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Probability Notes Key
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Notes: Intro to Probability date Mati 7 Vocabulary: Probability ~ Chance that some event will occur Impossible event ~ Event that will never occur (probability is = 0) Certain event ~ Event that will always occur (probability is = 1) ‘Complement events ~ Two events in which one or the other must happen Prevent) 1.) P(purple) 2) Ptblack) = © 3.) P(black or blue) = & 4.) (yellow or red) 5.) Plorange) = 0 (impossible) 6.) Pred, black, blue, yellow, or purple) = 4 (certain) Examples: You have a fair si sided dle. Find the following probabilities 7.) P(2) 8.) POS) 9.) Pleven) 10.) P(prime) = $= 3 (2, 3, and 5) 11.) P(not 4) 12.) P (Lor even) 13) Mr. Carlson surveys his class and finds that 30% of the students have blue eyes. What is the probability that a student doesn’t have blue eyes? 70% =Notes: Predicting Outcomes date___ Math 7 Vocabulary: ‘Theoretical probabilty ~ What “should” happen when conducting an experiment Experimental probably What actually happens when conducting an experiment Examples: 1.) Part A: IF Jane i oling a fair 6-sded de, whats the probability of roling a 5? 2 Part B: If Jane rolled the die 30 times, how many times should she expect to rola 5? ba 5x25 times 2.) Part A: In a deck of 52 cards, what i the probabilty of getting a queen? = 2. Part B: If you picked from a deck 104 times, how many times should you expect to get a queen? = Sy x= 8times Part C: Harry picked a queen from a deck 9 out of 104 times. Compared to the theoretically probability, how did Harry do? Harry did better than expected, theoretically he should have selected it 8 times. 3.) Doug asked a random sample of 50 classmates whether they were interested in extending the school year. The results are shown in the table below. If there are 250 students in Doug's ‘school, how many students should he expect to favor extending the school year? Yes 2D No. 25 2a 2, x= 60 times Unsure | 134) A coined is tossed 50 times and it lands on heads 28 times. Find the experimental probability and the theoretical probability. Compare the results. The coin landed on heads more times than expected. '5) Two number cubes are rolled together 20 times. A sum of 9is rolled 8 times. What is the experimental probability of rolling a sum of 9? 6) Compare the experimental probability you found in #5 to its theoretical probability. If the probabilities are not close, give a possible reason why. a) CONG CG, Cre) oa) laa . ge ovten _ 4 Thy coulh be Beret Yecoue there ns neh enay h HER. 7) In #5, what isthe probability of not roling a sum of 9. mle Z* SsNotes: Tree Diagram date Math 7 Vocabulary: ‘Tree Diagram ~ Can be used to determine a sample space Sample Space ~ Set of all the possible outcomes in an experiment Example: Use the tre diagram to find the sample space for tossing two cos, and then find the probability of tossing two heads. 1 coin 2" coin, ‘sample space H an ne T - 41 H - GAWD T < TO - @D P (tossing two heads) = 1 Practice: Draw a tree diagram for each question below. 1) At a carnival, one game asks you to pick a door and then pick a curtain behind the door. There are 3 doors ane 4 catans bend each door pk fom. How many choices are possible forthe payer? c. c e : or C. + \echoies D, xa do& : D a — 2.) There are 4 aces from a deck of cards. If a coin is tossed and a ace is chosen, what is the probability of getting heads on the coin and an ace of hearts? ne Te Of 3.) Miss Weibel goes to the salad bar for lunch. She can choose from cheese, olives, tomatoes, or ‘cucumbers. She can also pick Italian, ranch, or French dressing. What is the probability that Miss ‘Weibel will make a salad with ranch dressing? (lms << Olwes «A4.) Mr. Tom's wife is having triplets._What is the probability that all three will be boys? 5) An animal shelter has three kinds of Labrador Retrievers: yellow, brown, and black. They have both male and female in all ofthe colors. What is the probability of picking a female yellow Labrador or my Yeon op ~ Bran
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