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CAPM Analysis and Portfolio Returns

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CAPM Analysis and Portfolio Returns

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zzFINM 2412 Financial Management for Business

Tutorial 9 Answers

Question 1
The risk-free rate is 7% p.a. The expected return on the market portfolio is 12% p.a., and the variance

of this return is 0.09.

You are examining two stocks: A and B. The standard deviations of the returns on Stocks A and B are
50% p.a. and 20% p.a. respectively. The correlation between each stock and the market is:
.

a. Calculate the beta of each stock.

b. Calculate the expected return of each stock.

c. You construct a portfolio with 60% of your money in Stock A and 40% in Stock B. What is the
beta of this portfolio? What is the expected return of this portfolio?

Hint: The beta of Stock A is equal to its covariance with the market divided by the variance of the
market:

Hint: Covariance is a function of the standard deviation of each asset and the correlation between
them.

(a)

We know that a stock’s beta is closely related to its covariance with the market:

cov ( r A ,r m )
β A=
var ( r m )

However, this question does not provide the covariance between the stock and the market;
rather, it provides the correlation between the stock and the market. That is fine, so long as we
know the following formula:

cov ( r A ,r m )=ρ A ,m σ A σ m

Thus, we can re-write the beta formula using correlation:

ρ A ,m σ A σ m ρ A , m σ A (0.90)( 0.50)
β A= = = =1.5
σ
2
m
σm √ 0.09

1
and

ρ B , m σ B (0.60)(0.20)
βB= = =0.4
σm √ 0.09
(b)

The CAPM is a model that dictates the expected return on a stock. Applying CAPM is easy since
we have already calculated betas in (a):

E ( r A )=r f + β A [ E ( r m )−r f ]¿ 0.07+1.5 ( 0.12−0.07 )¿ 14.5 % p . a .

E ( r B )=r f + β B [ E ( r m )−r f ] ¿ 0.07+ 0.4 ( 0.12−0.07 )¿ 9 % p . a .

(c)

There are several ways to answer this question. First, if we know the beta of the portfolio, we
could just plug it into CAPM. Note that the beta of a portfolio is simply the weighted-average of
the betas of the stocks in that portfolio:

β p=w A β A + wB β B¿ 0.6 ( 1.5 ) +0.4 ( 0.4 )¿ 1.06

Plugging this into CAPM, the expected return of this portfolio is:

E ( r p ) =r f + β p [ E ( r m )−r f ] ¿ 0.07+1.06 ( 0.12−0.07 )¿ 12.3 % p . a .

Alternatively, the expected return on a portfolio is just a weighted-average of the expected return
on each stock in that portfolio. Thus, we could also compute the expected return of this portfolio
as:

E ( r p ) =w A E ( r A ) + w B E ( r B )¿ 0.6 ( 0.145 )+ 0.4 ( 0.09 ) ¿ 12.3 % p . a .

Question 2
In the following table, X, Y, and Z refer to stocks, while M refers to the market portfolio. The
following partially complete information is available:

Standard Expected Covariance between


Deviation Return Stock and Market
X 0.1 ? 0.01
Y 0.2 ? 0.025
Z ? 0.216 0.052

2
M 0.1414 0.120 n/a

The correlation between Stocks X and Y is 0.60.

Required

a. Calculate the betas of Stocks X and Y.

b. Calculate the beta of a new portfolio comprising 80% in X and 20% in Y.

c. What is the risk-free rate of return?

d. What is the expected return on the new portfolio in (b)?

A question like this provides some information and withholds other pieces of information.
Answering it is a matter of asking ‘what am I looking to solve for?’ and ‘what information have I
been given?’

(a)

Use the definition of beta:

cov ( r X , r m ) 0.01
β X= 2
= =0.5
σ m ( 0.1414 )2

cov ( r Y , r m ) 0.025
βY = 2
= =1.25
σ m ( 0.1414 )2

(b)

The beta of a portfolio is a weighted average of the betas of each stock:

β p=w X β X + wY β Y ¿ 0.80 ( 0.5 )+ 0.20 (1.25 )¿ 0.65

(c)

This is an example of asking ‘what am I looking for?’ Answer, the risk-free rate. So what formulas
do I know that include the risk-free rate. Answer, the CAPM. We cannot use the information
about Stocks X or Y since their expected returns are not given. However, the expected return on
stock Z is given. Use the CAPM and information about Stock Z:

cov ( r z , r m ) 0.052
βz= 2
= =2.6
σ m ( 0.1414 )2

E ( r z )=r f + β z [ E ( r m ) −r f ]0.216=r f +2.6 ( 0.12−r f ) r f =6 % p .a .

3
(d)

Use the CAPM:

E ( r p ) =r f + β p [ E ( r m )−r f ] ¿ 0.06+ 0.65 ( 0.12−0.06 )¿ 9.9 % p . a .

Question 3
Consider a CAPM economy in which the risk-free rate is 4%, the expected return on the market
portfolio is 11% and the standard deviation of the market portfolio is 15%.

a. What is the most efficient way of investing if you require a return of 10% p.a.? In this case,
what risk would you be bearing?

b. How would you invest to earn the highest possible expected return while limiting your risk to
a standard deviation of 12%?

(a)
The most efficient way of investing is to adopt a position somewhere on the CML. Hence, we have:

E [ r p ] =r f +
[ E [ r M ] −r f
σM ] σp

0.10=0.04+
[ 0.11−0.04
0.15
σp
]
which implies that σ p=12.86 % .

To find out how this portfolio is constructed, we solve:

E [ r p ] = ( 1−w M ) r f +w M E [ r M ]

E [ r p ] =r f + w M ( E [ r M ]−r f )

0.10=0.04+ w M (0.11−0.04)
w M =0.86

which implies that we would invest 86% of our money into the market portfolio and the rest into
government bonds.

4
(b)

Again use the CML:

E [ r p ] =r f +
[ E [ r M ] −r f
σM ] σp

¿ 0.04 +
[ 0.11−0.04
0.15
0.12=9.6 %
]
To find out how this portfolio is constructed, we solve:

E [ r p ] = ( 1−w M ) r f +w M E [ r M ]

E [ r p ] =r f + w M ( E [ r M ]−r f )

0.096=0.04+ w M (0.11−0.04)
w M =0.80

which implies that we would invest 80% of our money into the market portfolio and the rest into
government bonds.

Question 4
Suppose a company uses only debt and internal equity to finance its capital budget and uses CAPM to
compute its cost of equity. Company estimates that its WACC is 12%. The capital structure is 75%
debt and 25% internal equity. Before tax cost of debt is 12.5% and tax rate is 20%. Risk free rate is
6% and market risk premium is 8%. What is the beta of the company?

After tax cost of debt:


12.5% (1 – 20%) = 10%

WACC = 12%
75% * Cost of Debt + 25% * Cost of Equity = 12%
75% * 10% + 25% * Cost of Equity = 12%
Cost of Equity = 18%

18% = rf + beta *MRP


Beta = (18%-6%)/8% = 1.5

Common questions

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The CAPM framework calculates the expected return on stocks by considering risk-free rate, stock beta, and market risk premium: Expected Return = Risk-Free Rate + Beta * Market Risk Premium. Stocks with higher betas, indicating more market risk, have higher expected returns to compensate investors for assumed volatility. This is significant for investors as it quantitatively connects risk and potential return, allowing for informed investment decisions and efficient portfolio diversification based on risk preferences .

To evaluate a new investment using CAPM, first, determine the risk-free rate, market return, and calculate the investment's beta, either through historical data or industry average. Use the formula: Expected Return = Risk-Free Rate + Beta * Market Risk Premium to estimate return. This model assumes returns are normally distributed around market performance and focuses solely on systemic risk. Potential limitations include its assumption of linear relationships, which may not hold in all market conditions, and the belief in efficient markets, which critics argue ignore other influential factors like macroeconomic changes or investor sentiments .

The risk-free rate serves as the foundation or baseline return in the construction of an investment portfolio. In the CAPM, it represents the compensation an investor expects for the time value of money, independent of market risk. The expected return on risky securities or portfolios is modeled as the risk-free rate plus a risk premium, which accounts for the additional effort assumed by taking on volatility above the risk-free environment. Thus, it sets the minimum acceptable return for investments with market exposure .

To determine the company's equity beta from WACC, use the formula Beta = (Cost of Equity - Risk-Free Rate) / Market Risk Premium. Equity beta is intrinsic to understanding the cost of equity component in WACC, reflecting the company's relative risk compared to the market. This guides financial decision-making by highlighting the return rate demanded by equity investors, thereby influencing capital budget allocation and project valuation to ensure that returns exceed the cost of capital .

The CML signifies the set of portfolios that optimally combine risk and return, offering the highest expected return per unit of risk. For an investor seeking a specific return, locating the portfolio on the CML entails finding the mix of risk-free asset and market portfolio that achieves this goal. The risk associated, quantified as the portfolio's standard deviation, is calculated by rearranging the CML equation: Expected Return = Risk-Free Rate + (Market Premium / Market Std. Dev.) * Portfolio Std. Dev. This shows the efficient trade-off available between risk and reward at any given level of market exposure .

To determine the expected return on a portfolio of two stocks, use the weighted-average method, where the expected returns of each stock are multiplied by their respective weights in the portfolio and summed. This method, effective due to the linearity of expected returns, allows for the aggregation of individual expected returns proportional to their impact in the portfolio. For example, if Stock A comprises 60% and Stock B comprises 40% of the portfolio, their expected return contributions are proportionately weighted .

Calculating the beta of a stock is important in portfolio management as it measures the stock's sensitivity to market movements, allowing investors to understand and manage systemic risk. A higher beta indicates higher volatility and potential return compared to the market, aiding investors in aligning their risk tolerance and investment strategy with their financial goals. Beta is a cornerstone of the CAPM, which helps in pricing risky securities and in constructing an efficient portfolio .

To calculate the beta of a stock using its correlation with the market, you use the formula: β = (correlation * standard deviation of the stock) / standard deviation of the market. This calculation is based on the principles of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which relates the expected return of an asset to its risk, represented by beta. In this context, covariance between the stock and the market is considered, and correlation simplifies this to a relationship between volatilities (standard deviations).

Correlations between stocks influence the degree of diversification benefits in a portfolio. Lower or negative correlations among stocks lead to a greater reduction in portfolio risk due to the off-setting movements, flattening overall volatility. Positive correlations undermine potential diversification benefits, as stock movements reinforce each other, minimizing risk-reduction capabilities. Thus, diversification aims to combine assets with varied responses to market conditions, thereby optimizing the portfolio for reduced risk at a given level of expected return .

The beta of a portfolio is the weighted-average of the betas of its constituent stocks, reflecting each stock's contribution to the portfolio's overall market risk. This impacts the portfolio's expected return, as defined by the CAPM, which states that expected return equals the risk-free rate plus the portfolio beta times the market risk premium. Thus, the portfolio beta consolidates the individual stock betas into a single measure, indicating how sensitive the portfolio return is relative to the market .

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