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Hypothesis Testing Scenarios and Errors

The document describes several hypothesis tests with null and alternative hypotheses. It provides examples of identifying the type of hypothesis test (left-tailed, right-tailed, two-tailed) based on the hypotheses. It also gives examples of identifying Type I and Type II errors in hypothesis testing scenarios and discussing the potential consequences of each type of error. Finally, it shows worked examples of conducting hypothesis tests to determine if claims are statistically significant, including stating the hypotheses, identifying the critical value, doing the calculations, and making a conclusion.

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Joven Jaravata
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
267 views4 pages

Hypothesis Testing Scenarios and Errors

The document describes several hypothesis tests with null and alternative hypotheses. It provides examples of identifying the type of hypothesis test (left-tailed, right-tailed, two-tailed) based on the hypotheses. It also gives examples of identifying Type I and Type II errors in hypothesis testing scenarios and discussing the potential consequences of each type of error. Finally, it shows worked examples of conducting hypothesis tests to determine if claims are statistically significant, including stating the hypotheses, identifying the critical value, doing the calculations, and making a conclusion.

Uploaded by

Joven Jaravata
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

ACTIVITY 9 Name: _Joven Jaravata (ABPsych1)

A. Write the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis to be used in testing each of the
following claims. Indicate whether it is a left-tailed, right-tailed or a two-tailed test.
1. The average age of incoming plebes is 18.4 years old.
H0: μ ≤ 18.4
H1: μ > 18.4 Type of test: Right-tailed test
2. The proportion of yearlings taking coffee inside the classroom is not more than 12.5%.
H0: μ ≥ 0. 125
H1: μ < 0.125 Type of test: Left-tailed test
3. At least 75% of PMA personnel take the shuttle bus in coming to the office.
H0: μ = 0.75
H1: μ ≠ 0.75 Type of test: Two-tailed test
4. The average running time of the cadets from the parade ground to the checkpoint and
back is 21 minutes. The PE instructors believe that it is higher.
H0: μ ≤ 21
H1: μ > 21 Type of test: Right-tailed test
5. The mean grade of Sec A is lower than that of Sec B in the last UE in HBO.
H0: Sec A ≥ Sec B
H1: Sec A < Sec B Type of test: Left-tailed test
6. A physician claims that the mean cost for an MRI is less than Php44,000.
H0: μ ≥ 44,000
H1: μ < 44,000 Type of test: Left-tailed test
7. A consumer advocate claims that the mean price of a cellular phone is not Php12,500.
H0: μ = 12,500
H1: μ ≠ 12,500 Type of test: Two-tailed test
8. The population mean IQ is 100. A psychologist wants to test the hypothesis that the
mean IQ for alcoholics is different from 100.
H0: μ = 100
H1: μ ≠ 100 Type of test: Two-tailed test

B. Biometric Security
If your ATM could recognize your physical characteristics (e.g. fingerprint, face, palm, iris)
you wouldn’t need an ATM card or a PIN. A biometric ID system could also reduce the risk
of ID theft- eliminate computer passwords and speed up security screening. Yet, up to now,
you are still using your ATM card for your banking transactions (primarily, withdrawals). The
hypotheses are
H0: User is authorized
H1: User is not authorized.
Identify the
a) Type 1 error: Using a biometric ID system could reduce the risk of identity theft, commit
of fraud and unauthorized transactions using your ATM. .
b) Type 2 error: Unauthorized use of ATM biometric security would ensure your
transactions safety as computer passwords or the security cannot be fabricated nor
faked.
c) Which of the two errors is more to be feared and why?

Page 1 of 7
The Type 1 Error. As stated, a biometric ID system is prone in reducing the risk of
ID theft- the fact that it eliminates computer passwords and PIN and speed up screening
time, it decreases the security safety.

C. You are an inspector for the Bureau of Fish and Aquatic Resources or BFAR and you are
given the task of determining whether to prohibit fishing along parts of the Lingayen Gulf.
You will close an area to fishing if it is determined that fish in that region have an unacceptably
high mercury content. Assuming that a mean mercury concentration of 5 ppm is considered
the maximum safe concentration, determine
a) H0: μ ≤ 5 ppm H1: μ > 5 ppm
b) in the context of this problem, identify the

Type 1 error Consider fishing in the region of acceptable safe concentration.


Consequence of this error? Reject H0, as stated the considered maximum
mercury safe concentration is only 5 ppm.

Type 2 error Prohibit fishing in the region of unacceptably high mercury content.
Consequence of this error? Accept H0, it would be a risk if you will not close the fishing region
with an unacceptably high mercury content.

C . Define a Type 1 and a Type II error for this scenario and discuss the possible
consequence of each:
Cdt Rally, a 1CL cadet is trying to finish a lengthy research and print it for his evening
submission. His printer is very low on ink , and he just has time to go to Cadets store for a
new cartridge. But it’s raining hard and he needs every minute to finish the report. The
hypotheses are:
H0: Cartridge has enough ink.
H1: Cartridge has not enough ink.

a) Type I error: Accept H0 .

Consequence: cartridge is very low ink and to use it in lengthy research is not enough.

b) Type II error: Reject H0 .

Consequence: the cartridge has not enough ink to print out the lengthy research.

Page 2 of 7
ACTIVITY 10 Name: Joven Jaravata (ABPsych1)

1. The average number of visitors to the PMA museum was found to be 26 daily. After the
renovation has been made and with the transfer of the museum to its present site, the museum
officer, MAJ SIMON believes that the average number of visitors has increased. For 36
randomly chosen days, he monitored the number of people going to the museum. The sample
average is 28 with a standard deviation of 8. Is his allegation valid? Use a .05 level of
significance.
Solution:
a) H0: � = ��
H1: � < ��
b) Use the test statistic 0.05 with α = 5%.
c) Critical value = -1.645. Show figure below.
df= n-1
35-1
= 34

df= 34

0.05

- 1.645 0

Decision Rule: Reject the H0 if tcalc = -1.645

d) Computation:
Tcalc = x̅ - µ = 28 - 26 = 1.50
s/√n 8 / √ 35

e) Conclusion and interpretation:


Since the computed test statistic t= 1.50 does not fall within the rejection region do not
reject H0.

Page 3 of 7
2. Typically, only very brave students are willing to speak out in a college classroom. Student
participation may be especially difficult if the individual is not from the urban area but is from a
province with a peculiar/ regional dialect orientation.. A numerical “speaking-up” scale with
possible values from 3 to 15 (A low value means that the student rarely speaks.) was designed.
For a random sample of 64 students from selected regions all over the country, the sample
mean and sample standard deviation were 8.75 and 2.57, respectively. Suppose that the mean
for the student population is 10.0, does it appear that students who don’t come from the
metropolis have lower speaking-up ability? Use a 1% level of significance.

Required: The 5-step test procedure.

Solution:
a) H0: � = ��. �
H1: � < ��. �
b) Use the test statistic 0.1with α = 1%.
c) Critical value = -1.282. Show figure below.
df = n-1
=64-1
= 63

0.05 t
-1.282 O

Decision rule: Reject Ho if tcalc < -1.282

.
f) Computation:
Tcalc = x̅ - µ = 8.75 - 10 = - 3. 91
s/√n 2.57 / √ 64

g) Conclusion and interpretation:


Since the computed test statistic t= - 3.91 which do fall within the rejection region reject
H0.

Page 4 of 7

Common questions

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The statistical findings did not support rejecting H0, meaning the data did not demonstrate a significant increase in average visitor numbers post-renovation at a 5% significance level. This implies that the officer's belief may not be empirically supported, suggesting more data or alternative metrics might be needed to evaluate the renovation's impact on visitor engagement effectively .

By applying hypothesis testing with defined null and alternative hypotheses (H0: μ ≥ 44,000 versus H1: μ < 44,000), one can test if the average MRI cost is less than the claimed 44,000 Php. Rejecting H0 based on sample data would support the claim of reduced costs, assuring stakeholders that financial goals or regulations are met .

The main challenge identified is the possibility of Type I and Type II errors. A Type I error (false rejection of an authorized user) reduces user trust in system reliability, while a Type II error (acceptance of an unauthorized user) can lead to severe security breaches. These errors result in potential dissatisfaction from legitimate users and increased security threats, respectively .

The left-tailed test aims to determine if mean MRI costs are less than 44,000 Php, supporting the physician's cost reduction claim if H0 is rejected. A failure to reject H0 means insufficient evidence to confirm the expected reduction. Thus, policy and financial decisions would be cautious without statistically significant support for the claim .

Type I error occurs when the biometric security system falsely identifies an authorized user as unauthorized, resulting in non-access despite the user's legitimacy. The consequence is inconvenience and possible loss of credentials if repeated. Type II error occurs when an unauthorized user is mistakenly identified as an authorized one, leading to unauthorized access and potential security breaches .

A two-tailed test is suitable here because it examines deviations in any direction, assessing whether alcoholic population IQ differs from the general mean of 100. This choice considers both potential increases or decreases, ensuring comprehensive evidence for any mean difference. If H0 (μ = 100) is rejected, it underscores significant differences impacting therapeutic and policy decisions in alcoholism treatment .

The test statistic is used to determine the validity of the claim about the increase in visitors. In this case, the computed test statistic t=1.50 did not fall within the rejection region defined by the critical value of -1.645 at a 0.05 significance level. Therefore, H0 is not rejected, indicating that there is no statistical evidence to support the claim that the average number of visitors has increased .

Setting a strict level of significance (1% in this case) reduces the risk of Type I error, thus requiring more robust evidence to conclude that students from provinces have lower speaking-up abilities compared to a city baseline. The decision rule, which rejected H0 because the test statistic exceeded the critical value, reflects a high confidence level that non-metropolitan students indeed speak up less, which could impact educational strategies and inclusivity efforts .

Type I error, mistakingly believing there is enough ink, could waste valuable time if the ink runs out during printing, affecting the cadet's submission schedule. A Type II error, assuming not enough ink is left despite adequacy, might result in unnecessary trips for replacements, consuming time and resources, potentially delaying research completion .

Hypothesis testing can be applied by setting up null and alternative hypotheses about mercury concentration. The null hypothesis (H0: μ ≤ 5 ppm) assumes the mercury concentration is within a safe limit. If sample testing shows concentrations that lead to rejecting H0 (e.g., μ > 5 ppm), authorities would need to close the area for fishing. A Type I error would mean closing an area despite safe levels, affecting the local economy, whereas a Type II error might inadvertently allow fishing in polluted regions, risking public health .

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