which can be used again and again
taken into account. In general, a resource can be
during the project. Consequently, we may need to
defined as all the required things to finish a project
manage and assign the non-consumable resources
on time. Therefore, depending on the type of the
effectively in order to complete the project on
project, it can be a person or a worker, a machine,
time. Therefore, in resource management, we are
financial resources (funds), material, or anything.
more concerned with non-consumable resources
However, in this chapter, we can narrow it to
(Elbeltagi, 2009).
four main resources such as manpower, money,
machine, and material (i.e. Four “M”s) as given Another classification can be made depending
in Figure 4.1, in order to give the details of how on the importance of the resources. There are
resources management techniques can be applied mainly three categories in this classification:
to each type of resources. key resources, secondary resources, and general
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Resource Management
resources. As it can be easily understood, key two different approaches: the forward-pass and
resources are the most important resources for our the backward-pass. Both approaches utilize the
project. They are mostly expensive and scarce. The durations of the activities, which means they assume
skilled workers or equipment can be named as the that all the resources (for CPM, the durations of
key resources for a project. Hence, we must pay the activities) are available in hand before we start
more attention to these types of resources in the the project. However, this is not always the case.
resource management process. However, we must Thus, we need to find a proper way of managing
keep in mind that a key resource for a project can resources in our project, which is also the main
be a secondary or a general resource for another objective of the resource management process.
project. Another category is the secondary resources Managing this process is very critical especially
which need less attention than key resources. One when we have limited resource capacity and when
example of secondary resource is workers with we need key and non-consumable resources for our
regular skills. The last category is general resources project.
which are mostly available all the time during The steps of successful resource management
the project, inexpensive, and easy to obtain. This process are provided in Figure 4.2. First, we
type of resources is not the subject of the resource start with determining the necessary sources for
management process. our project. In the second step, we classify them
Until that point, we have defined the resources in with respect to the given classes above such as
terms of project management. From now on, we will consumable, secondary resources, etc. In the
explain the resource management. There does not third step, according to the project scheduling,
exist a unique definition of resource management. we must estimate the required quantity of each
Therefore, we provide the most common source determined in the previous step for all the
definitions in this chapter. According to the APM activities. Finally, resource aggregation, leveling,
(Association for Project Management) Body of and smoothing techniques can be applied, if
Knowledge, which is the largest professional body necessary.
of its kind in Europe, the resource management is
‘the acquisition and deployment of internal and
external resources required to deliver the project,
Define the
programme or portfolio’ (Management, 2012). In necessary
another study, it is defined as “the management resources
capacity and resources of service that are organized
Classify them
effectively and operated efficiently at optimal level” (key resources,
(Demirbag, Lenny Koh, Tatoglu, & Zaim, 2006). non-
consumable,
important etc.)
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Project Management
Provides a
safety
net and a
projection
Avoid Measures
unexpected efficiency
delays
Builds
transparency
Prevents
overloads
and fatigue
67
Resource Management
Learning Outcomes
1 To define the resource and the resource management concepts, and explain the benefits
of the successful resource management applications
68
Project Management
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Resource Management
• Bottom-up estimating: In this technique, activities are broken into pieces and resource requirements
are estimated for these small pieces. These estimates are summed up to find the total estimate
of the project. Even though it provides very accurate estimates, it is very time consuming since
each activity in the project schedule must be assessed carefully. Therefore, if the project manager
divides project into smaller pieces, it brings more accuracy, but at the same time more cost to the
technique.
• Alternative analysis: There may be more than one way of accomplishing an activity in terms of
the number and the kind of resources. Therefore, alternative analysis must be developed to decide
which alternative is the most proper one for the project (Watt, & Watt, 2014).
Resource Allocating
The resource allocation is the second step of the resource management. In this step, resources, which
are defined in the first step, are assigned to the specific activities in the project schedule. At that step, we
also determine the required number resources. However, multiple sources may be assigned to a specific
activity, in addition to that, even the requirement for a specific resource may be different for each activity.
For instance, some activities in the initial steps may need fewer workers, while the demand for workers
may increase in the later stages. Moreover, a multi project environment can increase the complexity of
resource allocation process since projects compete for scarce resources. Therefore, in this step of resource
management, we try to optimize the utilization of these resources while we assign them to various project
activities.
In resource allocation step, we can create an allocation table for both the overall project or a specific
activity. However, it is highly recommended to create an overall project resource allocation table to see
the big picture. In his book, Pinto (2006) describes the importance and necessity of this step with a
straightforward example.
Example 4.1
Suppose a project activity network is created based on the activity precedence information given in
Table 4.1., and Figure 4.5. shows the conflict on the network diagram of that project. In Figure 4.5., it
can be observed that activity B (Document Awards) and activity C (Calculate Costs) have been scheduled
to the same dates, and they both require the same person (Jeff). Even though this satisfies the predecessors
constraint, it simply does not satisfy the resource constraint since it requires an overtime for Jeff to finish
both activities in the same week. In brief, this schedule has a misallocation of resources. This situation
forces the project manager to make a trade-off between time and money since there are two options to
finish this schedule: extending the schedule or assigning a new resource to these activities.
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Project Management
Calculate Costs
Start : Mon 2/7/11 ID: 3
Finish: Fri 2/11/11 Dur: 5 days
Res: Jeff
However, in big and complicated projects where various resources exist, discovering such a conflict
on resources is not easy. Hence, we use resource loading charts to examine the possible conflicts of the
resources. These charts allow us to control the feasibility of the resource allocations. An example of resource
loading chart is provided in Figure 4.6.
Now, it is easier to discover the resource conflicts on the chart. As a project manager, we can simply
add a new resource (worker) who is responsible for activity C (Calculate Costs) and we have the following
feasible Gantt Chart in Figure 4.7. On this chart, we can see the availability of each resource in a weekly
base and we can form the resource loading chart given in Figure 4.8.
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Resource Management
Figure 4.7 Sample Project Activity Network and Gantt Charts (Pinto, 2006)
The resource loading chart table provides some valuable information such as resources, the activities
that the resources are assigned, and the expected time of each resource needs. It also enables us to check
the feasibility of the project schedule by showing the misallocation, overallocation, and underutilized
resources. However, how to react to these problems is the next question that a project manager must
handle (Pinto, 2006).
Even though it has several advantages, the resource allocation has several challenges that a project
manager must be aware of. In their website, Paweł Hałabuda (2019) summarizes these challenges as follows:
• Client Changes: Any changes in the scope, the due date or the budget can easily affect the current
resource allocations. Hence, a good project manager must always be ready to adjust the resources
with respect to the possible changes.
• Availability of Resources: Having multiple projects that share the same resources, broken
machines, or sick workers force a project manager to monitor the resources all the time since
availability of resources can suddenly change.
• Activity Predecessors: A project manager must pay great attention to the activity predecessors
while allocating the resources. In most cases, there exist some activities in the project which cannot
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Project Management
be started before some other activities are completed. In such cases, the resources to be used in these
activities do not need to be prepared in advance.
• Changes in Priorities: Changes in the priorities among the projects is a common problem for a
company if multiple projects run at the same time. In this situation, the resources, which a project
manager has already allocated, may be needed by the other project that has a high priority for the
company (Hałabuda, 2019).
Resource Aggregation
The third step of resource management is the resource aggregation. In this step, we sum the resources
that are required to complete all the activities with respect to the resource allocation step outputs.
Histograms are very practical to show the results of that aggregation process. For each resource estimated
and scheduled in the previous stages, a separate histogram is required. In the resource aggregation step,
using the same time unit with the allocation step also facilitates the summation process (Elbeltagi, 2009).
This step is very vital when the same resources are shared among different projects in a multi-project
environment. In these kinds of projects, the aggregated amount of a resource cannot be simply determined
without using resource aggregation procedure.
In order to form the histograms, the necessary amount of each resource is written on the bar chart for
each time period, and then they can be summed up to show the total amount needed (Lock, 2016). These
amounts can be presented under the bar chart and used as an input for the histogram as given in Figure 4.9.
Week
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Activity
A 10 10
B 8 8 6
C 2 6
D 2 6 10 10 8
E 6 6
Total resource
units requirement 10 18 8 10 12 10 10 14 6
15
Resource
unit 10
aggregation
chart
5
Figure 4.9 Resource Aggregation and Histograms (Resource Unit Aggregation Charts) (Elbeltagi, 2009; Lock, 2016)
The earliest possible times of the activities are taken into account to show the activities on the bar
charts, which means each activity is tried to be finished as soon as possible (Lock, 2016). However, this is
not always the case. Especially, the non-critical activities do not have to be started at the earliest possible
time mainly because they may not change the project total completion time even if they start later. These
non-critical activities are constrained by earliest and latest start and finish times as already mentioned
in the previous chapter. Actually, this allows us to adjust the demand for the resources among the time
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Resource Management
periods on the schedule. Figure 4.10 demonstrates this situation. The resource requirement of non-critical
activities, for both earliest and latest start, are illustrated on this figure with the resource requirement of
critical activities. While resource requirement of non-critical activities changes with respect to their starting
time, for the critical activities, it remains constant as illustrated in the figure as a shaded area. The same
figure also expresses that the resource requirements are accumulated to the beginning of the project when
earliest start times are taken into account, and to end of the project when latest start times are considered.
However, it can be observed that both plans are not ideal, and it requires to minimize the fluctuations on
resource requirements for activities throughout the project life cycle to minimize the negative effects of
resource demands. Consequently, this takes us to the next step, the resource leveling.
Resource units
Resource requirement for earliest start
Resource requirement for latest start
8 Resource requirement for activities on the critical path
2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Weeks
Figure 4.10 Effect of Starting Times of Non-critical Activities on the Aggregation (Elbeltagi, 2009,& Lock, 2016)
Resource Leveling
In resource leveling, the aim is to solve the resource conflicts by shifting (mostly delaying) the dates of
the tasks. By doing so, we try to get a smoother distribution of resource allocation. To identify the resource
conflicts, we examine the network diagram in terms of slacks and floats, and determine the tasks that
can be delayed to overcome the overallocations. At that important
point, it is preferable to check the noncritical tasks first,
which does not change the overall schedule. Otherwise,
resolving overallocation can result in delays in project To identify the resource conflicts, we examine
completion date. Even though overallocation is a serious the network diagram in terms of slacks and floats
problem for a company, underallocation is also a case and determine the tasks that can be delayed to
which must be examined carefully to improve the usage overcome the overallocations. At that point, it
of specific resources. Therefore, in resource leveling, we is preferable to check the noncritical tasks first
are interested in both situations, and we aim to minimize which does not change the overall schedule.
the variations in resource usages along the project life Otherwise, resolving overallocation can result
cycle. Figure 4.11. demonstrates a generic example of in delays in project completion date.
resource leveling (Schwalbe, 2012).
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Project Management
2
A=2 days Project network with Activities A,
B, and C and durations as shown.
B=5 days Activity A has 3 days of slack, and
1 4 Activity C has 2 days of slack.
B has 4 workers, and C has
C=3 days 2 workers.
3
8 8
A
6 6
Workers
Workers
A C
4 B B 4
2 B 2 B
C C
0 1 2 3 4 5 0 12 3 4 5
Days Days
Resource usage if all Resource usage if Activity C
activities on day one is delayed 2 days, its total slack allowance
As it can be observed in Figure 4.11, activities A, solution for leveling the resources, however, it is
B, and C can start at the same time. While activity not that much easy to find even a feasible solution
A needs two days and two people, B needs five days for projects where we have thousands of activities.
and four people, and C requires three days and Consequently, we need more common ways
two people. On the left-hand side, a resource usage (heuristics, simplified rule of thumbs) of solving
diagram is given. In this diagram, it is accepted that resource leveling problems in real life (McCray,
all the activities start at the first day. As it can be Purvis, & McCray, 2002).
easily seen in the figure, we need eight workers in Some basic heuristics are provided below.
days 1-2, six workers in day 3, and four workers According to Pinto (2006), assigning the resources
in days 4-5, which means we need at least eight first to activities;
workers to complete this project on time. On the
• with the smallest slack time.
other hand, we need to rest two of them at day 3
and four of them in days 4-5. However, on the right- • with smallest duration.
hand side, a resource usage diagram is presented • with lowest activity identification number
for the case in which activity C is delayed for two (i.e. earlier activities first).
days. It can easily be observed that the diagram is • with most successor activities.
leveled with that delay. Now, we need six workers • which require more resources has significant
to complete the same project on time, and we do effect on resource leveling along the project
not need to rest any worker which will increase the life cycle.
usage of resources (Schwalbe, 2012).
A more complicated and challenging problem
On a project where we have three activities, it about resource leveling is provided in Example 4.2.
may be straightforward to determine a possible (Pinto, 2006).
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Resource Management
Example 4.2
Activities, durations, and predecessors for the project are provided in Table 4.2, and based on these
data, early start (ES), late start (LS), early finish (EF), late finish (LF), and slack time are calculated
using the process explained in the previous chapter. Activity table of this project is provided in Table 4.3,
and corresponding Gantt chart and project network diagram are given in Figure 4.12 and Figure 4.13,
respectively.
A 5 —
B 4 A
C 5 A
D 6 A
E 6 B
F 6 C
G 4 D
H 7 E, F
I 5 G
J 3 G
K 5 H, I, J
A 5 0 5 0 5 —
B 4 5 9 6 10 1
C 5 5 10 5 10 —
D 6 5 11 8 14 3
E 6 9 15 10 16 1
F 6 10 16 10 16 —
G 4 11 15 14 18 3
H 7 16 23 16 23 —
I 5 15 20 18 23 3
J 3 15 18 20 23 5
K 5 23 28 23 28 —
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Project Management
Figure 4.12 Gantt Chart of the Project in Example 4.2. (Pinto, 2006)
5 B 9 9 E 15 16 H 23
6 4 10 10 6 16 16 7 23
0 A 5 5 C 10 10 F 16
0 5 5 5 5 10 10 6 16 23 K 28
23 5 28
15 1 20
18 5 23
5 D 11 11 G 15
5 D 14 14 4 18
ES ID LS 15 J 18
Legend 20 3 23
LS Dur. LF
Figure 4.13 Project Network with ES, EF, LS, LF and the Duration (Pinto, 2006)
Suppose that the number of hours per week that we can assign resources to the activities are as given in
Table 4.4. Total resource hours required for each activity is calculated by multiplying the resource hours
needed per day by the duration of the activity. For instance, activity B takes four days and it requires two
resource hours per day, which results in a total of eight resource hours as given in the last column.
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Resource Management
A 5 0 6 30
B 4 1 2 8
C 5 0 4 20
D 6 3 3 18
E 6 1 3 18
F 6 0 2 12
G 4 3 4 16
H 7 0 3 21
I 5 3 4 20
J 3 5 2 6
K 5 0 5 25
Total 194
After calculating the total resource hours needed for each activity, following steps can be applied to
level the resources.
Step 1. Creating Resource Loading Table: As already mentioned above, the histogram can be used
to show the hours of resource requirements throughout the project life cycle as given in Figure 4.14. In
addition to histograms, the resource loading tables are also very useful to determine the resource conflicts
in the project. Resource loading table of the project in Example 4.2. is provided in figure 4.15. Note that,
the project is assumed to be started on January 1.
12
10
Resource Requirements
0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27
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Project Management
January February
Acivity 12345 8 9 10 11 12 15 16 17 18 19 22 23 24 25 26 29 30 31 1 2 5 6 7
A 66666
B 2 2 2 2
C 4 4 4 4 4
D 3 3 3 3 3 3
E 3 3 3 3 3 3
F 2 2 2 2 2 2
G 4 4 4 4
H 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
I 4 4 4 4 4
J 2 2 2
K 5 5 5 5 5
Total 66666 9 9 9 9 10 8 9 9 9 9 8 9 9 7 7 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5
Step 2. Determining Activity Late Finish Dates: The second step is the determination of activity late
finish dates by using the slack times and modifying the resource loading table. Modified resource loading
table of the project is given in Figure 4.16. Late finish dates of the activities with slack time are shown
with a bracket. Note that, activities on the critical path have no slack time, therefore their late finish dates
do not alter.
January February
Acivity 12345 8 9 10 11 12 15 16 17 18 19 22 23 24 25 26 29 30 31 1 2 5 6 7
A 66666
B 2 2 2 2
C 4 4 4 4 4
D 3 3 3 3 3 3
E 3 3 3 3 3 3
F 2 2 2 2 2 2
G 4 4 4 4
H 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
I 4 4 4 4 4
J 2 2 2
K 5 5 5 5 5
Total 66666 9 9 9 9 10 8 9 9 9 9 8 9 9 7 7 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5
- Late Fininsh
Figure 4.16 Modified Resource Loading Table of the Project (Pinto, 2006)
Step 3. Identifying Resource Overallocation: After modifying the resource loading table with late
finish dates, we are ready to identify the resource overallocations. At that point, we know how many
resources we need in each period during the project life cycle. So, the question is whether we can supply
that much resource for this project. If the answer is ‘no’, then we have a resource overallocation problem
which must be resolved to complete the project on time and in the budget limits. For our example,
suppose that we have nine units of resources, therefore in January 12, we have overallocation problem since
we need ten units of resources at that specific day.
Step 4. Leveling the Resource Loading Table: This step is the main step of the resource leveling
procedure. At that step, in order to eliminate the overallocation determined in the previous step, the
resource loading table is reorganized iteratively. First of all, the activities on conflict point are investigated,
which is January 12 in our example. We have activities C, D, and E scheduled on this day. As we already
know, activity C is on the critical path, which is not preferred to be modified. Therefore, in the second
phase, we can examine activity D and E. In order to determine which activity is going to be modified,
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Resource Management
above given resource prioritization heuristics can be applied. Even though we can modify both, not to split
the activity D (if we choose to modify activity D, then we have to split this activity into two parts. The first
part starts on January 8 and stops on 12, later it restarts on January 15 and stops again on January 16),
we choose modifying activity E, which has three days of slack. The new resource loading table is provided
in Figure 4.16. As shown in Figure 4.17., resource overallocation is solved for January 12, which requires
seven units of resources now.
January February
Acivity 12345 8 9 10 11 12 15 16 17 18 19 22 23 24 25 26 29 30 31 1 2 5 6 7
A 66666
B 2 2 2 2
C 4 4 4 4 4
D 3 3 3 3 3 3
E 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
F 2 2 2 2 2 2
G 4 4 4 4
H 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
I 4 4 4 4 4
J 2 2 2 2
K 5 5 5 5 5
Total 66666 9 9 9 9 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 7 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5
- Late Fininsh
Figure 4.17 New Resource Loading Table of the Project (Step 4) (Pinto, 2006)
Finally, we have to check the new table for all periods to find out if the latest reconfiguration disrupts
the balance at any point on the project life cycle. Since each modification can cause a ripple effect, we have
to check the entire table at each iteration. Note that, activities on the critical path may also change with this
modification. When we check the entire table after the first modification, we see that a new overallocation
of resources occurs on January 22 (11 units of resources needed) by lagging the activity E one day. So,
we have to go back to the second iteration to overcome this problem. On that day, we have activities E,
F, I, and J scheduled. Since E and F are now on the critical path, we do not modify them. We have two
options to modify, activity I and J. Since earlier heuristics suggest to first modify the activity with less slack
time, we choose to modify activity J by one day as
important
given in Figure 4.16. This solves the overallocation
problem on January 22. However, as already
mentioned above,, we need to check the entire table Modified table must be checked for all periods to
after each iteration to see if this modification causes find out if the latest reconfiguration disrupts the
any other overallocation problem on any period. balance at any point on the project life cycle. Note
For this example, the latest modification lowers the that, activities on the critical path may also change
required number of resources to nine, which satisfies with this modification.
our requirements.
By applying the above steps, in this example, we important
manage to level the resource without delaying the
project and without adding an additional resource.
Resource leveling process and necessary steps for
However, for this example, we assume that we
this exercise can be attained in Project Management:
have nine units of available resources for each day.
Achieving Competitive Advantage and MS Project by
However, we could have had less than nine resources
Pinto (2006).
in our hand, for instance eight resources. This case is
left as an exercise to the readers.
Finally, the basic flowchart of resource leveling process is given in Figure 4.18 (Pinto, 2006).
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Project Management
Resource Forecasting
Resource forecasting is the process of estimating the resource requirements of a company in a large
timescale. Even though it is recommended to be done before a project starts, it can also be beneficial to
do it after a project finishes to investigate the future projection of resources for upcoming projects besides
predicting the resource constraints, unexpected costs, and possible risk areas. Different from the resource
estimation process, in resource forecasting, instead of identifying the types, amount and characteristics of
the resources needed to accomplish the activities in detail, we only draw the big picture about the resource
requirements of the company in a large time base.
In order to predict the resource requirements correctly, project lifecycle, expectations and the availability
of resources within the company should be known and be accessible by the project manager. At that point,
a project management software, which will be explained in detail in the following part, can help the project
manager a lot.
Top-five tips for resource forecasting in project management are as follows:
• Skills needed for the project must be thoroughly understood.
• Strengths and weaknesses of the project team members must be clarified.
• Investigate the recent projects to determine the usage (over or underutilized) of the resources and
use these data to predict the future resource requirements.
• Assign the right resources to right activity in the project plan.
• Statistics about the resources such as employee turnover rate, recruitment trends, and return on
investment must be kept under control (Daugherty, 2019).
Learning Outcomes
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Resource Management
Chief Project
Executive Coordination
Functional
Functional Functional
Functional Functional
Functional
Manager
Manager Manager
Manager Manager
Manager
On the other hand, in a projectized organization, team members are collocated and the project managers
is on the top of their hierarchy. The project manager has all the resources to complete the project, and the
team members are directly connected to the project manager. An example of projectized organization chart
is provided in Figure 4.20.
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Project Management
Project
Coordination Chief
Executive
Functional
Project Functional
Project Functional
Project
Manager
Manager Manager Manager
Manager
The matrix organization is the third type of organizational structures in project management. In this
organization type, team members report more than one project manager. The matrix organization is the
blend of first two organization types, functional and projectized organization. There are three types of
matrix organization: weak, balanced, and strong. While the weak matrix organization has most of the
features of the functional organization, the strong matrix organization maintain many characteristics of
the projectized organization. An example of strong matrix organization is provided in Figure 4.21.
Chief
Executive
Functional
Functional Functional
Functional Functional
Functional Functional
Manager of
Manager
Manager Manager
Manager Manager
Manager Manager
Project Managers
Project
Coordination
The last organization type is the composite organization. As the name suggests, it involves all the
characteristics of above given organization structures at different levels. This type of structure is mainly
formed in a company when the company works on different types of projects at the same time. Therefore,
the composite organization is used by most of the modern organizations in the world since the companies
usually manage more than one project at a time. Figure 4.22 illustrates the composite organization chart.
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Resource Management
Chief
Executive
Functional
Functional Functional
Functional Functional
Functional Functional
Manager of
Manager
Manager Manager
Manager Manager
Manager Manager
Project Managers
Project
Coordination
A responsibility assignment matrix is a matrix that assigns the activities of the project to the team
members who are responsible for performing the corresponding activity. Depending on the preferences
of the project managers and the complexity of the project, responsibility assignment matrix can assign
the activities to individuals, teams, or organizations. Especially for big projects, which include numerous
activities, it is better to assign activities to the teams or organization for simplicity. In these matrices,
in order to ensure the healthy communication among the team members, the responsibilities of the
stakeholders can be defined by different categories such as accountable, participant, providing input, and
review. Notice that each activity may be performed by more than one team member, and each member
may perform more than one activity (Schwalbe, 2012).
Even though there are different models to describe the responsibilities, RACI model is the most widely
used model in the literature, which is derived from the key responsibilities: Responsible, Accountable,
Consulted, and Informed, .
In RACI model;
• Responsible (R) refers to the person who does
the activity, In addition to RACI, there are other alternative
• Accountable (A) is the person who is ultimately models to describe the responsibilities such
answerable for the activity. as PARIS (Participant, Accountable, Review
• Consulted (C) is the adviser for the given Required, Input Required, Sign-off Required)
activity or the entire project. and RASCI (Responsible, Accountable, Support,
• Informed (I) is the person who needs to be Consulted, and Informed) (Project Management
notified about the activity or the project. Institute, 2000; Hightower, 2008).
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Project Management
In RACI matrix, activities form the rows; individuals or groups form the columns; and intersecting
cells contains the letters R, A, C, or I depending on the responsibility type of the team member on that
activity. For instance, in Figure 4.23., while the executive is accountable for implementing the roadmaps,
the process owner is responsible for the same activity. In this matrix, each activity (row) may have multiple
R, C, and I; however, it cannot have more than one A to point out the specific person that is accountable
for the activity. In addition to that, each individual or group may have more than one responsibility for
each activity. For instance, in Figure 4.23, the process owner is both responsible and accountable for
maintaining operation gains.
Finally, these matrices can be used to measure the workload of each individual or the group for the
project. For instance, it can be concluded that if a team member has too many activities that he or she is in
responsibility role (R), this member can be overloaded for the project, or vice versa. However, man-hours
of the activities can differ, therefore, they must also be taken into consideration while investigating the
workloads of the project team members.
The third component of the human resources management is the resource histogram. It is a bar chart
that illustrates the number of required resources for a project throughout the project life cycle. Depending
on the preference of the project manager, bars can also show the amount of time that a specific resource is
scheduled. Since they are straightforward charts to examine, they can provide fast and easy view of resource
allocations at any time on the schedule. They also provide information about how long a resource will be
involved in the project.
An example of a resource histogram is provided in
Figure 4.24. This project requires a project manager,
business analysts, programmers, and technical writers as The resource histogram is a bar chart that
given at the bottom of the figure with different colors. illustrates the number of required resources
Each bar represents the number of people needed for for a project throughout the project life cycle.
the corresponding month. For instance; in January, Depending on the preference of the project
one project manager, two business analysts, and one manager, bars can also show the amount of
programmer are needed for this project. In the same time that a specific resource is scheduled.
way, we can find the number of required people in each
month. In addition to that, we can also develop a similar chart to show the required number of man-hours
per month. They can also be used to make inferences about the utilization of each resource. For instance,
Figure 4.24 shows that even though we need one programmer at the beginning of the project, we will need
a maximum of four programmers later in the project.
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Resource Management
8
7
Numbers of People
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Managers Business Analysts Programmers Technical Writers
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Project Management
Learning Outcomes
What are the four components Build a relationship between Share your experience about an
of the human resources human resources management unsuccessful human resources
management? and project success. management application.
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Resource Management
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Project Management
- Skills tracking: Does it have a feature to filter workers based on their skills and availability? Is
it easy to search by skill? Does it provide you feedback about necessary skills?
- Forecasting: Does it have a resource forecasting tool to predict the upcoming resource
requirements of the company? Does it collect data on sales, schedules, activities, progress of the
project, and launches? How long does the forecasting tool cover?
- Utilization management tools: Does it provide necessary data about the utilization of the
resources? Does it offer you alternative ways of utilizing resources throughout the project
lifecycle?
- Reporting: Does it have a reporting tool? Is it easy to use? Does the reporting tool allow you to
extract and present data in charts, tables, and other visualizations? How well does the sharing
option of these reports work?
• Integrations: Does it work in an integrated and compatible way with other software recently used
in the company? Does the data transmission options fit with the available management systems in
the company?
• Price-performance ratio: Are there any buying options for different requirements? When
compared with the similar software, how appropriate is the price? Does the price cover possible
system upgrades? Is there a time-based usage fee, such as an annual usage fee or annual licensing
fee?
Learning Outcomes
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Resource Management
Further Reading
Microsoft Project is a project management software program created and sold by Microsoft to help a
project manager develop a schedule, assign resources to tasks, monitor progress, manage the budget, and
analyze workloads. It became the dominant PC-based project management software within a few years
of its launch. According to Project Management Zone website, MS Project is the most popular project
management software among other 230 software as of September, 2019 (Project Management Systems,
2019).
Project’s first professional version is published in 1984 for DOS. In 1985, Microsoft purchased
all software privileges and published the version 2. The final DOS version published in 1986 and the
first version for Windows is released in 1990 and it is labeled as version 1 for Windows. A Macintosh
version of Project software is published in 1991 for the first time. Latest version for Windows is
published in 2019 as version 17. The project is accessible in two Standard and Professional editions ;
both versions are accessible as 32 or 64bit alternatives. The Professional edition involves all standard
version characteristics as well as additional characteristics such as team collaboration tools and the
capacity to connect to Microsoft Project Server (Haughey, 2019).
Even though MS Project is wealthy in features, similar to other software, it requires the project
manager to efficiently drive a project. Microsoft Project generates critical path schedules, although
ProChain and Spherical Angle provide a critical third-party add-ons chain. Schedules may be resource-
leveled and it uses Gantt Charts to visualize the chain .
Microsoft Project has 3 types of resources such as working resources, material resources and cost
resources. Labors and machines are called as working resources and they need time (hours, days, weeks,
etc.) to perform tasks in MS Project. Consumables such as cable, oil, paint, etc. are called as material
resources which are independent of time in MS Project. MS Project enables us to work on multi project
environment by sharing resources between projects using a shared resource pool (Haughey, 2019).
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Project Management
In literature, all the required things to finish a project on time are defined as the resource. Therefore, it
can be a human, a machine, financial resources (funds), material, or anything. APM Body of Knowledge
describes the resource management as ‘the acquisition and deployment of internal and external resources
required to deliver the project, programme or portfolio’. Successful resource management benefits the
company in a variety of ways that can be summarized as follows:
Summary
• Avoids unexpected delays: By creating resource management plans, it is possible to predict needed
resources and avoid unexpected delays.
• Prevents overloads and fatigue: Effective resource management enables the use of resource allocation,
aggregation and leveling methods to avoid overloads of assets (human fatigue) and bottlenecks or
roadblocks.
• Builds transparency: Resource management offers transparent resource status and workload data and
creates transparency for all project shareholders.
• Measures efficiency: It enables us to assess resource efficiency and to operate on multi-project setting.
It also enables us to readily calculate the ROI ratio.
• Provides a safety net and projection: Resource management lets us know that with the accessible
funds in hand we have done the best, and it provides the future projection for future initiatives.
The first resource management phase is resource estimation. In this phase, project executives estimate
the type and quantity of material, human resources, equipment, machines, or any resources required
to carry out each activity. Resource allocation is the second step of resource management. In this phase,
resources are allocated to the particular operations in the project schedule, which are defined in the first
step. Resource aggregation is performed in the third phase. All the required resources are summarized in
this phase on a timeline that depends on the resource allocations made in the second step. The next stage
is the phase of resource leveling. In this phase, we aim to minimize the changes in resource requirements
for operations throughout the life cycle of the project and minimize the adverse impacts of resource
requirements. The last stage is the forecasting of resources. It is the method of estimating a time-scale for
the company’s resource demands. Although it is suggested to do so before a project begins, it may also be
useful to do so after a project ends to explore future resource projections for future projects in addition to
anticipating resource constraints, unexpected expenses, and potential risk areas.
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Resource Management
People are the company’s most significant asset among all the resources. Project success and failure is
extremely linked to employee performance. The primary aim of project human resources management is
to ensure that sufficient human resources are available with the correct abilities, expertise, and experience
to effectively finish the project. human resources management comprises of four primary components:
organization chart for the project, responsibility assignment matrix, histogram for resources, and staffing
Summary
management plan.
• The distribution of power and accountability within the project is shown graphically in a project
organization chart. There are mainly four types of organization charts: functional organization,
projectized organization, matrix organization, and composite organization.
• A matrix for assigning accountability is a matrix that assigns project operations to the laboratories
responsible for carrying out the respective activity.
• The resource histogram is the third element of human resources management. It is a bar chart that
shows how many resources a project needs throughout the life cycle of the project.
• The last element of human resources management is the staffing management plan, a document that
explains when and how individuals are going to be part of a project and rejected from it. It also offers
the required training data, reward mechanism, and resource allocation process.
Resource management software is the project manager’s best assistant. Resource management software
makes the resource required particularly for large projects simple to plan, schedule, and reschedule (if
necessary). Software for resource management can provide a clear perspective of resource use and avoid
disputes in resource allocation. It also enables us to follow who is working on which project, when the
activity began, and how long it will take. Software for resource management offers some real-time data
analysis and historical and predicted uses of resources.
While everyone agrees on the need for software, there is considerable uncertainty as to which software
to use for resource management. The following criteria may be used to assess the resource management
software:
• User Interface
• Usability
• Features & Functionality
• Integrations
• Price-performance ratio
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Project Management
1 Which of the following is not one of the four 5 What would be the total project delay if we
M’s in resource management? limit the working hours to eight hours instead of
a. Manpower b. Method nine hours in Example 4.2?
c. Machine d. Money a. 1 b. 2 c. 3 d. 4 e. 5
Test Yourself
e. Material
6 In which step of the resource management,
the resources, which are required to complete all the
2 Which of the following is not true about activities with respect to the resource allocation step
resource management? outputs, are summed to show the total amount needed?
a. In order to get optimal performance from a. Estimating Resources
the resources, first schedule the most valuable b. Resource Forecasting
resources. c. Resource Allocating
b. It is very important to have an intelligent d. Resource Aggregations
resource management software. e. Resource Leveling
c. Gaining visibility on resources and tracking
the project allow project managers to monitor 7 Which of the following is not part of the
the process, to inform the stakeholders, and to
human resources management?
control the resources.
d. Material resources are always the most a. Organization chart for the project
important resource of the companies. b. Responsibility assignment matrix
e. Predicting the possible problem areas about c. Staffing management plan
resources and having alternative scenarios to fix d. Histogram for resources
the potential disasters are very important. e. Work breakdown structures
3 What is the correct order of the resource 8 Which of the following shows the activities
management steps? and the labors who are responsible for performing
the corresponding activities?
a. Estimating Resources - Resource Allocating -
Resource Aggregations – Resource Leveling – a. Organization chart for the project
Resource Forecasting b. Responsibility assignment matrix
b. Estimating Resources - Resource Forecasting - c. Staffing management plan
Resource Allocating - Resource Aggregations – d. Histogram for resources
Resource Leveling e. Resource estimation
c. Estimating Resources - Resource Aggregations
– Resource Allocating - Resource Leveling – 9 Which of the following is not a function that an
Resource Forecasting intelligent resource management software can realize?
d. Estimating Resources - Resource Allocating -
Resource Leveling – Resource Aggregations – a. Generating reports only for the project manager
Resource Forecasting b. Determining the actual demand and capacity
e. Estimating Resources - Resource Aggregations c. Obtaining actual resource availability
– Resource Allocating - Resource Forecasting– d. Assigning the necessary resources on the correct
Resource Leveling work and at the right time
e. Implementing different objective methods for
4 What is the most proper way of solving the prioritizing the activities and analyzing the
output of what-if scenarios
resource conflicts in resource leveling step?
a. Shifting the due date of the project 10 Which of the following is not a criterion for
b. Adding more resources to the company selecting resource management software?
c. Shifting (mostly delaying. the dates of the tasks
a. User Interface b. Usability
d. Starting the project earlier
c. Price-performance ratio d. Speed
e. Adding more activities to the project
e. Features & Functionality
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Resource Management
If your answer is wrong, please review If your answer is wrong, please review the
3. a 8. b
the “Resource management steps and “Project human resources management”
techniques” section. section.
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Project Management
The first component is the organization charts. After determining the skills
and types of people required for the project, the project manager can create
an organization chart with the help of other top stakeholders of the project. A
project organization chart graphically shows the distribution of authority and
responsibility within the project.
The second component is the responsibility assignment matrix. A responsibility
assignment matrix is a matrix that assigns the activities of the project to the
labors who are responsible for performing the corresponding activity.
The third component of the human resources management is the resource
histogram. It is a bar chart that illustrates the number of required resources
self review 3 for a project throughout the project life cycle. Depending on the preference
of the project manager, bars can also show the amount of time that a specific
resource is scheduled. Since they are straightforward charts to examine, they
can provide fast and easy view of resource allocations at any time on the
schedule. They also provide information about how long a resource will be
involved in the project.
The last component of the human resources management is the staffing
management plan. It is a document that explains when and how people
will be part of and dismissed from a project. It also provides the necessary
information about training, reward mechanism, and reassigning process for
the resources.
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Resource Management
References
Demirbag, M., Lenny Koh, S., Tatoglu, E., & Zaim, McCray, G. E., Purvis, R. L., & McCray, C. G. J.
S. (2006). TQM and Market Orientation’s Impact P. M. J. (2002). Project management under
on SMEs’ Performance. Industrial Management uncertainty: The impact of heuristics and biases.
Data Systems, 106(8), 1206-1228. Project Management Journal, 33(1), 49-57.
Hightower, R. (2008). Internal Controls Policies and Pinto, J. K. (2006). Project Management: Achieving
Procedures. NJ, USA: John Wiley & Sons. Competitive Advantage and MS Project. Harlow,
UK: Prentice-Hall, Inc.
Klimoski, R. J., Dugan, B., Messikomer, C., &
Chiocchio, F. (2014). Advancing Human Resource Project Management Institute. (2000). A Guide to the
Project Management CA, USA: John Wiley & Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK®
Sons. guide) (Vol. 2). PA, USA: Project Management
Institute.
Lock, D. (2016). Project Management in Construction:
Routledge. Schwalbe, K. (2012). An Introduction to Project
Management (4th Edition). Minneapolis, USA:
Management, A. f. P. (2012). APM body of knowledge
Kathy-Schwalbe-LLC.
(6th ed.). Buckinghamshire, UK: Association for
Project Management.
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Online References
Aston, B. (2019, January 1). The 10 Best Resource Leankor. (2018, October 29). 10 Quick Tips
Management Software & Tools of 2019. About Effective Resource Management. [web
[web log comment]. Retrieved from https:// log comment]. Retrieved from [Link]
t h e d i g i t a l p ro j e c t m a n a g e r. c o m / re s o u rc e - [Link]/10-quick-tips-effective-resource-
management-software/ management/
Bailey, G. (2019, May 23). 5 Project Success Factors Project Management Systems - Popularity
in Resource Management. [web log comment]. Ranking. (n.d.). Retrieved from [Link]
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project-success-factors/
Rius, A. (2019, February 12). What is Resource
Daugherty, S. (2019, May 13). 5 Tips for Resource Management What are the Benefits? [web log
Forecasting in Project Management: Resource comment]. Retrieved from [Link]
Guru. [web log comment]. Retrieved from https:// com/blog/what-is-resource-management-
[Link]/5-tips-for-resource- definition
forecasting-in-project-management/
Townsend, S. (2019, April 2). Top 12 Resource
Elbeltagi, E. (2009). Lecture Notes on Construction Management Best Practices. [web log comment].
Project Management. [PDF document]. Retrieved from [Link]
Retrieved from [Link] resources/articles/top-12-resource-management-
edu/6799991/LECTURE_NOTES_ best-practices/
ON_CONSTRUCTION_PROJECT_
Viet Thai International. (n.d.). RACI Matrix-
MANAGEMENT
An Effective Tool to Assign Responsibilities.
Halabuda, P. (2019, June 28). Resource Allocation: Retrieved from [Link]
A Complete Guide for Project Managers. [web vn/news/raci-matrix-an-effective-tool-to-assign-
log comment]. Retrieved from [Link] responsibilities-in-the-project.35a53475/en
io/project-management/resource-allocation-for-
Watt, B., & Watt, A. (2014). Resource Planning.
project-manager
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Hansen, B. (2018, September 27). What Is Resource from [Link]
Management & Why Is It Important? [web log chapter/chapter-11-resource-planning-project-
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Williamson, D. (2012, February 27). Resource
Haughey, D. (2019, January). An Introduction to Histogram. [web log comment]. Retrieved from
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The Project Manager and
Chapter 5 the Project Team
After completing this chapter, you will be able to;
Learning Outcomes
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99
The Project Manager and the Project Team
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Project Management
operationally as well as leading a team from a strategic perspective. We will give details regarding
this attribute in the following sections.
9. Leadership: This attribute is a vogue word for project management world. The concepts of manager
and leader are all mentioned together. In general, leadership is the top first attribute of a project
manager, but we mentioned it last because we believe that this should be given in detail. Thus, the
following section will focus on the managing versus leading a project topic.
Project
manager
Figure 5.1 Typical Responsibilities of a Project Manager in a Project Organization (Meredith, & Mantel, 2009, p. 109)
The PM has many responsibilities but they are primarily divided into three separate groups:
• The responsibility to the main company includes the appropriate care of resources, convenient and
correct project communications, adequate and apprehensive project management.
• The responsibility to the project and the customer is fulfilled by ensuring that the integrity of the
project is maintained despite the contradictory demands of many parties with legitimate interests.
• The responsibility to the project team is determined by the finite nature of the project and the
expertise structure of the team. Because the project is, by definition, a temporary entity and must
come to an end, the PM must be concerned with the future of the people who serve on the team
(Meredith and Mantel, 2009).
Since there are many responsibilities,
there are cons and pros of becoming The Pros and Cons of Becoming
a project manager just like in every a Project Manager
profession or work as being a project Pros:
manager could happen accidentally and • It can often be a steppingstone to promotion.
you may not know anything about how • It provides a strong sense of accomplishment.
• There’s considerable variety: no two days are alike.
to run a project. On the other hand, • There’s significant freedom of choice.
although you are an experienced PM, your • It affords the opportunity to effect change across the organization.
environment may be different. According Cons:
to Herkens (2002, p. 3) these pros and • It requires significant tolerance for politics.
cons are as given in Figure 5.2. • It requires significant tolerance for ambiguity and uncertainty.
• There’s a lot of responsibility, but little or no authority.
Since a project is unique, meaning each • You may feel “disconnected” from your technical discipline.
project has its own characteristics, a PM’s • You may be perceived by some as not having “a real job.”
project environment differs although his/
her roles do not change. Let’s cover up the Figure 5.2 The Pros and Cons of Becoming a Project Manager
possible cons and pros given in Figure 5.2. (Herkens, 2002, p:3)
briefly
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The Project Manager and the Project Team
Pros:
• As a PM, there are various industries, companies and consultancy opportunities that you can work.
Hence, you can be an IT project manager, a consulting project manager, or even a movie project
manager. Thus, you have a chance to experience different environments.
• As your project topic and project teams change, you will always have the opportunity to learn new things.
• It can be a very valuable job to successfully close a project by thoroughly completing its steps and
to see the results achieved by your team.
• You have an influential leadership position that can make positive change at all levels of an organization.
Cons:
• Sometimes the requirements of a project, the steps to be taken later, and all the resources available
to implement the project are vast question marks. A PM needs to develop the ability to act on
uncertain conditions and focus on the next step.
• The ability of the project manager to manage team members, resources, and programs is often based on
discussion with managers, department managers, and even other project managers. This brings a lot of
responsibility but a lack of authority. PMs must have extensive interpersonal skills to deal with this.
• As mentioned under the pros, you may be a PM in an environment different from your occupation
or background. You may feel that you are away from your technical discipline.
• Since a project has a start and a finish date, a PM’s job is going to end when the project is completed.
Therefore, it may be perceived that you do not have a real job by others.
In Practice
In Search of Effective Project Managers sufficient. The failure rate for these project manager
Pureswing Golf, Inc., manufactures and sells a volunteers is over 40%, too high for a company of
full line of golf equipment, including clubs, golf balls, Pureswing’s size. With such steady turnover among
leisure- wear, and ancillary equipment (bags, rain the volunteers, successful managers have to pick up
gear, towels, etc.). The company competes in a highly the slack—they often manage five or six projects
competitive and fast-paced industry against better- simultaneously. Top management, worried about
known competitors, such as Nike, Taylor Made, burnout among these high- performing project
Titleist, PING, Calloway, and Cleveland. Among managers, has decided that the firm must develop
the keys to success in this industry are the continuous a coordinated program for finding new project
introduction of new club models, innovative managers, including creating a career path in project
engineering and design, and speed to market. As a management within the organization.
smaller company trying to stay abreast of stronger Questions
competitors, Pureswing places great emphasis on 1. Imagine you are a Human Resources
the project management process in order to remain (HR) professional at Pureswing who has
profitable. At any time, the company will have more been assigned to develop a program for
than 35 project teams developing new ideas across recruiting new project managers. Design
the entire product range. a job description for the position.
Pureswing prefers to find promising engineers 2. What qualities and personal characteristics
from within the organization and promote them to support a higher likelihood of success as
project manager. It feels that these individuals, having a project manager?
learned the company’s philosophy of competitive
3. What qualities and personal characteristics
success, are best equipped to run new product
would make it difficult to be a successful
introduction projects. For years, Pureswing relied
project manager?
on volunteers to move into project management,
but lately it has realized that this ad hoc method
for finding and encouraging project managers is not Source: (Pinto, 2016, p. 137)
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Project Management
Other Customers
organizations Top Project
management sponsors
ject Tea
m
Pro
Pro m
je ct Tea
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The Project Manager and the Project Team
External Stakeholders
Customers
End users In PMBOK® (2017), it was mentioned that
Suppliers there could be internal and external project
Shareholders stakeholders, which might be actively involved,
Regulatory bodies
passively involved, or unaware of the project.
Competitors
Figure 5.4 depicts examples of these internal
and external stakeholders (PMBOK®, 2017,
Internal Stakeholders
Sponsor p550).
Resource manager In the first part of this chapter we
Project management
introduced the project manager, a PM’s roles
office (PMO)
Portfolio steering and responsibilities, and the relationship with
committee project stakeholders. In general, leadership
Program manager is the top first and very trendy attribute of a
PMs of other projects
project manager we mentioned. Thus, the
Team members
following section will focus on leadership.
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Project Management
“Leadership is the process of influencing the activities of an organized group toward goal achievement.”
C. F. Rauch and O. Behling
“The leader is one who mobilizes others toward a goal shared by leaders and followers. Leaders,
followers, and goals make up the three equally necessary supports for leadership.”
Garry Wills
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The Project Manager and the Project Team
important
Figure 5.5 Difference between Managers and Leaders (Pinto, 2007, p.119)
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Project Management
Further Reading
In project management, effective team leaders can usually create a partnership approach between
themselves and their teams. The idea of leadership as a partnership is crucial for project management
because it emphasizes the importance of all leaders ultimately dependent on their teams to achieve their
project objectives. Four things are required to develop the idea of partnership between the project manager
and the team (Pinto, 2016, p118):
1. Exchange of purpose: Partnerships require that every worker be responsible for defining the
project’s vision and goals. A steady dialogue between the project manager and team members can
create a consistent and widely shared vision.
2. A right to say no: It is critical that all members of the project team feel they have the ability to
disagree and to offer contrary positions. Supporting people’s right to voice their disagreements is a
cornerstone of a partnership. Losing arguments is acceptable; losing the right to disagree is not.
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The Project Manager and the Project Team
3. Joint accountability: In a partnership, each member of the project team is responsible for the
project’s outcomes and the current situation, whether it is positive or shows evidence of problems.
The project is shared among multiple participants and the results of the project are also shared.
4. Absolute honesty: Partnerships demand authenticity. An authentic atmosphere promotes
straightforwardness and honesty among all participants. Because we respect each team member’s
role on the project, we make an implicit pact that all information, both good and bad, becomes
community information. Just as honesty is a cornerstone of successful marriages, it is critical in
project team relationships.
Figure 5.6 shows a summary of the
characteristics, style, and overall desires that Hearing and
a leader should have to be an effective PM. Querying
As we understand from the starter of Anticipating Imression
this chapter, a big portion of the PM’s
role and responsibility includes people.
A PM has to be face to face mainly with Imagining Strategy
customer and team. Thus, a PM should
Success
analyze the behaviors and motivations
of people. Since the leadership is crucial of
to the project success as discussed above, Authoritative Project Team Builder
a PM should be a perfect leader. At this
point, in PMBOK® (2017, p. 61), research
shows that a leader’s qualifications and Figure 5.6 Summary of the Characteristics, Style and Overall
Desires
skills are and are not limited to those
given below.
• Being a visionary (e.g., help to describe the products, goals, and objectives of the project; able to
dream and translate those dreams for others);
• Being optimistic and positive;
• Being collaborative;
• Managing relationships and conflict by:
• Building trust;
• Satisfying concerns;
• Seeking consensus;
• Balancing competing and opposing goals;
• Applying persuasion, negotiation, compromise, and conflict resolution skills;
• Developing and nurturing personal and professional networks;
• Taking a long-term view that relationships are just as important as the project; and continuously
developing and applying political acumen.
• Communicating by:
• Spending sufficient time communicating (Research shows that top project managers spend
about 90% of their time on a project in communicating);
• Managing expectations;
• Accepting feedback gracefully;
• Giving feedback constructively; and
• Asking and listening.
• Being respectful (helping others retain their autonomy), courteous, friendly, kind, honest,
trustworthy, loyal, and ethical;
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Project Management
• Exhibiting integrity and being culturally • Being able to sift through massive
sensitive, courageous, a problem solver, and amounts of information to obtain the
decisive; most important information.
• Giving credit to others where due; • Having a holistic and systemic view of the
• Being a lifelong learner who is results- and project, taking into account internal and
action-oriented; external factors equally;
• Focusing on the important things, • Being able to apply critical thinking (e.g.
including: application of analytical methods to reach
decisions) and identify him or herself as a
• Continuously prioritizing work by
change agent.
reviewing and adjusting as necessary;
• Being able to build effective teams, be
• Finding and using a prioritization method
service-oriented, and have fun and share
that works for them and the project;
humor effectively with team members.
• Differentiating high-level strategic
A Project Manager is the rudder of a project.
priorities, especially those related to
He or she has both technical and interpersonal
critical success factors for the project;
skills that were defined in detail in the previous two
• Maintaining vigilance on primary parts of this chapter. In the last part, the backbone
project constraints; of a project, the team and how the team should be
• Remaining flexible on tactical priorities; built, will be introduced.
and
Learning Outcomes
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The Project Manager and the Project Team
Superordinate Goals
Task
Outcomes
Rules and Procedures
Cross-Functional
Cooperation
Physical Proximity
Psychosocial
Outcomes
Accessibility
Feedback Loop
Superordinate Goals, Rules and Procedures, PM is faced with the challenge of creating a high-
Physical Proximity, and Accessibility are the critical performing and cohesive project team from a set
factors affecting the cooperation, which has an of diverse individuals (Pinto, 2016, p.189). The
influence on both task and psychosocial outcomes. PM should spend a great deal of effort and time to
Task outcomes ensure that the project is done right develop a project team. Then, at the point where
while psychosocial outcomes are the emotional and they start working jointly, the project team develops
psychological impacts for the strong performance its members and obtains positive dividends from
of the project team. the joint performance of the project. However, the
preferred process should be configured as much as
possible; the staff is ideally in line with the decision
Staffing and Building a Project Team of the project manager on what is best for the
A person in an organization can be assigned as project. Figure 5.8 illustrates a flow chart to build
a PM by chance; however, project teams do not a project team with the key decisions or the critical
happen by chance. As soon as a PM is assigned interfaces.
to conduct a project, he/she should start building
up a team. Regardless of the circumstances, the
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Project Management
Identify skills
required (from WBS)
NO
Project Team
Pilot-test questionnaire R S
Finalize questionnaire R S S S
Print questionnaire R
Prepare mailing labels R
Mail questionnaires R
Analyze results R S S
R= Responsible
S= Supports/assists
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The Project Manager and the Project Team
We can understand that the roles can change according to the type of a project. However, the duties of
the project team members remain. These duties are as follows:
• Providing effort to the whole project to meet the objectives
• Completing individual products of the project such as reports, models, designs, plans, etc. by the
due date
• Delivering expertise
• Working with users to identify and meet business requirements
• Reporting status updates to PM
• Establishing records of project including the documents
• Attending and active participation in the meetings
• Ensuring the tasks to be completed on time
• Performing assigned activities
As humans develop in certain ways in the first months of their lives, many experts argue that groups
are developing in a predictable model. Furthermore, Larson & Gray (2018) and Pinto (2016) mentioned
that one of the most popular models identified five stages in which groups developed into effective teams.
These five stages are forming, storming, norming, performing and adjourning. Although the model and
its stages are same, Figure 5.10 shows the description of Larson & Gray (2018) while Table 5.2 shows
Pinto’s (2016).
Figure 5.10 The Five Stage Development Team Model (Larson, & Gray, 2018)
Table 5.2 The Five Stage Development Team Model (Pinto, 2016)
Stage Defining characteristics
Forming Members get to know one another and lay the basis for project and team ground rules.
Conflict begins as team members begin to resist authority and demonstrate hidden agendas
Storming
and prejudices.
Members agree on operating procedures and seek to work together, develop closer
Norming
relationships, and commit to the project development process.
Performing Group members work together to accomplish their tasks.
Groups may disband either following the completion of the project or through significant
Adjourning
reassignment of team personnel.
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The Project Manager and the Project Team
high-performance project teams are likely to states that the active involvement is established if
develop. These conditions are as follows: there are 10 members or less, a detailed project
• There are 10 or fewer members per team.
can consist of a complex group of interdependent
teams of more than 50 professionals. It is better
• Members volunteer to serve on the project
to be a volunteer, but functional managers or
team.
human resources departments may assign the
• Members serve on the project from team members with very little input from the
beginning to end. PM. Team involvement may be part time, and/or
• Members are assigned to the project full team members may move internal or external to
time. the project as needed to optimize the usage of the
• Members are part of an organization’s resources. Unless it is specified, none of the team
culture that fosters cooperation and trust. members work full time on the project.
• Members report solely to the project The reasons for why teams fail are as important
manager. as the development characteristics of high-
• All relevant functional areas are represented performance and effective project teams. It is not
on the team. unexpected that project teams fail to carry out their
potential in many conditions since there are always
• The project involves a compelling objective.
deep challenges in building a high performance
• Members are located within conversational and effective project teams. Pinto (2016) indicated
distance of each other. that project teams perform at less than optimum
These conditions may not be applied or performance for a number of reasons including
considered exactly. Applicability or consideration poorly developed or unclear goals, poorly defined
may vary depending on the project and/or the project team roles and interdependencies, lack of
project environment. For instance, the PM may not project team motivation, poor communication or
always be assigned to a project that will meet all these leadership, turnover among team members, and
requirements. Hence, although the first condition dysfunctional behavior.
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Project Management
A PM is the person who leads a project from its phases of initiation to closure in the project life cycle
including planning, managing people and resources, and performing of the project. The PM has attributes
that determine PM’s roles in a project. These are powerful communication skills, proficient technical skills,
managing resources, good decision making, managing risk, perfect visionary, negotiating skills, team building,
and leadership. A PM is a bridge between the project and the main stakeholder, customer. A stakeholder
is an individual, group, or organization that may affect, be affected by, or perceive itself to be affected by
Summary
a decision, activity, or outcome of a project. An effective PM must comprehend how stakeholders can
influence the project and develop methods for managing the dependency.
The words project manager and leader (or project management and leadership) are overlapping concepts,
and they are often confused and used interchangeably. The management role is more administrative like
other management roles. Leadership, on the other side, is about interpersonal relations. Besides, PMs
focus more on administrative skills while leaders bring emotional intelligence to the forefront for the
achievement of project success. Since the leadership is crucial to the project success, a PM should be a
perfect leader.
Building a team is one of the PM’s attributes and is crucial to end up the project successfully. Hence, the
project manager should form a team to work with before continuing the project. A PM builds up a project
team of skilled employees from the same or different function areas to work on a project. A project team
consists of team members from different departments of an organization, thus most project teams can be
classified as cross-functional teams. Forming, Storming, Norming, Performing and Adjourning are the five
stages to develop a team. The PM selects the right people for every attitude of the project and looks for a
successful project.
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The Project Manager and the Project Team
1 The project manager spends a great deal of 5 Which of the following is not the stakeholder?
her time communicating with project stakeholders.
Which of the following represents an example of a. Customer b. Sponsor
an external project stakeholder for the project? c. Program Manager d. Supplier
e. Consultant
Test Yourself
a. Top management
b. Customers
c. Team members 6 Which of the following plays a key role in the
success or failure of a project?
d. Sponsor
e. Resource management a. Company b. Project Team
c. Time d. Cost
2 Effective leadership involves all of the e. Customer
following, except...
a. managing oneself through personal time 7 A project manager is meeting with his team
management, stress management, and other for the first time and wants to create the right
activities. environment in which relationships develop
positively. Which of the following is necessary to
b. managing team members through motivation,
create an effective partnership with his team?
delegation, supervision, and team building.
c. maintaining tight control of all project resources a. Exchange of purpose
and providing information to team members b. Absolute dishonesty
only as needed. c. No right to say no
d. inspiring the team members. d. Unshared accountability
e. listening to the team members and managing e. Lack of experience
the conflict.
8 In which of the following stages of team
3 Which of the following is one of the development do group members work together to
characteristics that the project manager should accomplish their tasks?
have?
a. Forming b. Storming
a. Being inexperienced c. Norming d. Adjourning
b. Lack of management experience e. Performing
c. Low communication skills
d. Leadership 9 Which of the following is true about leaders?
e. Incompetent technical skill
a. Leaders focus more on administrative skills.
b. Leaders count on authority.
4 Which of the following is an obstacle to the
performance of the project team? c. Leaders consider interpersonal relations.
d. Leaders cope with complexity
a. Management support e. Leaders have large technical skills
b. Good relations between team members
c. Recognition of success
d. Lack of top management support
10 Whose duty is providing effort to the whole
project to meet the objectives?
e. Quality team members
a. The project manager
b. The sponsor
c. The client
d. One of the project team members
e. The program manager
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Project Management
1. b If your answer is incorrect, review “Who is 6. b If your answer is incorrect, review “The
project manager”. project team”.
3. d If your answer is incorrect, review “Who is 8. e If your answer is incorrect, review “The
project manager”. project team”.
4. d If your answer is incorrect, review “The 9. c If your answer is incorrect, review “Managing
Project Team”. versus leading a project”.
5. e If your answer is incorrect, review “Who is 10. d If your answer is incorrect, review “The
project manager”. project team”.
Leadership is one of the top skills that a PM should have. The responsibilities
of a PM as a leader are as follows:
• Motivating
• Inspiring
self review 2 • Team Building
• Negotiating
• Communicating
• Listening
• Influencing
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The Project Manager and the Project Team
The four team styles are contributor, collaborator, communicator and challenger.
The attributes of each are as follows:
Contributor:
• Dependable • Clear
• Responsible • Relevant
• Organized • Pragmatic
• Efficient • Systematic
• Logical • Proficient
Collaborator
• Cooperative • Accommodating
• Flexible • Generous
• Confident • Open
• Forward - looking • Visionary
self review 3 • Conceptual • Imaginative
Communicator
• Supportive • Friendly
• Encouraging • Patient
• Relaxed • Informal
• Tactful • Considerate
• Helpful • Spontaneous
Challenger
• Candid • Outspoken
• Ethical • Principled
• Questioning • Adventurous
• Honest • Aboveboard
• Truthful • Brave
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Project Management
References
Gray C. F., & Larson E. W. (2018). Project Management Parker, G. (2008). Team Players and Teamwork New
(7th ed.). McGraw and Hill. Strategies for Developing Successful Collaboration
(2nd ed.), NY, USA: John Wiley and Sons.
Heagney J. (2012). Fundamentals of Project
Management. USA: American Management Pinto, J. (2016). Project Management: Achieving
Association. Competitive Advantage (4th ed.). Upper Saddle
River, New Jersey, USA: Prentice Hall.
Herkens, G.R. (2002). Project Management. USA:
McGraw and Hill Project Management Institute. (2017). A Guide to the
Project Management Body of Knowledge. (6th ed.).
Luo, X., Slotegraaf, R. J., & Xing, P. (2006). Cross-
PA, USA: Project Management Institute.
Functional “Coopetition”:The Simultaneous
Role of Cooperation and Competition Within Summerfield , M.R. (2014). Leadership: A Simple
Firms. Journal of Marketing, 70, 67–80: American Definition. Am J Health-Syst Pharm, 71(3), 251-
Marketing Association. 253
Meredith J. R., & Mantel S. J. (2009). Project Sundstrom, E., De Meuse, K.P., & Futrell, D., (1990).
Management Approach: A Managerial Approach Work Teams: Applications and Effectiveness.
(7th ed.). NY, USA: John Wiley and Sons. American Psychologist, 45(2), 120-133
Online References
go2hr.(n.d.) Understanding the Differences: Leadership vs Management [web log comment]. Retrieved from
[Link]
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Chapter 6 Project Risk Management
After completing this chapter, you will be able to:
1 2
Learning Outcomes
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6
Project Risk Management
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Figure 6.1 Project Risk Management Plan (Tekir, & Şakar, 2016, p. 408-409)
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6
Project Risk Management
Learning Outcomes
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Project Management
W
in detail. The risks identified in the interviews can
be grouped according to their source, area affected Internal origin
by the project and the relevant stage. Grouping Strengths Weaknesses
risks for common reasons may work in terms of
generating a common response.
O T
important
External origin
Opportunities Threats
Interviews allow you to focus better on
getting the information you need.
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Project Risk Management
Assumption Analysis, continuous evaluation is made depending on whether the assumptions are correct
or not. Assumptions related to the project must be kept in the Assumption Log. (Table 6.1)
Constraints include budget, time or available resources, etc. in your project are limitations. The project
manager needs to plan and execute in accordance with these constraints. Therefore, it is very important to
analyze the constraints as it can severely affect the project. If there are positive developments (additional
resources, budgets, etc.) related to the constraints, new opportunities may arise for the project. Constraint
Analysis should be performed continuously like Assumption Analysis. It is very important that the project
manager know the current constraints.
Checklists - Checklists are used to identify important issues to consider and ensure that they are not
omitted. In the process of determining risks, checklists compiled from the problems experienced in
previous projects, lessons learned or prepared in the sector specific are used.
The checklist should assess whether the risks identified are valid for the current project. By reviewing
the risk records of similar projects, you should add potential risks to your checklist for your current
project. The risk checklist should be updated as the project progresses. The risk checklist should also be
reviewed and updated during project closure.
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Project Management
important
Learning Outcomes
2 To identify risks
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Project Risk Management
their views. This ensures that the disputes be analyzed, the technique of assessment of risk
between the participants are resolved and parameters is used. The parameters that are thought
the process is carried out correctly. to affect the project should be evaluated.
• Meetings - In the qualitative risk analysis
process, the project team can organize risk
workshops and meetings to review, evaluate, important
categorize, and prioritize project risks.
• Risk categorization includes technical, The analyzed data can be presented visually
external (suppliers, legal, etc.), and internal using data presentation techniques.
(infrastructure, resources, etc.) risk groups.
It identifies the areas that may affect the
project the most and provides the right risk
response plan. Risk Probability and Impact Assessment - Risk
• Risk data quality assessment - If the Probability and Impact Assessment uses probability
information collected about the risks is and impact matrix is a grid for mapping the
incorrect, biased, or incomplete, the results probability of each risk occurrence and its impact
of the qualitative analysis will not be reliable. on project objectives if that risk occurs (PMI®,
Therefore, risk data quality assessment is 2017, p. 425). Risks can be prioritized according
performed during the qualitative risk to the relative threat or opportunity levels they
analysis process. The source of the data, represent.
the accuracy of the data, its relevance to The project team uses expert opinion to estimate
your project, and its specific conditions are the likelihood of each risk occurring and the extent
evaluated. You may need to collect better of the impact if it occurs. The scales to be used may
quality data if the current data quality is be different. It may be simply low, medium, and
not sufficient to perform a comprehensive high, or 0 to 5, or 0 to 10. If you have information
analysis. about probability based on past records, you can
• Risk probability and impact assessment - also assign a real percentage to the probability
As another data analysis technique, risk of risk. To reach the risk score, the impact and
probability and impact assessment (See probability scores are multiplied by each other.
Figure 1.1) is performed to determine the In the example below (Figure 6.3), the impact
likelihood of a particular risk occurring in and probabilities are scored between 1 and 5. The
your project. likelihood of Risk 1 is Likely (4) and the impact
In addition to the possibility and impact, if score is Very High (5). The risk score is 4 x 5 = 20.
other risk characteristics (urgency, proximity, The probability of Risk 2 is Very Unlikely (1) and
manageability, controllability, detectability, the impact score is Normal (3). The risk score is 1
connectivity, strategic impact, etc.) are wanted to x 3 = 3.
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Project Management
Very Risk 1
High
4 x 5 = 20
(5)
High
(4)
IMPACT
Normal
Risk 2
(3)
1x3=3
Low
(2)
Very Low
(1)
Very Unlikely (1) Unlikely (2) Possible (3) Likely (4) Very Likely (5)
PROBABILITY
Figure 6.3 Example Probability and Impact Matrix (Tekir, & Şakar, 2016, p. 418)
Probability and impact may not be accurate by After qualitative risk analysis, risks are
themselves. Taken together, accurate results can be categorized. In this way, common root causes
achieved in prioritizing risks. Thus, a numerical of risks can be identified and the risks and risk
score will be assigned to each risk. Numerical responses can be managed more easily.
scores determine the overall risk rating and used to The risk urgency assessment performed during
compare and rank risks. qualitative risk analysis provides new information
on which risks require the most attention.
Outputs of Perform Qualitative Therefore, the risk register is updated by marking
immediate risks as important and urgent.
Risk Analysis
As shown in the example probability and impact
matrix (Figure 6.3), Risk 1 falls into the high risk important
category in the dark area. If the risk assessment
team uses a numerical scale, each risk score has a Project planning processes serve several purposes,
numerical value. Numerical values make it easier but probably the most important for risk
to prioritize risks. management is to differentiate the parts of the work
If sequential values are used to assess possibilities that are well understood, and therefore less risky,
and impacts, risks can be ranked according to their from the parts where you are clueless. Often, what
associated priorities. Priority risks are those with separates an impossible project from a possible
the highest numerical value. one is isolating the most difficult work early, so it
Prioritizing risks helps to plan risk responses. For receives the attention and effort required to deal
example, high-priority threats can be approached with it (Kendrick, 2015, p.161-177).
more easily than aggressive, low-priority threats.
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to make predictions based on their past experiences From the formula above, you can use a similar
about the possible cost if the weather is good, if technique in cost estimation. Suppose you ask the
the situation is often encountered, and if the experts to comment on the possible cost of a job to
weather is bad. In addition to these estimates, it be made to the supplier.
is important for them to record the rationale and You’ve collected estimates from experts that the
the assumptions on which they are based. These lowest estimates are $ 150,000, the most likely $
give an idea of the reliability and accuracy of the 180,000, and the worst $ 240,000. With a similar
estimates. formula, you can estimate the expected cost of
If it is necessary to examine how this analysis your project.
technique works based on numbers, you have an Expected Cost = (150000 + 4x180000 +
activity to consult with expert opinions to estimate 240000) / 6 = $ 185000
its duration or cost. All information that is specific
Sensitivity analysis - Sensitivity analysis is
or uncertain about the content of the activity
an analysis technique used to determine which
should be shared with the estimators. If the experts
variables in a system affect the system more. By
you apply do not have the same information about
fixing other variables, the effect of a variable on the
the activity, there will be inconsistency between the
system is tested by changing the values. For each of
estimates. After sharing the necessary information,
the variables, you can determine which one has the
your experts said that the work will be done in 100
greatest effect by repeating the process one by one.
hours at best, 120 hours at most possible, and 200
hours at worst. With these three values, you can Tornado graph (Figure 6.4) is used to describe
use the Project Evaluation and Review Technique the effect of variables. In such a diagram, a bar
(PERT). The PERT technique is an approach that represents each risk and the range of impact it can
allows you to produce a single estimate based on take from negative to positive impact. The length
optimistic, approximate, and pessimistic estimates. of each bar indicates the relative impact of risks.
Bars are ordered from the largest to the smallest.
The formula to be used is as follows.
Expected duration = (optimistic + 4 x most
likely + pessimistic) / 6 = (100 + 4x120 + 200) / 6
= 130 hours
Risk A
Risk B
Risk C
Risk D
Risk E
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The consequences of a defined risk prevention may be positive and negative. For example, if you go
to reduce the number of project team members, this would pose a time-threatening, while reducing fixed
staff costs. The Tornado chart will help the project manager to compare negative and positive impacts.
Decision Tree Analysis - The importance of risk in a project is not only related to the magnitude of its
damage. The likelihood of risk is also effective. Based on this principle, it is possible to evaluate the threat
value on the project as time and money with decision tree analysis (Figure 6.5). It is called a decision
tree because it allows the presentation of a diagram representing the choices between at least two or more
options.
200.000 TL
Failure 0 TL - 200.000 TL
Failure 0 TL - 20.000 TL
Neither 0 TL
In the branches of the decision tree, there are the the project and that the risk is likely to occur at 20%,
topics that the project manager has to decide. Each the expected monetary value is $ 32,000.
decision option can be further subdivided into sub- After applying the above mathematical process
scenario branches. In these branches, there are sub- from the sub-scenarios of all decision options in
arnatives of the decision to be made. the branches of the decision tree, the analysis is
For example, you can rent or buy a construction completed by selecting the decision option with the
machine in a two-year project that you will start highest monetary value expected.
soon. You have compared the purchase cost with Simulations - The aim of the simulation study
the rental costs throughout the project. However, is to simulate a system. Thus, you measure how
when you evaluate the risks in your project, your the system reacts under various conditions. By
project has a delay risk of one month, two months, modeling the project, the impact of risks on
or three months, and this will increase your rental targets can be analyzed. The most commonly used
costs. Here we use decision tree diagrams to create modeling example is Monte Carlo Simulation.
scenarios for such risky situations.
The activities in the project and the order of the
The next step is to calculate the expected activities are defined in a software that performs
monetary value. Given both the effects of the risk and Monte Carlo Analysis. Optimistic, most likely, and
the likelihood of occurrence, the expected monetary pessimistic forecasts for risky activities are added to
value analysis is used to determine the relative the system. In addition, if there is statistical data
significance of the risks. To calculate the expected about the duration of the activities in the past, these
monetary value of a risk, you need to multiply the values can be added to the system. For example, a
potential impact and probability. If we know that a secretary can write a 100-page plain document
risk could bring an additional cost of $ 160,000 to on the computer in an average of 4 hours and a
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standard deviation of 30 minutes. It was determined that the historical data corresponded to the normal
distribution.
After entering this data into software, Monte Carlo Analysis software starts to generate random
numbers by referring to time alternatives and distributions of risky activities. This study is inevitable with
a computer because random numbers may need to be determined thousands of times. Theoretically, the
greater the number of repetitions, the more reliable the result will be from the system.
As a result of Monte Carlo Analysis, the computer program creates cumulative probability graphs
(Figure 6.6) in a way that can be seen below . The results from these graphs are generally considered as
follows and presented to the decision makers.
• Comment 1 - As a result of the assessment of delay risks, the probability of completion of this project
on the targeted date of 31.12.2020 is 80%.
• Comment 2 - When we evaluate the cost risks with Monte Carlo Analysis, the probability of this
project ending up to $ 1,000,000 or less is 73.25%.
• Comments are examples.
Probability (%)
80 (%)
50 (%)
20 (%)
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Learning Outcomes
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Both methods may require changes to to another country. An example of this strategy
increase the costs of the project. The is to agree with a local firm that knows well the
difference between the loss you will incur market and culture of the target country and to
in case of risk and the cost increase caused share the gains within this framework.
by the transfer of risk should be evaluated. Enhance an opportunity - This includes taking
• Mitigation: Mitigation includes reducing steps to increase the likelihood of the opportunity
the likelihood of risk occurring or the effect or its positive impact on the project. For example,
of damage. For example, having the tests if a firm that provides consultancy on project
performed by two different end-users to management regularly shares tips on how to
prevent errors in a software project increases manage the project in social networks, its expertise
the likelihood that one tester will catch the will be seen by its potential customers and the
error missed by another. Another example: possibility of consulting will increase.
When agreeing with a supplier, selecting a
Accept - Accepting the risk, not taking any
supplier who has already worked with our
action and continuing the project as planned can
company can reduce many risks.
be an action plan. Even if the acceptance strategy
• Acceptance: Acceptance is an appropriate
is chosen, when the opportunity arises and why
strategy where a risk has little impact
the chosen strategy is “Accepting” should still be
and probability. There are two types of
documented.
acceptance: passive and active. Passive
acceptance involves not doing anything
unless there is a risk, just documentation. Contingency Reserves
Active acceptance requires planning in Reserves are project funds but may include time,
advance how to deal with the consequences money, and staff. It is used to offset the impact of a
if the risk arises and allocating time or risk on the scope, time, cost, or quality of a project.
money reserves to activities or work When determining reserves, risk tolerances in
packages. These are known as contingency targets are taken into consideration. The lower the
reserves. risk tolerance, the higher the reserves. The reserves
of a project whose deadline is legally the night of
Strategies for Positive Risks or 31.12.2020 will be higher than any other project
Opportunities with time tolerance.
Exploit - It is aimed to find the best way to take Expected Monetary Value can be used to
advantage of the opportunity by eliminating the calculate reserves. By multiplying the action risk
uncertainty in the project. For example, suppose (time or cost) of the transaction risk, you multiply
that you are working on a new private school the likelihood of that risk. For example, if the
project. One of your friends said that a well- chance of a risk occurring is 5%, and the impact
known mathematics teacher was dissatisfied with on your project is $20,000, you can use $1,000 as
the management of his current school and was in the Expected Monetary Value by multiplying 0.05
search of another school. Including that teacher by $20,000.
in your staff will positively affect the prestige and Another example is to determine the time
quality of your new school. To take advantage of reserve. A supplier you previously worked with is
this opportunity, your proposal and negotiations doing quality and cheap work, but we know that
with him may affect your project costs. However, 3 out of 10 past projects had an average delay of
the revenue you get from the opportunity will 20 days. Based on these data, if the probability
provide a return above these costs. of delay is considered to be 30%, and the delay is
Share - This strategy involves merging with considered as 20 days, the reserve to be allocated
a firm to increase the chances of securing gains for the relevant activity can be predicted as 30% x
and agreeing to share rewards. For example, a 20 days = 6 days.
manufacturing company wants to sell its products
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Outputs of Plan Risk Responses This process should be repeated while the project
Defining project risks is not enough. In is actually in progress. Because unpredictable risks
particular, people who will provide financial may occur in the first place, risks with low threat
support to the project, such as the project sponsor, levels may change over time.
would like to hear from the project manager about
their risk response plans. If the project manager The Implementation of Risk
fails to provide satisfactory strategies, trust in the Responses
project may be shaken and stakeholders’ support
The purpose of the implementation of risk
may be reduced.
responses is to execute agreed risk strategies. In this
At the end of this process, risks with high process, planned strategies are implemented.
threat level should be discussed in detail. Risks
The individuals or groups that implement these
at low threat level should also be listed, but the
strategies may not be part of the project team.
information should be provided to stakeholders to
They may be outside the project team or outside
monitor change in these risks.
the company. Therefore, project managers should
After explaining in detail the risks with high threat ensure that the necessary strategies for risks are
value, you should explain the response strategies that implemented by negotiating with stakeholders,
you recommend for these risks with their reasons. guiding them, and raising their awareness.
You will need to present how the strategies you
This process has two consequences:
propose will change the impact and likelihood of the
risk, but how much should be allocated to the plan • Working performance data. This data
as additional time or reserve cost. records when response plans are actually
implemented and how much effort or cost
This process requires sponsors, customers,
occurs.
project managers, and team members to come
• On the other hand, the lessons learned and
together and negotiate. This is because when the
all related project documents will need to
project manager lists the suggestions or alternative
be updated. In the light of this information,
strategies, the sponsor and the client can accept,
future project managers will be able to
reject, or make different suggestions. According to
see which response strategies are being
the latest decisions, the project management plan
implemented and accordingly choose the
will require updates, and the project sponsor or
best method.
client will have to accept it.
Further Reading
Using Risk Management in Your Projects Risks can arise anywhere in the SDLC. Even
Risk management is a routine used by as organizations venture into new projects, there
project managers to minimize potential is a need to monitor the ones in operation. For
problems that can affect the project. this reason, risk management is continuous.
Risks are possible events that can impact You can make risk assessment and
resources, processes, technology, or project management less tedious by creating a risk
participants during the system development management protocol. It may comprise of a
lifecycle (SDLC). consistent set of tools and templates as well as
training of project participants. By embedding
The results of risk are often unclear before
risk management to your daily routine, your
it strikes. Through risk management, you can
company can assume better health and overall
estimate threats beforehand and put control
performance.
measures if necessary.
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Your 6-Step Guide to Risk Management quantitative analysis techniques and tools are
Uncertainties are inevitable in projects, and useful in risk analysis.
so is risk management. The process is about Once you analyze various risks, you should
acting before a risk turns into an actual problem. have a picture of their effect on the budget,
You can eliminate it, mitigate its impact, scope, and the timeline of the project. You may
or accept it if you can accommodate its also be able to define how the risks can affect the
consequences. However, your course of action quality of your project.
should be a result of careful. Here are six steps to 3. Prioritization of Risks
follow to manage risks in your projects. Risk levels are different, and there is a need
1. Risk Identification to distinguish them based on severity. Without
It’s impossible to solve a problem that you this knowledge, you cannot determine the
can’t pinpoint. You can identify risks in different appropriate control measures to put in place to
ways, including interviews, brain-writing, root tackle the threat. Unpreparedness often leads to
analysis, and more. project failure or over expenditure when fixing
issues.
Visualize the project as if it’s complete and
running. Think about what could go wrong and An extensive list of risks can be intimidating,
note your fears down. Analyze historical data on but you can handle it by classifying risks as either
similar projects and record any deficiencies found. low, medium or high. You must address high
risks as soon as possible. A situation that would
You can set up interviews with the help of
be in this category in IT projects is poor data
the project team, colleagues, and stakeholders
integration between the two technologies.
to gather information on issues to emphasize.
Consider inviting people known for critiquing. Medium-priority risks are worth your
Their opinions can divulge essential insights attention, and you can mitigate their impact
which could have easily slipped through the with appropriate controls. Low risks may have
cracks. little to zero influence. You can either control or
accept them.
2. Risk Analysis
4. Risk Assignment
After populating a list of potential problems,
the next step is to determine the likelihood of For tracking, you should assign risks to
each. You should fill this information in your someone. Look for talented individuals in
risk register as well. your team and let them oversee risks. Apart
from monitoring, they should spearhead the
During your risk assessment, you should
resolution efforts for the uncertainties.
think about the possible consequences if the risk
came true. Some questions to ask yourself at this Failure to assign risks negates the effort of
stage are: identification and prioritization. The project
would ultimately suffer the maximum impact,
• Can the risk lead to project failure or delay?
accumulate more risks, and probably flop.
• Will it raise regulatory issues?
• Is there a likelihood of legal disputes? 5. Response to Risk
• How does it relate to various compliance Now you know the threats and your team
standards? is ready to resolve them. Before taking action,
Primarily, you will want to evaluate all separate positive risks from negative ones. The
possible outcomes if the risk happens no matter latter represents events which threaten to cause
the magnitude. The process can be tricky because harm.
there is never enough information. Find out if A positive risk is an unplanned situation
your industry has a risk assessment outline to use that you can exploit to benefit the project. Some
as a checklist. people look at it as a condition that produces
You will need to compute the risk factor too much of the desired deliverables. Decide the
associated with each risk to estimate the action to take.
severity of the probable impact. Qualitative and
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Create a plan to mitigate all risks that can Another area worth your attention is the
hurt your project. The strategy can be through American Disability Act. It requires owners of
preventative measures or a contingency plan. public accommodations to make them accessible
Together with the risk owners, decide which for all visitors. The regulation includes websites
approach solves the problems best. open to the public.
6. Risk Monitoring In 2014, a blind Seattle woman filed a case
The risk owner will continue tracking the because she couldn’t access the resources on the
risk to see how it responds. You will also have to district website resources. After the ruling, the
look out for any new threats that might develop. district would spend up to $815,000 to make
the site ADA compliant, pay legal fees, and
It’s crucial for all parties in the project to
compensate the lady for damages.
understand your risk management measures.
When you are transparent, the team will be The EU’s GDPR privacy standard affects
proactive as they will know what to do. Set up entities inside and outside the EU. You must
different channels for efficient communication comply with the unforgiving conditions of
with your team. GDPR if you are to transact with businesses
within the EU territory.
How Risk Management Relates to
Compliance Automation for Agility in Compliance
Projects
Modern SDLC relies on agile development,
a methodology based on the 12 principles of Since compliance mimics software
the Agile Manifesto. Agility, in this case, means development projects, automation can enable
that the software product can adapt to changes organizations to meet standards effortlessly. For
through its lifecycle. Nowadays, compliance vendors to satisfy the needs of their customers
projects are assuming the shape of agile and protect their information, they must be
development. compliant. They can generate and monitor
customer risk profiles and act accordingly to
Government compliance regulations are
maintain trust.
continually developing. Therefore, you should
know the policies affecting your organization and By providing communication tools and
implement them in your projects. These include motivating your stakeholders, you can promote
standards established in your industry as well as compliance in your organization. Self-assessment
external regulations that touch your businesses. and audits inform the compliance department
whether their controls are adequate.
You can adopt compliance planning project
management to identify risks emanating from Businesses should provide compliance
the outside. Take the HIPAA privacy rule, for officers with the tools they need for compliance
example, whose origin is the healthcare industry. projects. By so doing, customers and partners
will rest assured organizations are at par with
It demands the protection of electronic
standards.
medical records and health information about
individuals. It also sets the limits for disclosure
and usage of such information. When developing Source: Lynch, n.d.
for the health sector, you must in mind data
processing, storage, and security.
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Learning Outcomes
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Data analysis - Two data analysis techniques As a result of this process, the following outputs
are very important in the risk monitoring process: are obtained: work performance information,
technical performance analysis and reserve analysis. change requests, project management plan updates,
• Technical performance analysis - Technical project documentation updates, and corporate
performance analysis focuses on product- process assets updates.
related risks such as scope, functionality, Earned value analysis measurements can be
and quality. It compares actual and planned taken as an example of the work performance
technical achievements. Success of technical information generated during the risk monitoring
performance analysis depends on the team process.. With these measurements, the situation
that determines the performance parameters of the project is evaluated in terms of time and
at the beginning of the project. It includes budget.
measurements of the product’s characteristics Risk monitoring activities may generate requests
such as size, speed, or capacity. for changes to the level that would require changes
• Reserve analysis - Reserve analysis involves to the project management plan or baselines. For
comparing the remaining emergency example, if you decide a risk-avoidance strategy
reserves with the remaining risks. Thus, with a high impact and probability, all plans and
whether the reserves are sufficient to see the baselines will be affected as the scope of the project
end of the project is decided. During the changes. When this change situation is recorded,
project, some risks may arise with positive requests for change occur.
or negative effects on the budget or time.
Preventive actions are the steps taken to
Reserve analysis aims to protect the budget
prevent risks from threatening project objectives.
and time by ensuring that its reserves are
For example, if there is a risk that a particular job
sufficient to meet these impacts.
will not be completed in time, overtime may be
planned, and then, it is necessary to update the
Outputs of Monitor Risks project management plan with new information
The results of the Risk Monitoring process with overtime planning. The cost baseline may
should be monitored on a continuous basis and change, and updates should be made to resource
should inform the project team’s knowledge of the plans with overtime assignment to relevant
risks until the project is closed. resources.
Updates to project documents may also be
required; examples include assumption log,
problem register, lessons learned, risk register, and
updates to the risk audit report (Figure 7).
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Figure 6.7 Risk Audit Report (Tekir and Şakar, 2016, p. 431)
As a result of this process, changes in internal procedures may be required. This reduces the likelihood
that the company will face the same problems or risks in the future.
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In Practice
The rapid growth of the telecom industry are using. I consider these facts equivalent to a
made it apparent to Packer’s executives that validation of the templates.”
risk management must be performed on all Sponsor: “Shouldn’t the templates be tailored
development projects. If Packer were late in the to our methodology for managing projects and
introduction of a new product, then market our life cycle phases? These templates may have
share would be lost. Furthermore, Packer could undergone validation, but not at Packer. The
lose valuable opportunities to “partner” with probability distributions are also based upon
other companies if Packer were regarded as being someone else’s history, not our history. I cannot
behind the learning curve with regard to new see anything in your report that talks about the
product development. justification of the probabilities.
Another problem facing Packer was the “The final problem I have is that the
amount of money being committed to R&D. templates are based upon history. It is my
Typical companies spend 8 to 10 percent of understanding that risk management should be
earnings on R&D, whereas in the telecom forward looking, with an attempt at predicting
industry, the number may be as high as 15 to 18 the possible future outcomes. I cannot see any of
percent. Packer was spending 20 percent on R&D, this in your templates.”
and only a small percentage of the projects that
PM: “I understand your concerns, but I don’t
started out in the conceptual phase ever reached
believe they are a problem. I would prefer to use
the commercialization phase, where Packer could
the next project as a ‘breakthrough project’ using
expect to recover its R&D costs. Management
these templates. This will give us a good basis to
attributed the problem to a lack of effective risk
validate the templates.”
management.
Sponsor: “I will need to think about your
THE MEETING
request. I am not sure that we can use
PM: “I have spent a great deal of time trying
these templates without some type of risk
to benchmark best practices in risk management.
management training for our employees.”
I was amazed to find that most companies are in
the same boat as us, with very little knowledge in QUESTIONS
risk management. From the limited results I have 1. Can templates be transferred from one
found from other companies, I have been able to company to another, or should tailoring
develop a risk management template be mandatory?
for us to use.” 2. Can probability distributions be
Sponsor: “I’ve read over your report and looked transferred from one company to another? If
at your templates. You have words and expressions not, then how do we develop a probability
in the templates that we don’t use here at Packer. distribution?
This concerns me greatly. Do we have to change the 3. How do you validate a risk management
way we manage projects to use these templates? Are template?
we expected to make major changes to our existing
4. Should a risk management template be
project management methodology?”
forward looking?
PM: “I was hoping we could use these
5. Can employees begin using a risk
templates in their existing format. If the other
management template without some form of
companies are using these templates, then we
should also. These templates also have the same specialized training?
probability distributions that other companies
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Learning Outcomes
6 To monitor risks
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The projects you’ll manage will face many different risks. First of all, let’s define what we mean by risk. Project
risks have two characteristics. They’re events that might happen, and they have the potential to impact one
or more of the project objectives. Project risk management planning is the process of determining how risk
management activities are carried out in the project. Risk management planning is the process of defining
how to conduct risk management activities for a project. The key benefit of this process is that it ensures
that the degree, type, and visibility of risk management are proportionate to both risks and the importance
of the project to the organization and other stakeholders.
Summary
LO 2 Identify risks
A risk cannot be managed unless it is first identified. Consequently, after risk management planning
has been completed, the first process in the iterative Project Risk Management process aims to identify
all the knowable risks to project objectives. Risk identification is an iterative process to identify threats
and opportunities that may impact a project and document their characteristics. Document analysis,
brainstorming, interviewing, root-cause analysis, SWOT analysis, assumption and constraint analysis, and
checklists are the main tools and techniques to make a list of risks. Risk Register appears at the end of the
risk identification process. Risk Register is a document that lists the risks that you defined in the project.
Qualitative risk analysis process aims to to prioritize risks according to their probability and impact.
Interviews, impact and probability assessments are the main tools and techniques to manage this process
successfully. After qualitative risk analysis, risks are categorized. In this way, common root causes of risks
can be identified, and the management of risks and risk responses can be managed more easily.
Quantitative risk analysis process involves analyzing the effects of identified risks on the project objective
and assigning numerical ratings to these risks based on their probability and impact. Monte Carlo Analysis,
sensitivity analysis, and decision tree analysis are the main tools and techniques of this process. In this
process, given the identified individual project risks and other sources of uncertainty, it indicates the
likelihood that the project will achieve its main objectives.
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During risk response planning, strategies you may identify for responding to threats include escalating,
avoiding, transferring, mitigating, or accepting negative risks. On the other hand, responding to
opportunities include escalating, exploiting, sharing, enhancing, accepting, or a combination of these
strategies. In all cases, expert judgement should inform the choice of risk response strategies. At the end of
this process, risks with high threat level should be discussed in detail. Risks at low threat level should also
be listed, but the information should be provided to stakeholders to monitor change in these risks.
Summary
LO 6 Monitor Risks
The risk monitoring process is part of a monitoring and controlling process group. It is also the last process
in the project risk management knowledge area. During this process, you monitor warning signs, activate
risk responses, and identify new risks as they arise. As a result of this process, the following outputs are
obtained: work performance information, change requests, project management plan updates, project
documentation updates, and corporate process assets updates.
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objectives
e. An event that could possibly happen that would 7 Which one is NOT used for Qualitative Risk
impact team morale analysis?
a. Scope baseline
2 Which factor of risk do you need to determine b. Risk register
in order to reduce uncertainty? c. Historical information
a. The likelihood of the risk happening d. Industry studies of similar projects
b. The owner of the risk e. Resource management plan
c. The origin of the risk
d. The chances that the majority of stakeholders 8 What is the purpose of sensitivity analysis?
are aware of the risk a. To determine which risks have the greatest
e. The most recent reference to the risk in the news potential impact
b. To identify which risks have the highest
3 Which one is not input to Risk Identification probability of occurring
process? c. To identify which risks may impact project
objectives
a. Risk management plan d. To calculate the values of the positive versus
b. Stakeholder register negative impacts of the risk events
c. Cost and duration estimates e. Forecast impact and probability of risks
d. Scope baseline
e. Risk documentation format
9 Which strategy is not used for responding to
positive risks?
4 Which one is not a tool and technique you a. Exploiting
can use to perform qualitative risk analysis?
b. Sharing
a. Meetings c. Enhancing
b. Expert judgment d. Accepting
c. Risk categorization e. Mitigating
d. Assumptions log
e. Hierarchical charts
10 Which output is not typical of the risk
monitoring process?
5 Project document updates are the typical a. The assumptions log is updated when you find
outputs of a qualitative risk analysis. Which out a designer will be available a week earlier
document is updated? than expected.
a. Stakeholder list b. The results of risk response audits are recorded
b. Risk register in the lessons learned database.
c. Adjusted project budget c. The risk register indicates that a top priority risk
d. Adjusted project schedule is an impending strike at the production plant.
e. Project budget d. The schedule baseline is updated when a risk
is audited and found to require additional
response time.
e. You issue a change request to increase a budget
to add more resources to an activity that may be
delayed.
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3. e If your answer is wrong, please review the 8. a If your answer is wrong, please review the
“Identifying Risks” section. “Qualitative risk analysis” section.
4. d If your answer is wrong, please review the 9. e If your answer is wrong, please review the
“Identifying Risks” section. “Responding to risk” section.
5. b If your answer is wrong, please review the 10. c If your answer is wrong, please review the
“Identifying Risks” section. “Monitoring risks” section.
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All projects carry risk. So there’s no way to avoid it. Projects, no matter how
self review 1 small or simple, have some level of uncertainty.
self review 2 Most of the project problems come from known risks.
To determine where project risks are concentrated, so you can focus on those
self review 3 areas when you develop risk responses.
We can use scope, schedule and cost baselines, risk register, project documents,
self review 4 organisational process assets, and enterprise environmental factors.
Project managers monitor risks for tracking risks and evaluating responses so
self review 6 that new risks can be identified, analyzed, and planned.
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References
Tekir, G., & Şakar, S. (2016). Hayatımız Proje - Proje PMI®. (2009). Practice Standard for Project Risk
Yöneticisinin El Kitabı. Turkey Management. PA, USA: Project Management
Institute Inc
Kendrick, T. (2015). Identifying and Managing
Project Risk (3rd Edition), Quantifying and PMI®. (2017). Project Management Body of Knowledge
Analyzing Activity Risks, 161-177. NY, USA: (6th Edition). PA, USA: Project Management
AMACOM Institute Inc.
Online References
Lynch, K. (n.d). Using Risk Management in Your SWOT analysis. (n.d.) In Wikipedia. Retrieved
Projects. [web log comment]. Retrieved from August 14, 2019, from [Link]
[Link] [Link]?q=aHR0cHM6Ly9lbi53aWtpcGVka
[Link] WEub3JnL3dpa2kvRmlsZTpTV09UX2VuLnN
2Zw
Şakar, S. (Producer). (2018). Proje Yönetimi
Dokümanları ve Uygulamaları Podcast retrieved
from [Link]
dokumanlar-ve-uygulamalar
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Chapter 7 Project Evaluation and Control
After completing this chapter, you will be able to;
Learning Outcomes
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Project Management
INTRODUCTION
Management of a project is a dynamic and Baseline plan is a master plan, which has
compelling process as the project is under the effect been executed at the end of the planning
of its environment. Any of contingency affects the phase of a project. It can not be changed.
project directly such as machine breakdown, lack However, different plans may be constituted
of labour supply, weather conditions, behaviour based on different scenarios. After declaring
of competitors, government decisions, and so the baseline plan, the project team realize
on. Project manager should manage the project activities based on this plan.
despite all these environmental impacts. In order
to overcome this difficulty, a project has to be
monitored and evaluated carefully, and corrective important
actions must be taken if needed. One of the
most effective project evaluation and monitoring Man-hour is calculated as multiplying
methods is Earned Value Analysis (EVA) which workforce by duration. Actually, in order
was developed in the 1960’s. EVA compares the to define the size of an activity, man-hours
planned and actual (realized) cost and workload should be predicted, not the duration of the
values for a specified date (status date) determined activity. For example, if an activity has 120
by project manager. Then, it gives a numerical man-hours, this means, this activity can
value if there is a deviation between the plan be finished within 12 hours if you have 10
and the actual situation. Eventually, the project workers; or it can be finished within 120
manager obtains valuable information about the hours if you have only 1 worker. Similarly,
progress of the project. In order to understand a lot of calculations may be done. That’s
EVA, fundamental terminology should be why the important thing is prediction of
comprehended. The following sections, first, man-hours for an activity. Duration can be
describe the importance of project evaluating, calculated considering the resources on hand.
and then clarifies the fundamental and subsidiary
indicators which will be used in EVA.
Since management of a project is a dynamic
IMPORTANCE OF PROJECT process, no matter how well it is planned, facing
EVALUATİNG with deviations in terms of cost and workload is
unavoidable. For example, a machine breakdown or
Three important metrics can be used to define
an accident, which can not be estimated beforehand,
the size of a project: project completion time
may cause both extra cost and tardiness. Therefore,
(PCT), budget, and workload. Project completion
the project manager has to control whether jobs
time is the difference between the latest finish date
are performed according to their calendar after the
of the last activity and the earliest start date of the
project starts. Additionally, this control should be
first activity of a project. Budget means the total
done in terms of cost and schedule (workload).
cost to be spent for the whole project. Finally,
If there are deviations according to the baseline
workload means the total amount of man-hours
plan such as exceeding budget or tardiness for
to be used in the project according to the baseline
some jobs, corrective actions should be taken
plan. For example, a project that has 10 days PCT
immediately. Otherwise, PCT target or budget
and another project that has 1,000 days PCT are
quite different. Additionally, budget and workload target may be missed. Both of them are unwanted
are good evaluating metrics to comprehend work situations. Especially, in long-term projects, the
amount in a project. For example, a project that risk of encountering these kinds of deviations is
has 1,000,000 man hours workload means it is bigger. As a result, a project must be monitored
quite a big project. and evaluated periodically (for example, weekly
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Project Evaluation and Control
or monthly) after starting, and corrective actions differ from planned budget and workload. And
should be taken if needed. In order to evaluate a let’s assume that the actual cost is T3,000 and the
project, a date should be specified, which is called actual workload is 1,300 man-hours at the end of
the status date. After calculations, performance the 50th day. In this case, is it possible to say that
indicators of a project can be determined by the the project is on the way? In other words, is the
status date. actual situation of the project consistent with the
baseline plan?
important
Please be careful for the given example that PCT
of the project was 100 days and the status date was
Tardiness means delay. If an activity or
chosen as the middle of project completion time
a project delays, this situation may cause
serious problems such as penalty payoff.
(Namely, end of 50th day). When the project calendar
That’s why tardiness is unwanted. In order shows the middle of PCT, should also be exactly
to evaluate whether there is a tardiness for an spent half of budget? Similarly, should be achieved
activity, monitoring the performed workload exactly half of the workload? If we assume like that,
or using a tracking Gantt chart is a good way. the actual cost should have been T2,500. However,
it is given as T3,000. Similarly, the actual workload
Let’s assume that we have finished the planning should have been 1,500 man-hours. However, it is
phase of a project and we have got a baseline plan. given as 1,300 man-hours. So, is it possible to say
According to the baseline plan, PCT is 100 days, that this project has more spending and less work?
budget is T5,000 and workload is 3,000 man-hours. It is not easy to answer this because a project starts
Let’s assume that 50 days passed after starting the slowly, improves rapidly, and finishes slowly, in
project and we got actual cost and actual workload. general. Therefore, a diagram of cumulative cost
Actual cost means total money spent by the status versus time and a similar diagram of cumulative
date (evaluation date), and actual workload means workload value versus time depict an S type curve.
total man-hours realized by the status date. Of This diagram can be called cumulative cost and time
course, actual cost and actual workload may diagram, which it is shown in Figure 7.1.
Cost
Rapid
improvement
Slow
Slow
fininsh
start
Time
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Project Management
As can be seen in Figure 7.1, cumulative cost performance of a project numerically. By using this
(spending) curve is not linear. That’s why, reaching technique, we can answer the following questions:
the middle of the project completion time does not • Is the improvement of a project coherent
need that half of the budget should be spent. with its baseline plan? (In terms of budget
In general, the situation of more spending and and workload)
less work occurs in a project. Then, a question • Are there differences between planned and
appears: How can a project be evaluated especially actual cost and workload?
in terms of budget and workload? For doing this,
• If so, how far is the project from the plan?
we have some techniques such as Earned Value
Analysis (EVA), tracking Gantt chart, and Control After applying EVA, the step of taking action is
chart (Larson, & Clifford, 2011). In fact, EVA realized, if needed.
is more effective than others since it is able to In order to understand this technique, a group
demonstrate the situation of project numerically. of concepts (terminology) should be explained.
In order to evaluate and control a project ,you Terminology can be divided as fundamental
should follow these four steps (Larson, & Clifford, and subsidiary indicators. These indicators are
2011): explained in the next sections in detail. Before
1. Setting a baseline plan explaining the terminology, two points should be
clarified. The first one is the status date. Status date
2. Measuring progress and performance
is the evaluating date of a project, which should be
3. Comparing plan with the actual between starting and finishing dates of the project.
4. Taking action The second one is the calendar properties. If there
Earned Value Analysis takes part in the 3rd step is no special information about the calendar, the
of the project evaluation process. standard calendar is used. That means one workday
EVA was developed in 1967 by the US is equal to eight hours, one week is equal to five
Department of Defence. It aims to clarify the workdays, and one month is equal to 20 workdays.
Learning Outcomes
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Project Evaluation and Control
Further Reading
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Project Management
important
Setup cost means the money spent for any kind of setup. It may be transportation cost, warming
or cooling of a machine cost, amortization cost, per usage cost of a machine, and so on. On the
other hand, fixed cost means the money spent to do a job. For example, if you need a special
machine to do a job and if you buy this machine, the cost of machine is a fixed cost.
Example 7.1
Duration of activity A in a project is 2 weeks. In order to realize this activity, 2 workers, a machine, and
10 kg raw materials are needed. Costs are given as 10T/hour for a worker, 500 T/one usage, and 20 T/kg
for raw material, and additionally, T100 for raw material transportation. Calculate budget and workload
of activity A.
Solution 7.1
Since one week is equal to five workdays, and one workday is equal to eight hours in the standard
calendar, the duration of activity A is 2*5*8=80 hours.
Let wA show the workload and BACA show the budget of activity A.
Please be careful that working duration of machine is added to workload amount. Therefore,
wA=80*2+80*1=240 man-hours.
This value means, two workers and one machine will work along 80 hours, and the total workload is
240 man-hours.
BACA=160*10+500+20*10+100=T2400.
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Project Evaluation and Control
That means, T1600 will be paid to workers for 80 hours performance. Cost of machine is T500.
Since it is per usage cost, it does not depend on the duration of the activity. Additionally, there are
T200 for raw material and T100 for setup cost. Total cost (budget) is equal to T2400.
2. PC (Percentage Complete): There are two different PC values. The first one defines the percentage
complete according to planned workload by the status date, and it is called PCp, planned percentage
completion. It is assumed that planned workload is linear versus time. The second one is PCa, and
it shows the percentage complete according to actual (performed) workload by the status date.
In example 7.1, the duration of activity A was two weeks and the planned workload was 240 man-
hours. At the end of the 5th day, 120 man-hours work should have been performed because it is
assumed that the planned workload is linear. Then when we reach the middle of the project time,
half of the workload should have been performed. (Please be careful. We can say this for an activity,
not for the whole project.) In brief, the planned percentage completion of activity A is
PCp=120/240=0.5=50%
Similarly, it can also be calculated by other PCp values. For example, if the status day is chosen
as the end of the 8th day, PCp would be equal to 8/10=0.8=80%. That means 0.8*240=192 man-
hours work would have been performed by the end of the 8th day.
On the other hand, let’s assume that the actual (performed) workload is equal to 96 manhours at
the end of the 5th day. Then the actual percentage completion is PCa=96/240=0.4=40%
It is understood from these values that 50% of workload was planned to perform, however, 40%
of workload has been performed yet by the status date.
3. BCWS or PV (Budgeted Cost for Work Scheduled): This value shows planned cost by the status
date. It is also called the planned value (PV). BCWS is calculated as follows:
BCWS=PCp*BAC
In example 7.1, the budget of activity A was T2400. If the status date is at the end of the 5th day,
what is the planned cost?
BCWS=0.5*2400=T1200. (That means T1200 value of work should be performed by the status
date).
4. BCWP or EV (Budgeted Cost for Work Performed): This value shows the cost for the work
performed by the status date. However, please be careful, unit of this value is not man-hours, but
monetary unit. That’s why it is also called earned value (EV) because you get a value as you perform
work. It is calculated as follows:
BCWP=PCa*BAC
In example 7.1, BAC was T2400 and PCa was 0.4 at the status date. Then, what is the earned value
for activity A?
BCWP=0.4*2400=T960. (That means, the value of performed work is T960. However, it should
have been T1200 value of work according to the baseline plan).
5. ACWP or AC (Actual Cost for Work Performed): This is actual spending by the status date. In
other words, it is the real (current) cost of the project. Of course, it may be different from the
BCWS and BCWP values.
If BCWS, BCWP, and ACWP values are the same (or if there are small differences), that means the
project is on the way, and there is only one cumulative S-type cost-time curve in the diagram. However,
these values are usually different. Frequently, actual cost (ACWP) is more than planned cost (BCWS), and
the value of work performed (BCWP) is less than planned cost (BCWS). Therefore, in the project cost-
time diagram, three different s-type curves occur. This situation is given in Figure 7.2, graphically.
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Project Management
Cost
ACWP
BCWS
BCWS
Status Time
date
In Figure 7.2, curve of BCWS is not dashed line because it shows the baseline plan. On the other
hand, curves of BCWP and ACWP are drawn as dashed line after the status date because the values after
status dates are predicted. The greater differences among these curves after status date you get, the more
deviations according to baseline plan in the project it means.
6. CPI (Cost Performance Index): This indicator shows the financial performance of the project. CPI
is the ratio of earned value to actual cost. In other words, it shows the value of work performed
against actual spending. If this rate is equal to one, that means actual spending is coherent with the
baseline plan. Otherwise, that means there is a deviation. The rate is calculated as follows:
CPI=BCWP/ACWP
In example 7.1, let’s assume that the actual cost is equal to T1300. Since BCWP is calculated as
T960, then we get,
CPI=960/1300=0.7384≈0.74.
That means T1 has been spent, however, only T0.74 value has been acquired for activity A. This is
quite a big deviation. The planned budget may be exceeded if expenditures continue like that.
7. SPI (Schedule Performance Index): This indicator shows the schedule performance (work
performed) of the project. SPI is the rate of earned value in the planned budget. In other words, it
shows the value of work performed against the cost of baseline plan by the status date. If this value
is equal to one, that means actual workload is coherent with the baseline plan. Otherwise, there is
a deviation. The rate is calculated as follows:
SPI=BCWP/BCWS
In example 7.1, BCWS was equal to T1200. Then we get,
SPI=960/1200=0.8
That means, T1 work has been planned, however, only T0.8 value has been acquired for activity A.
The project completion time may be missed if schedule performance continues like this.
8. TCPI (To Complete Performance Index): TCPI shows the performance to be done after the status
date in order to meet the project budget and the schedule targets. TCPI is achieved by dividing the
rest of earned value into the rest of the budget as follows:
TCPI=(BAC-BCWP)/(BAC-ACWP)
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Project Evaluation and Control
In example 7.1,
TCPI=(2400-960)/(2400-1300)=1440/1100= 1.309≈%131. That means, if you want to meet the
project targets, 1.3 times more work is required for the rest of the project.
Scenarios that can be encountered according to CPI and SPI rates are given in Table 7.1
Table 7.1 Different Scenarios for Different CPI and SPI Rates
SPI<1 SPI>1
Cost is high and schedule is behind the plan. Cost is high and schedule is ahead the plan.
CPI<1 Bad situation. Both budget and project There is no problem about project completion
completion time may be missed. time; however, budget may be missed.
Cost is low and schedule is behind the plan. Cost is low and schedule is ahead the plan.
There is no problem about project budget; This is a utopian situation. Most probably
CPI>1
however, project completion time may be there is a planning mistake, or more resources
missed. than necessary are consumed.
The cell (1,1) in Table 7.1. (CPI<1 and SPI<1) shows a situation to be encountered frequently. However,
the important thing is the size of deviations. Low size deviations can be tolerated, and the project can be
put on its way by taking corrective actions. Baseline plan needs to be revised. However, if the size of
deviations is crucial, then a new baseline plan should be done for post status date. The cells (1,2) and (2,1)
show the other situations which are possible to be encountered. The cell (2,2) is a kind of utopian situation
and shows a planning mistake.
Example 7.2
At the end of the planning phase, the following values are obtained for a project: PCT is 100 day, the
total workload is 5,000 man-hours and the budget is T20,000. After starting the project, at the end of the
50th day, performed workload is calculated as 2,300 man-hours. What are the planned and earned values
for the whole project at the status date? Interpret these values.
Solution 7.2
At the end of the 50th day means that half of the project has passed. Then, PCp is equal to 50%.
Therefore, BCWS=0.5*20,000=T10,000. On the other hand, since performed workload is equal to 2,300
man hours, PCa=2300/5000=0.46. Then, BCWP=0.46*20,000=T9200.
That means T10,000 value of work has been planned, however, T9200 value of work has been realized
yet, by the status date (end of the 50th day).
In earned value analysis, making an evaluation only for the whole project or only for an activity can be
misleading. Evaluation should be done for each activity and the whole project. Please check the following
examples in order to understand calculations in detail.
Example 7.3
In the following table, duration and resource requirements are given for a project having 3 activities.
Standard calendar will be used and there exist enough resources. Costs of resources are given like that: T10/
hour for a worker, 50 T/hour for an engineer, 20 T/kg for raw material, and T500 per usage for a machine.
Calculate the cost and workloads for each activity. What is the project budget and the total workload?
(Hint: The values in the parentheses for resources show the resource amount to be used for this activity.
For instance, workers (300%) means three workers will be used for activity A.)
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Project Management
Solution 7.3
Let’s define;
I={A, B, C} set of activities
wi: workload of ith activity.
BACi: Budget (cost) of ith activity.
WA=4*8*3=96 man-hours
WB=2*5*8*(1+2)=240 man-hours
WC=20*(1+1)=40 man-hours
Total workload of project=96+240+40=376 man-hours
BACA=96*10=T960
BACB=80*50+80*2*10=T5600
BACC=20*10+500+20*20=T1100
Project budget=T7660
Example 7.4
There are 6 activities in a project given below. The first table shows predecessors, durations, and budgets
about activities. The second table shows actual percentage complete and actual costs for activities at the
end of the 4th day. (Cost values are in currency, workload values are in man-hours). Evaluate the project
using earned value analysis. (Evaluation should be done for each activity and for the whole project. Hint:
CPI=BCWP/ACWP; SPI=BCWP/BCWS).
Time Budget
Activities Predecessors
(day) (BAC)
A - 3 500
B - 5 3000
C - 8 800
D A(SS+1) 6 1600
E B(SS+2) 5 1500
F A(FS+2) 5 800
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Project Evaluation and Control
Solution 7.4
Gantt chart of the project, which is drawn based on predecessors, is given below.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
A
As can be seen from the Gantt chart, project completion time is 10 days, and the status date is drawn
as red line in the diagram. By using Gantt chart, planned percentage complete values can be calculated.
For example, since activity A finished at the end of the 3rd day, its PCp value is equal to 100%. On the
other hand, activity B is 5 days long, and at the end of the 4th day, the part of 4 days of activity B should
be finished. Then its PCp value is 4/5=0.8=80%. Other PCp values are as follows: 4/8=50% for activity C,
3/6=50% for activity D, 2/5=40% for activity E, and 0% for activity F (as activity F has not been started
yet at the end of 4th day).
Calculated financial values for the project are given in the following table.
Calculated schedule values for the project are given in the following table.
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Project Management
As can be seen in the last lines of the tables, there is a little more spending and there is less work for
the whole project. Tardiness should be investigated, especially for activity C. Since activity C has not been
finished yet, it can be accelerated. There are no successor activities for activity C in this project. However,
if it happened, it would require making provisions for especially critical successor activities.
Learning Outcomes
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Further Reading
Planned Value (PV), Earned Value (EV) & Example of Planned Value (PV):
Actual Cost (AC) in Project Cost Management You have a project to be completed in 12 months.
I have discussed earned value management The budget of the project is 100,000 USD. Six
in my previous blog post in detail and provided months have passed, and the schedule says that 50%
a short brief of its three elements: Planned Value of the work should be completed. What is the project’s
(PV), Actual Cost (AC), and Earned Value (EV). Planned Value (PV)?
We are going to look at these elements in detail. Given in the question.
You’re going to see mathematical calculations from
Project duration: 12 months
this point onward. Therefore, I request you go
through every step thoroughly. Further calculations Project cost (BAC): 100,000 USD
will be complicated for you if you miss any step or Time elapsed: 6 months Percent complete: 50%
don’t understand the concept, and you may have (as per the schedule)
problems with understanding more advanced cost Planned Value is the value of the work that
management concepts. Therefore, understand should have been completed so far (as per the
the concepts well before proceeding further. The schedule). We should have completed 50% of the
calculations for finding Planned Value, Earned total work in this scenario.
Value, and Actual Cost are simple, and once you Planned Value = 50% of the value of the total
understand them, the rest will be simple. Although work
I’m going to explain them thoroughly, I suggest you
= 50% of BAC = 50% of 100,000 = (50/100) X
obtain a good Project Management Professional
100,000 = 50,000 USD
(PMP) exam reference book for further reading and
practice questions. Therefore, the project’s Planned Value (PV) is
50,000 USD.
Planned Value (PV):
Application of Planned Value (PV)
This is the first element of earned value
management. Planned Value is the approved value Planned Value is used to calculate Schedule
of the work to be completed in a given time. It is the Variance and Schedule Performance Index.
value that you should have earned as per the schedule. Actual Cost (AC):
According to the PMBOK® Guide, “Planned Value This is the second element of earned value
(PV) is the authorized budget assigned to work to be management. Actual Cost is the total cost incurred
accomplished for an activity or WBS component.” for the actual work completed to date. In other
You calculate Planned Value before actually doing words, it is the amount of money you have spent
the work, which also serves as a baseline. Total to date. According to the PMBOK® Guide, “Actual
Planned Value for the project is known as Budget Cost (AC) is the total cost actually incurred in
at Completion (BAC). Planned Value is also called accomplishing work performed for an activity or
Budgeted Cost of Work Scheduled (BCWS). WBS component.” Actual Cost is also known as the
The formula to calculate Planned Value is simple. Actual Cost of Work Performed (ACWP).
Multiply the planned percentage of the completed Finding Actual Cost is the simplest of all.
work by the project budget; it will give you the There is no unique formula to calculate Actual
Planned Value. Cost. It is an amount that has been spent, and you
Planned Value = (Planned % Complete) X can find it easily in the question.
(BAC)
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Project Evaluation and Control
Example 7.5
Calculate the subsidiary indicators for 7.4.
Solution 7.5
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Project Management
CVI
Activities BAC PCa (%) BCWP ACWP EAC BV CV
(%)
SVI
Activities BCWP BCWS SV
(%)
A 500 500 0 0
B 2250 2400 -150 -6,25
C 320 400 -80 -20
D 960 800 160 20
E 600 600 0 0
F 0 0 0 *
Total 4630 4700 -70 -1,51
As can be seen from the results, CVI and SVI values show there is just a little deviation for the whole
project. Additionally, the biggest deviation according to cost is in activity A, and according to schedule, for
activity B and C. Especially, activity C should be investigated.
Example 7.6
For a project, indicators achieved in the middle of the project duration are given below. (Cost values
are in T). PCT is 100 days. Draw the cumulative cost-time diagram for this project.
BCWP=1,800; BCWS=2,000; ACWP=2,500; BAC=3,500; EAC=4,000.
Solution 7.6
By using these values ,we can calculate subsidiary indicators.
BV=BAC-EAC=3,500-4,000=-500
CV=BCWP-ACWP=1800-2,500=-700
SV=BCWP-BCWS=1800-2,000=-200
The cumulative cost-time diagram is given in Figure 7.3
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Project Evaluation and Control
Cost
(TL)
4000 ACWP
BV
3500 BCWS
BCWP
2500
CV
2000
SV
1800
Time
(days)
Learning Outcomes
Is it possible to obtain a
In order to calculate subsidiary
cumulative cost-time diagram
indicators for Example 7.3, What does variance mean in
having BCWP curves at the
what kind of extra information earned value analysis?
top and ACWP curves at the
do you need?
bottom? Explain.
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Project Management
There are three metrics to define a project: Project completion time (PCT), budget, and workload. By
calculating these values, the size of a project can be understood, and the project can be compared to
others. Additionally, these metrics are also useful to monitor and evaluate a project after giving start
because they are baseline plan metrics and used to clarify the improvement of the project by comparing
actual cost and workload values for a status date.
Summary
Since management of a project is a dynamic process, no matter how well it is planned, facing with
deviations in terms of cost and workload is unavoidable. Deviations cause extra cost and tardiness, which
are unwanted situations. Therefore, a project has to be monitored and evaluated periodically by the project
manager, and corrective actions should be taken if needed. Otherwise, PCT target or budget target may
be missed. Evaluation of a project should be done in terms of cost and schedule (workload). Earned Value
Analysis (EVA) is one of the most useful techniques to evaluate a project since it can demonstrate the
situation of a project by giving numerical values about cost and workload deviations.
EVA answers the following questions:
• Is the improvement of the project consistent with its baseline plan? (In terms of budget and workload)
• Are there differences between planned and actual cost and workload?
• If so, how far is the project from the plan?
At the end of the evaluation phase of a project, the project manager understands whether the project is
on the way.
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There are two basic indicators to evaluate a project in terms of cost and workload. The first one is cost
performance index (CPI) and the other one is schedule performance index (SPI). These values are calculated
for a given status date and they demonstrate the size of deviations for both the budget (BAC) and the
schedule. If CPI and SPI are equal to one, that means the project is on the way. On the other hand, if CPI
and SPI are less than one, that means there is more spending and less work according to the baseline plan.
Summary
The greater deviation for CPI and SPI we get, the more discordance between the baseline plan and the actual
situation it means. In order to calculate these two performance indicators, BCWS, BCWP, and ACWP values
should be calculated, firstly. BCWS defines the total cost according to the baseline plan. BCWP defines the
earned value (monetary value of performed workload) and ACWP demonstrates the actual cost. Another
important concept is the percentage complete value for a job. There are two different PC values: PCp, which
means planned workload percentage by the status date, and PCa, which means actual (performed) workload
percentage by the status date. The formulations about these concepts can be given like that.
BCWS=PCp*BAC
BCWP=PCa*BAC
CPI=BCWP/ACWP
SPI=BCWP/BCWS
If BCWS, BCWP, and ACWP values are the same or there are small differences among them, that means
the project is on the way, and there is only one cumulative S-type cost-time curve in the diagram. However,
these values may be different. In general, actual cost (ACWP) is more than planned cost (BCWS) and
value of work performed (BCWP) is less than planned cost (BCWS) due to unforeseen reasons.
In order to evaluate a project, subsidiary indicators can also be used such as budget variance (BV), schedule
variance (SV), and cost variance (CV). Subsidiary indicators derive from fundamental indicators and they give
useful information about project quickly. One of them is EAC, which means the predicted budget. Others
are the values for variances and percentage variances. Formulations are given in the following paragraph.
These indicators are useful for understanding the size of deviations in monetary value.
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Test Yourself
d. Master plan the status date.
e. Cost plan What is BCWP value at the status date?
2 a. 600
Are there both cost and schedule deviations
in a project? b. 750
c. 900
a. No, it is impossible. There can be only one. d. 1125
b. Yes there are. e. 1200
c. Yes there are, but one can be positive while the
other is negative.
7 What is BCWS value at the status date?
d. Yes there are, but the deviations should not be
bigger than 1.0. a. 600
e. Maybe, but the difference between deviations b. 750
should not be large. c. 900
d. 1125
3 What is the unit of BCWP? e. 1200
a. Currency
b. Man-hour 8 What is CPI value at the status date?
c. Hour a. 1.476
d. Amount b. 1.125
e. Piece c. 1.0
d. 0.9375
4 What is the total workload for a 2-week e. 0,75
activity which requires 2 machines and 3 workers.
a. 80 man hours 9 What is SPI value at the status date?
b. 160 man hours a. 1.476
c. 240 man hours b. 1.125
d. 320 man hours c. 1.0
e. 400 man hours d. 0.9375
e. 0,75
5 Is it possible that TCPI value is smaller than 100%?
a. Yes it is, but the value can not be smaller than 10 What is BV value?
50% a. -400
b. No it is not because this value indicates the rest b. -200
of performance. c. 20
c. Yes it is. (There is no condition) d. 400
d. No it is not because this value indicates the e. 600
performance to be needed.
e. No it is not because this case means there is a
planning mistake.
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If your answer is incorrect, review the section If your answer is incorrect, review the section
2. b 7. b
on “Fundamental terminology of Earned on “Fundamental terminology of Earned
Value Analysis” section. Value Analysis” section.
If your answer is incorrect, review the section If your answer is incorrect, review the section
3. a 8. e
on “Fundamental terminology of Earned on “Fundamental terminology of Earned
Value Analysis” section. Value Analysis” section.
If your answer is incorrect, review the section If your answer is incorrect, review the section
4. e 9. d
on “Fundamental terminology of Earned on “Fundamental terminology of Earned
Value Analysis” section. Value Analysis” section.
If your answer is incorrect, review the section If your answer is incorrect, review the
5. c on “Fundamental terminology of Earned
10. a
section on “Subsidiary indicators for project
Value Analysis” section. evaluation” section.
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Cost Schedule
Activity CPI SPI
Performance Performance
A 300/300=1 On budget 300/200=1,5 Ahead
B 600/700=0,857 Over budget 600/800=0,75 Behind
C 1200/1000=1,2 Under budget 1200/1200=1 On time
Total 2100/2000=1,05 Under budget 2100/2200=0,95 Behind
self review 2
According to the results for the whole project (the last line of the table), there
is less spending and less work in the project. In addition, deviations are at most
5%. That means there is no big problem for the project. If the rest of jobs can be
accelerated a bit, project completion time target is reachable. Moreover, there is
no budget problem already. For the evaluation of each activity, it is clearly seen
that activity B is the most problematic one because it has more spending and
less work. There corrective actions should be taken immediately for activity B.
In Example 7.3, you obtained workloads and budget for each activity and for
the whole project. That means you know BAC and planned workloads. First,
you need the project completion time and the status date in order to calculate
self review 3 BCWS. In addition, you need actual percentage complete (PCa) values to
calculate BCWP. Last, you need ACWP at the status date for each activity.
Then you can calculate the EAC, BV, CV, CVI, SV and SVI values easily.
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Project Evaluation and Control
References
Burke R, (2001). Project Management, Planning and Control Techniques. (3rd Edition). Chichester, UK: John
Wiley & Sons.
Larson E. W., & Clifford F. G. C. (2011). Project Management for Managerial Process. (5th Edition): McGraw-
Hill.
Nicholas J. M., & Steyn H. (2012). Project Management for Engineering, Business and Technology. (4th Edition):
Routledge.
Online References
Usmai, F. (2019 January 21). Planned Value (PV), Earned Value (EV) & Actual Cost (AC) in Project Cost
Management. [web log comment]. Retrieved from [Link]
earned-value-ev-actual-cost-ac-analysis-in-project-cost-management-2/
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Chapter 8 Project Closure
After completing this chapter, you will be able to;
Learning Outcomes
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Project Management
INTRODUCTION
The Project Closing Process is the process of officially completing a project, stage, or contract (PMI®,
2017, p. 634). It formally identifies the completion of the project or the project phase. The main benefit
of this process is the completion of the project and its phases in accordance with the requirements and the
contract. It should be noted that companies may have their processes related to project, stage or contract
closure (PMI®, 2017, p. 633).
Early closure or cancellation of projects will be handled within this process. Project Managers use various
tools and techniques to make project closure correct and easy. In the context of continuous improvement,
Project Managers transfer the project experiences and lessons learned for the next projects.
PROJECT CLOSURE
Projects can have a wide range of dimensions, scope, and complexity. However, all projects follow a
general lifecycle from start to finish. In general, a project cycle consists of startup, planning, execution,
monitoring and control, closure (Figure 8.1).
Figure 8.1 Project Life Cycle (Martinelli, & Milosevic, 2016, p. 352)
Figure 8.1 shows the life cycle of a project. Each process interacts with others. There are concurrent
works associated with several process groups (scope, time, cost, etc.) throughout the project life cycle. For
example, project closure activities take place at almost every stage of the project’s life cycle, but project
managers and teams usually carry out such activities only at the closing stages of the project. If they are
only at the end of the project, focusing on project closure activities limits learning and increases project
risk. Each stage and milestone must be completed successfully, and closing processes must be implemented
throughout the project life cycle.
The project closing process group consists of works required to complete or close the project activities
throughout the project life cycle. In this process, contractual obligations are generally fulfilled, procurement
documents are completed, transfer contracts between project and operation teams are made, and resources
are reallocated.
All projects end, even though it may not be because the planned deliverables have been achieved
(Cleland and Ireland, 2002, p. 435).
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Project Closure
6. Analyze the weaknesses and strengths of the project, and explain how the project team dealt with
the problems and what is necessary for future project teams to avoid negative situations and utilize
the positive items identified.
There are two important issues related to the Project Closing process:
1. Ensure that the planned work is actually completed - During the project planning work, all expectations
regarding scope, time, cost, quality, and other activities are detailed and sorted along a timeline.
Project closure activities ensure that the plans are carried out according to expectations. If there is a
difference between what is planned and what is completed, the project manager should determine
the cause. Then, depending on the cause of the variance, the project manager should determine
if any adjustments should be made. Deviations here may have a positive or negative effect on the
successful completion of the project.
2. Lessons Learned - Learning organizations have processes, systems, and culture to promote information
sharing. The project manager is responsible for publishing the lessons learned, implementing
best practices, and providing solution tactics to other project managers and project teams in the
organization. The Project Manager shares information that will enable project teams to plan and
execute their projects more efficiently and effectively in future projects. The more efficient the
projects are delivered, the more business value is created for the business.
The purpose of the project closure should be to ensure that all relevant activities are completed. It
should be noted that Project Closure is related to learning. Learning requires participation of the project
manager, team members, and stakeholders. Project Managers should focus not only on the completion of
the project, but also on learning, and should perform their controls carefully.
All projects require many resources, deliveries, and decisions throughout their lifecycle, whether small
or large. Each deliverable or decision point is the closing process that points to the end point. Figure 8.2
shows the closing process starting with planning and progressing step by step.
Figure 8.2 Project Closing Work (Start & Finish) During the Life Cycle
As can be seen from the chart in Figure 8.2, the team members must record their experiences and
project closure is not a process that is carried out learned lessons during the project life cycle. Lessons
at the end of the project. The review of progress is must be published and shared with other project
related to the completion of the work and taking managers and project team members. If the project
lessons from the project throughout the life cycle. team waits until the end of the project’s life cycle for
project closure, it loses opportunities for learning
and improvement. This will reduce the likelihood
How Can Teams Learn from Projects? that similar errors will occur in subsequent projects.
After the project is completed, meetings can be
held with the project team. The information gathered important
by the project team during the project is put on the
table. Those who work for future projects will try to Project managers should determine how
identify. The aim is not to repeat the same mistakes closing activities will be implemented
and to evaluate the opportunities. All project throughout the project life cycle.
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Project Management
Learning Outcomes
PROJECT CLOSURE PLAN AND “No” answer, the Project Manager should do the
CHECKLIST necessary work to make the answer “Yes“. This may
sometimes require support from the Sponsor and
When best practices are considered, it is
Senior Management.
recommended to start work in the planning phase
to ensure the correct closure of the project. Thus, it 2. In project closure, using the Project close
is ensured that the resources related to the project checklist is useful for guiding closing
closure are allocated and the expectations of how operation and ensuring that all areas are
the project closure activities will be carried out handled.
throughout the project are clarified. This leads to Horine (2009, p. 294–296) outlines the
the following two important questions: following 13 important topic areas to be covered in
1. What activities are associated with project the project checklist:
closure? 1. Obtain client acceptance: This stage has to
2. When should the project closure be done? be accomplished before the team attempts
to close the project. In this activity, the most
There are three main tasks that project managers
important result is that the client formally
should supervise in closing works:
verifies and accepts the project deliverable,
1. Evaluate whether the results of the and this event is formally documented.
project, decisions, and deliveries meet the
2. Transition deliverables to owner: In this
expectations of the stakeholders. This can be
activity, the team formally hands off the
summarized with the following questions:
project deliverables to the new owner. This
• Are all deliveries and milestones complete? includes not only the possession of the item,
• On the basis of works to date, is the project but also the ability to support the item for
and the team good? long term.
• Are the stakeholders ready for the next 3. Close out contract obligations: The project
phase (or commissioning) of the project, team will coordinate with procurement
based on the work done so far? personnel to document the status of all
• Are all contract and purchase works contractual relationships. This should
completed and up to date? include not only the status, but resolution
• Is the Project Team prepared for the next plans for all variances to the agreements.
phase of the project? Items such as warranty process and bonus
clauses need to be documented as well.
These questions serve as the basis for project
managers to start project closure activities. The
answer to all questions is “Yes“. If there is a
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Project Closure
178
Project Management
3. Project Managers should document closure and the timeline. The project management plan
information. These documents mean usually includes the following sub-plans:
updating the project work, updating the • Scope
documents regarding the future stages of
• Schedule
the project, and preparing the best practice
documents for other project teams. • Costs
The lessons learned should be shared with the • Quality
relevant stakeholders, and the project templates • Communication
should be updated if necessary. It means sharing, • Risk
publishing, and distributing the lessons learned. • Procurement
Project managers should communicate effectively
In the planning phase of the project, the closing
and focus on the implementation of the courses to
activities for the above items should be taken into
be taken from one project to another. Thus, teams
account. The relationship of each substance to the
and organizations can be smarter and faster. When
others indicates the importance of closing correctly.
knowledge sharing becomes a cultural expectation
Therefore, the first step in ensuring the proper
among project managers and their teams,
closure of the project is to develop the closing plan
intellectual capacity passes significantly from one
of the project during the planning phase of the
team to another. Continuous improvement of
project.
best practices, tools, processes, and know-how is
ensured. Ensuring that the project closes properly is
critical to the project and the process of determining
what needs to be closed. These requirements include
Developing the Closure Plan decisions, outputs, and milestones anywhere in
Correct planning ensures that the project the project life cycle. Figure 8.3 below shows the
is successful. Project managers develop project project closure plan according to the inputs and
closing plans according to the scope of the project outputs.
INPUTS
Scope
• Work Breakdown Structure
• Project Schedule OUTPUTS
• Resource Plan
• Project Closure
• Stakeholder Register
Plan and
• Project Budget
Process
• Procurement Management
• Project Closure
Plan
Checklist
• Communication Plan
• Risk Management Plan
• Organizational Processes
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Project Closure
Table 8.3 Project Closure Deliverables Table (Martinelli and Milosevic, 2016, p. 361)
Deliverable Operational Owner Complete Handoff Plan
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Project Management
Table 8.4 Project Closure Resource Template (Martinelli and Milosevic, 2016, p. 362)
Resource Name Closure Activity Responsibility Allocation Approved Duration of Work Effort
Table 8.5 Project Closure Communication Template (Martinelli and Milosevic, 2016, p. 362)
Owner Message Audience Distribution Method Timing
Final Approval
This section is approved by the project manager and the project sponsor, which generally includes
name, signature, and date. It indicates that the project was officially closed and all resources were released.
The Project Manager should ensure that resources related to the Project Closing Plan and checklists
are assigned.
Benefits
During the project, important activities such as handover operations, decisions, and deliverables are
realized. The difference between project success and failure can be seen by using the project closure plan
and checklist. It is important to follow an appropriate closing plan and checklist and to gain an advantage
by creating faster learning than competitors.
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Project Closure
Learning Outcomes
In Practice
The Project That Wouldn’t Die original project manager for Regency.”All of a
Ben walked into his boss’s office Tuesday sudden, light dawned on Ben. “Harry Shapiro?
morning in a foul mood. Without wasting any You mean Vice President Harry Shapiro?”
time on pleasantries, he confronted Alice. “How “That’s right. Harry was promoted to the
on earth did I get roped into working on the VP job just over a year ago. Prior to that, he was
Regency Project?” he asked, holding the memo that responsible for getting Regency off the ground.
announced his immediate transfer. Alice had been Think about it—do you really expect Harry to
expecting such a reaction and sat back a moment kill his brainchild? Useless or not, Regency will
to collect her thoughts on how to proceed. be around longer than any of us.”Ben groaned,
The Regency Project was a minor legend “Great, so I’m getting roped into serving on
around the office. Begun as an internal audit of Harry’s pet project! What am I supposed to
business practices 20 months earlier, the project do?”Alice offered him a sympathetic look.
never seemed to get anything accomplished, was “Look, my best advice is to go into it with good
not taken seriously within the company, and had intentions and try to do your best. I’ve seen the
yet to make one concrete proposal for improving budget for Regency, and top management has
working practices. In fact, as far as Ben and many been trimming their support for it. That means
other members of the company were concerned, it they must recognize the project isn’t going well.
appeared to be a complete waste of time. And now They just don’t want to kill it outright.”
here Ben was, assigned to join the project! “Remember,” Alice continued, “the project
Ben continued, “Alice, you know this may not die because Harry’s so committed to it,
assignment is misusing my abilities. Nothing but that also means it has high visibility for him.
has come from Regency; in fact, I’d love to know Do a good job and you may get noticed. Then
how top management, who are usually so cost your next assignment is bound to be better.”
conscious, have allowed this project to continue. I Alice laughed. “Heck, it can’t be much worse!”
mean, the thing just won’t die!” Questions
Alice laughed. “Ben, the answer to your 1. What termination method does it appear the
question can be easily found. Have you bothered company is using with the Regency Project?
taking a look at any of the early work coming out 2. What are the problems with motivation
of Regency during its first three months?” When when project team members perceive that a
Ben shook his head, she continued, “The early project is earmarked for termination?
Statement of Work and other scope development
3. Why would you suspect Harry Shapiro has a
was overseen by Harry Shapiro. He was the
role in keeping the project alive?
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Project Management
INPUTS
Scope
• Work Breakdown Structure
• Project Schedule OUTPUTS FINAL
• Resource Plan
• Project Closure
• Stakeholder Register • Project
Plan and
• Project Budget Closure
Process
• Procurement Management Report
• Project Closure
Plan
Checklist
• Communication Plan
• Risk Management Plan
• Organizational Processes
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Project Closure
Table 8.6 Project Completion Template (Martinelli and Milosevic, 2016, p. 364)
Item Complete (yes/no) Notes or Actions
All deliverables complete
All milestones complete
All contracts closed out
All issues resolved
All handoffs signed off
All payments made
All invoices submitted
All accounts closed
All artifacts updated
After the preparation of the Project Closing Report, the sponsor or stakeholders may request a
presentation.
Benefits
Project Closure Report is a summary of the entire project for the sponsor. It is a transition document
for the project manager and his team to start working on other projects. For other project teams, the
lessons learned and best practices are included in this document.
Learning Outcomes
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Project Management
INPUTS
Scope
• Work Breakdown Structure
• Project Schedule OUTPUTS FINAL POST MORTEM
• Resource Plan
• Project Closure
• Stakeholder Register • Project • Post Mortem
Plan and
• Project Budget Closure Report
Process
• Procurement Management Report
• Project Closure
Plan
Checklist
• Communication Plan
• Risk Management Plan
• Organizational Processes
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Project Closure
Table 8.7 Project Post Mortem Checklist Questionnaire (Martinelli and Milosevic, 2016, p. 370)
Category Question Notes
Project planning 1 Did the business case clearly detail the problem or opportunity?
2 Were business goals and project objectives clear and measureable?
3 Was the project scope, schedule, budget, and quality clearly detailed?
4 Were project plans detailed, accurate, and usable?
Customer focus 5 Was the voice of the customer evident in all phases of the project?
Did deliverables and milestones meet customer (and stakeholder)
6
target expectations?
7 Was communication with customers effective?
Deliverables 8 Did the outcome (all outputs) of the project meet your expectations?
What gap or variance (if any) exists between your expectations and the
9
final deliverable?
10 Were project monitoring and controlling efforts effective?
Scheduling 11 Was planning and scheduling resources for the project effective?
Was there a visible schedule available to “see” milestones and critical
12
project work?
Resourcing 13 Was the project resourced properly?
Was the team effective? Would you describe the team as “high
14
performing”?
15 Was there a skill assessment conducted to determine resource need?
Was there clarity in roles, functions, responsibilites, and proper
16
awareness of interdependencies?
17 Was there active (proper) senior management sup-port?
Managing risk 18 Was there a deliberate risk management plan and pro-cess in use?
19 How effective was the planning and management of risk?
20 Were contingency plans in placa and effective for all risk?
Was there a clear decision makingi process (including an escalation
Decisions 24
process) in place and used?
25 Were decisions made fast enough?
Other 26 What are your most critical lessons learned from this project?
Using the Postmortem Review The work and workload associated with
Postmortem examination meetings and final postmortem activities should be minimal.
reports, such as the project closure report, begin These activities should focus on benefiting from
at the planning stage of the project. The actual experiential information to improve future projects,
postmortem work is done one to six months after to build higher-performing project teams and to
the project team, the operation team or the customer increase business value.
deadline. The timing between project handoff and It is important that these meetings focus on
postmortem work is necessary to ensure that the processes rather than people.
operation team understands the value of the project The agenda of the post mortem meeting may be
and provides sufficient time to benefit. It should be as follows:
noted that the tools and templates for postmortem • Introduction
work are related to the future, even if they are
• Transfer of ground rules
related to the past.
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Learning Outcomes
187
Project Closure
The Project Closing Process is the process of officially completing a project, stage, or contract. The main
benefit of this process is the completion of the project and its phases in accordance with the requirements
and the contract. The project closing process group consists of works required to complete or close the
project activities throughout the project life cycle. In project closing activities, the responsibility of the
project manager is to ensure that all necessary and planned work is completed and the objectives are met.
Summary
The Project Closure Plan ensures that the resources related to the project closure are allocated, and the
expectations of how the project closure activities will be carried out throughout the project are clarified. In
project closure, using the Project close checklist is useful for guiding closing operation and ensuring that
all areas are handled. Ensuring that the project closes properly is critical to the project and the process of
determining what needs to be closed.
The project closure report indicates that the project is complete. It also emphasizes the difference between
what is planned and what is actual. These differences can be schedule, cost, resource utilization, and other
related issues. The Project Closure Report is a summary of the entire project for the sponsor. The Project
Manager should periodically update the report between planning and closing. It is a transition document
for the project manager and his team to start working on other projects.
The Postmortem Review is about lessons learned, and it ensures that the operation team understands the
value of the project and provides sufficient time to benefit. The postmortem review is performed in three
steps: (1) to collect feedback from project and operation teams, (2) to organize a meeting between the
project team and key stakeholders, and (3) to report the results of the meeting. Postmortem study is very
important in the information management process after the lessons taken from past projects that help
increase the success probability of future projects.
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Project Management
1 In which stage of the project cycle do the risk 6 The actual postmortem work is done….
activities take place?
a. three to six months after the project team, the
a. Initiating operation team, or the customer deadline.
b. Planning b. one to three weeks after the project team, the
Test Yourself
c. Executing operation team or the customer deadline.
d. Monitoring & Controlling c. three to six days after the project team, the
e. All of above operation team or the customer deadline.
d. immediately after the project team, the
operation team or the customer deadline.
2 Which one is not true about the project e. once after the project team, the operation team
closure report? or the customer deadline.
a. It covers the whole project.
b. It indicates that the project is complete. 7 To evaluate whether the results of the project,
c. It covers only completed stages. decisions, and deliveries meet the expectations of
the stakeholders. Which one is not a true question?
d. It emphasizes the difference between what is
planned and what is actual. a. Are all deliveries and milestones complete?
e. It includes results related to the problem or b. Are the stakeholders ready for the next phase
opportunity specified in the business case. (or commissioning) of the project, based on
the work done so far?
c. Are all contract and purchase works completed
3 What can we do to ensure the correct closure and up to date?
of the project? d. Is the Project Team prepared for the next phase
a. Prepare the budget of the project?
b. Prepare the Project Closure Plan e. Are all reports shared with stakeholders?
c. Motivate the team
d. Make daily reporting
8 What will the project team lose if they wait until
the end of the project’s life cycle for project closure?
e. Make daily meetings
a. Motivation
b. Customer satisfaction
4 Which one is not an input for the Project c. Awards
Closure Plan? d. Opportunities for learning and improvement
a. Work Breakdown Structure e. Money
b. Resource Plan
c. Resource Calendars 9 Which one is not included in the agenda of
d. Procurement Management Plan the postmortem meeting?
e. Organisational Processes a. Problems and critical success factors
b. Discussions on “what went wrong”
5 c. Discussions on “what went right”
Which one is not a closure activity?
d. Recommendations for improvement
a. Contractual obligations are generally fulfilled . e. Company vision, mission, goals, and strategy
b. Procurement documents are completed .
c. Project plans are updated. 10 How often should the project manager
d. Transfer contracts between project and update the Project Closure Report?
operation teams are made. a. Once, at the end of the project
e. Resources are reallocated. b. At the beginning of each phase
c. When project customer requested
d. Periodically
e. When project sponsor requested
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Project Closure
1. e If your answer is wrong, please review the 6. a If your answer is wrong, please review the
“Project Closure” section. “The Post Mortem Review” section.
Answer Key for “Test Yourself”
5. c If your answer is wrong, please review the 10. d If your answer is wrong, please review the
“Project Closure” section. “The Project Closure Report” section.
All project team members must record their experiences and the lessons
learned during the project life cycle.
Lessons must be published and shared with other project managers and
self review 1 project team members. This will reduce the likelihood that similar errors will
occur in subsequent projects.
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Project Management
1. What was done right? 2. What was wrong? 3. What should be done in the
self review 4
next project?
References
PMI® (2017), Project Management Body of Martinelli, R.J. and Milosevic, D.Z.(2016), Project
Knowledge (6th Edition), Project Management Management Toolbox, 2nd Edition, John Wiley
Institute INC, USA & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey
Cleland, D.I. and L.R. Ireland (2002), Project Lester, A. (2017), Project Management, Planning and
Management: Strategic Design and Control, Managing Engineering, Construction
Implementation, 4th ed., McGraw-Hill, New and Manufacturing Projects to PMI®, APM and
York BSI Standards (7th Edition), Project Close-Out
Horine, G.M. (2009), Absolute Beginner’s Guide Report and Review (413-414), MA, USA:Elsevier
to Project Management, 2nd Edition, Que Horino, Gregory M. (2009), Absolute Beginner’s
Publishing, Boston, MA Guide to Project Management (2nd Edition),
Baca, C.M. (2007), Project Management for Mere Ending a Project (p. 294-296). USA: Que
Mortals: The Tools, Techniques, Teaching, Publishing
and Politics of Project Management, Pearson
Education Inc., Boston, MA
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