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Statistics and Sampling Methods Module

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Statistics and Sampling Methods Module

Uploaded by

Joyce Ilao
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
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OFFICE of the GOOD SHEPHERD ACADEMY OF

ACADEMIC AFFAIRS VICTORIA INC.


Poblacion II, Victoria, Oriental Mindoro 5205
SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL DEPT. Telefax No.: (043) 285-5620 / Email.: mygsa_66@[Link]

LEARNING MODULE IN STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY S.Y. 2020-2021

MODULE
Sampling and Sampling Distribution
3
Content Standard:
The learner demonstrates understanding of key Performance Standard:
concepts of sampling and sampling distributions of The learner is able to understand the sampling
the sample mean. distributions of the sample mean to solve
real-life problems in different disciplines.
Most Essential Learning Competency:
Identifies sampling distributions of statistics (sample mean).
Finds the mean and variance of the sampling distribution of the sample mean.
Time frame: 2 weeks
Learning Targets:
 Illustrate random sampling;
 Distinguish between parameter and statistics;
 Construct sampling distribution of sample means.
 illustrate the Central Limit Theorem
LECTURE 1
Random Sampling
Population is the group you want to generalize. It consists of all the members of the
group you are interested in. Sample is the subset from the population you want to examine. A
population commonly contains too many individuals to study conveniently and practically, so
an investigation is often restricted to one or more samples drawn from it. A well-chosen sample
will contain most of the information about a particular population parameter but the relation
between the sample and the population must be such as to allow true inferences to be made
about a population from that sample.
Sampling is a process used in statistical analysis in which a predetermined number of
observations are taken from a larger population. There are various sampling methods that
allow all the units in the population to have an equal chance of being selected. These sampling
methods are discussed below.

1. Simple Random Sampling


Each element of the population has an equal chance of being selected. There are no rules
that dictate where and how you will start the selection process, as long as you do not
intentionally look for a specific number. In this method, the samples can be selected
through:

a. Lottery Method
Every member is assigned a unique number. These numbers are put in a jar and
thoroughly mixed. After that, the researcher picks some numbers without looking at it
and those people are included in the study.

b. Use of Table of Random Numbers


This table consists of a series of digits (0-9) that are generated randomly. The numbers
are arranged in rows and columns and can be read in any direction. All the digits are
equally probable.

To determine the desired number of samples needed given a certain number of populations,
there are different formulas can be used, one of which is Slovin’s Formula.
OFFICE of the GOOD SHEPHERD ACADEMY OF
ACADEMIC AFFAIRS VICTORIA INC.
Poblacion II, Victoria, Oriental Mindoro 5205
SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL DEPT. Telefax No.: (043) 285-5620 / Email.: mygsa_66@[Link]

LEARNING MODULE IN STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY S.Y. 2020-2021

N
Slovin’s Formula: n= 2
Ne

where: n=¿ sample size

e=¿ margin of error,

N=¿ population size

Example:n=; e=¿ 0.05; N=¿ 1000

N
n= 2
Ne

1000
n= 2
1000 (0.05)

1000
n=
1000 (0.0025)

1000
n=
2.5

n=400 (sample size)

2. Systematic Random Sampling


This can be done by listing all the elements in the population and selecting every kth
element in your population list. This is equally precise as the simple random sampling. It is
often used on long population lists. To determine the interval to be used in identifying the
N
samples to who will participate in the study, use the formula K = (population/sample
n
size).

Example:

N
If Population (N) = 2000, sample size (n) = 500, K = , so k = 2000/500 = 4 th. Use a table of
n
random numbers to determine the starting point for selecting every 4th subject. With list of the
2000 subjects in the sampling frame, go to the starting point, and select every 4th name on the
list until the sample size is reached. Probably will have to return to the beginning of the list to
complete the selection of the sample.

3. Stratified Random Sampling


This can be done by first dividing the elements in the population into strata and then
samples are randomly selected from each stratum ensuring that each selected element is
proportionately represented in the total population. Sampling fraction: n/N (desired sample
size divided by the population size)

Example: Assume you have a population of 1000 students with 500 from grade school, 300
from high school, and 200 from senior high school. Determine the how many samples you
OFFICE of the GOOD SHEPHERD ACADEMY OF
ACADEMIC AFFAIRS VICTORIA INC.
Poblacion II, Victoria, Oriental Mindoro 5205
SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL DEPT. Telefax No.: (043) 285-5620 / Email.: mygsa_66@[Link]

LEARNING MODULE IN STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY S.Y. 2020-2021


need or you can use the Slovin’s Formula or any other formula for computing the sample size.
In this example, Slovin’s Formula is used and a sample size of 400 is computed. To get the
samples

from each stratum, divide 400 by 1000 and the answer is 0.4. Multiply 0.4 to each of the
number of students per stratum (e.g. 0.4 x 500 grade school is 200).

Stratum Populatio Sample


n

Grade school 500 200

Junior High School 300 120

Senior High School 200 80

Total 1000 400

4. Clustered Sampling
A multistage sampling method adopted when it is either impossible or impractical to
compile an exhaustive list of elements found in the target population. The whole population
is subdivided into clusters, or groups, and random samples are then collected from each
group.

Example: A researcher wants to survey about academic performance of high school


students in the municipality of Alubijid. He can divide the entire population into
different clusters (barangays). Then, the researcher selects a number
of barangays depending on his research through simple or systematic random sampling.
The researcher could draw random samples from the selected barangay through simple
random sampling or take them all.

More examples are given below.

Simple Random Sampling - In a recent research that was conducted in a private school, the
subjects of the study were selected using the Table of Random Numbers.

Stratified Sampling - A teacher who is conducting a research on the effects of using mobile
phones in teaching English decided to divide her students into male and female and then she
selected students from each gender group.

Systematic Sampling - The school office personnel gave the researcher a list of 2000 Grade
10 students. The researcher selected every 25th name on the list.

Cluster Sampling - A researcher surveyed all dengue patients in each of the 10 randomly
selected hospitals in Misamis Oriental.

LECTURE 2
Parameter and Statistic
A measure that describes a population is called parameter. A measure that describes a
sample is called statistic. In population parameter, mean is represented by μ, σ 2 represents
OFFICE of the GOOD SHEPHERD ACADEMY OF
ACADEMIC AFFAIRS VICTORIA INC.
Poblacion II, Victoria, Oriental Mindoro 5205
SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL DEPT. Telefax No.: (043) 285-5620 / Email.: mygsa_66@[Link]

LEARNING MODULE IN STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY S.Y. 2020-2021


variance, and σ represents standard deviation. In sample statistics, mean is represented by x ,
2
s represents variance, and srepresents standard deviation. Data from the sample are used to
calculate statistics. Statistics are estimates of the corresponding parameters.

Examples:

Parameter: 50% of the 24 Philippine senators agreed to support a certain measure.


Statistic: A researcher found out that 25% of the students in the Philippines reported to
have internet connection at home.

Explanation:
1. The example indicates a parameter since there are only 24 senators in the Philippines.
2. Researchers cannot ask millions of students if they have internet connection at home,
so they take samples from the target population and calculate.

Example:
A researcher wants to estimate the average monthly allowance of the Grade 11 female
students. From a random sample of 50 female students, the researcher obtains a sample
mean monthly allowance of 75 pesos.

Parameter: The average monthly allowance of all Grade 11 female students.


Statistic: The average monthly allowance of 75 pesos from a sample of 50 Grade 11 female
students

LECTURE 3
Sampling Distribution of the Sample Means
Example:
A population consists of the numbers 2,4,9,10 and 5. Let us list all possible
samples of size 3 from this population and compute the mean of each sample.
Sample Mean
2,4,9 5.00
2,4,10 5.33
2,4,5 3.67
2,9,10 7.00
2,9,5 5.33
2,10,5 5.67
4,9,10 7.67
4,9,5 6.00
4,10,5 6.33
9,10,5 8.00
There are 10 possible samples of size 3 that can be drawn from the given population.

This let us learn how to make a probability distribution of the sample means. We shall
call this distribution, the sampling distribution of sample means.

Sample Mean x Frequency Probability


P (x ¿
3.67 1 1/10 = 0.10
OFFICE of the GOOD SHEPHERD ACADEMY OF
ACADEMIC AFFAIRS VICTORIA INC.
Poblacion II, Victoria, Oriental Mindoro 5205
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LEARNING MODULE IN STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY S.Y. 2020-2021


5.00 1 1/10 = 0.10
5.33 2 2/10 = 0.20
5.67 1 1/10 = 0.10
6.00 1 1/10 = 0.10
6.33 1 1/10 = 0.10
7.00 1 1/10 = 0.10
7.67 1 1/10 = 0.10
8.00 1 1/10 = 0.10
Total N = 10 1.00

A sampling distribution of sample means is a probability distribution that describes


the probability for each mean of all samples with the same sample size n .

Finding the Mean and Variance of the Sampling Distribution of Sample Means
The following are formulae needed to compute the mean, variance and standard
deviation of a population and mean, variance, and standard deviation of the sampling
distribution of sample means.

Sampling Distribution of Sample


Population
Means
Mean μ=
∑x μ x=
∑x
N n

Variance 2 ∑ ( x −μ )
σ =
2
2
σ x=
∑ ( x−μ x )
2

N n

√ ∑ ( x−μ )
√ ∑ ( x−μ x ) 2
2
Standard
Deviation σ= σ x=
N n

Sampling with Replacement

Example 1:
Consider a population consisting of the values 2, 5, and 8.
a. Compute the population mean.
b. Compute the population variance.
c. Find the population standard deviation.
d. List all the possible samples of size n=¿2 with replacement and their corresponding
means.
e. Find the mean of the sampling distribution of sample means.
f. Find the variance of the sampling distribution of sample means.
g. Find the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of sample means.

Solution:
a. Compute the population mean.

μ=
∑x
N
2+5+8
μ=
3
15
μ=
3
μ=5
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LEARNING MODULE IN STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY S.Y. 2020-2021


Hence, the population mean is 5.
b. Compute the population variance.
x x−μ ( x−μ )2

2 −¿3 9

5 0 0

8 3 9

∑ ( x −μ ) =18
2

∑ ( x −μ )
2
2
σ =
N
2 18
σ =
3
2
σ =6
Hence, the population variance is 6.

c. Find the population standard deviation.

√ ∑ ( x−μ )
2

σ=
N
σ =√ 6
σ =2.45
Hence, the population standard deviation is 2.45.

d. List all the possible samples of size 2 with replacement and their corresponding
means.
Observation Samples x

1 2, 2 2.0

2 2, 5 3.5

3 2, 8 5.0

4 5, 2 3.5

5 5, 5 5.0

6 5, 8 6.5

7 8, 2 5.0

8 8, 5 6.5

9 8, 8 8.0

e. Find the mean of the sampling distribution of means.


OFFICE of the GOOD SHEPHERD ACADEMY OF
ACADEMIC AFFAIRS VICTORIA INC.
Poblacion II, Victoria, Oriental Mindoro 5205
SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL DEPT. Telefax No.: (043) 285-5620 / Email.: mygsa_66@[Link]

LEARNING MODULE IN STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY S.Y. 2020-2021


Observation Samples x

1 2, 2 2.0

2 2, 5 3.5

3 2, 8 5.0

4 5, 2 3.5

5 5, 5 5.0

6 5, 8 6.5

7 8, 2 5.0

8 8, 5 6.5

9 8, 8 8.0

∑ x =45

μ x=
∑x
n
45
μ x=
9
μ x =5

Hence, the mean of the sampling distribution of sample means is 5.

f. Find the variance of the sampling distribution of means.

2
Observation Samples x x−μ x ( x−μ x )
1 2, 2 2.0 −¿3 9

2 2, 5 3.5 −¿1.5 2.25

3 2, 8 5.0 0 0

4 5, 2 3.5 −¿1.5 2.25

5 5, 5 5.0 0 0

6 5, 8 6.5 1.5 2.25

7 8, 2 5.0 0 0

8 8, 5 6.5 1.5 2.25

9 8, 8 8.0 3 9
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LEARNING MODULE IN STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY S.Y. 2020-2021


∑ x =45 ∑ ( x−μx )2=27

σ 2
=
∑ ( x−μ x )
2

x
n
2 27
σ x=
9
2
σ x =3

Hence, the variance of the sampling distribution of sample means is 3.

g. Find the standard deviation of the sampling distribution.

σ x=
σ x =√ 3
√ ∑ ( x−μ x ) 2
n

σ x =1.73

Hence, the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of sample means is 1.73.

Sampling without Replacement

Example 2: Consider a population consisting of the values 1, 3, and 5.


a. Compute the population mean.
b. Compute the population variance.
c. Find the population standard deviation.
d. List all the possible samples of size n=¿2 without replacement and their corresponding
means.
e. Find the mean of the sampling distribution of sample means.
f. Find the variance of the sampling distribution of sample means.
g. Find the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of sample means.

Solution:
a. Compute the population mean.

μ=
∑x
N
1+3+5
μ=
3
9
μ=
3
μ=3

Hence, the population mean is 3.

b. Compute the population variance.


x x−μ ( x−μ )2
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LEARNING MODULE IN STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY S.Y. 2020-2021


1 −¿2 4

3 0 0

5 2 4

∑ ( x −μ ) =8
2

∑ ( x −μ )
2
2
σ =
N
82
σ =
3
2
σ =2.67
Hence, the population variance is 2.67.

c. Find the population standard deviation.

√ ∑ ( x−μ )
2

σ=
N
σ =√ 2.67
σ =1.63
Hence, the population standard deviation is 1.63.
d. List all the possible samples of size 2 with replacement and their corresponding means.
Observation Samples x

1 1, 3 2

2 1, 5 3

3 3, 1 2

4 3, 5 4

5 5, 1 3

6 5, 3 4

e. Find the mean of the sampling distribution of means.


Observation Samples x

1 1, 3 2

2 1, 5 3

3 3, 1 2

4 3, 5 4

5 5, 1 3

6 5, 3 4
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LEARNING MODULE IN STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY S.Y. 2020-2021


∑ x =18

μ x=
∑x
n
18
μ x=
6
μ x =3

Hence, the mean of the sampling distribution of sample means is 3.

f. Find the variance of the sampling distribution of means.

2
Observation Samples x x−μ x ( x−μ x )
1 1, 3 2 −¿1 1

2 1, 5 3 0 0

3 3, 1 2 −¿1 1

4 3, 5 4 1 1

5 5, 1 3 0 0

6 5, 3 4 1 1

∑ x =18 ∑ ( x−μx )2=4

σ 2
=
∑ ( x−μ x )
2

x
n
2 4
σ x=
6
2
σ x =0.67

Hence, the variance of the sampling distribution of sample means is 0.67.


g. Find the standard deviation of the sampling distribution.

σ x=
σ x =√ 0.67
√ ∑ ( x−μ x ) 2
n

σ x =0.82

Hence, the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of sample means is 0.82.
Try to think about the answers to these questions:
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SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL DEPT. Telefax No.: (043) 285-5620 / Email.: mygsa_66@[Link]

LEARNING MODULE IN STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY S.Y. 2020-2021


1. What do you notice about the population mean and the mean of the sampling
distribution of sample means? How do you compare them?
2. How do you compare the population variance and the variance of the sampling
distribution of sample means?

Let us summarize the example above by comparing the means and variances of population
and the sampling distribution of the sample means.

With Replacement Without Replacement

Sampling Sampling
Population Distribution of Population Distribution of
Sample Means Sample Means

Mean μ=5 μ x =5 μ=3 μ x =3

2 2 2 2
Variance σ =6 σ x =3 σ =2.67 σ x =0.67

Standard
σ x =1.73 σ x =0.82
Deviation σ =2.45 σ =1.63

We can summarize the properties of the sampling distribution below.

If all possible samples of size n that can be drawn from the population of size N with mean
μ and variance σ 2, then the sampling distribution of the sample means has the following
properties.

With Replacement

 The mean of the sampling distribution of means is equal to the mean of the population.
μ x =μ
 The variance of the sampling distribution of means is equal to the population variance
divided by the size of n of the samples. That is,
2
2 σ
σ x=
n
 The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of means is equal to the population
standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size of n of the samples.
That is,
σ
σ x=
√n
Without Replacement

 The mean of the sampling distribution of means is equal to the mean of the population.
μ x =μ
 The variance of the sampling distribution of means is equal to the population variance
divided by the size of n of the samples. That is,

( )
2
2 σ N −n
σ x=
n N −1
 The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of means is equal to the population
standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size of n of the samples.
OFFICE of the GOOD SHEPHERD ACADEMY OF
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LEARNING MODULE IN STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY S.Y. 2020-2021


That is,

σ x=
σ N−n
√ n N −1 √( )

LECTURE 4
Sampling Distribution of the Sample Means using the
Central Limit Theorem
The Central Limit Theorem

The Central limit theorem states that the sampling distribution of the mean approximates a
σ
normal distribution with a mean of µ and a standard deviation of if the sample size N of the
√n
random samples is large enough. In this case, as more samples with large sample sizes will be
taken from a certain population with replacement, the sampling distribution will closely
resemble to that of a normal distribution. On the question, “How large should the sample size
be?”, statisticians do differ on it as some would suggest 30 and others suggest it as large as
50 or more. This usually happens when the population does not appear to be normal. In fact,
generally, as sample size increases, the sample mean tends to be normally distributed around
the population mean and its standard deviation also decreases.

Illustrating Central Limit Theorem


Given a die, it has 6 faces in which each face has either dot/s of x= 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6.
Given it as the population, consider the samples of size n=1 and 2.
If n= 1,

Mean:
1+ 2+ 3+4 +5+6
x= =3.5 (Note: Computation for population mean and
6
sampling distribution mean is the same for n=1)
Variance:
2 2 2 2 2 2
2 (1−3.5) +(2−3.5) +(3−3.5) +(4−3.5) +(5−3.5) +(6−3.5) 17.5
σ =¿ = ≈ 2.92
6 6
Standard Deviation:

√ σ 2=σ= √ 17.5
6
≈ 1.71
OFFICE of the GOOD SHEPHERD ACADEMY OF
ACADEMIC AFFAIRS VICTORIA INC.
Poblacion II, Victoria, Oriental Mindoro 5205
SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL DEPT. Telefax No.: (043) 285-5620 / Email.: mygsa_66@[Link]

LEARNING MODULE IN STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY S.Y. 2020-2021


Sample x Probability n=1
1 1 = 1/6 0.18
0.16
2 2 = 1/6
0.14
3 3 = 1/6 0.12
0.1
4 4 = 1/6
0.08
5 5 = 1/6
0.06
6 6 = 1/6 0.04
0.02
Interpretations: 0
The population mean and sampling distribution
1 means 2 are both
3 equal
4 which5is 3.5. It
6 has
a variance of approximately 2.92 and a standard deviation of approximately 1.71. Since all
samples have the same probability of 1/6 or 16.6 , the trend of the histogram is like a flat line
horizontally.

If n= 2,
Population Mean:
1+ 2+ 3+4 +5+6
X= =3.5
6
Sampling Distribution Mean:
1+2 (1.5 )+ 3 (2 )+ 4 ( 2.5 )+5 ( 3 )+ 6 (3.5 ) +5 ( 4 )+ 4 ( 4.5 ) +3 ( 5 ) +2 ( 5.5 ) +1(6) 126
x= = =3.5
36 36
Variance:
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
(1−3.5) +2(1.5−3.5) +3 (2−3.5) +4 (2.5−3.5) +5(3−3.5) +6 (3.5−3.5) +5(4−3.5) + 4 (4.5−3.5) +3 (5−3.
σ 2=
36
52.5
¿ ≈ 1.46
36
Standard Deviation:

√ σ 2=σ= √ 52.5
36
≈ 1.21

Sample x Sample x Sample x Sample x Sample x Sample x

1,1 1 2,1 1.5 3,1 2 4,1 2.5 5,1 3 6,1 3.5

1,2 1.5 2,2 2 3,2 2.5 4,2 3 5,2 3.5 6,2 4

1,3 2 2,3 2.5 3,3 3 4,3 3.5 5,3 4 6,3 4.5

1,4 2.5 2,4 3 3,4 3.5 4,4 4 5,4 4.5 6,4 5

1,5 3 2,5 3.5 3,5 4 4,5 4.5 5,5 5 6,5 5.5

1,6 3.5 2,6 4 3,6 4.5 4,6 5 5,6 5.5 6,6 6


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The table shows a total of 36 samples and the probability of each are as follow:

1 = 1/36 3 = 5/36 5 = 3/36 or 1/12

1.5 = 2/36 or 1/ 18 3. = 6/36 or 1/6 5.5 = 2/36 or 1/18


5

2 = 3/36 or 1/12 4 = 5/36 6 = 1/36


Interpretations:
2.5 = 4/36 or 1/9 4. = 4/36 or 1/9
The population mean and
5
sampling mean is just the same which
is 3.5 and it shows a variance of
approximately 1.46 and a standard
deviation of 1.21, approximately. Most
n=2
of the data are concentrated at the
0.2
middle values of the sample means.
Percentage

0.15
0.1 As observe in the graph, the data
0.05 gathered resembles that of normal
0
1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 curve which supports the idea of a
X central limit theorem which strongly
suggests normality.

Attachment Name: ______________________________ Score: ______________


Grade/ Section: _______________________ Date: ______________
1 Random Sampling
Give one research situation where each of the sampling methods is being applied. Refer to the
previous examples.
Simple Random Sampling:
__________________________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
Systematic Random Sampling:
__________________________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
Stratified Sampling
__________________________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________
Cluster Sampling
__________________________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________________

 Parameter and Statistic


1. A teacher wants to determine the average score in the first periodic examination in General
Mathematics of his 5 classes. From a random sample of 120 students. The teacher obtains an
average score of 84.
Parameter: __________________________________________________________________
Statistic: ____________________________________________________________________

2. A teacher wants to know the average hours spend on social media of his advisory class. He randomly
selected and asked 35 students and found out that they spend an average of 3 hours per day on
social media.
Parameter: __________________________________________________________________
Statistic: ____________________________________________________________________

3. Sampling Distribution of the Sample Means


1. A population consists of the five numbers 2,3,6,8,11. Consider samples of size 2 that can be
drawn from this population.
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