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Fashion Forecasting Process Overview

The document discusses fashion forecasting and product development processes. It describes different types of research involved in forecasting like consumer research, product research, market segment analysis, fashion research, trend research, color research, and fabric/trimming research. This research helps determine upcoming trends in areas like silhouettes, colors, fabrics to develop new fashion products that meet consumer demand. The product development process then involves new products being developed by buyers, manufacturers, or external agencies/studios.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
112 views4 pages

Fashion Forecasting Process Overview

The document discusses fashion forecasting and product development processes. It describes different types of research involved in forecasting like consumer research, product research, market segment analysis, fashion research, trend research, color research, and fabric/trimming research. This research helps determine upcoming trends in areas like silhouettes, colors, fabrics to develop new fashion products that meet consumer demand. The product development process then involves new products being developed by buyers, manufacturers, or external agencies/studios.
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
  • Fashion Forecasting
  • Market Research Analysis
  • Product Development

Fashion Forecasting

The fashion forecasting process is involved in the following research altogether or based on
the needs of a selected sector can also be performed. The different types of research involved
in the forecasting process are given in below

Marketing research is defined as the “systematic and objective approach to the development
and provision of information for the marketing management decision making process”.
Consumer demand is the dynamic power in apparel industry. Hence, the industry expression
“you-can-make-it-only-if-it-sells” relates to the concept of the consumer driven market. Thus,
the success of any apparel or textile company depends on determining the needs and wants of
the consumer. This market research includes:

Consumer-research
This research concentrates on giving data about customer state of mind and behaviour. Clothing
purchase plans depend on the number of variables like psychological, social and economical
considerations of which customers are not deliberately mindful. Some of the techniques used
to know the purchasers are, survey i.e., addressing customers formally or casually, gatherings
sorted out between typical target buyers. Buyer responses are arranged and classified to
discover inclinations for specific garments or accessories, colours, sizes and so on or
preferences for particular retailers. This data can be utilised to make new product to fit
particular-buyer-tastes.

Product-research
This gives data about preferred product designs and attributes. This research helps us to break
down the acceptance of any new item being presented in the business sector or any current item
is re-presented with a couple of alterations. Couple of techniques that could be used to
comprehend the status of product among the target buyers are:

 Survey: Conducting surveys orally to their regular consumers or send a questionnaire.

Md. Rezaul Karim, DoTEM, BUTEX


 Free trial: Product can be offered free of cost in exchange for feedback of the product.
 Style testing techniques: It is possible to predict how apparel consumers will react to a
style. This technique is used to find out what consumers would like to buy.
 Rating: Survey the subjects by asking them to rate preferences after seeing a garment,
a photo or a swatch of a fabric in various patterns and colours.

Market-segment-analysis
It gives data about general market trends. This analysis deals with long and short-range
analysis.
Long range forecasting: It incorporates inquiring about monetary patterns identified with
customer’s spending patterns and the business atmosphere; it likewise incorporates
sociological, psychological, political and worldwide patterns. For instance, increase in interest
rate, corporate duty, ascends in average cost for basic items costs because of inflation. These
patterns can influence the organisation’s plans and the customer’s future purchase behaviour,
changes in international trade policies will influence long range forecasting. Political variances
among nations can influence sourcing alternatives when arranging offshore production.

Fashion research
This research focuses on the fashion elements that includes the silhouette, colour, fabric,
texture, trimmings and accessories.

Trend research
Trend research activities include reading or scanning appropriate trade publications, fashion
or general magazines. Fashion trend research is focused on general garment outline, more
particular lengths, (e.g., shirt lengths, skirt lengths, trouser length), widths, (e.g., trouser leg
width, lapel and bow tie width), and configuration of pattern elements, (e.g., basic yoke,
level/shawl collars, roundabout unsettled collars)
Trade publications: Trade publications are the newspapers and magazines that are specifically
published for the industry personnel or professionals. Those publications will not be available
in the general stores; it has to be subscribed formally from the prescribed publishers. These
publications declares the latest developments in the industry in technical side, it provides latest
business review reports, fashion shows, expo’s, trade shows and latest fashion trends from raw
material to final product. This helps the fashion / apparel industry professionals to update their
databank and knowledge to compete with changing market and competitors.

Fashion magazines: Fashion magazines encase generous data about the most recent trends in
silhouettes, colour, fabric, accessories, brands, etc. Based on their target market, designers and
merchandisers follow-up suitable publications and update their knowledge. The magazines are
effectively accessible in common magazine stores.

Md. Rezaul Karim, DoTEM, BUTEX


Trade shows: Specialised trade shows are held in various locations. Designers and
merchandisers may attend these trade shows for fashion trend information as well.

Fashion forecasting services: Some designers and retailers subscribe to fashion trend
forecasting services that provide fashion trend reports. These reports help designers to analyse
the upcoming fashion trends. These organisations update their database as per the current trend
and they forecast the future fashion market based different criteria. Designers can log in and
select the required forecasting reports based on their target customer and market requirements.
This information is more reliable for designers since the customers also follow-up with the
same services. There are several forecasting agencies in the market: WGSN, Promostyl, WWD,
Trend watching, cotton Inc, stylesite are to name a few

Colour-research
Colour research helps in determining the season’s colour. Websites like WGSN come up with
seasonal barometer and colour matrix for the season which helps the designers to decipher the
colours that will be suitable for the season. Colour forecasting is usually done for 18–24 months
in-advance.
Companies like Pantone come up with their colour report by engaging a group of colour
forecasters and designers to discuss and select the colour trend report for the upcoming seasons.
Colour becomes one of the most important criteria as consumers get attracted to colours at the
first sight and then concentrate on the material aspects. Based on the colour forecasting, colour
palettes are created and they act as the base for designers and merchandisers to transfer them
on the fabrics to create latest fashion garments. Colour forecasting in USA is done by “The
Colour Association of the United States” and “Pat Tunsky”. European colour trend service is
International Colour Trend
Authority, based in Amsterdam. Promostyle is based in Paris, with subsidiary offices in New
York, London and Tokyo. The colour in association with mood forms the base for creating
novel products. The colour research process provides the outcome for the designer to develop
a theme and concept to design garments for the upcoming season.

Fabric-and-trimming-research
In general, the designer or merchandiser performs the fabric or trimming research for new
product development. For example, if the designers are working for a sportswear, then they
will search for information regarding the latest trends and fibres or structures used in the sports
application. The required data can be extracted from the same trade publications as mentioned
earlier. Trends that are more specific can be noticed from the local and national wide trade
shows and exhibitions held in various place where, the fibre, yarn and fabric manufacturers
display their latest inventions or developments. This will help the apparel professional to
achieve their requirement in a suitable way.

Md. Rezaul Karim, DoTEM, BUTEX


Product dev. New product to buyer, manufacturer, by agencies
The product development process in apparel industry generally happens in three different
levels,
i) New product by buyer – Once the forecasting process is completed in all sectors like,
customer, product design, market requirement, etc., first steps of silhouette development and
fabric selection are approached in different ways by different designers and companies. Many
companies base their lines around fabric and print designs. Their designers start by selecting
fabrics and then create silhouettes for those fabrics. These designers are fabric driven. The
buyer develops other designers-are-silhouette-driven designs and product specifications and all
the necessary information will be provided to the manufacturing merchandiser to develop the
product prototype.

ii) New product by manufacturer – The manufacturing organisation’s design team along with
merchandiser use to develop new products for their buyer. The product development is the
business policy of the organisation, which includes the development of the new designs and
styles within the organisation. This process provides more business to the organisation, by
showing pro-activeness in design development process by knowing the needs and wants of the
customers/buyers and it helps in impressing the clients. Production merchandiser must update
the buyer time to time about the product development done by organisation. The buyer visiting
the factory is one of the key activities, where merchandiser can develop some positive opinion
on the company by showing their facility and designer teams. This motivates the buyers to give
the design development to the organisation instead of doing themselves. Whenever buyer visits
the organisation, new colour, prints, embroidery patterns and desk loom developments need to
be presented to them by production merchandiser. Merchandiser should influence the buyer to
select the designs from presentation presented. A very good presentation and convincing ability
of production merchandiser bring more business to the organisation.

iii) Product development by external agencies / Studios – In this case, the external agencies
perform the product development process based on their expertise and research data they have.
Buyers or manufacturers will source the designs concepts and specifications from these
agencies with respect to the season and needs.

Md. Rezaul Karim, DoTEM, BUTEX

Common questions

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Fabric-and-trimming research in sportswear development involves exploring the latest trends and materials suitable for sports applications, which informs innovative product designs . Designers and merchandisers use insights from trade publications, trade shows, and exhibitions to find novel fibres and structures that meet functionality and performance needs . This research facilitates the creation of advanced sportswear that incorporates the latest innovations in materials and design, enhancing product appeal and performance.

Fashion research covers elements like silhouette, colour, and texture, and integrates with trend research and market segment analysis to comprehensively support the industry . Trend research involves studying trade publications, fashion magazines, and attending trade shows to gather information on trend developments . Market segment analysis involves understanding long and short-range trends, like consumer spending patterns affected by economic changes, which influences fashion planning . Together, these research areas provide a holistic view that allows for informed decision-making in product development, catering to consumer preferences and predicting future fashion market dynamics.

In new fashion product development by manufacturers, the design team and merchandisers create products based on customer needs and organizational policies, showing proactiveness to impress clients and secure more business . This involves developing designs within the organization and updating buyers about progress. In contrast, development by buyers begins with forecasting in various sectors, and designers often start by selecting fabrics to create silhouettes, as they develop product specifications and provide these to manufacturing merchandisers for prototype development . The key difference is that manufacturer-led development focuses on internal designs, while buyer-led development is more guided by external forecasts and fabric selections.

Using external agencies for product development provides benefits such as access to specialized expertise and comprehensive research data that buyers or manufacturers can utilize for design concepts and specifications . This allows companies to leverage cutting-edge insights without needing extensive internal resources. However, challenges may include potential misalignment with internal design philosophies, dependency on external insights which may delay response to market changes, and possibly higher costs associated with hiring external expertise. Ensuring a cohesive brand identity while integrating external input requires careful management to maximize benefits while minimizing challenges.

Consumer research in fashion forecasting focuses on collecting data about customer attitudes and behavior, which helps in understanding the variables like psychological, social, and economical considerations that influence clothing purchase plans . This research helps identify consumer preferences for particular garments, accessories, and retailers. On the other hand, product research gathers data about preferred product designs and attributes. It helps assess the acceptance of new or modified items in the market, using techniques like surveys, free trials, style testing, and ratings, to predict what consumers would be willing to purchase . Together, both types of research inform the development of products that align with consumer demand and market trends.

Market-segment analysis helps understand consumer behavior by examining long and short-range economic trends and their impact on consumer spending habits and the business climate . This analysis considers factors like interest rates, inflation, international trade policies, and political changes, which can influence consumer purchasing behavior and sourcing options for fashion companies . By identifying these trends, fashion forecasters can plan product development, sourcing, and marketing strategies that align with the predicted economic and social climate, thus anticipating consumer needs and market shifts.

Political changes impact long-range fashion forecasting by affecting international trade policies, which in turn influence sourcing strategies for fashion companies . Political instability or changes can lead to tariffs, trade barriers, or diplomatic issues that alter the cost and feasibility of sourcing materials and manufacturing offshore. Businesses need to consider such factors when planning long-range strategies, as these can affect pricing, availability, and ultimately, product offerings in the fashion industry . Anticipating and adapting to these changes is crucial for maintaining competitive advantage and operational efficiency.

Color forecasting is significant because it determines the colors that will attract consumers, influencing their initial interest in fashion items . It guides designers and merchandisers in creating appropriate color palettes for upcoming seasons. The forecasting process usually occurs 18-24 months in advance and involves organizations like Pantone and WGSN that gather a group of forecasters and designers to decide on color trends . This process ensures that the color choices align with consumer preferences and market trends, increasing the likelihood of product success.

Trade publications and fashion magazines play a crucial role in trend research by providing updated information on industry developments, including technical advancements, business reports, and emerging fashion trends . Trade publications are aimed at industry professionals and need to be formally subscribed, offering insights into fashion shows, expos, and trade shows . Fashion magazines provide extensive data on the latest trends in silhouettes, colors, fabrics, and accessories, accessible even in common magazine stores, which designers and merchandisers use to update their knowledge and align with current trends .

Fashion forecasting services provide designers with trend reports that offer predictions on upcoming fashion trends, which help in analyzing future market directions . These services regularly update their databases based on current trends and criteria, offering reliable insights to designers who can then tailor their collections to meet emerging consumer expectations . By subscribing to these services, designers gain access to critical data that aids in planning and creating appealing collections aligned with predicted societal and market trends.

Md. Rezaul Karim, DoTEM, BUTEX 
 
Fashion Forecasting 
The fashion forecasting process is involved in the following research
Md. Rezaul Karim, DoTEM, BUTEX 
 
 Free trial: Product can be offered free of cost in exchange for feedback of the product.
Md. Rezaul Karim, DoTEM, BUTEX 
 
 
Trade shows: Specialised trade shows are held in various locations. Designers and 
mercha
Md. Rezaul Karim, DoTEM, BUTEX 
 
 
Product dev. New product to buyer, manufacturer, by agencies 
The product development pro

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