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Probability of Dependent Events Worksheet

Maths worked solutions of topic probability book D4

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
15 views4 pages

Probability of Dependent Events Worksheet

Maths worked solutions of topic probability book D4

Uploaded by

zubairkhanach
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Probability of Dependent Events

The head of maths is organising a school trip. Two students need are chosen at
random to be group leaders. There are 6 girls and 5 boys to choose from.
2nd Child
1st Child
Girl
6
11
Girl Boy

Boy Girl

Boy
1) Complete the probability tree diagram. /2

2) Calculate the probability that the head of maths selects both a


boy and a girl.
/3

Abbie has 20 biscuits in a tin. She has


12 digestives
5 chocolate chip cookies
3 Oreos
Abbie takes at random two biscuits from the tin.

3) Work out the probability that the two biscuits were not the same type.

/4

[Link]
4) Below are the 9 tiles, Fawaz takes a tile at random and he
does not replace the tile. Fawaz then takes a second random tile.
3 3 4 5 3 4 3 5 4
Calculate the probability that the number on Fawaz’s second tile is LESS than
the number on the first tile he took.

/3

5) There are n smarties in a tube. 4 of the smarties are blue. The rest are
pink. Lina takes at random a sweet from the bag and eats it. She then takes a
second sweet out of the bag and eats it.
2
The probability Lina eats two blue sweets is
5

Show that 2𝑛2 − 2𝑛 − 60 = 0

/3

Skill Questions Score Available


Marks
Completing a probability tree diagram for 1 2
dependent events.
Calculate the probability of dependent events. 2,3,4 10

Problem solving and reasoning with dependent 5 3


events.
Total Marks 15

[Link]
Answers
Probability of Dependent Events
The head of maths is organising a school trip. Two students need are chosen at
random to be group leaders. There are 6 girls and 5 boys to choose from.
2nd Child
1st Child
5
Girl
10
6 5
11
Girl Boy
10
6
5 Boy Girl
10
11
4 Boy
10
1) Complete the probability tree diagram. /2
2) Calculate the probability that the head of maths selects both a
boy and a girl. 𝑃 𝐺𝐵 = 6 × 5 = 30
11 10 110
5 6 30 /3
𝑃 𝐵𝐺 = × = 30 30 60 6
11 10 110 𝑃 𝐵∩𝐺 = + = =
110 110 110 11
Abbie has 20 biscuits in a tin. She has 12 digestives, 5 chocolate chip cookies
and 3 Oreos. Abbie takes at random two biscuits from the tin.
3) Work out the probability that the two biscuits were not the same type.
11
𝐷 19 12 11 132
𝑃 𝐷𝐷 = × =
𝐶 5 20 19 380
19
5 4 20
12 𝑃 𝐶𝐶 = × =
3
20 19 380
20 O 3 2 6
19 𝑃 𝑂𝑂 = × =
𝐷 12 20 19 380
𝑃 𝑠𝑎𝑚𝑒 = 𝑃 𝐷𝐷 + 𝑃 𝐶𝐶 + 𝑃 𝑂𝑂
𝐷 19
132 20 6 158
𝐶 5 𝐶 4 𝑃 𝑠𝑎𝑚𝑒 = + + =
20 19
380 380 380 380
O 3
𝑃(𝑛𝑜𝑡 𝑠𝑎𝑚𝑒) = 1 – 𝑃(𝑠𝑎𝑚𝑒)
19
O 12
158 222 111
𝑃 𝑛𝑜𝑡 𝑠𝑎𝑚𝑒 = 1 − = =
𝐷 19 380 380 190
3
20 𝐶 5
19
/4
O 2
19
[Link]
Answers
4) Below are the 9 tiles, Fawaz takes a tile at random and he
does not replace the tile. Fawaz then takes a second random tile.
3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5
Calculate the probability that the number on Fawaz’s second tile is LESS than
the number on the first tile he took.
2 3 6 P(less than first tile)=P(5,4)+P(5,3)+ P(4,3)
𝑝 5,4 = × =
9 8 72 6 8 12 26 13
2 4 8 𝑃 𝑎>𝑏 = + + = =
𝑃 5,3 = × = 72 72 72 72 36
9 8 72
3 4 12
𝑃 4,3 = × = /3
9 8 72
5) There are n smarties in a tube. 4 of the smarties are blue. The rest are pink.
Lina takes at random a sweet from the bag and eats it. She then takes a second
sweet out of the bag and eats it.
2
The probability Lina eats two blue sweets is
5

Show that 2𝑛2 − 2𝑛 − 60 = 0


4 3 12
𝑃 𝐵𝐵 = × = 2
𝑛 𝑛−1 𝑛 −𝑛
Hence
12 2
=
𝑛2 − 𝑛 5

60 = 2𝑛2 − 2𝑛
Thus /3
0 = 2𝑛2 − 2𝑛 − 60

Skill Questions Score Available


Marks
Completing a probability tree diagram for 1 2
dependent events.
Calculate the probability of dependent events. 2,3,4 10

Problem solving and reasoning with dependent 5 3


events.
Total Marks 15

[Link]

Common questions

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First, calculate the probability that the two biscuits are of the same type and subtract it from 1. The probability of both being digestives is (12/20) * (11/19), chocolate chip cookies is (5/20) * (4/19), and Oreos is (3/20) * (2/19). Add these probabilities to get P(same) and use P(not same) = 1 - P(same). Specifically, 1 - (132/380 + 20/380 + 6/380) = 222/380 or 111/190 .

Understand the scenario carefully; use clear diagrammatic representation like probability trees to identify dependencies. Adjust probabilities dynamically as changes occur in a non-replacement scenario, factoring in the reduced total. Simplify calculations by breaking down into smaller parts, use complementary probability where simpler (1 - P(event)), and verify solutions by checking sum to 1 .

The distribution determines initial probabilities of drawing each type. Higher abundance of a biscuit type lowers the probability of drawing different kinds consecutively. For instance, more digestives increase likeliness of picking two digestives, affecting P(not same) through P(same). The imbalance requires adjusting probabilities to reflect the realistic likelihood of pairing with a different type upon first draw .

The key steps include setting up a probability tree diagram and then calculating the branches where one student is a girl and the other is a boy. First, the probability of selecting a girl and then a boy is calculated as (6/11) * (5/10), and the probability of selecting a boy and then a girl is (5/11) * (6/10). The two probabilities are added: (6/11 * 5/10) + (5/11 * 6/10) = 60/110 = 6/11 .

Use the probability of selecting two blue smarties as (4/n) * (3/(n-1)) = 12/(n(n-1)). Set this equal to 2/5 and cross-multiply to yield 5 * 12 = 2n² - 2n, resulting in 2n² - 2n - 60 = 0. This verifies how the probability condition translates to the given equation .

Completing a probability tree diagram allows visualization of all possible outcomes and their associated probabilities. Each branch of the tree represents a sequence of events with conditional probabilities, facilitating calculations for dependent events by multiplying along branches and summing probabilities across relevant scenarios. This method helps to systematically assess event dependencies, such as selecting different genders .

The factors include both the values on the tiles and the sequence of drawing. If Fawaz draws the highest number first, the probability increases as there are more chances to subsequently pick a lower number. Calculate separate probabilities for each scenario (e.g., first tile 5, second 3 or 4), and sum them: P(5,4) = (2/9) * (3/8), P(5,3) = (2/9) * (4/8), P(4,3) = (3/9) * (4/8). Sum these probabilities to get 26/72 .

Incorporate context-rich scenarios requiring students to apply probability theory to realistic situations, enhancing engagement. Use interactive diagrams and simulations to illustrate dependencies clearly. Encourage predictive reasoning (predict outcomes before calculating) and reflection (assess likelihoods post-results), and offer diverse problem sets for varied practice .

To solve 2n² - 2n - 60 = 0, first simplify by dividing all terms by 2 to get n² - n - 30 = 0. This is a quadratic equation and can be solved using the quadratic formula n = [-b ± sqrt(b² - 4ac)]/(2a), where a = 1, b = -1, and c = -30. Substitute these into the formula to find n .

The relationship 2n² - 2n - 60 = 0 arises from understanding and translating a probability event into an algebraic expression. This exemplifies how discrete scenarios can be modeled with equations, crucial for managing large-scale or multifaceted event sets. Such equations allow for broader applicative resolution in probability through algebraic techniques—factorization or quadratic formulas .

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