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Probability Analysis in Malaysia's Surveys

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
12 views4 pages

Probability Analysis in Malaysia's Surveys

Uploaded by

HOOI SZU LIM
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Chapter 3 Probability AAMS1773

Tutorial 3 (Extra)
Question 1
It is proposed that Malaysia should legalize football betting as it is a popular sport. A newspaper reporter
conducted a nationwide survey of 1000 adults in a few states to determine their opinion about legalizing
football betting in Malaysia. The results of the survey are shown in the table below.
State Against Proposal In Favor of Proposal No opinion
Selangor 23 122 18
Penang 39 165 27
Johor 58 238 46
Malacca 71 127 66

If one adult is selected at random, calculate the probability that this adult is
(a) against the proposal; (2 marks)
(b) from Penang and has no opinion about the proposal; (2 marks)
(c) from Selangor or against the proposal; (3 marks)
(d) in favor of the proposal given that the person is from Selangor. (3 marks)
[answer: (a) 0.191 (b) 0.027 (c) 0.331 (d) 0.7485]

Question 2

[answer: (a) 0.6567 (b) 0.1633 (c) 0.73 (d) 0.3107]


Question 3
The following table gives the number of claims at a large insurance company by type of claims and
geographical region.
Type of claims East South North West
Hospitalization 75 128 29 52
Physician’s visit 233 514 104 251
Outpatient treatment 100 326 65 99

(a) What is the probability that a randomly selected bill is from the East?
(b) What is the probability that a randomly selected bill is either from the North or from the South?
(c) What is the probability that a randomly selected bill is for hospitalization?
(d) Given that a bill is for outpatient treatment, what is the probability that it is from the West?
(e) What is the probability that a randomly selected bill is either for hospitalization or from the South?
[Answer: (a) 0.2065 (b) 0.59 (c) 0.144 (d) 0.168 (e) 0.569 ]

Question 4
A publishing company has 75 different book titles classified by type and cost as follows:
Type Cost
RM 10 RM 15 RM 20
Fiction 10 8 3
Biography 12 10 9
Historical 4 17 2

Find the probability that a book selected at random is:


(a) Fiction or costs RM 10
(b) Historical and costs either RM 10 or RM 15
(c) Biography or costs more than RM 10
(d) Fiction given that it costs RM 20.
[Answer: (a) 0.4933 (b) 0.28 (c) 0.8133 (d) 0.2143]

Question 5
A sample of 100 adults was asked whether or not they have ever purchased on the Internet. The following
table gives a two way classification of the responses:
Have purchased (A) Have never purchased (B)
Male (M) 20 35
Female (F) 15 30

(a) If an adult is selected at random from these 100 adults, find the probability that this adult
(i) Is a male and has purchased on the Internet,
(ii) Is a female or has never purchased on the internet,
(iii) Has purchased on the Internet given that he is a male.
(b) Are the events “have purchased” and “male” mutually exclusive? Give the reason.
[answer: (i) 0.2 (ii) 0.8 (iii) 0.3636 (b) Not mutually exclusive]
Question 6
The following data indicates the number of injuries occurring in different circumstances and gender.
Work Home Other Total
Male 18 19 26 63
Female 6 21 23 50
Total 24 40 49 113
What is the probability that a randomly selected injured people
(a) was injured at home?
(b) was a female or someone who was injured at home?
(c) was injured at home given that a female was selected?
[answer: (a) 0.354 (b) 0.6106 (c) 0.42]

Question 7
Of the group of pupils studying at A-level in schools in a certain area, 56% are boys and 44% are girls.
The probability that a boy of this group is studying chemistry is 1/5 and the probability that a girl of this
group studying chemistry is 1/11.
(a) Find the probability that a pupil selected randomly from this group is a girl studying Chemistry.
(b) Find the probability that a pupil selected at random from this group is not studying Chemistry.
(c) Find the probability that a Chemistry pupil selected at random from this group is boy.
[answer: 0.04, 0.848, 0.737]

Question 8
An electrical firm gets its supply of cassette decks from two suppliers, A and B. The current supply
consists of 40% from supplier A and 60% from supplier B. The past records show that the defective
rates from supplier A and B are 8% and 5% respectively.
(a) Draw a well-labeled probability tree diagram to illustrate this situation.
(b) If a cassette deck is selected randomly from the current supply, what is the probability that it is
defective?
(c) If a randomly selected cassette deck is observed to be non-defective, what is the probability that it
is from supplier A?
[answer: (b) 0.062 (c) 0.392]
Question 9

[answer: (b) 0.66 (c) 0.07353 (d) 0.135]

Question 10

[answer: (b) 0.845 (c) 0.86 (d) 0.9032]

Question 11

[answer: (b) 0.64 (c) 0.49]

Common questions

Powered by AI

To determine if two events are mutually exclusive, we check if they can occur simultaneously. Since there are males who have purchased on the Internet, these events are not mutually exclusive .

If a cassette deck is non-defective, the probability that it came from supplier A is 0.392 .

The survey shows varying opinions across states, with Johor having the highest number in favor and Selangor differing significantly in numbers against. This indicates regional differences in attitudes towards legalizing football betting .

You would use a union of probabilities method to determine the likelihood of being against or indifferent to the proposal. This involves adding the individual probabilities of both events and subtracting any overlap, ensuring no double-counting .

The probability that a randomly selected adult from Penang has no opinion on the proposal is 0.027 .

The probability that a randomly selected injured person was injured at home is 0.354 .

Given that a bill is for outpatient treatment, the probability that it is from the West is 0.168 .

The probability that a randomly selected adult is against the proposal of legalizing football betting, based on the survey results, is calculated by dividing the total number of adults against the proposal by the total surveyed. This is given as 0.191 .

The probability that a randomly selected student is not studying Chemistry is 0.848 .

To find this probability, determine the fraction of boys studying Chemistry to the total students studying Chemistry. Calculate the probability of a boy, then multiply by the conditional probability of studying Chemistry given the student is a boy, and adjust for total studying Chemistry .

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