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Expected Return Calculation for Miss Dimaano

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Expected Return Calculation for Miss Dimaano

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Fundamentals of Financial Management 2019

TUTORIAL 5: RISK & RETURN

1. You intend to make an investment in one stock and have the following stocks to choose from:

Stock Expected Standard


Return Deviation
A 20% p.a. 10% p.a.
B 30% p.a. 50% p.a.
C 15% p.a. 12% p.a.
D 20% p.a. 15% p.a.
E 35% p.a. 40% p.a.
F 25% p.a. 15% p.a.

Since every person’s preferred investment will differ, depending on their level of risk aversion, we
cannot say for certain which stock you will choose. The risk-return characteristics of some stocks,
however, clearly dominates others.
Begin by plotting each stock on a graph with risk (standard deviation) on the horizontal axis and
expected return on vertical axis. Just plot a single point for each stock.
a. If you had to choose just between stocks A and D, which dominates? Explain.
b. If you had to choose just between stocks D and E, which dominates? Explain.
c. If you had to choose just between stocks B and E, which dominates? Explain.
d. If you had to choose just between stocks A and C, which dominates? Explain.
e. If you had to choose just between stocks A and F, which dominates? How about E and F? how
about C and D? Explain.

2. Assume the following data:


The market risk premium is 7% p.a.
The variance of the return on the market is 0.14, and
The risk-free rate is 6% p.a.

Your task is to determine a discount rate appropriate for a single company, BHP. If the variance of
BHP’s return is 0.30 and its beta is 1.20, what is the expected return of BHP?

3. In a small economy, the market portfolio comprises shares in only three companies: D, E and F.
Details are set out in the table below.

Company name Shares issued Price per share Expected


Return
D 1,000,000 $2.00 8%
E 500,000 $8.00 10%
F 1,600,000 $2.50 21%

There is also a risk-free asset that offers a return of 4%.


a. Calculate the expected return on the market portfolio.
b. Assume that the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) applies in this market; calculate the beta of
company E.

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Fundamentals of Financial Management 2019
4. Sorbond Industries has a beta of 1.45. The risk-free rate is 8 percent and the expected return on the
market portfolio is 13 percent. The company currently pays a dividend of $2 a share, and investors
expect it to experience a growth in dividends of 10 percent per annum for many years to come.
a. What is the stock’s required rate of return according to the CAPM?
b. What is the stock’s present market price per share, assuming this required return?
c. What would happen to the required return and to market price per share if the beta were 0.80?
(Assume that all else stays the same.)

5. You want to create a portfolio that is equally risky to the market, and you have $1,000,000 to
invest. Given this information, find the values of (a), (b) and (c) in the following table. Present your
detailed calculations.

Asset Investment Beta


Stock A $210,000 0.85
Stock B $320,000 1.20
Stock C (a) 1.35
Risk-free asset (b) (c)

6. Consider the following information about Stocks I and II:

State of Probability of State Rate of Return if State occurs


Economy of Economy Stock I Stock II
Recession 0.25 0.11 -0.40
Normal 0.50 0.29 0.10
Boom 0.25 0.13 0.56

The market risk premium is 8 percent, and the risk-free rate is 4 percent. Which stock has the most
systematic risk? Which one has the most unsystematic risk? Which stock is “riskier”? Explain.

7. Suppose Intel stock has a beta of 1.6, whereas Boeing stock has a beta of 1. If the risk-free rate is
4% and the expected return of the market portfolio is 10%, according to the CAPM:
a. What is the expected return of Intel stock?
b. What is the expected return of Boeing stock?
c. What is the beta of a portfolio that consists of 60% Intel stock and 40% Boeing stock?
d. What is the expected return of a portfolio that consists of 60% Intel stock and 40% Boeing stock?

8. Suppose you observe the following situation:

Security Beta Expected Return


Pete Corp. 1.35 0.132
Repete Co. 0.80 0.101

Assume these securities are correctly priced. Based on the CAPM, what is the expected return on
the market? What is the risk-free rate?

9. You have recently become very interested in real estate. To gain some experience as a real estate
investor, you have decided to get together with nine of your friends to buy three small cottages
near campus. If you and your friends pool your money, you will have just enough to buy the three
properties. Since each investment requires the same amount of money and you will have a 10
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Fundamentals of Financial Management 2019
percent interest in each, you will effectively haveone-third of your portfolio invested in each
cottage. While the cottages cost the same, they are different distances from campus and in
different neighborhoods. You believe that this causes them to have different levels of systematic
risk, and you estimate that the betas for the individual cottages are 1.2, 1.3, and 1.5. If the risk-free
rate is 4 percent and the market risk premium is 6 percent, what will be the expected return on
your real estate portfolio after you make all three investments?

10. You have become concerned that you have too much of your money invested in your pizza
restaurant and have decided to diversify your personal portfolio. Right now the pizza restaurant is
your only investment. To diversify, you plan to sell 45 percent of your restaurant and invest the
proceeds from the sale, in equal proportions, into a stock and a bond. Over the next year, you
expect to earn a return of 15 percent on your remaining investment in the pizza restaurant,12
percent on your investment in the stock, and 8 percent on your investment in the bond. What
return will you expect from your diversified portfolio over the next year?

11. You have $100,000 to invest in a portfolio containing Stock X, Stock Y, and a risk-free asset. You
must invest all of your money. Your goal is to create a portfolio that has an expected return of
16.8% and that has only 80% of the risk of the overall market. If X has an expected return of 31%
and a beta of 1.8, Y has an expected return of 20% and a beta of 1.3, and the risk-free rate is 7%,
how much money will you invest in Stock X?

Common questions

Powered by AI

Reducing a portfolio's standard deviation decreases the total unsystematic risk without necessarily affecting systematic risk, as measured by beta. This implies improved diversification, which can lower total risk further. If beta does not increase significantly, the systematic risk remains similar while reducing excess return demands. Thus, overall risk is reduced, potentially maintaining or slightly lowering expected returns relative to risk .

The expected return of the real estate portfolio is the average of the expected returns of the individual properties. Calculate each property's expected return using CAPM: Property 1 = 4% + 1.2*6% = 11.2%, Property 2 = 4% + 1.3*6% = 11.8%, Property 3 = 4% + 1.5*6% = 13%. The portfolio's expected return is (11.2% + 11.8% + 13%)/3 = 12% .

To calculate the expected return, first determine each stock's expected return via the CAPM: Intel's expected return is 4% + 1.6*(10%-4%) = 13.6%, and Boeing's expected return is 4% + 1*(10%-4%) = 10%. The portfolio's expected return is 0.6*13.6% + 0.4*10% = 12.16% .

The required return of Sorbond Industries using the CAPM when the beta is 1.45 is calculated as 8% + 1.45*(13%-8%) = 15.25% . If the beta is decreased to 0.80, the required return becomes 8% + 0.80*(13%-8%) = 12%. A lower required return increases the market price per share as the discount rate for future cash flows is reduced, assuming other factors remain unchanged.

Unsystematic risk is seen through variance not explained by market movements. Calculate expected returns for each economic state and compare deviations. Stock I has higher expected return variability given distinct performances in recession and boom states compared to Stock II's consistent returns, indicating greater unsystematic risk in Stock I .

The portfolio's beta needs to be 1 since it's equally risky as the market. Given investments: A ($210,000, beta 0.85), B ($320,000, beta 1.20), and C ($470,000, beta 1.35 assuming remaining funds after A and B). The risk-free asset's beta is 0. Calculate the total beta: (0.85*0.21)+(1.20*0.32)+(1.35*0.47)+0 = 1.121, indicating restructuring for an exact match might be necessary .

The expected return on the market portfolio is calculated by taking the weighted average of the expected returns of companies D, E, and F based on their market values. Company D has 1,000,000 shares at $2 each with an 8% expected return, company E has 500,000 shares at $8 each with a 10% expected return, and company F has 1,600,000 shares at $2.50 each with a 21% expected return. First, calculate each company's market value: D = $2M, E = $4M, F = $4M. The total market value is $10M. The expected return is (20%*8%)+(40%*10%)+(40%*21%) = 15.8% .

To determine BHP's discount rate using CAPM, apply the formula: expected return = risk-free rate + beta*(market risk premium). The risk-free rate is 6% p.a., and the market risk premium is 7% p.a. Hence, BHP's expected return is 6% + 1.20*7% = 14.4% .

To calculate the expected return of the portfolio, consider the proportions: Assume the bond and stock are each 22.5% (since the restaurant is 55%), the portfolio return is 0.55*15% + 0.225*8% + 0.225*12% = 13.15% .

To determine which stock dominates between A and D using risk-return characteristics, plot each stock's expected return against its standard deviation. Stock A has an expected return of 20% with a standard deviation of 10%, while stock D also has an expected return of 20% but with a higher standard deviation of 15% . Since stock A offers the same expected return with lower risk, it dominates stock D.

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