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Statistical Methods for Educators

This document provides 10 practice problems related to confidence intervals and margin of error. The problems cover calculating margin of error for estimating population means and proportions from samples of various sizes. They also involve constructing confidence intervals for differences in means, proportions from binomial populations, and determining necessary sample sizes to estimate values within a given level of precision.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
40 views2 pages

Statistical Methods for Educators

This document provides 10 practice problems related to confidence intervals and margin of error. The problems cover calculating margin of error for estimating population means and proportions from samples of various sizes. They also involve constructing confidence intervals for differences in means, proportions from binomial populations, and determining necessary sample sizes to estimate values within a given level of precision.

Uploaded by

Nur Arisya Ainaa
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

MTH3003

SECOND SEMESTER SESSION 2019/2020


TUTORIAL 6

1. Calculate the margin of error in estimating


(a) a population mean µ for 𝑛 = 30, 𝜎 2 = 0.9.
(b) a population mean µ for 𝑛 = 50, 𝑠 2 = 4.
(c) a binomial proportion 𝑝 for 𝑛 = 100, 𝑝 = 0.5

2. If there were 40 men in a random sample of 250 elementary school teacher, estimate the
proportion of male elementary school teachers in the entire population. Give the margin of
error for your estimate.

3. Suppose the number of successes observed in 𝑛 = 500 trials of a binomial population


produced 𝑥 = 263 successes. Find a 90% confidence interval for 𝑝.

4. A random sample of 130 human body temperatures had a mean of 98.25 degrees and a
standard deviation of 0.73 degrees. Construct a 99% confidence interval for the average body
temperature of healthy people.

5. In an attempt to compare the starting salaries of college graduates majoring in education and
social sciences, random samples of 50 recent college graduates in each major were selected
and the following information was obtained:
Major Mean SD
Education 40 554 2225
Social sciences 38 348 2375

(a) Find a point estimate for the difference in the average starting salaries of college
students majoring in education and the social sciences.
(b) What is the margin of error for your estimate

6. Refer to question 5. Find

(a) a 90% confidence interval for the difference in in the average starting salaries of
college students majoring in education and the social sciences.

1
(b) a 99% confidence interval for the difference in in the average starting salaries of
college students majoring in education and the social sciences.

7. Independent random samples of 𝑛1 = 500 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑛2 = 500 and observations were selected
from binomial populations 1 and 2, and 𝑥1 = 120 and 𝑥2 = 147 successes were observed.
(a) What is the best point estimator for the difference (𝑝1 − 𝑝2 ) in the two binomial
proportions?
(b) Calculate the approximate standard error for the statistic used in part a.

8. Refer to question 7. Find


(a) a margin of error for the point estimate.
(b) a 90% confidence interval for the difference (𝑝1 − 𝑝2 ) in the two binomial
proportions.

9. Suppose you wish to estimate a population mean based on a random sample of 𝑛

observations, and prior experience suggest that 𝜎 = 12.7. If you wish to estimate µ correct to
within 1.6, with probability equal to 0.95, how many observations should be included in your
sample?

10. Suppose you wish to estimate a binomial parameter 𝑝 correct to within 0.04, with
probability equal to 0.95. If 𝑝 = 0.5 and you want to be certain that your sample is large
enough, how large should 𝑛 be?

Common questions

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The best point estimator for the difference in proportions is (p̂1 - p̂2), where p̂1 = x1/n1 and p̂2 = x2/n2. For standard error, SE = √[p̂1(1-p̂1)/n1 + p̂2(1-p̂2)/n2], calculate for p̂1 = 120/500 and p̂2 = 147/500 .

To create a 99% confidence interval, use the formula: mean ± z * (σ/√n). With a sample mean of 98.25 and standard deviation 0.73 for n = 130, and a z-value of 2.576 for 99% confidence, calculate the interval as 98.25 ± 2.576 * (0.73/√130).

Use the formula n = (z * σ/E)^2 to determine the sample size, where z is the z-value for the desired confidence level, σ is the standard deviation of the population, and E is the desired margin of error. Given σ = 12.7 and E = 1.6 with 95% confidence, use z = 1.96 .

For a 90% confidence interval, use the formula: (mean_diff) ± z * √[(sp²/n1) + (sp²/n2)], where mean_diff is the difference in group means, and sp² is the pooled variance. For 99%, similar calculation is done with a higher z-value (z = 2.576 vs. 1.645 for 90%). Mean difference is 40,554 - 38,348 .

To calculate the margin of error for estimating a population mean, you need to use the formula ME = z * (σ/√n) for known population variance σ² or ME = t * (s/√n) for estimated variance s². (a) For n = 30, σ² = 0.9, use ME = z * (√0.9/√30). (b) For n = 50, s² = 4, use ME = t * (√4/√50). The specific z or t value depends on the confidence level, typically found in z-tables or t-tables .

To estimate the proportion, divide the number of men by the total sample size, giving 40/250 = 0.16. The margin of error, calculated as ME = z * √[p(1-p)/n], where p is the proportion of males, helps provide a confidence interval: p ± ME .

The margin of error is ME = z * SE for the combined standard error SE calculated earlier. Using a z-value for 90% confidence, the confidence interval is (p̂1-p̂2) ± ME, where p̂1 = 120/500 and p̂2 = 147/500 .

Calculate the minimum sample size n using n = (z² * p * (1-p))/E², where z is the z-value for the confidence level, p is the estimated proportion, and E is the margin of error. With p = 0.5, E = 0.04, and a 95% confidence level (z = 1.96), apply the formula to find n .

For (a), estimate the difference in means as (40,554 - 38,348). For (b), the margin of error is found using ME = z * √[(sp^2/n1) + (sp^2/n2)], with sp² as the pooled variance from the two samples' standard deviations: √[(2225² + 2375²)/2]. Use a standard z-value for this calculation .

To construct a 90% confidence interval for a binomial proportion, use the formula CI = p̂ ± z * √[p̂(1-p̂)/n], where p̂ = x/n. With n = 500 and x = 263, p̂ = 263/500 = 0.526. The z-value for 90% confidence is typically 1.645 .

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