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Control Charts for Beverage Fill Heights

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14 views12 pages

Control Charts for Beverage Fill Heights

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oji tang
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© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

IE4230 Homework 5

17/02/2014
1. The fill volume of soft-drink beverage bottles is an important quality
characteristic. The volume is measured (approximately) by placing a
gauge over the crown and comparing the height of the liquid in the neck
of the bottle against a coded scale. On this scale, a reading of zero
corresponds to the correct fill height. Fifteen samples of size n = 10 have
been analyzed, and the fill heights are shown in the following table.
a) Set up 𝒙 and s control charts on this process. Does the process exhibit
statistical control? If necessary, construct revised control limits.
b) Set up an R chart, and compare with the s chart in part (a).
c) Set up an s2 chart and compare with the s chart in part (a).
• Control limits for the 𝑥 chart Control limits for the 𝑠 chart
UCL: 𝑥 + 𝐴3 𝑠 UCL: 𝐵4 𝑠
CL: 𝑥 CL: 𝑠
LCL: 𝑥 − 𝐴3 𝑠 LCL: 𝐵3 𝑠

Sample
𝒙𝟏 𝒙𝟐 𝒙𝟑 𝒙𝟒 𝒙𝟓 𝒙𝟔 𝒙𝟕 𝒙𝟖 𝒙𝟗 𝒙𝟏𝟎 𝒙 𝒔 𝑹 𝒔𝟐
Number
1 2.5 0.5 2 -1 1 -1 0.5 1.5 0.5 -1.5 0.5 1.3333 4 1.7778
2 0 0 0.5 1 1.5 1 -1 1 1.5 -1 0.45 0.9265 2.5 0.8583
3 1.5 1 1 -1 0 -1.5 -1 -1 1 -1 -0.1 1.1255 3 1.2667
4 0 0.5 -2 0 -1 1.5 -1.5 0 -2 -1.5 -0.6 1.1738 3.5 1.3778
5 0 0 0 -0.5 0.5 1 -0.5 -0.5 0 0 0 0.4714 1.5 0.2222
6 1 -0.5 0 0 0 0.5 -1 1 -2 1 0 0.9718 3 0.9444
7 1 -1 -1 -1 0 1.5 0 1 0 0 0.05 0.8960 2.5 0.8028
8 0 -1.5 -0.5 1.5 0 0 0 -1 0.5 -0.5 -0.15 0.8182 3 0.6694
9 -2 -1.5 1.5 1.5 0 0 0.5 1 0 1 0.2 1.1832 3.5 1.4000
10 -0.5 3.5 0 -1 -1.5 -1.5 -1 -1 1 0.5 -0.15 1.5284 5 2.3361
11 0 1.5 0 0 2 -1.5 0.5 -0.5 2 -1 0.3 1.2065 3.5 1.4556
12 0 -2 -0.5 0 -0.5 2 1.5 0 0.5 -1 0 1.1547 4 1.3333
13 -1 -0.5 -0.5 -1 0 0.5 0.5 -1.5 -1 -1 -0.55 0.6852 2 0.4694
14 0.5 1 -1 -0.5 -2 -1 -1.5 0 1.5 1.5 -0.15 1.2483 3.5 1.5583
15 1 0 1.5 1.5 1 -1 0 1 -2 -1.5 0.15 1.2704 3.5 1.6139
𝒙 𝒔 𝑹 𝒔𝟐
-0.0033 1.0662 3.2 1.2057
𝐴3 = 0.9754, 𝐵3 = 0.2837, 𝐵4 = 1.7163

Control limits for the 𝑥 chart Control limits for the 𝑠 chart
UCL: −0.0033 + 0.9754 × 1.0662 UCL: 1.7163 × 1.0662
= 1.0366 = 1.8299
CL: −0.0033 CL: 1.0622
LCL: −0.0033 − 0.9754 × 1.0662 LCL: 0.2837 × 1.0662
= −1.0433 = 0.3025

xbar chart s chart


1.5 2
1
1.5
0.5
0 1
-0.5
0.5
-1
-1.5 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415
Sample Sample
b) Set up an R chart, and compare with the s chart in part (a).
• Control limits for the 𝑅 chart
UCL: 𝐷4 𝑅
CL: 𝑅
LCL: 𝐷3 𝑅

UCL: 1.7770.× 3.2 = 5.6863


CL: 3.2
LCL: 0.2230 × 3.2 = 0.7137
R chart s chart
6 2
1.5
4
1
2
0.5
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415
Sample Sample
c) Set up an s2 chart and compare with the s chart in part (a).
• Control limits for the 𝑠 2 chart
𝑠2 1.2057
UCL: 𝜒𝛼2 2,𝑛−1 UCL: × 27.0933 = 3.6297
𝑛−1 9
CL: 𝑠2 CL: 1.2057
𝑠2 2 1.2057
LCL: 𝜒1−(𝛼 2) ,𝑛−1 LCL: × 1.2412 = 0.1663
𝑛−1 9

Here, 𝛼 = 0.0027.

s2 chart s chart
4 2
3 1.5
2 1
1 0.5
0 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415
Sample Sample
2. A process is controlled with a fraction nonconforming control chart with
three-sigma limits, n = 100, UCL = 0.161, center line = 0.080, and LCL = 0.
a) Find the equivalent control chart for the number nonconforming.
• The fraction nonconforming control chart
𝑝 1−𝑝
UCL: 𝑝 + 3 UCL: 0.161
𝑛
CL: 𝑝 CL: 0.080
𝑝 1−𝑝
LCL: max 0, 𝑝 − 3 LCL: 0
𝑛

The nonconforming control chart


UCL: 𝑛𝑝 + 3 𝑛𝑝 1 − 𝑝 UCL: 16.1
CL: 𝑛𝑝 CL: 8
LCL: max 0, 𝑛𝑝 − 3 𝑛𝑝 1 − 𝑝 LCL: 0
b) Use the Poisson approximation to the binomial to find the probability
of a type I error.
• From (a), the control chart signals if there are more than 16 defects. The
type I error is
ℙ 𝐷 ≥ 17 𝑛 = 100, 𝑝 = 0.08
≅ ℙ 𝐷 ≥ 17 𝜆 = 𝑛𝑝 = 8
𝑑
16 8
=1− 𝑑=0 𝑑! 𝑒 −8 = 0.0037
Excel: =[Link](16,8,TRUE)

c) Use the correct approximation to find the probability of a type II error


if the process fraction nonconforming shifts to 0.2.
• We will use the normal approximation to the binomial. The parameters
are
𝜇 = 𝑛𝑝 = 100 × 0.2 = 20
𝜎 2 = 𝑛𝑝 1 − 𝑝 = 100 × 0.2 × 0.8 = 16.
The type II error is
ℙ 𝐷 < 16.1 𝑛 = 100, 𝑝 = 0.2
≅ ℙ 𝐷 < 𝟏𝟔. 𝟓 𝜇 = 20, 𝜎 2 = 16
16.5−20
=Φ = Φ −0.875 = 0.1908
4

d) What is the probability of detecting the shift in part (c) by at most the
fourth sample after the shift?
• From (c), the probability of an out-of-control signal is 0.8092. The
requested probability can be computed by the cumulative density
function of a geometric distribution with parameter 𝑝 = 0.8092:
1 − 1 − 0.8092 4 = 1 − 0.19084 = 0.9987.
3. A payment process that reimburses members for out-of-network health
expenses is to be controlled through use of a fraction nonconforming
chart. Initially, one sample of size 200 is taken each day for 20 days, and
the results shown in the following Table are observed.
a) Establish a control chart to monitor future performance.
3+2+⋯+2 50 Day Nonconforming Units
• 𝑝= = = 0.0125. 1 3
20×200 4000
2 2
The fraction nonconforming control chart 3 4
4 2
𝑝 1−𝑝 5 5
UCL: 𝑝 + 3
𝑛 6 2
7 1
CL: 𝑝 8 2
9 0
𝑝 1−𝑝 10 5
LCL: max 0, 𝑝 − 3 11 2
𝑛
12 4
13 1
14 3
UCL: 0.0361 15 6
CL: 0.0125 16 0
17 1
LCL: 0 18 2
19 3
20 2
p chart
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011121314151617181920
Sample
b) What is the smallest sample size that could be used for this process
and still give a positive lower control limit on the chart?
• From (a), we have

𝑝 1−𝑝
𝑝−3 >0
𝑛
9𝑝 1 − 𝑝
𝑝2
>
𝑛
9 1−𝑝 9 × 0.9875
𝑛> = = 711.
𝑝 0.0125
Hence, the smallest sample size is 712.

Common questions

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Sample size is critical in setting control chart limits because it impacts the statistical properties and sensitivity of the chart. Larger sample sizes provide better estimates of process parameters (mean, standard deviation), resulting in more reliable control limits that accurately reflect process stability. They improve the detection power for small shifts (reduction of Type II error) but require more resources and time. Smaller samples tend to have wider control limits, potentially masking smaller variations but are quicker and cheaper to process. Calculations like those for the control limits consider sample size explicitly to ensure effective quality monitoring .

The decision to use a fraction nonconforming control chart versus a number nonconforming chart depends on the context of the quality control process. A fraction nonconforming chart is more suitable when comparing defect rates between different-sized samples, as it provides a normalized measure of process performance. In contrast, a number nonconforming chart is more appropriate for fixed sample sizes where the actual number of defects is of primary interest. Additionally, the expected variability in the process and the ability to match control chart parameters with the underlying distribution of defects influence this decision .

Control limits define the thresholds for detecting statistical signals that suggest a process is out of control. Tight control limits (e.g., using three-sigma limits) increase the sensitivity of the chart, making it more effective in detecting small shifts in process parameters. However, this also increases the risk of Type I errors (false alarms). Conversely, wider control limits reduce false alarms but may fail to detect smaller shifts effectively. The choice of control limits must balance sensitivity and accuracy to optimize the monitoring of production processes .

The geometric distribution is applicable in quality control to model the probability of the first occurrence in a sequence of Bernoulli trials, such as detecting a process shift. It helps estimate the probability of detecting an out-of-control signal within a certain number of samples after a shift occurs. This distribution assumes a constant probability of detecting the shift in each sample, making it suitable for modeling the time to detection of predictable, periodical process changes. Thus, it aids in understanding and optimizing sampling strategies for effective process monitoring .

The normal approximation to the binomial distribution facilitates the estimation of type II error probabilities when dealing with large sample sizes in quality control processes. This approximation is applied when the conditions (np and n(1-p) being sufficiently large) permit treating the binomial distribution as normal, enhancing computational feasibility. It enables the calculation of the likelihood of failing to detect a true shift in process fraction nonconforming, which is crucial for assessing the robustness and sensitivity of control charts, especially when process conditions change significantly .

Type I and Type II errors are crucial in quality control as they influence the accuracy and reliability of process monitoring. A Type I error (false positive) occurs when the control chart indicates a problem despite the process being in control, leading to unnecessary adjustments or investigations. Conversely, a Type II error (false negative) means a significant change in the process goes undetected, potentially resulting in defective products reaching customers. Balancing these errors is key in designing control charts, affecting decisions on parameter settings and control limits to ensure optimal monitoring of process stability and quality outcomes .

Determining the smallest sample size ensuring a positive lower control limit is essential to prevent the lower control limit from becoming non-informative (i.e., zero or negative), which can lead to an inability to detect process improvements. This is calculated by ensuring that the lower control limit formula, based on specified standard deviations from the mean, results in a positive value when applied to the target process metrics. Mathematically, it involves solving an inequality where the calculated lower control limit remains greater than zero, thus requiring a minimal sufficient sample size to achieve statistical significance in monitoring .

The R chart measures process variability by monitoring the range of the sample data, which is effective for small sample sizes. An s chart, on the other hand, uses the sample standard deviation, providing a more reliable measure of variability for larger sample sizes. The R chart is easier to interpret but can be less sensitive to detecting small shifts in variability compared to the s chart. Therefore, choosing between these charts depends on sample size and the level of sensitivity required. Comparing results from both can provide a comprehensive view of variability in the process .

The x̄ and s control charts are utilized to monitor the fill height quality of soft-drink bottles. The x̄ chart measures changes in the average fill level over time, helping identify shifts from the target fill height and thus detecting changes in the process mean. The s chart, which plots the standard deviation, assesses the variability of the fill height, providing insight into the consistency of the process. If points fall outside the control limits, or show a systematic pattern, it indicates that the process may be out of statistical control, suggesting issues like equipment malfunctions or variations in bottle sizes .

The Poisson approximation to the binomial distribution is typically used to estimate the probability of type I errors in control charts when the defect rate is low, thereby simplifying the calculations. For type I errors, where the process defects exceed the upper control limit, the Poisson distribution calculates the probability of observing a certain number of defects assuming the process is in control. Type II errors use the normal approximation for larger defect rates to estimate the likelihood of not detecting a change in process defectiveness. This approach facilitates practical error probability computation, especially for processes involving large n (sample size) and low defect probability .

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