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Pros and Cons of Deflation Explained

Deflation has both benefits and drawbacks. The benefits include lower prices leading to increased consumer purchasing power and spending incentives for businesses. However, deflation also discourages consumer spending as people may delay purchases expecting even lower future prices. It increases the real value of debt, making it harder for debtors to repay loans. Deflation also raises real interest rates and can cause real wage unemployment as wages adjust slowly downwards in response to falling prices. While deflation may get rid of asset bubbles, the problems generally outweigh the benefits and deflation is still widely viewed with distrust since the Great Depression.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
34 views3 pages

Pros and Cons of Deflation Explained

Deflation has both benefits and drawbacks. The benefits include lower prices leading to increased consumer purchasing power and spending incentives for businesses. However, deflation also discourages consumer spending as people may delay purchases expecting even lower future prices. It increases the real value of debt, making it harder for debtors to repay loans. Deflation also raises real interest rates and can cause real wage unemployment as wages adjust slowly downwards in response to falling prices. While deflation may get rid of asset bubbles, the problems generally outweigh the benefits and deflation is still widely viewed with distrust since the Great Depression.
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© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

DEFLATION

Benefits and drawbacks of deflation


Thursday 25 June 2020
BENEFITS OF DEFLATION
1. Restructuring of the Market
The production scale of a deflationary society would be astounding. With such
aggressive price competition existing in the market, suppliers as well as retailers
would have to modify the way they approach customer retention. Deflationary
system is good for the average consumer with him/her being offered so much
variety of products at the cheapest of prices. Japan is often used as an example
of how deflation can result in unfavourable conditions. This is because Japan
has been struggling with deflation since the early 1990s. There are, however,
systemic reasons for Japan’s deflationary spiral. Primarily, Japan has more old
people than young people and their death rate recently superseded the birth
rate. This led to conditions of stifled growth in individual income levels. Secondly,
Japanese people had little trust in their own banks and prefered to rely on
treasury bonds as part of their saving culture. This led to the decrease of money
circulation and caused unsolicited deflation.

2. Getting Rid of the Excess


Deflation is a good way to get rid of asset bubbles building up inside the market.
This is because deflation causes a decrease in the value of financial assets and
it becomes very hard to accumulate wealth with the aim of causing artificial
inflation. Adversely, this can lead to distress selling and ultimately result in the
collapse of the market economy. However, state mandated deflation would
effectively diminish panic and force the value of accumulated wealth to drop.
Hence, deflation is a good way to bring about progressive changes to the society
that wants to specialise of financial equity.

3. Higher Standards of Living


As mentioned before, deflation causes the prices of goods and services to fall.
Ideally, from a consumerist perspective, this would essentially mean that he/she
has been afforded more spending power. Accessibility of basic requirements to
those below the poverty line is not discussed enough in the context of
economies that are obsessed with development indexes. Deflation needs to be
considered more thoroughly because traditionally capitalist means of bringing
about social equality at a monetary level, is all but failing all over the world.

4. Accessibility of Banks
Deflationary market economics would force banks to encourage spending. With
a very much dwindling supply of money powering the market, interest rates will
be decreased by the banks in a bid to encourage people to have access to cash
they could use for personal purposes. This in turn, would lead ordinary citizens
to have access to banks in a way that was not possible during pre-deflationary
times. Hence, deflationary market economics need to be studied further in order
to leverage its usefulness more to our current system.

Deflation, since the time of great depression, which led to an unabated


downward spiral of prices and in effect the collapse of the economy, has been
viewed with distrust by economists. Deflation needs to be looked at as a
conscious tactic that could be intelligently utilised for specific goals. Using it in
this manner will have tangible advantages for the ordinary citizen whose humble
financial needs are not being realised now.

2
Problems of Deflation
1. Discourages consumer spending. When there are falling prices,
this often encourages people to delay purchases because they will
be cheaper in the future. In particular, it can discourage consumers
from buying luxury goods / non-essential items, e.g. flatscreen TV –
because you could save money by waiting for it to be cheaper.
Therefore, periods of deflation often lead to lower consumer
spending and lower economic growth; (this, in turn, creates more
deflationary pressure in the economy). This fall in consumer
spending was a feature of the Japanese experience of deflation in
the 1990s and 2000s. (Japanese financial crisis).
2. Increase real value of debt. Deflation increases the real value of
money and the real value of debt. Deflation makes it more difficult
for debtors to pay off their debts. Therefore, consumers and firms
have to spend a bigger percentage of disposable income on
meeting debt repayments. (in a period of deflation, firms will also be
getting lower revenue, and consumers will likely to get lower
wages). Therefore, this leaves less money for spending and
investment. This is particularly a problem in a balance sheet
recession where firms and consumers are trying to reduce their
exposure to debt. Europe has a big burden of government debt;
deflation will make it more difficult to reduce debt to GDP ratios.
3. Increased real interest rates. Interest rates can’t fall below zero. If
there is deflation of 2%, this means we have a real interest rate of +
2%. In other words, saving money gives a reasonable return.
Therefore, deflation can contribute to an unwanted tightening of
monetary policy. This is particularly a problem for Eurozone
countries which don’t have recourse to any other monetary policies
like quantitative easing. This is another factor that can lead to lower
growth and higher unemployment.
4. Real wage unemployment. Labour markets often exhibit ‘sticky
wages’. In particular, workers resist nominal wage cuts (no one likes
to see their wages actually cut, especially when you are used to
annual pay increases. Therefore, in periods of deflation, real wages
rise. This could cause real-wage unemployment. Unemployment in
Europe is a major problem – and low inflation is one reason.

Common questions

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Deflation can increase economic inequality by raising the real value of debt, making it more difficult for lower-income consumers and indebted companies to pay off their debts. This pressures them to allocate a larger portion of their income to debt repayments, reducing their spending power and ability to invest in meaningful assets . Conversely, deflation offers potential benefits to consumers who rely on savings or have a fixed income since they experience a real increase in their purchasing power due to lower prices of goods and services .

Deflation can lead to a higher standard of living for consumers by lowering prices, thereby increasing their purchasing power and access to goods and services. This can be particularly beneficial for individuals with fixed or lower incomes, as they achieve more value for their limited financial resources . However, the shortcoming is that while consumers might initially benefit from reduced costs, prolonged deflation can stifle economic growth, leading to job losses and reduced investments, which can ultimately negate the perceived improvements in living standards .

Deflation can enhance access to banking services by prompting financial institutions to lower interest rates, encouraging citizens to borrow and use these services more frequently. During deflation, banks aim to incentivize spending by making credit more appealing . However, the paradox lies in deflation's general propensity to discourage spending as consumers anticipate further price reductions. This tension means increased access might not translate into actual economic activity if individuals and businesses continue to limit their expenditures in deflated conditions .

Deflation can lead to market restructuring by enforcing aggressive price competition, compelling suppliers and retailers to adapt their customer retention strategies. It promotes consumer benefits through lower prices and increased product variety. Meanwhile, inflation can lead to the hidden erosion of consumer purchasing power and wealth inequality if wages don't keep pace. However, deflation's benefits are offset by potential market collapse and reduced economic incentives in crisis situations like Japan's prolonged deflation . A well-managed inflationary environment often aims to balance spending to sustain growth and employment without destablizing economic equity .

Deflation increases real interest rates because nominal rates cannot fall below zero, meaning if deflation is at 2%, the real interest rate effectively becomes +2%. This situation discourages borrowing and spending while encouraging saving, tightening monetary policy unintentionally. During inflationary periods, central banks often lower nominal rates to stimulate borrowing and spending, achieving economic growth. However, in deflationary environments, even zero nominal rates result in positive real rates, limiting policy options such as quantitative easing, particularly in the Eurozone .

Deflation affects consumer spending habits by encouraging individuals to delay purchases, especially of luxury goods or non-essential items, in anticipation of lower prices in the future. This behavior results in decreased consumer spending, which contributes to lower economic growth and introduces additional deflationary pressures within the economy. Such was the case during Japan's deflationary periods in the 1990s and 2000s .

Deflation impacts real wage employment by causing real wages to rise due to 'sticky wages,' where workers resist nominal wage cuts despite falling prices. This leads to real-wage unemployment as businesses face increased labor costs without corresponding revenue growth from higher consumer prices, leading them to cut jobs instead . In Europe, this has contributed to significant unemployment issues as low inflation fails to stimulate sufficient economic activity to reduce joblessness .

Deflation acts as a corrective mechanism for asset bubbles by reducing financial asset values, which can help deflate artificially inflated asset prices. By limiting wealth accumulation aimed at causing artificial inflation, it can stabilize the market over time . However, this process can induce panic and result in distress selling, exacerbating market volatility and leading to potential collapse. The lack of consumer confidence and spending during deflation may further destabilize financial systems if not managed carefully .

Deflation raises the real value of debt by increasing the purchasing power of money, which makes it more expensive for borrowers to service existing debts as income and revenue decrease during deflationary periods. This is particularly challenging as consumers and businesses allocate more to repay debts rather than engaging in spending or investments . The increasing debt burden complicates recovery efforts, especially in economies with high levels of debt like the Eurozone, where reducing debt-to-GDP ratios becomes more difficult, hindering economic stabilization and growth .

Cultural attitudes that prioritize savings over spending exacerbate deflationary conditions by reducing money circulation, as observed in Japan where a preference for treasury bonds over bank trust resulted in less consumer spending and lower economic growth. This cultural behavior reinforces deflationary cycles, making it difficult to stimulate demand and escape the deflationary spiral, as disposable income is not being channeled into the economy but saved or invested in low-return assets .

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