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Probability and Statistics Exercises

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12 views5 pages

Probability and Statistics Exercises

Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

1.

The probability distribution of a discrete random variable X is given by

x2
P(X = x) = , x  {1, 2, k}, where k > 0.
14

(a) Write down P(X = 2).


(1)

(b) Show that k = 3.


(4)

(c) Find E(X).


(2)
(Total 7 marks)

2. Two fair 4-sided dice, one red and one green, are thrown. For each die, the faces are labelled 1,
2, 3, 4. The score for each die is the number which lands face down.

(a) List the pairs of scores that give a sum of 6.


(3)

The probability distribution for the sum of the scores on the two dice is shown below.

Sum 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
3 4 3 1
Probability p q r
16 16 16 16

(b) Find the value of p, of q, and of r.


(3)

Fred plays a game. He throws two fair 4-sided dice four times. He wins a prize if the sum is 5
on three or more throws.

(c) Find the probability that Fred wins a prize.


(6)
(Total 12 marks)

1
3. A box holds 240 eggs. The probability that an egg is brown is 0.05.

(a) Find the expected number of brown eggs in the box.


(2)

(b) Find the probability that there are 15 brown eggs in the box.
(2)

(c) Find the probability that there are at least 10 brown eggs in the box.
(3)
(Total 7 marks)

4. Evan likes to play two games of chance, A and B.

For game A, the probability that Evan wins is 0.9. He plays game A seven times.

(a) Find the probability that he wins exactly four games.


(2)

For game B, the probability that Evan wins is p. He plays game B seven times.

(b) Write down an expression, in terms of p, for the probability that he wins exactly four
games.
(2)

(c) Hence, find the values of p such that the probability that he wins exactly four games is
0.15.
(3)
(Total 7 marks)

5. A random variable X is distributed normally with a mean of 20 and variance 9.

(a) Find P(X ≤ 24.5).


(3)

2
(b) Let P(X ≤ k) = 0.85.

(i) Represent this information on the following diagram.

(ii) Find the value of k.


(5)
(Total 8 marks)

6. Let the random variable X be normally distributed with mean 25, as shown in the following
diagram.

The shaded region between 25 and 27 represents 30 % of the distribution.

(a) Find P(X > 27).


(2)

(b) Find the standard deviation of X.


(5)
(Total 7 marks)

3
7. In a class of 100 boys, 55 boys play football and 75 boys play rugby. Each boy must play at
least one sport from football and rugby.

(a) (i) Find the number of boys who play both sports.

(ii) Write down the number of boys who play only rugby.
(3)

(b) One boy is selected at random.

(i) Find the probability that he plays only one sport.

(ii) Given that the boy selected plays only one sport, find the probability that he plays
rugby.
(4)

Let A be the event that a boy plays football and B be the event that a boy plays rugby.

(c) Explain why A and B are not mutually exclusive.


(2)

(d) Show that A and B are not independent.


(3)
(Total 12 marks)

8. In a group of 16 students, 12 take art and 8 take music. One student takes neither art nor music.
The Venn diagram below shows the events art and music. The values p, q, r and s represent
numbers of students.

4
(a) (i) Write down the value of s.

(ii) Find the value of q.

(iii) Write down the value of p and of r.


(5)

(b) (i) A student is selected at random. Given that the student takes music, write down the
probability the student takes art.

(ii) Hence, show that taking music and taking art are not independent events.
(4)

(c) Two students are selected at random, one after the other. Find the probability that the first
student takes only music and the second student takes only art.
(4)
(Total 13 marks)

Common questions

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To find the number of boys who play both sports, use the inclusion-exclusion principle: Total = Football + Rugby - Both. If each boy plays at least one sport and 55 play football, 75 play rugby, then 55 + 75 - Both = 100. Solving gives Both = 55 + 75 - 100 = 30.

To determine this probability, consider the individual probabilities and use conditional probability principles. Suppose x take only music and y take only art. P(Music first, Art second) = P(select music first) * P(select art second given first was music). Calculate this with total students and adjust for order dependency by multiplying respective probabilities.

Events A and B are not mutually exclusive because there is an intersection between the two sets: some boys play both football and rugby. Given 55 boys play football and 75 play rugby, if a boy could not do both, the sum of players would exceed 100, but the class has only 100 students. Therefore, some boys are counted twice, confirming that A and B are not mutually exclusive.

To calculate the probability that Fred wins a prize, consider the binomial distribution given the number of trials (n = 4) and the probability of rolling a sum of 5 with two 4-sided dice. First, you need the probability of rolling a sum of 5, which requires listing all pairs (red, green) like (1,4), (2,3), (3,2), and (4,1), giving 4 out of the 16 possible outcomes. Therefore, p(success) = 4/16 = 0.25. The probability that Fred wins a prize (successful outcome in at least 3 dice rolls) is calculated as the sum of the binomial probabilities P(X=3) and P(X=4) using P(X=k) = C(n,k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k). Here, P(X=3) = C(4,3) * (0.25)^3 * (0.75)^1 and P(X=4) = C(4,4) * (0.25)^4. Adding these probabilities gives the total probability of winning a prize.

To determine p, q, and r, use the condition that the sum of probabilities of all possible outcomes must equal 1. The given probabilities are: P(sum=2)=p, P(sum=3)=q, P(sum=4)=16/4, P(sum=5)=3/16, P(sum=6)=4/16=1/4, P(sum=7)=3/16, P(sum=8)=r. Adding these: p + q + 1/4 + 3/16 + 1/4 + 3/16 + r = 1. Simplify to get an equation in terms of p, q, and r, then solve using additional constraints or given information about specific values.

To verify normality, confirm assumptions: symmetry, mean=median=mode, and specific known probabilities for standard deviations around the mean. The given shaded region represents a probability, suggesting areas under typical curves (z-tables). Verify math consistency between mean, standard deviation (find from z-scores), and given area.

The events of playing music and taking art are not independent if the probability of taking music affects the probability of taking art. If P(Art|Music) ≠ P(Art), then they are dependent. Given data from the problem about students taking both or only one subject, calculate these probabilities and compare; non-equality shows dependency.

Convert the value using a Z-score: Z = (X - mean) / standard deviation. With variance=9, std dev=√9=3. For X=24.5, Z=(24.5-20)/3=1.5. Use standard normal distribution tables to find P(Z≤1.5). This result gives P(X≤24.5) by cumulative probabilities.

This probability is calculated by first identifying the distribution (Binomial, n=240, p=0.05). To find P(at least 10), compute 1 - P(less than 10), summing probabilities for 0 to 9 brown eggs using the formula P(X=k) = C(n,k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k) and subtracting from one.

To express the probability of Evan winning exactly four games in Game B, use the formula for binomial probabilities: P(X=k) = C(n,k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k). Here, for exactly four wins (k=4) in seven games (n=7), the expression becomes P(X=4) = C(7,4) * p^4 * (1-p)^3.

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