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Probability IPE PDF

iPE NOTES

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16 views51 pages

Probability IPE PDF

iPE NOTES

Uploaded by

devilikhitha.chodavarapu
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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€ PRN re r7y (re yet) ~ Bhjntlim Rann Expired ° Aw Eapenrserok thick Ca bo aepeclid ory rn ban Ab mus uaden identical Covclibson in chich $ G) au powsle orcomay dy tur Da parornarsl on fmoon im adVonte , © & (CY) The adel oukteme ina porlicelan CoX is not boon in adda, 5, clllad a rach Pe i Tr am gapenrmant fy todtng an ub! unbiakd Coin, ue hove oly two poldbl. obo : Hest é Yend CH) ond TRICT). Tn @ pectzelon trail, o- her nat bow in odvank tne ocktome . Tis Spm Com be fp prlems4 amy number dy demuy onden idee Conditcond . Tass doe TE HA orden Giperirut . ~~ palgarkaws— —_ GD Any polls ockcons ob @ Stawdome Eyperirnent: 33 Called an ehemaertany on Simp Break (i) THe ack aby LL clomentany srerls Cpowrble es aa Srovdom Siprreed G js clad toe Lop spaG-S, abocialid with @ ‘ eae a @.&2 & [Link] in ( (i) fam clemuntany Sack in a Pook ah tra danple Spa 3 @) 4 Subset Eds, Pe elled an Bien. Thek “ A elonaestany srs j, called am eoeit. WY) An srk & by Boid +o happen (or occun ) iF am ailcor. Abbe sipuimast bulngi ty By ottansiat, ut Aoytiek E had not happtrad (or vat otcunted) (9 raa complomnat os an fuer £, dansted by ES, | Be siesk given by Ef asee, which called! th 1 Lerplamedtany swat of E. , 0) The empty sek ond tee te Sy Bevg bei viak SibwLAdes, ow Sees cebled impobto. peak ond Contosn Cobbjite ) Gente gupcively ExamphD 5, te Gapnimnust ‘of “tating 0 Cain’, tor Aompl. Ape S31 given by s-f ut] ee Ht Atomd fom Atad ond T Atonds for fat. From ps Tn tue Saprrimant 5 goblng a dig, te Soup Spat. Ss =[» Laas, 6} : eccrine da numben sé on tat ott up perm 5 the dio ra Gotan hhwniti) sre ; ua & CO ¢F s Shien Cs & Tso Cr MerL UII OR faid ty be mabnaly diclui’s, ih tee occurence ob om ob tm gyenls poets to OClunnem(g. oy omy of, be gemaining Grvts ) Ths G.,6,.56, oe ford to be mubaably fachive Jp coy eg feng vebkER @) Two ov prom Sieeks av Lard be quelly begs Cor gpczrotatle) if tome jx no reahen to Sap l ¢ omy one of trom td happen in pofewe tr ai (°F 00 On more eyes orn ford to be Sthartve | if to Perfprmenc. of tan Saprrmrst alu) € newts in the occumonte dy abla one ds thom & f. % &o) ; é Thad Gets £,,6,,..., 6, ant Load to be. Shaul | ewe. -:OE, SS) ¢ fl o = Be ty te Enprimek of thoesing a dia, Consider « TO te Ipllosing Sets: Ae nas} Bete c fra ay- frre trl Grew Syrebly Lerob 5 . 6 & Tn toe Guprrmedt dy trrowing a St ; « Sor plt pace S=] ry 3, w 5 5. & gies Eves Acti ast, nefamn 6 che nea) = 3, aCR)s2, Mled=2 Gas) A, Be oe Guna btaly Grectt Sas zQ gh don be Ty the enperment of, thoosivg adja, Corsider fptlowing Spots: f= Hash geleay, reg 264 . nee wets & muelirolly eecyve frae Tm tre Saprrmudt do thnowiry odia- Scounple Spa. S = Jiohss sid. Gwen gods fo Loasy, peheey, Aatac =}n zy a baat ahey = ¢. ceed SABC oe mautily Suclusive sporty . _ Ta tue Sxprimect af thawing adie, Gcide tee “Sods spr jaja6h @afaey, oF [rsiey. Ae the Gots Shouse: ve 2 Poa ee Experi menat 4S tah tonowing adie, Som plu dpaa s = ha 2 24,5, 64 Siven Gonts Axf2, 46h , a2 (s,6} , cen se} AoRuc =| 24,6) of 36} Of-1, 5,6} -{ hr4,3M, s, 6y 2S. Pr Bee ane gthaudlive Gets, SB 8 ote clapical Con Hebtemakccal J efi nee prsbabids a5 & namdom Enepeni rewnk nuts in 0 mats mobially facluave ond Quolly toby elomorony @ Bets aud m ob trom ax Yourable “te the happenvs® ay an wel EF, then tue habulty ofp ocr g 4 % E (m Simply probarily te) dwt by P@&) : ve “Bailes by pley= - : nolan. tent ony Wet & , 0 =pCe)st- 4 ot sine tee number di olemerstory SrtA (or) Georkrorey nat yore to tun webde (nm), fre. probabil 4; ion - OCCUTInNEte by tae ewenk E Qoustid bY pens dr ginen by PCED = mem = yma In pces. « nh i é peed ep ted =1— _ a aan Bas 30 dite ae thamon. Find tee potats ily $e c c ‘ eq Fhompn Fer ging Lowe rami botte the fron SE Two dia ow thrown = Ta tunis Taparcrnet Sosmpls Spa. Gton 6 wwe ns) =36- ( lk betes Biest 45 pity bu Some numba ote be pcos BA tee too dia. Number 4 cayen Jovunratls te & =6. Tom ewww ww oY we wwrw ww ww we wee @ an ne) = 6 - 6 2b - ne) = & 27. Peey = nce) = re ws) P82 A yumben 2 By dnownerbitnandly tase bats tht SO seb [payay-c roy. pimd be probs y+ Wel > 22- * = Som ola Space, <=} Open . 100 } wH(g) = loo. tt EF be bie get “the ort geledtid oct Somdorn the dd S =}u 243, -00} hos tot property C35 >A Ly Pawo, > 24. . ~ Sy P4too > MH > WL ear+tiovr © =) KELSH “UA +100 > 6 Py (aos) a (A299 > => (2-4) (4-25) > 0 = xE (LO) y sy oo). pa{ rd aera, + -.,100} (- 654 aay= P+39 = ZE pray = WA) 2 4g N(s) too = O-F€- ae . E> a A dein Coin toed ogo dimes find fae S0 probability of getting a hand an add numb ofp dams - sh fe fon coinntowed 200 Sem nls) = oa LEE bet siet dy gebling a ford an ond vumbar fs dimen - 3 wy ) : A Shot eae NCE) = dO, 4200 +45 * S 4 a S 99 aa | =f 2 | 194 1 pce) = nde) 2 2d ae nls) we debi Seo we S be tea Aample Space spa Stomdem pocmek & we ack pete Tew wcheon, (pe POsR Aabiatying F fiers Coe) bs Glbd a probability @) pce yo VE Pe) axiom ron wegetevity J ®) pier (ariom of Carkoanity }- () ae, Fe PO ond Bots f itm 5 = fevjtyl Pleve.) = Pee + PCE.) (aiem of, ak hstf ® eS be ample Apate. da gtanden Sypsumeck g ond p bea probability sfevetion on PCS? tro GQ) PCP) =o: @) Teo be te Complimectany Gest of E, thon pce) = (-pCe) Not.>- — Gi) o« pceys', MES Ss: WT} se, teen PCB) = ple) PCE) ©) Thy &ce, phen PCE) = pte): $321 Theorem q. 2.1} (asiction theorem on probability) PS Satimet The, &, an. omy two ets 45 Stomdom Experian ond pa pprebabidaty fort , Them PCEWED) = PCE) PCE) PEE) pet giver E, BE. om duy two Sued 4; a jromdom Spedrnant we hove to PT pCRoF) = ple) +PCE.) - PCR OE. Cox) D Enh = ¢ =) PCE OR)= 0- PEW) = PCE) * PCE) Emin, tg = p(Ei)+PGy-o = pCEy + Pley —pPGomry PCE) = pCR) et P(E.) -— pCRoe,) oy : Carlii) Th ENR oe ¢. WekT Eve = BUCE-E,) ond [Link],-fd=¢4. hr CnO WW DS 2A QW P(Ewer) = p(Ev&-e)) = pee) + PC&-E:) (2 axiom eddvhivi ties _\% = pC) +P Ce-(E.n6)) (28-6: = BEF Jeg e © pCEs) + pCex) -PlGoe.) [-: ene, c& | s “ PCEwes = plEd +p(Es) — plenty). a » fron cok), WD foros ten Guth Er Fe 45 @ Stauton Sepromwck PCEVOE,) = PCED TEED EAM & © P93 Pind tee probability dy thawing 2 total scone £40) dy Foie adie é Sh spas dha Hn 0.99 ah ese _# = & Sune space $=) WI, 1), G3), Gad, Gus), 6) & an), 2, OD, Gay, Gis, ie) e Gy), Gx, GD, Gs, Gis, Grey @ (Hd Cd, CHD, Gey COSI, (6 6), Gry, (ry, (i) E99, Sd) (6, (9 (6D, Go, (68), («94 =) Ws) = 36: (ie ej an Nnen2D PRR &%& tek E be tee great > gelling atotal Aco da. eS) E=}00, G5), G9, GD, G9, KD) - nce) = 6 ~ peeys. meey = & he nls) 26 B23 Find tue probability dy obtaining fo? tail ; 7 FO ag om head her 2 aims ae toiled SAL guns Coiws on teed . 3 Nos 2 LEE be tee qed do obtaining bse tai and ahaad. =8- . WCE) =" x te, = 3K =3- peey= me) 2 3B. ns) § P9223 page is opened at Sromdom fom = book | Cotarning ED page pegs: chet fy te. probabilits Linak Ere tambon on tae pag tra ppt sym st f pege m opened a yovdem from a book fs rept” Gaon plt Space ce hay, y 200). N(s) = Roo. bok E be the gat of drawing prge tho, numbin Boa pete Agpons- Ee {44,4 “ ey. ME) Des d , d ~ p(e) = me) 21M = ae G4 ns) oo It 4 4 PSPS Te 4 fer coins one sotded cimubtanzaakly, then ‘ 1 pod tae prabability track 2 heads ond 2 boils { appen: é a Gren 4G inn te¥ed cinnubtaneowy « : = nts) = vale. @ ik € ba tue gyock A getting rhends and rte : MEY= 4H eR | MR FE 4 See _2¥I é . peeyence) . 6 =2. « WS) we & P82S Cand tue spmobability thet non Loop “44°? { eo. Cotaiws (i) $2 Savdayd () S> Sundayd dy « ; SE ron. pa-danp ston Cortoiwr 365 dag? - 4 36S Gr x4) +1. Emer) 4 4 Samp Span S= = Hon Tue ch, Pa, ah () tek By be tee ae gr non Leap peer aay 52 Sunchy> . E, =[ sen} n (= | preys mee) = Lo 4 ( w(s) = { 4 4 ‘ ! i n(s) | ~ www ow erwuwre ww Ww ewrwwe ww © Ow ee CO GY bk G, be te Bet non~Lenp eon caw ED Se Sunday) only . ewe [ non Tue ustd, Thu, Far, God} WEr) = 6. p(s) = nt&y = & A(s) v 226 io Th a bot Coubeining 1S bulbs, s one defect ve - = EES bulbs one lected est srondarn from tee be, find tee probability do tee creak, tok © nome aby them jn chipctzve « W ody one fy tram be dafecteve @) deat oe de trom os defeteve - gh Box Codoiming isbulbs 5 aur dofpetive ond 10 one S bLbs oe Suleckid ot pomdom fron te bon “ nr is. Ss @ ut EL be the Swen bk pelecteng s— bulbs Auch thé noe dy trem 3, debectzve - h,) = '0 oe . P(E) = 10 ~ Honanenang 9 BR s >> HOW EK Ais Ise ser Ss ISKVGRI2x 1a RUT AEKIOX rte = x SEM 3 Icey (HE es Be tee Bat oh sulabewg <= balls pon So Such tre only one a tam ay deed: ve NEL) = ee, Pleyy 2 MED = Tey pPceLy Is. ss w LOKOUKEK FH BAK Lp BUS K MK 12K (2K apr 5 Loser x0 (FOROT RAR 12 GY) bee ES be tee suet 4 electing bulls from ba Auch pret atten ont f tnem cofects ve" PCes) = I~ pce) xo 1m ~ 143 = 1G3-1e 143 = 12) 143 Pat "cota pepe Coins , ome A Corkains 12 two Duper (ind , 7 Pee TS Coins Gud q halb super coim . Thy tree Coiny< an Selectrd at roudeom , tren diva the an 2-2 ee 2a A OO BO OOOO OOO Be ew B&D AO ‘ Probability tok @) the Sum + shone mim ' a maim @ Eee gun ab tne Comms js minimum Gi : Bem cain is ay dffewat Velua Sg, = Jive tek bog Gteiws 12 bud epee Coiws , Home Super Coin , & half muper Coiws + Toth numbind= Coiw = bt eeu 5 22. Thate Coiwy ore Buktid ot jroundom + W= a | S QO) bee G, be ter syeit dy sulectowy 2 comms Auch tht the Sum hy 3 CoM yp, Maximum: ME) = rm n 2S ~ pE)=BCE) = Pe; n(s) 23 GW) tt FL be tee Cuet te ge Suleckeng 2esiws Arcclh, trek the cum 4; 3B Coo minimum. <2 a Pp (E,) = olEr) a ey PR Be (i) Wok Ey bo tee yea ch deleding 2 lois such that gach Coin ok did ew-t Valu 7 NCEx) = ew Fey 4 PCE) 2 MBs) 2 ah Fer“ we) > se ee he a a fae Rand Boot among 20 penkork abe sit at , sO Jromdon along a somd table. pind tee probotilta tek thera ont Omy SIX pertows bekweun ond B- a @.8 a sel Toto num ban f- persons =20' Lk A ewe occupy any fot ot the Sound scan Them tare oe 19 seols Aft 4p" R- a : to be d bkween 428 @ Bt ik 6 persows om oot A then Bhan oly two coayn to sit: 5 nad babiaty = 2% i a ila ar : P3224 TE py Re ane tenon, quads, Show tot @ 52 prronue) = pead-+ pC) + pl) —PlanB) PEA —PEA) & . + pCaAnBac) - € " é 52 = as =. POV@v9) / ee _« = plad+ pCRuc) —p (Aa (evo) k ode = PO + Pe +PeO — pebaC)~ Pls00) ancy] e e = PO) + PCB) + Plc) - PCBac) — plAn8) + plade) _pipn “)- Brfan ; [ Phogne ‘ = p@) + Pew) +P Ce) — pCRac) ~ POOR) ~ P@ac) + p@rRac)@ = Rts 4 2. P(AOLO< > = pl + pCBY +P) = plan) ~ PCkac) - pcan fe 4 PCAN GOS) « $ § € PEP» probability buctcon, toon stor 4) don omy tu Gedy Aad BY PCADBY < pla) = plavad = pray PB) BT AOR SA & AOR are) pag) = pt) < pon) -~O we KT plron) = play +p CB) — plang) Ss p@® +pcm => plac) < pl@d+pcad) _G) fro 2® p(aon> < pla pe =o : 0 B. both Aad p= pcan) = = \od SI both Aand ¢ @5 plaac) ~ oD 1, boty Ronde =) pag) = & . ae 100 ; > Pp awncy = = 5 woe have to find prrtantoge ef poprleton che eed tteark or ned pepn: DV) adh the three — plA+PCB) +Plc) —pCaan) -pCBac) POI) pCAvaus) = plar+pC® +Plc) -P P tp Ganac) pewu = so 40 iY & 4 5 . eh (od (SD lop oD ted ED IO p@okuo) = aotlo+ly —F-4-S+L _ 37 ep — Too ash de peprbdeon the neod atileat~ oe | red pep - | Bs: food Ban. qetts with pla) sos, pCa) = =o-¥ sf and plang) =0-2- pind toe probability trae (i) A doen vat _occun (i) NU THe A norB occurs a Gum Pl=o-S, PCBso4, plaR) =o. CG) Ardeer wot occur sos pracy = t-p@ = 1- os ti) nether A nor R occu c _ Cavey = [(- plavB) pC ag) = He = = pin + pet) - ramos rt-fos to 0-3) 4 mean e228 4 021A OO 2A Oe e ee eae ewe eo ww & & = (- 06 463 = OM: FIRS For ory tuo teds fad , Show thet r® placon = 14 pana) —pla) — PCB)” 2 Cte = pracand = plore} > 1 plage) = [PG * pce) — pow | = (= pl) — pCR) + p (Ann) = (+pl@oB) — pray = PCB) aerate - pase’) = t+ prs) — pray ~ PCED « nace + P3226 frag AFG vo those hon in o U@) the probabilaty da to win tre rate twice trst oy B, and probabilay 4B ¥ twie thebabe thet depel on the pubabit-tier A, & onde ty coin the Hawk, SE pp are ow tree hom in a Hace - Gren thet probability A to cain the Sate by tuice thet + 8 =) p@)=rpce) ~O giver tel phokadiltty de bh tuia thet doc =) p(B) = 2 plc) —~Q) om we BT P(A) + pCB> apc) =i. t 8G =) ple) + rple) + prey =l- > ae pO) 42 prozl ‘ 4 oa wpley + 2 ploy =/ ; => Hepler sl < > peas a a - 2 q Qe =) pcs =r plo 2(4) = a q - e O- pty = 2 pc® =2(3) te d d a ple of p= % , ped = 7 « PBS TE trod numbers one puledtid guandonn ly Sebestod 20 Cwuelive nalanel numben , fied pro babi lity Lek tee Aumban af the two nr BG) aun Boum mumban (it) an odd PUMP. q 4 sh ou fy omy Bo Comecelive nabinal numbers tee an 10 Ge and to odd nalinol numbery 4 wot hove to Selec fwd hum buy from 20 numbin n(s) = B% ‘ (i) Lt E, be the Seot ay Sues ngy Q numbers Auth treat tee Sam de ted numbun hs eae meoenon Cae Le iit I nan I aal al—haTllalrh aaitlate ae Siri im iil Tile ileal Sl arr lal 1 pe) = HME) 5 10, +10, Ns) = 46t4S = 22 = TG (10 190 ces ie 19 CD tot Cb the Geek f ebding for muri Aach thet the Sum +; tes numb » an odd numb, = yp) oe pce) = 1 pce) Zt “4 = 1-9 19 = 1g P(E) = 10, 19 P9323 Find tre probability o} chasing Om AO. 09 a 4 pode SD from a wilshfled pack ob sx playing Cand Ska Br By be te sets do dnawoing Ate, Sitoda, from a pack dy 9 playins Condy mnpicvely : ACE) =4, NCE) = » CB AR) = te 8 nO@@ 2 @ @ @& 82 2 @ AA «A CEE) = PCE) +p (EL) —p Cerne) 244 -L "CT ge sh = G +12 -1 = 4 PCEoes) = s. dak Joudem ae 9228 Ta an Saperrrew dy drawing a Con z® ror pack , TH ew of galing a spade ‘ 7 coin cond G9, CF dewatid bs & ond gabtivg a picts, r ae B dwottd OI B+ Find tee prbabilabis os A, 8, : ; ond AUB: s Gren Am sock of geting a Apod. yom - fh» set de getting pci. cand ppors pack Coreieg e pes k fon wR & NAY = 1d, NCB=I2 , NMOB)= 3- = oe ee pes) = =, plac®) = L pao kB) = pray + PCR) — pmag) em ye ~ bh se Sk oe 2412-2 em sb, eet Sz » CD GAG BD A HW CrOnO 0 A ~~ ewer wwe _wevewoww UW WEE YU OY WET St P a) The Probab Ly _ a “ fn & Cotnacter to gst a preod mak pp Ed to gt a puldivg Grtrat 4 fo. 4 Th probability to get atleast omcritrad bY. . ss find tus probabidity that he gels both toe Cortracks - te bE, be te york of gutinganoad cota Ey be te aut dt geblixg a building Crtnak - a, Fiver pcPd= ae , P(e.) a ple ve.) =%. tse have to find p nes) CEE) = pce t+ pC) — PCEMEL) 4S = 2 45 — pC& br = at 7 pc&obr) cE, =e hel et PEE.) = a q ca = or 2s -26 eo pPEoh)y = 1 as Th a committer ay 2s members , aC PY» profi aerat Ginn in mokhemalics an in Stbutiic on tw both - Th Moh thet on. proficient in mothomeabios , in atelakay , find toe probabil thet a perhon gicld from the Committe 4 proricent in both. hh mumben rn Pre Bayete a @ @ aa aa a - ol Lb of BME Ey be the Bet IS uhehong a mcmabn » Profrdaet in Mokhemabicn , oud 6 be tea Bue by aeledding mow bun che jn proficet im Atalay. dee peey= Facey 2 pte ves) Ls tse 7 we hove + ted wh naille. @.0,.0:9 4& @.64.0@.8 2 aa Pre ne.). PCEWE-) = pce,) +p ce) — PCE OE) > a = 9 gp _ s wet PS — preter) > pCEwE) = Ho4% — 25 ww ows TS (9 416— UST 2S = to al & E 2 Pas Th om treks is gondemby selected fps numbed 1 to 30, 4p then tina tie probability 4 e tha tee Ramban om Tickak js 6) a malb pl dsey (8) 0 malkeple Eg Gon 6 ‘ PA tc, be tee ert dy glding a 3 mabbeple. ontictk Er bo the sunt of getting a scmebkiple on trek | @ E, bo tee pred 4 gathing a ae mall: ple 4 on Jeckelt Ere} 3,69, 124516 24,24,29, 20} Saerz0 44 E.s}s, 10,15, 20,25, 20} => n CE) = 6 Ep=h iy, rt, 26 => nf) = + Exo ey=] \=4 SD NCEME3) 20° EOS = fis, 20) =) Neb) 2 WD goobabilityeh the rumben on the bebe > a raelbep-t Seyt PCELVE;) = P(E) + ples) ~ plerFa) => 64+ Ht ~2% 20 at 20 = eit 30 = 30 a bp (A) pore babide ee mamsben oy tre fears a mE? - dp zen PCEvEs) = pre) #P Ces) — PCEME) a W0 4h -F 30 30 zo = lot 6-2 cae) = 14 Jo” 2 oe b hecwa aa qe, PEE fad Boone deeking admission iuty TIT- LO Th tee probability foe do be gehdied Jo oS aud tinct both to be pected jy 0-2, thom ” it pauls tthek , te probabilety da te bX selodttd » 09% | ZS ik bey be te adn dy pond h —— Goer JOE = 0S, p CEmts).= 02 SPP PTE Now p(Eve,)= pc&r) +p Cd ~ plern Ex) 4 => pre obr) ag OO « => Pv.) = Ul ¢ dah ia vaapoxtole : pler) ode é |-—fB2r Fw POM fromd-—f ont oblang a_dio om tha ¢€ TA Condition thet the peor tho gota 2 will vin ta ts By Sa te goat on el § prsdobilien a5 fond B runpevelyy to win to pod SA Goan task 490 prrsmd Aad B on spalling 9 die contre condition that tue perron tho gus 2 will win tH goer : te Ey be the evo ok gubivg zomdin ples) a pCec) == mae dd ® A On®@. v, uw Now probebilahs 4, Rh cain tee gos we 2 poy = pm 2 & ee a Thy ‘Probability ay hy in the — & PORY = PCE) + PCE) PLe® »pCe) + predpce sple IRE? RE) ‘ a L my » play = PCE) + plEd(pre9) + pce) ces) | play pee ; Senet {pce = x) = : . i ) t-(E\> 1s &) Nee Hehe a ) — \ 3% So ee Gag u } playa. ; ) ) ! PCG) =e ; W . zh one pa ny POF fi [Ba The probability oe three gts AB, e ann TO Auch, tral p(y) = 0.3, p(B) =o, plozo8 & es PCAN 8) = 6.04 PlAncy zo-ak , P(AMBoc) - 0-08 ond P(ALRvC) 2 045, Shoo that PCBocS ANB 4 dan i ee intnvah [0>', o-ut}. avs sh Giver p(Ar= 0-3, pea) so, POO? 0 & 4 ‘ plang) 0-09 , plane) = o-r8 , pranencd=008 , ond pcncbuc> > OFS ‘ urk-T pGoRru) = pla) + pea « PLO —p(AeB) — pled € —pcans) 4p ese) : =) pCAURYO) = O32 +t oM eo & — 0-09 — PLEAD = o 28 40-08 « = pone = SF 3F— pcBoc) é = plaonuc) = eer— pCRoc): « § given te plav Bee yore ‘a > ose pl@vBvo SI ‘ => gas & be pebae) oe I area) pat hepe BR Sed akc ra | - ato ln ke 3 2 2 233 =) pe(t.4] > ! L fe hepet Conditzonal Exel of) Suppok A and B one two greets of a Standem Eapenimal Dh tw Grent @ occurs abilin the occurence. ay te Get A, Them toe Sven ;“hoppening of B atin tre hoppening oh a’. is Colle a Concbeonal, sreok and 3s devoGd by Bla: Seilerly alg Stands for EM get > happening 4s able tine happening af & - Dabinicion (Condiche onal probabidity ) SD Ds A ond Bane too gueds of dounpl, space S ond pro , thom the probabi tty abe oben tne et A hor occunmdd jo called tee Condibmal probabids ty +B Giver ond js duasttd bY p (Bip) - pC) = pcboa) | pray $0 pca) ge (Hutt: procaon traomuen oy prberitets ) 2 ep IN steht: Th frond B ane two rents deo Stardom rmoat with par >o ond pCR) o>, them pang) = pew pC&) = peo pC) \ pot gee fr Bowe two = Sue + a Jandom Eeapendrety ' ‘ ‘ ond (Ayre, PCB) >0° By Cordikecn -probabi Lr p(B) = pcsae) J Pp 4 ] Cr) pla) —— = — ptas-pEG = plee®—_@y —~ Similody p(4) = P (FoR) p (a) => pce) p(*R) = pcanR) = a) fpr © 2@ pw@aB)= pap (Be) = peep (£) Henn proved : Dabwckon , ee = HE s PE THe Zowple gpa of a ered Thypormredk — quad p bea probabitity kon ok ned om P+ Thea two “grents pond B dy OH Srprrwuds on called independent if plana) = POR eer; (333) ut A od BR be independent guyents wait Exomph® piayeo-r , PD soc: Find Gy pCaln) ww wy p(B) Git) peony GY) pon) Sk F jndspemder LS gem POR) = or, pee =0-S at A,B ane are w pcs) = pcan) _ pad PO ~ pia = ona. pce) pe ty o CB) = peay= oS ww) p@) = pew) _ pa pO) = pce pra) pe Lis) PCAaBd = prr-pO@) =(@y (oS) = oto =o} (38) plaoB) = ptr +p 6B) — pleoB) = 0-40: - 0-] = o-F- Of = 0-6 P9337 Supp and Bo ont indepemdent Gremts with ZO pa) = 06, pC@ 20-9. Tem Compule Gy pany e) p@en) (iio) rR) (CD pacar) . sek Given A, BR one indipendonk guerlas. Vadckheb Lb Lb Udelab U U DeOWE © C KOew PM = 0-6, plays o-* 9) Aaa eam ea ea OO AA HAMAD AAAKAA AAR AA HA ABA AD & & Gi) plane) = pla POBY = (es) (or9d= >” i) pl@roB) = plad+ pra — pleas ) TS ob6t OF ~ OGL = RA OEE = o0&& U) pCAlay = praan) _ pM PO) 2 pts) = oF “prey phn Gs) p (acon) = aon’) = p ceo) xml o = or . & 20-65 pqasé oa A; oe 4090 Gets vith prow aI : ob F® peangy ors, ten fod to a => ——plachr poe a Sum pirasy = eee, pranmy =°6 Ci peony 5 pa) +P Ce) — porns) Obs = pla) 4 pCR) - o's =) of = te peat) + 1 pCR) cbt a par + Pa@sd eae 4 sO ; Ga) aT fade, chomco/s 4p soloing iE on Lowtt ) mw pdcveby + Find tue probability 45 tua gone bern being colued fe both ty bem tay in donk ly. ay Suk Gate, be te Syeds trek te problem wh Adved by A ond p guy peeve . Jiver pcend=t ) p(ey = 4. ) * hte we hove to find tae probosibty + ae bomg cdlued bath dG trom try indepemdathy - PCEOEL) = pC&i)+p (er) - peak») = P(E + PCE) — pces: PCE) aT T% - t+ 4 a a ree So tn ele I uv ee 13339 5094 Guat tooth in HSL Cy bine Cates ond B sp®) in go'/, Cates. Ghak 9 the probabidotsy tna tein SEeLiments about om ‘ncidenk do nat mokeh. pA EG, Ey be toe wel thot Aowde splak gh ZA Lautn aback an inGdenk ruenpetevely ®. gees p(B) = 355-3 | pce) = So, =e : lov & =) P(E) = ple) pres) = I PCY) y st 4 alos - et. = 4 < wk be tue cuect nek then SE atirek donet match abot tn incident , pce) = PCE) + p Cera BL) = pce) = p Ce): pces) + pees) PCE) + Lo @ aie Bok Gos ee eee 20 we “Ps, vo oe A218 @0.0-8 4 4 @ 0.0.8 © @ oe we oo P3337 ee ets trek Ruytralia wins a mokch Te ogps Tudia in a Crichiot gon ma given to e bot zh Tadia od frutralia ploy 2 makehn@ whet jy the ‘pre bebidas trot @) Awana will é fooe ab tier thous wakche.t Gi) Auwtnala ville win akteayl one match t 4 ge th A be the Sed that Auttorerdia wim a makch agosratt Tudtq Ho Ovcedl gor * _ (—= AnD coitt Lote Jie pla = ne > plats =l- pa) sek = Autrela ond Tadia play 3 matcher: @) uk £) be tee Get tek futnalia alk tee 3 mokchos - F PCE) = pes PD: pad = pew) . = (8) = & . 1) Gi) bk EF, be te quent tht Aurtnaiia ill IN: ak deat owe mekch - wy P(E.) = 1— pce) a 1+ = 23-6 LF = it. Br Pao Tra shodeug tuk tre probabilty fy ALB hiding toa forgets om 1% ont 2 opps Ty alk ptm & fine ok te Ame tongs, Find the. probability Line o only om oh trans hit Hee tang (cy ableawit one ofp there hits the tempt - | ( © | € giver that ina atheiteng Tek te probatils ch Arbre pitteng toe dengats oe 4, 5rd Ter pad: vy - (ae) Pay play = 4 pce) = a ped = ch ) pend = PD J pew) = POY | PLD = r= Pe = {= + S = ote + _ =a ol = + , hits EO Q@ ae Bo be Ee met af arly are 4 te forget . Capac) (Sana d) + pca Pc) = pCAantact) +P sy ep lad PER) POO ples = pO pCAE) PLE + PAE POH) PCO FP = pe) = bi, > pce) = 1 3h => PC)o 2 ee ed fw $$$ — . ite, be ee eat 4 atleast one dy tem hit to Eanget pcer) 2 1- PCAnRonc’) = 1H platy pCR PC) paza2 © Fy A, Bic aw three independent guents do as PH PCBS Peed =, pracy PER) preg =L , PAD PCR pred —2 —> 6 Di Ly PO pewy ped POR) peRy PLES => ROAD =e "IP eeD > Peay = 1p rAd => apcAy =) : j =k = yecay 7 . Sol ass ese ale [ete @ plac> pcn®s pecs 4, mae pce) = 7 pe@> x ele ' ad = pa Dp, = 1- PCBD = apc =7 = ales peas) = 1- PER = IH uk 4 Subyte ta be P= PCAId=X GQ 3 OQ» L~ peesyilt 2 ¢ => pce) = 3. Now pte = t-pre= (=, = 42 zy gre thet A,B one = plan wy = pear PEO we have ty pT pecan’) = eon = 1— places) : _ =f prore pend pnenr | — = 1-[ pear «pea — pm pcs? | (Hpene) = (=p) —pCa) + pray pcb) = (reFey) (i= Pm) = plas) pce) ae Bee jndependet soudln pCacars ) = pA) pad AC Lat ox wndeperderk orenls - Bsr Dh AB ow two Gets, ther shoo thel @w £© PEAR) PCO + p (ALY pwd = pray ol Fuss p(y pend + p (Ce) PO = PGB) pen + pcran®) pee PQ PO = plaadd + p(aoc’) = p{@os) Gn) 09 +P (@o8) O) (ron) } erp = placeor) | + pL aaeoe’ | : = plas s] + p Leo 4) =pla) + px) = poy 40 = RS . : p Cae) Pe + PCH PED = P28 pfein dia js gelled « Cossiden tne Sects TO oefiysch, eb shuajetes fu aasy. Bind G) plang), ples) (ie) pesiay, POA) (le pl alc), p (cla) @) pC&le) J pCR) SA Atpn dia & nodled => m (0) 26 A a x05 R z foray , co fru st ange {3} , BoC = Ril cna- fas} pte) - => plry= ) prod= = pros &, 38 6 6 plana) = 4 PCahac)= 2 plcam= 2 . 6 6 @ plaagy, plaosy Plaan) = 4 Plo B) = P(A) + pra) = plage) 2 I 445 -4t =a sig + PG = . POR) = (®) pms), pCBla) pC) = pase? = & = 4- PCB) 2 BY - plans) 4 a e(4) aT Ea —_ =-4 6 (*) pealey , pCa) Aac) — = - 2 et pete BO ee re a 6 p(y = pad) = 2 2 & ple) = 6 @ PC), PCE) PCE = p(s = Se = BT po t ps Bac) PCS) = ROM Re o pcb) = 6 fe pain A> chia js rolled, chek i» tue -prebabilaty SE thal trey Suto? give taal n@ithuy die shows a2’ sok a = A pain ay dia 4 joled- Sooxmplr Space s3[ ere) 139, Gey) , G5), (HD, G4, Gy, Ga, GH), G5), Ge), GQ), GY, @D, GS), Gs), Gu, GY, Ga, Ge) GH, Gi, 0, (9, (4) E9, Er), G9, 9, Gn), (9, (6), (9), (49), GO. “ NGS) = 26. tk A be te Sit ay getting Suv > aserrente Bln), G09), 0), C9, (50 (os n(A)= 6 Ld Bo be tae get dp neitie, die Ahi Ba] Wd /Cuay Cea) Les), Cus), BW, Gay Gu), Gis), Gre), WI, (Ha), Ga), rs), 6), Ee), EA), GY, CH, (514) GD, GD, (60), (65) 69, n(B) >is: AnB ={w9, Gu), (es), (60) J Aah) =4 w (Aa . > & ee AL) - plaet) = Gp ar as (7) = A Ray = 26 &e On ABE poin ds dice in splled ~ shal js tes a prin a EO tut rather dia chowr a 5 giver trek they Sum tog ol 3. = = pan dia j, rolled . : n(S) = 26. e HE be tee Sool fo gabling Sue A 2 ncA) = 6- a He DR be tue Govt dy “werten diz shows > gg nCB) = 2S % oe =] (16), Gi, (and, (6095 é nC aah) = &- é , cor) k .tse. p(B) = P Fe «“ Play a % atte P9339 Thres Screw) an drawn at jrondem LQ sv sod, gab cbich on defpetive. Find wf SCnuws Or ~ & T_poohabibiky ob te ssek that: all_3 + rondakgebeve , auming tra ta draesivg ? (a) with gaplacement (6) vitor aeplcrmed & Total numbr & sows) = 5? ~ narabin ob none difpchve Senos = 5° number ob delpdeve genes = 5 (0) L&E, be tre get af drawing 3 Sewer 0m debeclve Apress with ne place ment 2 Uae 2 2 ESOP R ir = i) 2 ponds lev (8 bet EF, be the set 4 crawivg 2 Acre), doi th ai neplacug * 3 t ee ™ SP 44 to ie PCE) = gig [460 A Sig dia ie grolad tuicr in SaccaKer - ushek tee probabUty Lek tee! number tha Aecond toy + grestrthan tack om te peste noblhing . se A singh din} solkd tie Siccoien. WS) > 6S 26: ld & ba tee Sued trek toe pumbey on Te Accond ' dors in qrestin thon tac on tha prt sally : e-}] Gay, GD Go, (OS), G6 G3), G9), G17 (2) Ba), Gis), Gib), C89, HHO, (sie) n(é) = 1s pce) 2 nce) Se ee t n(S) 36 L Seppeie thal ® CoM yy toted dase dimes @ LE gue A be" getting three heads’ and [2 be the Sok of; * gebt ing ahead on toe fv beds", Showthet # and RB ox deperdact sets. s com told 3 fomey S= HE, HET, HTH, TH HTT TOT, TT, TITY > nlsy=8 Giver A ee suet of. gebting = als acluuuy =) ACAD =U Biren Roy ect db geblng ahead 00 bt-toy - ros = {omy n@ag) =! noo p(aagy= 1 _ roe peony 4 > nend=¢ -4 = Z pa= po= 4 [Link]) = 1. = P(AaR) + pay pce) fr Boone im depended Sroka aot Bog 8, coctaims 4 obits ad 2 black bold - @ Chas SEO bog By Gotainy 3 lai and y black bella. & beg ty drawn at random and a ball at pom te poll’ drawn in date Sel chew) ie okt Ow be probability thek bog By aun prcti vehy =) peer) ah ple)= 4 G, ond Sut Ge, be te quets 4 choorsvg bog © tk us be tee ceok trek tre boll chen fom the yelictid bog Gog B, 4 a Bogs | 3 4 wed pC3)- te =e PCR) date - POS) = p(Eino) +P G00) a) ple = plene(Z)t peyP Ce 4 x a Lu r , . GEw PAI Them on 3 black and y whili balls in om Pay, T@ black ond 2 ihe balls im tae Second ee : ik te Adin to Folled ond tee first bag > acacia ib B = P&ye2 oP CaS Nlows pcs) = p Cag) + pce, ab) =) peo) = peed p(E,) > Pe) _—- : : 3 2d =) pC) = a ees zy sort dio shows up 1072, amd tre second bog fom find tae probabilely 4 drqwivg a black ball, : yen the bag thus aelected - ( T ond! s Lb 6,6, be the gents by checking best ; bog ® mun packivel ‘ ee Byee ¢ According to gives condiken ple) =F - - = =z 4 at x 4 ra Roba tee Gree tok tee balk cheatin from tony SJadid beg in black - ( : ate - Black | : Tag q 3 ; Rog f 3 a 4 _ : - : 4 4 4 4 ‘ ‘ ( = Stal ond pre Rayels Lreanm “4 pas Statimet.- Suppl 6,6). By one redinaly Sxctuyye ond erhaulne gents doa sander Spm with pcendto, te be bay. yn. Then tr omy “Brest A A tae sranilorn.. Gpedmesk esi play O2 p(s) = p cers p (Alen) Ref an £ peer) p (ler) pes Gir Eyes Eye, bg oe maclely exclusive ond Srhouykive guutn 4 a standom Sxpesrnert > Entag te 1eupen od OE =8° fet Sha Acs de omy Bet A, wehavt A= Aas 3 : > A = A0(9 &) 0 = - = AOE = = geen) =) play = pL See ] E,Og = 4 - =) pla) = = pCAnei) L 198 = iz (ANEi) noi) = F- => ANE, ANE or Exy 2 p (Ake) _ Plan Ex) medially seclasioe Now pC) im 2 PONE) . tpersiden = REE) = BEER PCIE) pe pn 2 ple) pCAlexy I Fee “+ * Gh id G,, EB, be tH gents dy chooking bolls @ S Three brun B,, B, od B, Grtoin x oo EP) wsite “dilferect colons as Shown bolo? plain Ga a Phnaan By & chase ih obwP Torr Bemnut By mw Chote Tay bw UP ond B, chosen Son 6 tare up. Having chon a bx i” this HAY), oo bath ja chon ak random this bm. Dh bee! bh drawn i found tobe med, find te probasilaty Lnsk it # drawn tym bx Ba, ba By, Acaording to give Condit on peey= Sad, pO) = bab, POD” € ete ia ba sk drawing a aed ball fom ( = fap Niel 2, nopecteve lg se a ( i ( Jeloctid bore. ewww we Y - awww www Ue wwe MEN. 2 jel) te) yr s wR have to fins re) som Baytls treonoms p(B) . pce pCR ) pen p(& + ACES RCE, PERCE 5) _ a = 1 + 5 err - ca * 7” q zypeds!” S + it 4 = 4+ E+h s 4 = 18430 as = lS re ae Ayes P(e) Ae a) ey P4337 Three bor numbered 7,7, 1D cotoin te TO ws “£ z \ ( e | ca s 3 +, dnawn one box fo Sandorly pelectrd ond & balk Hi wad tena proba : Joon ies Bp He ball aed, tan thek it b yer box ; cag baT, bot, gh sek 4b Be tne Siecle fy chaoteng BATON’ bor rinpdively - sb plea) #44 peed = ) pcers 2 | downy | yd boblk 1 bo QR be ter get from pled Seg a ate Black | Red | — = t a z r DL t ' v4 = ] 3 Ry\y_ 3s Ry ait Ry-3 -1 Pe) = 6 Be 5 PCR) “ah le)re 4 ~NEW Breve YY BH Sree Prom Bassi theonem @e P() 7 pcea PCE ) z —__*~____, PCE) r(£\ + p (es PCE) PO) rE) - at = zy PEP t = q bead _ 4 = 4 bat = 4 I oF « fy oi. PCE) Hy P3240 ZO —— = Three, Urns have tie fpllowing Coropotdeovnk 5 balls UsnT + cbati , 2 black van Ts: 2datt, | black Unni . ade) rablack. one f tee ams da Jubitid ot” Qomdom ont a ball B Adawn. TE bony ak t) bo ob . find bee probabidety that it Came pom urn a. - os ‘ XG ot gl tt), E., Ey be tra gyenly 4 chootns 2 “hy Urn, Urn, Or TT rey peckc very hy Spen=b, peey=4, play=4- a | : Q WMP eset ty doawing a ote. 2 a from Aeliclad bag orn - 3 wohte Glock con® om L ‘ ‘ ~~ On rae 1 wo em |) i E os bo mcs eye o's Gee. Gz)> zy 4 > c -, we have to find ne )) ad e "o—= Poorn Ny theorem . i ae pen P(t ) o. nea e: ppm rE Ee Esch an ee) p (2 } + pen ee le peyeCe,)— Se & t+ 2 f bi + 1d = acs 2 o ae 4 ee Va om aw B

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