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Probability Practice Problems and Solutions

1. The document contains 11 practice probability problems involving scenarios like selecting random integers, rolling dice, answering test questions, catching Frisbees with dogs, and calling a ticket agency. 2. The problems cover concepts like probability, conditional probability, Poisson distributions, and assessing the likelihood of events. 3. The length and complexity of the problems vary, but they all focus on calculating and comparing probabilities using the information and assumptions provided.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
32 views2 pages

Probability Practice Problems and Solutions

1. The document contains 11 practice probability problems involving scenarios like selecting random integers, rolling dice, answering test questions, catching Frisbees with dogs, and calling a ticket agency. 2. The problems cover concepts like probability, conditional probability, Poisson distributions, and assessing the likelihood of events. 3. The length and complexity of the problems vary, but they all focus on calculating and comparing probabilities using the information and assumptions provided.
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Practice Problems

1. An integer between 1 and 30 is selected at random. Find the probability of selecting a


prime number if an integer between 1 and 15 is twice as likely to occur.

2. Assuming all dice are fair, which one of the following three cases is more likely when the
sum in each case is six. A. rolling two dice B. rolling 3 dice C. rolling 4 dice.

3. In a test, each question has four possible answers. A student knows the answers 40% of the
questions and can narrow the choices don to two answers 40% of the time. IF the student
knows nothing about the remaining 20% of the questions and merely guesses the answers
to these questions, what is the probability that the student correctly answers a question
chosen at random from the test?

4. A and B play a game in which they alternately toss a pair of dice. The one who is first to
get a sum of seven wins the game. If A tosses first, which one is more likely to win first?

5. In assessing the strength of evidence in a legal investigation, a police detective always


approaches his two informers to get information. The detective gets his information 80%
of the time from the informer A who tells a lie 75% of the time and 20% of the time from
the informer B who tells a lie 60% of the time. Suppose the information the detective has
received is truthful, what is the probability that the information was received from the
informer B?

6. A new car is equipped with dual airbags. Suppose that they fail independently with prob-
ability p. What is the probability that at least one airbag functions properly?

7. Anne and Betty go fishing. Find the conditional probability that Anne catches no fish
given that at least one of them catches no fish. Assume they catch fish independently and
that each has probability 0 < p < 1 of catching no fish.

8. Professor Random has taught probability for many years. She has found that 80% of
students who do the homework pass the exam, while 10% of students who do not do the
homework pass the exam. If 60% of the students do the homework, what percent of students
pass the exam? Of students who pass the exam, what percent did the homework?

9. Any time a child throws a Frisbee, the child’s dog catches t he Frisbee with probability p,
independent of whether the Frisbee is caught on any previous throw. when the dog catches
the Frisbee, it runs away with the Frisbee, never to be seen again. The child continues to
throw the Frisbee until the dog catches it . Let X denote the number of times the Frisbee
is thrown.
(a) What is t he PMF P X(x)?
(b) If p = 0.2, what is the probability that the child will throw the Frisbee more than four
times?

10. The number of buses that arrive at a bus stop in T minutes is a Poisson random variable
B with expected value T /5.
(a) What is the PMF of B , the number of buses that arrive in T minutes?
(b) What is the probability t hat in a two minute interval, three buses will arrive?
(c) What is the probability of no buses arriving in a 10-minute interval?
(d) How much time should you allow so that wth probability 0.99 at least one bus arrives?
11. You are manager of a ticket agency that sells concert tickets. You assume that people will
call three times in an attempt to buy tickets and then give up. You want to make sure that
you are able to serve at least 95% of the people who want tickets. Let p be the probability
that a caller gets through to your ticket agency. What is the minimum value of p necessary
to meet your goal?

Page 2

Common questions

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Using Bayes’ theorem, calculate P(B|Truthful) = P(Truthful|B)*P(B)/P(Truthful). For P(Truthful)= P(Truthful|A)*P(A) + P(Truthful|B)*P(B), we have P(Truthful)=0.25*0.8 + 0.4*0.2 = 0.28, giving P(B|Truthful) = (0.4*0.2)/0.28 = 0.2857 or 28.57% .

Win probability independently compounds over rounds, each toss offers equal reset due to symmetry. Calculate geometric series for A's advantage starting with a geometric distribution where receiving nodes reduce by (6/36) per roll, adjusting odds .

If each airbag fails independently with probability p, the probability both fail is p^2. The complement, at least one functioning, is 1 - p^2 .

The events are A (Anne catches no fish) and B (Betty catches no fish). We need P(A|A∪B'). Calculate based on P(A) = p, P(B)=p, and P(A∩B') = P(A) - P(A∩B) = p(1-p). Thus, conditional is P(A)/(P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)) = p/(2p−p^2).

The probability is calculated by considering three scenarios: student knows 40% of answers (probability 100%), guesses among two options 40% of the time (probability 50%), and guesses blindly on the remaining 20% (probability 25%). Multiply and add these: 0.4*1 + 0.4*0.5 + 0.2*0.25 = 0.4 + 0.2 + 0.05 = 0.65, or 65% .

This problem can be modeled as a geometric distribution where the first success (the dog catching the Frisbee) occurs on the x-th trial. The PMF is given by P(X=x) = (1-p)^(x-1) * p, where p = 0.2 is the probability of the dog catching it .

Let p be the probability of a successful call. The condition is 1 - P(n=3 fails) ≥ 0.95, where P(n=3 fails) = (1-p)^3. Solving gives (1-p)^3 ≤ 0.05, thus p ≥ 1 - 0.05^(1/3) ≈ 0.368 .

Using a Poisson distribution B with mean T/5, to have a probability of 0.99, solve P(B≥1) = 1 - P(B=0). Equate and solve for T using P(B=0) = e^(-T/5) = 0.01, giving T = 5 ln(100) ≈ 23 min .

To solve this, recognize that the set can be divided into two subsets: numbers 1 to 15, and numbers 16 to 30. The probability of selecting a number from 1 to 15 is higher because these are twice as likely as selecting from 16 to 30. Counting the primes, we have (2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13) from 1 to 15 and (17, 19, 23, 29) from 16 to 30. Thus, calculate the weighted probability using these observations. The probability is calculated as 1/3(6/15) + 2/3(4/15), giving approximately 0.3667.

Rolling two dice to sum to six has 5 favorable outcomes: (1,5), (2,4), (3,3), (4,2), (5,1). Rolling three dice to sum to six is possible in more ways, including combinations like (1,1,4), (1,2,3), etc. Rolling four dice makes the sum more diverse, diluting probability per possibility. Thus, three dice offer more combinations to reach exactly six, making this the most likely scenario.

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