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STAT 221: Introduction to Probability

This document provides an introduction and syllabus for a probability course. The course will introduce students to basic probability concepts like random variables and distributions. It will be taught on Mondays and Wednesdays from 3:30-4:45pm in room 506. The grade will be based on homework assignments, quizzes, a midterm exam, and a final exam. Homework will make up 20% of the grade, quizzes 10%, the midterm 35%, and the final 35%. Students missing either exam will fail the course.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
69 views2 pages

STAT 221: Introduction to Probability

This document provides an introduction and syllabus for a probability course. The course will introduce students to basic probability concepts like random variables and distributions. It will be taught on Mondays and Wednesdays from 3:30-4:45pm in room 506. The grade will be based on homework assignments, quizzes, a midterm exam, and a final exam. Homework will make up 20% of the grade, quizzes 10%, the midterm 35%, and the final 35%. Students missing either exam will fail the course.

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Copyright
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Introduction to Probability

STAT 221(00) Spring 2020


Course Description and Syllabus
Class Schedule : Mon/Wed 03:30 - 04:45 p.m.
Location : Political Science & Economics 506
Instructor : Taeryon Choi
Office : Political Science & Economics 433, 3290-2245
E-mail : trchoi@[Link]
Office Hours : TBA
TA : TBA
> Lecture notes will be provided based on textbook.

Textbook : Choi (2020). Essentials of Probability for Statistics


Free Academy (1st ed.)

• Useful references are

– Ross (2019). A First Course in Probability.


– Degroot & Schervish (2014). Probability and Statistics.
– Ross (2010). Introduction to Probability Models.
– Feller (1968). An Introduction to Probability Theory and its Applica-
tions, Vol. I&II.

Course Objective
STAT 221 is an introductory course in probability and its applications. No prior
background in probability or statistics is required. However, students should have
a working knowledge of elementary calculus.
> I assume that you are familiar with calculus. You should already know the
following concepts that are covered in STAT 201 : limit, continuity, summa-
tion, infinite series, differentiation, definite integral, integration by substitution, in-
tegration by parts, improper integral, Taylor series expansion, double integral, and
others, which should be reviewed by yourself.

The course will cover basic notions of probability, random variables. standard dis-
crete and continuous distributions, mean and variance, conditional distributions,
and functions of random variables. Additional topics will be included if time per-
mits. Emphasis will be on problem-solving using tools of probability.

1
Course Information : Exams, HWs and Grading
I (HW : 20 points) : There will be four homework assignments during the
semester.

B In each homework assignment, there will be two sets of problems :


problems to be graded (6-8), and problems not to be graded (3-4).
B Three problems out of “problems to be graded” will be randomly cho-
sen for grading.
B The solutions to the homework will be posted on the blackboard, one
week after the due date.
B You are encouraged to work with others on the homework. But you
should always write up your final solutions on your own.
B No credit will be given for a correct answer without work to support it.

I (Quiz : 10 points) : There will be two quizzes assignments during the


semester. Quiz will be based on “problems not to be graded” in HW.

I (Exams : 35 points(midterm) & 35 points(final)) : There will be two in-


class exams (midterm & final), which will be taken with lecture notes closed.

B Late Homework/Make-up (Quiz) exam will not be accepted without a valid


reason. Notification should be given to the instructor prior to 24 hours or
within 24 hours after the scheduled HW/Exam (Quiz) has taken place, with
a proof of your emergency.

I (Grading : 100 pts = 20(HW) + 10(Quiz) + 35(Midterm) + 35(Final))

Grade Scores (100 pts)


A+ 92 (pts) ≤ Your scores
A 85 (pts) ≤ Your scores
B+ 77 (pts) ≤ Your scores
B 70 (pts) ≤ Your scores
C+ 60 (pts) ≤ Your scores
C 50 (pts) ≤ Your scores
D+ 40 (pts) ≤ Your scores
D 30 (pts) ≤ Your scores
F below 30 (pts)

> If you miss either of two exams, you will get F automatically.

Common questions

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The grading structure in STAT 221 is designed to evaluate students across various components, with homework contributing 20 points, quizzes contributing 10 points, midterm exams 35 points, and final exams another 35 points, all summing up to a total of 100 points . The implication for students is that performance across all components is necessary for a good grade, as each element constitutes a significant percentage. Missing either the midterm or final results in an automatic failure of the course . This structure emphasizes continuous assessment and the necessity of preparation and engagement throughout the course duration.

Students enrolling in STAT 221 are expected to have a working knowledge of elementary calculus, including concepts such as limit, continuity, summation, infinite series, differentiation, definite integral, integration by substitution, integration by parts, improper integral, Taylor series expansion, and double integrals . These skills are crucial for understanding and solving problems related to the basic notions of probability, random variables, standard discrete and continuous distributions, mean and variance, conditional distributions, and functions of random variables .

The STAT 221 course syllabus encourages collaborative learning by allowing students to work together on homework assignments, although they must write up their final solutions individually . This approach promotes peer learning and the exchange of ideas while ensuring that each student develops individual accountability and understanding. The potential benefits include enhanced learning through group discussion, exposure to different problem-solving approaches, and improved communication skills, which are valuable in academic and professional contexts.

Students unable to complete assignments or exams due to emergencies must notify the instructor prior to 24 hours or within 24 hours after the scheduled event. Documentation of the emergency is necessary for consideration in arranging makeup work . This policy provides a structured and fair method for managing unforeseen circumstances while maintaining academic standards.

The design of homework and quiz assignments in STAT 221, involving graded and non-graded problems, encourages comprehensive engagement with the material. Homework problems are not only subject to grading but also serve as preparation for quizzes, aligning students' consistent effort with improved understanding and retention of concepts . This scaffolded approach reinforces learning as students tackle graded complexities while using ungraded problems to self-assess and deepen their grasp of probability.

Calculus knowledge is essential in STAT 221 for understanding mean, variance, and other probability concepts. Calculus tools like integration are used to calculate expected values and variances, especially in continuous probability distributions, where integrals replace sums used in discrete variables . Understanding calculus facilitates comprehension of how continuous distributions, such as normal distributions, relate to their discrete counterparts, connecting theoretical probabilistic concepts to real-world data analysis.

Lecture notes and the recommended textbook references play a critical role in supporting the course objectives of STAT 221. The lecture notes provide a structured guide to the various topics covered, ensuring students can follow along with complex probability concepts . Textbook references such as Ross's "A First Course in Probability" and other cited materials offer additional perspectives and problems for practice, reinforcing the material presented in lectures . These resources collectively support the objective of facilitating problem-solving skills and a deep understanding of probability theory.

STAT 221 emphasizes assessment criteria that include problem solving, understanding and application of probability concepts, and the ability to support answers with work. The use of homework assignments, quizzes, and exams ensures that students engage with the material consistently and critically . These criteria are important as they not only test the theoretical understanding of probability but also its practical application in problem-solving, reflecting the course's focus on thorough comprehension and the ability to apply concepts to various situations.

The policy that missing either the midterm or final exam results in an automatic F has significant implications for students. It emphasizes the importance of these exams in assessing a comprehensive understanding of the course material, forcing students to prioritize attendance and performance. This high-stakes approach could induce stress, potentially impacting student well-being negatively. However, it also ensures that assessments reflect a student's complete knowledge and capability, crucial for a foundational course in probability .

STAT 221 implements academic integrity strategies that require students to write up their final homework solutions independently even if they collaborate during the problem-solving process . Additionally, no credit is given for a correct answer without detailed supporting work . These measures likely encourage students to truly understand the material, as they must be able to independently articulate the solution processes, which might decrease instances of plagiarism and promote genuine learning.

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