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Notes: Intro to Probability date
Math 7
‘ocabulary:
Probability —
‘Impossible event -
Certain event - a
Complement events -
P(event)
Examples: You have 4 red, 6 black, 3 blue, 2 yellow, and 5 purple marbles.
4.) P(purple) 2.) P(biack)
3.) P(black or blue) 4.) Plyeliow or red)
5.) P(orange)__ 6.) P(red, black, blue, yellow, or purple)
Examples: You have a fair six sided die. Find the following probabilities
7.) PQ) 8.) P(S) ___
9.) P(even) 10.) P(prime)
11.) P(not 4) 12.) P (Lor even)
13) Mr. Catfson surveys his class and finds that 30% of the students have blue eyes. What is the
probability that a student doesn't have blue eyes?Notes: Predicting Outcomes date
Math 7
Vocabulary:
‘Theoretical probability -
Experimental probability -
Examples:
1) Part A: If Jane is rolling a fair 6-sided die, what is the probability of roling a 5?
Part B: If Jane rolled the die 30 times, how many times should she expect to roll a 5?
2.) Part A: In a deck of 52 cards, what is the probability of getting a queen? -
Part B: If you picked from a deck 104 times, how many times should you expect to get a queen?
Part C: Harry picked a queen from a deck 9 out of 104 times. Compared to the theoretically
probability, how did Harry do?
3.) Doug asked a random sample of 50 classmates whether they were interested in extending the
‘school year. The results are shown in the table below. Tf there are 250 students in Doug's
‘school, how many students should he expect to favor extending the school year?
Yes
[Unsure [134) A coined is tossed 50 times and it lands on heads 28 times. Find the experimental probability and
the theoretical probability. Compare the result,
5) Two number cubes are rolled together 20 times. A sum of 9is rolled 8 times. What is the
‘experimental probability of rolling a sum of 9?
6) Compare the experimental probability you found in #5 to its theoretical probability. Ifthe
probabilities are not close, give a possible reason why.
7)In #5, what isthe probability of not rolling a sum of 9.Notes: Tree Diagram date
Math 7
Vocabulay
“Tree Diagram -
‘Sample Space ~
Example: Use the tree diagram to find the sample space for tossing two coins, and then find the
probability of tossing two heads.
icon 2% coin. sample space
4
we
t
4
TO
+
P (tossing two heads)
Practice: Draw a tree diagram for each question below.
1.) Ata carnival, one game asks you to pick a door and then pick a curtain behind the door. There
are 3 doors and 4 curtains behind each door to pick from. How many choices are possible for the
player?
2.) There are 4 aces from a deck of cards. If a coin is tossed and a ace is chosen, what Is the
probabilty of getting heads on the coin and an ace of hearts?3.) Miss Welbel goes to the salad bar for lunch. She can choose from cheese, olives, tomatoes, or
cucumbers, She can also pick Italian, ranch, or French dressing. What is the probabilty that Miss
Welbel will make 2 salad with ranch dressing?
4.) Mr, Tom’s wife Is having triplets. What is the probability that all three will be boys?
5) An animal shelter has three kinds of Labrador Retrievers: yellow, brown, and black. They have
both male and female in all of the colors. What is the probability of picking a female yellow Labrador
Retriever?Counting Principle date
Vocabulary: QO
‘Counting Principle ~ =
Examples:
1.) Suppose you have 3 shits, 4 pairs of pants, and 2 pairs of socks. How many different outfits can
you make?
‘A.) Draw a tree diagram to find all possible outcomes.
B,) Now try the counting principle
2.) There are 7 stairways to the second floor with 4 emergency fire exits. How many different routes
‘out of the building are there?
3.) The soccer team needs to order jerseys. If the jerseys are available in nine colors, v-neck or crew
neck, and can have a one digit number on them, how many different jerseys are available?
4.) Seven boys and nine girls were elected for homecoming king and queen. How many homecoming
palrings are possible?5.) Tragy is making peanut butter and jelly sandwiches. She has a choice between white, wheat, and
rye bread. Three flavors of Jelly, and creamy or chunky peanut butter. How many different
sandwiches can she make?
6.) Using the chart below, how many different Ph, Temp, and light combinations are possible?
Factor Level
pH 6,68, 7,72, 7.4
‘Temp, (Celsius) | 65, 70, 75, 80_
Light None, room, intense
7.) The menu at the restaurant has 2 soups, three salads, 5 main entrees, and 3 desserts. How
many people can eat at the restaurant and all have different meals?
8.) Find the total number of outcomes from rolling a number cube with sides labeled 1 - 6 and
choosing a letter from the word NUMBERS. Then find the probability of roling a 6 and choosing
anM,
9.) A pizzeria has two different types of crust, 3 types of cheese and 4 toppings. A personal pizza can
only have one type of cheese and one topping. What is the probability of choosing a thin crust
‘with parmesan cheese and pepperoni?Notes: Independent Events date
Math 7
Vocabulary:
Independent Events -
Can be written 3 ways:
4)
2)
3) =
Example: You spin the spinner then a card,
1.) PC and E) 2.) Plodd then W) )
3) less than 4, 4.) P(2 and vowel)
5.) P(even and constant) 6.) P( 3 0r 5, E) _
Examples: Jack has a bag of jellybeans. There are 6 green, 4 blue, 5 red, and 1 yellow jellybean,
Tack picks two fllybeans replacing the first, then find the probability of each
7.) P(blue then red) 8.) P(yellow and green)
9.) P(ved then red) 10.) P(two yellows)
11.) P(biue or yellow, green) 12.) P(green and blue and red)Notes: Dependent Events date
Math 7
Dependent Events ~
Examples: Select a card at random from those below. Without replacing the card, select a second
‘ard. Find the probability.
To TmuTeTriTrtiy]
4.) P(M then €) 2.) P(G and 7)
3.) P(0 or Y then E) 4) PC not EE)
Examples: Jack has a bag of jelybeans. There are 6 green, 4 blue, 5 red, and 1 yellow jellbean.
If Jack picks two jellybeans without replacing the fist, then find the probability of each,
5.) P(blue then red) __
6.) P(yellow and green)
7.) P(red then red) 8.) P(two yellows)
9.) P(blue or yellow, green) 10.) P(green and blue and red)
11.) P(red, blue) 12.) P(not green, green)oO
oO