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This document discusses sampling distributions and how they differ from population distributions. Some key points: - A sampling distribution describes the distribution of all possible sample means or proportions that could be drawn from a population. - The mean of a sampling distribution (μx̅) is equal to the population mean (μ) for large sample sizes. For small samples, μx̅ may differ from μ. - The standard deviation of a sampling distribution (δx̅) depends on both the population standard deviation (δ) and the sample size (n). - Confidence intervals can be constructed around sample statistics like the mean to estimate unknown population parameters with a given degree of certainty.

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Sondos Magdy22
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
6 views20 pages

Final

This document discusses sampling distributions and how they differ from population distributions. Some key points: - A sampling distribution describes the distribution of all possible sample means or proportions that could be drawn from a population. - The mean of a sampling distribution (μx̅) is equal to the population mean (μ) for large sample sizes. For small samples, μx̅ may differ from μ. - The standard deviation of a sampling distribution (δx̅) depends on both the population standard deviation (δ) and the sample size (n). - Confidence intervals can be constructed around sample statistics like the mean to estimate unknown population parameters with a given degree of certainty.

Uploaded by

Sondos Magdy22
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Sampling Distribution

If We have information on all member of population and we use this


information to prepare a probability distribution
The properties of the population:
N→ Number of population

μ→ Mean
ẟ→ Standard Deviation
The properties of the Sampling Distribution:
n→ Number of Sampling
𝜇𝑥̅ → 𝑀𝑒𝑎𝑛 𝑜𝑓 𝑠𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔𝐷𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑏𝑢𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
ẟ𝑥̅ → 𝑆𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎𝑟𝑑 𝐷𝑒𝑣𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑜𝑓𝑠𝑎𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔𝐷𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑏𝑢𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛

𝑛
𝑁

𝑛 𝑛
> 0.05 ≤ 0.05
𝑁 𝑁

μ𝑥̅ =μ μ𝑥̅ = μ
ẟ 𝑁−𝑛 ẟ
ẟ𝑥̅ = ẟ𝑥̅ =
𝑛 𝑁−1 𝑛
1. A population consists of the following four values: 12, 12, 14, and 16.
a. List all samples of size 2, and compute the mean of each sample.
b. Compute the mean of the distribution of the sample mean and the
population mean.
c. Compare the dispersion in the population with that of the sample
mean.
12 , 12 , 14 , 16
↓ ↓ ↓ ↓
A , B , C , D
sample score Mean ̅−μ
𝒙 ̅ − 𝝁)𝟐
(𝒙
A,B 12,12 12 -1.5 2.25
A,C 12,14 13 -0.5 0.25
A,D 12,16 14 0.5 0.25
B,C 12,14 13 -0.5 0.25
B,D 12,16 14 0.5 0.25
C,D 14,16 15 1.5 2.25
5.5

12+12+14+16
𝜇= =13.5
4

(𝑥̅ − 𝜇)2
ẟ𝑥̅ = √ = 0.95
𝑛
𝑛
𝑛=2 N=4 μ=13.5 > 0.05
𝑁

ẟ√𝑁 − 𝑛
ẟ𝑥̅ = = 0.95
√𝑛√𝑁 − 1
The mean wage per hour for all 5000 employees who work at a large
company is $27.50 and the standard deviation is $3.70 . Let𝑥̅ be the
mean wage per hour for a random sample of certain employees selected
from this company . Find the mean and standard deviation of𝑥̅ for a
sample size of
(a) 30 (b) 200 .
N=5000 μ=27.50 ẟ=3.7
𝑛 30
(a) n=30 = = 6 × 10−3 < 0.05
𝑁 5000
ẟ 3.7
𝜇𝑥̅ = μ μ=27.50 ẟ𝑥̅ = = = 0.67
√𝑛 √30

𝑛 200
(b) n=200 = = 0.04 < 0.05
𝑁 5000

ẟ 3.7
𝜇𝑥̅ = μ = 27.5 ẟ𝑥̅ = = = 0.2616
√𝑛 √200

A normal population has a mean of 60 and a standard deviation of 12.


You select a random sample of 9. Compute the probability the sample
mean is:
a. Greater than 63.
b. Less than 56.
c. Between 56 and 63.
(a). μ=60 ẟ=12 n=9
𝑛
< 0.05
𝑁
𝑥−𝜇𝑥̅
P(x> 63) → 𝑧=
ẟ𝑥̅

ẟ𝑥̅ = =4
√𝑛
63−60
P(z> ) = 𝑃(𝑧 > 0.75)
4

=1-P(z< 0.75) = 1 − 0.7734 = 0.2266 (form table p.p 126)

56−60
(B) P(x< 56) → 𝑃(𝑧 < )
4

𝑃(𝑧 < −1) = 0.1587 (form table p.p126)

( c) 𝑃(56 < 𝑥 < 63) = 𝑃(−1 < 𝑧 < 0.75)


𝑝(𝑧 < 0.75) − 𝑃(𝑧 < −1) = 0.7734 − 0.1587 = 0.6156

𝑛 𝑝𝑞
μ=P ẟ= pq when ≤ 0.05 ẟ𝑥̅ =
𝑁 √𝑛
𝑛 𝑝𝑞√𝑁−𝑛
> 0.05 ẟ𝑥̅ =
𝑁 √𝑛√𝑁−1

Suppose that 75% of adults said that college education has become too
expensive for most people. Let Ộ be the proportion in a random sample
of 1400 adult Americans who will hold the said opinion. Find the
probability that 76.5 % to 78% of adults in this sample will hold this
opinion.
P=0.75 q=1-0.75=0.25
𝜇 = 𝑃 = 0.75 n=1400

𝑝𝑞 0.75 × 0.25
ẟ𝑥̅ = = = 5.011 × 10−3
√𝑛 √1400

𝑝(0.765 < 𝑥 < 0.78)

np=1400× 0.75 = 1050


𝑛𝑝 > 5

𝑛𝑞 = 1400 × 0.25 = 350 𝑛𝑞 > 5

0.765 − 0.75 0.78 − 075


𝑃( < 𝑧 < )
5.011 × 10−3 5.011 × 10−3

P(2.99< 𝑧 < 5.98) = 𝑃(𝑧 < 5.98) − 𝑃(𝑧 > 2.99)

= 0.9999 - 0.9986 = 0.0013


Estimation of the Mean And proportion

Confidence Interval: 𝑥̅ ± 𝑧𝑐 × 𝛿𝑥̅


𝑥̅ → 𝐸𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑃𝑜𝑖𝑛𝑡 , 𝑧𝑐 × 𝛿𝑥̅ → 𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑔𝑖𝑛
(1−∝) → 𝐿𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑙 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑓𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑒

A random sample of 90 observations produced a mean 25.9 and a


standard deviation 2.7
a. Find a 95% confidence interval for population mean
b. Find a 90% confidence interval for population mean
c. Find a 99% confidence interval for population mean
n=90 , μ=25.9 , ẟ=2.7
(a)- 95% 1 − 𝛼 = 0.95

𝛼 = 0.05 = 0.025 𝑧𝑐 = −1.96
2
𝛿 2.7
𝛿𝑥̅ = 𝛿𝑥̅ = = 0.2066 𝜇 = 𝑥̅ = 25.9
√𝑛 √90

𝑥̅ ± 𝑧𝑐 × 𝛿𝑥̅ 25.9 ± 1.96 × 0.2066


25.9 ± 0.4
(b)- 90% 1 − 𝛼 = 0.9

𝛼 = 0.1 = 0.05 𝑧𝑐 = 1.65
2
𝛿 2.7
𝛿𝑥̅ = 𝛿𝑥̅ = = 0.2066 𝜇 = 𝑥̅ = 25.9
√𝑛 √90

𝑥̅ ± 𝑧𝑐 × 𝛿𝑥̅ 25.9 ± 1.65 × 0.2066


25.9 ± 0.34089
(c)- 99% 1 − 𝛼 = 0.99

𝛼 = 0.01 = 0.005 𝑧𝑐 = 2.58
2
𝛿 2.7
𝛿𝑥̅ = 𝛿𝑥̅ = = 0.2066 𝜇 = 𝑥̅ = 25.9
√𝑛 √90

𝑥̅ ± 𝑧𝑐 × 𝛿𝑥̅ 25.9 ± 2.58 × 0.2066


25.9 ± 0.533

2- A sample of 49 observations taken from a normal population The


sample mean is 55, and the sample standard deviation is 10. Determine
the 99 percent confidence interval for the population mean(c)- 99%
n=49 𝑥̅ = 55 𝛿𝑥̅ = 10
1 − 𝛼 = 0.99

𝛼 = 0.01 = 0.005 𝑧𝑐 = 2.58
2
𝑥̅ ± 𝑧𝑐 × 𝛿𝑥̅ 55 ± 2.58 × 10
55 ± 25.8

4- A random sample of 70 observations from a normally distributed


population possessing a mean equal to 26.2 and a standard deviation
equal to 4.1
a. Find a 95% confidence interval for population mean.
b. Find a 99% confidence interval for population mean
n=70 , μ=26.2 , ẟ=4.1
(a)- 95% 1 − 𝛼 = 0.95

𝛼 = 0.05 = 0.025 𝑧𝑐 = −1.96
2
𝛿 4.1
𝛿𝑥̅ = 𝛿𝑥̅ = = 0.49
√𝑛 √70

𝜇 = 𝑥̅ = 25.9 𝑥̅ ± 𝑧𝑐 × 𝛿𝑥̅ 26.2 ± 1.96 × 0.49


26.2 ± 0.96
(b)- 99% 1 − 𝛼 = 0.99

𝛼 = 0.01 = 0.005 𝑧𝑐 = 2.58
2

𝜇 = 𝑥̅ = 25.9 𝑥̅ ± 𝑧𝑐 × 𝛿𝑥̅ 26.2 ± 2.58 × 0.49

26.2 ± 1.26

Cl 𝒛𝒄
90% 1.56
95% 1.96
96% 2.05
97% 2.17
98% 2.33
99% 2.58

Common questions

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To calculate the 95% confidence interval for a population mean given a sample mean of 25.9 and standard deviation of 2.7 with a sample size of 90, use the formula x̅ ± zₓ * (σ/√n). Here, zₓ = 1.96 for 95% confidence. The standard deviation of the sampling distribution is σ/√n = 0.2066. Thus, the confidence interval is 25.9 ± 1.96 * 0.2066, resulting in a range of 25.5 to 26.3 .

When sampling more than 5% of a population, the finite population correction factor √((N-n)/(N-1)) is applied to the standard deviation of the sampling distribution. This reduces the standard error compared to a scenario where n/N ≤ 0.05. This distinction is crucial because it accounts for the reduced variability in the sample mean when a large portion of the population contributes to the sample, significantly affecting estimation accuracy and confidence interval width .

Increasing the sample size decreases the margin of error in a confidence interval. This is because the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample mean decreases as the sample size increases, leading to a narrower confidence interval. The formula ẟ/√n reflects this relationship, as √n increases with larger sample sizes, reducing the margin of error .

For a sample size of 9, the z-score for a mean of 56 is calculated as (56 - 60) / (ẟ/√n) = (56 - 60) / 4 = -1. Using the standard normal distribution table, P(z < -1) = 0.1587, meaning there is a 15.87% probability that a random sample of size 9 will have a mean less than 56 .

When the sample size (n) is small relative to the population size (N), specifically when n/N < 0.05, the standard deviation of the sample mean, ẟₓ̅, is computed using the formula ẟ/√n. This indicates less variation in the sample means as compared to individual observations, hence the sample mean becomes a more reliable estimator of the population mean .

Sample error, which arises due to observing a sample rather than the entire population, impacts the interpretation of survey results by introducing uncertainty about what the true population parameter might be. Larger samples reduce the sample error, leading to more reliable and precise estimates. For instance, calculating standard error in a survey of opinion on college costs determines the confidence in the represented proportion .

Evaluating sample proportions using conditions np > 5 and nq > 5 ensures the normal approximation is valid, as these conditions check that there are a sufficiently large number of successes (np) and failures (nq) for the binomial distribution to approximate the normal distribution closely. This ensures the sample proportion follows a normal distribution for accurate z-score calculations and probability estimations in statistical analyses .

The probability that the proportion of adults who believe college education is too expensive is between 76.5% and 78% is calculated by finding the z-scores for both boundaries: P(0.765 < x < 0.78). With mean 0.75 and standard deviation of 0.005011, it leads to z-scores between 2.99 and 5.98. The resulting probability from the z-table gives a very small value of 0.0013, or 0.13% .

The probability that a sample proportion falls within a certain range can greatly depend on the sample size due to the concepts of sampling variability and standard error. In the example where 75% of adults believe college education is too expensive, a larger sample size such as 1400 will yield a smaller standard error, leading to a narrower range of expected sample proportions and thus a more precise estimate. The formula ẟₓ̅ = pq/√n reflects this relationship, showing lower variability in larger samples. For instance, the probability that 76.5% to 78% hold the said opinion is only 0.13% .

The Central Limit Theorem states that the sampling distribution of the sample mean will approach a normal distribution, regardless of the shape of the population distribution, as the sample size becomes large. This is significant because it allows for the use of normal probability models to make inferences about population parameters, even when the population itself is not normally distributed, provided the sample size is sufficiently large .

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