0% found this document useful (0 votes)
26 views8 pages

Projected Demand for Fruits and Vegetables

The document contains demand projections for fruits, vegetables, fish, meat, and dairy using a quadratic regression model. For each commodity, actual demand values from 2016-2020 were used to calculate the coefficients a, b, and c to determine the projected demand equation YC=a+bX+cX^2. The equation was then used to project demand from 2021-2025.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
26 views8 pages

Projected Demand for Fruits and Vegetables

The document contains demand projections for fruits, vegetables, fish, meat, and dairy using a quadratic regression model. For each commodity, actual demand values from 2016-2020 were used to calculate the coefficients a, b, and c to determine the projected demand equation YC=a+bX+cX^2. The equation was then used to project demand from 2021-2025.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

DEMAND FOR FRUITS

Actual PROJECTED
YEAR Values (Y) X X² X⁴ XY X²Y VALUES (YC)

2016 209 -4 16 256 -836 3344


2017 229 -2 4 16 -458 916
2018 239 0 0 0 0 0
2019 249 2 4 16 498 996
2020 259 4 16 256 1036 4144
∑= 1185 40 544 240 9400

YC= a + bX + cX²
a= = =239.857
Where ∑x⁴∑y-∑x²(∑x²y) 544(1,185)-40(9,400)
n(∑x⁴)-(∑x²)² 5(544)-(40)²
b= = =6
∑xy 240
∑x² 40
c= = = 0.357142857
n(∑x²y)-∑x²(∑xy) 5(9,400)-40(1,185)
n(∑x⁴)-(∑x²)² 5(544)-(40)²
+ 6X + 0.35714285X²
Therefore
YC = 239.857

TOTAL PROJECTED DEMAND FOR FRUITS


2021 6 36 288.714
2022 8 64 310.714
2023 10 100 335.571
2024 12 144 363.286
2025 14 196 393.857
DEMAND FOR VEGETABLES
Actual PROJECTED
YEAR Values (Y) X X² X⁴ XY X²Y VALUES (YC)
2016 245 -4 16 256 -980 3920
2017 260 -2 4 16 -520 1040
2018 275 0 0 0 0 0
2019 290 2 4 16 580 1160
2020 305 4 16 256 1220 4880
∑= 1375 40 544 300 11000
YC= a + bX + cX²

Where a= ∑x⁴∑y-∑x²(∑x²y) = 544(1,375)-40(11,000) =275


n(∑x⁴)-(∑x²)² 5(544)-(40)²

b= ∑xy = 300 = 7.5


∑x² 40

c= n(∑x²y)-∑x²(∑xy) = 5(11,000)-40(1,375) = 0.0


n(∑x⁴)-(∑x²)² 5(544)-(40)²
Therefore
YC = 275 + 7.5X + 0X²
TOTAL PROJECTED DEMAND FOR VEGETABLES
2021 6 36 320.000
2022 8 64 335.000
2023 10 100 350.000
2024 12 144 365.000
2025 14 196 380.000
DEMAND FOR FISH
Actual PROJECTED
YEAR Values (Y) X X² X⁴ XY X²Y VALUES (YC)
2016 355 -4 16 256 -1420 5680
2017 370 -2 4 16 -740 1480
2018 385 0 0 0 0 0
2019 400 2 4 16 800 1600
2020 415 4 16 256 1660 6640
∑= 1,925 40 544 300 15,400

YC= a + bX + cX²

Where a= ∑x⁴∑y-∑x²(∑x²y) = 544(1,925)-40(15,400) = 385


n(∑x⁴)-(∑x²)² 5(544)-(40)²

b= ∑xy = 300.00 = 7.5


∑x² 40

c= n(∑x²y)-∑x²(∑xy) = 5(15,400)-40(1,925) =0
n(∑x⁴)-(∑x²)² 5(544)-(40)²
Therefore
YC = 385 + 7.5X + -0X²

TOTAL PROJECTED DEMAND FOR FISH


2021 6 36 430.000
2022 8 64 445.000
2023 10 100 460.000
2024 12 144 475.000
2025 14 196 490.000
-5
1120
-0.004464
DEMAND FOR MEAT
Actual PROJECTED
YEAR Values (Y) X X² X⁴ XY X²Y VALUES (YC)
2016 455 -4 16 256 -1820 7280
2017 470 -2 4 16 -940 1880
2018 485 0 0 0 0 0
2019 500 2 4 16 1000 2000
2020 515 4 16 256 2060 8240
∑= 2425 40 544 300 19400

YC= a + bX + cX²

Where a= ∑x⁴∑y-∑x²(∑x²y) = 544(2,425)-40(19,400) =485


n(∑x⁴)-(∑x²)² 5(544)-(40)²

b= ∑xy = 300 = 7.5


∑x² 40

c= n(∑x²y)-∑x²(∑xy) = 5(19,400)-40(2,425) = 0
n(∑x⁴)-(∑x²)² 5(544)-(40)²
Therefore
YC = 485 + 7.5X + 0X²

TOTAL PROJECTED DEMAND FOR MEAT


2021 6 36 530.000
2022 8 64 545.000
2023 10 100 560.000
2024 12 144 575.000
2025 14 196 590.000
DEMAND FOR MEAT
Actual PROJECTED
YEAR Values (Y) X X² X⁴ XY X²Y VALUES (YC)
2016 512 -4 16 256 -2048 8192
2017 552 -2 4 16 -1104 2208
2018 592 0 0 0 0 0
2019 632 2 4 16 1264 2528
2020 672 4 16 256 2688 10752
∑= 2960 40 544 800 23680

YC= a + bX + cX²

Where a= ∑x⁴∑y-∑x²(∑x²y) = 544(2,960)-40(23680) =592


n(∑x⁴)-(∑x²)² 5(544)-(40)²

b= ∑xy = 800 = 20
∑x² 40

c= n(∑x²y)-∑x²(∑xy) = 5(23680)-40(2,960) =0
n(∑x⁴)-(∑x²)² 5(544)-(40)²
Therefore
YC = 485 + 20X + 0X²

TOTAL PROJECTED DEMAND FOR MEAT


2021 6 36 712.000
2022 8 64 752.000
2023 10 100 792.000
2024 12 144 832.000
2025 14 196 872.000
2960 23680 544 40
a 544 40 5
1610240 947200 663040 2720 1600 1120 592

b 800 40 20

c 23680 2960 544 40


5 40 5
118400 118400 2720 1600 1120 0

You might also like