Options and Forward Contracts Explained
Options and Forward Contracts Explained
The arbitrageur can exploit the discrepancy between the cost of the 180-day call option priced at 2 cents and the forward rate to guarantee a profit. By purchasing the call option and entering a short position in a 180-day forward contract, the arbitrageur will profit regardless of the spot price at maturity due to the strategy: Max(ST-1.97) + 1.9818-ST, which remains positive .
The seller of the put option profits if the stock price at maturity is greater than $66, since the potential maximum loss for the seller would be the premium of $4 when the stock price is below the strike price of $70, and profit is achieved when costs are outweighed by the premium received .
OTC markets are generally self-regulated with trades negotiated directly between parties, allowing for custom contracts, whereas exchange-traded markets are highly regulated environments with standardized contracts ensuring transparency and consistency in trading .
A long forward contract obligates the investor to purchase the underlying asset at the predetermined price upon maturity, without flexibility . In contrast, a long position in a call option provides the right, but not the obligation, to purchase the asset at the strike price, allowing the investor to choose based on market conditions at maturity .
Economic risk affects the present value of anticipated cash flows due to fluctuating exchange rates. Companies must weigh this risk against transaction risks to decide whether fixed future contracts or flexible options are better. Fixed futures provide certainty, mitigating economic risk by securing a set rate, while options afford adaptability, suitable for companies expecting favorable changes in rates .
A company should use futures contracts to lock in an exchange rate when it's key to have budget certainty and they expect the exchange rates to be unfavorable in the future. This strategy eliminates transaction risk by fixing the rate . Currency options should be used when potential favorable exchange rate movements are anticipated, allowing for flexibility to benefit from such movements while still mitigating downside risk .
The seller is motivated by risk hedging, aiming to lock in a sale price higher than the current market price to mitigate potential price drops . Meanwhile, the buyer takes on the risk for potential gain, believing the price will rise and is willing to commit to purchasing shares at a fixed price above the current market rate .
The arbitrageur combines a 90-day put option with a long forward contract, guaranteeing a positive outcome. The profit structure is such that it equals Max (2.04-ST) + ST-2.0256. Regardless of whether the spot price is higher or lower than the put strike price of $2.04, the profit remains positive, ensuring profit regardless of market price changes .
When selling a call option, the individual anticipates that the price of the underlying asset will not exceed the strike price at expiry, risking potential losses if the asset's price rises significantly . Conversely, buying a put option involves anticipating a decline in the asset's price, with the risk being the loss of the premium paid if the price doesn't drop .
In a short position of a put option, profit is maximized when the stock price at maturity exceeds the strike price. The seller earns the premium if the price exceeds $70 and incurs losses when it falls below $66, as depicted in a diagram showing increasing profit with rising stock prices above $70 and decreasing below $66, while breaking even at $66 .