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Quantitative Stock Analysis Techniques

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
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Quantitative Stock Analysis Techniques

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© All Rights Reserved
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Quantitative analysis

Trader's manual quantitative analysis

Quantitative analysis is a method of quantitative analysis by using mathematics.

The core idea of the quantitative analysis is to elevate the financial market analysis from the
phenomenon to the mathematics.

There are numbers are called quantification, quantification is beneficial to increase the certainty
of the analysis, because mathematics has a unique value.

Quantitative analysis is divided into: quantitative space and quantitative time

The fundamental reason that most people fry a loss is: random sex trades. Trade at random,
follow the feeling, sometimes right, sometimes wrong, it is difficult to replicate the success of the
transaction, it is difficult to get stable and sustained returns, that is, we often say, to often earn
rather than make a lot of money.

The psychological change of random sex trade is also the most important reason that affects the
profit and loss. When profitable, the mood tension will increase with the profit margin. When the
excitement reaches a certain level, ordinary investors can not withstand the volatility of the
market, will have the idea of falling bag for safety, so even if the big market will only make a small
[Link] the loss, the degree of tension will decrease with the increase of the loss. Only a
little loss when not selling, most people are not willing to sell when a lot of losses. So although
the loss has increased, but the firm determination to hold, no longer nervous.

Therefore, the random transaction, only by using the logical consistency of the numbers, can
make us no longer confused in the transaction, so as to stand in a few profitable people.

quantitative analysis -quantitative space

Space is the [Link] space is a mathematical method to calculate the future price of
stocks.
In stock trading, only the fluctuations in the price, can affect our earnings, or profit or loss. So,
mathematical methods to calculate future stock prices can help us increase the certainty of
trading.

The lateral coordinates are the time


The longitudinal coordinates are the prices
How to calculate the future price of the stock? Using a simple mathematical formula:
4=2×3÷1, the price of a future stock. In the above formula, each number represents a stock
price.

The stock price representing the starting point of the previous band.
Share price representing the end of the last band.
Represents the stock price at the starting point of the current market.
Future share price to be calculated.

The future price of the stock


The share price ending in the last band end
The stock price of the starting point of the current market
The stock price of the previous band starting point

You already know three stock prices, and through the calculation, you can get the future stock
price

Calculating future stock prices through quantitative space can calculate not only stock price highs,
but also stock price lows.

As shown in the figure, the high point of the stock price can be calculated through the
mathematical method of quantitative space.

Three stock prices have been known, and with the formula 609×556÷469=722, it can be calculated
that the future stock price is 722

In real trading, the stock rose on July 25, the highest share price rose to 717

COCHINSHIP

Through the calculation of quantitative space, it can help us to find the selling point and
accurately escape from the top.

As shown in the figure, the low point of the stock price can be calculated by using the
mathematical method of quantitative space.

Three stock prices are already known, and with the formula 741×878÷1107=587, it can be
calculated that the future stock price is 587

In real trading, the stock was traded on June 20, and the stock price fell as low as 546
ANURAS

The application of quantitative space, can help us find to buy, accurate bottom.
Quantitative space can be applied to any cycle such as weekly, daily, 60 minutes and so on. In
actual combat, the commonly used cycle is the daily line or 60 minutes. If there is no obvious
quantitative space application conditions on the large cycle, it can be found and found in a
smaller cycle.

The core logic of quantitative space: history always happens repeatedly, and history has its
reference significance. In actual combat, we should also pay attention to several principles:

First: the Angle or speed of market trend is more similar the better.

Second: the historical market is not too far away from now, the closer the distance, the greater
the impact on now, the better the effect.

Third: take the price of the point to be consistent, take the closing price to take the closing price.
Quantitative time

Time, refers to the time in the financial market. Such as 15 minutes, 30 minutes, daily line,
weekly line, monthly line and so on.

Quantification of time, divided into direct and indirect symmetry.

Direct symmetry: When the market enters a period of relative balance, time symmetry begins to
appear until the balance is broken. Therefore, the direct symmetry is mostly applied to the
oscillation market.

Indirect symmetry: when the market enters the unilateral market of rising or falling market, the
time will be symmetrical in a small cycle in the process of this rising or falling market, until the
end of the cycle. So the indirect symmetry is mostly applied to the unilateral market.

Direct symmetry: in a wave of horizontal market, find an important extreme point, this point has
a shock of time, this time will be completed in the process of direct symmetry.

Case 1
Up 14 days, down 14 days, appeared a direct symmetry

Case2
The previous band, concussion for 23 days, also after the 23 days, forming a direct symmetry

Indirect symmetry: every rising or falling market, there is a basic cycle of time cycle, as long as
good at discovering the law, we can help us grasp the rhythm of the market, calmly enter and
exit, to achieve the goal of high selling and low absorption.

A continuous downward trend, each downward cycle is 8 days, forming an indirect symmetry.
In actual combat, can be in the second wave down run 8 days, try to buy.
Continuous downward trend, each downward cycle is 14 days, forming an indirect symmetry.
In actual combat, can be in the third wave down run 14 days, try to buy.

Quantitative space and quantitative time, both can be used as important references. Sometimes
both will appear together. But if the space and time are contradictory, you can take the following
strategies:

First, if through the calculation, the space arrived, and the time does not arrive, to the space
arrived first, after all, the stock price is the only standard that affects our earnings.

Second, if the time is up, and the space is not to, it is necessary to be vigilant, but a weak trend
(the top of the stage) or start to rise (the bottom of the stage), to timely leave the sidelines (or
enter the bottom).

Common questions

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The primary goal of quantitative space in financial analysis is to calculate future stock prices in order to increase the certainty of trading decisions. This is achieved by using mathematical methods to project the future price based on known prices of previous and current market points. For example, the mathematical formula 4=2×3÷1 represents a method where existing data points are used to calculate future prices, allowing traders to identify potential buy and sell points .

Traders can use quantitative analysis to determine precise entry and exit points by utilizing the mathematical frameworks of quantitative space and time. By calculating expected future stock prices, and identifying both price highs and lows, traders can anticipate potential buy and sell levels before they occur. Additionally, by analyzing time cycles through symmetry, traders can anticipate market rhythms, opting to enter or exit positions as these patterns unfold, particularly in fluctuating markets where precise timing is critical for maximizing profit .

Conflicting signals between quantitative space and quantitative time can occur when calculated stock prices and time cycles do not align. For example, if quantitative space indicates a price target has been reached but the time cycle suggests the trend should continue, traders are advised to prioritize the space calculation, reflecting the price as a critical factor influencing earnings. Conversely, if the time cycle is fulfilled but the space calculation is not met, it signals caution, suggesting a potential trend change or market stability. Traders should then consider exiting or entering their positions strategically .

Cycle durations in indirect symmetry are critical as they form the basis for predicting future market behavior in a unilateral market trend. For example, a repeated 8-day downward cycle indicates a predictable time frame for price decreases, enabling traders to anticipate potential entry points after each cycle completion. By identifying these regularities, traders can time buy and sell decisions to align with expected reversal points within the repeated time frames, enhancing their strategic trading decisions .

Investors face significant psychological challenges in random trades, often driven by emotions like fear and greed, leading to inconsistent decision-making and difficulty in achieving sustained profits. When losses accumulate, investors may hold onto losing positions out of denial, whereas profits may lead to premature exits due to fear of market volatility. Quantitative analysis mitigates these challenges by providing a mathematical framework that removes the emotional component, fostering consistent and logic-based decision-making that can improve long-term trading success .

Mathematical formulas play a crucial role in projecting future stock prices within the framework of quantitative space by providing a structured method to extrapolate future price movements based on historical data. By leveraging known past and present stock prices, these formulas compute prospective price points, assisting traders in making informed decisions on when to buy or sell. For instance, using a formula like 609×556÷469=722 allows traders to derive future price targets, enhancing decision-making accuracy and trading confidence .

The concept that history repeats itself is central to the application of both quantitative space and quantitative time. Traders use historical price and time patterns as a reference to predict future market movements. Quantitative space relies on historical price fluctuations to calculate future highs and lows, while quantitative time uses recurring time cycles to anticipate market rhythms. By recognizing these patterns, traders can better predict potential buy or sell opportunities, leveraging the repetitive nature of market behavior as a predictive tool .

Random trades result in unstable and unsustainable returns because they rely on emotions and gut feelings, lacking a structured approach to decision-making. This randomness leads to inconsistent outcomes as traders may react impulsively to market changes, failing to replicate successful strategies. Quantitative analysis, on the other hand, uses mathematical methods to increase certainty and consistency by removing emotional biases, aiming for logical and reproducible decisions to achieve stable and sustainable profits .

Quantitative time uses the concept of symmetry in two forms: direct and indirect symmetry. Direct symmetry occurs in oscillating markets where time cycles are identical, such as an uptrend lasting 14 days followed by a downtrend of the same duration. Indirect symmetry is observed in unilateral markets with basic recurring cycles, such as multiple downward cycles of equal duration. These concepts help traders anticipate market rhythms and make strategic buy or sell decisions based on expected cyclical patterns .

Traders should consider several principles when applying quantitative space and quantitative time across different market cycles. Firstly, the trend's angle or speed must be as similar as possible to historical patterns for better predictive reliability. Secondly, proximity in time to historical data is crucial; closer historical patterns hold more predictive power. Lastly, consistency in price points, such as using closing prices consistently, is vital to ensure cohesive analysis. These principles ensure that the quantitative methods are effectively tailored and accurately applied across varying market conditions .

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