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Capital Investment Analysis for FINM2412

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
33 views6 pages

Capital Investment Analysis for FINM2412

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© All Rights Reserved
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FINM 2412 Financial Management for Business

Tutorial 6 Answers

Question 1
You are given the following information relating to a proposed capital investment:

Year 0 1 2 3 4

Net cash flow (after-tax) (7,000) 2,500 3,200 3,000 2,500

You are required to calculate the project’s:

(a) NPV

(b) IRR (Hint: try 21% and 22%)

(c) Payback period.

Under each method, explain whether or not the firm should accept the project. For
investments of this type, the firm’s risk-adjusted discount rate is 15% p.a. The cut-off for
payback period is 2 years.

(a)

Since the NPV is positive, we would proceed with the project.

2,500 3,200 3,000 2,500


NPV =−7,000+ + + + =$ 995.50
( 1.15 ) ( 1.15 )2 ( 1.15 )3 ( 1.15 )4

(b)

The IRR is the discount rate which makes NPV =0. Use trial and error:

Try 21% à NPV = +111

Try 22% à NPV = -20

A discount rate of 21% p.a. produces a NPV of +111. A discount rate of 22% p.a. produces a NPV of
–20. Therefore, the IRR is close to 22% p.a. Since the IRR is greater than the required return for the
project (15%), we would proceed with the project.

(c)

The project's payback period is 2.43 years. After two years, $5,700 has been “paid back”. Assuming
the $3000 in year 3 arrives evenly throughout the year, the remaining $1300 needed to payback the
initial cost will have arrived by 0.43 of the way through the year. Since the cut-off for payback (in this
case) is two years, the project would be rejected under the payback period method.

OR

1
PB = Years to recover cost + Remaining cost to recover / Cash flow during the year

= 2 + (7000 – 2500 – 3200) / 3000 = 2.43 years

Question 2
Assume that a firm with a cost of capital of 10% p.a. must choose between two mutually
exclusive projects having net (after-tax) cash flows as shown below:

Project Initial Outlay Year

1 2 3

X -$10,000 $7,000 $4,000 $2,000

Y -$10,000 $2,000 $4,000 $8,200

(a) Using the NPV method, which project is preferred?

(b) Using the IRR method, which project is preferred? (Hint: for project X, try 18.2% and
21.1%; for project Y, try 13.3% and 15.8%)

(a)

7,000 4,000 2,000


NP V A =−10,000+ + + =1,172
( 1.10 ) (1.10 )2 ( 1.10 )3

2,000 4,000 8,200


NP V B=−10,000+ + + =1,284
( 1.10 ) ( 1.10 )2 ( 1.10 )3

Since NPV Y > NPV X , and NPV Y >0 , we would choose to proceed with Project Y.

(b)

Using a financial calculator, spreadsheet or trial and error, we can compute the IRR for each project
as:

IRR X =18.2 % p . a .

IRRY =15.8 % p . a .

In both cases, the IRR exceeds the required return on the project of 10% p.a. So, each project is
acceptable in its own right. If we were basing our decision solely on IRR, Project A has the higher IRR
and would be preferred.

In this case, the IRR incorrectly ranks the projects. Project Y has the greater effect on firm value (as
measured by NPV) and should be selected. The IRR technique favors project with cash flows early in
their lives. In this case, Project X generates large cash flows much earlier than Project Y.

2
Question 3
Use the data on Projects X and Y from Question 2 (above).

Management seeks to measure the sensitivity of the net present value to variations in the
cost of capital. To provide such analysis, prepare a single graph showing NPV profiles of
both Projects X and Y. Completing the table below may help.

NPV at various discount rates

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

X 7000+40
00+2000
-10000

Y 2000+40
00+8200
-10000

(a) Where do the two NPV profiles cut the x-axis? What do these figures represent?
(b) At what point (roughly) do the NPV profiles intersect? How can we interpret this
point?
(c) From the graph, which project is preferred at the firm’s 10% risk-adjusted discount
rate? What if it was 15%? What if it was 20%?

NPV at various discount rates

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

X 3,000 2,022 1,172 427 (231) (816) (1,338)

Y 4,200 2,616 1,285 155 (810) (1,642) (2,362)

NPV Profile
5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000
NPV ($)

1,000 Project X

0 Project Y
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
-1,000

-2,000

-3,000
Discount Rate (%)
3
(a)

The NPV profiles for Projects X and Y at the axis at 18.2% and 15.8%, respectively. These figures
represent the IRR for each project; the discount rate which makes NPV = 0.

(b)

The NPV profiles intersect at about 11.4% p.a. At this discount rate, we would be indifferent between
the two projects.

(c)

At a 10% discount rate, NP V Y > NP V X , so we prefer Project Y. At 15%, NP V X > NPV Y so we


prefer X. At 20%, both projects show a negative NPV so we would not want to invest in either.

Question 4
Kalorie Cola is considering buying a special-purpose bottling machine for $28,000. It is
expected to have a useful life of 7 years with a zero disposal price. The plant manager
estimates the following savings in cash-operating costs:

YEAR AMOUNT

1 $10,000

2 8,000

3 6,000

4 5,000

5 4,000

6 3,000

7 3,000

Total $39,000

The Plant Manager argues that, since the total cash savings ($39,000) exceed the outlay
($28,000), Kalorie Cola should definitely purchase the machine.

(a) Calculate whether the bottling machine should be purchased according to the
following methods: (i) net present value (NPV), and (ii) internal rate of return (IRR)
(Hint: try 13%, 12% and 11%). Kalorie Cola’s required rate of return is 16% p.a.

4
(b) Explain to the Plant Manager why his logic for purchasing the machine is flawed.
Why can't we compare the total cash savings with the machine cost?

(a)

Since NPV < 0, we would not proceed with the project.

10,000 8,000 6,000


NPV =−28,000+ + +
1.16 (1.16)2 ¿ ¿ ¿−$ 2,631

The IRR is calculated by trial and error:

 at 13%, NPV = -$773

 at 12%, NPV = -$99

 at 11%, NPV = +$605.

Thus, IRR is between 11% and 12%. Since this IRR is less than the required return of 16% p.a., we
would not proceed with the project.

(b)

The $28,000 outlay must be made today, whereas the $39,000 cash inflow occurs in ‘lumps’ over the
next 7 years. We can’t compare these directly – we must find the present value of all cash flows. Put
another way, suppose we borrow $28,000 at 16% to finance the project. The projects cash inflows
over the next seven years would be insufficient to pay off this loan.

Question 5
UQ Business School Pty Ltd designs a range of eye-catching fluorescent t-shirts. The
designers have always hand-drawn and painted their new fashion ranges. The new head
of the Business School is considering purchasing a new computer-aided design (CAD)
package to allow her designers to create their designs on computers. The CAD project is
expected to generate cost savings by improving productivity. Also, UQBS can submit
electronic templates of its latest designs to the manufacturers of its fashion ranges, which
would also make significant savings. The upfront hardware and software costs to UQBS is
estimated at $300,000. The computers and software have a 5-year useful life. After that,
the technology will be obsolete and will have no salvage value. The CAD project is
expected to save UQBS approximately $88,000 (after tax) per annum.

Advise the new head on the acceptability of the CAD proposal, applying the following
capital budgeting methods:

(a) Net Present Value

(b) Internal Rate of Return (Hint: try 13%, 14% and 15%)

5
Assume that all cash flows occur at the end of each period, with the exception of the
upfront outlay, which is paid at the commencement of the project. Assume that UQBS’s
required rate of return on this project is 10%.

NPV is relatively easy to calculate since the after-tax cash flows are annuity.

(a)

Since NPV > 0, we would proceed with the project.

( )
−5
1−( 1.10 )
NPV =−300,000+88,000 =$ 33,589
0.10

(b)

IRR can be calculated by trial and error:

 at 13%, IRR = +9,516

 at 14%, IRR = +2,111

 at 15%, IRR = -5,010

Thus, the IRR is between 14% and 15%. Use a financial calculator or a spreadsheet program to get a
more precise answer if you choose. Since the IRR exceeds the 10% required return, we would
proceed with the project.

Common questions

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The IRR method for the UQBS CAD proposal showed that the project's IRR exceeded the firm's required return of 10%, demonstrating acceptance based on achieving a return higher than the hurdle rate. The IRR calculation indicated the return fell between 14% and 15%, suggesting financial feasibility. Comparatively, the NPV method also supported approval, as indicated by a positive NPV of $33,589, confirming value addition. Both methods invariably led to the same conclusion; however, NPV provided a clearer dollar value representation of gained value .

NPV and IRR both serve as tools for evaluating capital investments but offer differing insights. NPV measures total value creation in dollar terms, directly reflecting added firm value. It's advantageous for its decision rule alignment with shareholder wealth maximization and consistency across varying project sizes. However, it doesn't provide a return percentage. IRR offers an intuitive rate of return, useful in communicating efficiency but can mislead if not reflecting true project profitability, notably with non-standard cash flows or multiple IRRs. For Projects X and Y, NPV rightly favored Project Y for higher value creation, while IRR ranked the quicker-returning Project X higher, showcasing IRR's tendency toward early cash flow favorability .

Sensitivity analysis allows managers to understand how changes in key assumptions, like cost of capital, affect NPV. It identifies which projects are riskier by showing how sensitive their values are to these changes. For Projects X and Y, sensitivity analysis showed various NPVs at different discount rates, revealing Project Y's superior performance at lower rates (e.g., 10%) and Project X's preference at higher (e.g., 15%). This analysis aids in better understanding project risks and making informed investment choices under variable economic conditions .

The payback period is a simple measure of the time required to recoup the initial investment. It impacts decisions by potentially offering a quick overview of risk and liquidity, though without considering time value of money. For the proposed capital project with a 15% discount rate, the payback period exceeded the firm's cut-off of 2 years (2.43 years achieved), resulting in the project's rejection, emphasizing a preference for quicker cost recovery .

Directly comparing total future cash inflows to initial investment costs fails to account for the time value of money, which discounts future cash inflows to reflect their present value. In the case of Kalorie Cola's bottling machine, simply noting that the total cash savings ($39,000) exceeds the machine's cost ($28,000) ignores when cash inflows occur, leading to potential overestimation of project viability. After discounting, the present value was negative, indicating rejection, since it wouldn't cover costs when considering the time value of money at a 16% rate .

The NPV method influences project acceptance by evaluating whether the project's anticipated returns exceed its costs in present value terms. For the bottling machine at Kalorie Cola, the NPV is calculated by discounting the expected cash savings over the project's lifespan and comparing it to the initial cost. If the NPV is positive, the project adds value, indicating acceptance. In this case, the NPV was negative (-$2,631) at a 16% discount rate, suggesting the project should be rejected .

Intersection points in NPV profiles signify the discount rate where both projects yield equal NPV, indicating indifference between the projects. In the case of Projects X and Y, their intersection at about 11.4% showed the rate of equivalence, suggesting a threshold below which Project Y and above which Project X offered more value. By visualizing this point, decision-makers can prioritize choosing an optimal project based on specific firm-preferred discount rates, illustrating strategic flexibility and clearer risk assessments .

The IRR indicates the discount rate at which the project's NPV equals zero, essentially reflecting the project's expected rate of return. While it can show if a project is worthwhile independently, IRR can be misleading for mutually exclusive projects because it does not consider scale or differential cash flow timing effects. For instance, though Project X had a higher IRR than Project Y, it ultimately provided less value. Therefore, relying solely on IRR might wrongly prioritize projects with faster returns over those with higher total returns .

NPV profiles graphically represent a project's NPV over a range of discount rates, illustrating how sensitive the project's viability is to interest rate changes. For Projects X and Y, their profiles intersect at about 11.4%, indicating switching preference based on the discount rate. At different rates (e.g., 10% for Project Y, 15% for Project X), these profiles help determine which project offers better returns under varying cost of capital conditions, emphasizing differing sensitivity and risk profiles of each project .

The time value of money principle accounts for how future cash flows are worth less than their face value if they occur later. In Kalorie Cola's NPV calculation for the bottling machine, future expected cash flow savings were discounted back to present values, emphasizing current worth. With a negative NPV, it was evident long-term savings wouldn't suffice at the required 16% return. This underscores its importance in assessing true project cost-effectiveness, balancing present costs against future returns, and guiding investment decisions with temporal accuracy .

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