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Confidence Interval
CHAPTER 6
CONFIDENCE
It is an estimate of a parameter
consists of an interval of numbers
along with a probability that the
INTERVAL interval contains the unknown
parameter
Level of Confidence Factors in constructing
in a Confidence Interval Confidence Interval
◎ The point estimate of the population
It is a probability that represents ◎ The level of confidence
the percentage of intervals that ◎ The standard deviation of the sample
will contain if a large number of mean
repeated samples are obtained.
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Student’s t-distribution Properties of t-distribution
It is a type of probability distribution that 1. The t distribution is different for
is similar to the normal distribution with different values of n, the sample size.
its bell shape but has heavier tails. 2. The t distribution is centered at 0 and
is symmetric about 0.
3. The area under the curve is 1.
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Properties of t-distribution Formula for t-distribution
4. As t increases without bound, the
graph approaches, but never equals,
zero. As t decreases without bound
the graph approaches, but never
equals, zero.
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Example: Solution:
Acme Corporation manufactures light bulbs. The CEO t = [ x - μ ] / [ s / sqrt( n ) ]
claims that an average Acme light bulb lasts 300 days. A t = ( 290 - 300 ) / [ 50 / sqrt( 15) ]
researcher randomly selects 15 bulbs for testing. The t = -10 / 12.909945
sampled bulbs last an average of 290 days, with a
t = - 0.7745966
standard deviation of 50 days. If the CEO's claim were
true, what is the probability that 15 randomly selected
bulbs would have an average life of no more than 290 P = 0.226 or 22.6%
days?
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THANK YOU!