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Probability KS2 SATS Standard Worksheet
1. Mel uses an 8-sided spinner.
1 2
1 2
8 33
7 44
6
6 55
Draw lines to show how likely the following are.
a number less impossible
than 10
unlikely
the number 11
even chance
the same number
three times in a row
likely
an odd number certain
2 marks
2.
Key
striped
spotty
white
grey
These marbles are hidden in a bag. The bag is shaken.
Pete pulls out one marble without looking.
(a) Which kind of marble is Pete most likely to pull out?
1 mark
(b) Explain how you know.
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1 mark
3. Here are two spinners.
Jill's spinner Peter's spinner
5 65
6 4 7 4
1 3 8 3
2 12
Jill says,
“I am more likely than Peter to spin a 3.”
Give a reason why she is correct.
Jill is correct because ...................................................................................
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1 mark
Peter says,
“We are both equally likely to spin an even number.”
Give a reason why he is correct.
Peter is correct because ..............................................................................
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1 mark
4. Seven number cards are in a bag.
2 2 3 1 1 6 7
2 4 3 4 5 3 1
Jill takes one card out and finds the total of the two numbers.
She then puts the card back in the bag.
This is a graph of Jill’s results after doing this 100 times.
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Graph of totals of 100 choices
9
8
7
Card
totals 6
5
4
0 10 20 30 40 50
Number of times chosen
Give the reason why the ‘total 7’ never came up.
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1 mark
Give the reason why the ‘total 6’ came up most often.
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1 mark
5. Here are two bags.
Each bag has 3 white balls and one black ball in it.
A ball is taken from one of the bags without looking.
What is the probability that it is a black ball?
Give your answer as a fraction.
1 mark
All the balls from both bags are now mixed together in a new bag.
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Put a cross (x) on this line to show the probability of taking a black ball from the new
bag.
0 1
1 mark
6. The spinner is divided into nine equal sections.
1
4 2
2 3
1 2
2 2
Which two different numbers on the spinner are equally likely to come up?
and
1 mark
Meera says,
‘2 has a greater than even chance of coming up’.
Explain why she is correct.
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1 mark
7. Here are two spinners, A and B.
Each one is a regular hexagon.
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1 2
3 2
1
1 1
3
2
A B
For each statement, put a tick () if it is true.
Put a cross () if it is not true.
Scoring ‘1’ is more likely on A than on B.
Scoring ‘2’ is more likely on A than on B.
Scoring ‘3’ is as equally likely on A as on B.
1 mark
Zara spins both spinners.
The score on A is added to the score on B.
She says,
’The sum of the scores on both spinners is
certain to be less than 7’ .
Is she correct?
Circle Yes or No. Yes / No
Explain how you know.
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1 mark
8. Imagine you have this 10-sided spinner.
How likely are you to spin these shapes on your first spin?
Draw lines.
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certain
most likely
least likely
impossible
1 mark
9. When a coin is tossed the probability of heads is a half and the probability of
tails is half.
The coin is tossed twice.
The first time the coin is tossed it lands heads.
Circle the value to show the probability that the coin lands heads the
second time it is tossed?
1 1 3
0 4 2 4 1
1 mark
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10. Each of these bags is shaken.
Key
white
black
spotty
Bag A Bag B
Bag C Bag D
John takes a ball from each bag without looking.
From which bag is the probability of taking a white ball the same as the
probability of taking a black ball? 1 mark
11. Sam has 3 different spinners.
3 1 4
1 2 6 2 6 5
3 3 5 3 5 6
2 4 4
spinner A spinner B spinner C
He chooses ONE of his spinners.
He spins it 100 times and writes down how it lands each time.
The results of the 100 spins are numbers only from 1 to 3.
Which spinner do you think he is using?
Spinner
Give ONE reason why you chose this one.
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1 mark
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Sam spins A 100 times and B 100 times.
The arrows on the line show how many times each spinner lands on an odd number.
He spins C 100 times.
Put an arrow on the line to show your estimate of how many times spinner C will land
on an odd number.
B A
0 20 40 60 80 100
1 mark
Show how you worked out your estimate.
1 mark
12. Kim wants to estimate the probability that her friend Tony will answer the phone when
she rings the house.
Here are two ways she could do it.
A There are four people in the house, so there is a probability of 1 out
of 4 it will be Tony.
B The last time Kim rang, Tony answered, so it won’t be Tony this time.
Kim says A is not a good way to estimate the probability.
Explain why not.
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1 mark
She also says B is not a good way to estimate the probability.
Explain why not.
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1 mark
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13. Lee has two spinners.
1 2
1 2
3 1
4 2
3 1 3 1
A B
What is the probability of spinning a 4 on spinner A?
Write your answer as a fraction.
1 mark
On which spinner is he more likely to get a 1?
Give a reason for your answer.
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1 mark
Lee says,
‘I am equally likely to get a 2 on spinner A as on spinner B’.
Explain why he is correct.
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1 mark
14. Megan spins the pointers on these two spinners.
She adds the numbers together to make a total.
A B
3 3
2 4 2 4
Total 9
1 5 1 5
6 6
Here is a table to show all the possible totals.
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Number on Spinner B
1 2 3 4 5 6
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
2 3 4 5 6 7 8
3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Number on
Spinner A
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
5 6 7 8 9 10 11
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Use the table to answer these questions.
What is the most likely total?
1 mark
What is the probability of getting a total of 1?
1 mark
The total 3 and the total 11 are equally likely.
Explain how the table shows this.
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1 mark
15. The outer ring of this spinner has 8 sections labelled with the numbers 1 to 5.
The inner ring has 12 equal sections on it.
3
1
2
4 2
5
4 3
Laura spins the pointer.
Which is the pointer most likely to stop on?
1 mark
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Give a reason for your answer.
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1 mark
What is the probability of getting an even number on this spinner?
Give your answer as a fraction.
1 mark
16. Samir spins a fair coin and records the results.
In the first four spins 'heads' comes up each time.
1st 2nd 3rd 4th
spin spin spin spin
Head Head Head Head
Samir says,
'A head is more likely than a tail'.
Is he correct? Circle Yes or No. Yes / No
Give a reason for your answer.
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1 mark
17. Harry has six tins of soup.
The labels have fallen off.
Here are the labels and tins.
Tomato Chicken
Pea Soup
Soup Soup
Pea Soup Tomato Mushroom
Soup Soup
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Harry chooses a tin.
What is the probability that it is a tin of Pea Soup?
Give your answer as a fraction.
1 mark
What is the probability that the tin he chooses is NOT a tin of Tomato Soup?
Give your answer as a fraction.
1 mark
18. Katie made two spinners, A and B.
2 3
2 3
spinner A spinner B
She says,
'Scoring a 1 on spinner A is just as likely as scoring a
1 on spinner B'.
Explain why Katie is correct.
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1 mark
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19. Dan has a bag of seven counters numbered 1 to 7
Abeda has a bag of twenty counters numbered 1 to 20
Each chooses a counter from their own bag without looking.
For each statement, put a tick ( ) if it is true.
- Put a cross (X) if it is not true.
Dan is more likely than Abeda to choose a '5'
They are both equally likely to choose
a number less than 3
Dan is more likely than Abeda to choose
an odd number.
Abeda is less likely than Dan to choose a '10'
2 marks
20. Here is a square spinner.
4
2
1
3
Look at these statements.
For each one put a tick ( ) if it is correct.
Put a cross ( ) if it is not correct.
‘4‘ is the most likely score.
‘2‘ and ‘4‘ are equally likely scores.
Odd and even scores are equally likely.
A score of ‘3‘ or more is as likely as a score
of less than ‘3’.
2 marks
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21. A fair dice has the numbers 2, 2, 2, 2, 5 and 5 on it.
The dice is rolled.
Circle the arrow which shows the probability of getting a 2.
impossible certain
0 1
A B C D E F G
1 mark
22. Here is a spinner
A B
C
E
Anne spins the arrow.
What is the probability that the arrow stops in sector E?
Show this probability by putting a cross (X) on the probability line below.
1
0 2 1
impossible certain
1 mark
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